FinalWin Prob.pScore
1645%98
84
2155%99
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
90.39396.1
DET logo DET
112.69592.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA84
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETHilliard Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)84
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)84
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)83
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:42.0DETMISS Marjanovic 2' Tip Layup Shot82
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0DETMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0DETMISS Marjanovic Layup82
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 1:00DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 1:07MIAHeat Rebound82
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 1:07MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 282
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 1:07MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 282
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 1:10MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 1:11DETMISS Marjanovic 7' Hook Shot82
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)82
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45DETUdrih 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hilliard 1 AST)79
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02MIABabbitt 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)79
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11DETHilliard Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)77
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11DETHilliard Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)77
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24MIABabbitt Foul Turnover (P2.T14)77
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37DETJohnson Driving Layup (8 PTS)77
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50MIAMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:08DETHilliard Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T13)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P2.T13)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43DETLeuer 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:53MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot77
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13DETHilliard Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T12)77
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:36MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)77
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:36MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01DETBaynes Foul Turnover (P3.T11)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:11MIABabbitt 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:18MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)72
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:18MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot72
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39DETMISS Harris 3' Jump Shot72
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:42DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:43DETMISS Harris 8' Jump Shot72
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:07MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)72
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:07MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 271
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:25DETJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)71
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:25DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 6:25DETMISS Leuer 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 6:44MIAMcGruder 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)71
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 6:49DETLeuer Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:08DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:08MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:22DETHarris Dunk (17 PTS) (Udrih 5 AST)69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:29DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:31MIAMISS McRoberts 6' Hook Shot69
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:54DETLeuer Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)69
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:58DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 7:58MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 8:23MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)69
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 8:23DETMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 8:56MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)69
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 9:06MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 9:06DETMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 9:14DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 9:14MIAMISS McGruder 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 9:47DETBaynes Dunk (4 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)67
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 9:56DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 9:56MIAMISS McRoberts 27' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 10:15DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)67
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 10:15DETMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 267
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 10:31DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 10:32MIAMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot67
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 10:35MIAHeat Rebound67
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 10:35MIAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)67
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 10:42MIAJohnson Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)67
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 10:54DETBaynes Layup (2 PTS) (Leuer 1 AST)66
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 11:09MIAMcRoberts 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)66
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 11:20DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)64
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q4 - 11:20DETPISTONS Rebound64
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 11:21DETMISS Udrih 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 11:43DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET64
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Johnson 13' Jump Shot64
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q3 - 0:18.0DETUdrih Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)64
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q3 - 0:23.0DETPISTONS Rebound64
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q3 - 0:23.0DETMISS Udrih 14' Jump Shot64
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAMcGruder 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)64
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q3 - 0:44.0DETMISS Leuer 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q3 - 1:00MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)61
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 1:00MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)60
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 1:22DETCaldwell-Pope 8' Turnaround Bank Shot (22 PTS)59
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q3 - 1:38DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q3 - 1:38MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot59
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q3 - 1:48MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q3 - 1:49MIAMISS McRoberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q3 - 2:03MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q3 - 2:03DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q3 - 2:16MIARichardson 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)59
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q3 - 2:28MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q3 - 2:28DETMISS Udrih 18' Jump Shot57
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q3 - 2:51MIAMcGruder Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T12)57
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q3 - 3:07DETDrummond 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 2 AST)57
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q3 - 3:15DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q3 - 3:17DETMISS Drummond 6' Jump Shot57
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q3 - 3:27DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q3 - 3:28MIAMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot57
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q3 - 3:43DETCaldwell-Pope 27' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)57
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q3 - 3:55DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)57
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q3 - 3:56MIAMISS Dragic 18' Pullup Jump Shot57
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q3 - 4:10DETLeuer 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Marc Morris 6 AST)57
3.4%
76
96.6%
Q3 - 4:28DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)57
4.6%
73
95.4%
Q3 - 4:28MIAMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot57
4.8%
73
95.2%
Q3 - 4:34MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)57
5.5%
73
94.5%
Q3 - 4:34DETMISS Marc Morris 15' Jump Shot57
5.2%
73
94.8%
Q3 - 4:53DETLeuer Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)57
4.5%
73
95.5%
Q3 - 4:58DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q3 - 4:58MIAMISS Johnson 2' Layup57
5.7%
72
94.3%
Q3 - 5:10DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)57
7.0%
72
93.0%
Q3 - 5:10DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)57
7.2%
71
92.8%
Q3 - 5:11DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
8.1%
70
91.9%
Q3 - 5:11MIADrummond BLOCK (4 BLK)57
8.5%
70
91.5%
Q3 - 5:19MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
9.5%
70
90.5%
Q3 - 5:20DETMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot57
9.1%
70
90.9%
Q3 - 5:37MIAWhiteside 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)57
8.0%
70
92.0%
Q3 - 6:06DETDrummond Putback Dunk (16 PTS)55
7.6%
70
92.4%
Q3 - 6:06DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)55
8.7%
68
91.3%
Q3 - 6:07DETMISS Smith 1' Driving Layup55
9.7%
68
90.3%
Q3 - 6:14DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)55
8.7%
68
91.3%
Q3 - 6:15MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
9.1%
68
90.9%
Q3 - 6:38DETHarris 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Marc Morris 5 AST)55
10.1%
68
89.9%
Q3 - 6:55MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)55
11.5%
66
88.5%
Q3 - 6:55MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)54
11.1%
66
88.9%
Q3 - 7:08DETMarc Morris Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)53
10.7%
66
89.3%
Q3 - 7:16DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
9.1%
66
90.9%
Q3 - 7:17MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Hook Shot53
9.5%
66
90.5%
Q3 - 7:35DETCaldwell-Pope Driving Dunk (15 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)53
10.7%
66
89.3%
Q3 - 7:53MIAWilliams 1' Layup (5 PTS)53
12.0%
64
88.0%
Q3 - 7:57MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
10.6%
64
89.4%
Q3 - 7:57MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup51
9.5%
64
90.5%
Q3 - 8:10DETHarris 5' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)51
11.2%
64
88.8%
Q3 - 8:28DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)51
12.5%
62
87.5%
Q3 - 8:29MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
13.1%
62
86.9%
Q3 - 8:35MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
14.5%
62
85.5%
Q3 - 8:38MIADrummond BLOCK (3 BLK)51
13.1%
62
86.9%
Q3 - 8:56DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)51
14.5%
62
85.5%
Q3 - 9:06MIAWhiteside 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)51
16.9%
60
83.1%
Q3 - 9:26DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)49
15.0%
60
85.0%
Q3 - 9:26DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)49
15.3%
59
84.7%
Q3 - 9:40DETPISTONS Rebound49
16.8%
58
83.2%
Q3 - 9:40MIAMISS Waiters 19' Jump Shot49
17.5%
58
82.5%
Q3 - 9:58MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
19.0%
58
81.0%
Q3 - 9:59DETMISS Smith 3' Layup49
18.3%
58
81.7%
Q3 - 10:05MIAMarc Morris STEAL (1 STL)49
17.4%
58
82.6%
Q3 - 10:19DETCaldwell-Pope Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)49
19.6%
58
80.4%
Q3 - 10:37MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
17.3%
58
82.7%
Q3 - 10:37MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)48
16.8%
58
83.2%
Q3 - 10:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
15.5%
58
84.5%
Q3 - 10:43DETMISS Harris 19' Jump Shot47
14.9%
58
85.1%
Q3 - 10:56MIADragic 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)47
13.6%
58
86.4%
Q3 - 11:03MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
11.3%
58
88.7%
Q3 - 11:03DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 4' Jump Shot44
10.8%
58
89.2%
Q3 - 11:08DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
9.9%
58
90.1%
Q3 - 11:08DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 13' Jump Shot44
10.8%
58
89.2%
Q3 - 11:25MIAWilliams 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)44
9.9%
58
90.1%
Q3 - 11:41DETDrummond 1' Tip Layup Shot (14 PTS)42
8.8%
58
91.2%
Q3 - 11:45DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)42
9.9%
56
90.1%
Q3 - 11:46DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
10.8%
56
89.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET42
9.8%
56
90.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound42
9.8%
56
90.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETMISS Udrih 56' 3PT Jump Shot42
11.5%
56
88.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAJohnson 5' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)42
10.9%
56
89.1%
Q2 - 0:23.0DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
9.3%
56
90.7%
Q2 - 0:23.0DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)40
9.5%
55
90.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAJohnson 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)40
10.8%
54
89.2%
Q2 - 0:46.0DETDrummond 1' Tip Layup Shot (12 PTS)38
9.2%
54
90.8%
Q2 - 0:46.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)38
10.8%
52
89.2%
Q2 - 0:46.0DETMISS Marc Morris Layup38
11.4%
52
88.6%
Q2 - 1:00MIARichardson 6' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)38
10.8%
52
89.2%
Q2 - 1:16DETMarc Morris Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)36
9.7%
52
90.3%
Q2 - 1:16DETMarc Morris Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)36
10.0%
51
90.0%
Q2 - 1:23DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
11.5%
50
88.5%
Q2 - 1:24MIADrummond BLOCK (2 BLK)36
11.7%
50
88.3%
Q2 - 1:45DETMarc Morris 18' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)36
12.2%
50
87.8%
Q2 - 2:04DETPISTONS Rebound36
14.6%
48
85.4%
Q2 - 2:04MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
15.1%
48
84.9%
Q2 - 2:23DETSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
16.1%
48
83.9%
Q2 - 2:23DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
16.6%
47
83.4%
Q2 - 2:27DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)36
18.0%
46
82.0%
Q2 - 2:28MIAMISS Waiters 18' Jump Shot36
18.5%
46
81.5%
Q2 - 2:48DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)36
19.7%
46
80.3%
Q2 - 2:48DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)36
20.0%
45
80.0%
Q2 - 3:02MIABabbitt Foul Turnover (P1.T10)36
22.5%
44
77.5%
Q2 - 3:07DETSmith 6' Driving Bank Shot (4 PTS)36
24.9%
44
75.1%
Q2 - 3:22DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
26.8%
42
73.2%
Q2 - 3:23MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Jump Shot36
27.7%
42
72.3%
Q2 - 3:47DETDrummond Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Marc Morris 4 AST)36
29.6%
42
70.4%
Q2 - 4:08MIAMcGruder 1' Layup (7 PTS)36
32.3%
40
67.7%
Q2 - 4:11MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
29.8%
40
70.2%
Q2 - 4:13MIADrummond BLOCK (1 BLK)34
28.2%
40
71.8%
Q2 - 4:24MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
29.8%
40
70.2%
Q2 - 4:24DETMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot34
29.1%
40
70.9%
Q2 - 4:47MIAWaiters Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS)34
27.5%
40
72.5%
Q2 - 5:13DETSmith 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)32
25.7%
40
74.3%
Q2 - 5:23DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)32
27.7%
38
72.3%
Q2 - 5:23MIAMISS Waiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
28.5%
38
71.5%
Q2 - 5:35DETHarris 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)32
30.2%
38
69.8%
Q2 - 5:48DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)32
32.4%
36
67.6%
Q2 - 5:49MIAMISS Babbitt 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
33.2%
36
66.8%
Q2 - 6:02DETHarris Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)32
35.6%
36
64.4%
Q2 - 6:23MIAWhiteside Dunk (2 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)32
32.6%
36
67.4%
Q2 - 6:35MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)30
30.8%
36
69.2%
Q2 - 6:36DETMISS Marc Morris 20' Jump Shot30
29.9%
36
70.1%
Q2 - 6:51MIABaynes STEAL (1 STL)30
28.0%
36
72.0%
Q2 - 7:12DETUdrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)30
31.1%
36
68.9%
Q2 - 7:25MIAMcGruder 1' Layup (5 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)30
35.6%
33
64.4%
Q2 - 7:40MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
33.4%
33
66.6%
Q2 - 7:41DETMISS Harris 6' Jump Shot28
32.6%
33
67.4%
Q2 - 7:59MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
30.9%
33
69.1%
Q2 - 7:59MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
30.3%
33
69.7%
Q2 - 8:13DETJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)26
29.0%
33
71.0%
Q2 - 8:40MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)26
33.2%
30
66.8%
Q2 - 8:51DETUdrih 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
29.0%
30
71.0%
Q2 - 9:00DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
31.0%
28
69.0%
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS Babbitt 13' Jump Shot23
31.9%
28
68.1%
Q2 - 9:06MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
33.6%
28
66.4%
Q2 - 9:06MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
31.9%
28
68.1%
Q2 - 9:18DETBaynes 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T5)23
33.6%
28
66.4%
Q2 - 9:39MIAMcGruder 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)23
31.1%
28
68.9%
Q2 - 9:53MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
27.2%
28
72.8%
Q2 - 9:55DETMISS Harris 7' Jump Bank Shot20
26.5%
28
73.5%
Q2 - 10:09MIAUdrih STEAL (1 STL)20
25.3%
28
74.7%
Q2 - 10:18MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
27.5%
28
72.5%
Q2 - 10:18DETMISS Harris 19' Jump Shot20
26.8%
28
73.2%
Q2 - 10:38MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)20
25.3%
28
74.7%
Q2 - 10:38MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)19
24.9%
28
75.1%
Q2 - 10:41DETHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)18
23.7%
28
76.3%
Q2 - 11:05MIAJohnson 7' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)18
22.1%
28
77.9%
Q2 - 11:18MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
20.6%
28
79.4%
Q2 - 11:19DETMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
20.1%
28
79.9%
Q2 - 11:32DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
19.0%
28
81.0%
Q2 - 11:33MIAMISS Babbitt 1' Layup16
19.4%
28
80.6%
Q2 - 11:42DETLeuer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
20.5%
28
79.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET16
19.0%
28
81.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
19.5%
28
80.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
19.1%
28
80.9%
Q1 - 0:17.0DETBaynes Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)14
17.6%
28
82.4%
Q1 - 0:30.0DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
16.6%
28
83.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAMISS McRoberts 13' Jump Shot14
16.9%
28
83.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
17.6%
28
82.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0DETMISS Bullock 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
17.3%
28
82.7%
Q1 - 1:01MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)14
16.8%
28
83.2%
Q1 - 1:01MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 213
16.4%
28
83.6%
Q1 - 1:13MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
16.5%
28
83.5%
Q1 - 1:13DETMISS Bullock 18' Jump Shot13
16.2%
28
83.8%
Q1 - 1:34DETUdrih REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
15.5%
28
84.5%
Q1 - 1:35DETMISS Udrih 8' Jump Shot13
16.2%
28
83.8%
Q1 - 1:48MIADrummond STEAL (4 STL)13
15.5%
28
84.5%
Q1 - 1:54MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
16.4%
28
83.6%
Q1 - 1:55DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 113
16.3%
28
83.7%
Q1 - 2:03DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)13
18.4%
26
81.6%
Q1 - 2:03MIAMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot13
18.7%
26
81.3%
Q1 - 2:30DETLeuer Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 1 AST)13
19.6%
26
80.4%
Q1 - 2:51DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
21.3%
24
78.7%
Q1 - 2:52MIAMISS Johnson Layup13
21.7%
24
78.3%
Q1 - 3:12DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)13
23.4%
24
76.6%
Q1 - 3:17MIACaldwell-Pope STEAL (1 STL)13
24.8%
22
75.2%
Q1 - 3:23MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
26.7%
22
73.3%
Q1 - 3:23DETMISS Drummond 7' Hook Shot13
26.1%
22
73.9%
Q1 - 3:35DETUdrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
24.8%
22
75.2%
Q1 - 3:35DETMISS Udrih 14' Jump Shot13
26.1%
22
73.9%
Q1 - 3:51MIAJohnson Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)13
24.8%
22
75.2%
Q1 - 4:03DETDrummond 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)11
23.6%
22
76.4%
Q1 - 4:18DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
24.9%
20
75.1%
Q1 - 4:19MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 211
25.2%
20
74.8%
Q1 - 4:19MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
26.2%
20
73.8%
Q1 - 4:26DETMarc Morris Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)10
25.2%
20
74.8%
Q1 - 4:26DETMISS Marc Morris Free Throw 1 of 210
25.6%
19
74.4%
Q1 - 4:40MIAJohnson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
24.9%
19
75.1%
Q1 - 4:48MIAHeat Rebound8
23.6%
19
76.4%
Q1 - 4:48MIALeuer BLOCK (1 BLK)8
22.3%
19
77.7%
Q1 - 4:52DETUdrih Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
23.6%
19
76.4%
Q1 - 5:02DETUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
22.7%
19
77.3%
Q1 - 5:02MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
23.2%
19
76.8%
Q1 - 5:12MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
24.3%
19
75.7%
Q1 - 5:13DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
23.8%
19
76.2%
Q1 - 5:29DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
22.6%
19
77.4%
Q1 - 5:29MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
23.1%
19
76.9%
Q1 - 5:40MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)8
24.2%
19
75.8%
Q1 - 5:41DETMISS Udrih Free Throw 1 of 18
24.0%
19
76.0%
Q1 - 5:50DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
25.6%
17
74.4%
Q1 - 5:50MIAMISS Waiters 20' Jump Shot8
26.2%
17
73.8%
Q1 - 6:06DETDrummond Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Marc Morris 3 AST)8
28.0%
17
72.0%
Q1 - 6:26MIAWaiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)8
29.5%
15
70.5%
Q1 - 6:37MIADragic Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)5
26.4%
15
73.6%
Q1 - 6:53DETCaldwell-Pope 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)4
24.9%
15
75.1%
Q1 - 7:07MIARichardson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)4
26.9%
13
73.1%
Q1 - 7:12MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
28.7%
13
71.3%
Q1 - 7:13DETMISS Marc Morris 14' Jump Shot4
28.1%
13
71.9%
Q1 - 7:22DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
26.9%
13
73.1%
Q1 - 7:22MIAMISS Dragic 5' Jump Shot4
27.4%
13
72.6%
Q1 - 7:33DETMarc Morris Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)4
28.7%
13
71.3%
Q1 - 7:56MIAWaiters Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
29.9%
11
70.1%
Q1 - 8:25MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.8%
11
71.2%
Q1 - 8:26DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 27' 3PT Jump Shot2
28.3%
11
71.7%
Q1 - 8:33MIADrummond STEAL (3 STL)2
27.1%
11
72.9%
Q1 - 8:43DETDrummond 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Marc Morris 2 AST)2
28.8%
11
71.2%
Q1 - 9:03DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
30.1%
9
69.9%
Q1 - 9:04MIAMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 22
30.4%
9
69.6%
Q1 - 9:04MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
31.4%
9
68.6%
Q1 - 9:21DETHarris Driving Dunk (6 PTS)1
30.5%
9
69.5%
Q1 - 9:36DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
31.7%
7
68.3%
Q1 - 9:37MIAMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot1
32.3%
7
67.7%
Q1 - 9:57DETCaldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)1
33.8%
7
66.2%
Q1 - 10:03DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
36.9%
4
63.1%
Q1 - 10:03MIAMISS Waiters 3PT Jump Shot1
37.5%
4
62.5%
Q1 - 10:17DETHarris Layup (4 PTS) (Marc Morris 1 AST)1
38.8%
4
61.2%
Q1 - 10:23MIADrummond STEAL (2 STL)1
40.4%
2
59.6%
Q1 - 10:33DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)1
42.4%
2
57.6%
Q1 - 10:33DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
42.6%
1
57.4%
Q1 - 10:45MIAWhiteside Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)1
44.0%
0
56.0%
Q1 - 10:45MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)1
46.0%
0
54.0%
Q1 - 10:46MIAMarc Morris BLOCK (1 BLK)1
44.6%
0
55.4%
Q1 - 10:57MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)1
46.0%
0
54.0%
Q1 - 10:58DETMISS Marc Morris 18' Jump Shot1
45.4%
0
54.6%
Q1 - 11:15MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
44.1%
0
55.9%
Q1 - 11:15MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 20
43.7%
0
56.3%
Q1 - 11:23MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
44.0%
0
56.0%
Q1 - 11:23DETMISS Marc Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
43.5%
0
56.5%
Q1 - 11:30DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
42.3%
0
57.7%
Q1 - 11:30MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
42.8%
0
57.2%
Q1 - 11:39MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.0%
0
56.0%
Q1 - 11:40DETMISS Drummond 1' Driving Layup0
43.5%
0
56.5%
Q1 - 11:46MIADrummond STEAL (1 STL)0
42.3%
0
57.7%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Drummond vs. Whiteside: Tip to Richardson0
44.0%
0
56.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.7%
DET
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
22
50%
DET
27
35
77%
Midrange
MIA
9
27
33%
DET
7
27
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
26
27%
40%
DET
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
Free Throws
MIA
23
30
77%
DET
21
25
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Johnson1750%8.5 / 17
J. Johnson1575%7.5 / 10
R. McGruder1275%6.0 / 8
D. Waiters1146%5.5 / 12
H. Whiteside638%3.0 / 8
G. Dragic633%3.0 / 9
D. Williams542%2.5 / 6
L. Babbitt550%2.5 / 5
J. Richardson440%2.0 / 5
J. McRoberts220%1.0 / 5
U. Haslem113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Caldwell-Pope2269%11.0 / 16
A. Drummond1875%9.0 / 12
T. Harris1750%8.5 / 17
B. Udrih1255%6.0 / 11
J. Leuer1192%5.5 / 6
S. Johnson8100%4.0 / 4
M. Morris735%3.5 / 10
I. Smith643%3.0 / 7
A. Baynes4100%2.0 / 2
D. Hilliard2100%1.0 / 1
B. Marjanovic0-0.0 / 3
R. Bullock0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+11
-14
90
DET
82
+13
-13
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.7%
DET
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
106.0
MIA 90.3 +22.3
DET 112.6
Pace
95.0
95.0
MIA 96.1 +4.0
DET 92.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.1
MIA 15.0 +0.7
DET 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
49.2%
MIA 40.7%
DET 53.1% +12.4%
TO %
13.2%
11.9%
MIA 13.7%
DET 13.2% +0.5%
ORB %
24.2%
24.1%
MIA 15.2%
DET 25.0% +9.8%
FTrt
25.1
21.8
MIA 40.0 +9.1
DET 30.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
53.0%
MIA 70.4% +15.4%
DET 55.0%
STL %
7.5%
7.3%
MIA 5.4%
DET 8.4% +3.0%
BLK %
9.3%
6.6%
MIA 6.5%
DET 14.3% +7.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.35 and 2.35.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
50.8%
MIA 46.7%
DET 56.3% +9.6%
Rim FG%
59.2%
58.3%
MIA 50.0%
DET 77.1% +27.1%
Mid FG%
39.4%
42.6%
MIA 33.3% +7.4%
DET 25.9%
3P %
36.5%
33.0%
MIA 26.9%
DET 31.6% +4.7%
FT %
70.6%
71.9%
MIA 76.7%
DET 84.0% +7.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
30.9%
MIA 29.3%
DET 43.2% +13.9%
Mid Att. %
33.1%
42.8%
MIA 36.0%
DET 33.3% +2.7%
3P Att. %
31.4%
26.3%
MIA 34.7% +11.2%
DET 23.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions9395
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points84107
Rebounds3749
Assists1922
Steals58
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (0)39 (2)
Field Goals27-7540-81
At-the-Rim FG11-2227-35
Midrange FG9-277-27
2-Point FG20-4934-62
3-Point FG7-266-19
Free Throws23-3021-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
25.0
6
38%
8
0
1
1
2
2
1
7
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 31
22.3
6
33%
2
4
0
0
3
2
1
1
3-5
60%
0-3
0%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 215 · 25
21.4
11
46%
2
3
0
0
2
3
0
2
4-4
100%
2-7
29%
1-3
33%
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
20.1
4
40%
4
1
0
0
1
4
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 26
12.4
5
42%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
35.0
15
75%
4
2
2
2
2
4
0
4
7-8
88%
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
G · 6'3" 186 · 25
31.5
17
50%
2
7
1
1
1
0
0
2
7-9
78%
5-10
50%
0-3
0%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25
31.3
12
75%
4
0
0
0
1
2
3
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
18.1
5
50%
2
0
0
0
2
4
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
· 6'10" 240 · 30
15.7
2
20%
7
2
1
0
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
7.4
1
13%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 225 · 21
· 6'11" 245 · 27
#2 · G · 6'5" 200 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
47%
37
19
5
4
14
0
7
30
23-30
77%
20-49
41%
7-26
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.