FinalWin Prob.pScore
1351%110
112
2149%109
140
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
109.810296.7
DEN logo DEN
135.9103109.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN112
0%
140
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)112
0%
140
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0INDMISS Young 24' 3PT Jump Shot112
0%
140
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0DENMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)112
0%
140
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0INDYoung 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)112
0%
140
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0INDRobinson III REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)109
0%
140
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0INDHernangomez BLOCK (1 BLK)109
0%
140
100%
Q4 - 0:47.0DENBeasley 3' Putback Layup (4 PTS)109
0%
140
100%
Q4 - 0:51.0DENBeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)109
0%
138
100%
Q4 - 0:51.0DENMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot109
0%
138
100%
Q4 - 1:04INDNiang 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)109
0%
138
100%
Q4 - 1:11DENBarton 2' Running Layup (9 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)107
0%
138
100%
Q4 - 1:12INDMurray STEAL (1 STL)107
0%
136
100%
Q4 - 1:24DENMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)107
0%
136
100%
Q4 - 1:24DENMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)107
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 1:33INDBrooks 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)107
0.1%
134
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43DENBeasley 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)104
0%
134
100%
Q4 - 1:49INDYoung 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)104
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)102
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09INDYoung Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T15)102
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13DENHernangomez 2' Layup (4 PTS)102
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34INDRobinson III 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Young 1 AST)102
0.1%
130
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56DENHernangomez 22' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barton 3 AST)100
0.1%
130
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04DENBarton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)100
0.1%
128
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04DENMISS Barton 2' Driving Layup100
0.1%
128
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18INDEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)100
0.1%
128
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18INDEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)99
0.1%
128
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33DENJokic 2' Reverse Layup (22 PTS) (Gallinari 3 AST)98
0.1%
128
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52INDBrooks 5' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)98
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03DENMurray 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)96
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23INDEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)96
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23INDEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)95
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35DENNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jokic 8 AST)94
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54INDMiles 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Brooks 6 AST)94
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00INDSeraphin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01INDMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot91
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13INDPacers Rebound91
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 5:15DENMISS Gallinari 17' Jump Shot91
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 5:34INDEllis 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brooks 5 AST)91
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52DENGallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Harris 6 AST)89
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 6:00INDMISS Miles 22' Step Back Jump Shot89
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 6:18DENNelson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)89
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41INDMiles 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Seraphin 2 AST)89
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 6:49INDEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 6:51DENMISS Faried 1' Putback Layup86
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 6:52DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)86
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 6:53DENMISS Barton 20' Jump Shot86
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 7:15DENNUGGETS Rebound86
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 7:15INDMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 7:37INDSeraphin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 7:39DENMISS Harris 5' Running Jump Shot86
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 7:58INDBrooks 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Seraphin 1 AST)86
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 8:13DENFaried Foul Turnover (P2.T13)83
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 8:24INDSeraphin 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS)83
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 8:38INDRobinson III REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)81
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 8:39INDMISS Brooks 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 8:55DENFaried Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)81
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 9:11DENBarton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 9:12INDMISS Turner 21' Jump Shot81
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 9:25DENChandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)81
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 9:34INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)81
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 9:34INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)80
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 9:37INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 9:39DENMISS Barton 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 9:49DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)79
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 9:49INDMISS Miles 11' Turnaround Jump Shot79
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 10:05DENFaried 2' Cutting Layup Shot (13 PTS) (Barton 2 AST)79
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 10:23DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)79
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 10:24DENMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 10:41DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 10:42INDMISS Turner 14' Jump Shot79
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 10:55DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)79
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 10:55DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)79
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 11:06DENNUGGETS Rebound79
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 11:07DENMISS Harris 4' Driving Layup79
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 11:22INDMiles 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Brooks 4 AST)79
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 11:28INDMiles REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 11:29DENMISS Chandler 3PT Jump Shot76
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 11:37DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 11:37INDMISS Turner 2' Layup76
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 11:49DENFaried Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)76
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN76
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENBarton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q3 - 0:20.0DENChandler Foul Turnover (P1.T11)76
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q3 - 0:32.0INDSeraphin 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brooks 3 AST)76
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q3 - 0:43.0DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)74
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q3 - 0:43.0DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)74
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q3 - 0:47.0DENBarton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q3 - 0:47.0DENMISS Barton 19' Jump Shot74
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q3 - 1:04DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q3 - 1:04INDMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q3 - 1:17DENNelson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T10)74
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q3 - 1:38INDSeraphin Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T14)74
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q3 - 1:43INDMiles REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q3 - 1:44DENMISS Jokic 7' Jump Shot74
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q3 - 2:00INDEllis 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (George 3 AST)74
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q3 - 2:18DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q3 - 2:18DENFaried Putback Dunk (9 PTS)72
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q3 - 2:20DENMISS Gallinari 2' Finger Roll Layup72
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q3 - 2:35INDMiles 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)72
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q3 - 2:48DENGallinari Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Jokic 7 AST)69
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q3 - 3:01INDBrooks 3' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)69
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q3 - 3:17INDSeraphin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q3 - 3:18DENMISS Mudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q3 - 3:25DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)67
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q3 - 3:25INDMISS Seraphin 6' Hook Shot67
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q3 - 3:41DENChandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Mudiay 7 AST)67
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q3 - 3:56INDSeraphin 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 9 AST)67
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q3 - 4:12DENHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)65
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q3 - 4:18DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)65
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q3 - 4:19INDMISS Teague 7' Floating Jump Shot65
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q3 - 4:34DENGallinari 2' Cutting Layup Shot (13 PTS) (Jokic 6 AST)65
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q3 - 4:40DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)65
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q3 - 4:41INDMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q3 - 5:06DENChandler 3' Cutting Layup Shot (13 PTS) (Mudiay 6 AST)65
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q3 - 5:16INDMudiay STEAL (2 STL)65
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q3 - 5:18INDEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)65
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q3 - 5:19INDMISS Young 18' Jump Shot65
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q3 - 5:29DENJokic 6' Jump Bank Shot (20 PTS)65
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q3 - 5:43INDYoung Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T12)65
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q3 - 6:01DENMudiay Driving Dunk (9 PTS)65
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q3 - 6:15DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q3 - 6:16INDMISS George 16' Jump Shot65
2.2%
89
97.8%
Q3 - 6:39DENJokic 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Mudiay 5 AST)65
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q3 - 6:49INDTeague 3' Running Layup (14 PTS)65
3.3%
86
96.7%
Q3 - 7:02DENHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Mudiay 4 AST)63
3.2%
86
96.8%
Q3 - 7:14DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)63
4.2%
83
95.8%
Q3 - 7:16INDMISS George 12' Pullup Jump Shot63
4.4%
83
95.6%
Q3 - 7:31DENJokic Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)63
5.0%
83
95.0%
Q3 - 7:31DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)63
5.1%
82
94.9%
Q3 - 7:42INDTurner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Teague 8 AST)63
5.6%
81
94.4%
Q3 - 7:57DENHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
4.3%
81
95.7%
Q3 - 7:57DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)60
4.4%
80
95.6%
Q3 - 8:09INDTeague Backcourt Turnover (P6.T11)60
5.3%
79
94.7%
Q3 - 8:23DENJokic 2' Driving Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Chandler 3 AST)60
6.2%
79
93.8%
Q3 - 8:50INDRobinson III 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (George 2 AST)60
7.0%
77
93.0%
Q3 - 9:06DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)58
6.8%
77
93.2%
Q3 - 9:09INDChandler STEAL (2 STL)58
8.8%
74
91.2%
Q3 - 9:16DENMudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jokic 5 AST)58
10.0%
74
90.0%
Q3 - 9:32DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)58
12.9%
71
87.1%
Q3 - 9:33INDMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
13.4%
71
86.6%
Q3 - 9:44DENJokic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T8)58
14.7%
71
85.3%
Q3 - 10:01INDRobinson III 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)58
13.6%
71
86.4%
Q3 - 10:09INDRobinson III REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)56
12.2%
71
87.8%
Q3 - 10:10INDMISS Teague 3' Layup56
11.1%
71
88.9%
Q3 - 10:16DENJokic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)56
12.2%
71
87.8%
Q3 - 10:26INDMudiay STEAL (1 STL)56
10.6%
71
89.4%
Q3 - 10:38DENJokic 2' Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)56
12.1%
71
87.9%
Q3 - 10:56DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
13.6%
69
86.4%
Q3 - 10:57INDMISS Young 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
14.1%
69
85.9%
Q3 - 11:20DENChandler Running Dunk (11 PTS) (Harris 5 AST)56
16.2%
69
83.8%
Q3 - 11:26INDHarris STEAL (1 STL)56
18.0%
67
82.0%
Q3 - 11:35INDYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
20.3%
67
79.7%
Q3 - 11:37DENMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
19.6%
67
80.4%
Q3 - 11:46DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
18.0%
67
82.0%
Q3 - 11:47INDMISS Turner 1' Alley Oop Layup56
18.7%
67
81.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND56
20.3%
67
79.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound56
20.3%
67
79.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS Robinson III 37' 3PT Jump Shot56
18.7%
67
81.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENHarris 2' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Jokic 4 AST)56
20.9%
67
79.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0INDGeorge 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Teague 7 AST)56
24.0%
65
76.0%
Q2 - 0:24.0DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)53
18.8%
65
81.2%
Q2 - 0:24.0DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 1 of 253
19.3%
64
80.7%
Q2 - 0:24.0INDTeague Foul Turnover (P3.T7)53
19.4%
64
80.6%
Q2 - 0:38.0INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
20.8%
64
79.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0DENMISS Mudiay 3PT Jump Shot53
20.4%
64
79.6%
Q2 - 0:53.0INDSeraphin 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (George 1 AST)53
19.3%
64
80.7%
Q2 - 1:07DENJokic 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)51
17.4%
64
82.6%
Q2 - 1:26INDTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)51
20.3%
62
79.7%
Q2 - 1:26INDTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)50
20.0%
62
80.0%
Q2 - 1:41DENChandler Dunk (9 PTS) (Jokic 3 AST)49
17.4%
62
82.6%
Q2 - 1:44DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)49
20.3%
60
79.7%
Q2 - 1:47DENMISS Chandler 2' Layup49
21.0%
60
79.0%
Q2 - 2:05DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
20.6%
60
79.4%
Q2 - 2:06INDMISS George Driving Layup49
21.2%
60
78.8%
Q2 - 2:22DENJokic Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)49
22.5%
60
77.5%
Q2 - 2:22DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)49
22.9%
59
77.1%
Q2 - 2:34INDTeague 10' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)49
24.9%
58
75.1%
Q2 - 2:50DENJokic Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)47
22.5%
58
77.5%
Q2 - 2:50DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)47
22.8%
57
77.2%
Q2 - 2:55DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
24.9%
56
75.1%
Q2 - 2:56INDRobinson III REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
27.1%
56
72.9%
Q2 - 2:56INDMISS Robinson III 4' Tip Layup Shot47
25.6%
56
74.4%
Q2 - 2:59INDMudiay BLOCK (1 BLK)47
25.6%
56
74.4%
Q2 - 3:20DENHarris 4' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Jokic 2 AST)47
28.4%
56
71.6%
Q2 - 3:33INDJokic STEAL (1 STL)47
30.5%
54
69.5%
Q2 - 3:38DENGallinari Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)47
33.4%
54
66.6%
Q2 - 3:42INDChandler STEAL (1 STL)47
30.4%
54
69.6%
Q2 - 3:51DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)47
33.4%
54
66.6%
Q2 - 4:01INDYoung 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS)47
39.2%
51
60.8%
Q2 - 4:15INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
36.5%
51
63.5%
Q2 - 4:16DENMISS Mudiay 12' Jump Bank Shot45
35.7%
51
64.3%
Q2 - 4:26DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
33.9%
51
66.1%
Q2 - 4:27INDMISS Turner 8' Turnaround Jump Shot45
34.7%
51
65.3%
Q2 - 4:38INDTurner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
36.5%
51
63.5%
Q2 - 4:39INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
34.7%
51
65.3%
Q2 - 5:02INDTurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
37.0%
51
63.0%
Q2 - 5:02DENMISS Harris 3' Cutting Layup Shot45
36.2%
51
63.8%
Q2 - 5:13DENNUGGETS Rebound45
34.3%
51
65.7%
Q2 - 5:14DENMISS Barton 3' Jump Shot45
36.2%
51
63.8%
Q2 - 5:19DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
34.3%
51
65.7%
Q2 - 5:21INDMISS George 14' Step Back Jump Shot45
35.1%
51
64.9%
Q2 - 5:39DENFaried Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Jokic 1 AST)45
37.0%
51
63.0%
Q2 - 5:44DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
39.5%
49
60.5%
Q2 - 5:44DENMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot45
41.5%
49
58.5%
Q2 - 5:55INDBrooks 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)45
39.5%
49
60.5%
Q2 - 6:06DENFaried 2' Cutting Layup Shot (5 PTS) (Barton 1 AST)43
37.8%
49
62.2%
Q2 - 6:19DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
39.7%
47
60.3%
Q2 - 6:20INDMISS Brooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
40.7%
47
59.3%
Q2 - 6:35INDPacers Rebound43
43.0%
47
57.0%
Q2 - 6:35DENMISS Murray 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot43
42.0%
47
58.0%
Q2 - 6:50INDEllis 8' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
39.7%
47
60.3%
Q2 - 7:02INDTurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
38.2%
47
61.8%
Q2 - 7:03DENMISS Faried 17' Jump Shot41
37.4%
47
62.6%
Q2 - 7:15INDBrooks 6' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)41
35.5%
47
64.5%
Q2 - 7:29DENNurkic 2' Hook Shot (3 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)39
33.3%
47
66.7%
Q2 - 7:45INDEllis 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)39
35.5%
45
64.5%
Q2 - 7:57DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)37
33.3%
45
66.7%
Q2 - 7:57DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
35.7%
44
64.3%
Q2 - 7:57DENFaried 3' Layup (2 PTS)37
35.7%
44
64.3%
Q2 - 7:57DENMISS Murray 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot37
39.8%
42
60.2%
Q2 - 8:02INDNelson STEAL (1 STL)37
38.0%
42
62.0%
Q2 - 8:12DENNurkic Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)37
40.6%
42
59.4%
Q2 - 8:12DENMISS Nurkic Free Throw 1 of 237
41.5%
41
58.5%
Q2 - 8:30INDMiles 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brooks 2 AST)37
40.5%
41
59.5%
Q2 - 8:51DENMurray 5' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
35.8%
41
64.2%
Q2 - 8:59INDMiles 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Brooks 1 AST)34
38.0%
39
62.0%
Q2 - 9:18DENMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
33.9%
39
66.1%
Q2 - 9:18DENMurray 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)31
33.9%
39
66.1%
Q2 - 9:20DENMISS Barton 1' Layup31
37.7%
37
62.3%
Q2 - 9:26INDBarton STEAL (1 STL)31
35.9%
37
64.1%
Q2 - 9:37DENNurkic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)31
38.5%
37
61.5%
Q2 - 9:53DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
35.9%
37
64.1%
Q2 - 9:54INDMISS Brooks 22' Jump Shot31
36.7%
37
63.3%
Q2 - 10:06DENNelson 3' Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS)31
38.7%
37
61.3%
Q2 - 10:12DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
40.7%
35
59.3%
Q2 - 10:13INDMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot31
41.5%
35
58.5%
Q2 - 10:38DENBarton Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)31
43.5%
35
56.5%
Q2 - 10:38DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)31
43.9%
34
56.1%
Q2 - 10:41DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
45.6%
33
54.4%
Q2 - 10:42INDMISS Miles 9' Floating Jump Shot31
46.4%
33
53.6%
Q2 - 10:55DENBarton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)31
48.4%
33
51.6%
Q2 - 11:04DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
52.9%
30
47.1%
Q2 - 11:04INDMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
53.7%
30
46.3%
Q2 - 11:21INDSeraphin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
55.4%
30
44.6%
Q2 - 11:22DENMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
54.6%
30
45.4%
Q2 - 11:39INDSeraphin 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
52.9%
30
47.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND29
50.6%
30
49.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0INDPacers Rebound29
50.0%
30
50.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0INDMISS Brooks 45' 3PT Jump Shot29
48.9%
30
51.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0DENMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)29
50.0%
30
50.0%
Q1 - 0:06.0INDFaried STEAL (1 STL)29
48.4%
30
51.6%
Q1 - 0:25.0INDSeraphin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
50.1%
30
49.9%
Q1 - 0:27.0DENMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot29
49.5%
30
50.5%
Q1 - 0:32.0INDMiles 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)29
48.4%
30
51.6%
Q1 - 0:34.0INDMiles REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
45.4%
30
54.6%
Q1 - 0:36.0INDMISS Miles 1' Tip Layup Shot27
44.2%
30
55.8%
Q1 - 0:36.0INDMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
45.4%
30
54.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0INDMISS Jefferson 14' Jump Shot27
44.2%
30
55.8%
Q1 - 0:37.0INDJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
45.4%
30
54.6%
Q1 - 0:38.0INDFaried BLOCK (1 BLK)27
44.2%
30
55.8%
Q1 - 0:44.0INDPacers Rebound27
45.4%
30
54.6%
Q1 - 0:44.0INDNurkic BLOCK (1 BLK)27
44.2%
30
55.8%
Q1 - 0:50.0DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
45.4%
30
54.6%
Q1 - 0:50.0DENBarton 4' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)27
45.4%
30
54.6%
Q1 - 0:52.0DENMISS Barton 11' Jump Shot27
49.6%
28
50.4%
Q1 - 1:21DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
48.4%
28
51.6%
Q1 - 1:22INDMISS Ellis 7' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot27
49.0%
28
51.0%
Q1 - 1:29INDTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
50.2%
28
49.8%
Q1 - 1:30DENMISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
49.6%
28
50.4%
Q1 - 1:40INDJefferson 1' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)27
48.4%
28
51.6%
Q1 - 2:02DENChandler Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)25
46.0%
28
54.0%
Q1 - 2:22INDTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
48.5%
26
51.5%
Q1 - 2:22INDTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)24
48.2%
26
51.8%
Q1 - 2:23INDTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
46.0%
26
54.0%
Q1 - 2:24DENMISS Harris 18' Jump Shot23
45.3%
26
54.7%
Q1 - 2:39INDJefferson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)23
43.9%
26
56.1%
Q1 - 2:53INDJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
41.4%
26
58.6%
Q1 - 2:55DENMISS Jokic 18' Jump Shot21
40.8%
26
59.2%
Q1 - 3:10DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
39.5%
26
60.5%
Q1 - 3:11INDMISS Teague 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
40.2%
26
59.8%
Q1 - 3:40DENNelson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)21
41.9%
26
58.1%
Q1 - 3:47DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
46.1%
23
53.9%
Q1 - 3:48INDJokic BLOCK (1 BLK)21
46.9%
23
53.1%
Q1 - 3:52INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
48.6%
23
51.4%
Q1 - 3:53DENMISS Jokic 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
47.8%
23
52.2%
Q1 - 4:03INDYoung 5' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)21
46.0%
23
54.0%
Q1 - 4:19DENJokic 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)19
44.3%
23
55.7%
Q1 - 4:28INDTurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
48.2%
20
51.8%
Q1 - 4:28INDTurner 3' Tip Layup Shot (6 PTS)19
48.2%
20
51.8%
Q1 - 4:32INDMISS Turner 5' Jump Shot17
44.6%
20
55.4%
Q1 - 4:46DENHarris 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)17
46.5%
20
53.5%
Q1 - 5:02DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
48.5%
18
51.5%
Q1 - 5:05INDMISS Teague Free Throw 1 of 117
48.8%
18
51.2%
Q1 - 5:15DENGallinari 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Mudiay 3 AST)15
46.6%
18
53.4%
Q1 - 5:29INDGeorge Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T1)15
48.5%
16
51.5%
Q1 - 5:30INDYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
50.8%
16
49.2%
Q1 - 5:31DENMISS Mudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
50.1%
16
49.9%
Q1 - 5:52INDTurner 4' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)15
48.5%
16
51.5%
Q1 - 6:02INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
46.7%
16
53.3%
Q1 - 6:02DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
46.1%
16
53.9%
Q1 - 6:12DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
44.6%
16
55.4%
Q1 - 6:13INDMISS George 16' Jump Shot13
45.2%
16
54.8%
Q1 - 6:29DENMudiay Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)13
46.7%
16
53.3%
Q1 - 6:30DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
44.6%
16
55.4%
Q1 - 6:31INDMISS Robinson III 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
45.2%
16
54.8%
Q1 - 6:52DENChandler 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mudiay 2 AST)13
46.7%
16
53.3%
Q1 - 7:05INDTurner Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Young 2 AST)13
48.6%
14
51.4%
Q1 - 7:06INDYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
47.1%
14
52.9%
Q1 - 7:06INDMISS Turner 20' Jump Shot11
45.5%
14
54.5%
Q1 - 7:18INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
47.1%
14
52.9%
Q1 - 7:19DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot11
46.4%
14
53.6%
Q1 - 7:30DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
44.8%
14
55.2%
Q1 - 7:31DENMISS Harris 4' Driving Layup11
46.4%
14
53.6%
Q1 - 7:48INDGeorge 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)11
44.8%
14
55.2%
Q1 - 7:57DENJokic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
41.4%
14
58.6%
Q1 - 7:59INDTeague 2' Layup (4 PTS)8
39.2%
14
60.8%
Q1 - 8:11DENMudiay 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)6
38.1%
14
61.9%
Q1 - 8:29INDRobinson III 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)6
41.5%
11
58.5%
Q1 - 8:54DENGallinari 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)4
39.9%
11
60.1%
Q1 - 9:22INDTeague 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Young 1 AST)4
43.2%
8
56.8%
Q1 - 9:37DENGallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)2
41.8%
8
58.2%
Q1 - 9:48DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
45.1%
5
54.9%
Q1 - 9:49INDMISS Young 27' 3PT Jump Shot2
45.8%
5
54.2%
Q1 - 9:58INDYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
47.4%
5
52.6%
Q1 - 10:00DENMISS Jokic 4' Hook Shot2
46.7%
5
53.3%
Q1 - 10:13INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
45.2%
5
54.8%
Q1 - 10:13INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
45.0%
5
55.0%
Q1 - 10:14DENMudiay Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
43.6%
5
56.4%
Q1 - 10:19DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.6%
5
58.4%
Q1 - 10:20INDMISS Turner Alley Oop Layup0
42.2%
5
57.8%
Q1 - 10:39DENHarris 4' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Mudiay 1 AST)0
43.6%
5
56.4%
Q1 - 10:49DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.2%
3
54.8%
Q1 - 10:50INDMISS Turner 14' Jump Shot0
45.8%
3
54.2%
Q1 - 11:06DENGallinari 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)0
47.1%
3
52.9%
Q1 - 11:15DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
50.9%
0
49.1%
Q1 - 11:16INDMISS George 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
51.4%
0
48.6%
Q1 - 11:31INDTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
52.6%
0
47.4%
Q1 - 11:32DENMISS Chandler 13' Turnaround Jump Shot0
52.1%
0
47.9%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Turner vs. Jokic: Tip to Chandler0
50.9%
0
49.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.10 54.9%
DEN
1.36 68.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
15
26
58%
DEN
33
44
75%
Midrange
IND
17
39
44%
DEN
4
14
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
12
18.0
29
41%
62%
DEN
15
22.5
32
47%
70%
Free Throws
IND
12
13
92%
DEN
21
23
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Miles2077%10.0 / 13
J. Teague1470%7.0 / 10
A. Brooks1470%7.0 / 10
M. Ellis1255%6.0 / 11
P. George1036%5.0 / 14
K. Seraphin1083%5.0 / 6
M. Turner935%4.5 / 13
G. Robinson III844%4.0 / 9
J. Young583%2.5 / 3
T. Young440%2.0 / 5
A. Jefferson440%2.0 / 5
G. Niang2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić2279%11.0 / 14
W. Chandler2175%10.5 / 14
D. Gallinari1882%9.0 / 11
G. Harris1667%8.0 / 12
K. Faried1575%7.5 / 10
J. Nelson1179%5.5 / 7
E. Mudiay956%4.5 / 8
W. Barton941%4.5 / 11
J. Murray857%4.0 / 7
J. Hernangomez4100%2.0 / 2
M. Beasley4100%2.0 / 2
J. Nurkić375%1.5 / 2
M. Miller0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
86
+15
-16
101
DEN
88
+14
-15
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.10 54.9%
DEN
1.36 68.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.8
113.2
IND 109.8
DEN 135.9 +26.1
Pace
95.9
98.4
IND 96.7
DEN 109.0 +12.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
14.4
IND 14.9
DEN 13.2 +1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.6%
53.0%
IND 53.2%
DEN 66.1% +12.9%
TO %
13.7%
14.7%
IND 13.8%
DEN 13.0% +0.8%
ORB %
21.3%
27.3%
IND 25.5%
DEN 35.3% +9.8%
FTrt
26.1
27.6
IND 13.8
DEN 25.6 +11.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.2%
61.5%
IND 59.1%
DEN 71.2% +12.1%
STL %
8.4%
7.0%
IND 8.8%
DEN 9.7% +0.9%
BLK %
9.0%
6.3%
IND 6.9%
DEN 7.7% +0.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
55.4%
IND 54.9%
DEN 68.0% +13.1%
Rim FG%
59.1%
59.4%
IND 57.7%
DEN 75.0% +17.3%
Mid FG%
42.1%
40.2%
IND 43.6% +15.0%
DEN 28.6%
3P %
37.6%
36.8%
IND 41.4%
DEN 46.9% +5.5%
FT %
81.0%
77.4%
IND 92.3% +1.0%
DEN 91.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.9%
40.9%
IND 27.7%
DEN 48.9% +21.2%
Mid Att. %
39.9%
26.2%
IND 41.5%
DEN 15.6% +25.9%
3P Att. %
27.2%
32.9%
IND 30.9%
DEN 35.6% +4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDDEN
Possessions102103
Possession Minutes25.322.7
Points112140
Rebounds3447
Assists2637
Steals910
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (2)35 (1)
Field Goals44-9452-90
At-the-Rim FG15-2633-44
Midrange FG17-394-14
2-Point FG32-6537-58
3-Point FG12-2915-32
Free Throws12-1321-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 220 · 27
31.3
10
36%
4
3
4
0
2
1
0
4
4-4
100%
0-6
0%
2-6
33%
F · 6'8" 230 · 29
27.9
4
40%
4
2
0
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
G · 6'7" 215 · 23
27.3
8
44%
4
0
0
1
0
0
4
0
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 189 · 29
24.8
14
70%
3
9
0
0
6
2
0
3
4-5
80%
5-7
71%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 250 · 21
20.9
9
35%
6
0
0
1
0
5
2
4
0-0
-
3-12
25%
1-1
100%
G · 6'3" 185 · 31
26.8
12
55%
2
1
2
0
2
0
1
1
4-4
100%
4-6
67%
0-3
0%
G · 6'0" 161 · 32
23.2
14
70%
0
6
3
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
80%
2-5
40%
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 27
20.4
10
83%
5
2
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
5-6
83%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 220 · 30
20.1
20
77%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-6
17%
6-7
86%
C · 6'10" 280 · 32
8.3
4
40%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 28
3.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 25
2.8
5
83%
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 230 · 24
2.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#2 · G · 6'5" 205 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F · 6'9" 250 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
55%
34
26
9
4
16
0
12
22
12-13
92%
32-65
49%
12-29
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.