FinalWin Prob.pScore
2827%99
86
873%107
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
90.59597.4
LAC logo LAC
101.09794.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ClippersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ClippersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIALAC
Q4 - 0:00.0LAC86
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0LACJordan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:16)86
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Dragic 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0LACMISS Felton 3' Layup86
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIADragic 11' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)86
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08LACMISS Felton 12' Pullup Jump Shot84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29LACW. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43LACMISS Crawford 10' Floating Jump Shot84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59MIAJohnson Cutting Dunk Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11LACBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11LACBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31MIAWilliams 16' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49MIAHeat Rebound80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49LACMISS W. Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12MIADragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23LACMISS Felton 28' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44MIAWhiteside 4' Jump Shot (15 PTS)78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47MIAMISS Johnson 7' Floating Jump Shot76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57LACMISS Crawford 27' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:38MIAWhiteside Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56LACRedick Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06LACW. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:07MIAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:40LACMISS Speights 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:53LACBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:57MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:09MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:11LACMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:28MIADragic 2' Cutting Layup Shot (20 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:34LACBass Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)72
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:40LACBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:42LACMISS Redick 5' Floating Jump Shot72
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P5.T15)72
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:09LACSpeights 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)72
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:24LACRedick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:25MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot72
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:41LACSpeights Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)72
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:41LACSpeights Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)72
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 7:44LACFelton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 7:46MIAMISS Ellington 28' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 8:08MIAHeat Rebound72
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 8:08LACMISS Felton 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 8:33MIAEllington 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)72
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 8:47LACSpeights Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)70
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 8:47LACSpeights Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)70
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 9:00MIAEllington Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)70
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 9:00MIAEllington Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)69
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 9:11LACSpeights 3' Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Paul 18 AST)68
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 9:22LACFelton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 9:25MIAMISS Ellington 17' Fadeaway Jumper68
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 9:39MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 9:43LACMISS Bass 2' Reverse Layup68
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 9:52LACPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 9:53MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 10:08LACPaul 12' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)68
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 10:24LACMISS Paul Free Throw Technical68
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 10:24MIAJohnson Traveling Turnover (P3.T14)68
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 10:35LACSpeights 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Paul 17 AST)68
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 10:47LACPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q4 - 10:49MIAMISS Johnson 16' Pullup Jump Shot68
1.5%
82
98.5%
Q4 - 11:05LACBass Cutting Dunk Shot (10 PTS) (Paul 16 AST)68
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q4 - 11:11LACCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
2.6%
80
97.4%
Q4 - 11:14MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q4 - 11:20LACBass Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)68
3.2%
80
96.8%
Q4 - 11:44MIAJohnson 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)68
2.6%
80
97.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA66
2.1%
80
97.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0LACRedick 2' Running Layup (25 PTS) (Paul 15 AST)66
2.1%
80
97.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIABass STEAL (2 STL)66
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q3 - 0:07.0LACBass Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Paul 14 AST)66
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIADragic 2' Layup (18 PTS)66
4.4%
76
95.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
3.6%
76
96.4%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 264
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)64
3.5%
76
96.5%
Q3 - 0:42.0LACPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)63
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q3 - 0:42.0LACPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)63
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIADragic 2' Driving Reverse Layup (15 PTS)63
3.6%
74
96.4%
Q3 - 1:03MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)61
3.4%
74
96.6%
Q3 - 1:04LACMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
3.2%
74
96.8%
Q3 - 1:09MIAReed Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)61
2.8%
74
97.2%
Q3 - 1:09MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)61
3.4%
74
96.6%
Q3 - 1:11LACMISS Paul 15' Step Back Jump Shot61
3.2%
74
96.8%
Q3 - 1:20LACSpeights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)61
2.8%
74
97.2%
Q3 - 1:21LACMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
3.2%
74
96.8%
Q3 - 1:34MIAJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)61
2.7%
74
97.3%
Q3 - 1:46LACSpeights 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)58
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q3 - 1:57MIAMcGruder Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)58
2.7%
71
97.3%
Q3 - 1:57MIAMcGruder Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)57
2.6%
71
97.4%
Q3 - 1:58MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 1:59MIAMISS Reed 15' Jump Shot56
2.0%
71
98.0%
Q3 - 2:32LACMbah a Moute Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)56
2.5%
71
97.5%
Q3 - 2:36MIAMbah a Moute STEAL (1 STL)56
2.1%
71
97.9%
Q3 - 2:58LACCrawford Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)56
2.5%
71
97.5%
Q3 - 3:09LACRedick Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (23 PTS)56
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 3:09LACRedick Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (22 PTS)56
2.4%
70
97.6%
Q3 - 3:09LACJordan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:15)56
3.3%
69
96.7%
Q3 - 3:10MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot56
3.5%
69
96.5%
Q3 - 3:23MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
3.9%
69
96.1%
Q3 - 3:24LACMISS Crawford 22' Jump Shot56
3.7%
69
96.3%
Q3 - 3:42LACFelton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
3.3%
69
96.7%
Q3 - 3:43MIAMISS Waiters 21' Jump Shot56
3.5%
69
96.5%
Q3 - 3:55LACJordan 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)56
3.9%
69
96.1%
Q3 - 4:17MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
3.5%
69
96.5%
Q3 - 4:17MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
3.3%
69
96.7%
Q3 - 4:18LACFelton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)54
3.0%
69
97.0%
Q3 - 4:30MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)54
2.5%
69
97.5%
Q3 - 4:30MIAReed 2' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)54
2.5%
69
97.5%
Q3 - 4:31MIAMISS Reed 1' Tip Layup Shot52
1.9%
69
98.1%
Q3 - 4:33MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
2.1%
69
97.9%
Q3 - 4:33MIAMISS Dragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot52
1.9%
69
98.1%
Q3 - 4:41MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
2.1%
69
97.9%
Q3 - 4:43LACMISS Felton 4' Driving Layup52
2.0%
69
98.0%
Q3 - 4:51LACJordan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:14)52
1.8%
69
98.2%
Q3 - 4:55MIAMISS Reed 10' Floating Jump Shot52
1.9%
69
98.1%
Q3 - 5:16MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
2.4%
69
97.6%
Q3 - 5:17LACMISS Redick 21' Jump Shot52
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 5:29LACJordan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)52
2.0%
69
98.0%
Q3 - 5:30MIAMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot52
2.1%
69
97.9%
Q3 - 5:37MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q3 - 5:39LACMISS Redick 15' Turnaround Jump Shot52
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 5:42LACRedick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
2.0%
69
98.0%
Q3 - 5:44LACMISS Felton 28' 3PT Jump Shot52
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 5:51LACFelton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
2.0%
69
98.0%
Q3 - 5:52LACMISS Mbah a Moute 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 6:00MIAWhiteside Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)52
1.9%
69
98.1%
Q3 - 6:00MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)52
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q3 - 6:01MIAMbah a Moute BLOCK (1 BLK)52
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q3 - 6:26LACMbah a Moute 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 13 AST)52
2.5%
69
97.5%
Q3 - 6:49MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)52
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q3 - 6:55MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
2.2%
67
97.8%
Q3 - 6:57LACMISS Redick 10' Floating Jump Shot49
2.0%
67
98.0%
Q3 - 7:15MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)49
2.0%
67
98.0%
Q3 - 7:20MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
1.5%
67
98.5%
Q3 - 7:22LACMISS Jordan 3' Layup46
1.4%
67
98.6%
Q3 - 7:39LACFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
1.2%
67
98.8%
Q3 - 7:40MIAMISS Ellington 3PT Jump Shot46
1.3%
67
98.7%
Q3 - 7:54MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
1.5%
67
98.5%
Q3 - 7:55LACMISS Paul 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
1.4%
67
98.6%
Q3 - 8:17LACJordan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)46
1.3%
67
98.7%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot46
1.4%
67
98.6%
Q3 - 8:27LACJordan Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)46
1.6%
67
98.4%
Q3 - 8:27LACMISS Jordan Free Throw 1 of 246
1.7%
66
98.3%
Q3 - 8:51MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)46
1.5%
66
98.5%
Q3 - 9:01MIADragic Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)44
1.5%
66
98.5%
Q3 - 9:01LACPaul Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)43
1.3%
66
98.7%
Q3 - 9:17LACPaul Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)43
1.5%
65
98.5%
Q3 - 9:17LACRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Felton 5 AST)43
1.7%
64
98.3%
Q3 - 9:19LACJordan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)43
2.3%
61
97.7%
Q3 - 9:25MIAMISS Dragic 2' Reverse Layup43
2.4%
61
97.6%
Q3 - 9:29MIAHeat Rebound43
2.6%
61
97.4%
Q3 - 9:29MIAMISS Dragic 18' Pullup Jump Shot43
2.4%
61
97.6%
Q3 - 9:47LACRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Paul 12 AST)43
2.6%
61
97.4%
Q3 - 10:03MIAWhiteside 12' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS)43
3.6%
58
96.4%
Q3 - 10:23LACPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
3.2%
58
96.8%
Q3 - 10:23LACPaul 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)41
3.2%
58
96.8%
Q3 - 10:27LACJordan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)41
3.6%
56
96.4%
Q3 - 10:27LACMISS Jordan 1' Tip Dunk Shot41
4.0%
56
96.0%
Q3 - 10:30LACMISS Paul 10' Floating Jump Shot41
4.0%
56
96.0%
Q3 - 10:44MIADragic 13' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)41
3.6%
56
96.4%
Q3 - 10:45MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
3.1%
56
96.9%
Q3 - 10:46MIAMISS McGruder 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
2.8%
56
97.2%
Q3 - 11:09LACJordan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
3.2%
56
96.8%
Q3 - 11:09LACJordan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
3.4%
55
96.6%
Q3 - 11:26MIAWilliams Foul Turnover (P2.T9)39
3.7%
54
96.3%
Q3 - 11:42LACMbah a Moute 2' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 11 AST)39
4.2%
54
95.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA39
4.8%
52
95.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound39
5.5%
52
94.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Running Pull-Up Jump Shot39
5.4%
52
94.6%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
5.7%
52
94.3%
Q2 - 0:07.0LACMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
5.5%
52
94.5%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAJohnson 16' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)39
5.2%
52
94.8%
Q2 - 0:48.0LACRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)37
4.4%
52
95.6%
Q2 - 0:48.0LACMISS Redick Free Throw 1 of 237
4.4%
51
95.6%
Q2 - 0:49.0LACJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)37
4.6%
51
95.4%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot37
4.7%
51
95.3%
Q2 - 1:24LACJump Ball Jordan vs. Whiteside: Tip to37
6.6%
49
93.4%
Q2 - 1:25LACJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)37
6.2%
49
93.8%
Q2 - 1:25MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup37
6.3%
49
93.7%
Q2 - 1:41MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
6.6%
49
93.4%
Q2 - 1:43LACMISS Mbah a Moute 20' Jump Shot37
6.5%
49
93.5%
Q2 - 1:53MIAJohnson 12' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)37
6.2%
49
93.8%
Q2 - 2:11LACRedick 18' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Paul 10 AST)35
5.6%
49
94.4%
Q2 - 2:27MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGruder 2 AST)35
6.3%
47
93.7%
Q2 - 2:49LACJordan Running Alley Oop Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Felton 3 AST)32
4.9%
47
95.1%
Q2 - 2:55LACFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
5.6%
45
94.4%
Q2 - 2:57MIAMISS McGruder 27' 3PT Jump Shot32
5.8%
45
94.2%
Q2 - 3:21LACRedick 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)32
6.6%
45
93.4%
Q2 - 3:28MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)32
8.1%
42
91.9%
Q2 - 3:28MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 231
7.9%
42
92.1%
Q2 - 3:39LACCrawford 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
8.2%
42
91.8%
Q2 - 3:45LACJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)31
9.0%
40
91.0%
Q2 - 3:46MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Layup31
9.3%
40
90.7%
Q2 - 4:06LACFelton 3' Running Layup (7 PTS)31
10.3%
40
89.7%
Q2 - 4:09MIAFelton STEAL (2 STL)31
11.4%
38
88.6%
Q2 - 4:19LACRedick 22' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Felton 2 AST)31
12.6%
38
87.4%
Q2 - 4:29MIAWhiteside Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)31
13.9%
36
86.1%
Q2 - 4:30MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)31
15.3%
36
84.7%
Q2 - 4:32MIAMISS Johnson 6' Floating Jump Shot31
14.3%
36
85.7%
Q2 - 4:41MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
15.3%
36
84.7%
Q2 - 4:42LACMISS Crawford 17' Jump Shot31
14.9%
36
85.1%
Q2 - 4:57MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)31
13.9%
36
86.1%
Q2 - 4:57MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)30
13.6%
36
86.4%
Q2 - 5:06LACFelton 18' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)29
12.6%
36
87.4%
Q2 - 5:19MIAWhiteside 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (7 PTS)29
13.8%
34
86.2%
Q2 - 5:35MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)27
12.6%
34
87.4%
Q2 - 5:40LACMISS Jordan Free Throw 2 of 227
12.5%
34
87.5%
Q2 - 5:40LACMISS Jordan Free Throw 1 of 227
12.0%
34
88.0%
Q2 - 5:40LACCLIPPERS Rebound27
11.4%
34
88.6%
Q2 - 5:40LACMISS Bass 16' Pullup Jump Shot27
12.2%
34
87.8%
Q2 - 5:54LACRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)27
11.4%
34
88.6%
Q2 - 5:55MIAMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot27
11.8%
34
88.2%
Q2 - 6:13MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
12.9%
34
87.1%
Q2 - 6:14LACMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
12.4%
34
87.6%
Q2 - 6:28MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)27
11.5%
34
88.5%
Q2 - 6:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)24
9.6%
34
90.4%
Q2 - 6:37LACMISS Crawford 13' Pullup Jump Shot24
9.3%
34
90.7%
Q2 - 6:53MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T6)24
8.5%
34
91.5%
Q2 - 7:10LACPaul 16' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)24
9.9%
34
90.1%
Q2 - 7:18LACJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)24
10.8%
32
89.2%
Q2 - 7:21MIAMISS Whiteside 7' Hook Shot24
11.1%
32
88.9%
Q2 - 7:40LACBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
11.9%
32
88.1%
Q2 - 7:40LACBass Tip Dunk Shot (6 PTS)24
11.9%
32
88.1%
Q2 - 7:42LACMISS Crawford 17' Pullup Jump Shot24
13.9%
30
86.1%
Q2 - 7:56LACRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
12.9%
30
87.1%
Q2 - 7:58MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 124
13.1%
30
86.9%
Q2 - 7:58MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)22
11.9%
30
88.1%
Q2 - 7:58MIASpeights BLOCK (1 BLK)22
11.1%
30
88.9%
Q2 - 8:21LACBass Dunk (4 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)22
12.0%
30
88.0%
Q2 - 8:26MIABass STEAL (1 STL)22
13.0%
28
87.0%
Q2 - 8:44LACBass 3' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)22
14.3%
28
85.7%
Q2 - 8:48MIAPaul STEAL (2 STL)22
15.5%
26
84.5%
Q2 - 9:01LACPaul 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Speights 1 AST)22
17.0%
26
83.0%
Q2 - 9:29MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)22
19.8%
23
80.2%
Q2 - 9:29MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 221
19.4%
23
80.6%
Q2 - 9:36MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
20.0%
23
80.0%
Q2 - 9:37LACMISS Bass 14' Fadeaway Jumper21
19.5%
23
80.5%
Q2 - 9:56LACPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
18.3%
23
81.7%
Q2 - 9:58MIAMISS Johnson 16' Pullup Jump Shot21
18.8%
23
81.2%
Q2 - 10:16LACSpeights 8' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)21
20.2%
23
79.8%
Q2 - 10:25LACW. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
21.6%
21
78.4%
Q2 - 10:28MIAMISS Reed 7' Pullup Jump Shot21
22.2%
21
77.8%
Q2 - 10:42MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
23.6%
21
76.4%
Q2 - 10:43LACMISS W. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 221
23.3%
21
76.7%
Q2 - 10:43LACW. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
22.2%
21
77.8%
Q2 - 10:45MIAW. Johnson STEAL (1 STL)21
23.3%
20
76.7%
Q2 - 10:47MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
25.4%
20
74.6%
Q2 - 10:48LACMISS W. Johnson 1' Layup21
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q2 - 11:00LACW. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
23.3%
20
76.7%
Q2 - 11:02MIAMISS Johnson 7' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot21
23.5%
20
76.5%
Q2 - 11:09MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
24.8%
20
75.2%
Q2 - 11:11LACMISS W. Johnson 1' Driving Layup21
24.2%
20
75.8%
Q2 - 11:21LACW. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
23.0%
20
77.0%
Q2 - 11:22LACMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
24.2%
20
75.8%
Q2 - 11:26LACBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
23.0%
20
77.0%
Q2 - 11:29MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
24.8%
20
75.2%
Q2 - 11:29MIAMISS McGruder 1' Tip Layup Shot21
23.5%
20
76.5%
Q2 - 11:30MIAMISS Waiters 28' 3PT Jump Shot21
23.6%
20
76.4%
Q2 - 11:35LACW. Johnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)21
24.8%
20
75.2%
Q2 - 11:38MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)21
23.0%
20
77.0%
Q2 - 11:38MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)20
22.6%
20
77.4%
Q2 - 11:46MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
21.4%
20
78.6%
Q2 - 11:47LACMISS Speights 3PT Jump Shot19
20.9%
20
79.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
19.8%
20
80.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
20.9%
20
79.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0LACMISS Bass 10' Turnaround Bank Shot19
20.6%
20
79.4%
Q1 - 0:20.0LACW. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
19.8%
20
80.2%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot19
20.2%
20
79.8%
Q1 - 0:33.0LACSpeights Foul Turnover (P1.T3)19
20.9%
20
79.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
19.8%
20
80.2%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
19.4%
20
80.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0LACSpeights Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)17
18.0%
20
82.0%
Q1 - 1:16LACPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
19.8%
18
80.2%
Q1 - 1:19MIAMISS Waiters 18' Pullup Jump Shot17
20.1%
18
79.9%
Q1 - 1:30MIAHeat Rebound17
20.9%
18
79.1%
Q1 - 1:30LACMISS W. Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
20.6%
18
79.4%
Q1 - 1:50MIAReed 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
19.8%
18
80.2%
Q1 - 2:11MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
18.1%
18
81.9%
Q1 - 2:14LACMISS Crawford 18' Pullup Jump Shot15
17.8%
18
82.2%
Q1 - 2:26LACJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)15
16.9%
18
83.1%
Q1 - 2:27MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
17.3%
18
82.7%
Q1 - 2:39MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
18.1%
18
81.9%
Q1 - 2:40LACMISS Mbah a Moute 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
17.8%
18
82.2%
Q1 - 3:03MIAWaiters 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)15
16.7%
18
83.3%
Q1 - 3:16MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
14.5%
18
85.5%
Q1 - 3:18LACMISS Jordan Free Throw 2 of 212
14.4%
18
85.6%
Q1 - 3:18LACMISS Jordan Free Throw 1 of 212
13.9%
18
86.1%
Q1 - 3:25LACJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)12
13.3%
18
86.7%
Q1 - 3:27MIAMISS Dragic 5' Jump Bank Shot12
13.7%
18
86.3%
Q1 - 3:39MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
14.5%
18
85.5%
Q1 - 3:41LACMISS Crawford 5' Pullup Jump Shot12
14.1%
18
85.9%
Q1 - 3:55MIAWaiters 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
13.3%
18
86.7%
Q1 - 4:06LACCrawford Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T2)10
12.4%
18
87.6%
Q1 - 4:18LACCLIPPERS Rebound10
11.3%
18
88.7%
Q1 - 4:18LACMISS Mbah a Moute 2' Layup10
12.1%
18
87.9%
Q1 - 4:25LACJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)10
11.3%
18
88.7%
Q1 - 4:25MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
11.6%
18
88.4%
Q1 - 4:38MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
12.4%
18
87.6%
Q1 - 4:41LACMISS Redick 17' Pullup Jump Shot10
12.1%
18
87.9%
Q1 - 4:49LACFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
11.3%
18
88.7%
Q1 - 4:50MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Hook Shot10
11.6%
18
88.4%
Q1 - 4:53MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
12.4%
18
87.6%
Q1 - 4:54MIAMISS Dragic 27' 3PT Jump Shot10
11.6%
18
88.4%
Q1 - 5:12LACRedick 20' Running Pull-Up Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)10
12.5%
18
87.5%
Q1 - 5:17MIAFelton STEAL (1 STL)10
13.3%
16
86.7%
Q1 - 5:26LACPaul Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T1)10
14.4%
16
85.6%
Q1 - 5:29LACJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
13.3%
16
86.7%
Q1 - 5:32MIAJordan BLOCK (1 BLK)10
13.7%
16
86.3%
Q1 - 5:38MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
14.4%
16
85.6%
Q1 - 5:41LACMISS Paul 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot10
14.1%
16
85.9%
Q1 - 5:50LACJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
13.3%
16
86.7%
Q1 - 5:51LACMISS Felton 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
14.1%
16
85.9%
Q1 - 6:06MIAJohnson 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
13.5%
16
86.5%
Q1 - 6:26LACRedick 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)8
12.6%
16
87.4%
Q1 - 6:41MIADragic 2' Cutting Layup Shot (5 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)8
14.4%
13
85.6%
Q1 - 6:44MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
13.5%
13
86.5%
Q1 - 6:46LACMISS Mbah a Moute 2' Layup6
13.2%
13
86.8%
Q1 - 7:05LACJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
12.7%
13
87.3%
Q1 - 7:06MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
13.0%
13
87.0%
Q1 - 7:13MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
13.7%
13
86.3%
Q1 - 7:14LACMISS Redick 21' Jump Shot6
13.4%
13
86.6%
Q1 - 7:33LACRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
12.7%
13
87.3%
Q1 - 7:36MIAMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot6
13.0%
13
87.0%
Q1 - 7:52LACRedick 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)6
13.7%
13
86.3%
Q1 - 8:12MIAMcGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)6
14.4%
11
85.6%
Q1 - 8:30LACPaul 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)3
12.7%
11
87.3%
Q1 - 8:32MIAPaul STEAL (1 STL)3
13.5%
9
86.5%
Q1 - 8:42MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
14.5%
9
85.5%
Q1 - 8:46LACMISS Felton 25' 3PT Running Pull-Up Jump Shot3
14.2%
9
85.8%
Q1 - 8:52LACPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
13.5%
9
86.5%
Q1 - 8:55MIAMISS McGruder 26' 3PT Jump Shot3
13.8%
9
86.2%
Q1 - 9:07LACJordan 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)3
14.5%
9
85.5%
Q1 - 9:19LACRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
15.2%
7
84.8%
Q1 - 9:21MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Jump Shot3
15.6%
7
84.4%
Q1 - 9:40LACMbah a Moute 22' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)3
16.4%
7
83.6%
Q1 - 9:58LACRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
17.2%
5
82.8%
Q1 - 10:00MIAMISS Dragic 19' Pullup Jump Shot3
17.6%
5
82.4%
Q1 - 10:16LACPaul 6' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
18.5%
5
81.5%
Q1 - 10:27LACJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
19.5%
3
80.5%
Q1 - 10:29MIAMISS Williams 17' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot3
19.9%
3
80.1%
Q1 - 10:56LACFelton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)3
20.8%
3
79.2%
Q1 - 11:18MIADragic 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
23.1%
0
76.9%
Q1 - 11:27MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.6%
0
79.4%
Q1 - 11:28LACMISS Redick 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
20.2%
0
79.8%
Q1 - 11:41LACMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.5%
0
80.5%
Q1 - 11:42MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
19.8%
0
80.2%
Q1 - 12:00LACJump Ball Jordan vs. Whiteside: Tip to Dragic0
20.6%
0
79.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.90 44.8%
LAC
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
23
57%
LAC
11
22
50%
Midrange
MIA
11
34
32%
LAC
16
34
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
27
26%
39%
LAC
9
13.5
30
30%
45%
Free Throws
MIA
17
21
81%
LAC
17
25
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2460%12.0 / 20
H. Whiteside1563%7.5 / 12
T. Johnson1243%6.0 / 14
J. Johnson1255%6.0 / 11
D. Waiters844%4.0 / 9
R. McGruder531%2.5 / 8
W. Ellington425%2.0 / 8
W. Reed433%2.0 / 6
D. Williams220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAC logo Clippers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Redick2563%12.5 / 20
C. Paul1979%9.5 / 12
M. Speights1995%9.5 / 10
B. Bass1260%6.0 / 10
R. Felton732%3.5 / 11
D. Jordan744%3.5 / 8
L. Mbah a Moute638%3.0 / 8
J. Crawford28%1.0 / 12
W. Johnson110%0.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+13
-15
93
LAC
86
+11
-11
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.90 44.8%
LAC
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
113.0
MIA 90.5 +10.5
LAC 101.0
Pace
95.0
95.9
MIA 97.4 +2.8
LAC 94.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.4
MIA 14.8 +0.4
LAC 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
53.7%
MIA 41.1%
LAC 47.1% +6.0%
TO %
13.2%
13.0%
MIA 13.9%
LAC 10.2% +3.7%
ORB %
24.2%
21.5%
MIA 20.8% +2.0%
LAC 18.8%
FTrt
25.1
31.2
MIA 25.0
LAC 29.1 +4.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
57.0%
MIA 45.2%
LAC 75.0% +29.8%
STL %
7.5%
7.8%
MIA 6.3%
LAC 8.2% +1.9%
BLK %
9.3%
7.2%
MIA 8.9% +3.6%
LAC 5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
56.1%
MIA 44.8%
LAC 50.5% +5.7%
Rim FG%
59.2%
61.4%
MIA 56.5% +6.5%
LAC 50.0%
Mid FG%
39.4%
43.4%
MIA 32.4%
LAC 47.1% +14.7%
3P %
36.5%
37.5%
MIA 25.9%
LAC 30.0% +4.1%
FT %
70.6%
74.5%
MIA 81.0% +13.0%
LAC 68.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
33.8%
MIA 27.4% +1.8%
LAC 25.6%
Mid Att. %
33.1%
33.3%
MIA 40.5%
LAC 39.5% +0.9%
3P Att. %
31.4%
32.9%
MIA 32.1%
LAC 34.9% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsMIALAC
Possessions9597
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points8698
Rebounds5051
Assists1427
Steals68
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (3)42 (0)
Field Goals31-8436-86
At-the-Rim FG13-2311-22
Midrange FG11-3416-34
2-Point FG24-5727-56
3-Point FG7-279-30
Free Throws17-2117-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 190 · 31
42.1
24
60%
6
5
1
0
5
1
1
5
4-5
80%
7-13
54%
2-5
40%
F · 6'4" 200 · 25
34.2
5
31%
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-6
17%
C · 7'0" 265 · 28
31.1
15
63%
13
0
0
2
2
2
5
8
1-2
50%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 26
21.5
2
20%
3
2
1
0
2
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 200 · 29
20.1
4
25%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-5
0%
G · 6'3" 186 · 25
32.5
12
43%
7
1
1
1
1
5
0
7
3-4
75%
3-9
33%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
26.5
12
55%
6
3
1
1
3
3
1
5
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
2-5
40%
· 6'11" 245 · 27
16.9
4
33%
10
0
1
1
1
2
2
8
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 25
15.1
8
44%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
1-2
50%
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
F · 6'7" 225 · 21
F · 6'8" 235 · 37
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
45%
50
14
6
5
15
0
11
39
17-21
81%
24-57
42%
7-27
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.