FinalWin Prob.pScore
362%101
106
2238%96
99
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
112.89493.4
MIA logo MIA
104.29595.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA106
100%
99
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)106
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)105
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)104
99.8%
99
0.2%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot104
99.7%
99
0.3%
Q4 - 0:21.0SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)104
98.7%
99
1.3%
Q4 - 0:21.0SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 2103
98.6%
99
1.4%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAWhiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)103
98.5%
99
1.5%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)103
94.8%
99
5.2%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)102
94.3%
99
5.7%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIADragic 1' Running Layup (25 PTS)101
88.1%
99
11.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0SASDragic STEAL (1 STL)101
92.5%
97
7.5%
Q4 - 1:17SASGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)101
95.1%
97
4.9%
Q4 - 1:18MIAMISS Winslow 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
94.0%
97
6.0%
Q4 - 1:41SASLeonard 17' Turnaround Fadeaway (22 PTS)101
89.7%
97
10.3%
Q4 - 2:05MIAJohnson 12' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)99
84.9%
97
15.1%
Q4 - 2:25MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)99
88.3%
95
11.7%
Q4 - 2:26SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 2 of 299
89.2%
95
10.8%
Q4 - 2:26SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)99
91.9%
95
8.1%
Q4 - 2:38MIAWaiters Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P6.T11)98
90.3%
95
9.7%
Q4 - 2:47MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
82.4%
95
17.6%
Q4 - 2:49SASMISS Gasol 1' Putback Layup98
85.3%
95
14.7%
Q4 - 2:50SASGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)98
90.3%
95
9.7%
Q4 - 2:51SASMISS Gasol 2' Cutting Layup Shot98
83.3%
95
16.7%
Q4 - 3:08MIADragic 2' Cutting Layup Shot (23 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)98
88.3%
95
11.7%
Q4 - 3:26SASLeonard 18' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)98
90.9%
93
9.1%
Q4 - 3:37SASSpurs Rebound96
85.1%
93
14.9%
Q4 - 3:38MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
83.5%
93
16.5%
Q4 - 3:54SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)96
79.6%
93
20.4%
Q4 - 3:54SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)95
78.8%
93
21.2%
Q4 - 4:07MIADragic Free Throw 3 of 3 (21 PTS)94
73.4%
93
26.6%
Q4 - 4:07MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 394
74.9%
92
25.1%
Q4 - 4:07MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 3 (20 PTS)94
69.1%
92
30.9%
Q4 - 4:14MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)94
79.7%
91
20.3%
Q4 - 4:15MIAMISS Winslow 4' Jump Shot94
83.9%
91
16.1%
Q4 - 4:24SASWinslow STEAL (2 STL)94
79.7%
91
20.3%
Q4 - 4:24MIAWinslow Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)94
85.6%
91
14.4%
Q4 - 4:49SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Dedmon 1 AST)94
79.8%
91
20.2%
Q4 - 5:01SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)91
65.3%
91
34.7%
Q4 - 5:02SASMISS Leonard 12' Fadeaway Jumper91
59.6%
91
40.4%
Q4 - 5:17MIAWhiteside 7' Hook Shot (27 PTS)91
65.3%
91
34.7%
Q4 - 5:30MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:14)91
72.1%
89
27.9%
Q4 - 5:31SASWinslow BLOCK (1 BLK)91
74.3%
89
25.7%
Q4 - 5:48MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)91
78.7%
89
21.3%
Q4 - 5:48MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)91
79.9%
88
20.1%
Q4 - 6:04SASLeonard Driving Dunk (15 PTS)91
82.1%
87
17.9%
Q4 - 6:13SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
78.1%
87
21.9%
Q4 - 6:14MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup89
76.2%
87
23.8%
Q4 - 6:30SASMills 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Leonard 6 AST)89
71.5%
87
28.5%
Q4 - 6:47SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)86
58.8%
87
41.2%
Q4 - 6:48MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 186
57.6%
87
42.4%
Q4 - 6:53MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
64.9%
85
35.1%
Q4 - 6:54SASMISS Lee 2' Layup86
67.3%
85
32.7%
Q4 - 6:56SASLee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)86
72.4%
85
27.6%
Q4 - 6:57SASMISS Gasol 14' Jump Shot86
67.3%
85
32.7%
Q4 - 7:14MIAJohnson 2' Running Alley Oop Layup Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)86
72.2%
85
27.8%
Q4 - 7:18MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
76.9%
83
23.1%
Q4 - 7:19SASMISS Parker 9' Floating Jump Shot86
78.5%
83
21.5%
Q4 - 7:34MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)86
81.9%
83
18.1%
Q4 - 7:34MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)86
83.3%
82
16.7%
Q4 - 8:07SASGasol 2' Tip Layup Shot (20 PTS)86
84.2%
81
15.8%
Q4 - 8:08SASGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)84
80.4%
81
19.6%
Q4 - 8:09SASMISS Lee 2' Layup84
77.5%
81
22.5%
Q4 - 8:16SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
80.4%
81
19.6%
Q4 - 8:17MIAMISS Winslow 2' Driving Layup84
79.2%
81
20.8%
Q4 - 8:48MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)84
76.2%
81
23.8%
Q4 - 8:49SASMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 284
76.8%
81
23.2%
Q4 - 8:49SASGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)84
79.8%
81
20.2%
Q4 - 8:49SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)83
76.1%
81
23.9%
Q4 - 8:50SASMISS Leonard 10' Turnaround Jump Shot83
72.8%
81
27.2%
Q4 - 9:03MIAWinslow 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)83
76.0%
81
24.0%
Q4 - 9:16SASGasol 8' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)83
79.9%
79
20.1%
Q4 - 9:38SASSpurs Rebound81
75.9%
79
24.1%
Q4 - 9:39MIAMISS Reed 2' Tip Layup Shot81
74.5%
79
25.5%
Q4 - 9:40MIAReed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)81
70.9%
79
29.1%
Q4 - 9:41MIAMISS Dragic 1' Reverse Layup81
74.5%
79
25.5%
Q4 - 10:01SASAnderson 6' Driving Bank Shot (5 PTS)81
70.4%
79
29.6%
Q4 - 10:22SASLee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)79
65.8%
79
34.2%
Q4 - 10:23MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 1 of 179
65.1%
79
34.9%
Q4 - 10:38SASLeonard Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)79
70.5%
77
29.5%
Q4 - 10:52MIAWinslow Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T9)79
75.4%
77
24.6%
Q4 - 10:55MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
70.5%
77
29.5%
Q4 - 10:56SASMISS Gasol 12' Jump Shot79
72.0%
77
28.0%
Q4 - 11:14MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)79
74.3%
77
25.7%
Q4 - 11:30SASLeonard 3' Layup (13 PTS)79
81.6%
74
18.4%
Q4 - 11:41MIAReed Tip Dunk Shot (2 PTS)77
78.3%
74
21.7%
Q4 - 11:42MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)77
81.6%
72
18.4%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Johnson 5' Jump Bank Shot77
83.9%
72
16.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA77
81.7%
72
18.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound77
81.7%
72
18.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Waiters 69' 3PT Jump Shot77
83.2%
72
16.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P4.T12)77
81.1%
72
18.9%
Q3 - 0:12.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
84.0%
72
16.0%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 2 of 277
83.7%
72
16.3%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)77
81.9%
72
18.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0SASDedmon 4' Hook Bank Shot (9 PTS)77
84.1%
71
15.9%
Q3 - 0:35.0SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)75
81.1%
71
18.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0SASMISS Simmons Driving Dunk75
78.8%
71
21.2%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAWhiteside 17' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)75
81.1%
71
18.9%
Q3 - 1:00SASMills 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)75
84.1%
69
15.9%
Q3 - 1:13MIAWhiteside 9' Hook Shot (21 PTS)73
80.6%
69
19.4%
Q3 - 1:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)73
83.4%
67
16.6%
Q3 - 1:34SASMISS Dedmon 16' Jump Shot73
84.2%
67
15.8%
Q3 - 1:41SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
86.0%
67
14.0%
Q3 - 1:42SASMISS Bertans 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
84.3%
67
15.7%
Q3 - 1:53SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
86.0%
67
14.0%
Q3 - 1:54MIAMISS Waiters 5' Running Jump Shot73
85.3%
67
14.7%
Q3 - 2:01MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
82.4%
67
17.6%
Q3 - 2:02SASMISS Ginobili 2' Driving Layup73
83.3%
67
16.7%
Q3 - 2:16MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (19 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)73
85.2%
67
14.8%
Q3 - 2:30SASMills Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)73
87.2%
65
12.8%
Q3 - 2:30SASMills Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)72
86.9%
65
13.1%
Q3 - 2:43MIAWaiters 19' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)71
85.2%
65
14.8%
Q3 - 3:01SASSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)71
86.8%
63
13.2%
Q3 - 3:01SASSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)70
86.3%
63
13.7%
Q3 - 3:19MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)69
84.7%
63
15.3%
Q3 - 3:31SASJohnson STEAL (1 STL)69
82.1%
63
17.9%
Q3 - 3:35SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
84.7%
63
15.3%
Q3 - 3:36MIAMISS Dragic 3PT Jump Shot69
84.0%
63
16.0%
Q3 - 3:49SASMills 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Simmons 3 AST)69
82.1%
63
17.9%
Q3 - 3:55SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
76.5%
63
23.5%
Q3 - 3:56MIAMISS Johnson 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot66
75.4%
63
24.6%
Q3 - 4:21SASMills 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS)66
72.5%
63
27.5%
Q3 - 4:41MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)64
69.5%
63
30.5%
Q3 - 4:50MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)64
72.5%
61
27.5%
Q3 - 4:51SASMISS Dedmon 2' Layup64
73.7%
61
26.3%
Q3 - 4:52SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
76.3%
61
23.7%
Q3 - 4:53SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
73.7%
61
26.3%
Q3 - 5:01SASSpurs Rebound64
75.9%
61
24.1%
Q3 - 5:02SASMISS Simmons 1' Driving Layup64
73.5%
61
26.5%
Q3 - 5:09SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
75.9%
61
24.1%
Q3 - 5:10MIAMISS Dragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot64
74.8%
61
25.2%
Q3 - 5:23MIAHEAT Rebound64
72.3%
61
27.7%
Q3 - 5:24SASMISS Simmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
73.5%
61
26.5%
Q3 - 5:47MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)64
75.9%
61
24.1%
Q3 - 6:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)64
78.2%
59
21.8%
Q3 - 6:04SASMISS Lee 2' Layup64
79.1%
59
20.9%
Q3 - 6:05SASLee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)64
81.0%
59
19.0%
Q3 - 6:06SASMISS Mills 2' Layup64
79.1%
59
20.9%
Q3 - 6:27MIAWinslow 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)64
81.0%
59
19.0%
Q3 - 6:49SASAnderson Foul Turnover (P2.T10)64
83.2%
57
16.8%
Q3 - 6:59MIAWhiteside Running Alley Oop Dunk Shot (17 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)64
85.5%
57
14.5%
Q3 - 7:03MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
86.5%
55
13.5%
Q3 - 7:04SASWhiteside BLOCK (4 BLK)64
87.1%
55
12.9%
Q3 - 7:13SASLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)64
88.5%
55
11.5%
Q3 - 7:14SASMISS Gasol 10' Jump Shot64
87.2%
55
12.8%
Q3 - 7:29MIADragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)64
88.5%
55
11.5%
Q3 - 7:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)64
91.1%
52
8.9%
Q3 - 7:42SASMISS Leonard 6' Turnaround Jump Shot64
91.5%
52
8.5%
Q3 - 7:53SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
92.5%
52
7.5%
Q3 - 7:54MIAMISS Dragic 8' Jump Shot64
92.1%
52
7.9%
Q3 - 8:16SASLeonard 1' Cutting Layup Shot (11 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)64
90.8%
52
9.2%
Q3 - 8:32SASSpurs Rebound62
89.8%
52
10.2%
Q3 - 8:33MIAMISS Waiters 2' Layup62
89.2%
52
10.8%
Q3 - 8:36MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
88.0%
52
12.0%
Q3 - 8:37SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
88.6%
52
11.4%
Q3 - 8:45SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
89.8%
52
10.2%
Q3 - 8:46MIAMISS Waiters 10' Fadeaway Jumper62
89.2%
52
10.8%
Q3 - 9:05SASAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)62
87.6%
52
12.4%
Q3 - 9:20MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Babbitt 4 AST)59
84.2%
52
15.8%
Q3 - 9:25SASWaiters STEAL (1 STL)59
87.6%
49
12.4%
Q3 - 9:32SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)59
89.2%
49
10.8%
Q3 - 9:33MIAMISS Waiters 1' Driving Layup59
88.7%
49
11.3%
Q3 - 9:41MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
87.6%
49
12.4%
Q3 - 9:42SASMISS Leonard 16' Jump Shot59
88.1%
49
11.9%
Q3 - 10:00MIAWinslow 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Babbitt 3 AST)59
89.2%
49
10.8%
Q3 - 10:19SASLee Cutting Dunk Shot (8 PTS) (Leonard 5 AST)59
90.1%
47
9.9%
Q3 - 10:40SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
88.9%
47
11.1%
Q3 - 10:41MIAMISS Dragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot57
88.4%
47
11.6%
Q3 - 11:03SASLee Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)57
87.2%
47
12.8%
Q3 - 11:03SASLee Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)56
86.9%
47
13.1%
Q3 - 11:17MIABabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)55
85.7%
47
14.3%
Q3 - 11:35SASGasol 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Leonard 4 AST)55
88.7%
44
11.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
85.7%
44
14.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound52
83.9%
44
16.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot52
84.6%
44
15.4%
Q2 - 0:05.0SASSimmons 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)52
83.8%
44
16.2%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)50
81.3%
44
18.7%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)50
82.0%
43
18.0%
Q2 - 0:38.0SASGasol 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)50
83.8%
42
16.2%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAWhiteside 14' Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS)48
81.3%
42
18.7%
Q2 - 1:07SASGasol 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Simmons 2 AST)48
83.5%
40
16.5%
Q2 - 1:20MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)46
80.7%
40
19.3%
Q2 - 1:20MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 246
81.4%
39
18.6%
Q2 - 1:21MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)46
81.7%
39
18.3%
Q2 - 1:22SASWaiters BLOCK (1 BLK)46
82.0%
39
18.0%
Q2 - 1:32MIABabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)46
82.7%
39
17.3%
Q2 - 1:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)46
86.8%
36
13.2%
Q2 - 1:45SASMISS Ginobili 16' Jump Shot46
87.0%
36
13.0%
Q2 - 2:11MIAWhiteside 4' Hook Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)46
87.3%
36
12.7%
Q2 - 2:24MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)46
88.7%
34
11.3%
Q2 - 2:25SASWhiteside BLOCK (3 BLK)46
89.1%
34
10.9%
Q2 - 2:40MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
89.8%
34
10.2%
Q2 - 2:40MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
90.1%
33
9.9%
Q2 - 2:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
91.0%
32
9.0%
Q2 - 2:44SASMISS Simmons 3' Driving Layup46
91.3%
32
8.7%
Q2 - 2:56MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)46
91.9%
32
8.1%
Q2 - 2:56MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 246
92.2%
31
7.8%
Q2 - 3:11SASBertans 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)46
91.4%
31
8.6%
Q2 - 3:25MIADragic 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)43
89.5%
31
10.5%
Q2 - 3:40SASDedmon 2' Tip Layup Shot (7 PTS)43
90.4%
29
9.6%
Q2 - 3:41SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
89.5%
29
10.5%
Q2 - 3:42SASWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)41
88.6%
29
11.4%
Q2 - 3:57MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)41
89.5%
29
10.5%
Q2 - 4:07MIAHEAT Rebound41
91.0%
26
9.0%
Q2 - 4:08MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Jump Shot41
91.6%
26
8.4%
Q2 - 4:21SASParker Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T8)41
91.0%
26
9.0%
Q2 - 4:35MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)41
91.9%
26
8.1%
Q2 - 4:35MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 241
92.2%
25
7.8%
Q2 - 4:43SASWinslow STEAL (1 STL)41
91.9%
25
8.1%
Q2 - 4:58SASLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
92.7%
25
7.3%
Q2 - 4:59MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
92.5%
25
7.5%
Q2 - 5:07MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
91.7%
25
8.3%
Q2 - 5:08SASMISS Gasol 9' Hook Shot41
92.0%
25
8.0%
Q2 - 5:27MIAWaiters Traveling Turnover (P5.T7)41
92.6%
25
7.4%
Q2 - 5:48SASGasol 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)41
91.7%
25
8.3%
Q2 - 6:02SASLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
90.7%
25
9.3%
Q2 - 6:03SASMISS Parker 16' Pullup Jump Shot39
89.8%
25
10.2%
Q2 - 6:12SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
90.7%
25
9.3%
Q2 - 6:13MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Hook Shot39
90.3%
25
9.7%
Q2 - 6:31SASLeonard Foul Turnover (P2.T6)39
89.5%
25
10.5%
Q2 - 6:39SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
90.7%
25
9.3%
Q2 - 6:40MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
90.3%
25
9.7%
Q2 - 7:03SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)39
89.1%
25
10.9%
Q2 - 7:25SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
87.0%
25
13.0%
Q2 - 7:26MIAMISS McGruder 7' Jump Shot36
86.6%
25
13.4%
Q2 - 7:41SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)36
85.7%
25
14.3%
Q2 - 7:41SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)35
85.5%
25
14.5%
Q2 - 7:49MIAWinslow 2' Running Layup (8 PTS)34
84.5%
25
15.5%
Q2 - 7:53MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
85.7%
23
14.3%
Q2 - 7:54SASMISS Lee 8' Hook Shot34
86.1%
23
13.9%
Q2 - 8:11MIAWinslow 7' Driving Bank Shot (6 PTS)34
86.6%
23
13.4%
Q2 - 8:29SASLee 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)34
87.7%
21
12.3%
Q2 - 8:38SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
86.7%
21
13.3%
Q2 - 8:39MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
86.3%
21
13.7%
Q2 - 8:54SASLeonard Foul Turnover (P1.T5)32
85.3%
21
14.7%
Q2 - 9:03SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
86.4%
21
13.6%
Q2 - 9:04MIAMISS Johnson 9' Floating Jump Shot32
86.0%
21
14.0%
Q2 - 9:29SASLee 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)32
85.0%
21
15.0%
Q2 - 9:38SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
83.8%
21
16.2%
Q2 - 9:39SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
82.8%
21
17.2%
Q2 - 9:49SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
83.8%
21
16.2%
Q2 - 9:50MIAMISS Reed 1' Tip Layup Shot30
83.4%
21
16.6%
Q2 - 9:51MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
82.3%
21
17.7%
Q2 - 9:52MIAMISS Waiters 18' Pullup Jump Shot30
83.4%
21
16.6%
Q2 - 9:58MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
82.3%
21
17.7%
Q2 - 9:59SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup30
82.8%
21
17.2%
Q2 - 10:09MIAWaiters Foul Turnover (P4.T6)30
83.5%
21
16.5%
Q2 - 10:32SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)30
81.9%
21
18.1%
Q2 - 10:45SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
79.0%
21
21.0%
Q2 - 10:46MIAMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot27
78.5%
21
21.5%
Q2 - 11:14SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)27
77.0%
21
23.0%
Q2 - 11:32MIAJohnson 8' Driving Bank Shot (5 PTS)24
73.4%
21
26.6%
Q2 - 11:47SASReed STEAL (1 STL)24
75.2%
19
24.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
77.0%
19
23.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound24
75.2%
19
24.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot24
76.5%
19
23.5%
Q1 - 0:06.0SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)24
75.3%
19
24.7%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAWaiters Foul Turnover (P3.T5)22
73.0%
19
27.0%
Q1 - 0:37.0SASGinobili Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T3)22
71.6%
19
28.4%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)22
73.0%
19
27.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 222
73.4%
18
26.6%
Q1 - 0:52.0SASDedmon Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)22
73.5%
18
26.5%
Q1 - 0:52.0SASDedmon Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)21
73.0%
18
27.0%
Q1 - 0:59.0SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
71.1%
18
28.9%
Q1 - 1:00MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
70.6%
18
29.4%
Q1 - 1:13SASDedmon Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)20
69.7%
18
30.3%
Q1 - 1:13SASDedmon Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)19
69.1%
18
30.9%
Q1 - 1:29MIAJohnson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
67.1%
18
32.9%
Q1 - 1:39SASWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)18
69.7%
16
30.3%
Q1 - 1:48MIAWinslow 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)18
71.1%
16
28.9%
Q1 - 1:57MIAHEAT Rebound18
73.5%
14
26.5%
Q1 - 1:58MIAMISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
74.4%
14
25.6%
Q1 - 2:20SASSimmons 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
73.6%
14
26.4%
Q1 - 2:33SASBertans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
71.5%
14
28.5%
Q1 - 2:34SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
70.3%
14
29.7%
Q1 - 2:40SASSpurs Rebound16
71.5%
14
28.5%
Q1 - 2:41SASWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)16
70.3%
14
29.7%
Q1 - 3:00SASSpurs Rebound16
71.5%
14
28.5%
Q1 - 3:01MIAMISS Winslow 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
71.0%
14
29.0%
Q1 - 3:23SASGinobili 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)16
69.6%
14
30.4%
Q1 - 3:40MIAWhiteside 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Babbitt 2 AST)14
67.8%
14
32.2%
Q1 - 3:56MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
69.6%
12
30.4%
Q1 - 3:57SASMISS Mills 18' Jump Shot14
70.2%
12
29.8%
Q1 - 4:13MIADragic Foul Turnover (P2.T4)14
71.7%
12
28.3%
Q1 - 4:17SASDedmon Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)14
69.5%
12
30.5%
Q1 - 4:17SASMISS Dedmon Free Throw 1 of 213
69.0%
12
31.0%
Q1 - 4:34MIAWhiteside Dunk (4 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)13
69.9%
12
30.1%
Q1 - 4:55SASBertans 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)13
71.4%
10
28.6%
Q1 - 5:17MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
68.0%
10
32.0%
Q1 - 5:17MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
68.5%
9
31.5%
Q1 - 5:39MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
69.6%
8
30.4%
Q1 - 5:40SASMISS Leonard 12' Jump Shot10
70.2%
8
29.8%
Q1 - 5:54MIAWaiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Babbitt 1 AST)10
71.6%
8
28.4%
Q1 - 6:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
74.4%
5
25.6%
Q1 - 6:03SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
74.9%
5
25.1%
Q1 - 6:15SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
76.0%
5
24.0%
Q1 - 6:16MIAMISS Winslow 1' Tip Layup Shot10
75.5%
5
24.5%
Q1 - 6:17MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
74.4%
5
25.6%
Q1 - 6:18MIAMISS Winslow 1' Running Layup10
75.5%
5
24.5%
Q1 - 6:22MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
74.4%
5
25.6%
Q1 - 6:22SASMISS Simmons 3' Driving Layup10
74.9%
5
25.1%
Q1 - 6:40MIADragic Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)10
76.0%
5
24.0%
Q1 - 6:43MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
74.4%
5
25.6%
Q1 - 6:44SASMISS Parker 11' Floating Jump Shot10
74.9%
5
25.1%
Q1 - 7:14MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
75.8%
5
24.2%
Q1 - 7:14MIAWhiteside Tip Dunk Shot (2 PTS)10
75.8%
5
24.2%
Q1 - 7:16MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
78.0%
3
22.0%
Q1 - 7:28SASAnderson Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)10
76.9%
3
23.1%
Q1 - 7:41SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
78.5%
3
21.5%
Q1 - 7:42MIAMISS Whiteside 10' Jump Shot10
78.0%
3
22.0%
Q1 - 7:58SASGasol 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)10
77.0%
3
23.0%
Q1 - 8:08SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
76.1%
3
23.9%
Q1 - 8:09MIAMISS Winslow 16' Jump Shot8
75.7%
3
24.3%
Q1 - 8:31SASGasol 5' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS)8
74.5%
3
25.5%
Q1 - 8:44MIAWaiters Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)6
73.2%
3
26.8%
Q1 - 8:54MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
71.5%
3
28.5%
Q1 - 8:55SASMISS Leonard 19' Jump Shot6
72.1%
3
27.9%
Q1 - 9:10SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
73.3%
3
26.7%
Q1 - 9:11MIAMISS Babbitt 13' Pullup Jump Shot6
72.7%
3
27.3%
Q1 - 9:24SASLeonard 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)6
71.5%
3
28.5%
Q1 - 9:44MIAWaiters Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)4
70.3%
3
29.7%
Q1 - 9:53MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
68.3%
3
31.7%
Q1 - 9:54SASMISS Gasol 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
68.9%
3
31.1%
Q1 - 10:03SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
70.0%
3
30.0%
Q1 - 10:04MIAMISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
69.5%
3
30.5%
Q1 - 10:21SASLeonard 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)4
68.3%
3
31.7%
Q1 - 10:33SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
66.9%
3
33.1%
Q1 - 10:34MIAMISS Whiteside 15' Jump Shot2
66.3%
3
33.7%
Q1 - 10:49SASGasol 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)2
65.0%
3
35.0%
Q1 - 11:06MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)0
63.5%
3
36.5%
Q1 - 11:15MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
66.9%
0
33.1%
Q1 - 11:16SASMISS Anderson 6' Jump Shot0
67.3%
0
32.7%
Q1 - 11:43MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Leonard: Tip to0
68.4%
0
31.6%
Q1 - 11:43MIAMISS Whiteside 3' Layup0
67.9%
0
32.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Gasol: Tip to Winslow0
66.9%
0
33.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.12 55.8%
MIA
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
13
28
46%
MIA
16
29
55%
Midrange
SAS
14
36
39%
MIA
14
31
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
10
15.0
18
56%
83%
MIA
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
Free Throws
SAS
22
26
85%
MIA
18
26
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2761%13.5 / 22
P. Gasol2053%10.0 / 19
P. Mills1882%9.0 / 11
D. Dedmon956%4.5 / 8
D. Lee850%4.0 / 8
J. Simmons633%3.0 / 9
D. Bertans6100%3.0 / 3
K. Anderson583%2.5 / 3
M. Ginobili425%2.0 / 8
T. Parker338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside2768%13.5 / 20
G. Dragic2566%12.5 / 19
J. Winslow1853%9.0 / 17
T. Johnson1250%6.0 / 12
D. Waiters945%4.5 / 10
L. Babbitt650%3.0 / 6
W. Reed233%1.0 / 3
R. McGruder0-0.0 / 2
J. Johnson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
79
+16
-15
95
MIA
83
+11
-12
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.12 55.8%
MIA
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
108.1
SAS 112.8 +8.6
MIA 104.2
Pace
94.1
95.0
SAS 93.4
MIA 95.6 +2.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.7
SAS 15.4
MIA 15.1 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
51.2%
SAS 51.2% +0.6%
MIA 50.6%
TO %
13.6%
13.2%
SAS 13.8%
MIA 11.6% +2.2%
ORB %
24.0%
24.2%
SAS 31.8% +15.1%
MIA 16.7%
FTrt
26.3
25.1
SAS 31.7
MIA 32.5 +0.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
54.4%
SAS 54.1% +2.7%
MIA 51.4%
STL %
8.5%
7.5%
SAS 4.3%
MIA 7.4% +3.1%
BLK %
9.9%
9.3%
SAS 8.3%
MIA 9.4% +1.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
52.8%
SAS 55.8% +3.7%
MIA 52.1%
Rim FG%
60.5%
59.2%
SAS 46.4%
MIA 55.2% +8.8%
Mid FG%
42.0%
39.4%
SAS 38.9%
MIA 45.2% +6.3%
3P %
39.1%
36.5%
SAS 55.6% +20.6%
MIA 35.0%
FT %
79.7%
70.6%
SAS 84.6% +15.4%
MIA 69.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.1%
35.4%
SAS 34.1%
MIA 36.3% +2.1%
Mid Att. %
40.8%
33.1%
SAS 43.9%
MIA 38.8% +5.2%
3P Att. %
28.1%
31.4%
SAS 22.0%
MIA 25.0% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsSASMIA
Possessions9495
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points10699
Rebounds4436
Assists2019
Steals47
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (2)6 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (5)30 (1)
Field Goals37-8237-80
At-the-Rim FG13-2816-29
Midrange FG14-3614-31
2-Point FG27-6430-60
3-Point FG10-187-20
Free Throws22-2618-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 250 · 36
31.1
20
53%
11
3
0
2
0
2
3
8
1-2
50%
8-16
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 225 · 25
29.8
27
61%
2
6
1
1
4
3
0
2
10-12
83%
7-13
54%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 245 · 34
24.6
8
50%
11
0
1
0
0
4
4
7
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 34
22.0
3
38%
2
4
0
1
3
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
G · 6'9" 230 · 23
20.1
5
83%
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
G · 6'6" 205 · 39
27.5
4
25%
6
2
2
0
5
3
2
4
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 185 · 28
25.1
18
82%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
4-6
67%
F · 6'6" 195 · 27
25.1
6
33%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24
17.3
6
100%
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-3
67%
C · 7'0" 245 · 27
16.4
9
56%
8
1
0
0
0
4
4
4
5-6
83%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 180 · 27
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 180 · 20
G · 6'3" 190 · 23
#14 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · F · 6'11" 260 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
56%
44
20
4
5
15
0
14
30
22-26
85%
27-64
42%
10-18
56%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.