FinalWin Prob.pScore
1445%103
97
2155%104
109
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
105.49299.3
MIA logo MIA
118.59286.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA97
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MILParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)97
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0MILParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)94
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0MILMISS Antetokounmpo 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAHEAT Rebound94
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Dragic 14' Jump Shot94
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0MILMISS Brogdon 2' Reverse Layup94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16MILMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27MIADragic 28' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)94
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 1:51MILParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)94
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 1:51MILMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 293
0.8%
103
99.2%
Q4 - 1:51MIAWaiters Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)93
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 2:11MILAntetokounmpo 3' Jump Bank Shot (24 PTS) (Dellavedova 7 AST)93
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 2:17MILMaker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)91
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 2:18MILMISS Antetokounmpo 8' Hook Shot91
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 2:33MIAWaiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS)91
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 2:59MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
1.4%
100
98.6%
Q4 - 3:00MILMISS Brogdon 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
1.6%
100
98.4%
Q4 - 3:10MILParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)91
2.4%
100
97.6%
Q4 - 3:11MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Driving Hook Shot91
2.0%
100
98.0%
Q4 - 3:30MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)91
1.3%
100
98.7%
Q4 - 3:31MILMISS Antetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 291
2.8%
100
97.2%
Q4 - 3:31MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)91
3.5%
100
96.5%
Q4 - 3:47MIAWhiteside 4' Jump Shot (16 PTS)90
2.5%
100
97.5%
Q4 - 4:07MILDellavedova Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)90
3.4%
98
96.6%
Q4 - 4:07MILDellavedova Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)89
3.2%
98
96.8%
Q4 - 4:08MIADragic Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)88
2.4%
98
97.6%
Q4 - 4:22MILParker 5' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)88
1.6%
98
98.4%
Q4 - 4:32MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)86
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Waiters 19' Step Back Jump Shot86
1.0%
98
99.0%
Q4 - 4:45MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)86
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 4:46MILMISS Antetokounmpo 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 5:05MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)86
1.9%
98
98.1%
Q4 - 5:15MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)86
3.4%
95
96.6%
Q4 - 5:16MILMISS Maker 2' Driving Layup86
3.8%
95
96.2%
Q4 - 5:26MILDellavedova Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)86
4.8%
95
95.2%
Q4 - 5:26MIAWhiteside 5' Hook Shot (14 PTS)85
3.5%
95
96.5%
Q4 - 5:48MILBrogdon 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Dellavedova 6 AST)85
4.7%
93
95.3%
Q4 - 5:57MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)83
3.4%
93
96.6%
Q4 - 5:57MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 283
3.8%
92
96.2%
Q4 - 6:01MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
4.6%
92
95.4%
Q4 - 6:02MILMISS Maker 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
5.0%
92
95.0%
Q4 - 6:13MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)83
6.3%
92
93.7%
Q4 - 6:14MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
5.7%
92
94.3%
Q4 - 6:35MIAHEAT Rebound83
4.5%
92
95.5%
Q4 - 6:35MILMISS Maker Free Throw 2 of 283
4.7%
92
95.3%
Q4 - 6:35MILMaker Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)83
5.5%
92
94.5%
Q4 - 6:41MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)82
4.7%
92
95.3%
Q4 - 6:42MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
4.2%
92
95.8%
Q4 - 7:06MILMaker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dellavedova 5 AST)82
4.5%
92
95.5%
Q4 - 7:22MIADragic 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS)79
2.7%
92
97.3%
Q4 - 7:48MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
3.3%
90
96.7%
Q4 - 7:49MILMISS Antetokounmpo 4' Jump Shot79
3.7%
90
96.3%
Q4 - 7:55MILParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
4.5%
90
95.5%
Q4 - 7:55MIAMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot79
4.1%
90
95.9%
Q4 - 8:15MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)79
4.3%
90
95.7%
Q4 - 8:15MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)78
4.0%
90
96.0%
Q4 - 8:16MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)77
3.3%
90
96.7%
Q4 - 8:17MILMISS Antetokounmpo Tip Layup Shot77
2.8%
90
97.2%
Q4 - 8:18MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)77
3.3%
90
96.7%
Q4 - 8:19MILMISS Dellavedova 9' Jump Shot77
2.8%
90
97.2%
Q4 - 8:27MIAJohnson Tip Dunk Shot (7 PTS)77
3.3%
90
96.7%
Q4 - 8:28MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
4.2%
88
95.8%
Q4 - 8:29MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
5.0%
88
95.0%
Q4 - 8:38MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
4.2%
88
95.8%
Q4 - 8:39MILMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot77
4.5%
88
95.5%
Q4 - 8:59MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
5.3%
88
94.7%
Q4 - 9:00MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 277
5.2%
88
94.8%
Q4 - 9:00MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)77
4.4%
88
95.6%
Q4 - 9:23MILParker Driving Dunk (10 PTS)77
6.2%
87
93.8%
Q4 - 9:29MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)75
5.0%
87
95.0%
Q4 - 9:30MIAMISS Johnson 1' Driving Layup75
4.6%
87
95.4%
Q4 - 9:48MILMonroe 2' Tip Layup Shot (9 PTS)75
3.9%
87
96.1%
Q4 - 9:49MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)73
3.1%
87
96.9%
Q4 - 9:50MILMISS Brogdon 2' Finger Roll Layup73
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q4 - 10:05MIADragic 9' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)73
3.7%
87
96.3%
Q4 - 10:23MILDragic STEAL (1 STL)73
4.6%
85
95.4%
Q4 - 10:36MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)73
5.7%
85
94.3%
Q4 - 11:05MILBeasley 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (5 PTS)73
9.5%
82
90.5%
Q4 - 11:27MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)71
7.8%
82
92.2%
Q4 - 11:42MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
6.3%
82
93.7%
Q4 - 11:43MILMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot71
6.7%
82
93.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL71
7.8%
82
92.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound71
7.8%
82
92.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Parker 32' 3PT Jump Shot71
6.7%
82
93.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAWaiters 2' Driving Layup (27 PTS)71
8.9%
82
91.1%
Q3 - 0:10.0MILEllington STEAL (1 STL)71
10.7%
80
89.3%
Q3 - 0:15.0MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
12.7%
80
87.3%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Waiters 20' Pullup Jump Shot71
12.1%
80
87.9%
Q3 - 0:37.0MILBrogdon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)71
10.6%
80
89.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0MILBrogdon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)70
10.4%
80
89.6%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAWaiters 9' Turnaround Bank Shot (25 PTS)69
8.8%
80
91.2%
Q3 - 0:56.0MILMonroe 1' Tip Layup Shot (7 PTS)69
10.6%
78
89.4%
Q3 - 0:57.0MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
8.7%
78
91.3%
Q3 - 0:58.0MILMISS Parker 1' Driving Layup67
7.7%
78
92.3%
Q3 - 1:06MILParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
9.8%
78
90.2%
Q3 - 1:07MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
9.3%
78
90.7%
Q3 - 1:27MILJohnson STEAL (1 STL)67
8.2%
78
91.8%
Q3 - 1:31MILParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
9.8%
78
90.2%
Q3 - 1:32MILMISS Monroe Free Throw 2 of 267
8.4%
78
91.6%
Q3 - 1:32MILMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)67
9.3%
78
90.7%
Q3 - 1:32MILBucks Rebound66
8.2%
78
91.8%
Q3 - 1:33MILMISS Dellavedova 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
7.2%
78
92.8%
Q3 - 1:47MILParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
8.2%
78
91.8%
Q3 - 1:48MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
7.7%
78
92.3%
Q3 - 2:03MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
7.5%
78
92.5%
Q3 - 2:04MILMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
7.9%
78
92.1%
Q3 - 2:19MILBrogdon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
8.9%
78
91.1%
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS Johnson 2' Alley Oop Layup66
8.4%
78
91.6%
Q3 - 2:26MILWaiters STEAL (1 STL)66
7.4%
78
92.6%
Q3 - 2:43MIAReed 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)66
8.9%
78
91.1%
Q3 - 2:44MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
10.4%
76
89.6%
Q3 - 2:45MIAMISS McGruder 2' Driving Layup66
11.8%
76
88.2%
Q3 - 2:52MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
10.4%
76
89.6%
Q3 - 2:57MILMISS Monroe 9' Hook Shot66
11.0%
76
89.0%
Q3 - 2:58MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
12.4%
76
87.6%
Q3 - 2:59MILReed BLOCK (1 BLK)66
11.0%
76
89.0%
Q3 - 3:15MIAWaiters 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)66
13.3%
76
86.7%
Q3 - 3:23MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
15.3%
74
84.7%
Q3 - 3:24MILMISS Antetokounmpo 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
16.0%
74
84.0%
Q3 - 3:31MIAReed Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)66
17.9%
74
82.1%
Q3 - 3:49MILAntetokounmpo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Dellavedova 4 AST)66
15.2%
74
84.8%
Q3 - 4:09MIAMcGruder Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)63
12.0%
74
88.0%
Q3 - 4:09MIAMISS McGruder Free Throw 1 of 263
12.5%
73
87.5%
Q3 - 4:20MILHenson 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)63
11.7%
73
88.3%
Q3 - 4:40MIAWaiters Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T7)61
10.3%
73
89.7%
Q3 - 4:50MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)61
8.6%
73
91.4%
Q3 - 4:51MILMISS Brogdon 10' Floating Jump Shot61
9.1%
73
90.9%
Q3 - 5:06MIAMcGruder Driving Dunk (5 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)61
10.9%
73
89.1%
Q3 - 5:25MILSnell Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)61
12.4%
71
87.6%
Q3 - 5:25MILSnell Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)60
12.2%
71
87.8%
Q3 - 5:34MILHenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)59
10.9%
71
89.1%
Q3 - 5:35MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup59
10.4%
71
89.6%
Q3 - 6:01MILParker Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 3 AST)59
9.9%
71
90.1%
Q3 - 6:12MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)57
8.7%
71
91.3%
Q3 - 6:25MILHenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)57
11.4%
68
88.6%
Q3 - 6:25MILMISS Henson Free Throw 1 of 256
10.9%
68
89.1%
Q3 - 6:35MIADragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (McGruder 2 AST)56
11.5%
68
88.5%
Q3 - 6:50MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)56
15.0%
65
85.0%
Q3 - 6:51MILMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot56
15.7%
65
84.3%
Q3 - 7:08MIAMcGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)56
17.9%
65
82.1%
Q3 - 7:19MIAHEAT Rebound56
22.5%
62
77.5%
Q3 - 7:20MIAMISS Dragic 3' Driving Layup56
24.7%
62
75.3%
Q3 - 7:32MILAntetokounmpo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)56
22.5%
62
77.5%
Q3 - 7:55MILParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
17.9%
62
82.1%
Q3 - 7:56MIAMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
17.1%
62
82.9%
Q3 - 8:14MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)53
16.0%
62
84.0%
Q3 - 8:14MILMISS Antetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 252
15.6%
62
84.4%
Q3 - 8:22MIAWaiters Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)52
16.3%
62
83.7%
Q3 - 8:30MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)52
14.0%
62
86.0%
Q3 - 8:32MILMISS Henson 7' Hook Shot52
14.7%
62
85.3%
Q3 - 8:47MIABabbitt 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)52
16.3%
62
83.7%
Q3 - 9:00MILHenson 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Dellavedova 3 AST)52
18.0%
60
82.0%
Q3 - 9:12MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)50
16.7%
60
83.3%
Q3 - 9:12MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 250
17.2%
59
82.8%
Q3 - 9:17MILBabbitt STEAL (2 STL)50
16.6%
59
83.4%
Q3 - 9:35MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T5)50
18.8%
59
81.2%
Q3 - 9:51MILSnell 10' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (5 PTS)50
16.6%
59
83.4%
Q3 - 10:20MIABabbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)48
15.4%
59
84.6%
Q3 - 10:37MILAntetokounmpo 10' Hook Shot (12 PTS)48
19.2%
56
80.8%
Q3 - 10:57MIADragic 10' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)46
17.2%
56
82.8%
Q3 - 11:18MILSnell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 2 AST)46
19.7%
54
80.3%
Q3 - 11:47MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)43
15.8%
54
84.2%
Q3 - 11:47MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 243
16.4%
53
83.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA43
15.7%
53
84.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILAntetokounmpo 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)43
15.7%
53
84.3%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAWaiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)41
14.6%
53
85.4%
Q2 - 0:27.0MILHenson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)41
18.8%
50
81.2%
Q2 - 0:35.0MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
20.2%
50
79.8%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
19.7%
50
80.3%
Q2 - 0:51.0MILHenson Tip Dunk Shot (6 PTS)41
18.7%
50
81.3%
Q2 - 0:52.0MILHenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)39
16.2%
50
83.8%
Q2 - 0:53.0MILMISS Parker 7' Hook Shot39
15.4%
50
84.6%
Q2 - 1:01MIAWaiters 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)39
16.7%
50
83.3%
Q2 - 1:12MILHenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
19.5%
48
80.5%
Q2 - 1:12MILHenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
18.9%
48
81.1%
Q2 - 1:30MIAWaiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)37
16.7%
48
83.3%
Q2 - 1:57MILDellavedova 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)37
21.6%
45
78.4%
Q2 - 2:21MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)34
17.6%
45
82.4%
Q2 - 2:41MILBabbitt STEAL (1 STL)34
19.6%
43
80.4%
Q2 - 3:08MIAWaiters 1' Running Layup (12 PTS)34
22.5%
43
77.5%
Q2 - 3:13MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)34
24.3%
41
75.7%
Q2 - 3:14MILMISS Antetokounmpo 2' Layup34
25.0%
41
75.0%
Q2 - 3:16MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
26.9%
41
73.1%
Q2 - 3:17MILMISS Antetokounmpo 9' Jump Shot34
25.0%
41
75.0%
Q2 - 3:30MILSnell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
26.8%
41
73.2%
Q2 - 3:31MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
26.0%
41
74.0%
Q2 - 3:45MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)34
24.2%
41
75.8%
Q2 - 3:46MILWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)34
25.0%
41
75.0%
Q2 - 3:51MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)34
26.8%
41
73.2%
Q2 - 3:52MILMISS Parker 15' Step Back Jump Shot34
25.0%
41
75.0%
Q2 - 4:07MILBucks Rebound34
27.1%
41
72.9%
Q2 - 4:08MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup34
26.5%
41
73.5%
Q2 - 4:13MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)34
25.0%
41
75.0%
Q2 - 4:14MILMISS Antetokounmpo 12' Jump Bank Shot34
25.6%
41
74.4%
Q2 - 4:43MIAWhiteside Putback Dunk (8 PTS)34
27.1%
41
72.9%
Q2 - 4:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
29.4%
39
70.6%
Q2 - 4:45MIAMISS Waiters 3' Driving Layup34
31.1%
39
68.9%
Q2 - 5:03MILDellavedova 7' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)34
29.7%
39
70.3%
Q2 - 5:20MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)32
27.5%
39
72.5%
Q2 - 5:38MILParker 8' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Dellavedova 2 AST)32
29.7%
37
70.3%
Q2 - 5:44MILDellavedova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
27.5%
37
72.5%
Q2 - 5:45MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
26.8%
37
73.2%
Q2 - 6:18MILHenson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T4)30
25.5%
37
74.5%
Q2 - 6:19MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)30
28.2%
37
71.8%
Q2 - 6:20MIAMISS White 1' Cutting Layup Shot30
27.3%
37
72.7%
Q2 - 6:30MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
25.5%
37
74.5%
Q2 - 6:31MILMISS Parker 12' Step Back Jump Shot30
26.3%
37
73.7%
Q2 - 6:49MIAEllington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)30
28.1%
37
71.9%
Q2 - 7:08MILDellavedova 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)30
32.9%
34
67.1%
Q2 - 7:29MIADragic 2' Pullup Bank Shot (12 PTS)28
30.8%
34
69.2%
Q2 - 7:36MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
32.8%
32
67.2%
Q2 - 7:37MILMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot28
33.6%
32
66.4%
Q2 - 7:52MIADragic 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)28
35.4%
32
64.6%
Q2 - 8:04MILParker 20' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brogdon 2 AST)28
39.9%
29
60.1%
Q2 - 8:19MIADragic 6' Pullup Bank Shot (7 PTS)26
37.7%
29
62.3%
Q2 - 8:25MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
40.0%
27
60.0%
Q2 - 8:26MILMISS Brogdon 2' Finger Roll Layup26
40.8%
27
59.2%
Q2 - 8:41MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)26
42.7%
27
57.3%
Q2 - 8:42MIAMISS Reed 8' Hook Shot26
41.8%
27
58.2%
Q2 - 8:56MILParker 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
40.0%
27
60.0%
Q2 - 9:07MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T4)24
37.8%
27
62.2%
Q2 - 9:14MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
35.2%
27
64.8%
Q2 - 9:15MILMISS Brogdon 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
36.0%
27
64.0%
Q2 - 9:28MIAEllington 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)24
37.8%
27
62.2%
Q2 - 9:47MILMonroe 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Brogdon 1 AST)24
39.9%
25
60.1%
Q2 - 10:01MIAWhite Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)22
37.9%
25
62.1%
Q2 - 10:08MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
35.3%
25
64.7%
Q2 - 10:09MILMISS Monroe 5' Hook Shot22
36.1%
25
63.9%
Q2 - 10:30MILBrogdon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
37.9%
25
62.1%
Q2 - 10:31MIAMISS White 16' Jump Shot22
37.1%
25
62.9%
Q2 - 10:50MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
35.3%
25
64.7%
Q2 - 10:52MILMISS Brogdon 8' Floating Jump Shot22
36.1%
25
63.9%
Q2 - 11:03MIADragic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)22
37.7%
25
62.3%
Q2 - 11:11MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
35.4%
25
64.6%
Q2 - 11:12MILMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
36.1%
25
63.9%
Q2 - 11:36MILSnell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
37.7%
25
62.3%
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS Ellington 27' 3PT Jump Shot22
37.0%
25
63.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
35.4%
25
64.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound22
35.4%
25
64.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Johnson 45' 3PT Jump Shot22
37.0%
25
63.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
35.7%
25
64.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILMISS Antetokounmpo 20' Jump Shot22
36.2%
25
63.8%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAJohnson 13' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
37.3%
25
62.7%
Q1 - 0:39.0MILAntetokounmpo 9' Turnaround Bank Shot (8 PTS)22
40.1%
23
59.9%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIADragic Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)20
37.3%
23
62.7%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)20
37.7%
22
62.3%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)20
38.3%
21
61.7%
Q1 - 1:03MILMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
42.4%
20
57.6%
Q1 - 1:03MILMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
41.9%
20
58.1%
Q1 - 1:22MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
39.6%
20
60.4%
Q1 - 1:22MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
40.1%
19
59.9%
Q1 - 1:28MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
42.4%
18
57.6%
Q1 - 1:29MILMISS Monroe 6' Hook Shot18
43.0%
18
57.0%
Q1 - 1:40MILBeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
44.2%
18
55.8%
Q1 - 1:41MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
43.6%
18
56.4%
Q1 - 2:06MILBeasley 8' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dellavedova 1 AST)18
42.5%
18
57.5%
Q1 - 2:34MIAEllington 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)16
40.0%
18
60.0%
Q1 - 2:40MILWhite STEAL (1 STL)16
42.5%
16
57.5%
Q1 - 2:52MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)16
44.5%
16
55.5%
Q1 - 2:52MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 216
45.1%
15
54.9%
Q1 - 3:01MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
44.3%
15
55.7%
Q1 - 3:01MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
43.9%
15
56.1%
Q1 - 3:09MILBeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
42.4%
15
57.6%
Q1 - 3:10MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
41.6%
15
58.4%
Q1 - 3:34MILAntetokounmpo Driving Dunk (4 PTS)14
40.0%
15
60.0%
Q1 - 3:53MIAEllington 20' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
38.1%
15
61.9%
Q1 - 4:07MILBeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
39.8%
13
60.2%
Q1 - 4:07MILMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 211
39.4%
13
60.6%
Q1 - 4:30MIAWhiteside 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)11
40.2%
13
59.8%
Q1 - 4:39MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
41.9%
11
58.1%
Q1 - 4:40MILMISS Brogdon 17' Pullup Jump Shot11
42.7%
11
57.3%
Q1 - 4:59MIAWaiters 1' Running Layup (9 PTS)11
44.5%
11
55.5%
Q1 - 5:05MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
46.0%
9
54.0%
Q1 - 5:06MILMISS Vaughn 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
46.7%
9
53.3%
Q1 - 5:12MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
48.3%
9
51.7%
Q1 - 5:13MIAMISS McGruder 1' Running Layup11
47.6%
9
52.4%
Q1 - 5:19MILWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)11
46.1%
9
53.9%
Q1 - 5:31MIAWaiters 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)11
48.3%
9
51.7%
Q1 - 5:52MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
52.4%
6
47.6%
Q1 - 5:53MILMISS Beasley 14' Turnaround Jump Shot11
53.1%
6
46.9%
Q1 - 6:14MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
53.9%
6
46.1%
Q1 - 6:15MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 2 of 211
53.6%
6
46.4%
Q1 - 6:15MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)11
52.4%
6
47.6%
Q1 - 6:27MILAntetokounmpo Foul Turnover (P1.T1)11
53.8%
5
46.2%
Q1 - 6:44MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
55.9%
5
44.1%
Q1 - 6:45MIAMISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
55.2%
5
44.8%
Q1 - 6:55MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
53.8%
5
46.2%
Q1 - 6:56MILWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)11
54.4%
5
45.6%
Q1 - 7:18MIAWhiteside 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)11
55.3%
5
44.7%
Q1 - 7:43MILAntetokounmpo 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)11
53.1%
5
46.9%
Q1 - 7:44MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
51.5%
5
48.5%
Q1 - 7:45MILMISS Antetokounmpo 4' Driving Layup9
49.9%
5
50.1%
Q1 - 7:54MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
51.5%
5
48.5%
Q1 - 7:55MIAMISS Waiters 15' Jump Shot9
50.8%
5
49.2%
Q1 - 7:58MIAHEAT Rebound9
49.3%
5
50.7%
Q1 - 7:59MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup9
50.8%
5
49.2%
Q1 - 8:06MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
49.4%
5
50.6%
Q1 - 8:07MILMISS Dellavedova 2' Driving Reverse Layup9
50.1%
5
49.9%
Q1 - 8:30MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
51.5%
5
48.5%
Q1 - 8:31MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 2 of 29
51.2%
5
48.8%
Q1 - 8:31MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
50.1%
5
49.9%
Q1 - 8:58MILDellavedova 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 1 AST)9
51.3%
4
48.7%
Q1 - 9:09MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
47.7%
4
52.3%
Q1 - 9:10MIAMISS McGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
47.0%
4
53.0%
Q1 - 9:21MILMaker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
45.4%
4
54.6%
Q1 - 9:21MILMaker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
44.9%
4
55.1%
Q1 - 9:32MIAWhiteside Dunk (2 PTS)4
44.0%
4
56.0%
Q1 - 9:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
45.4%
2
54.6%
Q1 - 9:34MIAMISS Babbitt 9' Fadeaway Jumper4
47.0%
2
53.0%
Q1 - 10:00MILDellavedova 10' Driving Bank Shot (2 PTS)4
45.4%
2
54.6%
Q1 - 10:22MIAWaiters 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
43.7%
2
56.3%
Q1 - 10:44MILHenson 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Snell 1 AST)2
45.3%
0
54.7%
Q1 - 11:00MILDellavedova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
43.7%
0
56.3%
Q1 - 11:01MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
43.0%
0
57.0%
Q1 - 11:11MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
41.8%
0
58.2%
Q1 - 11:12MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
43.0%
0
57.0%
Q1 - 11:35MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.8%
0
58.2%
Q1 - 11:36MILMISS Antetokounmpo 20' Jump Shot0
42.3%
0
57.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Maker: Tip to Antetokounmpo0
43.5%
0
56.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.02 51.1%
MIA
1.20 59.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
14
28
50%
MIA
18
29
62%
Midrange
MIL
13
33
39%
MIA
10
18
56%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
MIA
13
19.5
30
43%
65%
Free Throws
MIL
25
32
78%
MIA
14
22
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo2450%12.0 / 24
J. Parker1642%8.0 / 19
M. Dellavedova1583%7.5 / 9
J. Henson1169%5.5 / 8
G. Monroe950%4.5 / 9
T. Snell7117%3.5 / 3
T. Maker660%3.0 / 5
M. Beasley550%2.5 / 5
M. Brogdon418%2.0 / 11
R. Vaughn0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Waiters3375%16.5 / 22
G. Dragic2578%12.5 / 16
H. Whiteside1680%8.0 / 10
W. Ellington1563%7.5 / 12
J. Johnson729%3.5 / 12
R. McGruder643%3.0 / 7
L. Babbitt563%2.5 / 4
W. Reed250%1.0 / 2
O. White0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
81
+14
-11
95
MIA
81
+9
-11
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.02 51.1%
MIA
1.20 59.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.5
108.1
MIL 105.4
MIA 118.5 +13.0
Pace
94.2
95.0
MIL 99.3 +12.8
MIA 86.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
15.7
MIL 14.5 +2.1
MIA 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
51.2%
MIL 45.6%
MIA 61.7% +16.1%
TO %
14.1%
13.2%
MIL 10.6% +1.6%
MIA 12.2%
ORB %
21.6%
24.2%
MIL 26.1% +11.4%
MIA 14.7%
FTrt
27.4
25.1
MIL 40.5 +11.9
MIA 28.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
54.4%
MIL 51.5% +7.6%
MIA 43.9%
STL %
8.6%
7.5%
MIL 6.5%
MIA 8.7% +2.2%
BLK %
9.7%
9.3%
MIL 4.3%
MIA 4.9% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.0%
52.8%
MIL 51.1%
MIA 59.9% +8.8%
Rim FG%
60.2%
59.2%
MIL 50.0%
MIA 62.1% +12.1%
Mid FG%
38.5%
39.4%
MIL 39.4%
MIA 55.6% +16.2%
3P %
37.0%
36.5%
MIL 33.3%
MIA 43.3% +10.0%
FT %
76.8%
70.6%
MIL 78.1% +14.5%
MIA 63.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.8%
35.4%
MIL 35.4%
MIA 37.7% +2.2%
Mid Att. %
28.2%
33.1%
MIL 41.8%
MIA 23.4% +18.4%
3P Att. %
29.0%
31.4%
MIL 22.8%
MIA 39.0% +16.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes22.225.5
Points97109
Rebounds4139
Assists1718
Steals68
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)5 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)34 (1)
Field Goals33-7941-77
At-the-Rim FG14-2818-29
Midrange FG13-3310-18
2-Point FG27-6128-47
3-Point FG6-1813-30
Free Throws25-3214-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 243 · 22
37.9
24
50%
10
3
2
0
2
2
4
6
6-8
75%
6-15
40%
2-5
40%
G · 6'4" 198 · 26
35.8
15
83%
2
7
0
0
1
2
0
2
3-3
100%
3-5
60%
2-3
67%
G · 6'7" 221 · 25
25.1
7
117%
2
1
0
0
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 229 · 26
22.3
11
69%
9
0
0
1
2
3
2
7
3-4
75%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 7'1" 223 · 20
18.1
6
60%
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 250 · 22
32.1
16
42%
7
4
1
1
2
1
2
5
2-3
67%
7-14
50%
0-4
0%
G · 6'5" 215 · 24
30.3
4
18%
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-8
13%
0-2
0%
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 27
17.2
9
50%
6
0
0
0
2
1
3
3
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 202 · 20
10.8
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 28
10.3
5
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 39
F · 6'9" 242 · 31
C · 6'11" 249 · 28
#22 · F · 6'7" 222 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · F · 6'10" 225 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
51%
41
17
6
2
11
0
12
29
25-32
78%
27-61
44%
6-18
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.