FinalWin Prob.pScore
267%109
127
2133%103
99
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
133.79586.1
DEN logo DEN
105.394104.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS127
100%
99
0%
Q4 - 0:05.0DENMurray 30' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)127
100%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0SASAnderson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Murray 3 AST)127
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0DENMudiay Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)125
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0SASAnderson 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)125
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)123
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0DENMISS Mudiay 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot123
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04SASSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)123
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04SASSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)122
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:23DENGee Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)121
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26DENGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)121
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26SASMISS Murray 4' Floating Jump Shot121
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:37DENMiller Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T11)121
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:47SASSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)121
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:47SASMISS Simmons Free Throw 1 of 2120
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01DENMudiay 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)120
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 2:15SASSimmons 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)120
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:24SASSpurs Rebound118
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:25SASMudiay BLOCK (1 BLK)118
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:36DENGee Foul Turnover (P1.T10)118
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:51SASAnderson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)118
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 3:01SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)116
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 3:01DENMISS Mudiay 12' Jump Shot116
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 3:09DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)116
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 3:09DENMISS Gee 9' Floating Jump Shot116
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 3:28SASDedmon Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)116
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 3:41DENMudiay 6' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)114
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 3:49DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)114
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 3:51SASMISS Anderson 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot114
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 4:11SASBertans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)114
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 4:11DENMISS Murray 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot114
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 4:28SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)114
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 4:28SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)113
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 4:40SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)112
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 4:41DENMISS Arthur 26' 3PT Jump Shot112
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 4:50SASMurray 6' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Leonard 5 AST)112
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 5:06DENMudiay 3' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Harris 5 AST)110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 5:25SASLeonard Driving Dunk (24 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)110
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 5:38DENJokic 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Mudiay 5 AST)108
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 5:50SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)108
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 5:50SASSpurs Rebound108
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 5:50SASMISS Aldridge 18' Fadeaway Jumper108
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 5:55SASSpurs Rebound108
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 5:58SASArthur BLOCK (1 BLK)108
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 6:14DENArthur 2' Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Mudiay 4 AST)108
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 6:24DENJokic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)108
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 6:25SASMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2108
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 6:25SASGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)108
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 6:25SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)107
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 6:25DENMISS Harris 3' Jump Bank Shot107
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 6:41SASGasol 5' Jump Shot (16 PTS)107
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 6:58DENNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)105
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 7:06SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)105
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 7:06SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)104
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 7:07SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)103
99.6%
86
0.4%
Q4 - 7:08SASMISS Aldridge 15' Jump Shot103
99.5%
86
0.5%
Q4 - 7:15SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)103
99.6%
86
0.4%
Q4 - 7:17DENMISS Murray 20' Jump Shot103
99.6%
86
0.4%
Q4 - 7:31SASGasol 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Leonard 4 AST)103
99.5%
86
0.5%
Q4 - 7:56DENNurkic 2' Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)100
99.2%
86
0.8%
Q4 - 8:11DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)100
99.1%
84
0.9%
Q4 - 8:12SASMISS Leonard 21' Jump Shot100
99.2%
84
0.8%
Q4 - 8:27DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)100
99.3%
84
0.7%
Q4 - 8:27DENChandler 2' Putback Layup (11 PTS)100
99.3%
84
0.7%
Q4 - 8:28DENMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.5%
82
0.5%
Q4 - 8:44SASLeonard 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Mills 4 AST)100
99.5%
82
0.5%
Q4 - 8:59DENHarris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)98
99.3%
82
0.7%
Q4 - 9:13SASMills 2' Running Alley Oop Layup Shot (5 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)98
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 9:36DENHarris Foul Turnover (P1.T8)96
99.3%
79
0.7%
Q4 - 9:43DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
99.1%
79
0.9%
Q4 - 9:44SASMISS Ginobili 12' Floating Jump Shot96
99.2%
79
0.8%
Q4 - 9:58DENChandler 6' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)96
99.3%
79
0.7%
Q4 - 10:17DENMurray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)96
99.3%
77
0.7%
Q4 - 10:20DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.4%
77
0.6%
Q4 - 10:36SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)96
99.3%
77
0.7%
Q4 - 10:49DENBarton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)93
98.9%
77
1.1%
Q4 - 11:04DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
98.3%
77
1.7%
Q4 - 11:06SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 2 of 293
98.4%
77
1.6%
Q4 - 11:06SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)93
98.6%
77
1.4%
Q4 - 11:07SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
98.3%
77
1.7%
Q4 - 11:08DENMISS Barton 2' Driving Layup92
98.2%
77
1.8%
Q4 - 11:36SASLeonard 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS)92
98.0%
77
2.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN90
97.5%
77
2.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
96.9%
77
3.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili 19' Jump Shot90
96.6%
77
3.4%
Q3 - 0:06.0DENBarton Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)90
97.1%
77
2.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)90
97.2%
76
2.8%
Q3 - 0:06.0DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
97.6%
75
2.4%
Q3 - 0:07.0SASChandler BLOCK (1 BLK)90
97.7%
75
2.3%
Q3 - 0:27.0DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)90
98.1%
75
1.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0SASBarton STEAL (3 STL)90
98.7%
72
1.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)90
98.9%
72
1.1%
Q3 - 0:31.0DENMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
98.9%
72
1.1%
Q3 - 0:43.0SASLeonard 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)90
98.7%
72
1.3%
Q3 - 0:48.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
98.4%
72
1.6%
Q3 - 0:49.0DENMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot88
98.3%
72
1.7%
Q3 - 1:00SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)88
98.1%
72
1.9%
Q3 - 1:15SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)85
96.7%
72
3.3%
Q3 - 1:16DENMISS Barton 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
96.5%
72
3.5%
Q3 - 1:33DENNUGGETS Rebound85
96.0%
72
4.0%
Q3 - 1:34SASMISS Dedmon 4' Hook Shot85
96.2%
72
3.8%
Q3 - 1:35SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
96.7%
72
3.3%
Q3 - 1:36SASMISS Leonard 2' Layup85
96.2%
72
3.8%
Q3 - 1:49SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
96.7%
72
3.3%
Q3 - 1:50DENMISS Chandler 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot85
96.5%
72
3.5%
Q3 - 2:04DENNUGGETS Rebound85
95.5%
72
4.5%
Q3 - 2:05DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot85
96.0%
72
4.0%
Q3 - 2:17DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
95.5%
72
4.5%
Q3 - 2:19SASMISS Aldridge 20' Jump Shot85
95.7%
72
4.3%
Q3 - 2:32DENChandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jokic 5 AST)85
96.3%
72
3.7%
Q3 - 2:43SASAldridge 7' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)85
97.4%
69
2.6%
Q3 - 3:03SASMISS Aldridge Free Throw Technical83
96.6%
69
3.4%
Q3 - 3:03DENGallinari 3' Running Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)83
96.6%
69
3.4%
Q3 - 3:08DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
97.1%
67
2.9%
Q3 - 3:09SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot83
97.3%
67
2.7%
Q3 - 3:14SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
97.6%
67
2.4%
Q3 - 3:16DENMISS Nelson 3' Layup83
97.4%
67
2.6%
Q3 - 3:21SASNelson STEAL (2 STL)83
97.1%
67
2.9%
Q3 - 3:34DENJokic 4' Jump Shot (17 PTS)83
97.6%
67
2.4%
Q3 - 3:37DENJokic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)83
98.0%
65
2.0%
Q3 - 3:38DENMISS Jokic 5' Jump Shot83
98.2%
65
1.8%
Q3 - 3:50SASAldridge 18' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)83
98.0%
65
2.0%
Q3 - 4:03DENGallinari Driving Dunk (13 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)81
97.4%
65
2.6%
Q3 - 4:23SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)81
97.7%
63
2.3%
Q3 - 4:23SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)80
97.7%
63
2.3%
Q3 - 4:30DENJokic Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)79
97.4%
63
2.6%
Q3 - 4:40SASAldridge 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)79
96.8%
63
3.2%
Q3 - 5:04DENChandler 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)77
96.0%
63
4.0%
Q3 - 5:18SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)77
96.5%
61
3.5%
Q3 - 5:34DENJokic Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)74
95.3%
61
4.7%
Q3 - 5:52SASParker 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Green 2 AST)74
94.4%
61
5.6%
Q3 - 6:00SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
93.6%
61
6.4%
Q3 - 6:01DENMISS Gallinari 9' Floating Jump Shot72
92.9%
61
7.1%
Q3 - 6:20SASParker 20' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)72
92.1%
61
7.9%
Q3 - 6:35SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
90.9%
61
9.1%
Q3 - 6:36DENMISS Gallinari 22' Jump Shot70
90.5%
61
9.5%
Q3 - 6:57DENNUGGETS Rebound70
89.4%
61
10.6%
Q3 - 6:58SASMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
89.9%
61
10.1%
Q3 - 7:02SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
90.5%
61
9.5%
Q3 - 7:04DENMISS Mudiay 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot70
90.0%
61
10.0%
Q3 - 7:12DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
88.8%
61
11.2%
Q3 - 7:13SASMISS Leonard 21' Jump Shot70
89.4%
61
10.6%
Q3 - 7:37DENArthur 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Mudiay 3 AST)70
90.5%
61
9.5%
Q3 - 7:50DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
92.7%
58
7.3%
Q3 - 7:51DENMISS Mudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
93.5%
58
6.5%
Q3 - 8:04SASParker 11' Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS)70
92.5%
58
7.5%
Q3 - 8:12SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
91.6%
58
8.4%
Q3 - 8:14DENMISS Harris 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot68
91.2%
58
8.8%
Q3 - 8:22DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
90.1%
58
9.9%
Q3 - 8:22SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
90.6%
58
9.4%
Q3 - 8:44SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
91.6%
58
8.4%
Q3 - 8:45DENMISS Harris Free Throw 2 of 268
91.4%
58
8.6%
Q3 - 8:45DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)68
90.6%
58
9.4%
Q3 - 9:00DENNUGGETS Rebound68
91.4%
57
8.6%
Q3 - 9:00SASMISS Aldridge 5' Driving Hook Shot68
91.8%
57
8.2%
Q3 - 9:19DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)68
92.2%
57
7.8%
Q3 - 9:19DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)68
92.3%
56
7.7%
Q3 - 9:24SASLeonard 4' Hook Shot (13 PTS)68
93.2%
55
6.8%
Q3 - 9:37DENMudiay Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)66
92.2%
55
7.8%
Q3 - 9:44DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
91.1%
55
8.9%
Q3 - 9:46SASMISS Leonard 18' Pullup Jump Shot66
91.5%
55
8.5%
Q3 - 10:00SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
92.3%
55
7.7%
Q3 - 10:00DENMISS Harris 3' Alley Oop Layup66
91.9%
55
8.1%
Q3 - 10:23SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)66
90.9%
55
9.1%
Q3 - 10:44DENHarris 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Jokic 4 AST)63
88.4%
55
11.6%
Q3 - 10:56SASParker 2' Driving Reverse Layup (15 PTS)63
89.6%
53
10.4%
Q3 - 11:01SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
88.4%
53
11.6%
Q3 - 11:03DENMISS Gallinari 3PT Step Back Jump Shot61
87.9%
53
12.1%
Q3 - 11:20SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)61
86.8%
53
13.2%
Q3 - 11:26DENJokic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)58
83.4%
53
16.6%
Q3 - 11:30DENJokic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)58
81.3%
53
18.7%
Q3 - 11:31SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
82.0%
53
18.0%
Q3 - 11:37SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
83.4%
53
16.6%
Q3 - 11:39DENMISS Harris 3' Driving Layup58
82.8%
53
17.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS58
81.3%
53
18.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound58
83.4%
53
16.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 50' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot58
82.0%
53
18.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENChandler 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Jokic 3 AST)58
82.8%
53
17.2%
Q2 - 0:18.0DENHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)58
85.2%
51
14.8%
Q2 - 0:18.0DENMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
85.9%
51
14.1%
Q2 - 0:24.0DENJokic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)58
85.2%
51
14.8%
Q2 - 0:25.0DENMISS Gallinari 2' Driving Layup58
85.9%
51
14.1%
Q2 - 0:36.0SASParker 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)58
85.2%
51
14.8%
Q2 - 0:53.0DENJokic 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)56
82.9%
51
17.1%
Q2 - 1:04SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)56
85.0%
49
15.0%
Q2 - 1:21SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
80.5%
49
19.5%
Q2 - 1:23DENMISS Gallinari Cutting Layup Shot53
80.2%
49
19.8%
Q2 - 1:36SASAldridge 9' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)53
79.4%
49
20.6%
Q2 - 1:58DENJokic 2' Putback Layup (13 PTS)51
76.1%
49
23.9%
Q2 - 2:03DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)51
78.7%
47
21.3%
Q2 - 2:03DENMISS Harris 2' Driving Layup51
80.1%
47
19.9%
Q2 - 2:18SASAldridge 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)51
78.8%
47
21.2%
Q2 - 2:43DENGallinari 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)48
74.1%
47
25.9%
Q2 - 2:46SASHarris STEAL (1 STL)48
78.8%
44
21.2%
Q2 - 3:04SASSpurs Rebound48
80.8%
44
19.2%
Q2 - 3:04DENMISS Harris 4' Jump Shot48
80.2%
44
19.8%
Q2 - 3:07DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
78.6%
44
21.4%
Q2 - 3:07SASMISS Ginobili 2' Cutting Layup Shot48
79.3%
44
20.7%
Q2 - 3:19SASSpurs Rebound48
80.8%
44
19.2%
Q2 - 3:20DENMISS Mudiay 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
80.2%
44
19.8%
Q2 - 3:34SASGasol 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)48
78.6%
44
21.4%
Q2 - 3:43SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
76.9%
44
23.1%
Q2 - 3:44DENMISS Gallinari 3' Driving Layup46
76.1%
44
23.9%
Q2 - 3:52DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
74.3%
44
25.7%
Q2 - 3:53SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot46
75.1%
44
24.9%
Q2 - 4:01SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
76.7%
44
23.3%
Q2 - 4:02DENMISS Arthur 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
76.1%
44
23.9%
Q2 - 4:20DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
74.7%
44
25.3%
Q2 - 4:21SASMISS Leonard 2' Layup46
75.3%
44
24.7%
Q2 - 4:40SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
76.8%
44
23.2%
Q2 - 4:41DENMISS Arthur 19' Jump Shot46
76.1%
44
23.9%
Q2 - 4:55SASAldridge 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)46
74.6%
44
25.4%
Q2 - 5:13SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
72.8%
44
27.2%
Q2 - 5:15DENMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
72.1%
44
27.9%
Q2 - 5:21SASJokic STEAL (1 STL)44
70.4%
44
29.6%
Q2 - 5:40DENMurray 3' Cutting Layup Shot (5 PTS) (Jokic 2 AST)44
72.8%
44
27.2%
Q2 - 5:57SASGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)44
74.8%
42
25.2%
Q2 - 6:07SASLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
71.0%
42
29.0%
Q2 - 6:08DENMISS Murray 6' Pullup Jump Shot41
70.2%
42
29.8%
Q2 - 6:12DENMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
68.2%
42
31.8%
Q2 - 6:16DENMISS Nurkic 4' Driving Hook Shot41
70.2%
42
29.8%
Q2 - 6:28SASParker 4' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)41
68.2%
42
31.8%
Q2 - 6:39SASLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
66.3%
42
33.7%
Q2 - 6:40SASLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
66.3%
42
33.7%
Q2 - 6:40SASMISS Lee 2' Tip Layup Shot39
64.2%
42
35.8%
Q2 - 6:41SASMISS Green 5' Jump Shot39
64.2%
42
35.8%
Q2 - 7:05DENMurray Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)39
66.6%
42
33.4%
Q2 - 7:12SASGasol 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)39
70.9%
39
29.1%
Q2 - 7:30SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
68.9%
39
31.1%
Q2 - 7:32DENMISS Nelson 3' Driving Layup37
68.1%
39
31.9%
Q2 - 7:42DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
66.3%
39
33.7%
Q2 - 7:44SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
67.1%
39
32.9%
Q2 - 8:07SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
68.7%
39
31.3%
Q2 - 8:10DENMISS Chandler 6' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot37
68.0%
39
32.0%
Q2 - 8:29DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
66.3%
39
33.7%
Q2 - 8:30SASMISS Leonard 16' Jump Shot37
67.1%
39
32.9%
Q2 - 8:53DENNurkic Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)37
68.8%
39
31.2%
Q2 - 9:00DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
66.3%
39
33.7%
Q2 - 9:02SASMISS Mills 22' Fadeaway Jumper37
67.3%
39
32.7%
Q2 - 9:17DENNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barton 2 AST)37
68.9%
39
31.1%
Q2 - 9:29SASNelson STEAL (1 STL)37
72.9%
36
27.1%
Q2 - 9:34SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
75.0%
36
25.0%
Q2 - 9:36SASMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
73.5%
36
26.5%
Q2 - 9:55DENNurkic Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)37
75.0%
36
25.0%
Q2 - 9:55DENMISS Nurkic Free Throw 1 of 237
75.6%
35
24.4%
Q2 - 10:09SASMills 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)37
74.5%
35
25.5%
Q2 - 10:17SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
70.9%
35
29.1%
Q2 - 10:18DENMISS Barton 16' Turnaround Jump Shot34
70.2%
35
29.8%
Q2 - 10:38SASBarton STEAL (2 STL)34
68.5%
35
31.5%
Q2 - 10:47SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
70.9%
35
29.1%
Q2 - 10:48DENMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
70.2%
35
29.8%
Q2 - 10:59SASGasol 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)34
68.6%
35
31.4%
Q2 - 11:16DENNurkic 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Barton 1 AST)32
66.8%
35
33.2%
Q2 - 11:26SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)32
68.8%
33
31.2%
Q2 - 11:44SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
64.6%
33
35.4%
Q2 - 11:45DENMISS Barton 3' Driving Layup29
63.9%
33
36.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN29
62.3%
33
37.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASLeonard 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (5 PTS)29
62.3%
33
37.7%
Q1 - 0:23.0DENBarton Running Reverse Dunk Shot (2 PTS)27
59.9%
33
40.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0SASBarton STEAL (1 STL)27
62.8%
31
37.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
64.4%
31
35.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0DENMISS Chandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
63.9%
31
36.1%
Q1 - 0:42.0DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
62.8%
31
37.2%
Q1 - 0:43.0SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper27
63.3%
31
36.7%
Q1 - 1:04DENGallinari 2' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)27
64.6%
31
35.4%
Q1 - 1:15DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
67.2%
29
32.8%
Q1 - 1:16SASMISS Mills 20' Jump Shot27
67.7%
29
32.3%
Q1 - 1:27DENNurkic 7' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)27
68.8%
29
31.2%
Q1 - 1:51SASAldridge 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)27
71.2%
27
28.8%
Q1 - 2:04SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
69.3%
27
30.7%
Q1 - 2:05DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
68.7%
27
31.3%
Q1 - 2:24DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
67.5%
27
32.5%
Q1 - 2:26SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
69.2%
27
30.8%
Q1 - 2:26SASMISS Aldridge 1' Tip Layup Shot25
68.0%
27
32.0%
Q1 - 2:29SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
68.0%
27
32.0%
Q1 - 2:50DENChandler Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)25
69.2%
27
30.8%
Q1 - 2:55DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
67.4%
27
32.6%
Q1 - 2:56DENMISS Gallinari 3' Jump Shot25
68.7%
27
31.3%
Q1 - 3:05DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
67.5%
27
32.5%
Q1 - 3:06SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
68.2%
27
31.8%
Q1 - 3:27SASSpurs Rebound25
69.7%
27
30.3%
Q1 - 3:28DENMISS Jokic 5' Floating Jump Shot25
69.0%
27
31.0%
Q1 - 3:37SASGinobili 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)25
67.5%
27
32.5%
Q1 - 3:55DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
65.7%
27
34.3%
Q1 - 3:55DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
65.9%
26
34.1%
Q1 - 4:03DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
67.7%
25
32.3%
Q1 - 4:04SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
68.4%
25
31.6%
Q1 - 4:28SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
69.9%
25
30.1%
Q1 - 4:29DENMISS Jokic Free Throw 2 of 223
69.7%
25
30.3%
Q1 - 4:29DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)23
68.4%
25
31.6%
Q1 - 4:30DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
69.6%
24
30.4%
Q1 - 4:31DENMISS Mudiay 14' Fadeaway Jumper23
71.1%
24
28.9%
Q1 - 4:40SASParker 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dedmon 1 AST)23
69.6%
24
30.4%
Q1 - 5:01DENJokic Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)21
68.5%
24
31.5%
Q1 - 5:01DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)21
68.8%
23
31.2%
Q1 - 5:29SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)21
70.1%
22
29.9%
Q1 - 5:42DENArthur Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)18
66.6%
22
33.4%
Q1 - 6:01SASParker 8' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)18
70.3%
19
29.7%
Q1 - 6:13DENGallinari 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)16
68.7%
19
31.3%
Q1 - 6:26SASLeonard 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)16
70.3%
17
29.7%
Q1 - 6:40DENArthur 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mudiay 1 AST)13
67.0%
17
33.0%
Q1 - 6:49DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
68.6%
15
31.4%
Q1 - 6:51SASMISS Aldridge 22' Jump Shot13
69.2%
15
30.8%
Q1 - 7:06SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
70.8%
15
29.2%
Q1 - 7:08SASMISS Leonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
69.5%
15
30.5%
Q1 - 7:30DENArthur 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)13
70.8%
15
29.2%
Q1 - 7:48SASGasol 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)13
73.6%
12
26.4%
Q1 - 8:07DENJokic 4' Hook Shot (8 PTS)11
72.9%
12
27.1%
Q1 - 8:26SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)11
74.2%
10
25.8%
Q1 - 8:50DENJokic 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)8
71.3%
10
28.7%
Q1 - 9:15SASParker 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
72.6%
8
27.4%
Q1 - 9:28DENHarris 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Jokic 1 AST)6
71.5%
8
28.5%
Q1 - 9:43SASAldridge 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)6
72.7%
6
27.3%
Q1 - 10:05DENJokic 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
71.3%
6
28.7%
Q1 - 10:19SASAldridge Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
72.7%
4
27.3%
Q1 - 10:42DENMudiay 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
71.3%
4
28.7%
Q1 - 10:53DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
72.6%
2
27.4%
Q1 - 10:55SASMISS Aldridge 14' Fadeaway Jumper2
73.1%
2
26.9%
Q1 - 11:17DENJokic 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)2
74.2%
2
25.8%
Q1 - 11:38SASAldridge 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)2
75.6%
0
24.4%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Jokic vs. Gasol: Tip to Parker0
74.2%
0
25.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.27 63.5%
DEN
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
15
27
56%
DEN
24
40
60%
Midrange
SAS
24
39
62%
DEN
8
21
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
12
18.0
24
50%
75%
DEN
7
10.5
25
28%
42%
Free Throws
SAS
13
17
76%
DEN
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge2870%14.0 / 20
K. Leonard2457%12.0 / 21
T. Parker2195%10.5 / 11
P. Gasol1794%8.5 / 9
M. Ginobili1155%5.5 / 10
D. Green643%3.0 / 7
K. Anderson675%3.0 / 4
P. Mills542%2.5 / 6
J. Simmons583%2.5 / 3
D. Dedmon250%1.0 / 2
D. Murray233%1.0 / 3
D. Lee0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić1979%9.5 / 12
D. Gallinari1550%7.5 / 15
D. Arthur1381%6.5 / 8
W. Chandler1155%5.5 / 10
E. Mudiay840%4.0 / 10
G. Harris833%4.0 / 12
J. Murray850%4.0 / 8
J. Nurkić770%3.5 / 5
W. Barton750%3.5 / 7
J. Nelson330%1.5 / 5
A. Gee0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
88
+11
-7
99
DEN
81
+12
-13
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.27 63.5%
DEN
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
113.2
SAS 133.7 +28.4
DEN 105.3
Pace
94.1
98.4
SAS 86.1
DEN 104.8 +18.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
14.4
SAS 16.7
DEN 13.7 +3.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
53.0%
SAS 63.3% +13.9%
DEN 49.4%
TO %
13.6%
14.7%
SAS 7.6% +4.6%
DEN 12.2%
ORB %
24.0%
27.3%
SAS 20.6%
DEN 24.4% +3.8%
FTrt
26.3
27.6
SAS 18.9
DEN 19.8 +0.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
61.5%
SAS 66.7% +2.6%
DEN 64.1%
STL %
8.5%
7.0%
SAS 5.3%
DEN 7.4% +2.1%
BLK %
9.9%
6.3%
SAS 13.1% +8.6%
DEN 4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
55.4%
SAS 63.5% +11.4%
DEN 52.1%
Rim FG%
60.5%
59.4%
SAS 55.6%
DEN 60.0% +4.4%
Mid FG%
42.0%
40.2%
SAS 61.5% +23.4%
DEN 38.1%
3P %
39.1%
36.8%
SAS 50.0% +22.0%
DEN 28.0%
FT %
79.7%
77.4%
SAS 76.5%
DEN 82.4% +5.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.1%
40.9%
SAS 30.0%
DEN 46.5% +16.5%
Mid Att. %
40.8%
26.2%
SAS 43.3%
DEN 24.4% +18.9%
3P Att. %
28.1%
32.9%
SAS 26.7%
DEN 29.1% +2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASDEN
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes26.521.5
Points12799
Rebounds4138
Assists3425
Steals57
Blocks83
Turnovers (Team)7 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (3)27 (3)
Field Goals51-9039-86
At-the-Rim FG15-2724-40
Midrange FG24-398-21
2-Point FG39-6632-61
3-Point FG12-247-25
Free Throws13-1714-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 225 · 26
36.2
24
57%
6
5
0
2
1
2
1
5
3-4
75%
6-13
46%
3-6
50%
C · 7'0" 250 · 37
34.9
17
94%
9
4
0
2
1
3
1
8
2-3
67%
6-7
86%
1-1
100%
F · 6'11" 260 · 31
32.8
28
70%
4
1
1
1
1
2
1
3
5-6
83%
10-17
59%
1-1
100%
G · 6'6" 215 · 30
25.2
6
43%
5
2
1
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-6
33%
G · 6'2" 185 · 35
23.6
21
95%
3
9
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
9-10
90%
1-1
100%
G · 6'6" 205 · 39
18.3
11
55%
3
3
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
3-6
50%
G · 6'0" 185 · 28
18.0
5
42%
1
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
F · 6'6" 195 · 27
13.0
5
83%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 245 · 27
12.7
2
50%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 230 · 23
8.3
6
75%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 180 · 20
6.4
2
33%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34
6.0
0
0%
5
1
0
1
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24
4.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#11 · G · 6'3" 190 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
127
64%
41
34
5
8
7
0
7
34
13-17
76%
39-66
59%
12-24
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.