FinalWin Prob.pScore
178%112
102
2322%101
105
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
105.297105.5
MIA logo MIA
108.29789.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0GSW102
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0GSWDurant Driving Dunk (27 PTS)102
52.3%
102
47.7%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)100
35.8%
102
64.2%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 2100
40.2%
101
59.8%
Q4 - 0:21.0GSWLivingston 1' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Curry 8 AST)100
32.7%
101
67.3%
Q4 - 0:25.0GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)98
20.7%
101
79.3%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Waiters 19' Jump Shot98
16.1%
101
83.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0GSWDurant 1' Alley Oop Layup (25 PTS) (Green 7 AST)98
15.8%
101
84.2%
Q4 - 0:55.0GSWLivingston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
10.6%
101
89.4%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Waiters 6' Driving Bank Shot96
8.8%
101
91.2%
Q4 - 1:17GSWLivingston Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T14)96
8.7%
101
91.3%
Q4 - 1:18GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)96
15.7%
101
84.3%
Q4 - 1:19GSWMISS Durant 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
10.9%
101
89.1%
Q4 - 1:31MIAWaiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS)96
19.7%
101
80.3%
Q4 - 1:54GSWDurant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Curry 7 AST)96
41.7%
98
58.3%
Q4 - 2:08GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
26.4%
98
73.6%
Q4 - 2:09MIAMISS Waiters 15' Jump Shot93
22.8%
98
77.2%
Q4 - 2:26GSWThompson Foul Turnover (P2.T13)93
15.8%
98
84.2%
Q4 - 2:34GSWLivingston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
27.5%
98
72.5%
Q4 - 2:35MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
23.5%
98
76.5%
Q4 - 2:57GSWThompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Curry 6 AST)93
18.1%
98
81.9%
Q4 - 3:02GSWLivingston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
10.0%
98
90.0%
Q4 - 3:03GSWJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)90
6.8%
98
93.2%
Q4 - 3:09GSWLivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
10.1%
98
89.9%
Q4 - 3:10MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 290
9.3%
98
90.7%
Q4 - 3:10MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 290
7.7%
98
92.3%
Q4 - 3:13GSWCurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)90
5.7%
98
94.3%
Q4 - 3:13GSWCurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)89
5.5%
98
94.5%
Q4 - 3:19MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)88
4.5%
98
95.5%
Q4 - 3:51MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
4.9%
98
95.1%
Q4 - 3:52GSWMISS Curry 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
5.4%
98
94.6%
Q4 - 4:03MIAWaiters 18' Pullup Jump Shot (27 PTS)88
6.8%
98
93.2%
Q4 - 4:22GSWEllington STEAL (4 STL)88
9.1%
96
90.9%
Q4 - 4:33GSWDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)88
12.9%
96
87.1%
Q4 - 4:34MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup88
11.6%
96
88.4%
Q4 - 4:49GSWDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)88
8.9%
96
91.1%
Q4 - 4:49GSWDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)87
8.6%
96
91.4%
Q4 - 4:58MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)86
6.4%
96
93.6%
Q4 - 5:14MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)86
18.0%
93
82.0%
Q4 - 5:15GSWMISS Thompson 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
19.6%
93
80.4%
Q4 - 5:27GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)86
23.6%
93
76.4%
Q4 - 5:28MIAMISS Dragic 8' Fadeaway Jumper86
21.7%
93
78.3%
Q4 - 5:52GSWBabbitt STEAL (1 STL)86
17.7%
93
82.3%
Q4 - 6:01GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
29.7%
93
70.3%
Q4 - 6:02MIAMISS Ellington 16' Jump Shot86
27.5%
93
72.5%
Q4 - 6:25GSWDurant 18' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)86
22.6%
93
77.4%
Q4 - 6:42GSWDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
18.3%
93
81.7%
Q4 - 6:43MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 284
17.6%
93
82.4%
Q4 - 6:43MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)84
14.9%
93
85.1%
Q4 - 6:51MIABabbitt Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (11 PTS)84
17.6%
92
82.4%
Q4 - 6:51MIABabbitt Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (10 PTS)84
18.7%
91
81.3%
Q4 - 6:51GSWMISS Curry Free Throw Technical84
28.1%
90
71.9%
Q4 - 6:52MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)84
28.1%
90
71.9%
Q4 - 6:53GSWMISS Green Free Throw 2 of 284
29.1%
90
70.9%
Q4 - 6:53GSWMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 284
32.9%
90
67.1%
Q4 - 7:08MIABabbitt 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)84
40.7%
90
59.3%
Q4 - 7:11MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
53.8%
87
46.2%
Q4 - 7:13MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
58.9%
87
41.1%
Q4 - 7:32GSWLivingston Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T10)84
53.6%
87
46.4%
Q4 - 7:34GSWWarriors Rebound84
61.1%
87
38.9%
Q4 - 7:35GSWMISS Livingston 12' Jump Shot84
55.9%
87
44.1%
Q4 - 7:49MIADragic Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T14)84
61.0%
87
39.0%
Q4 - 8:00GSWLivingston 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)84
53.4%
87
46.6%
Q4 - 8:14MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)82
49.0%
87
51.0%
Q4 - 8:14MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)82
50.3%
86
49.7%
Q4 - 8:37MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)82
55.6%
85
44.4%
Q4 - 8:38GSWMISS Pachulia 4' Jump Shot82
57.5%
85
42.5%
Q4 - 8:40GSWPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)82
61.7%
85
38.3%
Q4 - 8:41GSWMISS Durant 18' Jump Shot82
57.5%
85
42.5%
Q4 - 8:57MIAWhite Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)82
61.7%
85
38.3%
Q4 - 9:10MIAHEAT Rebound82
73.9%
82
26.1%
Q4 - 9:10GSWMISS Green Free Throw 2 of 282
74.6%
82
25.4%
Q4 - 9:10GSWGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)82
77.3%
82
22.7%
Q4 - 9:23MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)81
74.2%
82
25.8%
Q4 - 9:23MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)81
75.1%
81
24.9%
Q4 - 9:45GSWThompson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)81
78.3%
80
21.7%
Q4 - 9:45GSWThompson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)80
77.8%
80
22.2%
Q4 - 9:46GSWPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
74.1%
80
25.9%
Q4 - 9:47GSWMISS Thompson 12' Jump Shot79
70.5%
80
29.5%
Q4 - 10:02MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)79
74.4%
80
25.6%
Q4 - 10:10MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
69.4%
80
30.6%
Q4 - 10:11GSWMISS Thompson 17' Jump Shot79
71.0%
80
29.0%
Q4 - 10:33GSWWarriors Rebound79
74.4%
80
25.6%
Q4 - 10:34MIAMISS Reed 2' Tip Layup Shot79
72.9%
80
27.1%
Q4 - 10:35MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
69.4%
80
30.6%
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot79
72.9%
80
27.1%
Q4 - 10:48GSWMcCaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Livingston 5 AST)79
69.4%
80
30.6%
Q4 - 10:56MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)76
59.3%
80
40.7%
Q4 - 11:06MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)76
53.7%
80
46.3%
Q4 - 11:07GSWMISS Thompson 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
55.4%
80
44.6%
Q4 - 11:14GSWPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)76
59.3%
80
40.7%
Q4 - 11:15MIAMISS Ellington 20' Jump Shot76
57.6%
80
42.4%
Q4 - 11:32GSWThompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Green 6 AST)76
53.7%
80
46.3%
Q4 - 11:47MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)73
43.0%
80
57.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA73
53.6%
77
46.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
53.6%
77
46.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
59.6%
77
40.4%
Q3 - 0:08.0GSWGreen Foul Turnover (P1.T9)73
56.1%
77
43.9%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAReed Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)73
61.0%
77
39.0%
Q3 - 0:30.0GSWCurry 1' Driving Reverse Layup (19 PTS)73
65.8%
75
34.2%
Q3 - 0:35.0GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)71
60.9%
75
39.1%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Reed 17' Jump Shot71
59.4%
75
40.6%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
55.8%
75
44.2%
Q3 - 1:00GSWMISS Curry 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
57.4%
75
42.6%
Q3 - 1:19MIAWaiters 2' Driving Layup (22 PTS)71
62.7%
75
37.3%
Q3 - 1:36MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
67.0%
73
33.0%
Q3 - 1:37GSWMISS Green 6' Floating Jump Shot71
68.4%
73
31.6%
Q3 - 1:56MIAEllington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)71
71.3%
73
28.7%
Q3 - 2:03GSWEllington STEAL (3 STL)71
67.7%
73
32.3%
Q3 - 2:20MIAEllington Running Dunk (6 PTS) (McGruder 2 AST)71
71.8%
73
28.2%
Q3 - 2:27MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
75.2%
71
24.8%
Q3 - 2:28GSWJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)71
76.3%
71
23.7%
Q3 - 2:37MIAEllington 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Waiters 4 AST)71
78.7%
71
21.3%
Q3 - 2:54MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
84.1%
68
15.9%
Q3 - 2:55GSWMISS Durant 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
84.9%
68
15.1%
Q3 - 3:10MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)71
86.5%
68
13.5%
Q3 - 3:19MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
90.0%
65
10.0%
Q3 - 3:20MIAMISS Johnson 10' Floating Jump Shot71
91.2%
65
8.8%
Q3 - 3:41GSWMcGee Cutting Dunk Shot (10 PTS) (Durant 3 AST)71
90.1%
65
9.9%
Q3 - 3:57MIAWaiters Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)69
88.5%
65
11.5%
Q3 - 4:06MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
86.2%
65
13.8%
Q3 - 4:07GSWMISS Curry 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
86.9%
65
13.1%
Q3 - 4:22MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)69
88.4%
65
11.6%
Q3 - 4:34GSWPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)69
89.8%
63
10.2%
Q3 - 4:34GSWMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 268
89.5%
63
10.5%
Q3 - 4:42GSWDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
90.1%
63
9.9%
Q3 - 4:43MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
89.5%
63
10.5%
Q3 - 5:09GSWDurant 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Green 5 AST)68
88.0%
63
12.0%
Q3 - 5:15MIAWhiteside Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)66
86.3%
63
13.7%
Q3 - 5:26GSWCurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)66
84.0%
63
16.0%
Q3 - 5:26GSWCurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)65
83.8%
63
16.2%
Q3 - 5:28GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
81.9%
63
18.1%
Q3 - 5:29MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Layup64
81.1%
63
18.9%
Q3 - 5:43GSWCurry 18' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)64
79.0%
63
21.0%
Q3 - 5:53MIADragic 20' Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS)62
76.5%
63
23.5%
Q3 - 6:19GSWDurant 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)62
79.5%
61
20.5%
Q3 - 6:34GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
77.0%
61
23.0%
Q3 - 6:35MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 260
76.6%
61
23.4%
Q3 - 6:35MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 260
74.6%
61
25.4%
Q3 - 6:39MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
73.8%
61
26.2%
Q3 - 6:40GSWMISS Durant 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
74.8%
61
25.2%
Q3 - 6:46MIAWhiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)60
77.0%
61
23.0%
Q3 - 6:58GSWCurry 6' Driving Bank Shot (13 PTS)60
73.8%
61
26.2%
Q3 - 7:10MIAWaiters 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS)58
71.2%
61
28.8%
Q3 - 7:16MIAHEAT Rebound58
73.8%
59
26.2%
Q3 - 7:17MIAMISS Dragic 2' Layup58
76.1%
59
23.9%
Q3 - 7:30GSWThompson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)58
73.8%
59
26.2%
Q3 - 7:30GSWMISS Thompson Free Throw 1 of 257
73.4%
59
26.6%
Q3 - 7:48MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)57
74.2%
59
25.8%
Q3 - 8:01GSWDurant 17' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)57
79.7%
56
20.3%
Q3 - 8:13GSWPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
77.6%
56
22.4%
Q3 - 8:14MIAMISS Waiters 1' Driving Layup55
76.6%
56
23.4%
Q3 - 8:23MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
74.3%
56
25.7%
Q3 - 8:24GSWMISS Pachulia 20' Jump Shot55
75.3%
56
24.7%
Q3 - 8:32MIAMcGruder Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)55
77.5%
56
22.5%
Q3 - 8:32MIAMISS McGruder Free Throw 1 of 255
78.2%
55
21.8%
Q3 - 8:48GSWPachulia 3' Cutting Layup Shot (5 PTS) (Green 4 AST)55
77.0%
55
23.0%
Q3 - 9:03GSWPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
75.2%
55
24.8%
Q3 - 9:04MIAMISS Babbitt 20' Jump Shot53
74.3%
55
25.7%
Q3 - 9:17MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 253
72.2%
55
27.8%
Q3 - 9:17MIAWhiteside Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (8 PTS)53
70.4%
55
29.6%
Q3 - 9:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)53
75.0%
54
25.0%
Q3 - 9:19MIAMISS McGruder 16' Pullup Jump Shot53
77.0%
54
23.0%
Q3 - 9:35MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
75.0%
54
25.0%
Q3 - 9:36GSWMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
75.9%
54
24.1%
Q3 - 9:48MIABabbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)53
77.8%
54
22.2%
Q3 - 10:01MIAHEAT Rebound53
82.7%
51
17.3%
Q3 - 10:02MIAMISS Babbitt 12' Jump Shot53
84.2%
51
15.8%
Q3 - 10:19GSWThompson 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)53
82.7%
51
17.3%
Q3 - 10:25GSWPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
80.8%
51
19.2%
Q3 - 10:26GSWMISS Thompson 8' Pullup Jump Shot51
79.1%
51
20.9%
Q3 - 10:41MIAWaiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)51
80.7%
51
19.3%
Q3 - 10:57GSWThompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Green 3 AST)51
84.6%
48
15.4%
Q3 - 11:03MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)48
81.6%
48
18.4%
Q3 - 11:07GSWDragic STEAL (1 STL)48
79.3%
48
20.7%
Q3 - 11:18MIAWhiteside 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)48
81.5%
48
18.5%
Q3 - 11:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)48
83.4%
46
16.6%
Q3 - 11:42GSWMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
84.0%
46
16.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSW48
85.3%
46
14.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWWarriors Rebound48
85.3%
46
14.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
84.0%
46
16.0%
Q2 - 0:06.0GSWMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
85.0%
46
15.0%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
84.7%
46
15.3%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
83.9%
46
16.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0GSWMISS Curry 2' Driving Layup48
84.2%
46
15.8%
Q2 - 0:39.0GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
85.1%
46
14.9%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
84.7%
46
15.3%
Q2 - 1:18GSWDurant 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Curry 5 AST)48
84.0%
46
16.0%
Q2 - 1:36GSWDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
81.2%
46
18.8%
Q2 - 1:37MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Jump Shot46
80.9%
46
19.1%
Q2 - 1:48GSWWaiters STEAL (1 STL)46
80.2%
46
19.8%
Q2 - 2:00MIAJohnson Cutting Dunk Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)46
81.2%
46
18.8%
Q2 - 2:11MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
83.5%
44
16.5%
Q2 - 2:12GSWWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)46
84.0%
44
16.0%
Q2 - 2:28MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)46
85.1%
44
14.9%
Q2 - 2:53MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
83.6%
44
16.4%
Q2 - 2:54MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Tip Layup Shot46
84.6%
44
15.4%
Q2 - 2:54MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)46
83.6%
44
16.4%
Q2 - 2:56MIAMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
84.6%
44
15.4%
Q2 - 3:13GSWPachulia 2' Cutting Layup Shot (3 PTS) (Curry 4 AST)46
83.7%
44
16.3%
Q2 - 3:20GSWLivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
82.3%
44
17.7%
Q2 - 3:21MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Hook Shot44
81.7%
44
18.3%
Q2 - 3:23MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)44
80.2%
44
19.8%
Q2 - 3:24MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
81.7%
44
18.3%
Q2 - 3:30GSWEllington STEAL (2 STL)44
80.2%
44
19.8%
Q2 - 3:35MIAWaiters Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)44
82.3%
44
17.7%
Q2 - 3:53GSWThompson 16' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)44
80.2%
44
19.8%
Q2 - 3:59GSWWarriors Rebound42
78.5%
44
21.5%
Q2 - 4:00GSWMISS Durant 6' Driving Hook Shot42
76.9%
44
23.1%
Q2 - 4:18MIAWaiters 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)42
78.9%
44
21.1%
Q2 - 4:37MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)42
80.8%
42
19.2%
Q2 - 4:38GSWMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
81.3%
42
18.7%
Q2 - 4:45MIAMcGruder 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)42
82.5%
42
17.5%
Q2 - 4:55MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)42
84.1%
40
15.9%
Q2 - 4:56GSWMISS Curry 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
84.5%
40
15.5%
Q2 - 5:02GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
85.8%
40
14.2%
Q2 - 5:03MIAMISS Ellington 18' Jump Shot42
85.4%
40
14.6%
Q2 - 5:24GSWDurant 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)42
84.3%
40
15.7%
Q2 - 5:41GSWPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
82.8%
40
17.2%
Q2 - 5:42MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
82.3%
40
17.7%
Q2 - 5:52MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
81.1%
40
18.9%
Q2 - 5:53GSWMISS Durant 28' 3PT Jump Shot40
81.6%
40
18.4%
Q2 - 6:05MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)40
83.2%
40
16.8%
Q2 - 6:16GSWThompson 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Livingston 4 AST)40
84.4%
38
15.6%
Q2 - 6:28GSWDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
83.2%
38
16.8%
Q2 - 6:29MIAMISS White 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
82.6%
38
17.4%
Q2 - 6:43GSWPachulia Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)38
81.3%
38
18.7%
Q2 - 7:02MIAWhite 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)38
83.3%
38
16.7%
Q2 - 7:03MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
84.6%
36
15.4%
Q2 - 7:04MIAMISS Babbitt 3PT Jump Shot38
85.6%
36
14.4%
Q2 - 7:11MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
84.6%
36
15.4%
Q2 - 7:12GSWMISS Thompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
85.0%
36
15.0%
Q2 - 7:17GSWDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
86.0%
36
14.0%
Q2 - 7:18MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Jump Shot38
85.6%
36
14.4%
Q2 - 7:21MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
84.6%
36
15.4%
Q2 - 7:22MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Hook Shot38
85.6%
36
14.4%
Q2 - 7:50GSWGreen 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Livingston 3 AST)38
84.5%
36
15.5%
Q2 - 8:17MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ellington 2 AST)36
83.1%
36
16.9%
Q2 - 8:22GSWWhiteside STEAL (2 STL)36
85.7%
33
14.3%
Q2 - 8:24MIAWhiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)36
87.0%
33
13.0%
Q2 - 8:40GSWGreen 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Livingston 2 AST)36
85.7%
33
14.3%
Q2 - 8:48GSWWarriors Rebound34
84.5%
33
15.5%
Q2 - 8:49GSWMISS Thompson 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot34
83.5%
33
16.5%
Q2 - 9:00GSWWarriors Rebound34
84.5%
33
15.5%
Q2 - 9:01GSWMISS Livingston 12' Pullup Jump Shot34
83.6%
33
16.4%
Q2 - 9:20GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
84.6%
33
15.4%
Q2 - 9:21MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
84.2%
33
15.8%
Q2 - 9:28MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
83.1%
33
16.9%
Q2 - 9:29MIAMISS Dragic 6' Turnaround Jump Shot34
84.2%
33
15.8%
Q2 - 9:46GSWWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)34
83.1%
33
16.9%
Q2 - 10:05MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)34
84.4%
33
15.6%
Q2 - 10:18MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
86.7%
30
13.3%
Q2 - 10:19GSWMISS Thompson 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
87.1%
30
12.9%
Q2 - 10:25GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
87.9%
30
12.1%
Q2 - 10:26MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
87.6%
30
12.4%
Q2 - 10:45MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
86.7%
30
13.3%
Q2 - 10:46GSWMISS McCaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
87.1%
30
12.9%
Q2 - 10:49GSWMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
88.0%
30
12.0%
Q2 - 10:50GSWMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
87.1%
30
12.9%
Q2 - 10:58MIAJohnson 3' Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
88.0%
30
12.0%
Q2 - 11:12GSWMcGee 1' Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Thompson 1 AST)34
88.9%
28
11.1%
Q2 - 11:26GSWWarriors Rebound32
87.9%
28
12.1%
Q2 - 11:27MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
87.6%
28
12.4%
Q2 - 11:46GSWThompson 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Livingston 1 AST)32
86.8%
28
13.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA30
85.7%
28
14.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSWCurry 9' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)30
84.4%
28
15.6%
Q1 - 0:07.0GSWMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
82.9%
28
17.1%
Q1 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
82.6%
28
17.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0GSWCurry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)28
81.9%
28
18.1%
Q1 - 0:30.0GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
78.5%
28
21.5%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Dragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot25
78.2%
28
21.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAHEAT Rebound25
77.4%
28
22.6%
Q1 - 0:48.0GSWMISS Curry 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
77.7%
28
22.3%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAJohnson Cutting Dunk Shot (5 PTS) (Reed 1 AST)25
78.6%
28
21.4%
Q1 - 1:10GSWMcGee Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Curry 3 AST)25
80.6%
26
19.4%
Q1 - 1:21MIAMcGruder Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)23
78.7%
26
21.3%
Q1 - 1:33GSWGreen 2' Layup (2 PTS) (McGee 1 AST)23
77.5%
26
22.5%
Q1 - 1:48GSWMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
75.4%
26
24.6%
Q1 - 1:49MIAMISS McGruder Free Throw 2 of 221
75.2%
26
24.8%
Q1 - 1:49MIAMISS McGruder Free Throw 1 of 221
74.1%
26
25.9%
Q1 - 1:52GSWEllington STEAL (1 STL)21
74.1%
26
25.9%
Q1 - 2:06MIAWaiters Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)21
76.0%
26
24.0%
Q1 - 2:23GSWDurant Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Curry 2 AST)21
74.4%
26
25.6%
Q1 - 2:27GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
72.4%
26
27.6%
Q1 - 2:28MIAMISS McGruder 2' Driving Layup19
71.9%
26
28.1%
Q1 - 2:52MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
70.7%
26
29.3%
Q1 - 2:53GSWMISS McGee Free Throw 1 of 119
70.9%
26
29.1%
Q1 - 3:02MIAReed Dunk (4 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)17
69.6%
26
30.4%
Q1 - 3:24GSWClark 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Durant 2 AST)17
71.2%
24
28.8%
Q1 - 3:39MIAReed Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)15
69.5%
24
30.5%
Q1 - 3:41MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
71.2%
22
28.8%
Q1 - 3:42GSWMISS Curry 17' Jump Shot15
71.8%
22
28.2%
Q1 - 3:53MIAWaiters 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)15
73.2%
22
26.8%
Q1 - 4:06MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
75.1%
20
24.9%
Q1 - 4:07GSWMISS Clark 2' Layup15
75.7%
20
24.3%
Q1 - 4:10GSWWarriors Rebound15
77.0%
20
23.0%
Q1 - 4:11GSWReed BLOCK (1 BLK)15
75.7%
20
24.3%
Q1 - 4:36MIAWaiters 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS)15
77.0%
20
23.0%
Q1 - 4:48MIAEllington Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)15
78.2%
18
21.8%
Q1 - 5:01GSWMcGee 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Green 2 AST)15
80.4%
17
19.6%
Q1 - 5:09GSWMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
79.1%
17
20.9%
Q1 - 5:10MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
78.7%
17
21.3%
Q1 - 5:33GSWCurry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
77.5%
17
22.5%
Q1 - 5:45MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)10
74.6%
17
25.4%
Q1 - 5:57MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
77.5%
14
22.5%
Q1 - 5:58GSWMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 210
77.7%
14
22.3%
Q1 - 5:58GSWPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
78.6%
14
21.4%
Q1 - 6:13MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)9
78.1%
14
21.9%
Q1 - 6:18MIAHEAT Rebound9
80.6%
11
19.4%
Q1 - 6:19MIAMISS McGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
81.5%
11
18.5%
Q1 - 6:41GSWDurant 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Green 1 AST)9
80.6%
11
19.4%
Q1 - 6:52MIADragic Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)7
79.4%
11
20.6%
Q1 - 7:11MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
78.5%
11
21.5%
Q1 - 7:12GSWMISS Pachulia 16' Jump Shot7
79.0%
11
21.0%
Q1 - 7:22GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
80.0%
11
20.0%
Q1 - 7:23MIAMISS Whiteside 9' Hook Shot7
79.5%
11
20.5%
Q1 - 7:30MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
78.5%
11
21.5%
Q1 - 7:31GSWMISS Curry 1' Cutting Layup Shot7
78.9%
11
21.1%
Q1 - 7:41GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
80.0%
11
20.0%
Q1 - 7:42MIAMISS Whiteside 20' Jump Shot7
79.5%
11
20.5%
Q1 - 7:50MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
78.5%
11
21.5%
Q1 - 7:51GSWMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
78.9%
11
21.1%
Q1 - 8:06GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
80.6%
11
19.4%
Q1 - 8:07MIAMISS Dragic 12' Fadeaway Jumper7
80.2%
11
19.8%
Q1 - 8:27GSWDurant 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)7
79.2%
11
20.8%
Q1 - 8:36GSWWarriors Rebound5
78.0%
11
22.0%
Q1 - 8:37GSWMISS Pachulia 1' Reverse Layup5
77.0%
11
23.0%
Q1 - 8:38GSWPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
78.0%
11
22.0%
Q1 - 8:39GSWMISS Durant 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot5
77.0%
11
23.0%
Q1 - 8:50MIADragic Free Throw 3 of 3 (6 PTS)5
78.0%
11
22.0%
Q1 - 8:50MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 35
78.3%
10
21.7%
Q1 - 8:50MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 3 (5 PTS)5
77.3%
10
22.7%
Q1 - 9:02GSWThompson 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Durant 1 AST)5
79.3%
9
20.7%
Q1 - 9:20MIABabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)3
78.3%
9
21.7%
Q1 - 9:30MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
80.5%
6
19.5%
Q1 - 9:31GSWMISS Curry 2' Driving Layup3
80.9%
6
19.1%
Q1 - 9:46MIADragic 16' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)3
81.9%
6
18.1%
Q1 - 9:54MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
82.7%
4
17.3%
Q1 - 9:55GSWMISS Curry 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
83.1%
4
16.9%
Q1 - 10:03GSWPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
83.9%
4
16.1%
Q1 - 10:04MIAMISS Waiters 9' Running Jump Shot3
83.6%
4
16.4%
Q1 - 10:23GSWCurry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
82.8%
4
17.2%
Q1 - 10:34MIADragic 10' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
80.7%
4
19.3%
Q1 - 10:45MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
81.7%
2
18.3%
Q1 - 10:46GSWMISS Thompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
82.0%
2
18.0%
Q1 - 11:02MIAWhiteside 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Babbitt 1 AST)0
82.9%
2
17.1%
Q1 - 11:17MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
84.0%
0
16.0%
Q1 - 11:18GSWMISS Thompson 16' Jump Shot0
84.2%
0
15.8%
Q1 - 11:35GSWPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
84.8%
0
15.2%
Q1 - 11:36MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Hook Shot0
84.6%
0
15.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Pachulia: Tip to McGruder0
83.9%
0
16.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.03 51.5%
MIA
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
19
29
66%
MIA
15
24
63%
Midrange
GSW
14
29
48%
MIA
10
32
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
8
12.0
30
27%
40%
MIA
13
19.5
30
43%
65%
Free Throws
GSW
12
20
60%
MIA
16
27
59%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Durant2756%13.5 / 24
K. Thompson2255%11.0 / 20
S. Curry2150%10.5 / 21
J. McGee1083%5.0 / 6
D. Green735%3.5 / 10
Z. Pachulia638%3.0 / 8
S. Livingston450%2.0 / 4
P. McCaw375%1.5 / 2
I. Clark250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Waiters3383%16.5 / 20
G. Dragic1948%9.5 / 20
L. Babbitt1192%5.5 / 6
H. Whiteside1036%5.0 / 14
W. Ellington938%4.5 / 12
J. Johnson956%4.5 / 8
W. Reed660%3.0 / 5
O. White583%2.5 / 3
R. McGruder321%1.5 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
83
+15
-14
98
MIA
84
+14
-13
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.03 51.5%
MIA
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.5
108.1
GSW 105.2
MIA 108.2 +3.1
Pace
99.9
95.0
GSW 105.5 +15.7
MIA 89.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.1
15.7
GSW 13.6 +2.4
MIA 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.3%
51.2%
GSW 51.1%
MIA 51.7% +0.6%
TO %
14.4%
13.2%
GSW 12.6% +0.7%
MIA 13.3%
ORB %
22.8%
24.2%
GSW 17.1%
MIA 23.4% +6.3%
FTrt
25.9
25.1
GSW 22.7
MIA 31.4 +8.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
70.5%
54.4%
GSW 65.9% +13.3%
MIA 52.6%
STL %
9.6%
7.5%
GSW 9.3%
MIA 9.3%
BLK %
11.0%
9.3%
GSW 7.1% +0.2%
MIA 6.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.4%
52.8%
GSW 51.5%
MIA 53.0% +1.5%
Rim FG%
65.2%
59.2%
GSW 65.5% +3.0%
MIA 62.5%
Mid FG%
44.7%
39.4%
GSW 48.3% +17.0%
MIA 31.3%
3P %
38.3%
36.5%
GSW 26.7%
MIA 43.3% +16.6%
FT %
78.8%
70.6%
GSW 60.0% +0.7%
MIA 59.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.5%
35.4%
GSW 33.0% +5.0%
MIA 27.9%
Mid Att. %
29.6%
33.1%
GSW 33.0% +4.3%
MIA 37.2%
3P Att. %
35.9%
31.4%
GSW 34.1%
MIA 34.9% +0.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.01 and 3.01.
Game TotalsGSWMIA
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points102105
Rebounds4345
Assists2720
Steals99
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)13 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (8)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)34 (2)
Field Goals41-8838-86
At-the-Rim FG19-2915-24
Midrange FG14-2910-32
2-Point FG33-5825-56
3-Point FG8-3013-30
Free Throws12-2016-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 230 · 27
38.5
7
35%
3
7
1
1
2
3
1
2
1-4
25%
3-5
60%
0-3
0%
G · 6'5" 220 · 27
37.1
22
55%
5
1
2
1
2
4
0
5
3-4
75%
5-10
50%
3-8
38%
G · 6'2" 185 · 29
36.5
21
50%
9
8
0
1
4
2
0
9
4-5
80%
4-10
40%
3-9
33%
F · 6'11" 240 · 28
36.4
27
56%
6
3
1
0
2
2
0
6
2-2
100%
11-15
73%
1-8
13%
C · 6'11" 270 · 33
27.0
6
38%
10
2
2
0
1
3
4
6
2-4
50%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 192 · 31
20.8
4
50%
5
5
1
1
3
4
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 185 · 21
17.7
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
C · 7'0" 270 · 29
14.2
10
83%
5
1
1
0
0
2
1
4
0-1
0%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 175 · 26
11.8
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 222 · 21
· 6'9" 230 · 24
C · 7'0" 245 · 22
F · 6'11" 260 · 34
#9 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · F · 6'9" 250 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
52%
43
27
9
4
14
0
7
36
12-20
60%
33-58
57%
8-30
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.