FinalWin Prob.pScore
258%96
95
192%115
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
94.110191.9
GSW logo GSW
105.9101112.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WarriorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WarriorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAGSW
Q4 - 0:00.0GSW95
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAJohnson 2' Layup (14 PTS)95
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0GSWDurant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)93
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)93
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0GSWDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)90
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0GSWDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)90
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0GSWMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Waiters 11' Jump Shot90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0GSWDurant 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Green 5 AST)90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)90
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 289
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0GSWIguodala Running Dunk (9 PTS) (Curry 9 AST)89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00MIACurry STEAL (1 STL)89
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18GSWCurry 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (24 PTS)89
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)89
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Jump Shot89
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 1:40MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:17)89
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 1:40MIAMISS Waiters 30' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 2:03GSWDurant 17' Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS)89
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 2:13GSWDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)89
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 2:13MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Jump Shot89
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 2:28MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)89
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q4 - 2:29GSWMISS Curry 27' 3PT Jump Shot89
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q4 - 2:40MIADragic 24' 3PT Running Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)89
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 2:49MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 2:50GSWMISS Green Running Finger Roll Layup86
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 2:56MIAGreen STEAL (2 STL)86
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 3:13GSWCurry 29' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (22 PTS)86
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 3:21GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)86
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 3:23MIAMISS Waiters 1' Driving Layup86
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 3:37GSWPachulia Foul Turnover (P2.T10)86
2.4%
93
97.6%
Q4 - 3:44MIAWhiteside 17' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)86
1.6%
93
98.4%
Q4 - 3:58GSWClark 1' Cutting Layup Shot (10 PTS) (Iguodala 4 AST)84
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q4 - 4:13MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (24 PTS) (Waiters 8 AST)84
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 4:48GSWPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)82
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 4:48GSWPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)82
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 4:54GSWPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q4 - 4:54MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 5:06MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:17)82
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 5:07GSWMISS Pachulia 17' Jump Shot82
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q4 - 5:25GSWClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 5:26MIAMISS Waiters 3PT Jump Shot82
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 5:44GSWClark 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Iguodala 3 AST)82
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 5:53GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
5.1%
86
94.9%
Q4 - 5:54MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
5.6%
86
94.4%
Q4 - 6:15GSWLivingston Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)82
7.4%
86
92.6%
Q4 - 6:15GSWMISS Livingston Free Throw 1 of 282
7.8%
85
92.2%
Q4 - 6:36MIAJohnson Cutting Dunk Shot (17 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)82
7.1%
85
92.9%
Q4 - 6:52MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
5.5%
85
94.5%
Q4 - 6:52GSWMISS Livingston 17' Jump Shot80
5.0%
85
95.0%
Q4 - 7:00GSWWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
4.0%
85
96.0%
Q4 - 7:00GSWMISS Durant 12' Jump Shot80
5.0%
85
95.0%
Q4 - 7:15MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (22 PTS) (Waiters 7 AST)80
4.4%
85
95.6%
Q4 - 7:24MIAHeat Rebound78
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q4 - 7:24MIAMISS Dragic 12' Step Back Jump Shot78
2.8%
85
97.2%
Q4 - 7:34MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:16)78
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q4 - 7:35GSWMISS Clark 12' Jump Bank Shot78
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q4 - 7:58MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (20 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)78
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q4 - 8:15MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:15)76
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 8:15GSWMISS West 15' Jump Shot76
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q4 - 8:36MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)76
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 8:36MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 275
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 8:48GSWLivingston 8' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (West 3 AST)75
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 8:58GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)75
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 8:58MIAMISS Dragic 14' Jump Shot75
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q4 - 9:08MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
3.2%
83
96.8%
Q4 - 9:08GSWMISS Livingston 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot75
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q4 - 9:29MIAWhiteside 13' Turnaround Hook Shot (18 PTS)75
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q4 - 9:56GSWDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)73
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q4 - 9:56GSWDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)73
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q4 - 10:00GSWIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q4 - 10:00MIAMISS McGruder 18' Jump Shot73
2.6%
81
97.4%
Q4 - 10:19MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:14)73
3.4%
81
96.6%
Q4 - 10:19GSWMISS Iguodala 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
3.2%
81
96.8%
Q4 - 10:36MIAWhiteside Putback Dunk (16 PTS)73
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q4 - 10:37MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)71
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q4 - 10:38MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q4 - 10:48MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)71
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q4 - 10:48GSWMISS Durant 12' Pullup Jump Shot71
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q4 - 11:05MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McGruder 2 AST)71
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q4 - 11:23GSWWest 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Iguodala 2 AST)68
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 11:41MIAWest STEAL (1 STL)68
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA68
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0GSWMcGee 8' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Clark 3 AST)68
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q3 - 0:17.0GSWDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)68
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMISS McGruder 6' Jump Shot68
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
3.2%
77
96.8%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAMcGee BLOCK (2 BLK)68
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q3 - 0:45.0GSWCurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)68
3.2%
77
96.8%
Q3 - 0:45.0GSWCurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)68
3.3%
76
96.7%
Q3 - 0:52.0GSWIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
4.0%
75
96.0%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot68
4.2%
75
95.8%
Q3 - 1:12MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
5.0%
75
95.0%
Q3 - 1:12GSWMISS Clark 1' Running Layup68
4.7%
75
95.3%
Q3 - 1:17GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)68
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q3 - 1:17MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
4.4%
75
95.6%
Q3 - 1:44GSWDurant 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Clark 2 AST)68
5.0%
75
95.0%
Q3 - 1:59MIAReed 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Waiters 6 AST)68
7.2%
72
92.8%
Q3 - 2:12MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
6.0%
72
94.0%
Q3 - 2:12GSWMISS Curry 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot66
5.7%
72
94.3%
Q3 - 2:25GSWIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
5.0%
72
95.0%
Q3 - 2:26GSWMISS Iguodala 3' Layup66
5.7%
72
94.3%
Q3 - 2:32GSWIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
5.0%
72
95.0%
Q3 - 2:32MIAMISS Waiters 16' Jump Shot66
5.3%
72
94.7%
Q3 - 2:47MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
6.0%
72
94.0%
Q3 - 2:47GSWMISS Green 8' Floating Jump Shot66
5.7%
72
94.3%
Q3 - 3:04GSWMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
5.2%
72
94.8%
Q3 - 3:05MIAMcGee BLOCK (1 BLK)66
5.5%
72
94.5%
Q3 - 3:16GSWIguodala 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Curry 8 AST)66
6.2%
72
93.8%
Q3 - 3:32MIAJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)66
8.5%
69
91.5%
Q3 - 3:49GSWGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)63
6.2%
69
93.8%
Q3 - 3:49GSWGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)63
6.5%
68
93.5%
Q3 - 3:58GSWWARRIORS Rebound63
7.2%
67
92.8%
Q3 - 3:58MIAMISS Waiters 27' 3PT Jump Shot63
7.6%
67
92.4%
Q3 - 4:06MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
8.6%
67
91.4%
Q3 - 4:07GSWMISS Curry 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup63
8.1%
67
91.9%
Q3 - 4:22MIAReed Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)63
7.1%
67
92.9%
Q3 - 4:22MIAReed Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)62
6.7%
67
93.3%
Q3 - 4:36GSWMcGee Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)61
6.2%
67
93.8%
Q3 - 4:52GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
5.2%
67
94.8%
Q3 - 4:53MIAMISS McGruder Free Throw 2 of 261
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q3 - 4:53MIAMcGruder Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)61
5.9%
67
94.1%
Q3 - 5:10GSWMcCaw 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 4 AST)60
5.4%
67
94.6%
Q3 - 5:18GSWPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
7.2%
64
92.8%
Q3 - 5:19MIAMISS Whiteside 16' Jump Shot60
7.6%
64
92.4%
Q3 - 5:38MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
8.6%
64
91.4%
Q3 - 5:39GSWMISS Curry 27' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot60
8.1%
64
91.9%
Q3 - 5:45GSWMcCaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
7.2%
64
92.8%
Q3 - 5:46MIACurry BLOCK (1 BLK)60
7.6%
64
92.4%
Q3 - 5:49MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
8.6%
64
91.4%
Q3 - 5:50GSWMISS Durant 3' Layup60
8.1%
64
91.9%
Q3 - 6:12MIAWaiters 1' Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS)60
7.1%
64
92.9%
Q3 - 6:24MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)58
6.2%
64
93.8%
Q3 - 6:25GSWMISS McCaw 3PT Jump Shot58
5.9%
64
94.1%
Q3 - 6:34GSWDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
5.3%
64
94.7%
Q3 - 6:35MIAMISS Babbitt 11' Jump Bank Shot58
5.6%
64
94.4%
Q3 - 6:58GSWDurant Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Curry 7 AST)58
6.2%
64
93.8%
Q3 - 7:06GSWPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
7.1%
62
92.9%
Q3 - 7:07MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
7.5%
62
92.5%
Q3 - 7:33GSWGreen Driving Dunk (11 PTS) (Curry 6 AST)58
8.4%
62
91.6%
Q3 - 7:45MIAWaiters 10' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)58
9.4%
60
90.6%
Q3 - 8:03GSWMcCaw Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)56
8.3%
60
91.7%
Q3 - 8:06MIADurant STEAL (1 STL)56
7.1%
60
92.9%
Q3 - 8:21MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)56
8.4%
60
91.6%
Q3 - 8:21GSWMISS Curry 17' Jump Shot56
7.9%
60
92.1%
Q3 - 8:33GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
7.1%
60
92.9%
Q3 - 8:33MIAMISS Babbitt 3PT Jump Shot56
7.5%
60
92.5%
Q3 - 8:47MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)56
8.4%
60
91.6%
Q3 - 8:47GSWMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
8.0%
60
92.0%
Q3 - 9:02MIAPachulia STEAL (1 STL)56
7.0%
60
93.0%
Q3 - 9:16GSWCurry Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T7)56
8.0%
60
92.0%
Q3 - 9:22GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
7.0%
60
93.0%
Q3 - 9:22MIAMISS Babbitt 30' 3PT Jump Shot56
7.3%
60
92.7%
Q3 - 9:32MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
8.1%
60
91.9%
Q3 - 9:33GSWMISS Curry 19' Jump Shot56
7.7%
60
92.3%
Q3 - 9:46MIADragic Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6)56
7.0%
60
93.0%
Q3 - 10:07GSWDurant 7' Turnaround Fadeaway (14 PTS) (Pachulia 3 AST)56
7.8%
60
92.2%
Q3 - 10:25MIABabbitt 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)56
8.8%
58
91.2%
Q3 - 10:39MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
7.8%
58
92.2%
Q3 - 10:40GSWMISS Curry 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
7.5%
58
92.5%
Q3 - 10:45GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
6.8%
58
93.2%
Q3 - 10:47MIAMISS Waiters 21' Jump Shot54
7.1%
58
92.9%
Q3 - 10:51MIAHeat Rebound54
7.8%
58
92.2%
Q3 - 10:51MIADurant BLOCK (2 BLK)54
7.1%
58
92.9%
Q3 - 11:26GSWCurry 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)54
7.5%
58
92.5%
Q3 - 11:37MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P1.T5)54
8.4%
56
91.6%
Q3 - 11:47GSWDurant 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Curry 5 AST)54
9.6%
56
90.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
12.2%
53
87.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)54
13.9%
53
86.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)54
14.3%
52
85.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAEllington Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)54
15.4%
51
84.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAEllington Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)53
15.2%
51
84.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAEllington Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)52
14.9%
51
85.1%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)51
11.8%
51
88.2%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
11.2%
51
88.8%
Q2 - 0:38.0GSWCurry 19' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)51
11.8%
51
88.2%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAWhiteside Driving Dunk (14 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)51
13.7%
49
86.3%
Q2 - 0:55.0GSWGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)49
11.8%
49
88.2%
Q2 - 0:55.0GSWMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 249
12.2%
48
87.8%
Q2 - 0:55.0GSWWARRIORS Rebound49
12.2%
48
87.8%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
12.5%
48
87.5%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
13.3%
48
86.7%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
12.5%
48
87.5%
Q2 - 1:17MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
13.1%
48
86.9%
Q2 - 1:18GSWMISS Durant 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot49
12.8%
48
87.2%
Q2 - 1:26MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)49
12.4%
48
87.6%
Q2 - 1:37MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)46
9.3%
48
90.7%
Q2 - 1:37GSWMISS Curry 4' Hook Shot46
9.1%
48
90.9%
Q2 - 1:50GSWDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
8.8%
48
91.2%
Q2 - 1:51MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
8.9%
48
91.1%
Q2 - 2:02GSWCurry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)46
9.5%
48
90.5%
Q2 - 2:10MIAGreen STEAL (1 STL)46
8.5%
48
91.5%
Q2 - 2:25MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)46
9.5%
48
90.5%
Q2 - 2:25GSWMISS Clark 29' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot46
9.2%
48
90.8%
Q2 - 2:50GSWWARRIORS Rebound46
8.5%
48
91.5%
Q2 - 2:50MIAMISS Waiters 3' Layup46
8.8%
48
91.2%
Q2 - 3:00MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
9.4%
48
90.6%
Q2 - 3:00GSWMISS Curry 27' 3PT Jump Shot46
9.2%
48
90.8%
Q2 - 3:12MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Layup (12 PTS) (Waiters 5 AST)46
8.2%
48
91.8%
Q2 - 3:22MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
7.5%
48
92.5%
Q2 - 3:22GSWMISS Durant 14' Fadeaway Jumper44
7.2%
48
92.8%
Q2 - 3:35MIAWhiteside 3' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)44
6.6%
48
93.4%
Q2 - 4:03GSWCurry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)42
5.8%
48
94.2%
Q2 - 4:17MIAWhiteside 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Waiters 4 AST)42
7.2%
45
92.8%
Q2 - 4:39GSWPachulia 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Curry 4 AST)40
6.5%
45
93.5%
Q2 - 4:54MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
7.3%
43
92.7%
Q2 - 4:54MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)39
7.1%
43
92.9%
Q2 - 5:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)38
6.5%
43
93.5%
Q2 - 5:02GSWMISS Curry 2' Layup38
6.2%
43
93.8%
Q2 - 5:21GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
5.8%
43
94.2%
Q2 - 5:22MIAGreen BLOCK (2 BLK)38
6.0%
43
94.0%
Q2 - 5:41GSWLivingston Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)38
6.5%
43
93.5%
Q2 - 5:41GSWMISS Livingston Free Throw 1 of 238
6.6%
42
93.4%
Q2 - 5:50MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)38
6.4%
42
93.6%
Q2 - 6:02GSWClark Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)36
5.9%
42
94.1%
Q2 - 6:21MIAMcGruder 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)36
5.2%
42
94.8%
Q2 - 6:21MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
4.8%
42
95.2%
Q2 - 6:22MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Hook Shot34
4.4%
42
95.6%
Q2 - 6:44MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
4.8%
42
95.2%
Q2 - 6:44GSWMISS West 20' Jump Shot34
4.6%
42
95.4%
Q2 - 7:04MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)34
4.3%
42
95.7%
Q2 - 7:17GSWIguodala 18' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)32
4.0%
42
96.0%
Q2 - 7:34GSWWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
4.3%
40
95.7%
Q2 - 7:35MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 232
4.4%
40
95.6%
Q2 - 7:35MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)32
4.6%
40
95.4%
Q2 - 7:56GSWLivingston 16' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS) (Green 3 AST)31
4.4%
40
95.6%
Q2 - 8:15GSWWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
4.8%
38
95.2%
Q2 - 8:16MIAMISS Reed 4' Jump Shot31
5.0%
38
95.0%
Q2 - 8:27MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
5.3%
38
94.7%
Q2 - 8:28GSWMISS Green 2' Driving Layup31
5.2%
38
94.8%
Q2 - 8:35GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
4.8%
38
95.2%
Q2 - 8:36MIAMISS Ellington 29' 3PT Jump Shot31
5.0%
38
95.0%
Q2 - 8:57GSWGreen 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (West 2 AST)31
5.3%
38
94.7%
Q2 - 9:09MIAReed Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)31
5.8%
36
94.2%
Q2 - 9:32GSWClark 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Livingston 1 AST)31
6.5%
36
93.5%
Q2 - 9:38GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
7.7%
33
92.3%
Q2 - 9:38MIAMISS Dragic 11' Jump Shot31
8.0%
33
92.0%
Q2 - 9:59GSWIguodala 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Green 2 AST)31
8.5%
33
91.5%
Q2 - 10:03GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
9.4%
31
90.6%
Q2 - 10:04MIAMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot31
9.7%
31
90.3%
Q2 - 10:13MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
10.4%
31
89.6%
Q2 - 10:13GSWMISS Green 29' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot31
10.1%
31
89.9%
Q2 - 10:22GSWWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
9.4%
31
90.6%
Q2 - 10:23MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
9.7%
31
90.3%
Q2 - 10:39GSWGreen 3' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (West 1 AST)31
10.4%
31
89.6%
Q2 - 10:44GSWWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
11.2%
29
88.8%
Q2 - 10:45MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot31
11.5%
29
88.5%
Q2 - 11:05GSWLivingston 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Clark 1 AST)31
11.8%
29
88.2%
Q2 - 11:13GSWWARRIORS Rebound31
12.9%
27
87.1%
Q2 - 11:13GSWMISS Clark 14' Pullup Jump Shot31
13.7%
27
86.3%
Q2 - 11:31MIAJohnson 1' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)31
12.9%
27
87.1%
Q2 - 11:38MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
11.9%
27
88.1%
Q2 - 11:38GSWMISS West 8' Jump Shot29
11.6%
27
88.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSW29
10.9%
27
89.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJohnson Running Dunk (4 PTS)29
10.9%
27
89.1%
Q1 - 0:05.0GSWCurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)27
9.7%
27
90.3%
Q1 - 0:05.0GSWCurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)27
9.8%
26
90.2%
Q1 - 0:20.0GSWIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
10.8%
25
89.2%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIADurant BLOCK (1 BLK)27
11.0%
25
89.0%
Q1 - 0:53.0GSWDurant Dunk (9 PTS)27
11.5%
25
88.5%
Q1 - 0:53.0GSWDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
12.8%
23
87.2%
Q1 - 0:53.0GSWMISS Durant 2' Layup27
13.3%
23
86.7%
Q1 - 1:06MIAWaiters Foul Turnover (P1.T2)27
12.7%
23
87.3%
Q1 - 1:13MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
13.5%
23
86.5%
Q1 - 1:13GSWMISS Clark 3' Layup27
13.2%
23
86.8%
Q1 - 1:22MIAWaiters 5' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)27
12.7%
23
87.3%
Q1 - 1:39GSWDurant Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)25
11.4%
23
88.6%
Q1 - 1:50MIADragic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)25
13.8%
20
86.2%
Q1 - 1:56GSWDurant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)25
14.6%
20
85.4%
Q1 - 2:01GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
13.5%
20
86.5%
Q1 - 2:02MIAMISS Dragic 27' 3PT Jump Shot25
13.8%
20
86.2%
Q1 - 2:23GSWCurry 31' 3PT Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)25
14.6%
20
85.4%
Q1 - 2:29GSWMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
17.2%
17
82.8%
Q1 - 2:29MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
17.5%
17
82.5%
Q1 - 2:35GSWClark 12' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
18.4%
17
81.6%
Q1 - 2:52MIAJohnson Driving Dunk (2 PTS)25
20.0%
15
80.0%
Q1 - 3:16GSWDurant 13' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Iguodala 1 AST)23
17.8%
15
82.2%
Q1 - 3:29MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Whiteside 2 AST)23
19.0%
13
81.0%
Q1 - 3:49GSWDurant Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)20
16.6%
13
83.4%
Q1 - 4:13MIADragic 2' Driving Reverse Layup (9 PTS)20
17.0%
11
83.0%
Q1 - 4:23MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)18
16.1%
11
83.9%
Q1 - 4:24GSWMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
15.6%
11
84.4%
Q1 - 4:37MIAJohnson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)18
14.7%
11
85.3%
Q1 - 4:57GSWPachulia 1' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Curry 2 AST)16
13.8%
11
86.2%
Q1 - 5:02GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
13.9%
9
86.1%
Q1 - 5:03MIAMISS Waiters 18' Jump Shot16
14.2%
9
85.8%
Q1 - 5:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)16
15.0%
9
85.0%
Q1 - 5:19GSWMISS Durant 5' Hook Shot16
14.7%
9
85.3%
Q1 - 5:36MIAJohnson 1' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)16
14.0%
9
86.0%
Q1 - 5:40GSWGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
13.1%
9
86.9%
Q1 - 5:54MIAWaiters 17' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
12.1%
9
87.9%
Q1 - 6:04MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
10.9%
9
89.1%
Q1 - 6:06GSWMISS Durant 4' Jump Shot12
10.6%
9
89.4%
Q1 - 6:15GSWPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
10.1%
9
89.9%
Q1 - 6:15MIAMISS Dragic 3PT Jump Shot12
10.3%
9
89.7%
Q1 - 6:28MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
10.9%
9
89.1%
Q1 - 6:29GSWMISS McCaw 17' Jump Shot12
10.6%
9
89.4%
Q1 - 6:41MIAWhiteside Dunk (5 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)12
10.1%
9
89.9%
Q1 - 6:54MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
9.4%
9
90.6%
Q1 - 6:55GSWMISS Durant 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot10
9.2%
9
90.8%
Q1 - 7:01GSWDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
8.4%
9
91.6%
Q1 - 7:02MIAMISS Babbitt 15' Jump Shot10
8.7%
9
91.3%
Q1 - 7:11GSWPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
9.2%
9
90.8%
Q1 - 7:22GSWMISS Curry Free Throw Technical10
8.5%
9
91.5%
Q1 - 7:32GSWDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
8.5%
9
91.5%
Q1 - 7:33MIAMISS Babbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
8.7%
9
91.3%
Q1 - 7:52GSWCurry 27' 3PT Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Green 1 AST)10
9.2%
9
90.8%
Q1 - 7:57GSWPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
10.4%
6
89.6%
Q1 - 7:59MIAMISS Dragic 2' Layup10
10.7%
6
89.3%
Q1 - 8:05MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
10.9%
6
89.1%
Q1 - 8:06GSWMISS Durant 27' 3PT Jump Shot10
10.7%
6
89.3%
Q1 - 8:09GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
10.2%
6
89.8%
Q1 - 8:10GSWMISS Curry 3' Layup10
10.7%
6
89.3%
Q1 - 8:26GSWMcCaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
10.2%
6
89.8%
Q1 - 8:27MIAMISS McGruder 3PT Jump Shot10
10.4%
6
89.6%
Q1 - 8:42GSWPachulia 1' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)10
11.0%
6
89.0%
Q1 - 8:48GSWMcCaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
11.6%
4
88.4%
Q1 - 8:48MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Layup10
11.9%
4
88.1%
Q1 - 9:04GSWCurry Illegal Screen Turnover (P1.T1)10
12.3%
4
87.7%
Q1 - 9:13MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)10
11.4%
4
88.6%
Q1 - 9:19MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
10.8%
4
89.2%
Q1 - 9:20GSWMISS Curry 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
10.5%
4
89.5%
Q1 - 9:28GSWWARRIORS Rebound8
9.9%
4
90.1%
Q1 - 9:28GSWMISS Pachulia 3' Layup8
10.5%
4
89.5%
Q1 - 9:28GSWPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
9.9%
4
90.1%
Q1 - 9:28GSWMISS Durant 20' Jump Shot8
10.5%
4
89.5%
Q1 - 9:44MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)8
10.0%
4
90.0%
Q1 - 10:00GSWCurry 21' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
8.8%
4
91.2%
Q1 - 10:11MIADragic 12' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)5
9.3%
2
90.7%
Q1 - 10:26MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
8.7%
2
91.3%
Q1 - 10:27GSWMISS Green 18' Turnaround Jump Shot3
8.5%
2
91.5%
Q1 - 10:45MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
8.1%
2
91.9%
Q1 - 10:51MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
7.1%
2
92.9%
Q1 - 10:52GSWMISS Curry 3PT Jump Shot0
7.0%
2
93.0%
Q1 - 11:17GSWDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
6.6%
2
93.4%
Q1 - 11:17MIAMISS Whiteside 13' Jump Shot0
6.7%
2
93.3%
Q1 - 11:32GSWGreen 2' Running Layup (2 PTS)0
7.0%
2
93.0%
Q1 - 11:36GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
7.5%
0
92.5%
Q1 - 11:38MIAGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)0
7.7%
0
92.3%
Q1 - 12:00GSWJump Ball Pachulia vs. Whiteside: Tip to Dragic0
8.0%
0
92.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 48.0%
GSW
1.09 54.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
25
36
69%
GSW
13
27
48%
Midrange
MIA
7
24
29%
GSW
15
32
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
30
20%
30%
GSW
11
16.5
27
41%
61%
Free Throws
MIA
13
17
76%
GSW
18
22
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside2676%13.0 / 17
T. Johnson1869%9.0 / 13
G. Dragic1753%8.5 / 16
J. Johnson1447%7.0 / 15
D. Waiters824%4.0 / 17
W. Reed450%2.0 / 4
R. McGruder325%1.5 / 6
W. Ellington375%1.5 / 2
L. Babbitt217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Durant2861%14.0 / 23
S. Curry2452%12.0 / 23
D. Green1346%6.5 / 14
I. Clark1056%5.0 / 9
A. Iguodala975%4.5 / 6
Z. Pachulia867%4.0 / 6
S. Livingston857%4.0 / 7
P. McCaw350%1.5 / 3
D. West225%1.0 / 4
J. McGee2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
90
+8
-11
98
GSW
90
+7
-11
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 48.0%
GSW
1.09 54.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
115.5
MIA 94.1 +11.9
GSW 105.9
Pace
95.0
99.9
MIA 91.9
GSW 112.1 +20.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
14.1
MIA 15.7
GSW 12.8 +2.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
56.3%
MIA 45.6%
GSW 51.7% +6.1%
TO %
13.2%
14.4%
MIA 10.1% +0.2%
GSW 10.3%
ORB %
24.2%
22.8%
MIA 12.2% +1.1%
GSW 11.1%
FTrt
25.1
25.9
MIA 18.9
GSW 25.6 +6.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
70.5%
MIA 65.8%
GSW 71.8% +6.0%
STL %
7.5%
9.6%
MIA 5.9%
GSW 5.9%
BLK %
9.3%
11.0%
MIA 6.8%
GSW 11.7% +4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
58.4%
MIA 48.0%
GSW 54.6% +6.6%
Rim FG%
59.2%
65.2%
MIA 69.4% +21.3%
GSW 48.1%
Mid FG%
39.4%
44.7%
MIA 29.2%
GSW 46.9% +17.7%
3P %
36.5%
38.3%
MIA 20.0%
GSW 40.7% +20.7%
FT %
70.6%
78.8%
MIA 76.5%
GSW 81.8% +5.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
34.5%
MIA 40.0% +8.6%
GSW 31.4%
Mid Att. %
33.1%
29.6%
MIA 26.7% +10.5%
GSW 37.2%
3P Att. %
31.4%
35.9%
MIA 33.3% +1.9%
GSW 31.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.01 and 3.01.
Game TotalsMIAGSW
Possessions101101
Possession Minutes26.421.6
Points95107
Rebounds4648
Assists2528
Steals66
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (0)43 (3)
Field Goals38-9039-86
At-the-Rim FG25-3613-27
Midrange FG7-2415-32
2-Point FG32-6028-59
3-Point FG6-3011-27
Free Throws13-1718-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 190 · 31
37.9
17
53%
2
4
1
0
3
2
0
2
1-1
100%
5-11
45%
2-5
40%
G · 6'4" 215 · 25
37.7
8
24%
3
8
2
0
1
4
0
3
0-0
-
4-12
33%
0-5
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 28
37.0
26
76%
20
2
1
2
4
3
3
17
2-3
67%
12-17
71%
0-0
-
F · 6'4" 200 · 25
31.8
3
25%
7
2
0
1
0
3
2
5
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
18.2
2
17%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-3
0%
G · 6'3" 186 · 25
30.0
18
69%
7
3
0
0
0
3
1
6
3-4
75%
3-3
100%
3-8
38%
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
29.6
14
47%
2
6
2
0
2
4
0
2
1-2
50%
5-7
71%
1-7
14%
· 6'11" 245 · 27
11.0
4
50%
4
0
0
1
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 29
7.0
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
F · 6'8" 240 · 26
F · 6'7" 225 · 21
F · 6'8" 235 · 37
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
48%
46
25
6
4
11
0
6
40
13-17
76%
32-60
53%
6-30
20%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.