FinalWin Prob.pScore
2336%94
90
1064%99
81
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
98.99192.2
MEM logo MEM
93.18785.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMEM
Q4 - 0:00.0MEM90
100%
81
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0MEMBaldwin IV 1' Layup (5 PTS)90
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0MEMJump Ball Harrison vs. Waiters: Tip to90
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAHarrison BLOCK (2 BLK)90
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0MEMMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 290
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0MEMMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 290
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)90
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00MEMMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)90
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00MEMMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)90
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00MEMMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)90
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00MIAMISS Waiters 13' Pullup Jump Shot90
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:19MIAHeat Rebound90
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:20MEMMISS Williams 2' Layup90
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22MEMHarrison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 1:23MIAMartin BLOCK (1 BLK)90
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:42MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)90
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 1:44MEMBaldwin IV REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)90
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q4 - 1:44MEMMISS Baldwin IV 2' Tip Layup Shot90
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 1:46MEMMISS Martin 17' Step Back Jump Shot90
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 2:01MIAMcGruder Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)90
99.6%
77
0.4%
Q4 - 2:13MEMGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)90
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 2:13MEMGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)90
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 2:28MIAWaiters 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)90
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 2:47MEMConley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)88
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 2:47MEMConley 1' Tip Layup Shot (16 PTS)88
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 2:48MEMMISS Conley 1' Cutting Layup Shot88
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:00MIAJohnson Running Dunk (22 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)88
99.7%
73
0.3%
Q4 - 3:04MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q4 - 3:07MEMMISS Conley 1' Driving Layup86
99.5%
73
0.5%
Q4 - 3:21MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)86
99.3%
73
0.7%
Q4 - 3:21MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 285
99.2%
73
0.8%
Q4 - 3:36MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
98.5%
73
1.5%
Q4 - 3:36MEMMISS Harrison 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
98.3%
73
1.7%
Q4 - 3:58MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (McGruder 2 AST)85
98.0%
73
2.0%
Q4 - 4:16MEMCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)82
96.0%
73
4.0%
Q4 - 4:19MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
98.0%
70
2.0%
Q4 - 4:22MEMMISS Conley 23' Jump Shot82
98.5%
70
1.5%
Q4 - 4:37MIAMcGruder 2' Layup (10 PTS)82
98.1%
70
1.9%
Q4 - 4:38MEMCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)80
97.3%
70
2.7%
Q4 - 4:40MEMCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
96.0%
70
4.0%
Q4 - 4:41MIAMISS Waiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
96.5%
70
3.5%
Q4 - 4:54MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)80
97.3%
70
2.7%
Q4 - 4:55MEMMISS Gasol 2' Driving Layup80
97.0%
70
3.0%
Q4 - 5:09MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)80
93.7%
70
6.3%
Q4 - 5:09MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)79
93.3%
70
6.7%
Q4 - 5:31MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
91.7%
70
8.3%
Q4 - 5:31MEMWilliams Putback Dunk (9 PTS)78
91.7%
70
8.3%
Q4 - 5:33MEMMISS Conley 10' Floating Jump Shot78
95.1%
68
4.9%
Q4 - 5:48MIACarter STEAL (1 STL)78
93.9%
68
6.1%
Q4 - 6:03MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)78
93.8%
68
6.2%
Q4 - 6:04MEMMISS Williams 2' Layup78
93.1%
68
6.9%
Q4 - 6:19MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
91.4%
68
8.6%
Q4 - 6:20MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
92.3%
68
7.7%
Q4 - 6:47MEMGreen 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS)78
93.9%
68
6.1%
Q4 - 7:01MEMMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)78
93.5%
66
6.5%
Q4 - 7:01MIAMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot78
94.1%
66
5.9%
Q4 - 7:11MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
95.2%
66
4.8%
Q4 - 7:12MEMMISS Harrison 13' Turnaround Jump Shot78
94.7%
66
5.3%
Q4 - 7:24MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T7)78
93.6%
66
6.4%
Q4 - 7:39MEMWilliams 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)78
95.2%
66
4.8%
Q4 - 8:00MIABabbitt 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)78
96.3%
64
3.7%
Q4 - 8:14MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
92.1%
64
7.9%
Q4 - 8:14MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
90.7%
64
9.3%
Q4 - 8:21MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
92.1%
64
7.9%
Q4 - 8:24MEMGreen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)75
90.1%
64
9.9%
Q4 - 8:24MEMMISS Green 1' Tip Layup Shot75
91.5%
64
8.5%
Q4 - 8:28MEMMISS Harrison 2' Driving Layup75
91.6%
64
8.4%
Q4 - 8:39MEMDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
90.1%
64
9.9%
Q4 - 8:39MIAMISS Babbitt 27' 3PT Jump Shot75
90.8%
64
9.2%
Q4 - 9:01MEMGRIZZLIES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)75
90.7%
64
9.3%
Q4 - 9:01MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound75
88.2%
64
11.8%
Q4 - 9:01MEMMISS Carter 32' 3PT Jump Shot75
90.0%
64
10.0%
Q4 - 9:08MEMCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
88.3%
64
11.7%
Q4 - 9:09MEMMISS Green 4' Jump Shot75
90.0%
64
10.0%
Q4 - 9:26MIABabbitt 13' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)75
88.3%
64
11.7%
Q4 - 9:41MEMGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)73
85.8%
64
14.2%
Q4 - 9:41MEMGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)73
86.4%
63
13.6%
Q4 - 9:55MIAMcRoberts 1' Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS)73
88.4%
62
11.6%
Q4 - 10:06MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
83.9%
62
16.1%
Q4 - 10:07MEMMISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
82.9%
62
17.1%
Q4 - 10:16MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound71
80.4%
62
19.6%
Q4 - 10:16MIAGasol BLOCK (5 BLK)71
81.5%
62
18.5%
Q4 - 10:36MEMConley Free Throw 3 of 3 (14 PTS)71
84.1%
62
15.9%
Q4 - 10:36MEMConley Free Throw 2 of 3 (13 PTS)71
84.5%
61
15.5%
Q4 - 10:36MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 3 (12 PTS)71
84.9%
60
15.1%
Q4 - 10:44MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound71
89.1%
59
10.9%
Q4 - 10:44MIAMISS McRoberts 8' Floating Jump Shot71
89.9%
59
10.1%
Q4 - 11:11MEMCarter 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)71
90.1%
59
9.9%
Q4 - 11:28MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
91.8%
57
8.2%
Q4 - 11:29MIAGasol BLOCK (4 BLK)71
92.3%
57
7.7%
Q4 - 11:50MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
93.4%
57
6.6%
Q4 - 11:50MEMMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
93.0%
57
7.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA71
91.9%
57
8.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound71
93.4%
57
6.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Johnson 16' Driving Bank Shot71
90.9%
57
9.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0MEMConley Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)71
92.0%
57
8.0%
Q3 - 0:23.0MEMDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)71
90.4%
57
9.6%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIADavis BLOCK (2 BLK)71
91.0%
57
9.0%
Q3 - 0:48.0MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)71
92.1%
57
7.9%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Babbitt 1 AST)71
94.7%
54
5.3%
Q3 - 1:08MEMBaldwin IV 1' Driving Layup (3 PTS)68
90.7%
54
9.3%
Q3 - 1:33MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)68
92.2%
52
7.8%
Q3 - 1:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
89.0%
52
11.0%
Q3 - 1:50MEMMISS Baldwin IV Free Throw 2 of 265
88.7%
52
11.3%
Q3 - 1:50MEMBaldwin IV Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)65
87.3%
52
12.7%
Q3 - 1:56MEMCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
89.0%
51
11.0%
Q3 - 1:59MIAMISS Johnson 1' Driving Layup65
89.5%
51
10.5%
Q3 - 2:16MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
89.2%
51
10.8%
Q3 - 2:18MEMMISS Carter 26' 3PT Running Jump Shot65
88.6%
51
11.4%
Q3 - 2:25MEMDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)65
87.2%
51
12.8%
Q3 - 2:27MIAMISS Waiters 20' Step Back Jump Shot65
87.8%
51
12.2%
Q3 - 2:46MEMConley Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T15)65
89.3%
51
10.7%
Q3 - 3:09MIAWaiters 1' Running Layup (13 PTS)65
86.1%
51
13.9%
Q3 - 3:13MEMHarrison Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)63
83.9%
51
16.1%
Q3 - 3:20MEMMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)63
81.2%
51
18.8%
Q3 - 3:22MEMMISS Williams 13' Pullup Bank Shot63
83.2%
51
16.8%
Q3 - 3:46MIAHaslem Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Waiters 4 AST)63
81.3%
51
18.7%
Q3 - 4:06MEMMartin Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)61
77.2%
51
22.8%
Q3 - 4:19MIAJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)61
73.6%
51
26.4%
Q3 - 4:42MEMMartin 15' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Harrison 7 AST)58
67.0%
51
33.0%
Q3 - 5:04MEMMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)58
68.9%
49
31.1%
Q3 - 5:05MIAMISS McGruder 3PT Jump Shot58
70.1%
49
29.9%
Q3 - 5:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
72.7%
49
27.3%
Q3 - 5:27MEMMISS Martin 1' Layup58
71.6%
49
28.4%
Q3 - 5:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)58
69.0%
49
31.0%
Q3 - 5:46MIAHaslem 2' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)58
69.0%
49
31.0%
Q3 - 5:48MIAMISS McGruder 6' Floating Jump Shot56
62.8%
49
37.2%
Q3 - 6:02MEMWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Green 1 AST)56
64.0%
49
36.0%
Q3 - 6:10MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
70.8%
46
29.2%
Q3 - 6:12MIAMISS Waiters 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot56
71.9%
46
28.1%
Q3 - 6:42MEMAllen 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)56
74.3%
46
25.7%
Q3 - 6:58MIAMcGruder 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)56
77.1%
44
22.9%
Q3 - 7:06MEMHarrison Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)53
69.9%
44
30.1%
Q3 - 7:25MIAWaiters 1' Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)53
66.1%
44
33.9%
Q3 - 7:46MEMGreen 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Harrison 6 AST)51
63.1%
44
36.9%
Q3 - 7:53MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
66.1%
42
33.9%
Q3 - 7:56MIAGasol BLOCK (3 BLK)51
67.3%
42
32.7%
Q3 - 8:09MEMGreen Foul Turnover (P2.T11)51
69.1%
42
30.9%
Q3 - 8:24MIAWaiters Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)51
65.2%
42
34.8%
Q3 - 8:37MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
69.2%
42
30.8%
Q3 - 8:39MEMMISS Gasol 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot51
68.0%
42
32.0%
Q3 - 8:53MEMGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
65.3%
42
34.7%
Q3 - 8:54MIAMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot51
66.5%
42
33.5%
Q3 - 9:05MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)51
67.2%
42
32.8%
Q3 - 9:05MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 251
67.7%
41
32.3%
Q3 - 9:19MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound51
67.2%
41
32.8%
Q3 - 9:19MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
68.2%
41
31.8%
Q3 - 9:43MEMGasol 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Harrison 5 AST)51
70.5%
41
29.5%
Q3 - 9:54MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)51
73.3%
39
26.7%
Q3 - 9:55MEMMISS Allen 1' Layup51
75.4%
39
24.6%
Q3 - 9:57MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
73.3%
39
26.7%
Q3 - 9:58MEMMISS Gasol 20' Jump Shot51
75.4%
39
24.6%
Q3 - 10:02MEMDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
71.8%
39
28.2%
Q3 - 10:04MEMMISS Daniels 14' Floating Jump Shot51
74.0%
39
26.0%
Q3 - 10:27MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)51
71.9%
39
28.1%
Q3 - 10:47MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
66.2%
39
33.8%
Q3 - 10:47MEMMISS Gasol 12' Jump Shot48
65.1%
39
34.9%
Q3 - 11:04MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)48
61.5%
39
38.5%
Q3 - 11:14MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
55.1%
39
44.9%
Q3 - 11:14MEMMISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
54.0%
39
46.0%
Q3 - 11:36MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)45
51.5%
39
48.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
55.2%
39
44.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)45
53.4%
39
46.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0MEMMISS Conley 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot45
52.8%
39
47.2%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAJohnson 5' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS)45
51.3%
39
48.7%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
46.9%
39
53.1%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Waiters 3PT Running Jump Shot43
45.4%
39
54.6%
Q2 - 0:19.0MEMAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)43
46.9%
39
53.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)43
44.7%
39
55.3%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 242
44.0%
39
56.0%
Q2 - 0:56.0MEMAllen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)42
43.7%
39
56.3%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAConley STEAL (1 STL)42
41.5%
39
58.5%
Q2 - 1:16MEMGasol Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)42
43.1%
39
56.9%
Q2 - 1:22MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
47.8%
37
52.2%
Q2 - 1:24MIAMISS Richardson 14' Pullup Jump Shot42
48.3%
37
51.7%
Q2 - 1:34MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)42
49.5%
37
50.5%
Q2 - 1:36MEMMISS Conley 12' Pullup Jump Shot42
49.0%
37
51.0%
Q2 - 1:46MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound42
47.9%
37
52.1%
Q2 - 1:46MEMMISS Gasol 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
49.0%
37
51.0%
Q2 - 1:56MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound42
47.9%
37
52.1%
Q2 - 1:57MEMMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot42
49.0%
37
51.0%
Q2 - 2:07MEMHarrison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
46.5%
37
53.5%
Q2 - 2:07MIAMISS Waiters 1' Layup42
47.4%
37
52.6%
Q2 - 2:14MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)42
49.4%
37
50.6%
Q2 - 2:17MEMGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
46.6%
37
53.4%
Q2 - 2:17MEMMISS Green 2' Tip Layup Shot42
48.6%
37
51.4%
Q2 - 2:19MEMMISS Allen 3' Cutting Layup Shot42
48.6%
37
51.4%
Q2 - 2:35MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound42
46.6%
37
53.4%
Q2 - 2:36MIAMISS Whiteside 20' Jump Shot42
47.5%
37
52.5%
Q2 - 3:00MEMGasol 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)42
49.4%
37
50.6%
Q2 - 3:23MIARichardson 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
51.3%
35
48.7%
Q2 - 3:31MIAHeat Rebound39
45.8%
35
54.2%
Q2 - 3:31MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)39
43.4%
35
56.6%
Q2 - 3:47MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
45.8%
35
54.2%
Q2 - 3:50MEMMISS Harrison 26' 3PT Running Jump Shot39
44.8%
35
55.2%
Q2 - 3:56MEMDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
42.4%
35
57.6%
Q2 - 3:57MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
43.5%
35
56.5%
Q2 - 4:00MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
45.8%
35
54.2%
Q2 - 4:04MIADavis BLOCK (1 BLK)39
42.7%
35
57.3%
Q2 - 4:05MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)39
44.6%
35
55.4%
Q2 - 4:06MIAMISS McGruder 7' Floating Jump Shot39
42.7%
35
57.3%
Q2 - 4:26MEMDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)39
44.7%
35
55.3%
Q2 - 4:26MEMDavis Putback Dunk (4 PTS)39
44.7%
35
55.3%
Q2 - 4:26MEMMISS Harrison 19' Jump Shot39
49.5%
33
50.5%
Q2 - 4:45MIAJohnson 2' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)39
47.6%
33
52.4%
Q2 - 4:53MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw Technical37
44.8%
33
55.2%
Q2 - 5:05MEMDaniels Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T8)37
44.4%
33
55.6%
Q2 - 5:20MIAWhiteside 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)37
41.5%
33
58.5%
Q2 - 5:37MEMDaniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harrison 4 AST)37
44.4%
33
55.6%
Q2 - 5:53MEMHarrison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
49.8%
30
50.2%
Q2 - 5:53MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
50.7%
30
49.3%
Q2 - 6:00MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
52.8%
30
47.2%
Q2 - 6:03MEMDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)37
49.0%
30
51.0%
Q2 - 6:03MEMMISS Davis 1' Tip Layup Shot37
51.3%
30
48.7%
Q2 - 6:04MEMMISS Williams 2' Layup37
51.3%
30
48.7%
Q2 - 6:13MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
49.0%
30
51.0%
Q2 - 6:14MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
50.0%
30
50.0%
Q2 - 6:27MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)37
52.4%
30
47.6%
Q2 - 6:27MIAHarrison BLOCK (1 BLK)37
50.1%
30
49.9%
Q2 - 6:46MEMMartin 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Harrison 3 AST)37
52.4%
30
47.6%
Q2 - 6:57MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
54.5%
28
45.5%
Q2 - 7:00MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
55.5%
28
44.5%
Q2 - 7:08MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)37
56.5%
28
43.5%
Q2 - 7:17MEMMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)37
53.8%
28
46.2%
Q2 - 7:18MIAMISS McRoberts 10' Jump Shot37
54.6%
28
45.4%
Q2 - 7:41MEMGreen 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Harrison 2 AST)37
56.6%
28
43.4%
Q2 - 7:50MEMMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)37
58.9%
26
41.1%
Q2 - 7:51MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot37
59.8%
26
40.2%
Q2 - 8:09MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
60.9%
26
39.1%
Q2 - 8:11MEMMISS Conley 2' Driving Layup37
60.1%
26
39.9%
Q2 - 8:22MEMMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)37
58.2%
26
41.8%
Q2 - 8:23MIAMISS McRoberts Free Throw 2 of 237
58.6%
26
41.4%
Q2 - 8:23MIAMcRoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
60.1%
26
39.9%
Q2 - 8:45MEMWilliams Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)36
58.4%
26
41.6%
Q2 - 8:52MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)36
55.7%
26
44.3%
Q2 - 9:08MEMWilliams Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)36
57.6%
26
42.4%
Q2 - 9:14MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)36
59.8%
24
40.2%
Q2 - 9:14MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
59.2%
24
40.8%
Q2 - 9:21MEMBaldwin IV Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)34
57.7%
24
42.3%
Q2 - 9:31MIAJohnson 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)34
54.9%
24
45.1%
Q2 - 9:52MEMConley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)32
52.7%
24
47.3%
Q2 - 10:03MEMMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)32
56.9%
21
43.1%
Q2 - 10:05MIAAllen BLOCK (2 BLK)32
57.8%
21
42.2%
Q2 - 10:18MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
59.7%
21
40.3%
Q2 - 10:20MEMMISS Allen 1' Cutting Layup Shot32
58.9%
21
41.1%
Q2 - 10:37MIAMcRoberts 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)32
57.0%
21
43.0%
Q2 - 10:56MEMAllen 5' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
54.9%
21
45.1%
Q2 - 11:11MEMMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
56.1%
19
43.9%
Q2 - 11:11MIAMISS Babbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
56.8%
19
43.2%
Q2 - 11:27MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
58.5%
19
41.5%
Q2 - 11:28MEMMISS Conley 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
57.8%
19
42.2%
Q2 - 11:45MIAJohnson 22' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)30
56.1%
19
43.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA28
53.9%
19
46.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
53.9%
19
46.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0MEMMISS Gasol 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
52.2%
19
47.8%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAJohnson Running Dunk (8 PTS)28
51.0%
19
49.0%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
48.0%
19
52.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0MEMMISS Conley 18' Pullup Jump Shot26
47.5%
19
52.5%
Q1 - 0:39.0MEMMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
46.3%
19
53.7%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Johnson 21' Pullup Jump Shot26
46.8%
19
53.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0MEMConley 2' Running Layup (5 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)26
48.0%
19
52.0%
Q1 - 0:55.0MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
51.0%
17
49.0%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAGasol BLOCK (2 BLK)26
51.6%
17
48.4%
Q1 - 1:14MEMGasol 5' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)26
52.6%
17
47.4%
Q1 - 1:32MIAJohnson Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)26
55.5%
15
44.5%
Q1 - 1:48MEMAllen Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T4)24
52.6%
15
47.4%
Q1 - 1:52MEMMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
50.8%
15
49.2%
Q1 - 1:54MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
52.6%
15
47.4%
Q1 - 1:54MIAAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)24
51.4%
15
48.6%
Q1 - 1:56MIAConley BLOCK (1 BLK)24
51.4%
15
48.6%
Q1 - 2:09MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)24
52.6%
15
47.4%
Q1 - 2:21MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 124
57.7%
12
42.3%
Q1 - 2:21MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
57.5%
12
42.5%
Q1 - 2:21MIAWhiteside 1' Putback Layup (3 PTS)24
57.5%
12
42.5%
Q1 - 2:21MIAMISS Johnson 2' Reverse Layup22
53.5%
12
46.5%
Q1 - 2:25MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
54.9%
12
45.1%
Q1 - 2:26MIAMISS Johnson 2' Layup22
53.5%
12
46.5%
Q1 - 2:32MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
54.9%
12
45.1%
Q1 - 2:36MEMMISS Carter 1' Reverse Layup22
54.3%
12
45.7%
Q1 - 2:51MIAMcGruder Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)22
52.9%
12
47.1%
Q1 - 3:01MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
54.1%
12
45.9%
Q1 - 3:04MEMMISS Baldwin IV 1' Running Layup22
53.4%
12
46.6%
Q1 - 3:08MEMCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
51.6%
12
48.4%
Q1 - 3:10MIAMISS Waiters 21' Pullup Jump Shot22
52.4%
12
47.6%
Q1 - 3:24MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
54.2%
12
45.8%
Q1 - 3:24MEMMISS Carter 22' Jump Shot22
53.4%
12
46.6%
Q1 - 3:44MIAHeat Rebound22
51.8%
12
48.2%
Q1 - 3:44MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
51.8%
12
48.2%
Q1 - 3:44MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 221
51.0%
12
49.0%
Q1 - 3:44MIAHeat Rebound21
52.0%
12
48.0%
Q1 - 3:44MIAMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot21
50.3%
12
49.7%
Q1 - 3:54MEMCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
52.0%
12
48.0%
Q1 - 3:54MEMCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
52.4%
11
47.6%
Q1 - 4:06MEMCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
53.2%
10
46.8%
Q1 - 4:07MIAMISS Whiteside 16' Jump Shot21
54.0%
10
46.0%
Q1 - 4:32MEMDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
55.8%
10
44.2%
Q1 - 4:32MEMDavis 2' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)21
55.8%
10
44.2%
Q1 - 4:34MEMMISS Baldwin IV 2' Driving Layup21
59.4%
8
40.6%
Q1 - 5:00MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)21
57.6%
8
42.4%
Q1 - 5:00MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)20
57.0%
8
43.0%
Q1 - 5:01MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
53.8%
8
46.2%
Q1 - 5:02MIAMISS McGruder 3PT Jump Shot19
52.3%
8
47.7%
Q1 - 5:19MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
54.0%
8
46.0%
Q1 - 5:20MEMMISS Harrison 3' Layup19
53.3%
8
46.7%
Q1 - 5:33MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
51.8%
8
48.2%
Q1 - 5:33MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
51.3%
8
48.7%
Q1 - 5:40MEMDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)17
49.9%
8
50.1%
Q1 - 5:59MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)17
47.6%
8
52.4%
Q1 - 6:16MEMGreen Foul Turnover (P1.T2)15
44.6%
8
55.4%
Q1 - 6:33MIAWaiters 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)15
42.5%
8
57.5%
Q1 - 6:51MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
40.7%
8
59.3%
Q1 - 6:52MEMMISS Harrison 16' Jump Shot13
40.1%
8
59.9%
Q1 - 7:03MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound13
37.9%
8
62.1%
Q1 - 7:04MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
38.5%
8
61.5%
Q1 - 7:27MEMHarrison Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
40.1%
8
59.9%
Q1 - 7:27MEMHarrison Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
40.5%
7
59.5%
Q1 - 7:33MEMHarrison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
41.6%
6
58.4%
Q1 - 7:34MEMMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
43.1%
6
56.9%
Q1 - 7:51MEMGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
41.6%
6
58.4%
Q1 - 7:51MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
42.3%
6
57.7%
Q1 - 8:06MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
43.6%
6
56.4%
Q1 - 8:06MEMMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
43.0%
6
57.0%
Q1 - 8:28MIAWaiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)13
41.5%
6
58.5%
Q1 - 8:50MEMGreen 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Harrison 1 AST)10
38.1%
6
61.9%
Q1 - 9:07MEMGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
39.3%
4
60.7%
Q1 - 9:10MIAGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)10
39.9%
4
60.1%
Q1 - 9:21MEMDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
41.5%
4
58.5%
Q1 - 9:33MIAWaiters 18' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
39.3%
4
60.7%
Q1 - 9:39MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
37.9%
4
62.1%
Q1 - 9:41MEMGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
35.8%
4
64.2%
Q1 - 9:41MEMMISS Green 1' Putback Layup8
37.3%
4
62.7%
Q1 - 9:43MEMMISS Harrison 17' Jump Shot8
37.3%
4
62.7%
Q1 - 9:56MIAMcGruder 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)8
35.8%
4
64.2%
Q1 - 10:17MEMGreen 2' Layup (2 PTS)5
32.6%
4
67.4%
Q1 - 10:26MEMHarrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
34.0%
2
66.0%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
34.6%
2
65.4%
Q1 - 10:45MIAHeat Rebound5
35.9%
2
64.1%
Q1 - 10:45MEMMISS Daniels 30' 3PT Jump Shot5
35.3%
2
64.7%
Q1 - 10:58MIAMcGruder Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)5
34.0%
2
66.0%
Q1 - 11:19MEMHarrison Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)3
32.3%
2
67.7%
Q1 - 11:19MEMHarrison Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
32.6%
1
67.4%
Q1 - 11:37MIARichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)3
34.0%
0
66.0%
Q1 - 11:46MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.7%
0
69.3%
Q1 - 11:46MEMMISS Gasol 20' Jump Shot0
30.3%
0
69.7%
Q1 - 12:00MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. Whiteside: Tip to Green0
29.3%
0
70.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.92 45.9%
MEM
0.86 43.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
35
49%
MEM
21
43
49%
Midrange
MIA
4
19
21%
MEM
4
20
20%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
18.0
31
39%
58%
MEM
4
6.0
19
21%
32%
Free Throws
MIA
12
18
67%
MEM
19
23
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Johnson2255%11.0 / 20
D. Waiters1547%7.5 / 16
J. Johnson1359%6.5 / 11
J. Richardson1267%6.0 / 9
R. McGruder1050%5.0 / 10
L. Babbitt563%2.5 / 4
J. McRoberts531%2.5 / 8
H. Whiteside422%2.0 / 9
U. Haslem4100%2.0 / 2
D. Williams0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Conley1653%8.0 / 15
J. Green1470%7.0 / 10
M. Gasol938%4.5 / 12
T. Williams950%4.5 / 9
V. Carter744%3.5 / 8
J. Martin675%3.0 / 4
W. Baldwin IV550%2.5 / 5
A. Harrison420%2.0 / 10
T. Allen429%2.0 / 7
D. Davis467%2.0 / 3
T. Daniels330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+14
-8
97
MEM
70
+19
-17
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.92 45.9%
MEM
0.86 43.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
108.2
MIA 98.9 +5.8
MEM 93.1
Pace
95.0
91.9
MIA 92.2 +6.2
MEM 85.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.2
MIA 15.6 +1.1
MEM 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
49.1%
MIA 45.9% +8.1%
MEM 37.8%
TO %
13.2%
13.4%
MIA 8.8% +7.5%
MEM 16.3%
ORB %
24.2%
24.9%
MIA 22.2%
MEM 32.0% +9.8%
FTrt
25.1
28.0
MIA 21.2
MEM 28.0 +6.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
58.4%
MIA 51.5% +3.2%
MEM 48.3%
STL %
7.5%
8.5%
MIA 8.8% +5.4%
MEM 3.4%
BLK %
9.3%
8.3%
MIA 12.7%
MEM 25.9% +13.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
52.1%
MIA 45.9% +2.8%
MEM 43.1%
Rim FG%
59.2%
54.6%
MIA 48.6%
MEM 48.8% +0.2%
Mid FG%
39.4%
39.3%
MIA 21.1% +1.1%
MEM 20.0%
3P %
36.5%
35.4%
MIA 38.7% +17.6%
MEM 21.1%
FT %
70.6%
78.4%
MIA 66.7%
MEM 82.6% +15.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
35.8%
MIA 41.2%
MEM 52.4% +11.3%
Mid Att. %
33.1%
32.5%
MIA 22.4% +2.0%
MEM 24.4%
3P Att. %
31.4%
31.6%
MIA 36.5% +13.3%
MEM 23.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsMIAMEM
Possessions9187
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points9081
Rebounds4451
Assists1714
Steals83
Blocks814
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)35 (6)
Field Goals33-8529-82
At-the-Rim FG17-3521-43
Midrange FG4-194-20
2-Point FG21-5425-63
3-Point FG12-314-19
Free Throws12-1819-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 215 · 25
35.2
15
47%
4
4
3
0
2
1
1
3
2-2
100%
5-11
45%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 200 · 25
32.2
10
50%
3
2
1
1
3
4
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-6
33%
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
26.9
12
67%
3
4
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
4-7
57%
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
26.9
4
22%
12
1
0
2
1
6
4
8
2-5
40%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 26
13.6
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 186 · 25
32.7
22
55%
5
0
2
1
0
2
1
4
5-7
71%
7-12
58%
1-5
20%
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
31.2
13
59%
6
1
0
2
2
4
1
5
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
3-4
75%
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
20.2
5
63%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
· 6'10" 240 · 30
12.1
5
31%
5
3
0
1
0
2
1
4
1-2
50%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
9.1
4
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 31
F · 6'7" 225 · 21
· 6'11" 245 · 27
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#2 · G · 6'5" 200 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
46%
44
17
8
8
8
0
10
34
12-18
67%
21-54
39%
12-31
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.