FinalWin Prob.pScore
2141%106
86
1659%109
103
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
88.797103.8
DET logo DET
106.29791.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET86
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0DENMurray 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)86
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0DENNuggets Rebound84
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0DETMISS Hilliard 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0DETMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0DENMISS Hernangomez 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:41.0DETUdrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hilliard 2 AST)84
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0DENMurray 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06DETMISS Marjanovic 13' Jump Shot82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20DENHernangomez 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34DETMarjanovic 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Hilliard 1 AST)79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51DETEllenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51DENMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04DETMISS Gbinije 17' Jump Shot79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28DENArthur 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37DETDrummond Alley Oop Layup (19 PTS) (Smith 8 AST)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02DENMISS Arthur 16' Jump Shot76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14DENNuggets Rebound76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15DENHarris BLOCK (2 BLK)76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18DETMISS Smith 9' Jump Shot76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38DENMurray 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14DENMISS Murray 17' Jump Shot74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:21DETMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26DETMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41DENSmith STEAL (3 STL)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54DETJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:08DENHernangomez Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:08DENHernangomez Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:11DENMudiay Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)72
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:20DETJohnson 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:38DENNurkic 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Mudiay 3 AST)71
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:51DETJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 7 AST)69
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01DENMISS Arthur 15' Jump Shot69
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 6:10DETDrummond Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)69
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 6:22DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 6:22DENMISS Mudiay 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 6:36DETMarc Morris 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Udrih 6 AST)69
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 6:46DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:16)69
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 6:46DENMISS Nurkic 1' Layup69
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 6:54DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)69
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 6:54DETMISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 7:13DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:15)69
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 7:13DENMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 7:32DETJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)69
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 7:32DETMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 269
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 7:35DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 7:36DENMISS Murray 13' Jump Shot69
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 7:44DENMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 7:45DETMISS Leuer 19' Jump Shot69
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 8:03DENChandler 7' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)69
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 8:15DETMarc Morris Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)67
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 8:15DETMarc Morris Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)67
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 8:31DENJohnson STEAL (1 STL)67
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 8:44DETJohnson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)67
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 9:03DETPISTONS Rebound67
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q4 - 9:03DENMISS Chandler 27' 3PT Jump Shot67
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q4 - 9:06DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)67
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 9:08DENMISS Faried 4' Hook Shot67
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q4 - 9:19DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 9:20DETMISS Marc Morris 17' Jump Shot67
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q4 - 9:39DENJokic Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)67
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q4 - 9:49DETBaynes Foul Turnover (P1.T11)67
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 10:02DENMurray Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T13)67
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q4 - 10:12DETJohnson 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Udrih 5 AST)67
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q4 - 10:29DENBaynes STEAL (1 STL)67
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q4 - 10:38DETUdrih Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)67
3.2%
81
96.8%
Q4 - 10:48DETPISTONS Rebound67
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q4 - 10:48DETMISS Udrih 20' Jump Shot67
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q4 - 10:59DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q4 - 11:00DENBaynes BLOCK (3 BLK)67
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q4 - 11:19DETMarc Morris 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)67
3.7%
81
96.3%
Q4 - 11:31DENChandler Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)67
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q4 - 11:47DETMarc Morris Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)67
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q4 - 11:47DETMarc Morris Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)67
5.8%
78
94.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN67
6.7%
77
93.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound67
8.3%
77
91.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Gallinari 21' Jump Shot67
7.2%
77
92.8%
Q3 - 0:17.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)67
9.2%
77
90.8%
Q3 - 0:17.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
8.7%
77
91.3%
Q3 - 0:31.0DENChandler 1' Tip Layup Shot (19 PTS)67
7.6%
77
92.4%
Q3 - 0:31.0DENChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)65
6.3%
77
93.7%
Q3 - 0:31.0DENMISS Chandler 3' Jump Shot65
5.5%
77
94.5%
Q3 - 0:53.0DETUdrih 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)65
6.2%
77
93.8%
Q3 - 1:07DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
8.5%
75
91.5%
Q3 - 1:08DENMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
8.9%
75
91.1%
Q3 - 1:28DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
10.1%
75
89.9%
Q3 - 1:28DETMISS Harris 6' Jump Shot65
9.6%
75
90.4%
Q3 - 1:48DENHarris 1' Tip Layup Shot (3 PTS)65
8.4%
75
91.6%
Q3 - 1:54DENHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
7.0%
75
93.0%
Q3 - 1:54DENMISS Chandler 12' Jump Shot63
6.2%
75
93.8%
Q3 - 2:21DETLeuer 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)63
7.7%
75
92.3%
Q3 - 2:26DETUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
9.0%
73
91.0%
Q3 - 2:27DENBaynes BLOCK (2 BLK)63
9.5%
73
90.5%
Q3 - 2:36DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
10.7%
73
89.3%
Q3 - 2:36DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 19' Jump Shot63
10.2%
73
89.8%
Q3 - 3:02DENGallinari 18' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)63
9.7%
73
90.3%
Q3 - 3:15DETLeuer 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)61
8.3%
73
91.7%
Q3 - 3:34DENNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)61
9.6%
71
90.4%
Q3 - 3:44DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
7.0%
71
93.0%
Q3 - 3:45DETMISS Drummond 1' Tip Layup Shot58
6.6%
71
93.4%
Q3 - 3:45DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:14)58
5.9%
71
94.1%
Q3 - 3:46DETMISS Smith 1' Layup58
6.6%
71
93.4%
Q3 - 3:55DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:14)58
5.9%
71
94.1%
Q3 - 3:56DENMISS Faried 1' Tip Layup Shot58
6.2%
71
93.8%
Q3 - 3:56DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)58
7.0%
71
93.0%
Q3 - 3:57DENMISS Faried 1' Layup58
6.2%
71
93.8%
Q3 - 4:18DETSmith Driving Layup (11 PTS)58
7.5%
71
92.5%
Q3 - 4:33DENGallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)58
8.6%
69
91.4%
Q3 - 4:47DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)55
6.4%
69
93.6%
Q3 - 4:47DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)55
7.0%
68
93.0%
Q3 - 4:47DETPISTONS Rebound55
7.3%
67
92.7%
Q3 - 4:47DENMISS Harris 17' Jump Shot55
7.8%
67
92.2%
Q3 - 5:02DETSmith 16' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)55
9.4%
67
90.6%
Q3 - 5:09DENLeuer STEAL (1 STL)55
10.7%
65
89.3%
Q3 - 5:29DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)55
12.6%
65
87.4%
Q3 - 5:30DENMISS Harris 19' Jump Shot55
11.2%
65
88.8%
Q3 - 5:41DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)55
12.6%
65
87.4%
Q3 - 5:41DETMISS Drummond Tip Layup Shot55
12.0%
65
88.0%
Q3 - 5:42DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)55
10.7%
65
89.3%
Q3 - 5:43DETMISS Smith 2' Layup55
11.9%
65
88.1%
Q3 - 5:54DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)55
10.6%
65
89.4%
Q3 - 5:54DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)54
10.5%
65
89.5%
Q3 - 6:07DETSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)53
9.9%
65
90.1%
Q3 - 6:07DETMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 253
10.3%
64
89.7%
Q3 - 6:09DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)53
9.8%
64
90.2%
Q3 - 6:09DENMISS Mudiay 14' Jump Shot53
10.2%
64
89.8%
Q3 - 6:13DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)53
11.4%
64
88.6%
Q3 - 6:13DETMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
10.9%
64
89.1%
Q3 - 6:39DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)53
9.7%
64
90.3%
Q3 - 6:39DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)52
9.4%
64
90.6%
Q3 - 6:50DETDrummond 5' Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)51
8.5%
64
91.5%
Q3 - 7:02DENNurkic Offensive Foul Turnover (P3.T9)51
10.1%
62
89.9%
Q3 - 7:02DETDrummond Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (13 PTS)51
11.9%
62
88.1%
Q3 - 7:02DETDrummond Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (12 PTS)51
12.9%
61
87.1%
Q3 - 7:17DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)51
15.5%
60
84.5%
Q3 - 7:18DETMISS Leuer 16' Jump Shot51
14.8%
60
85.2%
Q3 - 7:27DETPISTONS Rebound51
13.3%
60
86.7%
Q3 - 7:27DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 7' Jump Shot51
14.8%
60
85.2%
Q3 - 7:38DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)51
13.3%
60
86.7%
Q3 - 7:44DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
10.3%
60
89.7%
Q3 - 7:45DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
9.8%
60
90.2%
Q3 - 8:09DENChandler 19' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)48
9.2%
60
90.8%
Q3 - 8:29DETCaldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)46
8.2%
60
91.8%
Q3 - 8:47DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
10.5%
57
89.5%
Q3 - 8:48DENMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
11.0%
57
89.0%
Q3 - 9:03DETDrummond Dunk (11 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)46
12.6%
57
87.4%
Q3 - 9:07DENCaldwell-Pope STEAL (1 STL)46
14.3%
55
85.7%
Q3 - 9:17DETHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)46
16.2%
55
83.8%
Q3 - 9:36DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)46
14.2%
55
85.8%
Q3 - 9:37DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
14.8%
55
85.2%
Q3 - 9:59DENNuggets Rebound46
16.2%
55
83.8%
Q3 - 9:59DETMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot46
15.6%
55
84.4%
Q3 - 10:11DENSmith STEAL (2 STL)46
14.6%
55
85.4%
Q3 - 10:14DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
16.6%
55
83.4%
Q3 - 10:14DETMISS Marc Morris 27' 3PT Jump Shot46
16.0%
55
84.0%
Q3 - 10:24DENMarc Morris STEAL (1 STL)46
14.6%
55
85.4%
Q3 - 10:33DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)46
16.6%
55
83.4%
Q3 - 10:34DENMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
15.2%
55
84.8%
Q3 - 10:48DETMarc Morris 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)46
16.6%
55
83.4%
Q3 - 10:58DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
18.5%
53
81.5%
Q3 - 10:58DENMISS Murray 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
19.2%
53
80.8%
Q3 - 11:10DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
21.2%
53
78.8%
Q3 - 11:12DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 146
20.8%
53
79.2%
Q3 - 11:16DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
23.4%
51
76.6%
Q3 - 11:17DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 246
25.7%
51
74.3%
Q3 - 11:17DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 246
24.9%
51
75.1%
Q3 - 11:24DENSmith STEAL (1 STL)46
23.4%
51
76.6%
Q3 - 11:34DETDrummond Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)46
26.1%
51
73.9%
Q3 - 11:47DENJokic 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mudiay 2 AST)46
23.4%
51
76.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET44
21.1%
51
78.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound44
18.8%
51
81.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot44
20.4%
51
79.6%
Q2 - 0:19.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)44
19.9%
51
80.1%
Q2 - 0:23.0DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 2 of 244
20.0%
51
80.0%
Q2 - 0:23.0DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)44
21.4%
51
78.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0DETHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)43
19.2%
51
80.8%
Q2 - 0:42.0DENGallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mudiay 1 AST)43
17.8%
51
82.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0DETSmith Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)40
13.8%
51
86.2%
Q2 - 1:03DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)40
13.4%
51
86.6%
Q2 - 1:03DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 239
13.2%
51
86.8%
Q2 - 1:12DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
12.7%
51
87.3%
Q2 - 1:12DETMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot39
12.5%
51
87.5%
Q2 - 1:30DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)39
12.0%
51
88.0%
Q2 - 1:31DENMISS Mudiay 9' Jump Shot39
12.2%
51
87.8%
Q2 - 1:42DETHarris 6' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)39
12.7%
51
87.3%
Q2 - 1:55DENJokic Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)39
14.9%
49
85.1%
Q2 - 1:57DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
12.7%
49
87.3%
Q2 - 1:58DENMISS Jokic 2' Layup37
12.2%
49
87.8%
Q2 - 2:08DETHarris Driving Layup (7 PTS)37
13.5%
49
86.5%
Q2 - 2:22DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)37
15.1%
47
84.9%
Q2 - 2:35DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
12.0%
47
88.0%
Q2 - 2:35DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
11.7%
47
88.3%
Q2 - 2:50DENChandler 1' Driving Reverse Layup (12 PTS)34
10.9%
47
89.1%
Q2 - 3:04DETLeuer 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 2 AST)32
10.4%
47
89.6%
Q2 - 3:17DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
11.4%
45
88.6%
Q2 - 3:17DENMISS Murray 7' Jump Shot32
11.8%
45
88.2%
Q2 - 3:43DETLeuer Dunk (9 PTS)32
12.8%
45
87.2%
Q2 - 3:45DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)32
14.0%
43
86.0%
Q2 - 3:46DETMISS Harris 7' Jump Shot32
15.2%
43
84.8%
Q2 - 4:04DENNurkic Dunk (8 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)32
14.7%
43
85.3%
Q2 - 4:15DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
13.3%
43
86.7%
Q2 - 4:16DETMISS Leuer 27' 3PT Jump Shot30
12.9%
43
87.1%
Q2 - 4:30DENJokic Layup (2 PTS) (Nurkic 1 AST)30
12.0%
43
88.0%
Q2 - 4:39DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)28
10.8%
43
89.2%
Q2 - 4:39DETMISS Leuer 20' Jump Shot28
10.5%
43
89.5%
Q2 - 4:56DETPISTONS Rebound28
9.8%
43
90.2%
Q2 - 4:56DENMISS Gallinari 20' Jump Shot28
10.1%
43
89.9%
Q2 - 5:04DENNuggets Rebound28
11.2%
43
88.8%
Q2 - 5:04DENDrummond BLOCK (3 BLK)28
10.4%
43
89.6%
Q2 - 5:18DETHarris Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)28
11.2%
43
88.8%
Q2 - 5:31DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
10.1%
43
89.9%
Q2 - 5:31DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
9.8%
43
90.2%
Q2 - 5:40DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)26
9.2%
43
90.8%
Q2 - 5:41DETMISS Harris 18' Jump Shot26
8.9%
43
91.1%
Q2 - 5:55DETHarris Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)26
8.2%
43
91.8%
Q2 - 5:55DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
9.1%
42
90.9%
Q2 - 5:57DENLeuer BLOCK (1 BLK)26
9.4%
42
90.6%
Q2 - 6:13DETLeuer Dunk (7 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)26
10.7%
42
89.3%
Q2 - 6:17DETUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
11.5%
40
88.5%
Q2 - 6:18DENDrummond BLOCK (2 BLK)26
11.9%
40
88.1%
Q2 - 6:29DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
12.9%
40
87.1%
Q2 - 6:29DETMISS Udrih 17' Jump Shot26
12.5%
40
87.5%
Q2 - 6:42DENNurkic 1' Layup (6 PTS)26
11.5%
40
88.5%
Q2 - 6:46DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
10.6%
40
89.4%
Q2 - 6:46DENMISS Mudiay 12' Jump Shot24
9.8%
40
90.2%
Q2 - 6:59DETDrummond Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)24
10.6%
40
89.4%
Q2 - 7:08DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)24
10.2%
40
89.8%
Q2 - 7:10DENMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot24
10.5%
40
89.5%
Q2 - 7:29DETJohnson 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Leuer 3 AST)24
11.2%
40
88.8%
Q2 - 7:52DENChandler 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)24
12.2%
38
87.8%
Q2 - 8:07DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
11.4%
38
88.6%
Q2 - 8:08DETMISS Drummond 5' Hook Shot22
11.1%
38
88.9%
Q2 - 8:20DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
10.3%
38
89.7%
Q2 - 8:20DENMISS Jokic 8' Jump Shot22
10.6%
38
89.4%
Q2 - 8:32DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
11.4%
38
88.6%
Q2 - 8:33DETMISS Marc Morris 17' Turnaround Jump Shot22
11.1%
38
88.9%
Q2 - 8:52DENMudiay Backcourt Turnover (P2.T4)22
10.3%
38
89.7%
Q2 - 8:57DETDrummond 7' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Leuer 2 AST)22
11.4%
38
88.6%
Q2 - 9:15DENNurkic 1' Layup (4 PTS)22
12.7%
36
87.3%
Q2 - 9:18DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
11.7%
36
88.3%
Q2 - 9:19DENMISS Mudiay 3' Jump Shot20
11.0%
36
89.0%
Q2 - 9:26DETMarc Morris 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
11.7%
36
88.3%
Q2 - 9:52DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)20
12.7%
34
87.3%
Q2 - 9:53DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
10.7%
34
89.3%
Q2 - 9:55DENMISS Harris 11' Jump Shot17
10.0%
34
90.0%
Q2 - 10:24DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)17
14.3%
31
85.7%
Q2 - 10:26DETMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
13.9%
31
86.1%
Q2 - 10:47DENMISS Faried 2' Layup17
13.4%
31
86.6%
Q2 - 10:48DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)17
14.3%
31
85.7%
Q2 - 10:49DENBaynes BLOCK (1 BLK)17
13.4%
31
86.6%
Q2 - 11:00DETUdrih Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)17
14.3%
31
85.7%
Q2 - 11:15DENChandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)17
13.3%
31
86.7%
Q2 - 11:32DETUdrih 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
11.3%
31
88.7%
Q2 - 11:45DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
12.2%
29
87.8%
Q2 - 11:45DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
11.9%
29
88.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN12
11.3%
29
88.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound12
11.3%
29
88.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Faried 1' Layup12
10.6%
29
89.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENNuggets Rebound12
11.3%
29
88.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0DENMISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
10.9%
29
89.1%
Q1 - 0:08.0DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
11.3%
29
88.7%
Q1 - 0:09.0DENMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
10.9%
29
89.1%
Q1 - 0:24.0DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
11.3%
29
88.7%
Q1 - 0:26.0DETMISS Marc Morris 16' Fadeaway Jumper12
11.1%
29
88.9%
Q1 - 0:43.0DENHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
10.6%
29
89.4%
Q1 - 0:43.0DENMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 211
10.5%
29
89.5%
Q1 - 0:59.0DENNuggets Rebound11
10.4%
29
89.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0DETMISS Baynes 1' Reverse Layup11
10.2%
29
89.8%
Q1 - 1:06DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
9.9%
29
90.1%
Q1 - 1:07DENMISS Chandler 1' Driving Layup11
10.1%
29
89.9%
Q1 - 1:19DETCaldwell-Pope 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)11
10.5%
29
89.5%
Q1 - 1:36DENFaried Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)11
11.7%
27
88.3%
Q1 - 1:39DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
10.5%
27
89.5%
Q1 - 1:40DENMISS Faried 1' Layup9
10.1%
27
89.9%
Q1 - 1:59DETCaldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Leuer 1 AST)9
10.5%
27
89.5%
Q1 - 2:11DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
12.9%
24
87.1%
Q1 - 2:13DENMISS Chandler 8' Floating Jump Shot9
13.2%
24
86.8%
Q1 - 2:30DETLeuer Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
13.8%
24
86.2%
Q1 - 2:30DETLeuer Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
14.1%
23
85.9%
Q1 - 2:30DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
15.1%
22
84.9%
Q1 - 2:30DETMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot9
15.8%
22
84.2%
Q1 - 2:35DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)9
15.1%
22
84.9%
Q1 - 2:36DENMISS Gallinari 3PT Jump Shot9
15.4%
22
84.6%
Q1 - 2:49DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
16.2%
22
83.8%
Q1 - 2:49DENMISS Chandler 6' Jump Shot9
15.4%
22
84.6%
Q1 - 3:02DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
16.8%
22
83.2%
Q1 - 3:02DETMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot9
16.4%
22
83.6%
Q1 - 3:15DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)9
15.4%
22
84.6%
Q1 - 3:15DENMISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
15.8%
22
84.2%
Q1 - 3:28DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
16.7%
22
83.3%
Q1 - 3:29DETMISS Drummond 6' Hook Shot9
16.3%
22
83.7%
Q1 - 3:43DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)9
15.4%
22
84.6%
Q1 - 3:43DENMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot9
15.8%
22
84.2%
Q1 - 4:04DETDrummond Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T2)9
16.9%
22
83.1%
Q1 - 4:09DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)9
15.5%
22
84.5%
Q1 - 4:11DENMISS Nelson 1' Layup9
15.9%
22
84.1%
Q1 - 4:38DETMarc Morris 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)9
16.9%
22
83.1%
Q1 - 4:52DENChandler 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)9
18.0%
20
82.0%
Q1 - 5:02DETSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
17.6%
20
82.4%
Q1 - 5:14DENMurray 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)7
16.3%
20
83.7%
Q1 - 5:28DETSmith 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)4
14.2%
20
85.8%
Q1 - 5:42DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
15.1%
18
84.9%
Q1 - 5:42DENMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
15.5%
18
84.5%
Q1 - 5:59DETSmith Driving Layup (4 PTS)4
16.3%
18
83.7%
Q1 - 6:09DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
18.1%
16
81.9%
Q1 - 6:10DETMISS Drummond 8' Hook Shot4
19.0%
16
81.0%
Q1 - 6:19DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
18.0%
16
82.0%
Q1 - 6:19DENMISS Jokic 1' Tip Layup Shot4
18.4%
16
81.6%
Q1 - 6:20DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
19.4%
16
80.6%
Q1 - 6:22DENMISS Gallinari 7' Jump Shot4
18.4%
16
81.6%
Q1 - 6:24DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
19.3%
16
80.7%
Q1 - 6:26DETMISS Harris 4' Running Jump Shot4
18.9%
16
81.1%
Q1 - 6:41DENGallinari 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
18.0%
16
82.0%
Q1 - 6:46DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
17.0%
16
83.0%
Q1 - 6:46DENMISS Chandler 22' Jump Shot2
16.1%
16
83.9%
Q1 - 7:00DENNuggets Rebound2
17.0%
16
83.0%
Q1 - 7:01DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
16.8%
16
83.2%
Q1 - 7:18DETHarris 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 1 AST)2
17.7%
16
82.3%
Q1 - 7:29DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)2
18.6%
14
81.4%
Q1 - 7:29DENMISS Murray 3PT Jump Shot2
19.0%
14
81.0%
Q1 - 7:46DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
20.0%
14
80.0%
Q1 - 7:46DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 19' Jump Shot2
19.5%
14
80.5%
Q1 - 8:04DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
18.7%
14
81.3%
Q1 - 8:06DENHarris BLOCK (1 BLK)2
19.1%
14
80.9%
Q1 - 8:22DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
20.1%
14
79.9%
Q1 - 8:22DETMISS Harris 27' 3PT Jump Shot2
19.6%
14
80.4%
Q1 - 8:28DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.7%
14
81.3%
Q1 - 8:29DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
19.1%
14
80.9%
Q1 - 8:42DETCaldwell-Pope 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)2
20.1%
14
79.9%
Q1 - 8:55DENNurkic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)2
21.2%
12
78.8%
Q1 - 9:01DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.7%
12
77.3%
Q1 - 9:02DETMISS Marc Morris 15' Jump Shot2
22.2%
12
77.8%
Q1 - 9:13DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
21.1%
12
78.9%
Q1 - 9:13DENMISS Jokic 7' Jump Shot2
21.6%
12
78.4%
Q1 - 9:28DETSmith 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
22.7%
12
77.3%
Q1 - 9:42DENNurkic 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)2
23.7%
10
76.3%
Q1 - 9:58DETHarris 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
22.7%
10
77.3%
Q1 - 10:21DENMudiay Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)0
23.9%
8
76.1%
Q1 - 10:32DENNuggets Rebound0
25.4%
8
74.6%
Q1 - 10:32DENMISS Mudiay 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
24.3%
8
75.7%
Q1 - 10:55DETDrummond Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)0
25.4%
8
74.6%
Q1 - 11:00DENDrummond STEAL (1 STL)0
26.7%
6
73.3%
Q1 - 11:11DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)0
28.3%
6
71.7%
Q1 - 11:11DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)0
29.1%
5
70.9%
Q1 - 11:14DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.9%
4
70.1%
Q1 - 11:16DENDrummond BLOCK (1 BLK)0
30.3%
4
69.7%
Q1 - 11:39DETCaldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)0
31.3%
4
68.7%
Q1 - 11:46DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
34.6%
1
65.4%
Q1 - 11:48DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 20
36.0%
1
64.0%
Q1 - 11:48DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
35.4%
1
64.6%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Drummond vs. Nurkic: Tip to Harris0
36.3%
0
63.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.82 41.0%
DET
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
16
37
43%
DET
15
23
65%
Midrange
DEN
8
32
25%
DET
18
41
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
7
10.5
25
28%
42%
DET
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
Free Throws
DEN
17
20
85%
DET
16
22
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
W. Chandler2158%10.5 / 18
D. Gallinari1647%8.0 / 17
J. Nurkić1063%5.0 / 8
J. Murray945%4.5 / 10
E. Mudiay630%3.0 / 10
N. Jokić633%3.0 / 9
J. Hernangomez583%2.5 / 3
K. Faried422%2.0 / 9
J. Nelson319%1.5 / 8
G. Harris325%1.5 / 6
D. Arthur350%1.5 / 3
M. Beasley0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Drummond1963%9.5 / 15
M. Morris1563%7.5 / 12
J. Leuer1568%7.5 / 11
K. Caldwell-Pope1359%6.5 / 11
S. Johnson1275%6.0 / 8
I. Smith1139%5.5 / 14
T. Harris941%4.5 / 11
B. Udrih758%3.5 / 6
B. Marjanovic250%1.0 / 2
A. Baynes0-0.0 / 1
D. Hilliard0-0.0 / 1
M. Gbinije0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
81
+23
-16
104
DET
84
+12
-13
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.82 41.0%
DET
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.2
106.0
DEN 88.7 +17.5
DET 106.2
Pace
98.4
95.0
DEN 103.8 +12.7
DET 91.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
15.1
DEN 13.9 +1.9
DET 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.0%
49.2%
DEN 36.7%
DET 51.8% +15.1%
TO %
14.7%
11.9%
DEN 13.5%
DET 13.0% +0.5%
ORB %
27.3%
24.1%
DEN 30.2% +8.2%
DET 22.0%
FTrt
27.6
21.8
DEN 21.3
DET 26.2 +4.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.5%
53.0%
DEN 48.4%
DET 55.0% +6.6%
STL %
7.0%
7.3%
DEN 8.2%
DET 9.3% +1.1%
BLK %
6.3%
6.6%
DEN 3.1%
DET 13.0% +9.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.35 and 2.35.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.4%
50.8%
DEN 41.0%
DET 53.6% +12.6%
Rim FG%
59.4%
58.3%
DEN 43.2%
DET 65.2% +22.0%
Mid FG%
40.2%
42.6%
DEN 25.0%
DET 43.9% +18.9%
3P %
36.8%
33.0%
DEN 28.0%
DET 35.0% +7.0%
FT %
77.4%
71.9%
DEN 85.0% +12.3%
DET 72.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.9%
30.9%
DEN 39.4% +12.0%
DET 27.4%
Mid Att. %
26.2%
42.8%
DEN 34.0% +14.8%
DET 48.8%
3P Att. %
32.9%
26.3%
DEN 26.6% +2.8%
DET 23.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENDET
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points86103
Rebounds4846
Assists1522
Steals89
Blocks29
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (7)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (3)37 (3)
Field Goals31-9440-84
At-the-Rim FG16-3715-23
Midrange FG8-3218-41
2-Point FG24-6933-64
3-Point FG7-257-20
Free Throws17-2016-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 225 · 28
29.1
16
47%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
4-5
80%
3-7
43%
2-7
29%
G · 6'4" 215 · 20
27.5
9
45%
1
2
1
0
4
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 200 · 21
24.1
6
30%
2
3
1
0
4
2
0
2
6-7
86%
0-5
0%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 290 · 22
23.7
10
63%
12
1
2
1
4
3
4
8
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 284 · 22
22.7
6
33%
6
0
1
1
1
3
2
4
0-0
-
3-9
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 29
31.5
21
58%
9
0
0
0
2
1
3
6
2-2
100%
8-14
57%
1-4
25%
G · 6'0" 190 · 35
23.6
3
19%
2
4
3
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 228 · 27
15.7
4
22%
6
1
0
0
0
2
5
1
2-2
100%
1-8
13%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 22
15.6
3
25%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 230 · 21
10.8
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 235 · 29
6.6
3
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 196 · 20
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37
3.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#5 · F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · F-C · 6'9" 255 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
41%
48
15
8
2
16
0
16
32
17-20
85%
24-69
35%
7-25
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.