FinalWin Prob.pScore
2739%101
107
2261%105
102
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
112.69586.9
SAC logo SAC
107.495104.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

KingsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KingsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAC
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA107
100%
102
0%
Q4 - 0:11.0SACBarnes Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)107
99.7%
102
0.3%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)107
98.9%
102
1.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)106
98.7%
102
1.3%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)105
97.1%
102
2.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0SACMISS Cousins 25' 3PT Jump Shot105
95.7%
102
4.3%
Q4 - 0:18.0SACKINGS Rebound105
89.6%
102
10.4%
Q4 - 0:18.0SACMISS Cousins 1' Driving Layup105
95.2%
102
4.8%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)105
85.5%
102
14.5%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)102
53.9%
102
46.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0SACMISS Collison 1' Layup102
47.9%
102
52.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIATemple STEAL (3 STL)102
35.1%
102
64.9%
Q4 - 1:16SACCousins Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)102
50.7%
102
49.3%
Q4 - 1:16SACMISS Cousins Free Throw 1 of 2102
53.6%
101
46.4%
Q4 - 1:35SACCousins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)102
47.8%
101
52.2%
Q4 - 1:36MIAMISS Dragic 4' Pullup Jump Shot102
52.2%
101
47.8%
Q4 - 1:50SACBarnes 2' Cutting Layup Shot (12 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)102
60.5%
101
39.5%
Q4 - 1:57MIACousins STEAL (2 STL)102
71.2%
99
28.8%
Q4 - 2:18SACLawson 3' Cutting Layup Shot (15 PTS) (Cousins 4 AST)102
80.9%
99
19.1%
Q4 - 2:35MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (McGruder 2 AST)102
84.5%
97
15.5%
Q4 - 2:55SACBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)99
69.7%
97
30.3%
Q4 - 2:55SACBarnes 1' Tip Layup Shot (10 PTS)99
69.7%
97
30.3%
Q4 - 2:59SACMISS Collison 2' Driving Layup99
82.1%
95
17.9%
Q4 - 3:14MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P3.T17)99
75.2%
95
24.8%
Q4 - 3:16MIAHeat Rebound99
84.7%
95
15.3%
Q4 - 3:19MIABarnes BLOCK (1 BLK)99
78.5%
95
21.5%
Q4 - 3:30MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)99
84.9%
95
15.1%
Q4 - 3:31SACMISS Lawson 16' Jump Shot99
76.9%
95
23.1%
Q4 - 3:54SACBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)99
72.6%
95
27.4%
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
75.0%
95
25.0%
Q4 - 4:12MIADragic Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)99
80.1%
95
19.9%
Q4 - 4:13SACBarnes 2' Layup (8 PTS)98
73.4%
95
26.6%
Q4 - 4:36MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)98
79.9%
93
20.1%
Q4 - 4:40MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)96
73.6%
93
26.4%
Q4 - 4:42SACMISS Barnes 4' Hook Shot96
71.1%
93
28.9%
Q4 - 5:00MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)96
65.0%
93
35.0%
Q4 - 5:15MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)94
53.8%
93
46.2%
Q4 - 5:15MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
47.6%
93
52.4%
Q4 - 5:34SACAfflalo Foul Turnover (P3.T16)94
53.9%
93
46.1%
Q4 - 5:44MIALawson STEAL (1 STL)94
45.0%
93
55.0%
Q4 - 6:00MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
53.9%
93
46.1%
Q4 - 6:01SACMISS Cousins 5' Running Jump Shot94
49.7%
93
50.3%
Q4 - 6:14MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)94
43.7%
93
56.3%
Q4 - 6:32SACLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)91
30.7%
93
69.3%
Q4 - 6:45MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)91
23.7%
93
76.3%
Q4 - 7:09MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
31.2%
93
68.8%
Q4 - 7:09SACMISS Temple 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
29.2%
93
70.8%
Q4 - 7:24SACBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)91
25.0%
93
75.0%
Q4 - 7:24MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
26.8%
93
73.2%
Q4 - 7:36SACCousins 3' Cutting Layup Shot (12 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)91
31.2%
93
68.8%
Q4 - 7:52MIARichardson 9' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)91
36.7%
91
63.3%
Q4 - 7:57MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)89
31.2%
91
68.8%
Q4 - 7:59SACMISS Lawson 4' Driving Layup89
29.2%
91
70.8%
Q4 - 8:04MIATemple STEAL (2 STL)89
26.2%
91
73.8%
Q4 - 8:15SACLawson Foul Turnover (P3.T14)89
31.3%
91
68.7%
Q4 - 8:37SACKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
26.1%
91
73.9%
Q4 - 8:37MIAMISS Babbitt 15' Fadeaway Jumper89
27.6%
91
72.4%
Q4 - 8:57SACLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)89
31.3%
91
68.7%
Q4 - 9:11MIAKoufos STEAL (1 STL)89
26.4%
91
73.6%
Q4 - 9:29SACTemple 2' Running Layup (15 PTS)89
31.7%
91
68.3%
Q4 - 9:32MIATemple STEAL (1 STL)89
36.9%
89
63.1%
Q4 - 9:44SACKoufos Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)89
43.0%
89
57.0%
Q4 - 9:44SACKoufos Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)89
45.3%
88
54.7%
Q4 - 9:54MIAReed 8' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)89
48.8%
87
51.2%
Q4 - 10:11SACTemple 14' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Koufos 2 AST)87
42.7%
87
57.3%
Q4 - 10:27MIARichardson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T11)87
47.9%
85
52.1%
Q4 - 10:37MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)87
54.2%
85
45.8%
Q4 - 10:37SACMISS Afflalo 3' Floating Jump Shot87
52.3%
85
47.7%
Q4 - 10:57SACKINGS Rebound87
48.0%
85
52.0%
Q4 - 10:57MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
49.9%
85
50.1%
Q4 - 11:09SACLawson 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS)87
53.3%
85
46.7%
Q4 - 11:20SACKINGS Rebound87
58.4%
83
41.6%
Q4 - 11:20MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
60.1%
83
39.9%
Q4 - 11:51SACTemple Cutting Dunk Shot (11 PTS) (Tolliver 2 AST)87
63.9%
83
36.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA87
68.6%
81
31.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0SACLawson 16' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)87
73.3%
81
26.7%
Q3 - 0:08.0SACKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
75.4%
79
24.6%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Waiters 20' Step Back Jump Shot87
76.5%
79
23.5%
Q3 - 0:29.0SACTolliver Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)87
79.1%
79
20.9%
Q3 - 0:29.0SACTolliver Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)87
79.7%
78
20.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0SACTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
82.3%
77
17.7%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
83.2%
77
16.8%
Q3 - 0:36.0SACKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
85.1%
77
14.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0SACKoufos 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)87
85.1%
77
14.9%
Q3 - 0:38.0SACMISS Lawson 2' Layup87
89.0%
75
11.0%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T10)87
87.6%
75
12.4%
Q3 - 1:10SACLawson 16' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)87
88.1%
75
11.9%
Q3 - 1:19SACKoufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
90.0%
73
10.0%
Q3 - 1:20MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
90.5%
73
9.5%
Q3 - 1:36SACTemple 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Koufos 1 AST)87
91.7%
73
8.3%
Q3 - 1:46MIAWaiters Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)87
93.0%
71
7.0%
Q3 - 1:58SACTolliver Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)87
94.2%
71
5.8%
Q3 - 2:11MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)87
95.1%
68
4.9%
Q3 - 2:11MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)86
94.8%
68
5.2%
Q3 - 2:11MIAEllington Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)85
94.2%
68
5.8%
Q3 - 2:11MIAHeat Rebound84
93.1%
68
6.9%
Q3 - 2:12MIAMISS Johnson 1' Layup84
92.1%
68
7.9%
Q3 - 2:13MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
93.1%
68
6.9%
Q3 - 2:15SACMISS Afflalo 4' Jump Shot84
92.7%
68
7.3%
Q3 - 2:30MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)84
91.7%
68
8.3%
Q3 - 2:30MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)83
91.5%
68
8.5%
Q3 - 2:32MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)82
90.4%
68
9.6%
Q3 - 2:32MIAMISS Ellington 19' Jump Shot82
89.1%
68
10.9%
Q3 - 2:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
90.4%
68
9.6%
Q3 - 2:49SACMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
89.9%
68
10.1%
Q3 - 3:01MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)82
87.4%
68
12.6%
Q3 - 3:01MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 281
87.0%
68
13.0%
Q3 - 3:01MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
87.6%
68
12.4%
Q3 - 3:04SACMISS Barnes 5' Driving Layup81
86.9%
68
13.1%
Q3 - 3:25MIADragic 6' Floating Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)81
85.4%
68
14.6%
Q3 - 3:38SACKoufos 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Tolliver 1 AST)79
83.2%
68
16.8%
Q3 - 3:55SACCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
85.4%
66
14.6%
Q3 - 3:55MIAMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot79
86.1%
66
13.9%
Q3 - 4:13SACCollison 4' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)79
86.6%
66
13.4%
Q3 - 4:27SACBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
88.2%
64
11.8%
Q3 - 4:27MIAMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot79
88.8%
64
11.2%
Q3 - 4:45SACKoufos Foul Turnover (P1.T12)79
90.1%
64
9.9%
Q3 - 4:57MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)79
88.2%
64
11.8%
Q3 - 4:57MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)78
87.9%
64
12.1%
Q3 - 5:09SACTolliver 4' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)77
85.4%
64
14.6%
Q3 - 5:26SACBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
87.2%
62
12.8%
Q3 - 5:27MIAMISS Reed 14' Jump Shot77
87.8%
62
12.2%
Q3 - 5:41MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
89.1%
62
10.9%
Q3 - 5:41SACMISS Collison 20' Pullup Jump Shot77
88.6%
62
11.4%
Q3 - 5:55MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)77
87.2%
62
12.8%
Q3 - 5:55MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)76
86.9%
62
13.1%
Q3 - 5:57SACBarnes Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)75
85.5%
62
14.5%
Q3 - 6:11SACTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
81.6%
62
18.4%
Q3 - 6:12MIAMISS McGruder 19' Jump Shot75
82.4%
62
17.6%
Q3 - 6:30SACBarnes Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T10)75
84.1%
62
15.9%
Q3 - 6:40SACBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
81.7%
62
18.3%
Q3 - 6:40MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
82.5%
62
17.5%
Q3 - 6:49MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
84.2%
62
15.8%
Q3 - 6:51SACMISS Afflalo 17' Jump Shot75
83.5%
62
16.5%
Q3 - 7:12SACAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
80.4%
62
19.6%
Q3 - 7:12MIAMISS Dragic 9' Jump Shot75
81.2%
62
18.8%
Q3 - 7:22SACCollison Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)75
83.1%
62
16.9%
Q3 - 7:22MIAHeat Rebound75
85.1%
61
14.9%
Q3 - 7:22MIACollison BLOCK (1 BLK)75
83.5%
61
16.5%
Q3 - 7:30MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
85.2%
61
14.8%
Q3 - 7:31SACMISS Collison 20' Jump Shot75
84.5%
61
15.5%
Q3 - 7:43SACCousins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
82.8%
61
17.2%
Q3 - 7:43MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
83.5%
61
16.5%
Q3 - 8:05SACAfflalo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)75
84.4%
61
15.6%
Q3 - 8:23MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)75
82.0%
61
18.0%
Q3 - 8:23MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)74
81.5%
61
18.5%
Q3 - 8:36MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
80.1%
61
19.9%
Q3 - 8:36SACMISS Cousins 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
79.2%
61
20.8%
Q3 - 8:46SACCousins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
77.1%
61
22.9%
Q3 - 8:46MIAMISS Dragic 4' Driving Layup73
78.0%
61
22.0%
Q3 - 9:08MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
78.4%
61
21.6%
Q3 - 9:09SACMISS Cousins 3' Reverse Layup73
77.6%
61
22.4%
Q3 - 9:28MIAMcGruder Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)73
75.8%
61
24.2%
Q3 - 9:28MIAMISS McGruder Free Throw 1 of 272
75.2%
61
24.8%
Q3 - 9:43SACCousins Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)72
76.0%
61
24.0%
Q3 - 9:43SACCousins Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)72
76.5%
60
23.5%
Q3 - 9:55MIABabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)72
78.4%
59
21.6%
Q3 - 10:07MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
72.0%
59
28.0%
Q3 - 10:07SACMISS Cousins 18' Jump Shot69
71.1%
59
28.9%
Q3 - 10:35MIABabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)69
68.9%
59
31.1%
Q3 - 10:44MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
62.8%
59
37.2%
Q3 - 10:46SACMISS Cousins 3' Jump Shot66
61.7%
59
38.3%
Q3 - 11:01MIAReed 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)66
58.3%
59
41.7%
Q3 - 11:20MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
55.2%
59
44.8%
Q3 - 11:20SACMISS Collison 17' Jump Shot64
54.1%
59
45.9%
Q3 - 11:33SACKINGS Rebound64
51.6%
59
48.4%
Q3 - 11:33MIAMISS Reed 13' Jump Shot64
52.7%
59
47.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAC64
55.2%
59
44.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAHeat Rebound64
53.7%
59
46.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0SACMISS Collison 3' Driving Layup64
53.1%
59
46.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIADragic 13' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)64
51.6%
59
48.4%
Q2 - 0:27.0SACLawson 18' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)62
47.2%
59
52.8%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAHaslem Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T8)62
51.6%
57
48.4%
Q2 - 0:59.0SACLawson 3' Layup (5 PTS)62
53.9%
57
46.1%
Q2 - 1:10MIARichardson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)62
57.7%
55
42.3%
Q2 - 1:25SACCousins 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)62
59.3%
55
40.7%
Q2 - 1:32SACKINGS Rebound62
63.8%
53
36.2%
Q2 - 1:32MIAMISS Richardson 21' Jump Shot62
64.3%
53
35.7%
Q2 - 1:47SACTolliver 9' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Barnes 5 AST)62
65.3%
53
34.7%
Q2 - 1:53SACKINGS Rebound62
69.5%
51
30.5%
Q2 - 1:53SACMISS Cousins 6' Jump Shot62
70.5%
51
29.5%
Q2 - 2:11MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)62
67.9%
51
32.1%
Q2 - 2:36SACCollison 4' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Barnes 4 AST)59
62.1%
51
37.9%
Q2 - 2:56MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)59
65.3%
49
34.7%
Q2 - 3:06SACCollison 2' Cutting Layup Shot (5 PTS) (Cousins 3 AST)59
66.5%
49
33.5%
Q2 - 3:16MIAJohnson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)59
68.8%
47
31.2%
Q2 - 3:25SACCousins Foul Turnover (P1.T8)59
71.7%
47
28.3%
Q2 - 3:37MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)59
68.8%
47
31.2%
Q2 - 3:37MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)58
68.2%
47
31.8%
Q2 - 3:54MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
66.7%
47
33.3%
Q2 - 3:54SACMISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
65.7%
47
34.3%
Q2 - 4:17MIAEllington 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)57
62.4%
47
37.6%
Q2 - 4:33SACAfflalo 14' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS) (Cousins 2 AST)54
57.0%
47
43.0%
Q2 - 4:56MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)54
59.8%
45
40.2%
Q2 - 5:02SACLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)51
53.8%
45
46.2%
Q2 - 5:08MIAJohnson 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)51
50.8%
45
49.2%
Q2 - 5:24SACBarnes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)49
48.2%
45
51.8%
Q2 - 5:47MIAHaslem 2' Layup (5 PTS)49
45.2%
45
54.8%
Q2 - 5:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
42.6%
45
57.4%
Q2 - 5:51MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
40.6%
45
59.4%
Q2 - 6:10SACBarnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)47
42.6%
45
57.4%
Q2 - 6:24MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)47
47.4%
42
52.6%
Q2 - 6:24MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)46
46.9%
42
53.1%
Q2 - 6:33SACLawson 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)45
45.3%
42
54.7%
Q2 - 6:45MIAEllington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)45
50.1%
39
49.9%
Q2 - 7:05MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
44.7%
39
55.3%
Q2 - 7:06SACMISS Cousins Free Throw 2 of 242
44.3%
39
55.7%
Q2 - 7:06SACCousins Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)42
42.7%
39
57.3%
Q2 - 7:23MIAReed 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)42
44.5%
38
55.5%
Q2 - 7:41SACAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)40
42.2%
38
57.8%
Q2 - 7:55MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)40
47.1%
35
52.9%
Q2 - 8:09SACTemple 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Barnes 3 AST)38
44.3%
35
55.7%
Q2 - 8:31MIAJohnson 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS)38
46.7%
33
53.3%
Q2 - 8:48SACTemple Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)36
44.4%
33
55.6%
Q2 - 9:00SACKINGS Rebound36
41.6%
33
58.4%
Q2 - 9:01SACMISS Cauley-Stein 3' Layup36
43.2%
33
56.8%
Q2 - 9:03SACCauley-Stein REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
41.3%
33
58.7%
Q2 - 9:04SACMISS Temple 3PT Jump Shot36
43.2%
33
56.8%
Q2 - 9:20MIAHaslem 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)36
41.3%
33
58.7%
Q2 - 9:43SACAfflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cauley-Stein 1 AST)34
39.1%
33
60.9%
Q2 - 9:48SACCauley-Stein REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
43.8%
30
56.2%
Q2 - 9:49SACMISS Lawson 2' Driving Layup34
45.7%
30
54.3%
Q2 - 9:59MIAWaiters 22' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)34
43.8%
30
56.2%
Q2 - 10:15SACTemple Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)32
41.5%
30
58.5%
Q2 - 10:30SACTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
46.0%
27
54.0%
Q2 - 10:30MIAMISS Ellington 18' Jump Shot32
46.9%
27
53.1%
Q2 - 10:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
48.9%
27
51.1%
Q2 - 10:36SACMISS Temple 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
48.0%
27
52.0%
Q2 - 10:51MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)32
46.0%
27
54.0%
Q2 - 11:05SACCauley-Stein 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
43.2%
27
56.8%
Q2 - 11:27MIACauley-Stein STEAL (1 STL)30
45.6%
25
54.4%
Q2 - 11:41MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
48.1%
25
51.9%
Q2 - 11:43MIAMISS Ellington 16' Jump Shot30
46.3%
25
53.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA30
48.1%
25
51.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound30
48.1%
25
51.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Haslem 4' Jump Shot30
46.4%
25
53.6%
Q1 - 0:08.0SACAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)30
47.2%
25
52.8%
Q1 - 0:26.0SACCauley-Stein REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
52.6%
22
47.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
53.1%
22
46.9%
Q1 - 0:34.0SACTolliver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)30
54.3%
22
45.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)30
52.6%
22
47.4%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 229
52.1%
22
47.9%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
51.9%
22
48.1%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
50.7%
22
49.3%
Q1 - 1:08SACAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
51.8%
22
48.2%
Q1 - 1:08SACAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
52.1%
21
47.9%
Q1 - 1:19MIAWaiters 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)29
54.7%
20
45.3%
Q1 - 1:28SACAfflalo 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)27
51.8%
20
48.2%
Q1 - 1:42MIAWaiters Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T3)27
54.7%
18
45.3%
Q1 - 1:47MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
56.5%
18
43.5%
Q1 - 1:48SACMISS Temple 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
55.9%
18
44.1%
Q1 - 1:58MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)27
54.7%
18
45.3%
Q1 - 1:58MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 226
54.1%
18
45.9%
Q1 - 2:06MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
54.2%
18
45.8%
Q1 - 2:08SACMISS Cousins Free Throw 2 of 226
54.0%
18
46.0%
Q1 - 2:08SACCousins Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
52.4%
18
47.6%
Q1 - 2:23MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)26
54.5%
17
45.5%
Q1 - 2:37SACCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)23
49.6%
17
50.4%
Q1 - 2:47SACCousins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
47.5%
17
52.5%
Q1 - 2:48MIAMISS Johnson 3' Tip Layup Shot23
48.2%
17
51.8%
Q1 - 2:48MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
49.6%
17
50.4%
Q1 - 2:49MIAMISS McGruder 3PT Jump Shot23
48.2%
17
51.8%
Q1 - 2:57MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
49.6%
17
50.4%
Q1 - 2:57SACMISS Cousins 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
49.0%
17
51.0%
Q1 - 3:19MIAJohnson 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)23
46.7%
17
53.3%
Q1 - 3:35SACCousins 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
44.7%
17
55.3%
Q1 - 3:55MIAJohnson 9' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)21
46.7%
15
53.3%
Q1 - 4:00SACAfflalo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)19
44.7%
15
55.3%
Q1 - 4:12MIAReed Foul Turnover (P1.T2)19
41.8%
15
58.2%
Q1 - 4:23SACTolliver 7' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Temple 2 AST)19
44.4%
15
55.6%
Q1 - 4:38MIARichardson 8' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)19
46.2%
13
53.8%
Q1 - 4:54SACTemple 9' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Cousins 1 AST)17
44.4%
13
55.6%
Q1 - 5:14MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
45.3%
11
54.7%
Q1 - 5:14MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)16
44.7%
11
55.3%
Q1 - 5:22MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
43.4%
11
56.6%
Q1 - 5:23SACMISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
42.8%
11
57.2%
Q1 - 5:34SACCousins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
41.2%
11
58.8%
Q1 - 5:35MIAMISS McGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
41.9%
11
58.1%
Q1 - 5:52SACTolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Temple 1 AST)15
43.5%
11
56.5%
Q1 - 6:14MIARichardson 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)15
46.6%
8
53.4%
Q1 - 6:22MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
44.7%
8
55.3%
Q1 - 6:22MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
43.3%
8
56.7%
Q1 - 6:30MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
44.7%
8
55.3%
Q1 - 6:31SACMISS McLemore 12' Jump Shot13
44.1%
8
55.9%
Q1 - 6:45MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)13
42.6%
8
57.4%
Q1 - 7:07SACBarnes 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)10
38.6%
8
61.4%
Q1 - 7:30MIAMcGruder 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)10
41.9%
5
58.1%
Q1 - 7:43SACKINGS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)8
40.4%
5
59.6%
Q1 - 8:12MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)8
38.3%
5
61.7%
Q1 - 8:20MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
35.0%
5
65.0%
Q1 - 8:21SACMISS McLemore 10' Jump Shot5
34.4%
5
65.6%
Q1 - 8:38MIADragic 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)5
33.1%
5
66.9%
Q1 - 8:41MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
31.6%
5
68.4%
Q1 - 8:42SACMISS Collison 4' Layup3
31.1%
5
68.9%
Q1 - 9:09MIACousins STEAL (1 STL)3
29.6%
5
70.4%
Q1 - 9:24MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
31.6%
5
68.4%
Q1 - 9:25SACMISS Cousins 18' Jump Shot3
31.0%
5
69.0%
Q1 - 9:47MIABabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)3
29.6%
5
70.4%
Q1 - 9:59MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.9%
5
73.1%
Q1 - 9:59SACMISS McLemore 3PT Jump Shot0
26.4%
5
73.6%
Q1 - 10:06SACCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.3%
5
74.7%
Q1 - 10:06MIAMISS McGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
25.8%
5
74.2%
Q1 - 10:19MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.9%
5
73.1%
Q1 - 10:20SACMISS Cousins 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
26.4%
5
73.6%
Q1 - 10:36SACBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.3%
5
74.7%
Q1 - 10:37MIAMISS Dragic 8' Step Back Bank Jump Shot0
25.7%
5
74.3%
Q1 - 10:52SACCollison 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barnes 2 AST)0
26.9%
5
73.1%
Q1 - 10:59SACCousins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.7%
2
70.3%
Q1 - 11:01MIAKoufos BLOCK (1 BLK)0
30.3%
2
69.7%
Q1 - 11:35SACCousins 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)0
31.3%
2
68.7%
Q1 - 12:00SACJump Ball Koufos vs. Reed: Tip to Barnes0
32.9%
0
67.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.1%
SAC
1.17 58.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
18
56%
SAC
20
36
56%
Midrange
MIA
13
26
50%
SAC
12
22
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
18.0
28
43%
64%
SAC
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIA
25
29
86%
SAC
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Johnson2377%11.5 / 15
G. Dragic1959%9.5 / 16
J. Johnson1470%7.0 / 10
W. Ellington1381%6.5 / 8
J. Richardson941%4.5 / 11
L. Babbitt9113%4.5 / 4
U. Haslem788%3.5 / 4
W. Reed650%3.0 / 6
D. Waiters450%2.0 / 4
R. McGruder325%1.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Temple1568%7.5 / 11
A. Afflalo1583%7.5 / 9
T. Lawson1568%7.5 / 11
A. Tolliver14100%7.0 / 7
D. Cousins1336%6.5 / 18
M. Barnes1267%6.0 / 9
D. Collison1045%5.0 / 11
K. Koufos6100%3.0 / 3
W. Cauley-Stein250%1.0 / 2
B. McLemore0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+11
-18
88
SAC
79
+7
-16
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.1%
SAC
1.17 58.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
107.4
MIA 112.6 +5.3
SAC 107.4
Pace
95.0
94.8
MIA 86.9
SAC 104.8 +18.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.3
MIA 16.6
SAC 13.7 +2.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
51.6%
MIA 56.9% +0.5%
SAC 56.4%
TO %
13.2%
14.7%
MIA 18.3%
SAC 16.6% +1.7%
ORB %
24.2%
21.0%
MIA 24.1% +13.0%
SAC 11.1%
FTrt
25.1
28.4
MIA 40.3 +18.5
SAC 21.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
59.4%
MIA 68.6% +3.6%
SAC 65.0%
STL %
7.5%
8.0%
MIA 8.4%
SAC 8.4%
BLK %
9.3%
7.4%
MIA 15.5% +8.7%
SAC 6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
54.3%
MIA 60.1% +1.5%
SAC 58.6%
Rim FG%
59.2%
58.8%
MIA 55.6%
SAC 55.6%
Mid FG%
39.4%
40.2%
MIA 50.0%
SAC 54.5% +4.5%
3P %
36.5%
37.6%
MIA 42.9% +2.9%
SAC 40.0%
FT %
70.6%
77.5%
MIA 86.2% +3.8%
SAC 82.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
35.8%
MIA 25.0%
SAC 46.2% +21.2%
Mid Att. %
33.1%
35.1%
MIA 36.1%
SAC 28.2% +7.9%
3P Att. %
31.4%
29.1%
MIA 38.9% +13.2%
SAC 25.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsMIASAC
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes26.321.8
Points107102
Rebounds3926
Assists2426
Steals88
Blocks93
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)4 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)22 (4)
Field Goals35-7240-78
At-the-Rim FG10-1820-36
Midrange FG13-2612-22
2-Point FG23-4432-58
3-Point FG12-288-20
Free Throws25-2914-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 23
37.1
9
41%
8
4
2
0
3
1
0
8
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-7
14%
G · 6'3" 190 · 31
30.1
19
59%
1
7
2
0
2
1
0
1
9-9
100%
5-10
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'4" 200 · 25
24.5
3
25%
6
2
1
0
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 245 · 27
23.3
6
50%
4
0
1
2
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
16.9
9
113%
4
0
0
0
2
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-3
100%
G · 6'3" 186 · 25
30.4
23
77%
6
2
1
2
2
1
3
3
7-9
78%
5-7
71%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
25.5
14
70%
6
6
0
3
3
6
2
4
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
2-3
67%
G · 6'5" 200 · 29
24.0
13
81%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
4-5
80%
F · 6'8" 235 · 37
18.3
7
88%
3
2
0
1
2
4
1
2
3-4
75%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 25
9.9
4
50%
1
1
0
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 28
F · 6'7" 225 · 21
F · 6'8" 240 · 26
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
60%
39
24
8
9
18
0
7
32
25-29
86%
23-44
52%
12-28
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.