FinalWin Prob.pScore
368%112
103
2532%105
109
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
97.2106105.6
MIA logo MIA
102.8106106.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU103
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)103
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS McGruder Free Throw 2 of 2103
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS McGruder Free Throw 1 of 2103
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0HOUHarden 27' 3PT Jump Shot (40 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)103
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)100
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2100
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0HOUHarrell Running Dunk (13 PTS) (Harden 10 AST)100
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)98
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Dragic 33' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0HOUDekker 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)98
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAJohnson Traveling Turnover (P5.T16)96
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12HOUBeverley Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)96
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12HOUBeverley Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)95
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12MIAJohnson Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)94
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12HOURockets Rebound94
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21MIAJohnson Dunk (15 PTS)94
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 1:24HOUJohnson STEAL (3 STL)94
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 1:41MIAEllington 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Dragic 8 AST)94
0.9%
105
99.1%
Q4 - 1:53MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)94
2.7%
102
97.3%
Q4 - 1:54HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
3.1%
102
96.9%
Q4 - 2:03MIADragic 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (21 PTS)94
5.8%
102
94.2%
Q4 - 2:21MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)94
7.7%
100
92.3%
Q4 - 2:22HOUMISS Harden 3PT Jump Shot94
9.3%
100
90.7%
Q4 - 2:44HOURockets Rebound94
14.6%
100
85.4%
Q4 - 2:45MIAMISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot94
12.1%
100
87.9%
Q4 - 3:05HOUHarden 6' Pullup Jump Shot (37 PTS)94
9.3%
100
90.7%
Q4 - 3:14HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)92
7.4%
100
92.6%
Q4 - 3:15MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
6.2%
100
93.8%
Q4 - 3:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)92
4.1%
100
95.9%
Q4 - 3:30HOUMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
4.9%
100
95.1%
Q4 - 3:39MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)92
10.5%
100
89.5%
Q4 - 3:39MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 292
11.7%
99
88.3%
Q4 - 3:53MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)92
9.9%
99
90.1%
Q4 - 3:54HOUMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 292
10.3%
99
89.7%
Q4 - 3:54HOUNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)92
12.2%
99
87.8%
Q4 - 4:03HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)91
9.9%
99
90.1%
Q4 - 4:04MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
8.9%
99
91.1%
Q4 - 4:31HOUAriza Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)91
6.6%
99
93.4%
Q4 - 4:46MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)91
9.5%
99
90.5%
Q4 - 5:05MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)91
23.1%
96
76.9%
Q4 - 5:06HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
25.0%
96
75.0%
Q4 - 5:18HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)91
29.7%
96
70.3%
Q4 - 5:19HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 191
23.7%
96
76.3%
Q4 - 5:23HOUNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)89
17.8%
96
82.2%
Q4 - 5:24HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot89
14.5%
96
85.5%
Q4 - 5:40MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)89
17.6%
96
82.4%
Q4 - 5:40MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 289
18.6%
95
81.4%
Q4 - 5:40MIAEllington Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)89
17.4%
95
82.6%
Q4 - 5:43HOUEllington STEAL (1 STL)89
22.7%
94
77.3%
Q4 - 5:56MIAJohnson Running Layup (14 PTS)89
29.5%
94
70.5%
Q4 - 6:01HOUJohnson STEAL (3 STL)89
40.3%
92
59.7%
Q4 - 6:21MIAJohnson Running Dunk (12 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)89
48.7%
92
51.3%
Q4 - 6:26MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
55.1%
90
44.9%
Q4 - 6:27HOUMISS Harden 2' Driving Layup89
57.7%
90
42.3%
Q4 - 6:44MIAReed 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)89
63.5%
90
36.5%
Q4 - 7:05HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (33 PTS)89
70.2%
88
29.8%
Q4 - 7:12HOUNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)87
64.7%
88
35.3%
Q4 - 7:13MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot87
62.6%
88
37.4%
Q4 - 7:26HOUBeverley 2' Running Layup (10 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)87
57.4%
88
42.6%
Q4 - 7:30MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T15)85
51.2%
88
48.8%
Q4 - 7:50HOUNene Cutting Dunk Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 9 AST)85
43.4%
88
56.6%
Q4 - 8:10MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P4.T14)83
39.1%
88
60.9%
Q4 - 8:26MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)83
33.2%
88
66.8%
Q4 - 8:27HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
35.0%
88
65.0%
Q4 - 8:36MIAMcGruder 2' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)83
39.1%
88
60.9%
Q4 - 8:40MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
45.5%
86
54.5%
Q4 - 8:41HOUMISS Beverley 10' Floating Jump Shot83
47.4%
86
52.6%
Q4 - 8:52HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)83
51.8%
86
48.2%
Q4 - 8:53MIAMISS Reed 17' Jump Shot83
49.9%
86
50.1%
Q4 - 9:11HOUGordon Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)83
47.4%
86
52.6%
Q4 - 9:21MIAMcGruder 6' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)83
53.7%
86
46.3%
Q4 - 9:36MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)83
59.3%
84
40.7%
Q4 - 9:37HOUMISS Dekker 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
61.2%
84
38.8%
Q4 - 9:43HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)83
65.3%
84
34.7%
Q4 - 9:44HOUMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
61.2%
84
38.8%
Q4 - 9:57MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)83
65.3%
84
34.7%
Q4 - 10:13HOUHarrell 8' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)83
74.7%
81
25.3%
Q4 - 10:24MIADragic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T13)81
70.6%
81
29.4%
Q4 - 10:43HOUBeverley 10' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)81
65.2%
81
34.8%
Q4 - 11:00MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)79
60.2%
81
39.8%
Q4 - 11:07MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
54.3%
81
45.7%
Q4 - 11:08HOUMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
56.0%
81
44.0%
Q4 - 11:18HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
59.9%
81
40.1%
Q4 - 11:19MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
58.2%
81
41.8%
Q4 - 11:23MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
54.3%
81
45.7%
Q4 - 11:24HOUMISS Gordon 5' Jump Shot79
56.0%
81
44.0%
Q4 - 11:43MIAJohnson 4' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)79
59.9%
81
40.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU79
64.8%
79
35.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound79
69.8%
79
30.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Brewer 49' 3PT Jump Shot79
66.4%
79
33.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIADragic 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS)79
69.8%
79
30.2%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
74.2%
77
25.8%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
76.8%
77
23.2%
Q3 - 0:45.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 1 (31 PTS)79
74.2%
77
25.8%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)76
65.5%
77
34.5%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
60.7%
77
39.3%
Q3 - 0:59.0HOUMISS Gordon 18' Jump Shot76
62.2%
77
37.8%
Q3 - 1:13MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)76
66.2%
77
33.8%
Q3 - 1:21MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
74.2%
74
25.8%
Q3 - 1:22HOUMISS Harden 3' Driving Layup76
75.4%
74
24.6%
Q3 - 1:38HOUNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
77.9%
74
22.1%
Q3 - 1:39MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup76
76.8%
74
23.2%
Q3 - 1:52MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
74.2%
74
25.8%
Q3 - 1:53HOUMISS Dekker Free Throw 2 of 276
74.7%
74
25.3%
Q3 - 1:53HOUDekker Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)76
76.6%
74
23.4%
Q3 - 1:53HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)75
74.3%
74
25.7%
Q3 - 1:54HOUMISS Harden 14' Fadeaway Jumper75
71.6%
74
28.4%
Q3 - 2:16MIAWaiters 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)75
74.1%
74
25.9%
Q3 - 2:27MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
77.2%
72
22.8%
Q3 - 2:28HOUMISS Dekker 15' Jump Shot75
78.3%
72
21.7%
Q3 - 2:38HOUNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
80.6%
72
19.4%
Q3 - 2:39MIAMISS Johnson 10' Hook Shot75
79.6%
72
20.4%
Q3 - 2:47MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
77.3%
72
22.7%
Q3 - 2:48HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
78.3%
72
21.7%
Q3 - 2:54HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
80.6%
72
19.4%
Q3 - 2:55MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
79.6%
72
20.4%
Q3 - 3:10HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)75
77.2%
72
22.8%
Q3 - 3:16HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)72
70.6%
72
29.4%
Q3 - 3:17MIAMISS Waiters 1' Driving Layup72
69.3%
72
30.7%
Q3 - 3:26MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)72
66.4%
72
33.6%
Q3 - 3:27HOUMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
67.7%
72
32.3%
Q3 - 3:33HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)72
70.5%
72
29.5%
Q3 - 3:34MIAMISS Waiters 19' Turnaround Jump Shot72
69.3%
72
30.7%
Q3 - 3:39MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
66.4%
72
33.6%
Q3 - 3:40MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
69.3%
72
30.7%
Q3 - 4:00HOUNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)72
66.4%
72
33.6%
Q3 - 4:00HOUMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 271
65.0%
72
35.0%
Q3 - 4:11MIAWaiters 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)71
67.2%
72
32.8%
Q3 - 4:31HOUHarden 16' Turnaround Fadeaway (25 PTS)71
70.3%
70
29.7%
Q3 - 4:41HOUNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
67.2%
70
32.8%
Q3 - 4:43MIAMISS Johnson 6' Jump Bank Shot69
65.8%
70
34.2%
Q3 - 4:46MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
62.6%
70
37.4%
Q3 - 4:47MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
65.8%
70
34.2%
Q3 - 5:14HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (23 PTS)69
63.1%
70
36.9%
Q3 - 5:24HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)67
59.6%
70
40.4%
Q3 - 5:25MIAMISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot67
58.2%
70
41.8%
Q3 - 5:42HOUAriza 2' Running Layup (11 PTS) (Harden 8 AST)67
55.0%
70
45.0%
Q3 - 5:47MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)65
51.4%
70
48.6%
Q3 - 6:01MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
48.3%
70
51.7%
Q3 - 6:02HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
49.6%
70
50.4%
Q3 - 6:14HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)65
52.5%
70
47.5%
Q3 - 6:15MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 265
51.9%
70
48.1%
Q3 - 6:15MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)65
49.3%
70
50.7%
Q3 - 6:16MIAHEAT Rebound65
52.2%
69
47.8%
Q3 - 6:17HOUWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)65
53.5%
69
46.5%
Q3 - 6:26MIAWaiters Foul Turnover (P2.T9)65
56.4%
69
43.6%
Q3 - 6:27HOUWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)65
52.1%
69
47.9%
Q3 - 6:37MIAJohnson 2' Running Layup (11 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)65
56.4%
69
43.6%
Q3 - 6:42HOUWaiters STEAL (1 STL)65
60.0%
67
40.0%
Q3 - 7:01HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)65
64.2%
67
35.8%
Q3 - 7:02MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
62.9%
67
37.1%
Q3 - 7:17HOUAriza Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T11)65
60.0%
67
40.0%
Q3 - 7:33MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)65
64.2%
67
35.8%
Q3 - 7:33MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)65
65.2%
66
34.8%
Q3 - 7:45HOUBrewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harden 7 AST)65
67.2%
65
32.8%
Q3 - 8:06MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)62
61.3%
65
38.7%
Q3 - 8:15MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)62
64.2%
63
35.8%
Q3 - 8:16HOUMISS Brewer 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup62
65.4%
63
34.6%
Q3 - 8:30MIADragic Foul Turnover (P2.T8)62
68.1%
63
31.9%
Q3 - 8:31MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
64.1%
63
35.9%
Q3 - 8:32MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup62
66.9%
63
33.1%
Q3 - 8:37MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)62
64.1%
63
35.9%
Q3 - 8:38HOUMISS Ariza 3' Driving Layup62
65.4%
63
34.6%
Q3 - 8:54MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)62
68.1%
63
31.9%
Q3 - 9:05HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)62
74.0%
60
26.0%
Q3 - 9:05HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)61
73.6%
60
26.4%
Q3 - 9:05HOUHarden Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)60
71.2%
60
28.8%
Q3 - 9:09HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
68.2%
60
31.8%
Q3 - 9:10MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
67.2%
60
32.8%
Q3 - 9:26HOUHarrell Cutting Dunk Shot (9 PTS) (Beverley 2 AST)59
64.8%
60
35.2%
Q3 - 9:52MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)57
61.6%
60
38.4%
Q3 - 9:52MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)57
62.7%
59
37.3%
Q3 - 9:53MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)57
64.8%
58
35.2%
Q3 - 9:54MIAMISS Babbitt 3PT Jump Shot57
67.2%
58
32.8%
Q3 - 10:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)57
65.5%
58
34.5%
Q3 - 10:03HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
66.5%
58
33.5%
Q3 - 10:19MIAWaiters 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)57
68.8%
58
31.2%
Q3 - 10:32HOUHarrell Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)57
71.5%
56
28.5%
Q3 - 10:32HOUMISS Harrell Free Throw 1 of 256
70.6%
56
29.4%
Q3 - 10:45HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
71.7%
56
28.3%
Q3 - 10:46MIAMISS Whiteside 7' Jump Shot56
70.8%
56
29.2%
Q3 - 11:00HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (18 PTS)56
68.5%
56
31.5%
Q3 - 11:00HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (17 PTS)55
68.1%
56
31.9%
Q3 - 11:00HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 3 (16 PTS)54
67.7%
56
32.3%
Q3 - 11:06HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
63.5%
56
36.5%
Q3 - 11:07HOUMISS Harden 9' Step Back Jump Shot53
61.2%
56
38.8%
Q3 - 11:23MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)53
63.5%
56
36.5%
Q3 - 11:35HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)53
69.4%
53
30.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA53
72.4%
53
27.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0HOUJohnson STEAL (2 STL)53
70.3%
53
29.7%
Q2 - 0:12.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
72.1%
53
27.9%
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
71.5%
53
28.5%
Q2 - 0:37.0HOUBeverley 3' Running Layup (6 PTS)53
70.2%
53
29.8%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)51
66.5%
53
33.5%
Q2 - 1:04HOUHarden 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)51
65.0%
53
35.0%
Q2 - 1:17MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)48
57.4%
53
42.6%
Q2 - 1:41HOUNene Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T8)48
55.8%
53
44.2%
Q2 - 1:55HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
57.4%
53
42.6%
Q2 - 1:56MIAMISS Johnson 6' Pullup Bank Shot48
56.9%
53
43.1%
Q2 - 2:14HOUBeverley Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T7)48
55.7%
53
44.3%
Q2 - 2:27MIAJohnson 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)48
58.5%
53
41.5%
Q2 - 2:32MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
61.7%
51
38.3%
Q2 - 2:33HOUMISS Dekker 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
62.5%
51
37.5%
Q2 - 2:43HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
64.3%
51
35.7%
Q2 - 2:44MIAMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot48
63.5%
51
36.5%
Q2 - 2:53MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
61.7%
51
38.3%
Q2 - 2:54HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
62.5%
51
37.5%
Q2 - 3:20MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)48
65.5%
51
34.5%
Q2 - 3:26MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)48
70.3%
48
29.7%
Q2 - 3:27HOUMISS Capela 6' Hook Shot48
71.1%
48
28.9%
Q2 - 3:30HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
73.0%
48
27.0%
Q2 - 3:31HOUMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
71.1%
48
28.9%
Q2 - 3:45MIAJohnson 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)48
73.0%
48
27.0%
Q2 - 4:08HOUHarden 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)48
75.3%
46
24.7%
Q2 - 4:28MIAWhiteside 1' Putback Layup (11 PTS)46
73.1%
46
26.9%
Q2 - 4:30MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)46
75.3%
44
24.7%
Q2 - 4:31MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
76.7%
44
23.3%
Q2 - 4:40HOUJohnson STEAL (2 STL)46
75.3%
44
24.7%
Q2 - 4:45HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
77.4%
44
22.6%
Q2 - 4:46MIAMISS Ellington 20' Jump Shot46
76.8%
44
23.2%
Q2 - 5:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)46
75.5%
44
24.5%
Q2 - 5:02HOUMISS Harden 17' Jump Shot46
76.2%
44
23.8%
Q2 - 5:10HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)46
77.6%
44
22.4%
Q2 - 5:11HOUMISS Capela 5' Turnaround Hook Shot46
76.2%
44
23.8%
Q2 - 5:15HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
77.6%
44
22.4%
Q2 - 5:16HOUMISS Gordon 3PT Jump Shot46
76.1%
44
23.9%
Q2 - 5:23HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
77.6%
44
22.4%
Q2 - 5:24MIAMISS Ellington 3PT Jump Shot46
77.0%
44
23.0%
Q2 - 5:42MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
75.5%
44
24.5%
Q2 - 5:43HOUMISS Dekker 1' Tip Layup Shot46
76.1%
44
23.9%
Q2 - 5:44HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
77.6%
44
22.4%
Q2 - 5:45HOUMISS Harden 8' Hook Shot46
76.1%
44
23.9%
Q2 - 5:55MIADragic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)46
77.6%
44
22.4%
Q2 - 6:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
75.5%
44
24.5%
Q2 - 6:05HOUMISS Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
76.2%
44
23.8%
Q2 - 6:28MIAWhiteside 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (9 PTS)46
77.9%
44
22.1%
Q2 - 6:44HOUHarrell Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)46
79.3%
42
20.7%
Q2 - 6:44HOUMISS Harrell Free Throw 1 of 245
78.7%
42
21.3%
Q2 - 6:59MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)45
79.7%
42
20.3%
Q2 - 7:09HOUBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)45
81.0%
40
19.0%
Q2 - 7:09HOUBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)44
80.6%
40
19.4%
Q2 - 7:12HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
79.5%
40
20.5%
Q2 - 7:13MIAMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot43
78.9%
40
21.1%
Q2 - 7:22MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
77.6%
40
22.4%
Q2 - 7:23HOUMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
78.2%
40
21.8%
Q2 - 7:31MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)43
79.5%
40
20.5%
Q2 - 7:31MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 243
80.0%
39
20.0%
Q2 - 7:41HOUHarrell Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)43
79.3%
39
20.7%
Q2 - 7:51HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
75.9%
39
24.1%
Q2 - 7:52MIAMISS Reed 1' Tip Layup Shot40
75.2%
39
24.8%
Q2 - 7:53MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
73.7%
39
26.3%
Q2 - 7:54MIAMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot40
75.2%
39
24.8%
Q2 - 8:15HOUGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dekker 1 AST)40
73.5%
39
26.5%
Q2 - 8:30MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)37
69.5%
39
30.5%
Q2 - 8:41MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
73.5%
36
26.5%
Q2 - 8:42HOUMISS Harrell 1' Reverse Layup37
74.2%
36
25.8%
Q2 - 8:56MIAMcGruder 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)37
75.6%
36
24.4%
Q2 - 9:02MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
77.3%
34
22.7%
Q2 - 9:03HOUMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
77.9%
34
22.1%
Q2 - 9:08HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
79.2%
34
20.8%
Q2 - 9:09MIAMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot37
78.6%
34
21.4%
Q2 - 9:18MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
77.3%
34
22.7%
Q2 - 9:19HOUMISS Gordon 2' Driving Layup37
77.9%
34
22.1%
Q2 - 9:30MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)37
79.2%
34
20.8%
Q2 - 9:47MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
80.6%
32
19.4%
Q2 - 9:48HOUMISS Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
81.2%
32
18.8%
Q2 - 10:07MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T4)37
82.0%
32
18.0%
Q2 - 10:19HOUBrewer 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST)37
80.3%
32
19.7%
Q2 - 10:26HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
77.3%
32
22.7%
Q2 - 10:27HOUMISS Gordon 15' Step Back Jump Shot34
75.9%
32
24.1%
Q2 - 10:39MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
77.3%
32
22.7%
Q2 - 10:39MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
77.6%
31
22.4%
Q2 - 10:45MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
78.7%
30
21.3%
Q2 - 10:46HOUMISS Gordon 27' 3PT Jump Shot34
79.3%
30
20.7%
Q2 - 10:54MIAEllington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)34
80.6%
30
19.4%
Q2 - 11:06MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
83.2%
27
16.8%
Q2 - 11:07HOUMISS Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
83.6%
27
16.4%
Q2 - 11:23HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
84.5%
27
15.5%
Q2 - 11:24MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
84.1%
27
15.9%
Q2 - 11:44HOUHarrell 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)34
83.2%
27
16.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU32
81.8%
27
18.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound32
81.8%
27
18.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Dekker 9' Floating Jump Shot32
80.8%
27
19.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
81.4%
27
18.6%
Q1 - 0:03.0HOUMISS Harden 13' Step Back Jump Shot32
80.7%
27
19.3%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAEllington Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)32
81.4%
27
18.6%
Q1 - 0:21.0HOUJohnson STEAL (1 STL)32
83.2%
25
16.8%
Q1 - 0:31.0HOUNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
84.1%
25
15.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
83.9%
25
16.1%
Q1 - 0:56.0HOUGordon 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)32
83.2%
25
16.8%
Q1 - 1:07MIAWaiters 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)30
81.5%
25
18.5%
Q1 - 1:21HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)30
83.2%
23
16.8%
Q1 - 1:21HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)29
83.0%
23
17.0%
Q1 - 1:29MIADragic 1' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)28
81.5%
23
18.5%
Q1 - 1:51HOUAriza Dunk (9 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)28
83.2%
21
16.8%
Q1 - 1:55MIAWaiters Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)26
81.5%
21
18.5%
Q1 - 1:58MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
80.4%
21
19.6%
Q1 - 1:59HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
80.7%
21
19.3%
Q1 - 2:07HOUNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
81.7%
21
18.3%
Q1 - 2:08MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot26
81.4%
21
18.6%
Q1 - 2:23HOUDekker Driving Dunk (5 PTS)26
80.5%
21
19.5%
Q1 - 2:46MIAWaiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)24
78.8%
21
21.2%
Q1 - 3:00HOUGordon 2' Layup (2 PTS)24
81.9%
18
18.1%
Q1 - 3:12HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
80.4%
18
19.6%
Q1 - 3:13MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 2 of 222
80.1%
18
19.9%
Q1 - 3:13MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
79.3%
18
20.7%
Q1 - 3:17HOUDragic STEAL (1 STL)22
80.2%
17
19.8%
Q1 - 3:26HOUHarden Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)22
81.7%
17
18.3%
Q1 - 3:39HOURockets Rebound21
80.4%
17
19.6%
Q1 - 3:40MIAMISS Waiters 1' Driving Layup21
79.9%
17
20.1%
Q1 - 3:52HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)21
78.8%
17
21.2%
Q1 - 4:08MIAWaiters 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
75.9%
17
24.1%
Q1 - 4:21HOUDekker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)18
77.2%
15
22.8%
Q1 - 4:42MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)15
74.3%
15
25.7%
Q1 - 4:55HOUNene Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)15
77.2%
12
22.8%
Q1 - 4:59HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
79.0%
12
21.0%
Q1 - 5:00MIAMISS Dragic 2' Layup15
78.5%
12
21.5%
Q1 - 5:06MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
77.3%
12
22.7%
Q1 - 5:07HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
77.8%
12
22.2%
Q1 - 5:16HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
78.9%
12
21.1%
Q1 - 5:17MIAMISS Dragic 9' Jump Shot15
78.4%
12
21.6%
Q1 - 5:38HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)15
77.3%
12
22.7%
Q1 - 5:53MIAJohnson 2' Layup (2 PTS)12
74.4%
12
25.6%
Q1 - 5:54MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
75.8%
10
24.2%
Q1 - 5:55MIAMISS Waiters 1' Tip Layup Shot12
76.9%
10
23.1%
Q1 - 5:56MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
75.8%
10
24.2%
Q1 - 5:57MIAMISS Johnson 3' Running Layup12
76.9%
10
23.1%
Q1 - 6:01HOUJohnson STEAL (1 STL)12
75.7%
10
24.3%
Q1 - 6:09HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
77.3%
10
22.7%
Q1 - 6:10MIAMISS Babbitt 3PT Jump Shot12
76.8%
10
23.2%
Q1 - 6:21MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
75.8%
10
24.2%
Q1 - 6:22HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
76.2%
10
23.8%
Q1 - 6:38MIAWhiteside 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS)12
77.3%
10
22.7%
Q1 - 6:42MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
78.6%
8
21.4%
Q1 - 6:43MIAMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot12
79.6%
8
20.4%
Q1 - 7:03HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
78.4%
8
21.6%
Q1 - 7:03HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
78.3%
8
21.7%
Q1 - 7:10MIAWhiteside Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
77.4%
8
22.6%
Q1 - 7:22HOUHarden 8' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
75.8%
8
24.2%
Q1 - 7:49MIAWhiteside 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS)8
74.6%
8
25.4%
Q1 - 8:07HOUAriza 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)8
76.3%
6
23.7%
Q1 - 8:13HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
75.1%
6
24.9%
Q1 - 8:14MIAMISS Dragic 4' Jump Shot6
74.6%
6
25.4%
Q1 - 8:26HOUBeverley 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
73.4%
6
26.6%
Q1 - 8:54MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)4
72.1%
6
27.9%
Q1 - 8:57MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
73.4%
4
26.6%
Q1 - 8:58HOUMISS Ariza 21' Jump Shot4
73.9%
4
26.1%
Q1 - 9:07MIADragic 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
75.2%
4
24.8%
Q1 - 9:16MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
76.2%
2
23.8%
Q1 - 9:17HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
76.7%
2
23.3%
Q1 - 9:27MIAMcGruder Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
77.9%
2
22.1%
Q1 - 9:40MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
76.3%
2
23.7%
Q1 - 9:41HOUMISS Brewer 4' Jump Shot4
76.8%
2
23.2%
Q1 - 9:47HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
77.9%
2
22.1%
Q1 - 9:48MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Tip Layup Shot4
77.4%
2
22.6%
Q1 - 9:49MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
76.3%
2
23.7%
Q1 - 9:50MIAMISS Whiteside 7' Hook Shot4
77.4%
2
22.6%
Q1 - 10:08HOUBeverley 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Capela 1 AST)4
76.2%
2
23.8%
Q1 - 10:35MIAWhiteside 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
75.0%
2
25.0%
Q1 - 10:52MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
76.2%
0
23.8%
Q1 - 10:53HOUMISS Capela 1' Driving Layup2
76.7%
0
23.3%
Q1 - 10:59HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
77.7%
0
22.3%
Q1 - 11:00MIAMISS McGruder 2' Reverse Layup2
77.2%
0
22.8%
Q1 - 11:14HOUAriza 13' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)2
76.4%
0
23.6%
Q1 - 11:27HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
74.9%
0
25.1%
Q1 - 11:28MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
74.5%
0
25.5%
Q1 - 11:33HOUMcGruder STEAL (1 STL)0
73.6%
0
26.4%
Q1 - 11:36HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
74.9%
0
25.1%
Q1 - 11:37MIAMISS Babbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
74.5%
0
25.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Capela: Tip to Waiters0
73.6%
0
26.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.98 49.0%
MIA
1.07 53.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
15
27
56%
MIA
24
35
69%
Midrange
HOU
12
24
50%
MIA
9
26
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
9
13.5
39
23%
35%
MIA
9
13.5
29
31%
47%
Free Throws
HOU
22
28
79%
MIA
16
24
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden4059%20.0 / 34
M. Harrell1381%6.5 / 8
P. Beverley1260%6.0 / 10
T. Ariza1150%5.5 / 11
C. Brewer867%4.0 / 6
S. Dekker844%4.0 / 9
E. Gordon721%3.5 / 17
Nene467%2.0 / 3
C. Capela0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2162%10.5 / 17
W. Ellington1882%9.0 / 11
D. Waiters1753%8.5 / 16
T. Johnson1642%8.0 / 19
J. Johnson1550%7.5 / 15
H. Whiteside1470%7.0 / 10
R. McGruder660%3.0 / 5
W. Reed233%1.0 / 3
L. Babbitt0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
89
+15
-17
104
MIA
91
+11
-15
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.98 49.0%
MIA
1.07 53.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.9
108.1
HOU 97.2 +5.7
MIA 102.8
Pace
100.0
95.0
HOU 105.6
MIA 106.4 +0.7
Avg. Poss. Time
13.8
15.7
HOU 13.6
MIA 13.5 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.5%
51.2%
HOU 45.0%
MIA 51.7% +6.7%
TO %
14.4%
13.2%
HOU 15.0%
MIA 13.7% +1.3%
ORB %
24.6%
24.2%
HOU 21.2%
MIA 22.4% +1.2%
FTrt
30.4
25.1
HOU 31.1 +4.4
MIA 26.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.6%
54.4%
HOU 58.3% +8.3%
MIA 50.0%
STL %
8.1%
7.5%
HOU 7.5%
MIA 10.4% +2.9%
BLK %
7.2%
9.3%
HOU 4.9% +2.9%
MIA 2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.2%
52.8%
HOU 49.0%
MIA 53.4% +4.4%
Rim FG%
61.6%
59.2%
HOU 55.6%
MIA 68.6% +13.0%
Mid FG%
40.5%
39.4%
HOU 50.0% +15.4%
MIA 34.6%
3P %
35.7%
36.5%
HOU 23.1%
MIA 31.0% +7.9%
FT %
76.6%
70.6%
HOU 78.6% +11.9%
MIA 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
35.4%
HOU 30.0%
MIA 38.9% +8.9%
Mid Att. %
16.1%
33.1%
HOU 26.7% +2.2%
MIA 28.9%
3P Att. %
46.2%
31.4%
HOU 43.3% +11.1%
MIA 32.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.04 and 3.04.
Game TotalsHOUMIA
Possessions106106
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points103109
Rebounds4952
Assists2121
Steals811
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)11 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (2)41 (1)
Field Goals36-9042-90
At-the-Rim FG15-2724-35
Midrange FG12-249-26
2-Point FG27-5133-61
3-Point FG9-399-29
Free Throws22-2816-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 220 · 27
39.3
40
59%
12
10
2
0
6
3
1
11
12-13
92%
8-15
53%
4-15
27%
F · 6'8" 215 · 32
39.0
11
50%
7
1
1
0
3
3
0
7
0-0
-
4-6
67%
1-5
20%
G · 6'1" 185 · 29
33.4
12
60%
7
3
2
0
1
3
0
7
2-2
100%
5-6
83%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 186 · 31
25.7
8
67%
1
1
2
0
2
1
1
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
C · 6'10" 256 · 23
8.7
0
0%
6
1
0
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 215 · 28
29.6
7
21%
1
1
0
1
3
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
29%
1-10
10%
F · 6'9" 230 · 23
25.0
8
44%
7
2
0
0
0
0
5
2
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34
23.7
4
67%
7
2
1
1
2
2
1
6
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 23
15.7
13
81%
1
0
0
0
0
4
1
0
3-5
60%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 29
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24
G · 6'3" 194 · 22
· 6'2" 175 · 32
#30 · F · 6'10" 240 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 6'10" 245 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
49%
49
21
8
3
17
0
11
38
22-28
79%
27-51
53%
9-39
23%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.