FinalWin Prob.pScore
1634%110
102
566%116
105
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
112.19191.8
TOR logo TOR
114.19291.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENTOR
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN102
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0DENMISS Mudiay 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 0:12.0TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)102
5.7%
105
94.3%
Q4 - 0:12.0TORRAPTORS Rebound102
1.8%
105
98.2%
Q4 - 0:12.0TORMISS Lowry 18' Fadeaway Jumper102
4.0%
105
96.0%
Q4 - 0:36.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)102
3.0%
105
97.0%
Q4 - 0:37.0DENMISS Gallinari 28' 3PT Jump Shot102
4.1%
105
95.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0TORLowry 3' Driving Layup (29 PTS)102
11.3%
105
88.7%
Q4 - 1:07TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)102
20.6%
103
79.4%
Q4 - 1:07TORMISS DeRozan 16' Pullup Jump Shot102
29.7%
103
70.3%
Q4 - 1:21DENNurkic Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)102
21.3%
103
78.7%
Q4 - 1:21DENMISS Nurkic Free Throw 1 of 2101
18.7%
103
81.3%
Q4 - 1:21DENNuggets Rebound101
22.8%
103
77.2%
Q4 - 1:21DENMISS Nelson 11' Pullup Jump Shot101
15.9%
103
84.1%
Q4 - 1:36TORLowry 14' Step Back Jump Shot (27 PTS)101
23.4%
103
76.6%
Q4 - 2:00TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)101
33.0%
101
67.0%
Q4 - 2:00DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
36.7%
101
63.3%
Q4 - 2:21TORDeRozan 2' Driving Layup (33 PTS)101
47.4%
101
52.6%
Q4 - 2:34TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)101
53.9%
99
46.1%
Q4 - 2:35TORMISS Valanciunas 2' Tip Layup Shot101
65.3%
99
34.7%
Q4 - 2:36TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)101
53.9%
99
46.1%
Q4 - 2:37TORMISS Lowry 29' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot101
65.3%
99
34.7%
Q4 - 2:54DENMudiay 5' Driving Hook Shot (16 PTS)101
53.1%
99
46.9%
Q4 - 3:10DENNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)99
46.4%
99
53.6%
Q4 - 3:10DENMISS Nelson 15' Pullup Jump Shot99
36.2%
99
63.8%
Q4 - 3:24TORLowry 4' Driving Layup (25 PTS)99
46.6%
99
53.4%
Q4 - 3:39TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)99
51.8%
97
48.2%
Q4 - 3:39DENMISS Mudiay 11' Pullup Jump Shot99
54.8%
97
45.2%
Q4 - 3:55DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)99
62.0%
97
38.0%
Q4 - 3:57TORMISS DeRozan 4' Driving Floating Jump Shot99
59.1%
97
40.9%
Q4 - 4:14DENDeRozan STEAL (1 STL)99
52.3%
97
47.7%
Q4 - 4:14DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)99
62.2%
97
37.8%
Q4 - 4:14DENMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot99
55.4%
97
44.6%
Q4 - 4:26TORDeRozan 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (31 PTS)99
62.4%
97
37.6%
Q4 - 4:43TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)99
70.4%
95
29.6%
Q4 - 4:44DENMISS Mudiay 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup99
72.9%
95
27.1%
Q4 - 4:53TORLowry Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)99
78.2%
95
21.8%
Q4 - 5:01TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)99
65.7%
95
34.3%
Q4 - 5:02DENValanciunas BLOCK (1 BLK)99
68.1%
95
31.9%
Q4 - 5:33TORLowry 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)99
73.5%
95
26.5%
Q4 - 5:56DENNelson 8' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (13 PTS)99
79.3%
93
20.7%
Q4 - 6:06DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)97
70.0%
93
30.0%
Q4 - 6:07TORMISS Joseph 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot97
67.7%
93
32.3%
Q4 - 6:20TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)97
62.3%
93
37.7%
Q4 - 6:20DENMISS Murray 1' Driving Layup97
64.8%
93
35.2%
Q4 - 6:27DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)97
70.2%
93
29.8%
Q4 - 6:28TORMISS Poeltl 2' Putback Layup97
67.9%
93
32.1%
Q4 - 6:29TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)97
62.4%
93
37.6%
Q4 - 6:30TORMISS Lowry 9' Jump Shot97
67.9%
93
32.1%
Q4 - 6:37TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
62.4%
93
37.6%
Q4 - 6:38DENMISS Faried 7' Driving Hook Shot97
64.9%
93
35.1%
Q4 - 6:57DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)97
70.3%
93
29.7%
Q4 - 6:58TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 2 of 297
69.3%
93
30.7%
Q4 - 6:58TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)97
64.8%
93
35.2%
Q4 - 7:21DENNurkic Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)97
66.5%
92
33.5%
Q4 - 7:36TORLowry 4' Driving Layup (20 PTS)94
54.0%
92
46.0%
Q4 - 7:53DENNelson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)94
60.2%
90
39.8%
Q4 - 8:11DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)91
45.6%
90
54.4%
Q4 - 8:11TORMISS Lowry 2' Driving Hook Shot91
43.7%
90
56.3%
Q4 - 8:23DENJoseph STEAL (1 STL)91
39.5%
90
60.5%
Q4 - 8:25DENMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
45.6%
90
54.4%
Q4 - 8:26TORMISS Poeltl 1' Alley Oop Layup91
43.7%
90
56.3%
Q4 - 8:50DENChandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)91
39.5%
90
60.5%
Q4 - 9:01DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
28.2%
90
71.8%
Q4 - 9:02TORMISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
26.6%
90
73.4%
Q4 - 9:14DENNelson 12' Driving Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)88
23.3%
90
76.7%
Q4 - 9:26DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)86
19.4%
90
80.6%
Q4 - 9:27TORMISS Poeltl Free Throw 2 of 286
18.9%
90
81.1%
Q4 - 9:27TORPoeltl Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)86
16.8%
90
83.2%
Q4 - 9:27TORRAPTORS Rebound86
19.2%
89
80.8%
Q4 - 9:27TORMISS Ross 24' Jump Shot86
22.1%
89
77.9%
Q4 - 9:44TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
19.2%
89
80.8%
Q4 - 9:45DENMISS Chandler 28' 3PT Jump Bank Shot86
20.5%
89
79.5%
Q4 - 10:10TORJoseph Foul Turnover (P1.T6)86
24.0%
89
76.0%
Q4 - 10:37DENRoss STEAL (1 STL)86
19.7%
89
80.3%
Q4 - 10:41DENMurray Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)86
24.0%
89
76.0%
Q4 - 10:51DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
20.0%
89
80.0%
Q4 - 10:51TORMISS Patterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
18.8%
89
81.2%
Q4 - 10:57TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
16.3%
89
83.7%
Q4 - 10:58DENPoeltl BLOCK (2 BLK)85
17.4%
89
82.6%
Q4 - 11:09DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)85
20.6%
89
79.4%
Q4 - 11:11TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 2 of 285
20.1%
89
79.9%
Q4 - 11:11TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)85
17.8%
89
82.2%
Q4 - 11:31TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
20.4%
88
79.6%
Q4 - 11:32DENMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 285
20.9%
88
79.1%
Q4 - 11:32DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)85
23.4%
88
76.6%
Q4 - 11:50DENNuggets Rebound84
20.6%
88
79.4%
Q4 - 11:50TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
19.5%
88
80.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN84
17.1%
88
82.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORDeRozan 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (29 PTS)84
20.6%
88
79.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0DENNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)84
24.8%
86
75.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)81
17.8%
86
82.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 281
18.2%
85
81.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0DENFaried 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS)81
17.9%
85
82.1%
Q3 - 0:48.0DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
15.0%
85
85.0%
Q3 - 0:50.0TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 179
14.6%
85
85.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
17.8%
83
82.2%
Q3 - 0:54.0DENPatterson BLOCK (5 BLK)79
18.8%
83
81.2%
Q3 - 0:59.0DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
21.0%
83
79.0%
Q3 - 1:01TORMISS DeRozan 15' Jump Shot79
20.6%
83
79.4%
Q3 - 1:22DENNurkic 6' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (9 PTS)79
18.4%
83
81.6%
Q3 - 1:41TORValanciunas 3' Alley Oop Layup (12 PTS) (Joseph 4 AST)77
15.7%
83
84.3%
Q3 - 2:00DENMudiay 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)77
18.3%
81
81.7%
Q3 - 2:15TORPatterson 4' Hook Shot (3 PTS)75
16.0%
81
84.0%
Q3 - 2:17TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
18.5%
79
81.5%
Q3 - 2:17TORMISS Patterson 7' Driving Hook Shot75
20.6%
79
79.4%
Q3 - 2:41DENMudiay 3' Driving Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)75
18.5%
79
81.5%
Q3 - 3:01TORDeRozan 15' Floating Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Joseph 3 AST)73
16.6%
79
83.4%
Q3 - 3:16DENChandler 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)73
19.0%
77
81.0%
Q3 - 3:26DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
16.5%
77
83.5%
Q3 - 3:27TORMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Step Back Bank Jump Shot71
15.8%
77
84.2%
Q3 - 3:52TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
14.0%
77
86.0%
Q3 - 3:52DENMISS Mudiay 5' Driving Layup71
14.8%
77
85.2%
Q3 - 4:05TORLowry Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T5)71
16.9%
77
83.1%
Q3 - 4:24DENGallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Barton 3 AST)71
14.3%
77
85.7%
Q3 - 4:35DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)68
10.8%
77
89.2%
Q3 - 4:36TORMISS DeRozan 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot68
10.2%
77
89.8%
Q3 - 4:47DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)68
9.0%
77
91.0%
Q3 - 4:47DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)67
8.9%
77
91.1%
Q3 - 4:51DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
7.9%
77
92.1%
Q3 - 4:51TORMISS DeRozan 11' Pullup Jump Shot66
7.5%
77
92.5%
Q3 - 5:12TORRAPTORS Rebound66
7.0%
77
93.0%
Q3 - 5:12TORMISS Patterson Tip Layup Shot66
7.9%
77
92.1%
Q3 - 5:13TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
7.0%
77
93.0%
Q3 - 5:14TORMISS Valanciunas 17' Pullup Jump Shot66
7.9%
77
92.1%
Q3 - 5:39DENJokic 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mudiay 4 AST)66
7.0%
77
93.0%
Q3 - 5:51TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)64
6.1%
77
93.9%
Q3 - 5:51TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)64
6.3%
76
93.7%
Q3 - 5:57TORRAPTORS Rebound64
7.0%
75
93.0%
Q3 - 5:57DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)64
8.3%
75
91.7%
Q3 - 5:57DENMISS Nurkic 1' Tip Layup Shot64
7.4%
75
92.6%
Q3 - 5:57DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)64
8.3%
75
91.7%
Q3 - 5:57DENMISS Nurkic 1' Tip Layup Shot64
7.4%
75
92.6%
Q3 - 5:57DENMISS Gallinari 3' Driving Floating Jump Shot64
7.4%
75
92.6%
Q3 - 6:13TORLowry 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Patterson 2 AST)64
8.7%
75
91.3%
Q3 - 6:25DENPatterson STEAL (1 STL)64
11.4%
72
88.6%
Q3 - 6:41TORLowry 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)64
13.3%
72
86.7%
Q3 - 7:00TORRAPTORS Rebound64
15.1%
70
84.9%
Q3 - 7:01DENPatterson BLOCK (4 BLK)64
16.0%
70
84.0%
Q3 - 7:01DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
17.7%
70
82.3%
Q3 - 7:01DENMISS Gallinari 2' Reverse Layup64
16.0%
70
84.0%
Q3 - 7:14DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)64
17.7%
70
82.3%
Q3 - 7:15TORMISS Lowry 21' Step Back Jump Shot64
16.9%
70
83.1%
Q3 - 7:28DENJokic 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Mudiay 3 AST)64
15.3%
70
84.7%
Q3 - 7:42TORValanciunas 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Lowry 7 AST)62
13.6%
70
86.4%
Q3 - 7:50DENLowry STEAL (3 STL)62
15.2%
68
84.8%
Q3 - 8:02DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)62
18.0%
68
82.0%
Q3 - 8:03TORMISS Carroll 27' 3PT Jump Shot62
17.2%
68
82.8%
Q3 - 8:18DENNurkic 3' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Jokic 1 AST)62
15.5%
68
84.5%
Q3 - 8:31TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)60
14.0%
68
86.0%
Q3 - 8:31TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)60
14.3%
67
85.7%
Q3 - 8:42DENNurkic Putback Layup (5 PTS)60
15.5%
66
84.5%
Q3 - 8:43DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
14.0%
66
86.0%
Q3 - 8:45DENPatterson BLOCK (3 BLK)58
12.5%
66
87.5%
Q3 - 8:47DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
14.0%
66
86.0%
Q3 - 8:48DENPatterson BLOCK (2 BLK)58
12.5%
66
87.5%
Q3 - 9:07TORValanciunas Cutting Dunk Shot (8 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST)58
14.0%
66
86.0%
Q3 - 9:19DENBarton Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)58
15.8%
64
84.2%
Q3 - 9:19DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)57
15.5%
64
84.5%
Q3 - 9:21DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
14.0%
64
86.0%
Q3 - 9:23TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
13.5%
64
86.5%
Q3 - 9:36DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)56
12.3%
64
87.7%
Q3 - 9:36DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)55
12.1%
64
87.9%
Q3 - 9:47TORDeRozan 10' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)54
10.9%
64
89.1%
Q3 - 10:10TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
12.5%
62
87.5%
Q3 - 10:11DENMISS Nurkic Free Throw 2 of 254
12.7%
62
87.3%
Q3 - 10:11DENMISS Nurkic Free Throw 1 of 254
13.6%
62
86.4%
Q3 - 10:31TORLowry Foul Turnover (P1.T4)54
14.3%
62
85.7%
Q3 - 10:53DENBarton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Mudiay 2 AST)54
12.5%
62
87.5%
Q3 - 11:10TORValanciunas Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)51
10.0%
62
90.0%
Q3 - 11:18TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
8.8%
62
91.2%
Q3 - 11:18DENMISS Mudiay 2' Running Layup51
9.1%
62
90.9%
Q3 - 11:24TORDeRozan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)51
10.0%
62
90.0%
Q3 - 11:46DENGallinari 4' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)51
8.8%
62
91.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN49
7.8%
62
92.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound49
7.8%
62
92.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Jokic Putback Dunk49
7.1%
62
92.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
7.8%
62
92.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Mudiay 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
7.1%
62
92.9%
Q2 - 0:25.0DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
8.1%
62
91.9%
Q2 - 0:25.0TORMISS Joseph 10' Fadeaway Jumper49
7.9%
62
92.1%
Q2 - 0:32.0DENGallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Barton 2 AST)49
7.4%
62
92.6%
Q2 - 0:40.0TORPowell 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)46
5.6%
62
94.4%
Q2 - 0:58.0DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)46
6.5%
60
93.5%
Q2 - 0:58.0DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)45
6.4%
60
93.6%
Q2 - 1:14TORDeRozan 11' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS)44
5.9%
60
94.1%
Q2 - 1:29DENNurkic 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (3 PTS)44
7.0%
58
93.0%
Q2 - 1:50TORValanciunas Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)42
5.8%
58
94.2%
Q2 - 2:02TORPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
5.7%
58
94.3%
Q2 - 2:03DENMISS Mudiay 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
5.9%
58
94.1%
Q2 - 2:16TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)42
6.3%
58
93.7%
Q2 - 2:16TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)42
6.4%
57
93.6%
Q2 - 2:27DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)42
7.2%
56
92.8%
Q2 - 2:34TORJoseph 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)39
5.6%
56
94.4%
Q2 - 2:54DENBarton Running Dunk (8 PTS)39
6.4%
54
93.6%
Q2 - 3:00TORJoseph 5' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (4 PTS)37
5.6%
54
94.4%
Q2 - 3:22DENBarton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
6.7%
52
93.3%
Q2 - 3:22DENMISS Barton Free Throw 1 of 236
6.6%
52
93.4%
Q2 - 3:28DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
6.8%
52
93.2%
Q2 - 3:30TORMISS Valanciunas 11' Jump Shot36
6.5%
52
93.5%
Q2 - 3:40DENMudiay 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)36
6.0%
52
94.0%
Q2 - 4:00DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
5.4%
52
94.6%
Q2 - 4:00TORMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
5.2%
52
94.8%
Q2 - 4:07TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
5.2%
52
94.8%
Q2 - 4:08DENCarroll BLOCK (1 BLK)34
5.3%
52
94.7%
Q2 - 4:16DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)34
5.7%
52
94.3%
Q2 - 4:16TORMISS Joseph 17' Step Back Jump Shot34
5.6%
52
94.4%
Q2 - 4:38DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
5.1%
52
94.9%
Q2 - 4:38DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 1 of 233
5.0%
52
95.0%
Q2 - 4:48TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)33
5.1%
52
94.9%
Q2 - 4:48TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)33
5.2%
51
94.8%
Q2 - 5:03TORRAPTORS Rebound33
5.9%
50
94.1%
Q2 - 5:03DENMISS Nurkic 7' Turnaround Hook Shot33
6.1%
50
93.9%
Q2 - 5:26TORCarroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)33
6.6%
50
93.4%
Q2 - 5:51DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)33
8.1%
47
91.9%
Q2 - 5:51DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)32
7.9%
47
92.1%
Q2 - 5:56DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
7.3%
47
92.7%
Q2 - 5:57TORMISS DeRozan 1' Layup31
7.1%
47
92.9%
Q2 - 6:01TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
6.8%
47
93.2%
Q2 - 6:02TORMISS DeRozan 6' Pullup Jump Shot31
7.4%
47
92.6%
Q2 - 6:18DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)31
6.8%
47
93.2%
Q2 - 6:18DENMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 230
6.7%
47
93.3%
Q2 - 6:24DENMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
7.0%
47
93.0%
Q2 - 6:25TORMISS Lowry 27' 3PT Jump Shot30
6.7%
47
93.3%
Q2 - 6:31TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
6.1%
47
93.9%
Q2 - 6:32DENPoeltl BLOCK (1 BLK)30
6.4%
47
93.6%
Q2 - 6:51DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
6.9%
47
93.1%
Q2 - 6:52TORMISS Patterson Free Throw 2 of 230
6.8%
47
93.2%
Q2 - 6:52TORPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
6.4%
47
93.6%
Q2 - 7:12DENJokic 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)30
7.3%
46
92.7%
Q2 - 7:24TORLowry 9' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)28
6.7%
46
93.3%
Q2 - 7:33TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
7.3%
44
92.7%
Q2 - 7:34DENMISS Nurkic 1' Driving Reverse Layup28
7.5%
44
92.5%
Q2 - 7:49DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
8.1%
44
91.9%
Q2 - 7:49TORMISS Lowry 18' Pullup Jump Shot28
7.8%
44
92.2%
Q2 - 8:15DENLowry STEAL (2 STL)28
7.4%
44
92.6%
Q2 - 8:23DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
8.2%
44
91.8%
Q2 - 8:24TORMISS Joseph 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
8.0%
44
92.0%
Q2 - 8:37DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
7.4%
44
92.6%
Q2 - 8:37DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
7.2%
44
92.8%
Q2 - 8:54TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
6.8%
44
93.2%
Q2 - 8:54TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
6.9%
43
93.1%
Q2 - 8:58TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
7.4%
42
92.6%
Q2 - 8:58DENMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
7.7%
42
92.3%
Q2 - 9:17TORRoss 21' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Joseph 2 AST)26
8.5%
42
91.5%
Q2 - 9:27TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
9.2%
40
90.8%
Q2 - 9:28DENMISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
9.5%
40
90.5%
Q2 - 9:50TORRoss Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)26
10.1%
40
89.9%
Q2 - 9:50TORRoss Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)26
10.3%
39
89.7%
Q2 - 10:02DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
11.3%
38
88.7%
Q2 - 10:02DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
11.1%
38
88.9%
Q2 - 10:16TORJoseph 10' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
10.4%
38
89.6%
Q2 - 10:26TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
11.3%
36
88.7%
Q2 - 10:26DENMISS Jokic 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot24
11.6%
36
88.4%
Q2 - 10:48DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
12.4%
36
87.6%
Q2 - 10:48TORMISS Poeltl 3' Alley Oop Layup24
12.1%
36
87.9%
Q2 - 10:59TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
11.2%
36
88.8%
Q2 - 11:00DENMISS Murray 12' Pullup Jump Shot24
11.6%
36
88.4%
Q2 - 11:26TORRoss 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST)24
12.5%
36
87.5%
Q2 - 11:40TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
14.7%
33
85.3%
Q2 - 11:41DENMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
15.1%
33
84.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR24
16.0%
33
84.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound24
14.7%
33
85.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS DeRozan 36' 3PT Driving Floating Jump Shot24
15.6%
33
84.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0DENJokic Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)24
15.0%
33
85.0%
Q1 - 0:27.0DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
15.9%
33
84.1%
Q1 - 0:27.0TORMISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
15.6%
33
84.4%
Q1 - 0:32.0TORRAPTORS Rebound24
15.0%
33
85.0%
Q1 - 0:32.0TORMISS Joseph 21' Pullup Jump Shot24
15.6%
33
84.4%
Q1 - 0:54.0TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
15.0%
33
85.0%
Q1 - 0:55.0DENMISS Faried 2' Cutting Layup Shot24
15.2%
33
84.8%
Q1 - 1:05TORDeRozan 11' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)24
16.0%
33
84.0%
Q1 - 1:22DENNelson 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)24
17.6%
31
82.4%
Q1 - 1:34TORDeRozan 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS)21
14.7%
31
85.3%
Q1 - 1:51TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
16.3%
29
83.7%
Q1 - 1:51TORMISS DeRozan 19' Pullup Jump Shot21
16.9%
29
83.1%
Q1 - 2:08DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
16.3%
29
83.7%
Q1 - 2:08DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
16.0%
29
84.0%
Q1 - 2:10DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
15.0%
29
85.0%
Q1 - 2:10DENMISS Gallinari 16' Fadeaway Jumper19
14.3%
29
85.7%
Q1 - 2:28TORDeRozan 18' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)19
15.0%
29
85.0%
Q1 - 2:49DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
16.3%
27
83.7%
Q1 - 2:49DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
16.2%
27
83.8%
Q1 - 3:05DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
15.4%
27
84.6%
Q1 - 3:05TORMISS Carroll 12' Pullup Jump Shot17
15.0%
27
85.0%
Q1 - 3:31TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
14.1%
27
85.9%
Q1 - 3:31DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
14.5%
27
85.5%
Q1 - 3:44TORLowry 3' Running Layup (4 PTS)17
15.3%
27
84.7%
Q1 - 3:48TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
16.4%
25
83.6%
Q1 - 3:51DENPatterson BLOCK (1 BLK)17
16.8%
25
83.2%
Q1 - 4:11TORDeRozan 18' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)17
17.8%
25
82.2%
Q1 - 4:27TORRAPTORS Rebound17
18.9%
23
81.1%
Q1 - 4:27DENMISS Mudiay 4' Driving Floating Jump Shot17
19.4%
23
80.6%
Q1 - 4:43TORCarroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)17
20.6%
23
79.4%
Q1 - 4:51TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
23.3%
20
76.7%
Q1 - 4:51TORMISS Siakam 15' Jump Shot17
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q1 - 4:59TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
23.3%
20
76.7%
Q1 - 5:00TORMISS Siakam 1' Tip Layup Shot17
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q1 - 5:02TORSiakam REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
23.4%
20
76.6%
Q1 - 5:02TORMISS Lowry 19' Floating Jump Shot17
24.6%
20
75.4%
Q1 - 5:11TORSiakam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
23.4%
20
76.6%
Q1 - 5:11DENMISS Jokic 2' Layup17
23.9%
20
76.1%
Q1 - 5:25TORCarroll 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)17
25.1%
20
74.9%
Q1 - 5:43DENMudiay 17' Running Pull-Up Jump Shot (5 PTS)17
26.6%
18
73.4%
Q1 - 5:51DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
25.1%
18
74.9%
Q1 - 5:51TORMISS Valanciunas 13' Fadeaway Jumper15
24.6%
18
75.4%
Q1 - 6:10TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
23.5%
18
76.5%
Q1 - 6:11DENMISS Barton 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot15
24.0%
18
76.0%
Q1 - 6:26TORDeRozan 4' Driving Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
25.1%
18
74.9%
Q1 - 6:34DENJokic 2' Tip Layup Shot (6 PTS)15
26.5%
16
73.5%
Q1 - 6:36DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
25.1%
16
74.9%
Q1 - 6:37DENMISS Barton 1' Driving Reverse Layup13
24.0%
16
76.0%
Q1 - 6:47TORValanciunas 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)13
25.1%
16
74.9%
Q1 - 7:14DENBarton 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)13
26.3%
14
73.7%
Q1 - 7:34TORLowry 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)10
23.7%
14
76.3%
Q1 - 7:38DENLowry STEAL (1 STL)10
24.9%
12
75.1%
Q1 - 7:49TORSiakam 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)10
26.6%
12
73.4%
Q1 - 7:59TORSiakam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
27.8%
10
72.2%
Q1 - 7:59DENMISS Nurkic 21' Jump Shot10
28.4%
10
71.6%
Q1 - 8:24TORCarroll 5' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Valanciunas 1 AST)10
29.5%
10
70.5%
Q1 - 8:40TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
30.9%
8
69.1%
Q1 - 8:41DENMISS Nurkic Free Throw 2 of 210
31.2%
8
68.8%
Q1 - 8:41DENNurkic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
32.1%
8
67.9%
Q1 - 8:46DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
31.1%
8
68.9%
Q1 - 8:47TORMISS Valanciunas 3' Layup9
30.6%
8
69.4%
Q1 - 8:57DENBarton 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Mudiay 1 AST)9
29.3%
8
70.7%
Q1 - 9:01DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
27.9%
8
72.1%
Q1 - 9:02TORMISS DeRozan 13' Pullup Jump Shot7
27.3%
8
72.7%
Q1 - 9:10TORDeRozan Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)7
26.1%
8
73.9%
Q1 - 9:17TORDeRozan Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)7
27.5%
7
72.5%
Q1 - 9:29DENJokic 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Nurkic 1 AST)7
29.1%
6
70.9%
Q1 - 9:38TORDeRozan 11' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)5
27.9%
6
72.1%
Q1 - 9:51DENMudiay 26' 3PT Running Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barton 1 AST)5
29.1%
4
70.9%
Q1 - 9:57DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.4%
4
73.6%
Q1 - 9:58TORMISS Siakam 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot2
25.9%
4
74.1%
Q1 - 10:16DENJokic 4' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)2
24.7%
4
75.3%
Q1 - 10:31TORValanciunas 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)0
23.5%
4
76.5%
Q1 - 10:45TORSiakam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.7%
2
75.3%
Q1 - 10:46DENMISS Nurkic 3' Hook Bank Shot0
25.2%
2
74.8%
Q1 - 11:01TORValanciunas Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)0
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 11:17TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.6%
0
72.4%
Q1 - 11:17DENMISS Mudiay 20' Pullup Jump Shot0
28.0%
0
72.0%
Q1 - 11:43DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.0%
0
71.0%
Q1 - 11:43TORMISS Valanciunas 15' Jump Shot0
28.6%
0
71.4%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Valanciunas vs. Nurkic: Tip to0
27.6%
0
72.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.02 51.0%
TOR
1.04 52.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
18
44
41%
TOR
21
32
66%
Midrange
DEN
6
15
40%
TOR
16
40
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
9
13.5
22
41%
61%
TOR
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
Free Throws
DEN
27
35
77%
TOR
19
25
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari1653%8.0 / 15
E. Mudiay1642%8.0 / 19
W. Barton1689%8.0 / 9
J. Nurkić1338%6.5 / 17
J. Nelson1372%6.5 / 9
N. Jokić1267%6.0 / 9
W. Chandler945%4.5 / 10
K. Faried660%3.0 / 5
J. Murray113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan3363%16.5 / 26
K. Lowry2958%14.5 / 25
J. Valančiūnas1250%6.0 / 12
D. Carroll1063%5.0 / 8
T. Ross758%3.5 / 6
C. Joseph638%3.0 / 8
P. Patterson330%1.5 / 5
P. Siakam225%1.0 / 4
N. Powell2100%1.0 / 1
J. Poeltl113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
83
+15
-8
98
TOR
85
+16
-7
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.02 51.0%
TOR
1.04 52.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.2
112.2
DEN 112.1
TOR 114.1 +2.0
Pace
98.4
94.8
DEN 91.8 +0.7
TOR 91.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
15.3
DEN 15.7 +0.1
TOR 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.0%
51.7%
DEN 46.3%
TOR 48.9% +2.6%
TO %
14.7%
12.4%
DEN 7.7%
TOR 7.5% +0.2%
ORB %
27.3%
24.9%
DEN 25.6% +1.7%
TOR 23.9%
FTrt
27.6
29.3
DEN 43.2 +14.8
TOR 28.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.5%
47.2%
DEN 42.4% +3.4%
TOR 39.0%
STL %
7.0%
8.7%
DEN 2.2%
TOR 7.6% +5.4%
BLK %
6.3%
8.8%
DEN 12.5%
TOR 15.3% +2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.4%
54.4%
DEN 51.0%
TOR 52.0% +1.0%
Rim FG%
59.4%
58.9%
DEN 40.9%
TOR 65.6% +24.7%
Mid FG%
40.2%
42.6%
DEN 40.0%
TOR 40.0%
3P %
36.8%
36.3%
DEN 40.9% +15.9%
TOR 25.0%
FT %
77.4%
79.6%
DEN 77.1% +1.1%
TOR 76.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.9%
34.6%
DEN 54.3% +18.0%
TOR 36.4%
Mid Att. %
26.2%
36.5%
DEN 18.5% +26.9%
TOR 45.5%
3P Att. %
32.9%
28.9%
DEN 27.2% +9.0%
TOR 18.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENTOR
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points102105
Rebounds4643
Assists1416
Steals27
Blocks99
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)32 (4)
Field Goals33-8141-88
At-the-Rim FG18-4421-32
Midrange FG6-1516-40
2-Point FG24-5937-72
3-Point FG9-224-16
Free Throws27-3519-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 290 · 22
38.1
13
38%
18
1
1
5
1
2
5
13
3-7
43%
5-14
36%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 28
37.1
16
53%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
8-8
100%
1-6
17%
2-5
40%
G · 6'3" 200 · 21
32.9
16
42%
6
4
0
1
2
1
1
5
3-4
75%
5-13
38%
1-4
25%
G · 6'6" 190 · 26
29.8
16
89%
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
4
4-5
80%
3-5
60%
2-2
100%
F · 6'11" 284 · 22
22.4
12
67%
4
1
0
0
4
4
2
2
0-0
-
6-8
75%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 29
31.3
9
45%
3
1
0
1
0
4
0
3
4-6
67%
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
G · 6'0" 190 · 35
21.5
13
72%
2
1
1
0
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
3-4
75%
F · 6'8" 228 · 27
15.2
6
60%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 20
11.8
1
13%
2
2
0
0
1
3
0
2
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 196 · 20
F · 6'9" 230 · 21
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 23
#14 · G · 6'4" 210 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#0 · F · 6'9" 235 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
51%
46
14
2
9
8
0
11
35
27-35
77%
24-59
41%
9-22
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.