FinalWin Prob.pScore
556%107
99
1944%105
96
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
106.59394.6
DET logo DET
101.19593.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET99
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)99
97.9%
96
2.1%
Q4 - 0:03.0HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 298
97.4%
96
2.6%
Q4 - 0:03.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)98
97.9%
96
2.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 298
97.6%
96
2.4%
Q4 - 0:04.0DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 298
94.8%
96
5.2%
Q4 - 0:04.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)98
93.5%
96
6.5%
Q4 - 0:05.0HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 298
94.4%
96
5.6%
Q4 - 0:05.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)98
97.8%
96
2.2%
Q4 - 0:07.0HOURockets Rebound97
86.6%
96
13.4%
Q4 - 0:09.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 297
84.8%
96
15.2%
Q4 - 0:09.0DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)97
72.9%
96
27.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)97
84.0%
95
16.0%
Q4 - 0:15.0HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 296
82.3%
95
17.7%
Q4 - 0:19.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)96
86.2%
95
13.8%
Q4 - 0:19.0DETMISS Smith 1' Reverse Layup96
81.3%
95
18.7%
Q4 - 0:40.0DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
62.0%
95
38.0%
Q4 - 0:40.0HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot96
68.1%
95
31.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0DETDrummond 1' Tip Layup Shot (13 PTS)96
78.7%
95
21.3%
Q4 - 0:49.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)96
86.6%
93
13.4%
Q4 - 0:50.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 1' Layup96
91.6%
93
8.4%
Q4 - 1:06HOUHarden 19' Jump Shot (25 PTS)96
83.8%
93
16.2%
Q4 - 1:25HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)94
74.7%
93
25.3%
Q4 - 1:26HOUMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
65.5%
93
34.5%
Q4 - 1:49HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)94
72.7%
93
27.3%
Q4 - 1:49DETMISS Marc Morris 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
69.4%
93
30.6%
Q4 - 2:15HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (23 PTS)94
60.4%
93
39.6%
Q4 - 2:15HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 393
59.0%
93
41.0%
Q4 - 2:15HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 393
68.3%
93
31.7%
Q4 - 2:28DETCaldwell-Pope 2' Driving Layup (25 PTS) (Smith 8 AST)93
65.0%
93
35.0%
Q4 - 2:37DETPISTONS Rebound93
70.8%
91
29.2%
Q4 - 2:37DETMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot93
79.5%
91
20.5%
Q4 - 3:05HOUAriza 28' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Capela 2 AST)93
69.3%
91
30.7%
Q4 - 3:22HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)90
53.3%
91
46.7%
Q4 - 3:24DETMISS Leuer 4' Jump Shot90
48.7%
91
51.3%
Q4 - 3:28DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)90
38.1%
91
61.9%
Q4 - 3:29DETMISS Marc Morris 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
48.8%
91
51.2%
Q4 - 3:57HOUAnderson 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Harden 11 AST)90
41.6%
91
58.4%
Q4 - 4:10DETMarc Morris 16' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)88
33.2%
91
66.8%
Q4 - 4:34DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)88
41.2%
89
58.8%
Q4 - 4:34HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot88
44.3%
89
55.7%
Q4 - 4:56HOURockets Rebound88
51.4%
89
48.6%
Q4 - 4:56HOUMISS Ariza 27' 3PT Jump Shot88
44.2%
89
55.8%
Q4 - 5:03DETUdrih Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)88
52.3%
89
47.7%
Q4 - 5:08HOUCaldwell-Pope STEAL (2 STL)88
43.5%
89
56.5%
Q4 - 5:32DETMarc Morris 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)88
52.3%
89
47.7%
Q4 - 5:53HOUAriza 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Harden 10 AST)88
60.1%
87
39.9%
Q4 - 6:09DETCaldwell-Pope Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)85
46.0%
87
54.0%
Q4 - 6:29HOUCapela 1' Layup (15 PTS)85
37.4%
87
62.6%
Q4 - 6:33HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)83
31.5%
87
68.5%
Q4 - 6:33HOUMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot83
26.5%
87
73.5%
Q4 - 6:45DETMarc Morris 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)83
31.5%
87
68.5%
Q4 - 7:07HOUBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)83
39.8%
85
60.2%
Q4 - 7:07HOUMISS Brewer Free Throw 1 of 282
38.3%
85
61.7%
Q4 - 7:23DETLeuer Dunk (12 PTS) (Udrih 7 AST)82
40.4%
85
59.6%
Q4 - 7:39DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)82
46.5%
83
53.5%
Q4 - 7:39HOUMISS Beverley 5' Jump Shot82
48.8%
83
51.2%
Q4 - 7:52DETBullock 1' Tip Layup Shot (6 PTS)82
54.2%
83
45.8%
Q4 - 7:56DETBullock REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)82
60.3%
81
39.7%
Q4 - 7:57DETMISS Bullock 4' Jump Shot82
65.3%
81
34.7%
Q4 - 8:01DETBullock REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
60.3%
81
39.7%
Q4 - 8:02DETMISS Bullock 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
64.3%
81
35.7%
Q4 - 8:13DETPISTONS Rebound82
60.3%
81
39.7%
Q4 - 8:13DETMISS Drummond 8' Hook Shot82
64.4%
81
35.6%
Q4 - 8:26DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)82
60.3%
81
39.7%
Q4 - 8:27HOUMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
62.1%
81
37.9%
Q4 - 8:37HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
66.2%
81
33.8%
Q4 - 8:38DETMISS Drummond 9' Hook Shot82
64.4%
81
35.6%
Q4 - 9:03DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)82
60.2%
81
39.8%
Q4 - 9:04HOUMISS Beverley 20' Jump Shot82
62.1%
81
37.9%
Q4 - 9:27DETDrummond 6' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Udrih 6 AST)82
66.1%
81
33.9%
Q4 - 9:41DETPISTONS Rebound82
71.1%
79
28.9%
Q4 - 9:41DETMISS Leuer 5' Jump Shot82
74.6%
79
25.4%
Q4 - 9:51HOUUdrih STEAL (1 STL)82
71.1%
79
28.9%
Q4 - 10:06DETBullock 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Udrih 5 AST)82
75.1%
79
24.9%
Q4 - 10:36HOUBeverley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)82
78.9%
77
21.1%
Q4 - 10:53DETBaynes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)79
70.7%
77
29.3%
Q4 - 11:02DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
64.5%
77
35.5%
Q4 - 11:03HOUMISS Gordon 13' Floating Jump Shot79
66.1%
77
33.9%
Q4 - 11:13HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)79
69.6%
77
30.4%
Q4 - 11:13DETMISS Marc Morris 8' Turnaround Jump Shot79
68.1%
77
31.9%
Q4 - 11:31HOUBeverley Traveling Turnover (P1.T16)79
64.6%
77
35.4%
Q4 - 11:47DETCaldwell-Pope 17' Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)79
69.6%
77
30.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU79
73.9%
75
26.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMarc Morris 33' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)79
78.1%
75
21.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
83.6%
72
16.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0HOULeuer BLOCK (1 BLK)79
84.4%
72
15.6%
Q3 - 0:27.0DETCaldwell-Pope 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS)79
86.3%
72
13.7%
Q3 - 0:45.0HOUNene Foul Turnover (P3.T15)79
88.6%
70
11.4%
Q3 - 0:50.0DETCaldwell-Pope 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS)79
90.5%
70
9.5%
Q3 - 1:05HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)79
91.2%
68
8.8%
Q3 - 1:05HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)78
91.0%
68
9.0%
Q3 - 1:10HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
89.6%
68
10.4%
Q3 - 1:11DETMISS Harris 6' Jump Shot77
89.0%
68
11.0%
Q3 - 1:23HOUHarden 1' Tip Layup Shot (20 PTS)77
87.6%
68
12.4%
Q3 - 1:25HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
85.4%
68
14.6%
Q3 - 1:28HOUMISS Harden 7' Floating Jump Shot75
83.6%
68
16.4%
Q3 - 1:50DETCaldwell-Pope Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)75
85.4%
68
14.6%
Q3 - 2:06DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
81.5%
68
18.5%
Q3 - 2:07HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
82.4%
68
17.6%
Q3 - 2:14DETCaldwell-Pope Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)75
84.3%
68
15.7%
Q3 - 2:27HOUHarden 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)75
81.5%
68
18.5%
Q3 - 2:33HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
75.6%
68
24.4%
Q3 - 2:34DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
74.4%
68
25.6%
Q3 - 2:46HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)72
71.7%
68
28.3%
Q3 - 3:11DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 3 of 3 (17 PTS)72
75.1%
68
24.9%
Q3 - 3:11DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 3 (16 PTS)72
75.7%
67
24.3%
Q3 - 3:11DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 372
76.4%
66
23.6%
Q3 - 3:26HOUNene Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T13)72
78.1%
66
21.9%
Q3 - 3:26DETBaynes Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (2 PTS)72
81.2%
66
18.8%
Q3 - 3:26DETBaynes Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (1 PTS)72
81.7%
65
18.3%
Q3 - 3:26HOUNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)72
86.0%
64
14.0%
Q3 - 3:26DETMISS Baynes 4' Jump Shot72
85.3%
64
14.7%
Q3 - 3:46HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)72
83.6%
64
16.4%
Q3 - 3:46HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)71
83.3%
64
16.7%
Q3 - 3:50HOUNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
81.2%
64
18.8%
Q3 - 3:50DETMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot70
80.3%
64
19.7%
Q3 - 4:03HOUNene Foul Turnover (P1.T12)70
77.3%
64
22.7%
Q3 - 4:05HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
80.6%
64
19.4%
Q3 - 4:06HOUSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)70
78.4%
64
21.6%
Q3 - 4:14DETSmith Driving Layup (10 PTS)70
80.7%
64
19.3%
Q3 - 4:20DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
82.8%
62
17.2%
Q3 - 4:21HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
83.7%
62
16.3%
Q3 - 4:36DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)70
85.5%
62
14.5%
Q3 - 4:36DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)70
85.9%
61
14.1%
Q3 - 4:51HOUAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harden 9 AST)70
87.2%
60
12.8%
Q3 - 5:02HOUNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
82.5%
60
17.5%
Q3 - 5:03DETMISS Drummond 6' Jump Shot67
81.6%
60
18.4%
Q3 - 5:20HOUCapela Foul Turnover (P1.T11)67
79.7%
60
20.3%
Q3 - 5:35DETDrummond 11' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 7 AST)67
82.5%
60
17.5%
Q3 - 5:43DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
84.5%
58
15.5%
Q3 - 5:43HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
85.3%
58
14.7%
Q3 - 6:00HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
86.8%
58
13.2%
Q3 - 6:00DETMISS Marc Morris 19' Jump Shot67
86.2%
58
13.8%
Q3 - 6:16HOUHarden 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)67
83.9%
58
16.1%
Q3 - 6:22HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
79.3%
58
20.7%
Q3 - 6:23HOUMISS Anderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
77.3%
58
22.7%
Q3 - 6:39HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
79.3%
58
20.7%
Q3 - 6:39DETMISS Harris 14' Turnaround Jump Shot64
78.5%
58
21.5%
Q3 - 6:54HOUCapela Layup (13 PTS)64
76.4%
58
23.6%
Q3 - 6:56HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)62
73.6%
58
26.4%
Q3 - 6:57HOUMISS Capela 1' Layup62
71.2%
58
28.8%
Q3 - 7:19DETCaldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)62
73.1%
58
26.9%
Q3 - 7:27DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
78.3%
55
21.7%
Q3 - 7:27HOUMISS Anderson 4' Jump Shot62
79.3%
55
20.8%
Q3 - 7:43DETHarris 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)62
81.2%
55
18.8%
Q3 - 8:05HOUBeverley 8' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 8 AST)62
82.8%
53
17.2%
Q3 - 8:25DETDrummond Foul Turnover (P3.T9)60
80.9%
53
19.1%
Q3 - 8:34HOUCapela 7' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)60
78.1%
53
21.9%
Q3 - 8:57HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)58
75.9%
53
24.1%
Q3 - 8:58DETMISS Drummond Driving Layup58
74.9%
53
25.1%
Q3 - 9:14HOUCapela Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Harden 7 AST)58
72.1%
53
27.9%
Q3 - 9:21HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)56
69.3%
53
30.7%
Q3 - 9:22HOUMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
67.0%
53
33.0%
Q3 - 9:37DETDrummond 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)56
69.3%
53
30.7%
Q3 - 9:47HOUAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)56
72.1%
51
27.9%
Q3 - 9:47HOUAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)55
71.8%
51
28.2%
Q3 - 9:55HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
69.3%
51
30.7%
Q3 - 9:57DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 254
68.9%
51
31.1%
Q3 - 9:57DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 254
67.8%
51
32.2%
Q3 - 10:14DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)54
65.9%
51
34.1%
Q3 - 10:14HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot54
66.9%
51
33.1%
Q3 - 10:40DETCaldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)54
69.2%
51
30.8%
Q3 - 10:48DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)54
74.7%
48
25.3%
Q3 - 10:49HOUMarc Morris BLOCK (1 BLK)54
75.5%
48
24.5%
Q3 - 11:10DETDrummond Layup (5 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)54
77.3%
48
22.7%
Q3 - 11:27DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)54
79.5%
46
20.5%
Q3 - 11:27DETMISS Marc Morris 17' Jump Shot54
81.1%
46
18.9%
Q3 - 11:33HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)54
79.5%
46
20.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET51
74.8%
46
25.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound51
71.9%
46
28.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 1' Layup51
73.9%
46
26.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0HOUDrummond STEAL (4 STL)51
72.1%
46
27.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0DETSmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)51
73.8%
46
26.2%
Q2 - 0:08.0HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)51
72.1%
46
27.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)50
71.7%
46
28.3%
Q2 - 0:08.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 3 (8 PTS)49
71.4%
46
28.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0DETDrummond 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T7)48
65.6%
46
34.4%
Q2 - 0:35.0DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
63.5%
46
36.5%
Q2 - 0:38.0HOUMISS Dekker 21' Jump Shot48
64.1%
46
35.9%
Q2 - 0:48.0HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
65.6%
46
34.4%
Q2 - 0:48.0DETMISS Johnson 3' Layup48
65.0%
46
35.0%
Q2 - 0:54.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)48
63.5%
46
36.5%
Q2 - 0:56.0HOUMISS Dekker 1' Reverse Layup48
64.1%
46
35.9%
Q2 - 1:21HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
65.1%
46
34.9%
Q2 - 1:22DETMISS Drummond 5' Hook Shot48
64.7%
46
35.3%
Q2 - 1:26DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
63.6%
46
36.4%
Q2 - 1:28DETMISS Drummond Tip Layup Shot48
64.7%
46
35.3%
Q2 - 1:28DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)48
63.6%
46
36.4%
Q2 - 1:29DETMISS Smith 8' Jump Shot48
64.7%
46
35.3%
Q2 - 1:49HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)48
63.6%
46
36.4%
Q2 - 1:49HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)47
63.2%
46
36.8%
Q2 - 2:09DETDrummond 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)46
59.7%
46
40.3%
Q2 - 2:21DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)46
56.9%
46
43.1%
Q2 - 2:22HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
57.8%
46
42.2%
Q2 - 2:53DETCaldwell-Pope Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)46
59.6%
46
40.4%
Q2 - 3:12HOUHarden 7' Jump Shot (5 PTS)46
56.9%
46
43.1%
Q2 - 3:30HOURockets Rebound44
54.4%
46
45.6%
Q2 - 3:30DETMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot44
53.3%
46
46.7%
Q2 - 3:42HOUCapela Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
50.9%
46
49.1%
Q2 - 3:42HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 1 of 243
49.4%
46
50.6%
Q2 - 3:54DETSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 2 AST)43
51.4%
46
48.6%
Q2 - 4:11HOUCapela Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)43
57.3%
43
42.7%
Q2 - 4:17HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
54.4%
43
45.6%
Q2 - 4:17DETMISS Marc Morris 15' Jump Shot41
53.6%
43
46.4%
Q2 - 4:35HOUAriza Layup (2 PTS) (Dekker 1 AST)41
51.6%
43
48.4%
Q2 - 4:50DETMarc Morris Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
48.7%
43
51.3%
Q2 - 4:50DETMarc Morris Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
49.4%
42
50.6%
Q2 - 4:57HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)39
51.6%
41
48.4%
Q2 - 4:57HOURockets Rebound39
54.4%
41
45.6%
Q2 - 4:57HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
52.4%
41
47.6%
Q2 - 5:13HOUHarden Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)39
54.8%
41
45.2%
Q2 - 5:22DETSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)38
52.0%
41
48.0%
Q2 - 5:22DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)38
52.8%
40
47.2%
Q2 - 5:32HOUDekker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)38
54.6%
39
45.4%
Q2 - 5:41HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
49.2%
39
50.8%
Q2 - 5:43DETMISS Drummond 6' Hook Shot35
48.3%
39
51.7%
Q2 - 6:00HOUGordon Foul Turnover (P2.T8)35
46.3%
39
53.7%
Q2 - 6:07HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
50.0%
39
50.0%
Q2 - 6:07DETMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
48.9%
39
51.1%
Q2 - 6:31HOUBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)35
46.6%
39
53.4%
Q2 - 6:31HOUMISS Brewer Free Throw 1 of 234
45.9%
39
54.1%
Q2 - 6:33HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
47.2%
39
52.8%
Q2 - 6:33DETMISS Drummond 4' Jump Shot34
46.2%
39
53.8%
Q2 - 6:53HOUDekker 27' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST)34
43.8%
39
56.2%
Q2 - 7:04DETBullock 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)31
39.9%
39
60.1%
Q2 - 7:20HOUCapela 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)31
42.2%
37
57.8%
Q2 - 7:31DETLeuer 7' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)29
39.9%
37
60.1%
Q2 - 7:55HOUBeverley Driving Layup (4 PTS)29
42.1%
35
57.9%
Q2 - 8:08DETJohnson 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
40.0%
35
60.0%
Q2 - 8:26HOUDekker Driving Layup (6 PTS)27
42.3%
33
57.7%
Q2 - 8:41DETLeuer Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
40.0%
33
60.0%
Q2 - 8:41DETLeuer Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
40.5%
32
59.5%
Q2 - 8:54HOUBrewer 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Capela 1 AST)25
42.3%
31
57.7%
Q2 - 9:14DETLeuer Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
38.1%
31
61.9%
Q2 - 9:14DETLeuer Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
38.6%
30
61.4%
Q2 - 9:29HOUBeverley 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
40.2%
29
59.8%
Q2 - 9:40DETHarris Foul Turnover (P2.T4)20
38.0%
29
62.0%
Q2 - 9:52HOUBrewer Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)20
35.5%
29
64.5%
Q2 - 10:11DETLeuer Dunk (4 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)18
33.8%
29
66.2%
Q2 - 10:17DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
35.7%
27
64.3%
Q2 - 10:18HOUMISS Gordon 1' Layup18
36.5%
27
63.5%
Q2 - 10:22HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
38.4%
27
61.6%
Q2 - 10:24DETMISS Udrih 17' Pullup Jump Shot18
37.6%
27
62.4%
Q2 - 10:31DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)18
35.7%
27
64.3%
Q2 - 10:32HOUMISS Nene 18' Jump Shot18
36.5%
27
63.5%
Q2 - 10:44HOUNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
38.4%
27
61.6%
Q2 - 10:44DETMISS Baynes 20' Jump Shot18
37.6%
27
62.4%
Q2 - 10:57DETUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
35.7%
27
64.3%
Q2 - 10:58HOUMISS Gordon 27' 3PT Jump Shot18
36.5%
27
63.5%
Q2 - 11:09DETHarris 6' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)18
38.6%
27
61.4%
Q2 - 11:30DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
40.9%
25
59.1%
Q2 - 11:30HOUMISS Dekker 1' Layup18
41.6%
25
58.4%
Q2 - 11:37DETLeuer Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)18
43.3%
25
56.7%
Q2 - 11:47DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
40.9%
25
59.1%
Q2 - 11:47HOUMISS Beverley 27' 3PT Jump Shot18
41.6%
25
58.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU18
43.3%
25
56.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETUdrih 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)18
43.3%
25
56.7%
Q1 - 0:07.0HOUHarden Traveling Turnover (P4.T7)18
48.5%
22
51.5%
Q1 - 0:31.0DETLeuer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
50.1%
22
49.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0HOUDekker Driving Layup (4 PTS)18
48.4%
22
51.6%
Q1 - 0:52.0HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
45.4%
22
54.6%
Q1 - 0:52.0DETMISS Leuer 13' Jump Shot16
44.9%
22
55.1%
Q1 - 1:00DETUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
43.7%
22
56.3%
Q1 - 1:00HOUMISS Harden 11' Jump Shot16
44.2%
22
55.8%
Q1 - 1:11HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
45.7%
22
54.3%
Q1 - 1:11DETMISS Marc Morris 11' Fadeaway Jumper16
45.1%
22
54.9%
Q1 - 1:33HOUDekker 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)16
43.9%
22
56.1%
Q1 - 1:38HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
41.0%
22
59.0%
Q1 - 1:38DETMISS Baynes 4' Hook Shot14
40.5%
22
59.5%
Q1 - 1:56DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
39.4%
22
60.6%
Q1 - 1:58HOUMISS Nene 1' Reverse Layup14
39.9%
22
60.1%
Q1 - 2:11HOUNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
41.7%
22
58.3%
Q1 - 2:12HOUMISS Harden 1' Layup14
40.3%
22
59.7%
Q1 - 2:23HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
41.7%
22
58.3%
Q1 - 2:24DETMISS Marc Morris Layup14
41.0%
22
59.0%
Q1 - 2:46HOUNene 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)14
39.6%
22
60.4%
Q1 - 3:01HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
38.2%
22
61.8%
Q1 - 3:02DETMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot12
37.5%
22
62.5%
Q1 - 3:11HOUDrummond STEAL (3 STL)12
35.8%
22
64.2%
Q1 - 3:20HOUNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
38.1%
22
61.9%
Q1 - 3:21DETMISS Leuer 21' Jump Shot12
37.4%
22
62.6%
Q1 - 3:28DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)12
35.8%
22
64.2%
Q1 - 3:29HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
36.5%
22
63.5%
Q1 - 3:35DETLeuer 1' Layup (2 PTS)12
38.1%
22
61.9%
Q1 - 3:38DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
40.0%
20
60.0%
Q1 - 3:38DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup12
41.7%
20
58.3%
Q1 - 3:41DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)12
40.0%
20
60.0%
Q1 - 3:41DETMISS Drummond 1' Tip Layup Shot12
41.7%
20
58.3%
Q1 - 3:41DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
40.0%
20
60.0%
Q1 - 3:42DETMISS Marc Morris 11' Jump Shot12
41.7%
20
58.3%
Q1 - 4:06HOUGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)12
40.3%
20
59.7%
Q1 - 4:17HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
42.8%
20
57.2%
Q1 - 4:18DETMISS Leuer 17' Jump Shot12
42.0%
20
58.0%
Q1 - 4:28DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
40.3%
20
59.7%
Q1 - 4:29HOUMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
41.0%
20
59.0%
Q1 - 4:38HOUNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
42.8%
20
57.2%
Q1 - 4:38HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
41.0%
20
59.0%
Q1 - 4:52DETHarris Foul Turnover (P1.T1)12
42.8%
20
57.2%
Q1 - 4:57DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
40.3%
20
59.7%
Q1 - 4:58DETMISS Marc Morris 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
42.0%
20
58.0%
Q1 - 5:12HOUNene 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)12
41.5%
20
58.5%
Q1 - 5:25HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
39.6%
20
60.4%
Q1 - 5:27DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 17' Pullup Jump Shot10
38.9%
20
61.1%
Q1 - 5:42HOUHarden Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
37.3%
20
62.7%
Q1 - 5:52DETCaldwell-Pope 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)8
35.6%
20
64.4%
Q1 - 5:58DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
39.3%
17
60.7%
Q1 - 5:59HOUMISS Anderson 5' Jump Shot8
40.0%
17
60.0%
Q1 - 6:12DETDrummond 1' Alley Oop Layup (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)8
42.4%
17
57.6%
Q1 - 6:34HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)8
44.1%
15
55.9%
Q1 - 6:34HOURockets Rebound8
46.3%
15
53.7%
Q1 - 6:34HOUMISS Ariza Driving Layup8
44.8%
15
55.2%
Q1 - 6:59DETSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 1 AST)8
46.3%
15
53.7%
Q1 - 7:11HOUAnderson 14' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)8
50.5%
12
49.5%
Q1 - 7:31DETHarris 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)6
49.0%
12
51.0%
Q1 - 7:35DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
50.5%
10
49.5%
Q1 - 7:36DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 27' 3PT Jump Shot6
52.1%
10
47.9%
Q1 - 7:44HOUDrummond STEAL (2 STL)6
50.5%
10
49.5%
Q1 - 7:56HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
52.7%
10
47.3%
Q1 - 7:56DETMISS Drummond 6' Hook Shot6
52.1%
10
47.9%
Q1 - 8:13HOUAnderson Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
51.1%
10
48.9%
Q1 - 8:29DETCaldwell-Pope 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
49.4%
10
50.6%
Q1 - 8:42DETPISTONS Rebound4
51.0%
8
49.0%
Q1 - 8:42DETMISS Harris 6' Hook Shot4
52.5%
8
47.5%
Q1 - 8:54HOUAnderson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
51.0%
8
49.0%
Q1 - 9:22DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
49.6%
8
50.4%
Q1 - 9:35HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
52.9%
5
47.1%
Q1 - 9:35HOUMISS Ariza 2' Tip Layup Shot2
53.6%
5
46.4%
Q1 - 9:35DETPISTONS Rebound2
52.9%
5
47.1%
Q1 - 9:35HOUMISS Capela Tip Layup Shot2
53.6%
5
46.4%
Q1 - 9:38HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
55.2%
5
44.8%
Q1 - 9:39HOUMISS Harden 10' Floating Jump Shot2
53.6%
5
46.4%
Q1 - 9:53HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
55.2%
5
44.8%
Q1 - 9:54DETMISS Drummond Layup2
54.5%
5
45.5%
Q1 - 10:10HOUCapela Dunk (2 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)2
53.0%
5
47.0%
Q1 - 10:19HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
51.3%
5
48.7%
Q1 - 10:19HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
49.9%
5
50.1%
Q1 - 10:33DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
51.3%
5
48.7%
Q1 - 10:33DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 20
52.3%
4
47.7%
Q1 - 10:36HOUDrummond STEAL (1 STL)0
51.1%
4
48.9%
Q1 - 10:46DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Layup (2 PTS)0
53.2%
4
46.8%
Q1 - 10:51HOUCaldwell-Pope STEAL (1 STL)0
54.8%
2
45.2%
Q1 - 11:05HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.7%
2
43.3%
Q1 - 11:06DETMISS Harris 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
56.2%
2
43.8%
Q1 - 11:18DETPISTONS Rebound0
55.1%
2
44.9%
Q1 - 11:18HOUMISS Capela 5' Hook Shot0
55.6%
2
44.4%
Q1 - 11:37DETMarc Morris 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
56.7%
2
43.3%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Drummond vs. Capela: Tip to Harris0
58.6%
0
41.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.04 52.1%
DET
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
19
34
56%
DET
12
31
39%
Midrange
HOU
6
13
46%
DET
17
39
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
10
15.0
31
32%
48%
DET
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
Free Throws
HOU
19
27
70%
DET
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden2856%14.0 / 25
C. Capela1568%7.5 / 11
T. Ariza1447%7.0 / 15
S. Dekker1275%6.0 / 8
R. Anderson1050%5.0 / 10
P. Beverley964%4.5 / 7
C. Brewer770%3.5 / 5
Nene450%2.0 / 4
E. Gordon0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Caldwell-Pope2672%13.0 / 18
M. Morris1341%6.5 / 16
A. Drummond1331%6.5 / 21
J. Leuer1255%6.0 / 11
I. Smith1050%5.0 / 10
T. Harris956%4.5 / 8
R. Bullock660%3.0 / 5
B. Udrih375%1.5 / 2
A. Baynes233%1.0 / 3
S. Johnson233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
78
+15
-15
93
DET
81
+18
-14
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.04 52.1%
DET
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.9
106.0
HOU 106.5 +5.4
DET 101.1
Pace
100.0
95.0
HOU 94.6 +1.3
DET 93.4
Avg. Poss. Time
13.8
15.1
HOU 15.2 +0.2
DET 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.5%
49.2%
HOU 51.3% +5.9%
DET 45.4%
TO %
14.4%
11.9%
HOU 16.7%
DET 12.5% +4.2%
ORB %
24.6%
24.1%
HOU 30.8% +4.7%
DET 26.1%
FTrt
30.4
21.8
HOU 34.6 +7.0
DET 27.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.6%
53.0%
HOU 62.9% +10.1%
DET 52.8%
STL %
8.1%
7.3%
HOU 4.3%
DET 7.4% +3.1%
BLK %
7.2%
6.6%
HOU 8.6% +2.2%
DET 6.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.35 and 2.35.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.2%
50.8%
HOU 52.1% +3.6%
DET 48.5%
Rim FG%
61.6%
58.3%
HOU 55.9% +17.2%
DET 38.7%
Mid FG%
40.5%
42.6%
HOU 46.2% +2.6%
DET 43.6%
3P %
35.7%
33.0%
HOU 32.3%
DET 41.2% +8.9%
FT %
76.6%
71.9%
HOU 70.4%
DET 70.8% +0.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
30.9%
HOU 43.6% +8.0%
DET 35.6%
Mid Att. %
16.1%
42.8%
HOU 16.7% +28.2%
DET 44.8%
3P Att. %
46.2%
26.3%
HOU 39.7% +20.2%
DET 19.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.04 and 3.04.
Game TotalsHOUDET
Possessions9395
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points9996
Rebounds4639
Assists2219
Steals47
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)15 (3)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)12 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)27 (2)
Field Goals35-7836-87
At-the-Rim FG19-3412-31
Midrange FG6-1317-39
2-Point FG25-4729-70
3-Point FG10-317-17
Free Throws19-2717-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 220 · 27
37.6
28
56%
8
11
0
1
6
2
2
6
14-19
74%
4-8
50%
2-9
22%
C · 6'10" 256 · 23
35.0
15
68%
12
2
0
2
2
5
4
8
1-2
50%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 31
34.5
14
47%
6
3
1
0
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-5
20%
4-10
40%
F · 6'10" 240 · 29
29.0
10
50%
6
1
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
0-3
0%
G · 6'1" 185 · 28
23.4
9
64%
1
1
1
0
1
3
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 215 · 28
29.3
0
0%
1
2
1
1
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 230 · 23
24.7
12
75%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
50%
2-2
100%
F · 6'9" 186 · 31
13.5
7
70%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34
13.0
4
50%
7
1
1
1
3
5
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 23
G · 6'3" 194 · 22
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24
· 6'2" 175 · 32
#30 · F · 6'10" 240 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 6'10" 245 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
52%
46
22
4
6
15
0
12
34
19-27
70%
25-47
53%
10-31
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.