FinalWin Prob.pScore
1023%103
104
277%113
118
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
107.29797.4
SAS logo SAS
120.49898.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS104
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0SASBertans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)104
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0DENMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot104
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0SASDedmon Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)104
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)104
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0DENMISS Hernangomez Free Throw 2 of 2104
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0DENHernangomez Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)104
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)103
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0SASSPURS Rebound103
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0SASMISS Simmons 15' Pullup Jump Shot103
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05SASLee REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)103
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06DENMISS Jokic 3' Tip Layup Shot103
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09DENJokic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)103
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11DENMISS Mudiay 3' Jump Shot103
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16DENNuggets Rebound103
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17DENMISS Murray 18' Pullup Jump Shot103
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)103
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25SASMISS Lee 4' Jump Shot103
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27SASSPURS Rebound103
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28SASMISS Simmons 3' Layup103
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)103
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49DENMISS Mudiay 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12SASLeonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot (34 PTS) (Aldridge 6 AST)103
0.2%
115
99.8%
Q4 - 2:38DENMudiay 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Barton 7 AST)103
0.5%
112
99.5%
Q4 - 2:48DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)100
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 2:49SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot100
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 3:06DENBarton 4' Driving Layup (18 PTS)100
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 3:15SASLeonard 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (31 PTS)98
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34SASLee REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)98
0.4%
110
99.6%
Q4 - 3:35DENMISS Mudiay 18' Jump Shot98
0.5%
110
99.5%
Q4 - 3:47SASLeonard 10' Pullup Jump Shot (29 PTS)98
0.6%
110
99.4%
Q4 - 4:04DENJokic 13' Jump Shot (35 PTS)98
0.8%
108
99.2%
Q4 - 4:22SASMurray 9' Floating Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Leonard 4 AST)96
0.6%
108
99.4%
Q4 - 4:36SASLee REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)96
0.8%
106
99.2%
Q4 - 4:39SASMISS Leonard 19' Pullup Jump Shot96
1.0%
106
99.0%
Q4 - 4:56SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
0.8%
106
99.2%
Q4 - 4:57DENMISS Murray 4' Cutting Layup Shot96
0.9%
106
99.1%
Q4 - 5:21SASLeonard 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (27 PTS)96
1.7%
106
98.3%
Q4 - 5:40DENJokic 5' Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Barton 6 AST)96
2.2%
104
97.8%
Q4 - 5:54SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)94
1.6%
104
98.4%
Q4 - 5:54SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)94
1.7%
103
98.3%
Q4 - 6:07DENJokic 1' Alley Oop Layup (31 PTS) (Nelson 9 AST)94
2.8%
102
97.2%
Q4 - 6:20DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)92
2.1%
102
97.9%
Q4 - 6:22DENMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot92
1.7%
102
98.3%
Q4 - 6:34DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)92
2.1%
102
97.9%
Q4 - 6:37SASMISS Dedmon 1' Layup92
1.9%
102
98.1%
Q4 - 6:50DENJokic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Nelson 8 AST)92
1.5%
102
98.5%
Q4 - 7:02SASMurray 3' Driving Layup (22 PTS) (Dedmon 1 AST)89
1.2%
102
98.8%
Q4 - 7:27DENJokic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)89
1.5%
100
98.5%
Q4 - 7:37DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)86
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 7:39SASMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 7:54SASBertans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 7:55DENMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot86
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 8:01DENMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 8:04DENGreen BLOCK (2 BLK)86
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 8:11DENNuggets Rebound86
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 8:11DENMISS Miller 6' Jump Shot86
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 8:19DENNuggets Rebound86
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 8:20DENMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 8:36DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 8:37SASMISS Leonard 13' Jump Shot86
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q4 - 8:56SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 8:57DENMISS Jokic 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 9:01DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)86
1.3%
100
98.7%
Q4 - 9:03DENMISS Hernangomez 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 9:11DENMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
1.3%
100
98.7%
Q4 - 9:13SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
1.2%
100
98.8%
Q4 - 9:21DENLee STEAL (1 STL)86
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q4 - 9:25DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
1.3%
100
98.7%
Q4 - 9:27SASMISS Lee 1' Layup86
1.2%
100
98.8%
Q4 - 9:49DENJokic Cutting Dunk Shot (23 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)86
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q4 - 10:00SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)84
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 10:17DENHernangomez Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T14)84
1.5%
97
98.5%
Q4 - 10:24SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)84
2.0%
97
98.0%
Q4 - 10:48DENHernangomez 24' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)84
2.4%
95
97.6%
Q4 - 11:06DENMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 11:08SASMISS Ginobili 23' Jump Shot81
1.7%
95
98.3%
Q4 - 11:14SASLee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)81
1.5%
95
98.5%
Q4 - 11:15DENMISS Jokic 6' Jump Shot81
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 11:37SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)81
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 11:43SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
2.7%
92
97.3%
Q4 - 11:44DENMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
2.9%
92
97.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS81
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q3 - 0:08.0SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
3.1%
92
96.9%
Q3 - 0:10.0DENLee BLOCK (1 BLK)81
3.3%
92
96.7%
Q3 - 0:26.0DENMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
3.8%
92
96.2%
Q3 - 0:29.0SASMISS Simmons 3' Layup81
3.6%
92
96.4%
Q3 - 0:35.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
3.1%
92
96.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0DENMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot81
3.3%
92
96.7%
Q3 - 0:43.0SASSimmons Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)81
3.8%
92
96.2%
Q3 - 0:50.0DENMurray Driving Dunk (13 PTS)81
3.1%
92
96.9%
Q3 - 1:01SASSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)79
2.9%
92
97.1%
Q3 - 1:01SASMISS Simmons Free Throw 1 of 279
3.0%
91
97.0%
Q3 - 1:18DENNurkic Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)79
2.9%
91
97.1%
Q3 - 1:31DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
2.0%
91
98.0%
Q3 - 1:32SASMISS Simmons 3' Driving Layup76
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q3 - 1:42DENGinobili STEAL (3 STL)76
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q3 - 1:52DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q3 - 1:54SASMISS Bertans 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q3 - 2:00SASSPURS Rebound76
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q3 - 2:02SASMISS Mills 2' Layup76
2.0%
91
98.0%
Q3 - 2:16SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q3 - 2:17DENMISS Nurkic Free Throw 2 of 276
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q3 - 2:17DENMISS Nurkic Free Throw 1 of 276
2.0%
91
98.0%
Q3 - 2:26SASBertans Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)76
2.2%
91
97.8%
Q3 - 2:26SASMISS Bertans Free Throw 1 of 276
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q3 - 2:34SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
2.1%
90
97.9%
Q3 - 2:35DENMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
2.3%
90
97.7%
Q3 - 2:45SASSimmons 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)76
2.6%
90
97.4%
Q3 - 3:06SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
3.3%
88
96.7%
Q3 - 3:07DENMISS Nurkic Free Throw 2 of 276
3.4%
88
96.6%
Q3 - 3:07DENMISS Nurkic Free Throw 1 of 276
3.7%
88
96.3%
Q3 - 3:27SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)76
4.0%
88
96.0%
Q3 - 3:43SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
5.5%
85
94.5%
Q3 - 3:44DENMISS Murray 14' Floating Jump Shot76
5.8%
85
94.2%
Q3 - 3:58SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)76
6.6%
85
93.4%
Q3 - 3:58SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)76
6.7%
84
93.3%
Q3 - 4:07DENMiller 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)76
7.8%
83
92.2%
Q3 - 4:14DENMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
5.8%
83
94.2%
Q3 - 4:16SASMISS Mills 17' Pullup Jump Shot73
5.5%
83
94.5%
Q3 - 4:27DENBarton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)73
4.8%
83
95.2%
Q3 - 4:36DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
3.6%
83
96.4%
Q3 - 4:37SASMISS Ginobili 12' Floating Jump Shot70
3.4%
83
96.6%
Q3 - 4:59DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)70
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q3 - 5:11SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)67
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q3 - 5:11SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)67
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q3 - 5:26DENMudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Barton 5 AST)67
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q3 - 5:43SASMurray 2' Cutting Layup Shot (20 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)64
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q3 - 5:55DENMudiay Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T12)64
2.3%
79
97.7%
Q3 - 6:08DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)64
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q3 - 6:10SASMISS Aldridge 18' Jump Shot64
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q3 - 6:19SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q3 - 6:20DENGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)64
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q3 - 6:25DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q3 - 6:26SASMISS Leonard 13' Step Back Jump Shot64
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q3 - 6:44SASLee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)64
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q3 - 6:45DENMISS Jokic 16' Jump Shot64
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q3 - 7:01SASMurray Free Throw 3 of 3 (18 PTS)64
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q3 - 7:01SASMurray Free Throw 2 of 3 (17 PTS)64
3.2%
78
96.8%
Q3 - 7:01SASMurray Free Throw 1 of 3 (16 PTS)64
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q3 - 7:22DENHernangomez 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Barton 4 AST)64
4.1%
76
95.9%
Q3 - 7:31DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)62
3.6%
76
96.4%
Q3 - 7:33SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
3.4%
76
96.6%
Q3 - 7:51DENJokic 1' Layup (21 PTS)62
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q3 - 7:52DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q3 - 7:54DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)60
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q3 - 7:54DENMISS Faried 3' Jump Shot60
2.3%
76
97.7%
Q3 - 7:55DENMISS Jokic 7' Jump Shot60
2.3%
76
97.7%
Q3 - 8:22SASLeonard 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (19 PTS)60
2.8%
76
97.2%
Q3 - 8:28SASLee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)60
3.1%
74
96.9%
Q3 - 8:29SASMISS Aldridge 14' Jump Shot60
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q3 - 8:46DENJokic 10' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Mudiay 2 AST)60
3.1%
74
96.9%
Q3 - 8:59SASLeonard 17' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)58
2.8%
74
97.2%
Q3 - 9:14SASLee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)58
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q3 - 9:16DENMISS Hernangomez 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
3.5%
72
96.5%
Q3 - 9:29SASMurray 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Green 4 AST)58
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q3 - 9:37DENLeonard STEAL (2 STL)58
5.0%
69
95.0%
Q3 - 9:58SASGreen Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)58
5.8%
69
94.2%
Q3 - 10:04DENMurray STEAL (1 STL)58
6.7%
67
93.3%
Q3 - 10:08DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
7.7%
67
92.3%
Q3 - 10:11SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
7.4%
67
92.6%
Q3 - 10:16SASLee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)58
6.7%
67
93.3%
Q3 - 10:18DENMISS Hernangomez 3PT Jump Shot58
7.0%
67
93.0%
Q3 - 10:28SASMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)58
7.7%
67
92.3%
Q3 - 10:28SASMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)58
7.9%
66
92.1%
Q3 - 10:41SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
8.7%
65
91.3%
Q3 - 10:43DENMISS Jokic 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
9.0%
65
91.0%
Q3 - 10:57SASLeonard Running Dunk (15 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)58
9.9%
65
90.1%
Q3 - 11:02DENGreen STEAL (2 STL)58
11.0%
63
89.0%
Q3 - 11:13SASLee 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Green 3 AST)58
12.5%
63
87.5%
Q3 - 11:27SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
14.0%
61
86.0%
Q3 - 11:29DENMISS Jokic 16' Jump Shot58
14.6%
61
85.4%
Q3 - 11:47SASAldridge 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)58
15.9%
61
84.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS58
17.7%
59
82.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound58
17.7%
59
82.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Leonard 16' Step Back Jump Shot58
19.2%
59
80.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)58
18.0%
59
82.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)57
17.6%
59
82.4%
Q2 - 0:17.0SASAldridge 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)56
15.6%
59
84.4%
Q2 - 0:26.0DENSimmons STEAL (1 STL)56
18.0%
57
82.0%
Q2 - 0:31.0SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)56
19.4%
57
80.6%
Q2 - 0:47.0DENMudiay 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)56
18.0%
57
82.0%
Q2 - 0:56.0SASBertans 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Aldridge 5 AST)54
15.6%
57
84.4%
Q2 - 1:13DENBarton 2' Cutting Layup Shot (10 PTS) (Jokic 4 AST)54
20.2%
54
79.8%
Q2 - 1:24SASMurray 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Aldridge 4 AST)52
17.3%
54
82.7%
Q2 - 1:36DENBarton Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)52
22.4%
51
77.6%
Q2 - 1:36DENBarton Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)51
20.2%
51
79.8%
Q2 - 1:49DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)50
18.3%
51
81.7%
Q2 - 1:53DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
14.0%
51
86.0%
Q2 - 1:55SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot47
13.7%
51
86.3%
Q2 - 2:02DENLeonard STEAL (1 STL)47
13.0%
51
87.0%
Q2 - 2:06DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
14.4%
51
85.6%
Q2 - 2:08SASMISS Leonard 16' Jump Shot47
13.9%
51
86.1%
Q2 - 2:16DENMudiay 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Jokic 3 AST)47
13.0%
51
87.0%
Q2 - 2:28SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
11.5%
51
88.5%
Q2 - 2:28SASAldridge 1' Tip Layup Shot (6 PTS)45
11.5%
51
88.5%
Q2 - 2:33SASMISS Leonard 14' Jump Shot45
13.9%
49
86.1%
Q2 - 2:47DENBarton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
13.0%
49
87.0%
Q2 - 2:47DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
12.7%
49
87.3%
Q2 - 2:58SASLeonard 14' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bertans 1 AST)43
11.5%
49
88.5%
Q2 - 3:18DENJokic Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)43
12.8%
47
87.2%
Q2 - 3:18DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)42
12.6%
47
87.4%
Q2 - 3:30SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)41
11.7%
47
88.3%
Q2 - 3:38SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
12.8%
45
87.2%
Q2 - 3:40DENMISS Faried 6' Jump Shot41
13.3%
45
86.7%
Q2 - 3:52SASLeonard 9' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)41
14.4%
45
85.6%
Q2 - 4:10DENJokic 5' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) (Barton 3 AST)41
15.6%
43
84.4%
Q2 - 4:28SASDedmon 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)39
14.2%
43
85.8%
Q2 - 4:47DENJokic Foul Turnover (P2.T6)39
15.6%
41
84.4%
Q2 - 4:50DENNuggets Rebound39
17.2%
41
82.8%
Q2 - 4:51DENMISS Hernangomez 6' Turnaround Jump Shot39
16.1%
41
83.9%
Q2 - 5:01DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
17.1%
41
82.9%
Q2 - 5:02SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
16.6%
41
83.4%
Q2 - 5:22DENJokic Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)39
15.5%
41
84.5%
Q2 - 5:22DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)38
15.2%
41
84.8%
Q2 - 5:41SASDedmon Dunk (2 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)37
14.1%
41
85.9%
Q2 - 5:46SASLee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)37
15.5%
39
84.5%
Q2 - 5:48DENMISS Murray 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot37
16.0%
39
84.0%
Q2 - 6:07SASLeonard 16' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)37
17.2%
39
82.8%
Q2 - 6:12SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
18.4%
37
81.6%
Q2 - 6:15DENMISS Murray 27' 3PT Jump Shot37
19.0%
37
81.0%
Q2 - 6:20DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)37
20.5%
37
79.5%
Q2 - 6:21SASMISS Dedmon 1' Reverse Layup37
19.8%
37
80.2%
Q2 - 6:36DENMurray 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)37
18.4%
37
81.6%
Q2 - 6:57SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
15.7%
37
84.3%
Q2 - 6:57SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)34
15.8%
36
84.2%
Q2 - 7:10DENFaried 2' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)34
16.9%
35
83.1%
Q2 - 7:24DENNuggets Rebound32
15.6%
35
84.4%
Q2 - 7:25DENMISS Murray 11' Floating Jump Shot32
14.6%
35
85.4%
Q2 - 7:45SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Aldridge 3 AST)32
15.6%
35
84.4%
Q2 - 7:53SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
18.4%
32
81.6%
Q2 - 7:55DENMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
19.0%
32
81.0%
Q2 - 8:13SASGinobili 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)32
20.0%
32
80.0%
Q2 - 8:20SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
21.6%
30
78.4%
Q2 - 8:22DENMISS Nelson 2' Finger Roll Layup32
22.2%
30
77.8%
Q2 - 8:30DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)32
23.6%
30
76.4%
Q2 - 8:33SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot32
23.0%
30
77.0%
Q2 - 8:56SASLee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)32
21.6%
30
78.4%
Q2 - 8:57DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 232
21.9%
30
78.1%
Q2 - 8:57DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
22.9%
30
77.1%
Q2 - 8:57DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)31
21.8%
30
78.2%
Q2 - 8:58DENMISS Nurkic 7' Hook Shot31
20.5%
30
79.5%
Q2 - 9:12DENNuggets Rebound31
21.5%
30
78.5%
Q2 - 9:13SASMISS Simmons 17' Pullup Jump Shot31
20.9%
30
79.1%
Q2 - 9:26DENDedmon STEAL (2 STL)31
19.7%
30
80.3%
Q2 - 9:44SASMills Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T5)31
21.5%
30
78.5%
Q2 - 9:53DENMurray Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)31
19.7%
30
80.3%
Q2 - 9:53DENMurray Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)30
19.4%
30
80.6%
Q2 - 9:53DENMurray Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)29
19.1%
30
80.9%
Q2 - 10:05DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
17.0%
30
83.0%
Q2 - 10:06SASMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
16.6%
30
83.4%
Q2 - 10:27DENMurray 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)28
15.5%
30
84.5%
Q2 - 10:35DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
14.4%
30
85.6%
Q2 - 10:36SASMISS Aldridge 20' Jump Shot26
14.0%
30
86.0%
Q2 - 10:52SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
13.1%
30
86.9%
Q2 - 10:54DENMISS Nurkic 4' Hook Bank Shot26
13.5%
30
86.5%
Q2 - 11:08SASSimmons 14' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
14.1%
30
85.9%
Q2 - 11:19DENMurray 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)26
15.3%
28
84.7%
Q2 - 11:35DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
13.0%
28
87.0%
Q2 - 11:37SASMISS Green 17' Step Back Jump Shot23
12.7%
28
87.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN23
11.9%
28
88.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound23
13.0%
28
87.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Murray 53' 3PT Jump Bank Shot23
12.3%
28
87.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASSimmons Dunk (2 PTS) (Green 2 AST)23
12.8%
28
87.2%
Q1 - 0:06.0SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
14.2%
26
85.8%
Q1 - 0:07.0DENMISS Nelson 16' Pullup Jump Shot23
14.5%
26
85.5%
Q1 - 0:28.0SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
15.0%
26
85.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
15.2%
25
84.8%
Q1 - 0:43.0DENNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barton 2 AST)23
16.7%
24
83.3%
Q1 - 0:48.0DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
13.9%
24
86.1%
Q1 - 0:49.0SASMISS Aldridge 20' Jump Shot20
13.6%
24
86.4%
Q1 - 1:01DENNurkic Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)20
13.1%
24
86.9%
Q1 - 1:20SASAldridge 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)18
11.8%
24
88.2%
Q1 - 1:35DENNelson 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
13.1%
22
86.9%
Q1 - 1:43DENMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
11.8%
22
88.2%
Q1 - 1:44SASMISS Mills Free Throw 2 of 216
11.7%
22
88.3%
Q1 - 1:44SASMISS Mills Free Throw 1 of 216
11.0%
22
89.0%
Q1 - 2:00SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
11.1%
22
88.9%
Q1 - 2:02DENMISS Barton 16' Jump Shot16
11.3%
22
88.7%
Q1 - 2:15SASGinobili 14' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
11.9%
22
88.1%
Q1 - 2:25DENGinobili STEAL (2 STL)16
13.0%
20
87.0%
Q1 - 2:32DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)16
14.0%
20
86.0%
Q1 - 2:33SASMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
13.7%
20
86.3%
Q1 - 2:56SASMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
13.0%
20
87.0%
Q1 - 2:58DENMISS Barton 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
13.3%
20
86.7%
Q1 - 3:05SASMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)16
14.1%
20
85.9%
Q1 - 3:14DENDedmon STEAL (1 STL)16
12.9%
20
87.1%
Q1 - 3:18DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
14.1%
20
85.9%
Q1 - 3:22SASMISS Murray 2' Layup16
13.7%
20
86.3%
Q1 - 3:27SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
12.9%
20
87.1%
Q1 - 3:28DENMISS Hernangomez 2' Layup16
13.2%
20
86.8%
Q1 - 3:39SASMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)16
14.1%
20
85.9%
Q1 - 3:39SASMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)16
14.3%
19
85.7%
Q1 - 3:42SASLee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)16
15.1%
18
84.9%
Q1 - 3:43DENMISS Faried 6' Hook Shot16
15.5%
18
84.5%
Q1 - 4:02SASMurray 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)16
16.2%
18
83.8%
Q1 - 4:17DENJokic 1' Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS)16
18.5%
15
81.5%
Q1 - 4:18DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
17.4%
15
82.6%
Q1 - 4:20DENMISS Mudiay 14' Jump Shot14
16.4%
15
83.6%
Q1 - 4:42SASLeonard 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Aldridge 2 AST)14
17.4%
15
82.6%
Q1 - 4:48SASMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
18.5%
13
81.5%
Q1 - 4:50DENAldridge BLOCK (1 BLK)14
19.0%
13
81.0%
Q1 - 5:04SASLee 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)14
19.5%
13
80.5%
Q1 - 5:21DENBarton 1' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Jokic 2 AST)14
20.8%
11
79.2%
Q1 - 5:34DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)12
19.6%
11
80.4%
Q1 - 5:35SASMISS Leonard 15' Pullup Jump Shot12
19.1%
11
80.9%
Q1 - 5:47SASLee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)12
18.2%
11
81.8%
Q1 - 5:48DENMISS Mudiay 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
18.6%
11
81.4%
Q1 - 6:06SASLee 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
19.2%
11
80.8%
Q1 - 6:24DENFaried 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Mudiay 1 AST)12
20.4%
9
79.6%
Q1 - 6:36SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)10
19.2%
9
80.8%
Q1 - 6:48SASLee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)10
21.7%
6
78.3%
Q1 - 6:50DENMISS Barton 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot10
22.1%
6
77.9%
Q1 - 6:58DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
23.2%
6
76.8%
Q1 - 6:59SASMISS Murray 5' Jump Shot10
22.7%
6
77.3%
Q1 - 7:16DENHernangomez Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Jokic 1 AST)10
21.1%
6
78.9%
Q1 - 7:21DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
20.1%
6
79.9%
Q1 - 7:25SASMISS Ginobili 4' Jump Shot8
19.6%
6
80.4%
Q1 - 7:35SASSPURS Rebound8
18.7%
6
81.3%
Q1 - 7:36DENMISS Jokic 2' Layup8
19.1%
6
80.9%
Q1 - 7:41SASAldridge Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)8
20.1%
6
79.9%
Q1 - 7:52DENGinobili STEAL (1 STL)8
18.7%
6
81.3%
Q1 - 8:03SASLee 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)8
19.8%
6
80.2%
Q1 - 8:07SASLee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)8
20.9%
4
79.1%
Q1 - 8:09SASMISS Aldridge 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot8
21.9%
4
78.1%
Q1 - 8:35DENJokic 2' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Barton 1 AST)8
20.9%
4
79.1%
Q1 - 8:50DENNuggets Rebound6
19.8%
4
80.2%
Q1 - 8:51DENMISS Barton 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup6
18.9%
4
81.1%
Q1 - 9:03SASLee 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)6
19.6%
4
80.4%
Q1 - 9:09SASLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
20.5%
2
79.5%
Q1 - 9:10SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
21.6%
2
78.4%
Q1 - 9:27DENJokic 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hernangomez 1 AST)6
20.6%
2
79.4%
Q1 - 9:43DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
19.6%
2
80.4%
Q1 - 9:44DENMISS Barton 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
18.6%
2
81.4%
Q1 - 9:52SASGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)4
19.6%
2
80.4%
Q1 - 10:12DENJokic 6' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
18.2%
2
81.8%
Q1 - 10:23SASMurray 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)2
17.2%
2
82.8%
Q1 - 10:38SASLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 10:40SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
19.1%
0
80.9%
Q1 - 10:56DENBarton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 10:56DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
18.0%
0
82.0%
Q1 - 11:09SASGreen Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T1)0
17.0%
0
83.0%
Q1 - 11:11DENGreen STEAL (1 STL)0
16.1%
0
83.9%
Q1 - 11:13DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
17.0%
0
83.0%
Q1 - 11:15DENMISS Mudiay 7' Fadeaway Jumper0
16.4%
0
83.6%
Q1 - 11:26DENNuggets Rebound0
17.0%
0
83.0%
Q1 - 11:28DENMISS Faried 7' Hook Shot0
16.4%
0
83.6%
Q1 - 11:37DENNuggets Rebound0
17.0%
0
83.0%
Q1 - 11:37DENLeonard BLOCK (1 BLK)0
16.4%
0
83.6%
Q1 - 11:37DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
17.0%
0
83.0%
Q1 - 11:40DENMISS Barton 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
16.4%
0
83.6%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Aldridge vs. Jokic: Tip to Hernangomez0
17.0%
0
83.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.02 51.0%
SAS
1.17 58.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
22
35
63%
SAS
20
31
65%
Midrange
DEN
5
25
20%
SAS
15
33
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
10
15.0
31
32%
48%
SAS
9
13.5
22
41%
61%
Free Throws
DEN
20
26
77%
SAS
21
25
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić3573%17.5 / 24
W. Barton1864%9.0 / 14
J. Murray1341%6.5 / 16
E. Mudiay1255%6.0 / 11
J. Hernangomez840%4.0 / 10
K. Faried531%2.5 / 8
J. Nelson536%2.5 / 7
J. Nurkić536%2.5 / 7
M. Miller338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard3465%17.0 / 26
D. Murray2486%12.0 / 14
M. Ginobili1464%7.0 / 11
D. Lee1071%5.0 / 7
L. Aldridge1050%5.0 / 10
D. Dedmon770%3.5 / 5
J. Simmons735%3.5 / 10
D. Green550%2.5 / 5
D. Bertans467%2.0 / 3
P. Mills325%1.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
82
+20
-15
102
SAS
91
+10
-7
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.02 51.0%
SAS
1.17 58.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.2
111.3
DEN 107.2
SAS 120.4 +13.2
Pace
98.4
94.1
DEN 97.4
SAS 98.5 +1.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
15.8
DEN 14.8
SAS 14.6 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.0%
52.4%
DEN 46.2%
SAS 56.4% +10.2%
TO %
14.7%
13.6%
DEN 12.8%
SAS 7.6% +5.2%
ORB %
27.3%
24.0%
DEN 22.9% +7.1%
SAS 15.8%
FTrt
27.6
26.3
DEN 28.6
SAS 29.1 +0.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.5%
60.6%
DEN 73.0% +9.4%
SAS 63.6%
STL %
7.0%
8.5%
DEN 5.2%
SAS 12.2% +7.0%
BLK %
6.3%
9.9%
DEN 10.9% +2.6%
SAS 8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.4%
54.8%
DEN 51.0%
SAS 58.4% +7.4%
Rim FG%
59.4%
60.5%
DEN 62.9%
SAS 64.5% +1.6%
Mid FG%
40.2%
42.0%
DEN 20.0%
SAS 45.5% +25.5%
3P %
36.8%
39.1%
DEN 32.3%
SAS 40.9% +8.6%
FT %
77.4%
79.7%
DEN 76.9%
SAS 84.0% +7.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.9%
31.1%
DEN 38.5% +2.4%
SAS 36.0%
Mid Att. %
26.2%
40.8%
DEN 27.5% +10.9%
SAS 38.4%
3P Att. %
32.9%
28.1%
DEN 34.1% +8.5%
SAS 25.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions9798
Possession Minutes23.923.9
Points104118
Rebounds4343
Assists2728
Steals512
Blocks75
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (9)6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)37 (1)
Field Goals37-9144-86
At-the-Rim FG22-3520-31
Midrange FG5-2515-33
2-Point FG27-6035-64
3-Point FG10-319-22
Free Throws20-2621-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 230 · 21
38.4
8
40%
6
1
1
1
1
3
2
4
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 284 · 22
37.6
35
73%
12
4
0
2
3
2
4
8
5-5
100%
12-18
67%
2-4
50%
G · 6'6" 190 · 26
35.6
18
64%
3
7
0
2
3
3
0
3
7-7
100%
4-7
57%
1-5
20%
G · 6'3" 200 · 21
25.8
12
55%
1
2
2
0
3
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 228 · 27
24.8
5
31%
9
1
0
0
2
1
3
6
1-2
50%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 35
27.0
5
36%
2
9
2
1
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 215 · 20
25.9
13
41%
6
2
0
0
0
2
1
5
3-3
100%
2-7
29%
2-8
25%
C · 7'0" 290 · 22
13.5
5
36%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
1-5
20%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37
11.4
3
38%
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 225 · 28
G · 6'5" 196 · 20
#0 · F · 6'9" 235 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · F · 6'9" 225 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · G · 6'4" 210 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
51%
43
27
5
7
15
0
11
32
20-26
77%
27-60
45%
10-31
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.