FinalWin Prob.pScore
746%106
97
854%107
112
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
94.2103106.1
ATL logo ATL
108.7103100.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL97
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0HOUWiltjer Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T26)97
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)97
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Delaney 27' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0HOUKelly STEAL (1 STL)97
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02ATLMuscala Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T20)97
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15HOUHarrell Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Dekker 3 AST)97
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25HOUEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27ATLMISS Muscala 18' Jump Shot95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40HOUMISS Anderson 1' Tip Layup Shot95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01ATLMISS Bazemore 20' Pullup Jump Shot95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21HOUMISS Gordon 9' Driving Hook Shot95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38ATLMillsap 9' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Schroder 10 AST)95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:51ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)95
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56HOUHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)95
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)95
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 3:05ATLMISS Bazemore 21' Jump Shot95
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 3:13HOUMillsap STEAL (5 STL)95
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 3:31ATLMISS Schroder Driving Reverse Layup95
0.4%
110
99.6%
Q4 - 3:52ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
0.3%
110
99.7%
Q4 - 3:54HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.3%
110
99.7%
Q4 - 4:03HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
0.4%
110
99.6%
Q4 - 4:05ATLMISS Bazemore 18' Jump Shot95
0.3%
110
99.7%
Q4 - 4:16HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harrell 2 AST)95
0.3%
110
99.7%
Q4 - 4:20HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)92
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22HOUMISS Harden 3' Driving Layup92
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35ATLSchroder Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T19)92
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46HOUGordon Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)92
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:49ATLMISS Schroder 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot89
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:57ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)89
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59HOUMISS Gordon 8' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot89
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:09ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)89
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:09ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 289
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 5:18ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 5:20HOUMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 5:36ATLBazemore 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Schroder 9 AST)89
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 5:41ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 5:44HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot89
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 5:57HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)89
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 5:58ATLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 289
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 5:58ATLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)89
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 5:58ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)89
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 5:58ATLMISS Millsap 14' Pullup Jump Shot89
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 6:16HOUHarrell 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)89
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 6:27ATLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)87
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 6:27ATLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)87
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q4 - 6:27ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)87
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 6:27HOUMISS Harden Driving Layup87
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 6:37HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
0.8%
103
99.2%
Q4 - 6:38ATLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 287
0.8%
103
99.2%
Q4 - 6:38ATLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 287
0.7%
103
99.3%
Q4 - 6:38HOUMISS Harden Free Throw Technical87
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 6:48ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)87
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 6:50HOUMISS B. Brown 19' Pullup Jump Shot87
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 7:13ATLMillsap 14' Step Back Jump Shot (20 PTS)87
1.2%
103
98.8%
Q4 - 7:35HOUBrewer Foul Turnover (P2.T23)87
1.5%
101
98.5%
Q4 - 7:40HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
2.0%
101
98.0%
Q4 - 7:40ATLMISS Sefolosha 13' Running Jump Shot87
1.9%
101
98.1%
Q4 - 7:42ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)87
1.5%
101
98.5%
Q4 - 7:43ATLMISS Delaney 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
1.9%
101
98.1%
Q4 - 7:47ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)87
1.5%
101
98.5%
Q4 - 7:50ATLMISS Delaney 18' Pullup Jump Shot87
1.9%
101
98.1%
Q4 - 7:58ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)87
1.5%
101
98.5%
Q4 - 7:59HOUMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot87
1.7%
101
98.3%
Q4 - 8:22ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)87
2.6%
101
97.4%
Q4 - 8:26ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)87
2.0%
101
98.0%
Q4 - 8:29ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 12' Pullup Jump Shot87
2.4%
101
97.6%
Q4 - 8:47HOUGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)87
2.0%
101
98.0%
Q4 - 8:47HOUMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 286
1.9%
101
98.1%
Q4 - 8:58ATLHoward Cutting Dunk Shot (17 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)86
2.0%
101
98.0%
Q4 - 9:20HOUCapela Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P4.T22)86
3.2%
99
96.8%
Q4 - 9:26ATLSefolosha Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T17)86
4.1%
99
95.9%
Q4 - 9:31HOUSefolosha STEAL (3 STL)86
3.2%
99
96.8%
Q4 - 9:46ATLHoward 7' Driving Hook Shot (15 PTS)86
4.0%
99
96.0%
Q4 - 10:05ATLHAWKS Rebound86
5.8%
97
94.2%
Q4 - 10:05HOUSefolosha BLOCK (1 BLK)86
6.2%
97
93.8%
Q4 - 10:15ATLHoward Tip Layup Shot (13 PTS)86
7.3%
97
92.7%
Q4 - 10:17ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)86
8.9%
95
91.1%
Q4 - 10:19ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
10.4%
95
89.6%
Q4 - 10:37HOUGordon 2' Running Layup (5 PTS)86
8.8%
95
91.2%
Q4 - 10:42HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)84
7.3%
95
92.7%
Q4 - 10:44ATLMISS Howard 2' Layup84
6.8%
95
93.2%
Q4 - 10:55ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)84
5.7%
95
94.3%
Q4 - 10:57HOUMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
6.2%
95
93.8%
Q4 - 11:11HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)84
8.0%
95
92.0%
Q4 - 11:12ATLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 284
7.8%
95
92.2%
Q4 - 11:12ATLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 284
7.1%
95
92.9%
Q4 - 11:12ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)84
6.5%
95
93.5%
Q4 - 11:13ATLMISS Sefolosha 2' Driving Layup84
7.5%
95
92.5%
Q4 - 11:29HOUBrewer Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T20)84
6.5%
95
93.5%
Q4 - 11:46ATLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Hardaway Jr. 2 AST)84
8.0%
95
92.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU84
9.6%
93
90.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
13.0%
93
87.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Millsap 16' Jump Shot84
12.4%
93
87.6%
Q3 - 0:25.0ATLDelaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
10.8%
93
89.2%
Q3 - 0:27.0HOUMISS Harden 28' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot84
11.4%
93
88.6%
Q3 - 0:31.0HOURockets Rebound84
13.0%
93
87.0%
Q3 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 18' Jump Shot84
12.3%
93
87.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
10.8%
93
89.2%
Q3 - 0:41.0HOUMISS Capela 2' Reverse Layup84
11.4%
93
88.6%
Q3 - 0:58.0ATLHardaway Jr. 2' Driving Layup (3 PTS)84
12.9%
93
87.1%
Q3 - 1:18HOUCapela 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Dekker 2 AST)84
16.6%
91
83.4%
Q3 - 1:19HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)82
14.1%
91
85.9%
Q3 - 1:23HOUMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
12.5%
91
87.5%
Q3 - 1:34HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
14.1%
91
85.9%
Q3 - 1:36ATLMISS Sefolosha 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot82
13.4%
91
86.6%
Q3 - 2:03HOUMcDaniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dekker 1 AST)82
12.6%
91
87.4%
Q3 - 2:24ATLMuscala Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Schroder 8 AST)79
9.1%
91
90.9%
Q3 - 2:32ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
10.6%
89
89.4%
Q3 - 2:34HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
12.7%
89
87.3%
Q3 - 2:34HOUMISS Dekker 1' Tip Layup Shot79
11.2%
89
88.8%
Q3 - 2:36HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot79
11.2%
89
88.8%
Q3 - 2:58ATLSchroder Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)79
12.7%
89
87.3%
Q3 - 3:09ATLHardaway Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
11.5%
89
88.5%
Q3 - 3:12HOUMISS Nene 4' Putback Layup79
12.1%
89
87.9%
Q3 - 3:13HOUNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)79
13.5%
89
86.5%
Q3 - 3:15HOUMISS Dekker 3PT Jump Shot79
12.1%
89
87.9%
Q3 - 3:25ATLBazemore Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)79
13.5%
89
86.5%
Q3 - 3:47HOUMcDaniels 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)79
11.4%
89
88.6%
Q3 - 4:08ATLBazemore 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Schroder 7 AST)77
10.5%
89
89.5%
Q3 - 4:15HOUKorver STEAL (2 STL)77
13.9%
86
86.1%
Q3 - 4:27ATLBazemore 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Millsap 5 AST)77
16.5%
86
83.5%
Q3 - 4:31ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
21.3%
83
78.7%
Q3 - 4:33ATLMISS Millsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
23.7%
83
76.3%
Q3 - 5:01HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
22.1%
83
77.9%
Q3 - 5:01HOUHarden Putback Layup (30 PTS)77
22.1%
83
77.9%
Q3 - 5:04HOUMISS Harden 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot75
17.7%
83
82.3%
Q3 - 5:11HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
19.6%
83
80.4%
Q3 - 5:13ATLMISS Bazemore 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot75
18.8%
83
81.2%
Q3 - 5:26ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
16.9%
83
83.1%
Q3 - 5:29HOUMuscala BLOCK (1 BLK)75
17.6%
83
82.4%
Q3 - 5:46ATLSchroder 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)75
19.6%
83
80.4%
Q3 - 5:57HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)75
22.0%
81
78.0%
Q3 - 5:57HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)74
21.6%
81
78.4%
Q3 - 6:09ATLSchroder Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T14)73
20.2%
81
79.8%
Q3 - 6:30ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
17.6%
81
82.4%
Q3 - 6:31HOUMISS Anderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot73
18.3%
81
81.7%
Q3 - 6:48ATLBazemore 19' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)73
20.2%
81
79.8%
Q3 - 6:59ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
22.7%
79
77.3%
Q3 - 7:01HOUMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
23.9%
79
76.1%
Q3 - 7:16ATLHoward 8' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Millsap 4 AST)73
26.3%
79
73.7%
Q3 - 7:29HOUHarden 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot (26 PTS)73
28.9%
77
71.1%
Q3 - 7:37HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
26.2%
77
73.8%
Q3 - 7:39ATLMISS Schroder 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot71
25.2%
77
74.8%
Q3 - 7:51HOUGordon Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)71
23.0%
77
77.0%
Q3 - 8:00ATLMillsap Dunk (18 PTS) (Schroder 6 AST)68
18.3%
77
81.7%
Q3 - 8:07HOUMillsap STEAL (4 STL)68
20.9%
75
79.1%
Q3 - 8:24ATLBazemore 18' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Millsap 3 AST)68
23.9%
75
76.1%
Q3 - 8:35HOUAnderson Traveling Turnover (P2.T17)68
26.2%
73
73.8%
Q3 - 8:44HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)68
29.8%
73
70.2%
Q3 - 8:45ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 268
29.3%
73
70.7%
Q3 - 8:45ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)68
27.4%
73
72.6%
Q3 - 9:05HOUCapela Dunk (10 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)68
29.7%
72
70.3%
Q3 - 9:20HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
26.9%
72
73.1%
Q3 - 9:21ATLMISS Schroder 9' Pullup Jump Shot66
26.0%
72
74.0%
Q3 - 9:34ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
24.0%
72
76.0%
Q3 - 9:37HOUMISS Anderson 14' Step Back Jump Shot66
24.9%
72
75.1%
Q3 - 9:54ATLSchroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bazemore 4 AST)66
26.9%
72
73.1%
Q3 - 10:05HOUHarden Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P7.T16)66
33.1%
69
66.9%
Q3 - 10:12HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
36.6%
69
63.4%
Q3 - 10:14ATLMISS Millsap 18' Fadeaway Jumper66
35.5%
69
64.5%
Q3 - 10:33HOUCapela Cutting Dunk Shot (8 PTS) (Harden 11 AST)66
33.1%
69
66.9%
Q3 - 10:50ATLKorver Cutting Layup Shot (10 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)64
30.2%
69
69.8%
Q3 - 11:01HOUCapela Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Harden 10 AST)64
33.4%
67
66.6%
Q3 - 11:09HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
30.6%
67
69.4%
Q3 - 11:12HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
28.5%
67
71.5%
Q3 - 11:17ATLMillsap Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)62
30.6%
67
69.4%
Q3 - 11:26HOUBazemore STEAL (3 STL)62
27.6%
67
72.4%
Q3 - 11:31ATLKorver 2' Cutting Layup Shot (8 PTS) (Bazemore 3 AST)62
30.6%
67
69.4%
Q3 - 11:45HOUAriza 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harden 9 AST)62
33.4%
65
66.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL59
27.7%
65
72.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUHarden 18' Step Back Jump Shot (24 PTS)59
24.9%
65
75.1%
Q2 - 0:07.0ATLSchroder Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T12)57
22.9%
65
77.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUHarden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)57
21.3%
65
78.7%
Q2 - 0:31.0ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)54
16.6%
65
83.4%
Q2 - 0:49.0HOUHarden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)54
21.3%
62
78.7%
Q2 - 0:59.0ATLSefolosha 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)51
16.6%
62
83.4%
Q2 - 1:12ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
20.0%
60
80.0%
Q2 - 1:14HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
20.3%
60
79.7%
Q2 - 1:36ATLMillsap 9' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)51
21.0%
60
79.0%
Q2 - 1:50HOUAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Harden 8 AST)51
24.4%
58
75.6%
Q2 - 2:04ATLSchroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)48
20.0%
58
80.0%
Q2 - 2:17HOUBazemore STEAL (2 STL)48
24.4%
55
75.6%
Q2 - 2:22ATLBazemore Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)48
26.5%
55
73.5%
Q2 - 2:39HOUHarden 13' Step Back Jump Shot (16 PTS)48
24.4%
55
75.6%
Q2 - 2:50ATLSchroder 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)46
21.9%
55
78.1%
Q2 - 2:55HOUMcDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)46
24.4%
53
75.6%
Q2 - 2:55HOUMcDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)45
23.9%
53
76.1%
Q2 - 3:18ATLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Schroder 4 AST)44
23.0%
53
77.0%
Q2 - 3:24ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
24.8%
51
75.2%
Q2 - 3:26ATLMISS Schroder 22' Jump Shot44
26.6%
51
73.4%
Q2 - 3:31ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
24.8%
51
75.2%
Q2 - 3:33HOUMISS McDaniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
25.6%
51
74.4%
Q2 - 3:41HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
27.4%
51
72.6%
Q2 - 3:44HOUMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
25.6%
51
74.4%
Q2 - 4:02ATLSchroder Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
27.7%
51
72.3%
Q2 - 4:02ATLMISS Schroder Free Throw 1 of 244
28.1%
50
71.9%
Q2 - 4:21HOUMcDaniels Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Harden 7 AST)44
27.7%
50
72.3%
Q2 - 4:26ATLMillsap Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)42
25.5%
50
74.5%
Q2 - 4:41ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
23.4%
50
76.6%
Q2 - 4:43ATLMISS Schroder 1' Driving Layup42
24.8%
50
75.2%
Q2 - 4:50ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
23.4%
50
76.6%
Q2 - 4:51HOUMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
24.0%
50
76.0%
Q2 - 4:56HOUMcDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
25.5%
50
74.5%
Q2 - 4:58ATLMISS Sefolosha 1' Layup42
24.8%
50
75.2%
Q2 - 5:05HOUMillsap STEAL (3 STL)42
23.7%
50
76.3%
Q2 - 5:17ATLBazemore Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)42
25.9%
50
74.1%
Q2 - 5:23HOUNene 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)42
30.3%
47
69.7%
Q2 - 5:47ATLSchroder 1' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)40
28.1%
47
71.9%
Q2 - 5:55ATLHAWKS Rebound40
30.3%
45
69.7%
Q2 - 5:57HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
31.1%
45
68.9%
Q2 - 6:06HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
33.5%
45
66.5%
Q2 - 6:07ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
32.6%
45
67.4%
Q2 - 6:15HOUBazemore STEAL (1 STL)40
30.5%
45
69.5%
Q2 - 6:27ATLSchroder Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
33.4%
45
66.6%
Q2 - 6:27ATLSchroder Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
33.8%
44
66.2%
Q2 - 6:34HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (14 PTS)40
35.3%
43
64.7%
Q2 - 6:34HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (13 PTS)39
35.0%
43
65.0%
Q2 - 6:34HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 3 (12 PTS)38
34.6%
43
65.4%
Q2 - 6:46ATLMillsap 3' Cutting Layup Shot (10 PTS) (Schroder 3 AST)37
31.0%
43
69.0%
Q2 - 6:56HOUEnnis Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T11)37
32.9%
41
67.1%
Q2 - 6:59ATLSefolosha 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)37
35.9%
41
64.1%
Q2 - 7:09HOUCapela Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Ennis 1 AST)37
38.4%
39
61.6%
Q2 - 7:15ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)35
36.1%
39
63.9%
Q2 - 7:32HOUEnnis 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)35
33.5%
39
66.5%
Q2 - 7:37HOUEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
31.4%
39
68.6%
Q2 - 7:39HOUHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)33
29.7%
39
70.3%
Q2 - 7:58ATLDelaney 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)33
31.4%
39
68.6%
Q2 - 8:18ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
33.5%
37
66.5%
Q2 - 8:20HOUMISS Dekker 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
34.3%
37
65.7%
Q2 - 8:32ATLBazemore Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
36.0%
37
64.0%
Q2 - 8:32ATLBazemore Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
36.6%
36
63.4%
Q2 - 8:54HOUCapela Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T10)33
38.3%
35
61.7%
Q2 - 8:57ATLHoward Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T8)33
40.9%
35
59.1%
Q2 - 8:59ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
38.3%
35
61.7%
Q2 - 9:00HOUMISS Ennis 3' Pullup Bank Shot33
39.1%
35
60.9%
Q2 - 9:16ATLDelaney 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Bazemore 2 AST)33
40.9%
35
59.1%
Q2 - 9:33ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
43.1%
33
56.9%
Q2 - 9:36ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
43.1%
33
56.9%
Q2 - 9:36ATLMISS Howard Putback Layup33
45.0%
33
55.0%
Q2 - 9:40ATLMISS Delaney 19' Running Pull-Up Jump Shot33
45.0%
33
55.0%
Q2 - 9:45HOUKorver STEAL (1 STL)33
43.1%
33
56.9%
Q2 - 10:00ATLDelaney 22' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
45.9%
33
54.1%
Q2 - 10:23HOUDekker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)33
48.0%
31
52.0%
Q2 - 10:36ATLDelaney Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T7)30
43.4%
31
56.6%
Q2 - 10:49HOUCapela Foul Turnover (P2.T8)30
40.7%
31
59.3%
Q2 - 10:57HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
43.4%
31
56.6%
Q2 - 10:58ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. Free Throw 2 of 230
43.0%
31
57.0%
Q2 - 10:58ATLHardaway Jr. Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
41.4%
31
58.6%
Q2 - 11:02HOUMuscala STEAL (1 STL)30
43.0%
30
57.0%
Q2 - 11:17ATLHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T6)30
45.4%
30
54.6%
Q2 - 11:31ATLHAWKS Rebound30
43.0%
30
57.0%
Q2 - 11:31HOUMISS Dekker 2' Layup30
43.8%
30
56.2%
Q2 - 11:36ATLMuscala Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)30
45.5%
30
54.5%
Q2 - 11:43ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
43.0%
30
57.0%
Q2 - 11:44HOUMISS Brewer 10' Pullup Jump Shot30
43.8%
30
56.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU30
45.5%
30
54.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound30
43.0%
30
57.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 37' 3PT Running Pull-Up Jump Shot30
44.7%
30
55.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)30
43.2%
30
56.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0HOUHarden 5' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)29
40.9%
30
59.1%
Q1 - 0:24.0ATLMuscala 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Delaney 1 AST)27
38.0%
30
62.0%
Q1 - 0:32.0HOUMcDaniels Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)27
43.2%
27
56.8%
Q1 - 0:41.0ATLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Hardaway Jr. 1 AST)25
40.3%
27
59.7%
Q1 - 0:51.0HOUSefolosha STEAL (2 STL)25
43.2%
25
56.8%
Q1 - 1:03ATLDelaney Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T4)25
45.0%
25
55.0%
Q1 - 1:09ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
43.2%
25
56.8%
Q1 - 1:11HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
43.7%
25
56.3%
Q1 - 1:27HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
44.9%
25
55.1%
Q1 - 1:28ATLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 225
44.7%
25
55.3%
Q1 - 1:28ATLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
43.6%
25
56.4%
Q1 - 1:46HOUMcDaniels 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)25
45.5%
24
54.5%
Q1 - 1:55HOUMcDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
42.6%
24
57.4%
Q1 - 1:58ATLMISS Millsap 14' Fadeaway Jumper23
42.1%
24
57.9%
Q1 - 2:22HOUAriza Dunk (4 PTS)23
41.0%
24
59.0%
Q1 - 2:25ATLMuscala Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)21
38.5%
24
61.5%
Q1 - 2:26HOUSchroder STEAL (1 STL)21
36.6%
24
63.4%
Q1 - 2:36ATLSefolosha 22' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)21
38.5%
24
61.5%
Q1 - 2:59HOUMillsap STEAL (2 STL)21
41.0%
22
59.0%
Q1 - 3:01HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
43.2%
22
56.8%
Q1 - 3:02ATLMISS Millsap 1' Putback Layup21
42.4%
22
57.6%
Q1 - 3:03ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
40.7%
22
59.3%
Q1 - 3:06ATLMISS Millsap Layup21
42.4%
22
57.6%
Q1 - 3:17HOUHarden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)21
40.7%
22
59.3%
Q1 - 3:33HOUNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)18
36.7%
22
63.3%
Q1 - 3:33HOUMillsap BLOCK (1 BLK)18
35.1%
22
64.9%
Q1 - 3:43ATLMillsap Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Muscala 1 AST)18
36.7%
22
63.3%
Q1 - 3:52HOUAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)18
38.6%
20
61.4%
Q1 - 4:06ATLSchroder Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)15
34.7%
20
65.3%
Q1 - 4:18ATLHAWKS Rebound15
36.4%
18
63.6%
Q1 - 4:18HOUMISS Harden Driving Layup15
37.1%
18
62.9%
Q1 - 4:32ATLSefolosha Running Dunk (2 PTS)15
38.8%
18
61.2%
Q1 - 4:37HOUSefolosha STEAL (1 STL)15
40.6%
16
59.4%
Q1 - 4:51HOUNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
43.1%
16
56.9%
Q1 - 4:52ATLMISS Millsap 6' Driving Hook Shot15
42.3%
16
57.7%
Q1 - 5:14ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
40.7%
16
59.3%
Q1 - 5:16HOUMISS Anderson 28' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot15
41.4%
16
58.6%
Q1 - 5:35ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)15
42.9%
16
57.1%
Q1 - 5:42HOUMillsap STEAL (1 STL)15
46.9%
13
53.1%
Q1 - 5:49HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
49.2%
13
50.8%
Q1 - 5:50ATLMISS Millsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
48.5%
13
51.5%
Q1 - 5:58ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
46.9%
13
53.1%
Q1 - 5:59HOUNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
49.2%
13
50.8%
Q1 - 5:59HOUMISS Nene 1' Tip Layup Shot15
47.6%
13
52.4%
Q1 - 6:00HOUMISS Gordon 2' Layup15
47.6%
13
52.4%
Q1 - 6:11HOUNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
48.7%
13
51.3%
Q1 - 6:12HOUKorver BLOCK (1 BLK)15
47.2%
13
52.8%
Q1 - 6:23ATLBazemore 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)15
48.7%
13
51.3%
Q1 - 6:41ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
50.6%
11
49.4%
Q1 - 6:42HOUMISS Gordon 3PT Jump Shot15
51.2%
11
48.8%
Q1 - 6:46HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
52.7%
11
47.3%
Q1 - 6:48ATLMISS Bazemore 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot15
52.1%
11
47.9%
Q1 - 7:07HOUAriza 3' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)15
50.0%
11
50.0%
Q1 - 7:20ATLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Schroder 2 AST)13
48.5%
11
51.5%
Q1 - 7:36HOUAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)13
50.1%
9
49.9%
Q1 - 7:46ATLKorver Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)10
46.6%
9
53.4%
Q1 - 7:48ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
44.4%
9
55.6%
Q1 - 7:50ATLMISS Schroder 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot10
45.9%
9
54.1%
Q1 - 8:01ATLHAWKS Rebound10
44.6%
9
55.4%
Q1 - 8:02HOUMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
45.2%
9
54.8%
Q1 - 8:11ATLHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T1)10
46.7%
9
53.3%
Q1 - 8:33HOUAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)10
44.6%
9
55.4%
Q1 - 8:40HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
41.1%
9
58.9%
Q1 - 8:43ATLMISS Millsap 17' Pullup Jump Shot7
40.5%
9
59.5%
Q1 - 9:07HOUCapela 2' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)7
38.9%
9
61.1%
Q1 - 9:18ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)5
37.5%
9
62.5%
Q1 - 9:38HOUHarden 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)5
40.7%
6
59.3%
Q1 - 9:43ATLMillsap Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Bazemore 1 AST)2
37.5%
6
62.5%
Q1 - 9:53HOUHoward STEAL (1 STL)2
38.9%
4
61.1%
Q1 - 10:27ATLMillsap 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Schroder 1 AST)2
40.9%
4
59.1%
Q1 - 10:31ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
42.5%
2
57.5%
Q1 - 10:32HOUMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
43.1%
2
56.9%
Q1 - 10:42ATLMillsap 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
44.6%
2
55.4%
Q1 - 10:52ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
46.2%
0
53.8%
Q1 - 10:55HOUMISS Anderson 18' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot2
46.8%
0
53.2%
Q1 - 11:16HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
47.9%
0
52.1%
Q1 - 11:19ATLMISS Schroder 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot2
47.4%
0
52.6%
Q1 - 11:30HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
46.2%
0
53.8%
Q1 - 11:42HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.3%
0
55.7%
Q1 - 11:44ATLMISS Korver 18' Jump Shot0
43.8%
0
56.2%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Howard vs. Capela: Tip to Schroder0
42.7%
0
57.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.05 52.7%
ATL
1.13 56.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
17
34
50%
ATL
25
34
74%
Midrange
HOU
8
15
53%
ATL
12
31
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
12
18.0
36
33%
50%
ATL
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
Free Throws
HOU
11
13
85%
ATL
14
24
58%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden3068%15.0 / 22
K. McDaniels1393%6.5 / 7
R. Anderson1246%6.0 / 13
C. Capela1286%6.0 / 7
T. Ariza1050%5.0 / 10
E. Gordon938%4.5 / 12
M. Harrell4100%2.0 / 2
S. Dekker325%1.5 / 6
Nene220%1.0 / 5
T. Ennis250%1.0 / 2
C. Brewer0-0.0 / 3
B. Brown0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Millsap2352%11.5 / 22
K. Bazemore2077%10.0 / 13
D. Howard2067%10.0 / 15
D. Schröder1757%8.5 / 15
K. Korver1083%5.0 / 6
T. Sefolosha850%4.0 / 8
M. Delaney643%3.0 / 7
M. Muscala583%2.5 / 3
T. Hardaway325%1.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
77
+12
-26
89
ATL
84
+14
-19
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.05 52.7%
ATL
1.13 56.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.9
105.4
HOU 94.2 +14.6
ATL 108.7
Pace
100.0
97.0
HOU 106.1 +6.0
ATL 100.1
Avg. Poss. Time
13.8
14.6
HOU 13.6 +0.8
ATL 14.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.5%
50.4%
HOU 50.6%
ATL 57.6% +7.0%
TO %
14.4%
15.6%
HOU 22.3%
ATL 17.3% +5.0%
ORB %
24.6%
23.6%
HOU 27.9%
ATL 29.5% +1.6%
FTrt
30.4
29.5
HOU 15.3
ATL 28.2 +12.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.6%
62.1%
HOU 59.5%
ATL 64.4% +4.9%
STL %
8.1%
8.4%
HOU 8.7%
ATL 16.5% +7.8%
BLK %
7.2%
8.5%
HOU 10.8%
ATL 12.2% +1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.2%
52.8%
HOU 52.7%
ATL 56.6% +3.9%
Rim FG%
61.6%
58.1%
HOU 50.0%
ATL 73.5% +23.5%
Mid FG%
40.5%
40.5%
HOU 53.3% +14.6%
ATL 38.7%
3P %
35.7%
34.1%
HOU 33.3%
ATL 40.0% +6.7%
FT %
76.6%
72.8%
HOU 84.6% +26.3%
ATL 58.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
37.6%
HOU 40.0%
ATL 40.0%
Mid Att. %
16.1%
31.5%
HOU 17.6% +18.8%
ATL 36.5%
3P Att. %
46.2%
30.9%
HOU 42.4% +18.8%
ATL 23.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.04 and 3.04.
Game TotalsHOUATL
Possessions103103
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points97112
Rebounds4344
Assists2229
Steals917
Blocks76
Turnovers (Team)26 (0)19 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (0)13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)31 (5)
Field Goals37-8545-85
At-the-Rim FG17-3425-34
Midrange FG8-1512-31
2-Point FG25-4937-65
3-Point FG12-368-20
Free Throws11-1314-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 220 · 27
36.9
30
68%
9
11
3
0
8
4
1
8
6-7
86%
6-11
55%
4-8
50%
F · 6'8" 215 · 31
31.2
10
50%
3
3
2
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-7
29%
F · 6'10" 240 · 29
31.2
12
46%
3
0
0
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
4-10
40%
G · 6'3" 215 · 28
30.3
9
38%
2
2
0
3
2
3
0
2
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
0-4
0%
C · 6'10" 256 · 22
21.1
12
86%
10
0
1
0
4
5
1
9
0-0
-
6-7
86%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24
19.1
13
93%
2
0
0
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 230 · 22
16.8
3
25%
4
3
1
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 186 · 31
15.2
0
0%
0
0
2
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 23
15.2
4
100%
3
2
0
1
2
3
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34
11.7
2
20%
5
0
0
1
1
3
4
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 194 · 22
6.7
2
50%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
· 6'2" 175 · 32
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 24
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#2 · G · 6'1" 185 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 6'10" 245 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
53%
43
22
9
7
26
0
12
31
11-13
85%
25-49
51%
12-36
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.