FinalWin Prob.pScore
1353%100
107
2347%99
98
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
113.89496.5
MIA logo MIA
105.49390.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA107
100%
98
0%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)107
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)107
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0DETMISS Marc Morris Free Throw 2 of 2107
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0DETMarc Morris Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)107
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)106
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot106
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0DETJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)106
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)103
99.3%
96
0.7%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Ellington 1' Layup103
99.1%
96
0.9%
Q4 - 1:01MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)103
98.3%
96
1.7%
Q4 - 1:02MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.0%
96
1.0%
Q4 - 1:13MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)103
97.8%
96
2.2%
Q4 - 1:14DETMISS Leuer 9' Hook Shot103
98.2%
96
1.8%
Q4 - 1:33DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)103
98.3%
96
1.7%
Q4 - 1:34MIAMISS Johnson 3' Layup103
98.0%
96
2.0%
Q4 - 1:45MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
96.5%
96
3.5%
Q4 - 1:46DETMISS Harris 17' Pullup Jump Shot103
97.0%
96
3.0%
Q4 - 2:11MIAWilliams 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Richardson 8 AST)103
97.8%
96
2.2%
Q4 - 2:30DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)103
98.3%
94
1.7%
Q4 - 2:30DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)102
98.2%
94
1.8%
Q4 - 2:30DETHarris Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)101
97.8%
94
2.2%
Q4 - 2:45MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)100
96.5%
94
3.5%
Q4 - 2:56DETDrummond 12' Turnaround Hook Shot (25 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)100
97.6%
91
2.4%
Q4 - 3:21MIAJohnson Driving Dunk (15 PTS)98
96.9%
91
3.1%
Q4 - 3:30MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)98
97.7%
89
2.3%
Q4 - 3:31DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 198
96.3%
89
3.7%
Q4 - 3:42DETPistons Rebound96
94.9%
89
5.1%
Q4 - 3:43DETMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
93.4%
89
6.6%
Q4 - 3:55DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
95.0%
89
5.0%
Q4 - 3:56MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
94.4%
89
5.6%
Q4 - 4:12MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
92.9%
89
7.1%
Q4 - 4:13DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
93.7%
89
6.3%
Q4 - 4:23DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
95.2%
89
4.8%
Q4 - 4:24MIAMISS Johnson 3' Layup96
94.6%
89
5.4%
Q4 - 4:35MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
93.0%
89
7.0%
Q4 - 4:36DETMISS Harris 2' Layup96
93.8%
89
6.2%
Q4 - 4:59MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellington 3 AST)96
95.3%
89
4.7%
Q4 - 5:19DETCaldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)96
96.4%
86
3.6%
Q4 - 5:38MIAWilliams 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Richardson 7 AST)93
93.5%
86
6.5%
Q4 - 5:57DETDrummond Alley Oop Dunk (21 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)93
95.2%
84
4.8%
Q4 - 6:12MIAWilliams 3' Driving Bank Shot (3 PTS)91
92.0%
84
8.0%
Q4 - 6:24DETJohnson STEAL (1 STL)91
93.7%
82
6.3%
Q4 - 6:28MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)91
95.5%
82
4.5%
Q4 - 6:38MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)91
93.7%
82
6.3%
Q4 - 6:39DETMISS Marc Morris 13' Turnaround Jump Shot91
94.3%
82
5.7%
Q4 - 6:55MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)91
95.5%
82
4.5%
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 291
95.8%
81
4.2%
Q4 - 6:58MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
95.3%
81
4.7%
Q4 - 6:59DETMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot91
95.8%
81
4.2%
Q4 - 7:24DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:12)91
95.6%
81
4.4%
Q4 - 7:25DETMISS Drummond 6' Hook Shot91
94.7%
81
5.3%
Q4 - 7:35DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
95.7%
81
4.3%
Q4 - 7:36MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
95.3%
81
4.7%
Q4 - 7:53MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
94.2%
81
5.8%
Q4 - 7:54DETMISS Marc Morris 20' Step Back Jump Shot91
94.7%
81
5.3%
Q4 - 8:02DETPistons Rebound91
94.5%
81
5.5%
Q4 - 8:03DETMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
93.5%
81
6.5%
Q4 - 8:12DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
94.5%
81
5.5%
Q4 - 8:13MIAMISS McGruder 16' Pullup Jump Shot91
94.1%
81
5.9%
Q4 - 8:25DETDrummond Foul Turnover (P3.T11)91
93.1%
81
6.9%
Q4 - 8:36DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
94.6%
81
5.4%
Q4 - 8:37MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot91
94.2%
81
5.8%
Q4 - 8:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)91
93.2%
81
6.8%
Q4 - 8:46MIAMISS Johnson 9' Jump Bank Shot91
94.2%
81
5.8%
Q4 - 9:04MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)91
92.1%
81
7.9%
Q4 - 9:05DETMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
92.6%
81
7.4%
Q4 - 9:27MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T11)91
93.8%
81
6.2%
Q4 - 9:42DETDrummond 8' Hook Shot (19 PTS)91
92.2%
81
7.8%
Q4 - 9:43DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)89
90.3%
81
9.7%
Q4 - 9:44DETMISS Harris 22' Jump Shot89
88.7%
81
11.3%
Q4 - 10:11DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
89.2%
81
10.8%
Q4 - 10:12MIAMISS Babbitt 18' Jump Shot89
88.4%
81
11.6%
Q4 - 10:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
86.6%
81
13.4%
Q4 - 10:23DETJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)89
87.4%
81
12.6%
Q4 - 10:30DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)89
89.2%
81
10.8%
Q4 - 10:31MIAMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot89
88.5%
81
11.5%
Q4 - 10:43MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
86.6%
81
13.4%
Q4 - 10:44DETMISS Smith 14' Jump Shot89
87.5%
81
12.5%
Q4 - 10:58DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)89
89.3%
81
10.7%
Q4 - 10:59MIAMISS Richardson 14' Fadeaway Jumper89
88.5%
81
11.5%
Q4 - 11:22DETMarc Morris 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)89
85.5%
81
14.5%
Q4 - 11:30DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
82.7%
81
17.3%
Q4 - 11:31MIAMISS McGruder 8' Driving Hook Shot87
81.7%
81
18.3%
Q4 - 11:49DETMarc Morris 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)87
79.2%
81
20.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET85
75.6%
81
24.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound85
75.6%
81
24.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Smith 49' 3PT Jump Shot85
72.5%
81
27.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)85
74.5%
81
25.5%
Q3 - 0:20.0DETHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)85
70.5%
81
29.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
61.1%
81
38.9%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Reverse Layup82
59.7%
81
40.3%
Q3 - 0:44.0DETCaldwell-Pope 16' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS)82
56.2%
81
43.8%
Q3 - 0:55.0DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
51.0%
81
49.0%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
49.4%
81
50.6%
Q3 - 1:12DETBaynes Foul Turnover (P1.T10)80
46.4%
81
53.6%
Q3 - 1:31MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)80
51.4%
81
48.6%
Q3 - 1:31MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)80
52.7%
80
47.3%
Q3 - 1:52DETCaldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)80
56.1%
79
43.9%
Q3 - 2:03DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
46.6%
79
53.4%
Q3 - 2:04MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
45.1%
79
54.9%
Q3 - 2:15DETHaslem STEAL (1 STL)77
41.7%
79
58.3%
Q3 - 2:21DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
46.6%
79
53.4%
Q3 - 2:22MIAMISS Ellington 17' Jump Shot77
45.1%
79
54.9%
Q3 - 2:34MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
41.7%
79
58.3%
Q3 - 2:35DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 7' Driving Hook Shot77
43.2%
79
56.8%
Q3 - 2:46DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
46.6%
79
53.4%
Q3 - 2:47MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot77
45.1%
79
54.9%
Q3 - 2:57DETCaldwell-Pope 18' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)77
41.7%
79
58.3%
Q3 - 3:12MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)75
38.3%
79
61.7%
Q3 - 3:28DETDrummond Foul Turnover (P2.T8)75
46.7%
76
53.3%
Q3 - 3:43MIAEllington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)75
51.5%
76
48.5%
Q3 - 4:01DETCaldwell-Pope 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)75
59.5%
73
40.5%
Q3 - 4:08DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
56.0%
73
44.0%
Q3 - 4:09MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot73
54.5%
73
45.5%
Q3 - 4:24DETDrummond 9' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Leuer 3 AST)73
51.0%
73
49.0%
Q3 - 4:34DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)71
47.4%
73
52.6%
Q3 - 4:35MIAMISS Haslem 3' Jump Shot71
45.9%
73
54.1%
Q3 - 4:58DETCaldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Leuer 2 AST)71
42.5%
73
57.5%
Q3 - 5:09DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)68
35.5%
73
64.5%
Q3 - 5:10MIAMISS Johnson 15' Turnaround Jump Shot68
34.3%
73
65.7%
Q3 - 5:25DETJackson 19' Step Back Jump Shot (22 PTS)68
31.4%
73
68.6%
Q3 - 5:38DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
28.3%
73
71.7%
Q3 - 5:39MIAMISS Reed 16' Jump Shot66
27.2%
73
72.8%
Q3 - 6:05DETDrummond 9' Jump Shot (15 PTS)66
25.7%
73
74.3%
Q3 - 6:23MIAEllington 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS)64
23.0%
73
77.0%
Q3 - 6:35MIAHEAT Rebound64
25.7%
71
74.3%
Q3 - 6:36DETMISS Marc Morris 2' Layup64
26.7%
71
73.3%
Q3 - 6:55DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)64
29.1%
71
70.9%
Q3 - 6:56MIAMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot64
28.0%
71
72.0%
Q3 - 7:04MIAHEAT Rebound64
26.1%
71
73.9%
Q3 - 7:05MIAMISS Ellington 2' Reverse Layup64
28.6%
71
71.4%
Q3 - 7:13MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
26.1%
71
73.9%
Q3 - 7:14DETJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)64
27.2%
71
72.8%
Q3 - 7:19MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)64
29.7%
71
70.3%
Q3 - 7:28DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)64
26.1%
71
73.9%
Q3 - 7:29DETPistons Rebound64
29.7%
71
70.3%
Q3 - 7:30DETMISS Jackson 28' 3PT Jump Shot64
27.2%
71
72.8%
Q3 - 7:52MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)64
29.7%
71
70.3%
Q3 - 7:52MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)64
30.6%
70
69.4%
Q3 - 8:04DETDrummond Putback Dunk (13 PTS)64
33.2%
69
66.8%
Q3 - 8:06DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)62
30.5%
69
69.5%
Q3 - 8:07DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
27.9%
69
72.1%
Q3 - 8:13MIAMcGruder Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)62
30.5%
69
69.5%
Q3 - 8:19DETRichardson STEAL (2 STL)62
26.8%
69
73.2%
Q3 - 8:33DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
30.4%
69
69.6%
Q3 - 8:34MIAMISS Ellington 20' Jump Shot62
29.3%
69
70.7%
Q3 - 8:47MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
26.8%
69
73.2%
Q3 - 8:48MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 2 of 262
29.9%
69
70.1%
Q3 - 8:48MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)62
28.0%
69
72.0%
Q3 - 8:51DETRichardson STEAL (1 STL)62
29.8%
68
70.2%
Q3 - 9:13DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
34.0%
68
66.0%
Q3 - 9:14MIAMISS Babbitt 14' Turnaround Jump Shot62
33.0%
68
67.0%
Q3 - 9:34DETCaldwell-Pope Inbound Turnover (P1.T4)62
30.7%
68
69.3%
Q3 - 9:39DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)62
34.0%
68
66.0%
Q3 - 9:40MIAMISS Ellington 3PT Jump Shot62
33.0%
68
67.0%
Q3 - 9:52MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
30.7%
68
69.3%
Q3 - 9:53DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 19' Jump Shot62
31.7%
68
68.3%
Q3 - 10:07MIABabbitt 18' Driving Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)62
34.8%
68
65.2%
Q3 - 10:33DETJackson 12' Floating Jump Shot (20 PTS)62
37.8%
66
62.2%
Q3 - 10:48DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)60
34.7%
66
65.3%
Q3 - 10:49MIAMISS McGruder 12' Pullup Jump Shot60
33.7%
66
66.3%
Q3 - 11:14DETJackson 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)60
32.3%
66
67.7%
Q3 - 11:36MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)58
29.4%
66
70.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA58
26.5%
66
73.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0DETJackson 5' Driving Hook Shot (16 PTS)58
28.1%
66
71.9%
Q2 - 0:23.0DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
24.7%
66
75.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0DETMISS Drummond 3' Jump Shot56
23.5%
66
76.5%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)56
24.7%
66
75.3%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
23.0%
66
77.0%
Q2 - 0:46.0DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 256
23.2%
66
76.8%
Q2 - 0:46.0DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 256
24.1%
66
75.9%
Q2 - 1:00MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)56
24.6%
66
75.4%
Q2 - 1:00MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)56
25.4%
65
74.6%
Q2 - 1:09MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
29.0%
64
71.0%
Q2 - 1:10DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 156
29.2%
64
70.8%
Q2 - 1:21MIARichardson 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)54
25.2%
64
74.8%
Q2 - 1:38DETDrummond Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)54
28.9%
62
71.1%
Q2 - 2:00MIAJohnson 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)52
25.2%
62
74.8%
Q2 - 2:17DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)52
29.0%
60
71.0%
Q2 - 2:44MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)48
21.8%
60
78.2%
Q2 - 2:51MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
26.6%
57
73.4%
Q2 - 2:52DETMISS Drummond 3' Jump Shot48
27.2%
57
72.8%
Q2 - 2:59DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)48
28.8%
57
71.2%
Q2 - 3:00DETMISS Drummond 2' Finger Roll Layup48
27.2%
57
72.8%
Q2 - 3:03DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
30.2%
57
69.8%
Q2 - 3:04MIAMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot48
29.4%
57
70.6%
Q2 - 3:14DETJackson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T3)48
27.4%
57
72.6%
Q2 - 3:17DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)48
30.2%
57
69.8%
Q2 - 3:18MIAMISS Williams 9' Jump Bank Shot48
29.3%
57
70.7%
Q2 - 3:39DETJackson 4' Driving Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)48
27.3%
57
72.7%
Q2 - 3:53MIAEllington 20' Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Richardson 6 AST)46
25.4%
57
74.6%
Q2 - 4:13DETHarris 9' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)46
28.5%
55
71.5%
Q2 - 4:26DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
26.2%
55
73.8%
Q2 - 4:27MIAMISS McGruder 28' 3PT Jump Shot44
25.5%
55
74.5%
Q2 - 4:56DETJackson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)44
24.0%
55
76.0%
Q2 - 5:03DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)42
22.7%
55
77.3%
Q2 - 5:04MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
22.1%
55
77.9%
Q2 - 5:24DETMISS Drummond 11' Hook Shot42
21.3%
55
78.7%
Q2 - 5:48MIAHEAT Rebound42
20.6%
55
79.4%
Q2 - 5:48MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)42
22.7%
55
77.3%
Q2 - 5:48MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 242
23.1%
54
76.9%
Q2 - 5:52MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
22.5%
54
77.5%
Q2 - 5:53DETMISS Jackson 12' Pullup Jump Shot42
23.2%
54
76.8%
Q2 - 6:07MIAJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Reed 2 AST)42
25.7%
54
74.3%
Q2 - 6:30DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)42
29.5%
51
70.5%
Q2 - 6:30DETMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 241
29.2%
51
70.8%
Q2 - 6:34MIAMcGruder Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)41
30.0%
51
70.0%
Q2 - 6:49MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
27.2%
51
72.8%
Q2 - 6:50DETReed BLOCK (1 BLK)41
28.1%
51
71.9%
Q2 - 7:00DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
30.0%
51
70.0%
Q2 - 7:01MIAMISS Ellington 3PT Jump Shot41
30.1%
51
69.9%
Q2 - 7:13DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)41
28.4%
51
71.6%
Q2 - 7:13DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)40
28.1%
51
71.9%
Q2 - 7:17MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)39
26.5%
51
73.5%
Q2 - 7:31DETJackson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)39
24.3%
51
75.7%
Q2 - 7:43DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)37
22.6%
51
77.4%
Q2 - 7:44DETMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
21.2%
51
78.8%
Q2 - 7:50DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
22.6%
51
77.4%
Q2 - 7:51DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
21.2%
51
78.8%
Q2 - 8:13MIAHaslem 3' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)37
22.9%
51
77.1%
Q2 - 8:38DETCaldwell-Pope 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Marc Morris 1 AST)37
24.6%
49
75.4%
Q2 - 8:41DETPistons Rebound35
22.9%
49
77.1%
Q2 - 8:42DETJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)35
21.6%
49
78.4%
Q2 - 9:00MIAMcGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)35
22.9%
49
77.1%
Q2 - 9:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
27.1%
46
72.9%
Q2 - 9:16DETMISS Marc Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
27.8%
46
72.2%
Q2 - 9:42MIABabbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)35
29.3%
46
70.7%
Q2 - 9:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
33.4%
43
66.6%
Q2 - 10:00DETMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
34.1%
43
65.9%
Q2 - 10:15MIAJohnson Free Throw 3 of 3 (6 PTS)35
36.2%
43
63.8%
Q2 - 10:15MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 3 (5 PTS)35
36.7%
42
63.3%
Q2 - 10:15MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 3 (4 PTS)35
37.2%
41
62.8%
Q2 - 10:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
40.5%
40
59.5%
Q2 - 10:35DETMISS Smith 3' Layup35
41.4%
40
58.6%
Q2 - 10:42DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
43.3%
40
56.7%
Q2 - 10:43MIAMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot35
42.4%
40
57.6%
Q2 - 11:02MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
40.9%
40
59.1%
Q2 - 11:03DETMISS Marc Morris 15' Jump Shot35
41.6%
40
58.4%
Q2 - 11:17MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)35
43.3%
40
56.7%
Q2 - 11:17MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 235
43.8%
39
56.2%
Q2 - 11:31DETHarris 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)35
43.2%
39
56.8%
Q2 - 11:45MIAHaslem 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)33
40.9%
39
59.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET33
43.2%
37
56.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound33
45.7%
37
54.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Harris 60' 3PT Jump Shot33
43.9%
37
56.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 5 AST)33
45.3%
37
54.7%
Q1 - 0:13.0DETCaldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)33
50.7%
34
49.3%
Q1 - 0:20.0DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
45.3%
34
54.7%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup30
44.8%
34
55.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0DETHarris 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)30
43.6%
34
56.4%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIARichardson 8' Turnaround Bank Shot (10 PTS)28
40.7%
34
59.3%
Q1 - 1:03DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
43.7%
32
56.3%
Q1 - 1:03DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
43.4%
32
56.6%
Q1 - 1:04DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
40.9%
32
59.1%
Q1 - 1:06MIAMISS Johnson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot26
40.4%
32
59.6%
Q1 - 1:26DETHarris 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)26
39.2%
32
60.8%
Q1 - 1:47MIAJohnson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)24
36.4%
32
63.6%
Q1 - 2:06MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
35.1%
32
64.9%
Q1 - 2:07DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 224
35.3%
32
64.7%
Q1 - 2:07DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
36.8%
32
63.2%
Q1 - 2:09DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
34.9%
32
65.1%
Q1 - 2:10MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
34.3%
32
65.7%
Q1 - 2:25DETBaynes Putback Dunk (2 PTS)23
33.0%
32
67.0%
Q1 - 2:26DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
30.7%
32
69.3%
Q1 - 2:27DETMISS Smith 2' Layup21
29.5%
32
70.5%
Q1 - 2:33DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
30.7%
32
69.3%
Q1 - 2:34MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
30.2%
32
69.8%
Q1 - 2:52DETLeuer 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 3 AST)21
29.0%
32
71.0%
Q1 - 3:12MIAEllington 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)19
27.9%
32
72.1%
Q1 - 3:28MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
29.5%
30
70.5%
Q1 - 3:29DETMISS Leuer Alley Oop Dunk19
30.1%
30
69.9%
Q1 - 3:34DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
31.6%
30
68.4%
Q1 - 3:35MIAMISS Richardson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot19
30.9%
30
69.1%
Q1 - 3:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
29.5%
30
70.5%
Q1 - 3:48DETMISS Drummond 3' Layup19
30.1%
30
69.9%
Q1 - 4:05MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellington 2 AST)19
32.0%
30
68.0%
Q1 - 4:11DETJohnson STEAL (1 STL)19
35.6%
27
64.4%
Q1 - 4:16DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
38.0%
27
62.0%
Q1 - 4:17DETMISS Harris 7' Turnaround Jump Shot19
36.3%
27
63.7%
Q1 - 4:36MIAHEAT Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#2)19
38.0%
27
62.0%
Q1 - 4:36MIAHEAT Rebound19
35.5%
27
64.5%
Q1 - 4:37MIAMISS Richardson 1' Reverse Layup19
37.2%
27
62.8%
Q1 - 4:45MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
35.5%
27
64.5%
Q1 - 4:46DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 16' Pullup Jump Shot19
36.3%
27
63.7%
Q1 - 5:12MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)19
38.7%
27
61.3%
Q1 - 5:36DETJackson 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
42.6%
24
57.4%
Q1 - 5:49MIAJohnson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)17
40.7%
24
59.3%
Q1 - 6:00DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)17
42.5%
22
57.5%
Q1 - 6:00DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 216
41.5%
22
58.5%
Q1 - 6:09MIARichardson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T1)16
43.2%
22
56.8%
Q1 - 6:20DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
41.1%
22
58.9%
Q1 - 6:20DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
40.9%
22
59.1%
Q1 - 6:33MIABabbitt 6' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)14
39.3%
22
60.7%
Q1 - 6:52DETMarc Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 2 AST)14
41.1%
20
58.9%
Q1 - 7:01DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
38.4%
20
61.6%
Q1 - 7:02MIAMISS Richardson 8' Jump Bank Shot11
37.7%
20
62.3%
Q1 - 7:20DETDrummond 1' Tip Layup Shot (6 PTS)11
36.2%
20
63.8%
Q1 - 7:21DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
34.8%
20
65.2%
Q1 - 7:23DETMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot9
33.4%
20
66.6%
Q1 - 7:39MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Reed 1 AST)9
34.7%
20
65.3%
Q1 - 7:57DETDrummond Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 1 AST)9
37.9%
17
62.1%
Q1 - 8:18MIAMcGruder 18' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)7
36.8%
17
63.2%
Q1 - 8:36MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
38.4%
15
61.6%
Q1 - 8:37DETMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
39.0%
15
61.0%
Q1 - 8:56MIAReed 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)7
40.4%
15
59.6%
Q1 - 9:09DETMarc Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Leuer 1 AST)7
42.0%
13
58.0%
Q1 - 9:23MIAReed 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)4
38.8%
13
61.2%
Q1 - 9:44DETCaldwell-Pope 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
40.2%
11
59.8%
Q1 - 9:58MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Babbitt 1 AST)2
38.8%
11
61.2%
Q1 - 10:14DETDrummond 12' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
42.2%
8
57.8%
Q1 - 10:26MIAMcGruder Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)0
40.6%
8
59.4%
Q1 - 10:30DETMcGruder STEAL (1 STL)0
44.0%
5
56.0%
Q1 - 10:52MIARichardson 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
46.1%
5
53.9%
Q1 - 11:07MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
48.0%
3
52.0%
Q1 - 11:08DETMISS Jackson 17' Pullup Jump Shot0
48.5%
3
51.5%
Q1 - 11:28MIAEllington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)0
49.6%
3
50.4%
Q1 - 11:46MIAHEAT Rebound0
53.4%
0
46.6%
Q1 - 11:47DETMISS Drummond 1' Reverse Layup0
53.9%
0
46.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Reed vs. Drummond: Tip to Jackson0
55.1%
0
44.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.09 54.6%
MIA
1.10 55.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
16
30
53%
MIA
7
15
47%
Midrange
DET
17
34
50%
MIA
14
36
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
9
13.5
22
41%
61%
MIA
14
21.0
26
54%
81%
Free Throws
DET
14
22
64%
MIA
14
18
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Jackson2771%13.5 / 19
A. Drummond2560%12.5 / 21
K. Caldwell-Pope2372%11.5 / 16
T. Harris1753%8.5 / 16
M. Morris1155%5.5 / 10
J. Leuer225%1.0 / 4
A. Baynes2100%1.0 / 1
I. Smith0-0.0 / 7
S. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2067%10.0 / 15
W. Ellington1860%9.0 / 15
J. Richardson1447%7.0 / 15
T. Johnson1146%5.5 / 12
D. Williams1071%5.0 / 7
R. McGruder850%4.0 / 8
L. Babbitt770%3.5 / 5
U. Haslem660%3.0 / 5
W. Reed467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
82
+16
-12
98
MIA
83
+5
-10
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.09 54.6%
MIA
1.10 55.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
108.1
DET 113.8 +8.5
MIA 105.4
Pace
95.0
95.0
DET 96.5 +5.9
MIA 90.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.7
DET 14.9 +1.0
MIA 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
51.2%
DET 54.1%
MIA 54.5% +0.4%
TO %
11.9%
13.2%
DET 12.0% +0.4%
MIA 12.4%
ORB %
24.1%
24.2%
DET 24.4% +17.1%
MIA 7.3%
FTrt
21.8
25.1
DET 25.6 +2.2
MIA 23.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.0%
54.4%
DET 38.1%
MIA 71.4% +33.3%
STL %
7.3%
7.5%
DET 7.4% +0.9%
MIA 6.5%
BLK %
6.6%
9.3%
DET 9.8% +3.5%
MIA 6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.35 and 2.35.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
52.8%
DET 54.6%
MIA 55.1% +0.5%
Rim FG%
58.3%
59.2%
DET 53.3% +6.6%
MIA 46.7%
Mid FG%
42.6%
39.4%
DET 50.0% +11.1%
MIA 38.9%
3P %
33.0%
36.5%
DET 40.9%
MIA 53.8% +12.9%
FT %
71.9%
70.6%
DET 63.6%
MIA 77.8% +14.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.9%
35.4%
DET 34.9% +15.4%
MIA 19.5%
Mid Att. %
42.8%
33.1%
DET 39.5% +7.2%
MIA 46.8%
3P Att. %
26.3%
31.4%
DET 25.6%
MIA 33.8% +8.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points10798
Rebounds4834
Assists1625
Steals76
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)10 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (6)3 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (0)31 (3)
Field Goals42-8635-77
At-the-Rim FG16-307-15
Midrange FG17-3414-36
2-Point FG33-6421-51
3-Point FG9-2214-26
Free Throws14-2214-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 204 · 24
39.6
23
72%
6
5
2
0
2
1
0
6
1-2
50%
5-8
63%
4-7
57%
C · 6'11" 279 · 23
36.1
25
60%
18
0
2
2
3
4
6
12
1-6
17%
12-19
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 208 · 27
32.6
27
71%
2
4
1
0
3
1
0
2
5-5
100%
8-12
67%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 235 · 27
31.3
11
55%
1
1
0
0
1
3
0
1
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
2-3
67%
F · 6'10" 228 · 28
27.9
2
25%
3
3
0
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 226 · 24
34.9
17
53%
7
0
2
2
1
2
1
6
6-7
86%
4-9
44%
1-4
25%
G · 6'0" 175 · 28
15.3
0
0%
4
2
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-5
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 245 · 21
12.8
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 260 · 30
9.4
2
100%
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 220 · 24
G · 6'3" 205 · 34
C · 7'3" 290 · 28
F · 6'11" 245 · 20
#25 · F-G · 6'7" 205 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · G-F · 6'7" 200 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
55%
48
16
7
5
12
0
10
38
14-22
64%
33-64
52%
9-22
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.