for complete access.
All Games Thursday, January 19, 2017
FinalWin Prob.pScore
19
Mavericks
49%101
95
23
Heat
51%102
99
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
105.69088.6
MIA logo MIA
112.58889.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL95
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)95
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)95
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Matthews 1 AST)95
4.3%
97
95.7%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)92
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)92
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q4 - 0:18.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 3 of 3 (16 PTS)92
2.9%
95
97.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 391
2.6%
95
97.4%
Q4 - 0:18.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 3 (15 PTS)91
6.1%
95
93.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
2.0%
95
98.0%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 290
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 290
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0DALCurry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)90
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)87
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)87
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Whiteside 12' Jump Shot87
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)87
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q4 - 0:59.0DALMISS D. Williams 20' Jump Shot87
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 1:07DALD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
3.5%
93
96.5%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Waiters 12' Jump Shot87
3.0%
93
97.0%
Q4 - 1:32MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)87
3.1%
93
96.9%
Q4 - 1:33DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
3.8%
93
96.2%
Q4 - 1:41MIAJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)87
6.0%
93
94.0%
Q4 - 2:06DALCurry 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)87
15.3%
90
84.7%
Q4 - 2:18MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)85
12.3%
90
87.7%
Q4 - 2:40MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
22.3%
87
77.7%
Q4 - 2:41DALMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
26.2%
87
73.8%
Q4 - 2:54DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
36.1%
87
63.9%
Q4 - 2:55MIAMISS Whiteside 18' Jump Shot85
32.1%
87
67.9%
Q4 - 3:21DALD. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)85
23.8%
87
76.2%
Q4 - 3:38MIADragic 15' Jump Shot (27 PTS)82
16.0%
87
84.0%
Q4 - 3:52MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
20.8%
85
79.2%
Q4 - 3:53DALMISS Barnes 19' Fadeaway Jumper82
22.9%
85
77.1%
Q4 - 4:14DALCurry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
27.9%
85
72.1%
Q4 - 4:15DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
22.6%
85
77.4%
Q4 - 4:40MIAWaiters Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)82
27.7%
85
72.3%
Q4 - 4:51MIAHEAT Rebound82
20.2%
85
79.8%
Q4 - 4:52DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
22.3%
85
77.7%
Q4 - 5:01DALCurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
30.1%
85
69.9%
Q4 - 5:02MIAMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot82
27.8%
85
72.2%
Q4 - 5:16MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
23.1%
85
76.9%
Q4 - 5:17DALMISS Barnes 19' Jump Shot82
25.1%
85
74.9%
Q4 - 5:33MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)82
29.9%
85
70.1%
Q4 - 5:33MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)82
31.4%
84
68.6%
Q4 - 5:33MIAHEAT Rebound82
37.0%
83
63.0%
Q4 - 5:35DALMISS Matthews 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
39.6%
83
60.4%
Q4 - 5:49DALBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)82
45.6%
83
54.4%
Q4 - 5:55DALMISS Barnes 11' Jump Shot82
39.5%
83
60.5%
Q4 - 6:14MIAHEAT Rebound82
46.4%
83
53.6%
Q4 - 6:14MIAJohnson Free Throw 3 of 3 (14 PTS)82
46.4%
83
53.6%
Q4 - 6:14MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 382
48.0%
82
52.0%
Q4 - 6:14MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 382
42.3%
82
57.7%
Q4 - 6:34DALMatthews 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Barnes 2 AST)82
45.2%
82
54.8%
Q4 - 6:53DALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
31.9%
82
68.1%
Q4 - 6:54MIAMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot79
29.6%
82
70.4%
Q4 - 7:13DALBarnes 15' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)79
27.1%
82
72.9%
Q4 - 7:29DALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
22.4%
82
77.6%
Q4 - 7:30MIAMISS Dragic 17' Jump Shot77
20.8%
82
79.2%
Q4 - 7:50MIAHEAT Rebound77
17.4%
82
82.6%
Q4 - 7:51DALMISS Matthews 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
18.8%
82
81.2%
Q4 - 8:13DALCurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
23.5%
82
76.5%
Q4 - 8:14MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
22.2%
82
77.8%
Q4 - 8:37DALCurry 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)77
19.2%
82
80.8%
Q4 - 9:02MIAReed Dunk (8 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)75
17.1%
82
82.9%
Q4 - 9:04MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
20.5%
80
79.5%
Q4 - 9:09DALMISS Barea 13' Fadeaway Jumper75
21.8%
80
78.2%
Q4 - 9:26MIAReed Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)75
25.0%
80
75.0%
Q4 - 9:34MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
34.8%
77
65.2%
Q4 - 9:35DALMISS Powell 3' Layup75
36.6%
77
63.4%
Q4 - 9:56DALFinney-Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
40.8%
77
59.2%
Q4 - 9:57MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 275
40.0%
77
60.0%
Q4 - 9:57MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)75
36.6%
77
63.4%
Q4 - 10:00DALEllington STEAL (1 STL)75
40.5%
76
59.5%
Q4 - 10:14MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)75
46.9%
76
53.1%
Q4 - 10:23DALPowell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)75
57.9%
73
42.1%
Q4 - 10:23DALPowell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)74
56.7%
73
43.3%
Q4 - 10:36MIAReed Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T12)73
52.7%
73
47.3%
Q4 - 10:36MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
46.5%
73
53.5%
Q4 - 10:37MIAMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot73
50.8%
73
49.2%
Q4 - 10:46MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)73
46.5%
73
53.5%
Q4 - 10:47DALMISS Barea 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
48.4%
73
51.6%
Q4 - 11:05MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)73
52.1%
73
47.9%
Q4 - 11:05MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 273
53.2%
72
46.8%
Q4 - 11:25MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
51.9%
72
48.1%
Q4 - 11:26DALMISS Powell 3PT Jump Shot73
53.7%
72
46.3%
Q4 - 11:44MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)73
57.6%
72
42.4%
Q4 - 11:44MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)73
59.1%
71
40.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA73
62.6%
70
37.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound73
62.6%
70
37.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Johnson 29' 3PT Jump Shot73
66.3%
70
33.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0DALBarea 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (13 PTS)73
62.1%
70
37.9%
Q3 - 0:19.0DALPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
57.1%
70
42.9%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 171
56.4%
70
43.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0DALBarea 17' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)71
62.1%
68
37.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAJohnson 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)69
57.1%
68
42.9%
Q3 - 1:02DALBarea 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)69
61.3%
66
38.7%
Q3 - 1:16DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
51.9%
66
48.1%
Q3 - 1:17MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
50.4%
66
49.6%
Q3 - 1:41DALFinney-Smith 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)66
46.9%
66
53.1%
Q3 - 1:52DALMejri REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
37.5%
66
62.5%
Q3 - 1:53MIAMISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot63
36.1%
66
63.9%
Q3 - 2:05MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
33.2%
66
66.8%
Q3 - 2:06DALMISS Matthews 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
34.6%
66
65.4%
Q3 - 2:15DALMejri REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
37.8%
66
62.2%
Q3 - 2:16MIAMISS Johnson 4' Fadeaway Jumper63
36.3%
66
63.7%
Q3 - 2:29MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
33.2%
66
66.8%
Q3 - 2:30DALMISS Barea 7' Fadeaway Jumper63
34.6%
66
65.4%
Q3 - 2:51MIAWaiters Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)63
37.8%
66
62.2%
Q3 - 3:04MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
34.0%
66
66.0%
Q3 - 3:05DALMISS Matthews 18' Fadeaway Jumper63
35.3%
66
64.7%
Q3 - 3:19MIAJohnson Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)63
38.3%
66
61.7%
Q3 - 3:34DALMejri Foul Turnover (P2.T9)63
33.9%
66
66.1%
Q3 - 3:51MIAWaiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Whiteside 2 AST)63
38.3%
66
61.7%
Q3 - 4:22MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
46.5%
63
53.5%
Q3 - 4:23DALMISS Curry Free Throw 1 of 163
47.1%
63
52.9%
Q3 - 4:42MIAWhiteside Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)61
42.9%
63
57.1%
Q3 - 4:46MIAHEAT Rebound61
38.1%
63
61.9%
Q3 - 4:47MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Layup61
41.4%
63
58.6%
Q3 - 4:56MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
38.1%
63
61.9%
Q3 - 4:57DALMISS D. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
39.6%
63
60.4%
Q3 - 5:13MIABabbitt 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)61
43.0%
63
57.0%
Q3 - 5:27MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
50.8%
60
49.2%
Q3 - 5:28DALMISS Curry 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
52.2%
60
47.8%
Q3 - 5:48MIAWhiteside Dunk (13 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)61
55.4%
60
44.6%
Q3 - 6:01DALBarnes Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)61
58.5%
58
41.5%
Q3 - 6:16MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)61
62.7%
58
37.3%
Q3 - 6:16MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)61
63.4%
57
36.6%
Q3 - 6:23DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)61
66.1%
56
33.9%
Q3 - 6:23DALMavericks Rebound61
69.8%
56
30.2%
Q3 - 6:24DALMISS Matthews 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
67.2%
56
32.8%
Q3 - 6:49MIAWaiters 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)61
69.8%
56
30.2%
Q3 - 7:01MIAHEAT Rebound61
71.8%
54
28.2%
Q3 - 7:02MIAMISS McGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
74.2%
54
25.8%
Q3 - 7:21MIAHEAT Rebound61
71.8%
54
28.2%
Q3 - 7:22DALMISS Barnes 12' Jump Shot61
72.9%
54
27.1%
Q3 - 7:41MIADragic 1' Layup (17 PTS) (McGruder 3 AST)61
75.3%
54
24.7%
Q3 - 7:46MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
77.7%
52
22.3%
Q3 - 7:47DALMISS Matthews 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
78.6%
52
21.4%
Q3 - 8:00MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)61
80.6%
52
19.4%
Q3 - 8:11DALCurry Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)61
77.1%
52
22.9%
Q3 - 8:12DALCurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)61
80.1%
52
19.9%
Q3 - 8:13DALMISS Curry 5' Hook Shot61
78.1%
52
21.9%
Q3 - 8:24MIAWaiters Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)61
80.1%
52
19.9%
Q3 - 8:42DALMatthews 2' Layup (15 PTS) (D. Williams 9 AST)61
77.2%
52
22.8%
Q3 - 8:56DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
74.9%
52
25.1%
Q3 - 8:57MIAMISS Dragic 15' Fadeaway Jumper59
73.9%
52
26.1%
Q3 - 9:09DALD. Williams Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T5)59
70.6%
52
29.4%
Q3 - 9:17MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)59
73.7%
52
26.3%
Q3 - 9:31DALNowitzki 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (D. Williams 8 AST)59
78.9%
49
21.1%
Q3 - 9:45DALMavericks Rebound57
76.5%
49
23.5%
Q3 - 9:46MIAMISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
75.7%
49
24.3%
Q3 - 9:53MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
73.6%
49
26.4%
Q3 - 9:54DALMISS Curry 1' Reverse Layup57
74.5%
49
25.5%
Q3 - 10:10DALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
75.8%
49
24.2%
Q3 - 10:11MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Hook Shot57
75.0%
49
25.0%
Q3 - 10:27DALD. Williams 1' Driving Layup (3 PTS)57
72.9%
49
27.1%
Q3 - 10:38MIADragic 14' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)55
70.3%
49
29.7%
Q3 - 10:55DALMatthews 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)55
73.0%
47
27.0%
Q3 - 11:16MIAMcGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)53
69.8%
47
30.2%
Q3 - 11:37MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
75.2%
44
24.8%
Q3 - 11:38DALMISS Curry 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
76.0%
44
24.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL53
77.8%
44
22.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
77.8%
44
22.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
75.9%
44
24.1%
Q2 - 0:26.0DALMatthews 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (D. Williams 7 AST)53
74.8%
44
25.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAJohnson 9' Jump Shot (11 PTS)50
68.7%
44
31.3%
Q2 - 0:54.0DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (D. Williams 6 AST)50
72.3%
42
27.7%
Q2 - 1:11DALMavericks Rebound47
65.0%
42
35.0%
Q2 - 1:12MIAMISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot47
64.6%
42
35.4%
Q2 - 1:29DALBarnes Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)47
63.6%
42
36.4%
Q2 - 1:40DALMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
55.9%
42
44.1%
Q2 - 1:41MIAMISS Waiters 14' Fadeaway Jumper44
55.4%
42
44.6%
Q2 - 1:53MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
54.3%
42
45.7%
Q2 - 1:54DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
54.8%
42
45.2%
Q2 - 2:13DALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
56.3%
42
43.7%
Q2 - 2:14DALMISS D. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
54.3%
42
45.7%
Q2 - 2:39MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
56.2%
42
43.8%
Q2 - 2:39MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 244
57.0%
41
43.0%
Q2 - 2:43DALJohnson STEAL (1 STL)44
56.5%
41
43.5%
Q2 - 2:49DALMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
59.2%
41
40.8%
Q2 - 2:50MIAMISS Waiters 16' Jump Shot44
58.4%
41
41.6%
Q2 - 3:14DALMatthews 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)44
55.8%
41
44.2%
Q2 - 3:30MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)41
50.4%
41
49.6%
Q2 - 3:38MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
55.8%
38
44.2%
Q2 - 3:40MIAMISS Dragic 20' Jump Shot41
58.2%
38
41.8%
Q2 - 3:53MIAHEAT Rebound41
55.9%
38
44.1%
Q2 - 3:54MIAMISS Johnson 1' Driving Reverse Layup41
58.2%
38
41.8%
Q2 - 4:22DALMejri 2' Layup (4 PTS) (D. Williams 5 AST)41
55.7%
38
44.3%
Q2 - 4:45MIADragic 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
52.9%
38
47.1%
Q2 - 5:01DALWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)39
55.6%
36
44.4%
Q2 - 5:16DALMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
58.5%
36
41.5%
Q2 - 5:17MIAMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot39
57.6%
36
42.4%
Q2 - 5:32DALMatthews 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)39
55.6%
36
44.4%
Q2 - 5:38DALD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
50.2%
36
49.8%
Q2 - 5:39MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Layup36
49.3%
36
50.7%
Q2 - 5:42MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
47.2%
36
52.8%
Q2 - 5:45MIAMISS McGruder 5' Jump Shot36
49.3%
36
50.7%
Q2 - 6:04MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
47.1%
36
52.9%
Q2 - 6:05DALMISS D. Williams 12' Fadeaway Jumper36
48.1%
36
51.9%
Q2 - 6:28DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
50.5%
36
49.5%
Q2 - 6:29MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
49.5%
36
50.5%
Q2 - 6:41DALNowitzki Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)36
47.1%
36
52.9%
Q2 - 6:59MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (McGruder 2 AST)36
50.5%
36
49.5%
Q2 - 7:06MIAHEAT Rebound36
52.7%
34
47.3%
Q2 - 7:07MIAMISS Whiteside Alley Oop Layup36
54.6%
34
45.4%
Q2 - 7:19MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
52.7%
34
47.3%
Q2 - 7:20DALMISS Barea 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
53.5%
34
46.5%
Q2 - 7:34MIAWhite Foul Turnover (P1.T6)36
55.5%
34
44.5%
Q2 - 7:50DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)36
52.7%
34
47.3%
Q2 - 8:05MIADragic 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)34
50.0%
34
50.0%
Q2 - 8:25DALBarea 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)34
55.0%
31
45.0%
Q2 - 8:37DALMavericks Rebound31
50.0%
31
50.0%
Q2 - 8:38DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot31
48.1%
31
51.9%
Q2 - 8:45MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)31
50.1%
31
49.9%
Q2 - 9:07DALBarnes 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)31
47.2%
31
52.8%
Q2 - 9:23DALFinney-Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
45.0%
31
55.0%
Q2 - 9:24MIAMISS White 3PT Jump Shot29
44.1%
31
55.9%
Q2 - 9:32MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
42.2%
31
57.8%
Q2 - 9:33DALMISS Harris 2' Driving Layup29
43.1%
31
56.9%
Q2 - 9:38MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)29
45.0%
31
55.0%
Q2 - 9:49DALBarnes 1' Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Finney-Smith 1 AST)29
42.2%
31
57.8%
Q2 - 10:04MIAJohnson 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)27
40.2%
31
59.8%
Q2 - 10:20DALBarnes 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)27
42.2%
29
57.8%
Q2 - 10:37MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)25
40.2%
29
59.8%
Q2 - 10:41MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
37.5%
29
62.5%
Q2 - 10:42MIAMISS Ellington 14' Jump Shot25
39.4%
29
60.6%
Q2 - 11:04DALReed STEAL (1 STL)25
37.7%
29
62.3%
Q2 - 11:13DALPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
40.1%
29
59.9%
Q2 - 11:14MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
39.4%
29
60.6%
Q2 - 11:37DALBarea 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)25
37.7%
29
62.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
33.4%
29
66.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
31.2%
29
68.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Powell 2' Tip Layup Shot22
31.8%
29
68.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
33.1%
29
66.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALReed BLOCK (1 BLK)22
32.1%
29
67.9%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAReed Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)22
33.1%
29
66.9%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Reed Free Throw 1 of 222
33.9%
28
66.1%
Q1 - 0:22.0DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 122
33.9%
28
66.1%
Q1 - 0:34.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)20
29.6%
28
70.4%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAReed 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)19
29.1%
28
70.9%
Q1 - 1:03MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
31.8%
26
68.2%
Q1 - 1:04DALMISS Barea 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
32.3%
26
67.7%
Q1 - 1:24MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)19
33.3%
26
66.7%
Q1 - 1:29MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
36.0%
24
64.0%
Q1 - 1:30DALMISS Harris 2' Driving Layup19
36.5%
24
63.5%
Q1 - 1:40MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P2.T2)19
37.6%
24
62.4%
Q1 - 1:50DALMejri Driving Dunk (2 PTS)19
36.0%
24
64.0%
Q1 - 2:14MIAWhiteside 2' Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)17
33.8%
24
66.2%
Q1 - 2:32MIAHEAT Rebound17
36.1%
22
63.9%
Q1 - 2:33DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot17
36.7%
22
63.3%
Q1 - 2:51MIAJohnson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)17
38.1%
22
61.9%
Q1 - 3:07DALNowitzki 10' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)17
40.5%
20
59.5%
Q1 - 3:25DALMejri REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
38.6%
20
61.4%
Q1 - 3:26MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
37.8%
20
62.2%
Q1 - 3:42DALCurry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (D. Williams 3 AST)15
36.2%
20
63.8%
Q1 - 3:51DALPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
32.4%
20
67.6%
Q1 - 3:52MIAMISS Waiters 19' Jump Shot12
31.7%
20
68.3%
Q1 - 4:09MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
30.3%
20
69.7%
Q1 - 4:10DALMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
31.0%
20
69.0%
Q1 - 4:26MIAJohnson 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
32.6%
20
67.4%
Q1 - 4:49MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
34.2%
18
65.8%
Q1 - 4:50DALMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
34.9%
18
65.1%
Q1 - 5:00DALBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
36.6%
18
63.4%
Q1 - 5:01MIAMISS McGruder 22' Jump Shot12
36.4%
18
63.6%
Q1 - 5:19DALBarnes 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
34.9%
18
65.1%
Q1 - 5:43MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)10
33.2%
18
66.8%
Q1 - 5:47MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
34.9%
16
65.1%
Q1 - 5:48MIAMISS Waiters 3' Driving Layup10
36.4%
16
63.6%
Q1 - 5:55MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
34.9%
16
65.1%
Q1 - 5:56DALMISS Curry 18' Jump Shot10
35.5%
16
64.5%
Q1 - 6:09MIAWaiters 3' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)10
37.4%
16
62.6%
Q1 - 6:33DALMatthews 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
39.1%
14
60.9%
Q1 - 6:57MIAWaiters 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
37.4%
14
62.6%
Q1 - 7:03MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
39.4%
12
60.6%
Q1 - 7:04DALMISS Matthews 9' Fadeaway Jumper8
40.1%
12
59.9%
Q1 - 7:21DALMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
41.6%
12
58.4%
Q1 - 7:22MIAMISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
40.9%
12
59.1%
Q1 - 7:35MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
39.4%
12
60.6%
Q1 - 7:36DALMISS D. Williams Free Throw 2 of 28
39.7%
12
60.3%
Q1 - 7:36DALD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
41.0%
12
59.0%
Q1 - 7:44MIAWaiters 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)7
39.7%
12
60.3%
Q1 - 8:09DALCurry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)7
41.6%
10
58.4%
Q1 - 8:28MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)4
38.1%
10
61.9%
Q1 - 8:42MIAHEAT Rebound4
41.6%
7
58.4%
Q1 - 8:43DALMISS D. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
42.2%
7
57.8%
Q1 - 9:04MIAWhiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
43.7%
7
56.3%
Q1 - 9:25DALBarnes 7' Fadeaway Bank Shot (2 PTS)4
41.4%
7
58.6%
Q1 - 9:46MIAWhiteside 8' Hook Shot (7 PTS)2
40.0%
7
60.0%
Q1 - 10:09MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
41.5%
5
58.5%
Q1 - 10:10DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot2
42.1%
5
57.9%
Q1 - 10:24DALBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
43.5%
5
56.5%
Q1 - 10:25MIAMISS Whiteside 10' Turnaround Jump Shot2
42.9%
5
57.1%
Q1 - 10:40DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)2
41.5%
5
58.5%
Q1 - 10:54MIAWhiteside 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)0
40.0%
5
60.0%
Q1 - 11:07MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.8%
3
58.2%
Q1 - 11:08DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot0
42.3%
3
57.7%
Q1 - 11:15DALMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
43.4%
3
56.6%
Q1 - 11:16MIAMISS Dragic 6' Jump Shot0
42.9%
3
57.1%
Q1 - 11:25MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.8%
3
58.2%
Q1 - 11:26DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot0
42.3%
3
57.7%
Q1 - 11:44MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)0
43.4%
3
56.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Nowitzki: Tip to McGruder0
47.1%
0
52.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.07 53.4%
MIA
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
9
16
56%
MIA
17
25
68%
Midrange
DAL
14
30
47%
MIA
9
28
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
14
21.0
36
39%
58%
MIA
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
Free Throws
DAL
7
11
64%
MIA
20
29
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki1953%9.5 / 18
W. Matthews1864%9.0 / 14
H. Barnes1554%7.5 / 14
S. Curry1568%7.5 / 11
J. Barea1365%6.5 / 10
D. Williams633%3.0 / 9
S. Mejri4100%2.0 / 2
D. Finney-Smith3150%1.5 / 1
D. Powell225%1.0 / 4
D. Harris0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic3284%16.0 / 19
T. Johnson2368%11.5 / 17
H. Whiteside1354%6.5 / 12
D. Waiters1246%6.0 / 13
W. Reed8100%4.0 / 4
J. Johnson531%2.5 / 8
R. McGruder338%1.5 / 4
L. Babbitt350%1.5 / 3
W. Ellington0-0.0 / 4
O. White0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
81
+8
-9
89
MIA
75
+12
-13
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.07 53.4%
MIA
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.2
108.1
DAL 105.6
MIA 112.5 +6.9
Pace
92.6
95.0
DAL 88.6
MIA 89.4 +0.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.7
DAL 16.3
MIA 16.1 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
51.2%
DAL 53.7%
MIA 54.1% +0.4%
TO %
12.1%
13.2%
DAL 10.3% +2.9%
MIA 13.2%
ORB %
18.1%
24.2%
DAL 12.8%
MIA 17.6% +4.8%
FTrt
22.5
25.1
DAL 13.4
MIA 39.7 +26.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.4%
54.4%
DAL 45.9% +0.2%
MIA 45.7%
STL %
8.1%
7.5%
DAL 4.4%
MIA 4.5% +0.1%
BLK %
7.0%
9.3%
DAL 5.7% +3.5%
MIA 2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
52.8%
DAL 53.4%
MIA 56.9% +3.5%
Rim FG%
59.8%
59.2%
DAL 56.3%
MIA 68.0% +11.7%
Mid FG%
41.6%
39.4%
DAL 46.7% +14.6%
MIA 32.1%
3P %
35.5%
36.5%
DAL 38.9%
MIA 45.0% +6.1%
FT %
80.1%
70.6%
DAL 63.6%
MIA 69.0% +5.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
25.2%
35.4%
DAL 19.5%
MIA 34.2% +14.7%
Mid Att. %
38.2%
33.1%
DAL 36.6% +1.8%
MIA 38.4%
3P Att. %
36.6%
31.4%
DAL 43.9% +16.5%
MIA 27.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.96 and 2.96.
Game TotalsDALMIA
Possessions9088
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points9599
Rebounds3340
Assists1716
Steals44
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)6 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)34 (6)
Field Goals37-8235-73
At-the-Rim FG9-1617-25
Midrange FG14-309-28
2-Point FG23-4626-53
3-Point FG14-369-20
Free Throws7-1120-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
19 Dallas Mavericks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Wesley Matthews
F · 6'5" 220 · 30
36.6
18
64%
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
4-9
44%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 25
34.2
15
54%
7
2
1
0
1
0
2
5
1-1
100%
7-11
64%
0-3
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 33
31.6
6
33%
3
9
0
0
2
3
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
1-5
20%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26
31.5
15
68%
4
0
0
0
1
5
2
2
0-1
0%
3-6
50%
3-5
60%
Dirk Nowitzki
C · 7'0" 245 · 39
29.2
19
53%
4
1
2
0
1
2
0
4
3-5
60%
5-10
50%
2-6
33%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 31
19.3
4
100%
3
0
1
1
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 34
16.5
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 33
16.4
13
65%
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
3-6
50%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'7" 220 · 24
11.4
3
150%
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
Dwight Powell
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26
9.6
2
25%
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Nicolas Brussino
· 6'8" 195 · 24
Pierre Jackson
G · 5'10" 180 · 25
Andrew Bogut
#6 · C · 7'0" 260 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
AJ Hammons
#20 · C · 7'0" 260 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
53%
33
17
4
3
9
0
5
28
7-11
64%
23-46
50%
14-36
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.