FinalWin Prob.pScore
2034%100
87
666%105
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
93.59396.8
TOR logo TOR
102.19491.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR87
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)87
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Driving Hook Shot87
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)87
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)87
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIADragic 2' Running Layup (17 PTS)87
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0TORValanciunas Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)85
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0TORPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 1:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)85
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 1:02TORMISS Patterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 1:23MIAWinslow 4' Driving Layup (13 PTS)85
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 1:28TORValanciunas 6' Hook Bank Shot (5 PTS) (DeRozan 4 AST)83
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 1:41TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 1:42MIAValanciunas BLOCK (2 BLK)83
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 1:53TORDeRozan 21' Pullup Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)83
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 2:14MIADragic 4' Driving Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS)83
1.7%
90
98.3%
Q4 - 2:31TORDeRozan 16' Pullup Jump Shot (30 PTS)81
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q4 - 2:53MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P3.T13)81
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 2:55TORValanciunas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)81
4.0%
88
96.0%
Q4 - 3:19MIAWhiteside 2' Hook Shot (21 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)81
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 3:30MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 3:30TORMISS DeRozan 27' 3PT Jump Shot79
1.5%
88
98.5%
Q4 - 3:45MIAMISS Dragic 5' Pullup Jump Shot79
2.0%
88
98.0%
Q4 - 3:45TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 4:09TORDeRozan 6' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (28 PTS)79
2.5%
88
97.5%
Q4 - 4:27TORPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
3.4%
86
96.6%
Q4 - 4:28MIAMISS Winslow 1' Running Layup79
3.9%
86
96.1%
Q4 - 4:34MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)79
5.1%
86
94.9%
Q4 - 4:36TORMISS Lowry 27' 3PT Jump Shot79
4.5%
86
95.5%
Q4 - 4:51TORLowry REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)79
3.4%
86
96.6%
Q4 - 4:51MIAMISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
3.8%
86
96.2%
Q4 - 5:13MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)79
6.4%
86
93.6%
Q4 - 5:14TORMISS DeRozan 17' Pullup Jump Shot79
5.8%
86
94.2%
Q4 - 5:29MIAWhiteside Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T12)79
4.6%
86
95.4%
Q4 - 5:29MIAHeat Rebound79
6.4%
86
93.6%
Q4 - 5:30MIAMISS Johnson 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot79
5.1%
86
94.9%
Q4 - 5:47TORLowry 16' Turnaround Fadeaway (13 PTS)79
6.4%
86
93.6%
Q4 - 6:08TORRAPTORS Rebound79
9.7%
84
90.3%
Q4 - 6:08MIAMISS Winslow Driving Dunk79
10.7%
84
89.3%
Q4 - 6:21MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)79
13.2%
84
86.8%
Q4 - 6:21TORMISS Poeltl 2' Hook Shot79
12.0%
84
88.0%
Q4 - 6:23TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)79
9.7%
84
90.3%
Q4 - 6:24TORMISS Patterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
12.0%
84
88.0%
Q4 - 6:44MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Whiteside 3 AST)79
9.6%
84
90.4%
Q4 - 7:09MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
6.8%
84
93.2%
Q4 - 7:10TORMISS Patterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
6.2%
84
93.8%
Q4 - 7:24MIAWinslow 3' Running Layup (11 PTS)76
5.1%
84
94.9%
Q4 - 7:29TORLowry Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T14)74
4.0%
84
96.0%
Q4 - 7:42TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q4 - 7:43MIAMISS Reed Free Throw 2 of 274
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q4 - 7:43MIAMISS Reed Free Throw 1 of 274
3.6%
84
96.4%
Q4 - 7:44MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
4.0%
84
96.0%
Q4 - 7:44MIAMISS Winslow 4' Driving Hook Shot74
3.2%
84
96.8%
Q4 - 8:02TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)74
4.7%
84
95.3%
Q4 - 8:02TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)74
4.9%
83
95.1%
Q4 - 8:09TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
6.0%
82
94.0%
Q4 - 8:10MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
6.5%
82
93.5%
Q4 - 8:18MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
7.6%
82
92.4%
Q4 - 8:19TORMISS Poeltl 2' Cutting Dunk Shot74
7.1%
82
92.9%
Q4 - 8:32MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)74
6.0%
82
94.0%
Q4 - 8:32MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)73
5.6%
82
94.4%
Q4 - 8:44TORPowell 2' Running Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)72
4.7%
82
95.3%
Q4 - 8:50TORLowry REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)72
6.0%
80
94.0%
Q4 - 8:51MIAMISS Winslow 3' Driving Bank Hook Shot72
6.4%
80
93.6%
Q4 - 9:17TORRoss 14' Driving Floating Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Powell 1 AST)72
8.4%
80
91.6%
Q4 - 9:27TORRAPTORS Rebound72
10.3%
78
89.7%
Q4 - 9:27MIALowry BLOCK (3 BLK)72
11.0%
78
89.0%
Q4 - 9:50MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
12.9%
78
87.1%
Q4 - 9:50TORMISS Ross 3PT Jump Shot72
12.0%
78
88.0%
Q4 - 9:58TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
10.3%
78
89.7%
Q4 - 9:59MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
11.0%
78
89.0%
Q4 - 10:14MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
13.7%
78
86.3%
Q4 - 10:14TORMISS Lowry 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
12.8%
78
87.2%
Q4 - 10:23TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
11.0%
78
89.0%
Q4 - 10:23MIAMISS Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
11.8%
78
88.2%
Q4 - 10:51TORRoss 19' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)72
13.7%
78
86.3%
Q4 - 10:59TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
16.3%
76
83.7%
Q4 - 11:00MIAMISS Richardson 17' Pullup Jump Shot72
17.4%
76
82.6%
Q4 - 11:17MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
20.6%
76
79.4%
Q4 - 11:17TORMISS Powell Free Throw 2 of 272
20.1%
76
79.9%
Q4 - 11:17TORPowell Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)72
17.8%
76
82.2%
Q4 - 11:37TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
20.5%
75
79.5%
Q4 - 11:38MIAMISS Winslow 19' Jump Shot72
21.6%
75
78.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR72
24.4%
75
75.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJohnson 3' Running Layup (11 PTS) (Winslow 4 AST)72
20.4%
75
79.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)70
17.9%
75
82.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0TORRAPTORS Rebound70
15.1%
75
84.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0TORMISS Ross 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
17.0%
75
83.0%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAWhiteside 3' Cutting Layup Shot (19 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)70
15.1%
75
84.9%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
12.6%
75
87.4%
Q3 - 0:35.0TORMISS Joseph 18' Pullup Jump Shot68
11.9%
75
88.1%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAWinslow 3' Running Layup (7 PTS)68
10.5%
75
89.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0TORJoseph Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)66
8.7%
75
91.3%
Q3 - 1:03MIAWinslow 20' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)66
7.9%
75
92.1%
Q3 - 1:14MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
6.6%
75
93.4%
Q3 - 1:15TORMISS DeRozan 18' Pullup Jump Shot64
6.2%
75
93.8%
Q3 - 1:28MIAJohnson 2' Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Winslow 3 AST)64
5.4%
75
94.6%
Q3 - 1:45TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)62
4.5%
75
95.5%
Q3 - 1:45TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)62
4.6%
74
95.4%
Q3 - 1:58MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)62
5.4%
73
94.6%
Q3 - 2:13TORPatterson 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)59
4.2%
73
95.8%
Q3 - 2:34MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)59
4.9%
71
95.1%
Q3 - 2:34MIAWhiteside 3' Putback Layup (17 PTS)59
4.9%
71
95.1%
Q3 - 2:35MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Layup57
3.6%
71
96.4%
Q3 - 2:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)57
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q3 - 2:37TORLowry Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)57
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q3 - 2:37MIAMISS Johnson 2' Layup57
3.6%
71
96.4%
Q3 - 2:43MIALowry STEAL (3 STL)57
3.4%
71
96.6%
Q3 - 2:51MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q3 - 2:52TORMISS Lowry 19' Step Back Jump Shot57
3.9%
71
96.1%
Q3 - 3:03TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q3 - 3:03MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q3 - 3:12MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)57
4.6%
71
95.4%
Q3 - 3:13TORMISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot57
4.3%
71
95.7%
Q3 - 3:39MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)57
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q3 - 3:39MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)56
3.6%
71
96.4%
Q3 - 3:55TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)55
3.2%
71
96.8%
Q3 - 3:55TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)55
3.3%
70
96.7%
Q3 - 4:03TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)55
4.0%
69
96.0%
Q3 - 4:04MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Hook Shot55
4.3%
69
95.7%
Q3 - 4:07MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)55
4.9%
69
95.1%
Q3 - 4:08MIAMISS Dragic 13' Pullup Jump Shot55
4.3%
69
95.7%
Q3 - 4:29TORDeRozan 3' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (22 PTS)55
4.9%
69
95.1%
Q3 - 4:39TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
5.6%
67
94.4%
Q3 - 4:40MIAMISS Waiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
5.9%
67
94.1%
Q3 - 4:56MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
6.7%
67
93.3%
Q3 - 4:56TORMISS DeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
6.4%
67
93.6%
Q3 - 5:20TORRAPTORS Rebound55
6.0%
67
94.0%
Q3 - 5:21MIAMISS Waiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
6.4%
67
93.6%
Q3 - 5:36MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
7.2%
67
92.8%
Q3 - 5:37TORMISS Valanciunas 2' Tip Layup Shot55
6.8%
67
93.2%
Q3 - 5:38TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)55
6.0%
67
94.0%
Q3 - 5:38TORMISS Lowry 3' Driving Hook Shot55
6.8%
67
93.2%
Q3 - 5:50TORLowry REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)55
6.0%
67
94.0%
Q3 - 5:50TORMISS Lowry 27' 3PT Jump Shot55
6.8%
67
93.2%
Q3 - 6:11TORRAPTORS Rebound55
6.4%
67
93.6%
Q3 - 6:11MIAMISS Johnson 1' Tip Layup Shot55
6.7%
67
93.3%
Q3 - 6:12MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
7.5%
67
92.5%
Q3 - 6:13MIAMISS Waiters 14' Pullup Jump Shot55
6.7%
67
93.3%
Q3 - 6:46TORLowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST)55
7.5%
67
92.5%
Q3 - 7:07MIAWhiteside Running Reverse Dunk Shot (15 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)55
10.2%
64
89.8%
Q3 - 7:12TORLowry Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)53
9.1%
64
90.9%
Q3 - 7:17MIALowry STEAL (2 STL)53
7.7%
64
92.3%
Q3 - 7:32TORDeRozan 5' Driving Layup (20 PTS)53
9.0%
64
91.0%
Q3 - 7:44MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)53
10.2%
62
89.8%
Q3 - 7:44MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 252
9.7%
62
90.3%
Q3 - 8:03TORDeRozan 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)52
10.8%
62
89.2%
Q3 - 8:18TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
12.0%
60
88.0%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
12.6%
60
87.4%
Q3 - 8:35MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
14.0%
60
86.0%
Q3 - 8:35TORMISS DeRozan 19' Pullup Jump Shot52
13.3%
60
86.7%
Q3 - 8:50MIAWinslow 21' Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Whiteside 2 AST)52
12.0%
60
88.0%
Q3 - 9:10TORDeRozan 14' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)50
10.9%
60
89.1%
Q3 - 9:33MIAWaiters 19' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)50
12.3%
58
87.7%
Q3 - 9:48TORSiakam Running Alley Oop Dunk Shot (8 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)48
10.9%
58
89.1%
Q3 - 9:53MIAValanciunas STEAL (1 STL)48
12.3%
56
87.7%
Q3 - 10:13TORSiakam 1' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)48
14.3%
56
85.7%
Q3 - 10:18TORLowry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)48
16.0%
54
84.0%
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Running Jump Shot48
16.6%
54
83.4%
Q3 - 10:26MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
18.1%
54
81.9%
Q3 - 10:27TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot48
17.4%
54
82.6%
Q3 - 10:41TORSiakam REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
16.0%
54
84.0%
Q3 - 10:43MIALowry BLOCK (2 BLK)48
16.6%
54
83.4%
Q3 - 11:02TORDeRozan 9' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)48
18.1%
54
81.9%
Q3 - 11:20MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)48
20.1%
52
79.9%
Q3 - 11:49TORLowry Foul Turnover (P2.T9)46
18.1%
52
81.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR46
16.1%
52
83.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound46
16.1%
52
83.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS DeRozan 21' Pullup Jump Shot46
17.5%
52
82.5%
Q2 - 0:08.0TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
16.9%
52
83.1%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAValanciunas BLOCK (1 BLK)46
17.2%
52
82.8%
Q2 - 0:31.0TORPowell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)46
18.1%
52
81.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
23.1%
49
76.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0TORMISS DeRozan 18' Jump Shot46
24.2%
49
75.8%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)46
23.1%
49
76.9%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)45
22.5%
49
77.5%
Q2 - 1:03MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
20.3%
49
79.7%
Q2 - 1:04TORMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
20.0%
49
80.0%
Q2 - 1:14TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)44
19.3%
49
80.7%
Q2 - 1:14MIAMISS Winslow 4' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot44
19.6%
49
80.4%
Q2 - 1:30TORJoseph 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)44
20.3%
49
79.7%
Q2 - 1:41TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)44
23.6%
47
76.4%
Q2 - 1:41MIAMISS Whiteside 3' Alley Oop Layup44
23.9%
47
76.1%
Q2 - 1:57MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
24.7%
47
75.3%
Q2 - 1:58TORMISS DeRozan 21' Pullup Jump Shot44
24.4%
47
75.6%
Q2 - 2:16MIAWhiteside 2' Hook Shot (10 PTS)44
23.2%
47
76.8%
Q2 - 2:17MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)42
20.9%
47
79.1%
Q2 - 2:18MIAMISS Winslow 3' Cutting Layup Shot42
19.6%
47
80.4%
Q2 - 2:36MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
20.9%
47
79.1%
Q2 - 2:36TORMISS DeRozan 10' Fadeaway Jumper42
20.3%
47
79.7%
Q2 - 2:50MIAMcGruder 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)42
19.1%
47
80.9%
Q2 - 2:52MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
17.1%
47
82.9%
Q2 - 2:53MIAMISS Dragic 5' Reverse Layup40
16.0%
47
84.0%
Q2 - 3:03MIAHeat Rebound40
17.6%
47
82.4%
Q2 - 3:04MIALowry BLOCK (1 BLK)40
16.3%
47
83.7%
Q2 - 3:18MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
17.6%
47
82.4%
Q2 - 3:18MIAMISS Dragic 18' Pullup Jump Shot40
16.2%
47
83.8%
Q2 - 3:32TORPatterson 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)40
17.6%
47
82.4%
Q2 - 3:33TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
19.1%
45
80.9%
Q2 - 3:34TORMISS Patterson 2' Layup40
20.6%
45
79.4%
Q2 - 3:53MIADragic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)40
19.1%
45
80.9%
Q2 - 4:04TORPoeltl Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
21.2%
45
78.8%
Q2 - 4:04TORPoeltl Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
21.8%
44
78.2%
Q2 - 4:05TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)40
23.2%
43
76.8%
Q2 - 4:06TORMISS Ross 14' Pullup Jump Shot40
24.6%
43
75.4%
Q2 - 4:24TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
23.2%
43
76.8%
Q2 - 4:25MIAMISS Babbitt 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
23.8%
43
76.2%
Q2 - 4:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)40
25.3%
43
74.7%
Q2 - 4:33TORMISS Patterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
24.7%
43
75.3%
Q2 - 4:37TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
23.2%
43
76.8%
Q2 - 4:38TORMISS Ross 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
24.7%
43
75.3%
Q2 - 4:41TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
23.2%
43
76.8%
Q2 - 4:42TORMISS Poeltl 1' Cutting Layup Shot40
24.7%
43
75.3%
Q2 - 4:52TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
23.2%
43
76.8%
Q2 - 4:52MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
23.8%
43
76.2%
Q2 - 5:04TORDeRozan 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)40
25.4%
43
74.6%
Q2 - 5:29MIAWhiteside 6' Hook Bank Shot (8 PTS)40
27.4%
41
72.6%
Q2 - 5:47MIAHeat Rebound38
25.4%
41
74.6%
Q2 - 5:48TORMISS Ross 19' Pullup Jump Shot38
24.7%
41
75.3%
Q2 - 6:02MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)38
23.1%
41
76.9%
Q2 - 6:12MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
19.9%
41
80.1%
Q2 - 6:12TORMISS Ross 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
19.3%
41
80.7%
Q2 - 6:21MIALowry STEAL (1 STL)35
17.8%
41
82.2%
Q2 - 6:30MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)35
19.9%
41
80.1%
Q2 - 6:31TORMISS Joseph 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot35
19.3%
41
80.7%
Q2 - 6:36MIARoss STEAL (1 STL)35
17.8%
41
82.2%
Q2 - 6:39MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
19.9%
41
80.1%
Q2 - 6:43TORMISS Lowry 5' Running Jump Shot35
19.3%
41
80.7%
Q2 - 6:49TORLowry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)35
17.8%
41
82.2%
Q2 - 6:49MIAMISS Dragic 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot35
18.4%
41
81.6%
Q2 - 7:14TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)35
20.1%
41
79.9%
Q2 - 7:19TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
23.5%
38
76.5%
Q2 - 7:20MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Reverse Layup35
24.2%
38
75.8%
Q2 - 7:28MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
25.6%
38
74.4%
Q2 - 7:29TORMISS Patterson 18' Jump Shot35
25.0%
38
75.0%
Q2 - 7:32TORRAPTORS Rebound35
23.5%
38
76.5%
Q2 - 7:32TORMISS Lowry 3' Driving Layup35
25.0%
38
75.0%
Q2 - 7:52TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
23.5%
38
76.5%
Q2 - 7:52MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot35
24.1%
38
75.9%
Q2 - 8:08TORRoss 27' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Joseph 3 AST)35
25.5%
38
74.5%
Q2 - 8:29MIADragic 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)35
29.5%
35
70.5%
Q2 - 8:49TORLowry 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Joseph 2 AST)32
25.5%
35
74.5%
Q2 - 8:55TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
29.5%
32
70.5%
Q2 - 8:56MIAMISS McGruder 3PT Jump Shot32
30.2%
32
69.8%
Q2 - 9:17TORRoss Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)32
31.7%
32
68.3%
Q2 - 9:34MIAJohnson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)32
35.9%
29
64.1%
Q2 - 9:50TORPoeltl 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)30
33.9%
29
66.1%
Q2 - 10:03TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
35.9%
27
64.1%
Q2 - 10:03MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Layup30
36.7%
27
63.3%
Q2 - 10:16TORPoeltl Foul Turnover (P1.T8)30
38.5%
27
61.5%
Q2 - 10:23MIARichardson Foul Turnover (P2.T5)30
35.9%
27
64.1%
Q2 - 10:31TORRoss 20' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)30
38.5%
27
61.5%
Q2 - 10:46MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)30
40.5%
25
59.5%
Q2 - 11:03TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)27
35.5%
25
64.5%
Q2 - 11:07TORLowry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)27
33.3%
25
66.7%
Q2 - 11:08TORMISS Joseph 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
34.8%
25
65.2%
Q2 - 11:18MIAPatterson STEAL (1 STL)27
33.3%
25
66.7%
Q2 - 11:37TORPatterson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)27
35.6%
25
64.4%
Q2 - 11:46TORLowry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
33.3%
25
66.7%
Q2 - 11:47TORMISS Ross 17' Step Back Jump Shot27
34.9%
25
65.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA27
33.3%
25
66.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound27
35.6%
25
64.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot27
34.0%
25
66.0%
Q1 - 0:06.0TORRoss 3PT Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST)27
34.8%
25
65.2%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAPoeltl STEAL (1 STL)27
39.9%
22
60.1%
Q1 - 0:31.0TORDeRozan 12' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)27
41.5%
22
58.5%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)27
44.5%
20
55.5%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)26
44.0%
20
56.0%
Q1 - 1:04TORRoss 18' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
41.5%
20
58.5%
Q1 - 1:12TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
44.3%
18
55.7%
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Richardson 2' Driving Layup25
44.8%
18
55.2%
Q1 - 1:29TORRoss 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)25
46.1%
18
53.9%
Q1 - 1:39TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
51.3%
15
48.7%
Q1 - 1:39MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Turnaround Hook Shot25
51.9%
15
48.1%
Q1 - 2:02TORDeRozan 12' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)25
53.1%
15
46.9%
Q1 - 2:23MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)25
55.6%
13
44.4%
Q1 - 2:29MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
50.8%
13
49.2%
Q1 - 2:29MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
49.3%
13
50.7%
Q1 - 2:46TORDeRozan 19' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS)22
50.8%
13
49.2%
Q1 - 3:08MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
52.0%
11
48.0%
Q1 - 3:08MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 1 of 221
51.4%
11
48.6%
Q1 - 3:23TORDeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T5)21
52.3%
11
47.7%
Q1 - 3:36MIARichardson Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)21
49.9%
11
50.1%
Q1 - 3:50TORValanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)21
52.4%
11
47.6%
Q1 - 3:50TORMISS Valanciunas Free Throw 1 of 221
52.8%
10
47.2%
Q1 - 3:51TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)21
52.2%
10
47.8%
Q1 - 3:51TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
53.9%
10
46.1%
Q1 - 4:05MIADragic 2' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)21
51.3%
10
48.7%
Q1 - 4:11TORDeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)19
49.5%
10
50.5%
Q1 - 4:29MIAJohnson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)19
46.9%
10
53.1%
Q1 - 4:44TORDeRozan 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)17
45.1%
10
54.9%
Q1 - 4:59MIAWhiteside 1' Hook Bank Shot (6 PTS)17
46.9%
8
53.1%
Q1 - 5:17TORDeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)15
43.7%
8
56.3%
Q1 - 5:23TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)15
41.5%
8
58.5%
Q1 - 5:24MIAMISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
42.2%
8
57.8%
Q1 - 5:34MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)15
43.8%
8
56.2%
Q1 - 5:35TORMISS Siakam 6' Turnaround Hook Shot15
43.1%
8
56.9%
Q1 - 6:02MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)15
40.6%
8
59.4%
Q1 - 6:13MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
37.0%
8
63.0%
Q1 - 6:13TORMISS DeRozan 2' Driving Reverse Layup12
36.4%
8
63.6%
Q1 - 6:23TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
35.0%
8
65.0%
Q1 - 6:24MIAMISS Winslow 4' Layup12
35.6%
8
64.4%
Q1 - 6:42TORSiakam 2' Putback Layup (4 PTS)12
37.0%
8
63.0%
Q1 - 6:43TORSiakam REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
38.8%
6
61.2%
Q1 - 6:44TORMISS DeRozan 20' Pullup Jump Shot12
40.2%
6
59.8%
Q1 - 7:07MIAWaiters Palming Turnover (P1.T1)12
37.9%
6
62.1%
Q1 - 7:12MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
40.0%
6
60.0%
Q1 - 7:13TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
39.4%
6
60.6%
Q1 - 7:20TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
37.9%
6
62.1%
Q1 - 7:22TORMISS Lowry 4' Driving Layup12
39.4%
6
60.6%
Q1 - 7:28TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
37.9%
6
62.1%
Q1 - 7:30MIAMISS Babbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
38.6%
6
61.4%
Q1 - 7:42MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
40.1%
6
59.9%
Q1 - 7:42TORMISS Carroll 18' Pullup Jump Shot12
39.4%
6
60.6%
Q1 - 8:04MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)12
37.8%
6
62.2%
Q1 - 8:12MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
34.5%
6
65.5%
Q1 - 8:13MIAMISS Winslow 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot9
33.2%
6
66.8%
Q1 - 8:36TORSiakam 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)9
34.5%
6
65.5%
Q1 - 8:59MIABabbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)9
36.0%
4
64.0%
Q1 - 9:11MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
32.7%
4
67.3%
Q1 - 9:11TORMISS Siakam 21' Jump Shot6
32.1%
4
67.9%
Q1 - 9:30TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
30.7%
4
69.3%
Q1 - 9:31MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 16
31.0%
4
69.0%
Q1 - 9:47TORValanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
29.5%
4
70.5%
Q1 - 9:47TORValanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
29.8%
3
70.2%
Q1 - 9:55TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
30.7%
2
69.3%
Q1 - 9:56MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Tip Layup Shot4
31.3%
2
68.7%
Q1 - 9:57MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
32.7%
2
67.3%
Q1 - 9:58MIAMISS Waiters 4' Driving Reverse Layup4
31.3%
2
68.7%
Q1 - 10:15TORSiakam 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)4
32.4%
2
67.6%
Q1 - 10:35MIAWaiters 14' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
30.7%
2
69.3%
Q1 - 10:44MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
29.3%
2
70.7%
Q1 - 10:45MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot2
28.1%
2
71.9%
Q1 - 10:54TORDeRozan Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T1)2
29.3%
2
70.7%
Q1 - 11:02TORSiakam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.7%
2
72.3%
Q1 - 11:02MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Turnaround Hook Shot2
28.1%
2
71.9%
Q1 - 11:16TORDeRozan 15' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
29.0%
2
71.0%
Q1 - 11:40MIAWhiteside 3' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
30.7%
0
69.3%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Valanciunas vs. Whiteside: Tip to Winslow0
29.1%
0
70.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.3%
TOR
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
45
42%
TOR
12
22
55%
Midrange
MIA
6
15
40%
TOR
19
37
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
28
32%
48%
TOR
6
9.0
25
24%
36%
Free Throws
MIA
10
15
67%
TOR
16
18
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside2155%10.5 / 19
G. Dragic1757%8.5 / 15
T. Johnson1673%8.0 / 11
J. Winslow1333%6.5 / 20
J. Johnson1161%5.5 / 9
D. Waiters425%2.0 / 8
L. Babbitt330%1.5 / 5
R. McGruder250%1.0 / 2
J. Richardson0-0.0 / 4
W. Reed0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan3459%17.0 / 29
T. Ross2067%10.0 / 15
K. Lowry1341%6.5 / 16
P. Siakam867%4.0 / 6
N. Powell6100%3.0 / 3
J. Valančiūnas563%2.5 / 4
P. Patterson425%2.0 / 8
J. Poeltl440%2.0 / 5
C. Joseph225%1.0 / 4
D. Carroll0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+15
-13
95
TOR
79
+16
-15
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.3%
TOR
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
112.2
MIA 93.5 +8.6
TOR 102.1
Pace
95.0
94.8
MIA 96.8 +5.5
TOR 91.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.3
MIA 14.9 +0.9
TOR 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
51.7%
MIA 43.8%
TOR 47.6% +3.8%
TO %
13.2%
12.4%
MIA 12.1% +2.7%
TOR 14.8%
ORB %
24.2%
24.9%
MIA 24.5%
TOR 29.5% +5.0%
FTrt
25.1
29.3
MIA 17.0
TOR 21.4 +4.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
47.2%
MIA 55.9% +18.1%
TOR 37.8%
STL %
7.5%
8.7%
MIA 10.8% +3.4%
TOR 7.4%
BLK %
9.3%
8.8%
MIA 8.5% +0.2%
TOR 8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
54.4%
MIA 45.3%
TOR 50.0% +4.7%
Rim FG%
59.2%
58.9%
MIA 42.2%
TOR 54.5% +12.3%
Mid FG%
39.4%
42.6%
MIA 40.0%
TOR 51.4% +11.4%
3P %
36.5%
36.3%
MIA 32.1% +8.1%
TOR 24.0%
FT %
70.6%
79.6%
MIA 66.7%
TOR 88.9% +22.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
34.6%
MIA 51.1% +24.9%
TOR 26.2%
Mid Att. %
33.1%
36.5%
MIA 17.0% +27.0%
TOR 44.0%
3P Att. %
31.4%
28.9%
MIA 31.8% +2.1%
TOR 29.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes23.124.7
Points8796
Rebounds4350
Assists1914
Steals107
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)37 (4)
Field Goals34-8837-84
At-the-Rim FG19-4512-22
Midrange FG6-1519-37
2-Point FG25-6031-59
3-Point FG9-286-25
Free Throws10-1516-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 225 · 21
38.8
13
33%
3
4
2
0
1
2
1
2
3-4
75%
5-16
31%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
37.5
21
55%
16
3
2
1
3
5
5
11
1-3
33%
10-18
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
36.4
17
57%
5
5
1
0
4
2
1
4
2-2
100%
3-9
33%
3-5
60%
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
26.7
3
30%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-5
20%
G · 6'4" 215 · 25
23.8
4
25%
2
3
1
1
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 186 · 24
29.8
16
73%
4
2
3
2
1
4
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
19.4
11
61%
3
2
0
1
1
4
1
2
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
11.6
0
0%
1
0
1
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
· 6'11" 245 · 26
10.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25
5.6
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
F · 6'8" 240 · 25
· 6'10" 240 · 30
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#2 · G · 6'5" 200 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
45%
43
19
10
5
13
0
12
31
10-15
67%
25-60
42%
9-28
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.