for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, December 14, 2016
FinalWin Prob.pScore
12
Pistons
56%99
95
24
Mavericks
44%97
85
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
104.49193.6
DAL logo DAL
94.49087.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DET95
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0DALAnderson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)95
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0DALAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)95
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0DETMISS Johnson 16' Pullup Jump Shot95
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0DALGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)95
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0DALGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)95
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)95
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)94
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0DALMISS Hammons Free Throw 2 of 293
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0DALMISS Hammons Free Throw 1 of 293
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0DETJackson 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot (20 PTS)93
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04DALBrussino 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Finney-Smith 1 AST)91
99.5%
83
0.5%
Q4 - 1:16DALAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
99.6%
81
0.4%
Q4 - 1:17DETMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 291
99.6%
81
0.4%
Q4 - 1:17DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)91
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 1:20DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
99.6%
81
0.4%
Q4 - 1:22DALMISS Matthews 2' Driving Layup90
99.5%
81
0.5%
Q4 - 1:28DETJackson 1' Driving Reverse Layup (17 PTS)90
99.1%
81
0.9%
Q4 - 1:44DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)88
98.1%
81
1.9%
Q4 - 1:46DALMISS Barnes 12' Fadeaway Jumper88
97.7%
81
2.3%
Q4 - 1:59DALD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
96.8%
81
3.2%
Q4 - 2:00DETMISS Marc Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
97.3%
81
2.7%
Q4 - 2:21DALBarnes 11' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)88
98.0%
81
2.0%
Q4 - 2:31DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)88
98.4%
79
1.6%
Q4 - 2:31DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)87
98.3%
79
1.7%
Q4 - 2:40DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)86
98.0%
79
2.0%
Q4 - 2:42DALMISS Matthews 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot86
97.5%
79
2.5%
Q4 - 2:47DALMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
96.0%
79
4.0%
Q4 - 2:48DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 3PT Jump Shot86
96.8%
79
3.2%
Q4 - 2:56DALD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)86
97.1%
79
2.9%
Q4 - 3:07DETCaldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jackson 6 AST)86
95.0%
79
5.0%
Q4 - 3:25DALBarnes Cutting Dunk Shot (17 PTS) (Powell 2 AST)83
90.5%
79
9.5%
Q4 - 3:39DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)83
90.4%
77
9.6%
Q4 - 3:39DETBaynes 3' Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS)83
90.4%
77
9.6%
Q4 - 3:40DETMISS Jackson 2' Driving Layup81
83.6%
77
16.4%
Q4 - 3:54DALD. Williams Free Throw 3 of 3 (16 PTS)81
87.3%
77
12.7%
Q4 - 3:54DALD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 3 (15 PTS)81
87.8%
76
12.2%
Q4 - 3:54DALD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 3 (14 PTS)81
88.4%
75
11.6%
Q4 - 4:02DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)81
93.5%
74
6.5%
Q4 - 4:26DALPowell Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (D. Williams 5 AST)79
91.1%
74
8.9%
Q4 - 4:34DETBaynes Foul Turnover (P1.T19)79
93.6%
72
6.4%
Q4 - 4:48DALFinney-Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Barnes 2 AST)79
95.7%
72
4.3%
Q4 - 4:52DALBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
97.9%
69
2.1%
Q4 - 4:53DALMISS Powell 18' Jump Shot79
98.4%
69
1.6%
Q4 - 5:09DETBaynes 1' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)79
96.7%
69
3.3%
Q4 - 5:26DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)77
95.6%
69
4.4%
Q4 - 5:27DALMISS Barnes 19' Jump Shot77
95.2%
69
4.8%
Q4 - 5:43DALFinney-Smith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
94.0%
69
6.0%
Q4 - 5:43DALMISS Matthews 25' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper77
95.2%
69
4.8%
Q4 - 6:10DETJackson 10' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)77
92.4%
69
7.6%
Q4 - 6:22DALMejri Foul Turnover (P2.T10)75
90.4%
69
9.6%
Q4 - 6:38DETDrummond Foul Turnover (P4.T18)75
87.0%
69
13.0%
Q4 - 6:47DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)75
90.5%
69
9.5%
Q4 - 6:48DALMISS Finney-Smith 19' Jump Shot75
89.5%
69
10.5%
Q4 - 7:01DALFinney-Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
85.6%
69
14.4%
Q4 - 7:01DALMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
88.0%
69
12.0%
Q4 - 7:14DETLeuer Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)75
85.6%
69
14.4%
Q4 - 7:14DETLeuer Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)74
84.9%
69
15.1%
Q4 - 7:32DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)73
82.3%
69
17.7%
Q4 - 7:34DALMISS Curry 20' Pullup Jump Shot73
80.9%
69
19.1%
Q4 - 7:54DETMarc Morris 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)73
77.4%
69
22.6%
Q4 - 8:04DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)70
65.5%
69
34.5%
Q4 - 8:04DALMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
63.7%
69
36.3%
Q4 - 8:25DALMejri REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)70
59.7%
69
40.3%
Q4 - 8:27DETMISS Jackson 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot70
61.5%
69
38.5%
Q4 - 8:42DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
65.6%
69
34.4%
Q4 - 8:43DALMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
63.8%
69
36.2%
Q4 - 8:58DETMarc Morris 21' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)70
59.7%
69
40.3%
Q4 - 9:19DALPowell 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Curry 2 AST)68
53.9%
69
46.1%
Q4 - 9:29DETBarnes STEAL (2 STL)68
59.5%
67
40.5%
Q4 - 9:46DALBarnes Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)68
65.5%
67
34.5%
Q4 - 9:51DALAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
59.5%
67
40.5%
Q4 - 9:54DETMISS Marc Morris 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot68
61.4%
67
38.6%
Q4 - 10:15DALPowell Foul Turnover (P1.T8)68
65.0%
67
35.0%
Q4 - 10:28DETLeuer Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)68
59.2%
67
40.8%
Q4 - 10:32DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
48.3%
67
51.7%
Q4 - 10:33DALMISS D. Williams 18' Step Back Jump Shot65
46.4%
67
53.6%
Q4 - 10:58DETJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)65
42.1%
67
57.9%
Q4 - 11:15DALBarnes 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)62
32.5%
67
67.5%
Q4 - 11:33DETSmith 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)62
37.2%
65
62.8%
Q4 - 11:44DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
32.5%
65
67.5%
Q4 - 11:45DALMISS Anderson Free Throw 2 of 260
31.8%
65
68.2%
Q4 - 11:45DALAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)60
28.8%
65
71.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET60
32.3%
64
67.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
37.5%
64
62.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0DALMISS Barnes 15' Fadeaway Jumper60
37.3%
64
62.7%
Q3 - 0:23.0DETJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)60
33.9%
64
66.1%
Q3 - 0:23.0DETJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)59
32.9%
64
67.1%
Q3 - 0:41.0DETPistons Rebound58
29.3%
64
70.7%
Q3 - 0:42.0DALMISS Anderson 11' Driving Floating Jump Shot58
28.1%
64
71.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0DETBaynes Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)58
25.2%
64
74.8%
Q3 - 0:58.0DETBaynes Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)57
24.6%
64
75.4%
Q3 - 0:58.0DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
21.5%
64
78.5%
Q3 - 0:59.0DETMISS Baynes 1' Reverse Layup56
19.2%
64
80.8%
Q3 - 1:09DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
23.3%
64
76.7%
Q3 - 1:11DALMISS D. Williams 15' Step Back Jump Shot56
22.3%
64
77.7%
Q3 - 1:33DALAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
19.9%
64
80.1%
Q3 - 1:34DETMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot56
20.9%
64
79.1%
Q3 - 1:44DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
23.2%
64
76.8%
Q3 - 1:45DALMISS Curry 19' Jump Shot56
22.2%
64
77.8%
Q3 - 2:05DETLeuer 4' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Marc Morris 2 AST)56
21.0%
64
79.0%
Q3 - 2:14DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
18.2%
64
81.8%
Q3 - 2:15DALMISS Harris 21' Jump Shot54
17.4%
64
82.6%
Q3 - 2:40DALPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
15.4%
64
84.6%
Q3 - 2:42DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
16.2%
64
83.8%
Q3 - 2:48DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
18.2%
64
81.8%
Q3 - 2:52DALMISS Curry 13' Step Back Jump Shot54
17.3%
64
82.7%
Q3 - 3:09DETCaldwell-Pope 21' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)54
16.6%
64
83.4%
Q3 - 3:20DALPowell Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)52
14.4%
64
85.6%
Q3 - 3:34DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
19.2%
61
80.8%
Q3 - 3:36DETMISS Leuer 12' Pullup Jump Shot52
20.1%
61
79.9%
Q3 - 4:01DALCurry 16' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)52
23.5%
61
76.5%
Q3 - 4:20DETCurry STEAL (2 STL)52
26.1%
59
73.9%
Q3 - 4:24DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
30.1%
59
69.9%
Q3 - 4:25DALMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
28.9%
59
71.1%
Q3 - 4:52DETHarris 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)52
26.1%
59
73.9%
Q3 - 5:13DALMatthews Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)50
24.4%
59
75.6%
Q3 - 5:32DALMejri REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
21.1%
59
78.9%
Q3 - 5:33DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 250
21.5%
59
78.5%
Q3 - 5:33DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)50
22.5%
59
77.5%
Q3 - 5:44DALMejri REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
21.4%
59
78.6%
Q3 - 5:44DALMejri Putback Dunk (4 PTS)49
21.4%
59
78.6%
Q3 - 5:46DALMISS Matthews 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
26.4%
57
73.6%
Q3 - 5:56DALMejri REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
23.9%
57
76.1%
Q3 - 5:56DETMISS Marc Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
25.0%
57
75.0%
Q3 - 6:21DALMejri 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)49
28.5%
57
71.5%
Q3 - 6:35DALMejri REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
31.6%
55
68.4%
Q3 - 6:37DETMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 149
32.1%
55
67.9%
Q3 - 6:51DALD. Williams Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)47
28.5%
55
71.5%
Q3 - 7:03DETFinney-Smith STEAL (1 STL)47
25.7%
55
74.3%
Q3 - 7:18DALFinney-Smith 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)47
29.2%
55
70.8%
Q3 - 7:27DALFinney-Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
35.4%
52
64.6%
Q3 - 7:29DETMejri BLOCK (3 BLK)47
36.7%
52
63.3%
Q3 - 7:39DALBarnes 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)47
39.6%
52
60.4%
Q3 - 7:59DETMatthews STEAL (4 STL)47
42.8%
50
57.2%
Q3 - 8:23DALBarnes 8' Driving Hook Shot (11 PTS)47
47.7%
50
52.3%
Q3 - 8:36DALD. Williams Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)47
50.8%
48
49.2%
Q3 - 8:43DALD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
54.5%
47
45.5%
Q3 - 8:46DETMISS Harris 11' Turnaround Jump Shot47
55.9%
47
44.1%
Q3 - 9:04DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
58.5%
47
41.5%
Q3 - 9:05DALMISS D. Williams 3PT Jump Shot47
57.4%
47
42.6%
Q3 - 9:24DALMejri REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
54.8%
47
45.2%
Q3 - 9:25DETMISS Jackson 5' Jump Shot47
56.0%
47
44.0%
Q3 - 9:40DALFinney-Smith Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)47
58.6%
47
41.4%
Q3 - 9:55DALMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
61.9%
45
38.1%
Q3 - 9:56DETMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot47
63.0%
45
37.0%
Q3 - 10:14DALMejri Foul Turnover (P1.T5)47
65.4%
45
34.6%
Q3 - 10:32DETCaldwell-Pope 10' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)47
61.9%
45
38.1%
Q3 - 10:47DALD. Williams 18' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)45
58.8%
45
41.2%
Q3 - 10:58DALFinney-Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
61.9%
43
38.1%
Q3 - 10:59DETMISS Marc Morris 22' Jump Shot45
63.0%
43
37.0%
Q3 - 11:22DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
65.5%
43
34.5%
Q3 - 11:24DALMISS D. Williams 22' Pullup Jump Shot45
64.5%
43
35.5%
Q3 - 11:48DETJackson 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)45
62.2%
43
37.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL43
59.1%
43
40.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
55.5%
43
44.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS D. Williams 11' Fadeaway Jumper43
58.0%
43
42.0%
Q2 - 0:14.0DETBarnes STEAL (1 STL)43
56.4%
43
43.6%
Q2 - 0:36.0DALD. Williams 20' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
58.6%
43
41.4%
Q2 - 0:58.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound43
62.7%
41
37.3%
Q2 - 0:59.0DETMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot43
63.4%
41
36.6%
Q2 - 1:01DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
64.3%
41
35.7%
Q2 - 1:03DALMISS D. Williams 6' Turnaround Hook Shot43
63.9%
41
36.1%
Q2 - 1:14DETSmith Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T12)43
62.9%
41
37.1%
Q2 - 1:18DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)43
64.3%
41
35.7%
Q2 - 1:19DALMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
63.9%
41
36.1%
Q2 - 1:28DETMejri STEAL (2 STL)43
62.9%
41
37.1%
Q2 - 1:52DALMatthews 1' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (D. Williams 3 AST)43
64.4%
41
35.6%
Q2 - 2:08DALMAVERICKS Rebound43
67.7%
39
32.3%
Q2 - 2:10DETMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
68.4%
39
31.6%
Q2 - 2:16DETPistons Rebound43
70.2%
39
29.8%
Q2 - 2:16DETMejri BLOCK (2 BLK)43
68.5%
39
31.5%
Q2 - 2:20DALFinney-Smith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)43
70.2%
39
29.8%
Q2 - 2:32DETSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)43
67.7%
39
32.3%
Q2 - 2:32DETMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 242
67.0%
39
33.0%
Q2 - 2:34DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)42
67.5%
39
32.5%
Q2 - 2:38DALMISS Curry 17' Driving Floating Jump Shot42
66.7%
39
33.3%
Q2 - 2:48DETMarc Morris 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)42
65.0%
39
35.0%
Q2 - 3:05DALCurry 17' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Matthews 4 AST)40
62.2%
39
37.8%
Q2 - 3:21DALMejri REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
64.5%
37
35.5%
Q2 - 3:22DETMISS Harris 12' Jump Shot40
65.5%
37
34.5%
Q2 - 3:26DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
67.6%
37
32.4%
Q2 - 3:29DETMejri BLOCK (1 BLK)40
65.5%
37
34.5%
Q2 - 3:44DALBarnes 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)40
67.6%
37
32.4%
Q2 - 4:03DETLeuer 1' Running Alley Oop Layup Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)40
69.6%
35
30.4%
Q2 - 4:10DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
67.1%
35
32.9%
Q2 - 4:11DALMISS Barnes 9' Jump Shot38
66.3%
35
33.7%
Q2 - 4:30DETSmith 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)38
64.6%
35
35.4%
Q2 - 4:38DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
61.9%
35
38.1%
Q2 - 4:39DALMISS Matthews 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
61.1%
35
38.9%
Q2 - 4:55DETBaynes 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Leuer 2 AST)36
59.2%
35
40.8%
Q2 - 5:18DALMatthews 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
56.7%
35
43.3%
Q2 - 5:41DETLeuer 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)34
59.3%
33
40.7%
Q2 - 6:04DALD. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)32
57.2%
33
42.8%
Q2 - 6:20DETJackson 18' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS)32
61.8%
30
38.2%
Q2 - 6:31DETPistons Rebound30
59.8%
30
40.2%
Q2 - 6:31DETMISS Baynes 18' Jump Shot30
57.5%
30
42.5%
Q2 - 6:49DALD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)30
59.8%
30
40.2%
Q2 - 6:49DALD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)30
60.1%
29
39.9%
Q2 - 7:08DETLeuer 9' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)30
62.0%
28
38.0%
Q2 - 7:17DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
59.7%
28
40.3%
Q2 - 7:18DALMISS Anderson 7' Jump Shot28
58.8%
28
41.2%
Q2 - 7:36DETHarris 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)28
56.9%
28
43.1%
Q2 - 7:49DALAnderson 6' Driving Hook Shot (8 PTS)26
54.5%
28
45.5%
Q2 - 8:10DETLeuer 1' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)26
56.7%
26
43.3%
Q2 - 8:14DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
54.4%
26
45.6%
Q2 - 8:16DETMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot24
52.5%
26
47.5%
Q2 - 8:26DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
54.4%
26
45.6%
Q2 - 8:27DALMISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
53.6%
26
46.4%
Q2 - 8:49DETHarris 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)24
51.6%
26
48.4%
Q2 - 9:02DALBarnes Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)22
49.5%
26
50.5%
Q2 - 9:19DETJackson 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)22
46.7%
26
53.3%
Q2 - 9:34DALAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)20
44.5%
26
55.5%
Q2 - 9:48DETJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Leuer 1 AST)20
49.2%
23
50.8%
Q2 - 10:02DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
44.7%
23
55.3%
Q2 - 10:04DALMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot17
43.8%
23
56.2%
Q2 - 10:16DETCurry STEAL (1 STL)17
41.9%
23
58.1%
Q2 - 10:20DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
44.7%
23
55.3%
Q2 - 10:22DETMISS Harris 4' Jump Shot17
42.7%
23
57.3%
Q2 - 10:37DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
44.7%
23
55.3%
Q2 - 10:40DALMISS Anderson 6' Driving Bank Shot17
43.8%
23
56.2%
Q2 - 11:04DETJohnson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)17
42.4%
23
57.6%
Q2 - 11:15DALAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Powell 1 AST)17
44.8%
23
55.2%
Q2 - 11:36DALAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
49.5%
20
50.5%
Q2 - 11:37DETMISS Jackson 19' Pullup Jump Shot17
50.3%
20
49.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET17
52.0%
20
48.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0DALPowell 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)17
51.6%
20
48.4%
Q1 - 0:20.0DETMarc Morris Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
54.6%
18
45.4%
Q1 - 0:20.0DETMarc Morris Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)16
54.1%
18
45.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0DALHarris 21' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)15
51.6%
18
48.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0DETJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
54.6%
16
45.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0DETJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
54.1%
16
45.9%
Q1 - 0:55.0DALCurry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Matthews 3 AST)13
51.6%
16
48.4%
Q1 - 1:04DETPowell STEAL (1 STL)13
57.0%
13
43.0%
Q1 - 1:24DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)13
58.7%
13
41.3%
Q1 - 1:25DALMISS Curry 15' Jump Shot13
58.2%
13
41.8%
Q1 - 1:45DETLeuer 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Marc Morris 1 AST)13
57.0%
13
43.0%
Q1 - 2:01DALHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Matthews 2 AST)11
54.6%
13
45.4%
Q1 - 2:21DALFinney-Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
59.4%
10
40.6%
Q1 - 2:23DETMISS Drummond 13' Turnaround Hook Shot11
60.0%
10
40.0%
Q1 - 2:32DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
61.3%
10
38.7%
Q1 - 2:33DALMISS Powell 20' Jump Shot11
60.7%
10
39.3%
Q1 - 2:47DETDrummond 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)11
59.4%
10
40.6%
Q1 - 2:49DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)9
56.8%
10
43.2%
Q1 - 2:50DETMISS Marc Morris 16' Jump Shot9
55.4%
10
44.6%
Q1 - 3:07DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
57.2%
10
42.8%
Q1 - 3:08DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
55.4%
10
44.6%
Q1 - 3:22DALFinney-Smith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)9
57.2%
10
42.8%
Q1 - 3:38DETMarc Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)9
54.7%
10
45.3%
Q1 - 3:44DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
50.4%
10
49.6%
Q1 - 3:45DALMISS Matthews 4' Driving Floating Jump Shot6
49.7%
10
50.3%
Q1 - 3:55DETLeuer 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)6
48.0%
10
52.0%
Q1 - 4:14DALD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)4
46.3%
10
53.7%
Q1 - 4:14DALD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)4
46.6%
9
53.4%
Q1 - 4:29DALBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
48.0%
8
52.0%
Q1 - 4:30DETMISS Marc Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
48.8%
8
51.2%
Q1 - 4:40DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)4
50.7%
8
49.3%
Q1 - 4:41DETMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
48.8%
8
51.2%
Q1 - 4:45DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)4
50.7%
8
49.3%
Q1 - 4:47DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 12' Floating Jump Shot4
48.8%
8
51.2%
Q1 - 4:58DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
50.7%
8
49.3%
Q1 - 4:59DALMISS Finney-Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
49.9%
8
50.1%
Q1 - 5:12DETMatthews STEAL (3 STL)4
48.8%
8
51.2%
Q1 - 5:14DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)4
51.0%
8
49.0%
Q1 - 5:16DETMISS Smith 16' Pullup Jump Shot4
49.5%
8
50.5%
Q1 - 5:40DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)4
51.0%
8
49.0%
Q1 - 5:41DALMISS Barnes 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot4
50.3%
8
49.7%
Q1 - 5:51DALD. Williams Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)4
48.7%
8
51.3%
Q1 - 6:05DALMejri REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
51.2%
7
48.8%
Q1 - 6:07DETMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
51.8%
7
48.2%
Q1 - 6:14DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)4
53.3%
7
46.7%
Q1 - 6:15DALMISS D. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
52.6%
7
47.4%
Q1 - 6:30DETCaldwell-Pope Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T6)4
51.2%
7
48.8%
Q1 - 6:45DALBarnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Matthews 1 AST)4
53.3%
7
46.7%
Q1 - 6:57DETMejri STEAL (1 STL)4
57.1%
4
42.9%
Q1 - 7:06DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)4
59.3%
4
40.7%
Q1 - 7:07DALMISS Finney-Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
58.7%
4
41.3%
Q1 - 7:24DETDrummond Foul Turnover (P1.T4)4
57.1%
4
42.9%
Q1 - 7:32DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
59.3%
4
40.7%
Q1 - 7:33DALMISS Matthews 5' Jump Shot4
58.6%
4
41.4%
Q1 - 7:51DETMatthews STEAL (2 STL)4
57.1%
4
42.9%
Q1 - 8:05DALBarnes 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
59.6%
4
40.4%
Q1 - 8:26DALBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
61.2%
2
38.8%
Q1 - 8:27DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 20' Jump Shot4
61.8%
2
38.2%
Q1 - 8:38DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)4
63.2%
2
36.8%
Q1 - 8:38DALMAVERICKS Rebound4
61.2%
2
38.8%
Q1 - 8:39DALMISS Mejri 17' Jump Shot4
62.6%
2
37.4%
Q1 - 9:01DALBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
61.0%
2
39.0%
Q1 - 9:02DETMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot4
61.7%
2
38.3%
Q1 - 9:31DALBarnes 3' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
63.2%
2
36.8%
Q1 - 9:49DETMatthews STEAL (1 STL)4
64.6%
0
35.4%
Q1 - 9:58DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
66.7%
0
33.3%
Q1 - 9:58DALMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
66.0%
0
34.0%
Q1 - 10:10DETD. Williams STEAL (1 STL)4
64.5%
0
35.5%
Q1 - 10:23DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
66.3%
0
33.7%
Q1 - 10:24DALMISS D. Williams 13' Floating Jump Shot4
65.8%
0
34.2%
Q1 - 10:37DALD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
64.5%
0
35.5%
Q1 - 10:38DALMISS D. Williams 20' Jump Shot4
65.8%
0
34.2%
Q1 - 10:59DETJackson 11' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
64.5%
0
35.5%
Q1 - 11:09DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
62.7%
0
37.3%
Q1 - 11:10DALMISS Mejri 2' Layup2
62.3%
0
37.7%
Q1 - 11:28DETHarris 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
61.1%
0
38.9%
Q1 - 11:41DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
59.3%
0
40.7%
Q1 - 11:42DALMISS Matthews 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
58.8%
0
41.2%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Mejri vs. Drummond: Tip to D. Williams0
57.6%
0
42.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.13 56.5%
DAL
0.99 49.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
13
20
65%
DAL
9
13
69%
Midrange
DET
18
34
53%
DAL
15
40
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
DAL
8
12.0
25
32%
48%
Free Throws
DET
18
22
82%
DAL
13
16
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Jackson2056%10.0 / 18
J. Leuer1995%9.5 / 10
M. Morris1255%6.0 / 11
K. Caldwell-Pope1155%5.5 / 10
T. Harris1050%5.0 / 10
A. Baynes867%4.0 / 6
S. Johnson758%3.5 / 6
I. Smith542%2.5 / 6
A. Drummond338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Barnes1953%9.5 / 18
D. Williams1650%8.0 / 16
D. Powell975%4.5 / 6
J. Anderson956%4.5 / 8
D. Finney-Smith867%4.0 / 6
S. Curry744%3.5 / 8
D. Harris550%2.5 / 5
W. Matthews420%2.0 / 10
S. Mejri450%2.0 / 4
J. Gibson2100%1.0 / 1
N. Brussino2100%1.0 / 1
A. Hammons0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
72
+12
-19
84
DAL
79
+7
-11
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.13 56.5%
DAL
0.99 49.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
105.2
DET 104.4
DAL 94.4 +10.0
Pace
95.0
92.6
DET 93.6 +6.0
DAL 87.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.3
DET 15.4 +1.1
DAL 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
50.5%
DET 54.2% +8.0%
DAL 46.2%
TO %
11.9%
12.1%
DET 19.1%
DAL 12.4% +6.7%
ORB %
24.1%
18.1%
DET 29.4% +16.4%
DAL 13.0%
FTrt
21.8
22.5
DET 31.0 +10.5
DAL 20.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.0%
57.4%
DET 50.0%
DAL 59.4% +9.4%
STL %
7.3%
8.1%
DET 4.4%
DAL 14.4% +10.0%
BLK %
6.6%
7.0%
DET 3.8%
DAL 5.6% +1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.35 and 2.35.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
52.7%
DET 56.5% +7.1%
DAL 49.4%
Rim FG%
58.3%
59.8%
DET 65.0%
DAL 69.2% +4.2%
Mid FG%
42.6%
41.6%
DET 52.9% +15.4%
DAL 37.5%
3P %
33.0%
35.5%
DET 29.4%
DAL 32.0% +2.6%
FT %
71.9%
80.1%
DET 81.8% +0.5%
DAL 81.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.9%
25.2%
DET 28.2% +11.5%
DAL 16.7%
Mid Att. %
42.8%
38.2%
DET 47.9% +3.4%
DAL 51.3%
3P Att. %
26.3%
36.6%
DET 23.9%
DAL 32.1% +8.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.96 and 2.96.
Game TotalsDETDAL
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points9585
Rebounds5030
Assists1819
Steals413
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (1)24 (2)
Field Goals36-7132-78
At-the-Rim FG13-209-13
Midrange FG18-3415-40
2-Point FG31-5424-53
3-Point FG5-178-25
Free Throws18-2213-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
12 Detroit Pistons
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27
37.4
12
55%
6
2
2
0
4
1
0
6
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
2-5
40%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 204 · 24
35.8
11
55%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 27
29.9
20
56%
3
6
0
0
3
5
0
3
3-4
75%
7-12
58%
1-4
25%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23
26.9
3
38%
16
0
0
0
4
4
4
12
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'8" 226 · 24
26.7
10
50%
2
1
1
0
2
1
1
1
0-1
0%
5-9
56%
0-1
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 28
30.7
19
95%
5
2
1
1
1
0
1
4
3-3
100%
8-9
89%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 30
19.8
8
67%
10
0
0
1
1
2
2
8
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28
18.1
5
42%
4
6
0
0
2
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 21
14.7
7
58%
2
1
0
0
1
3
1
1
4-4
100%
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 24
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28
Reggie Bullock
#25 · F-G · 6'7" 205 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Henry Ellenson
#8 · F · 6'11" 245 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Michael Gbinije
#9 · G-F · 6'7" 200 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
56%
50
18
4
2
19
0
10
40
18-22
82%
31-54
57%
5-17
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.