FinalWin Prob.pScore
2442%102
108
1658%105
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
113.79587.0
ORL logo ORL
103.293102.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA108
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:22.0ORLPayton 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)108
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)108
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:49.0ORLPayton Double Dribble Turnover (P4.T11)106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAJohnson Running Dunk (15 PTS)106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0ORLFournier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)104
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:08MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)104
99.6%
94
0.4%
Q4 - 1:08MIAHeat Rebound104
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Waiters 17' Fadeaway Jumper104
99.6%
94
0.4%
Q4 - 1:12ORLVucevic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T9)104
99.7%
94
0.3%
Q4 - 1:12ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)104
99.5%
94
0.5%
Q4 - 1:13MIAPayton BLOCK (2 BLK)104
99.6%
94
0.4%
Q4 - 1:32ORLFournier 19' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS)104
99.5%
94
0.5%
Q4 - 1:40ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)104
99.6%
92
0.4%
Q4 - 1:41MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 2104
99.6%
92
0.4%
Q4 - 1:41MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 2104
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 2:02ORLVucevic 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)104
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 2:14MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)104
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 2:14MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)103
99.7%
90
0.3%
Q4 - 2:39ORLIbaka 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Vucevic 3 AST)102
99.7%
90
0.3%
Q4 - 2:54MIAWinslow 2' Alley Oop Layup (15 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)102
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 3:00MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)100
99.5%
88
0.5%
Q4 - 3:02ORLMISS Payton 27' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 3:22ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)100
99.1%
88
0.9%
Q4 - 3:24MIAMISS Dragic 19' Pullup Jump Shot100
99.2%
88
0.8%
Q4 - 3:31MIADragic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)100
98.7%
88
1.3%
Q4 - 3:32ORLMISS Fournier 26' 3PT Running Jump Shot100
98.5%
88
1.5%
Q4 - 3:37ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)100
98.2%
88
1.8%
Q4 - 3:40MIAMISS Waiters 2' Layup100
98.4%
88
1.6%
Q4 - 4:00ORLVucevic Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)100
98.9%
88
1.1%
Q4 - 4:00ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)100
98.9%
87
1.1%
Q4 - 4:00ORLMAGIC Rebound100
99.2%
86
0.8%
Q4 - 4:00ORLMISS Ibaka Layup100
99.4%
86
0.6%
Q4 - 4:13ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)100
99.2%
86
0.8%
Q4 - 4:14MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Jump Shot100
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 4:30ORLPayton 3' Layup (14 PTS) (Fournier 4 AST)100
99.5%
86
0.5%
Q4 - 4:38MIAVucevic STEAL (2 STL)100
99.6%
84
0.4%
Q4 - 4:46MIAHeat Rebound100
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 4:46MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 5:00MIADragic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)100
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 5:01ORLMISS Ibaka 13' Jump Shot100
99.4%
84
0.6%
Q4 - 5:22MIADragic 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Reed 1 AST)100
99.3%
84
0.7%
Q4 - 5:47ORLFournier 19' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)98
99.0%
84
1.0%
Q4 - 5:56MIAFournier STEAL (2 STL)98
99.3%
82
0.7%
Q4 - 6:07ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)98
99.1%
82
0.9%
Q4 - 6:07ORLGordon 1' Tip Layup Shot (12 PTS)98
99.1%
82
0.9%
Q4 - 6:11ORLMISS Payton 2' Layup98
99.5%
80
0.5%
Q4 - 6:18MIAReed 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)98
99.3%
80
0.7%
Q4 - 6:31MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
99.1%
80
0.9%
Q4 - 6:34ORLMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.1%
80
0.9%
Q4 - 6:36ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)96
98.8%
80
1.2%
Q4 - 6:38ORLMISS Gordon 6' Hook Shot96
99.1%
80
0.9%
Q4 - 6:45MIADragic 17' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)96
98.8%
80
1.2%
Q4 - 7:10ORLFournier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Vucevic 2 AST)94
97.7%
80
2.3%
Q4 - 7:24MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)94
98.7%
77
1.3%
Q4 - 7:38MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)91
97.8%
77
2.2%
Q4 - 7:40ORLMISS Fournier 2' Finger Roll Layup91
97.5%
77
2.5%
Q4 - 7:58ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
97.0%
77
3.0%
Q4 - 7:59MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
97.3%
77
2.7%
Q4 - 8:15ORLGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Fournier 3 AST)91
96.9%
77
3.1%
Q4 - 8:22MIAVucevic STEAL (1 STL)91
98.2%
74
1.8%
Q4 - 8:46ORLFournier 17' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)91
98.6%
74
1.4%
Q4 - 8:52ORLMAGIC Rebound91
98.9%
72
1.1%
Q4 - 8:53ORLMISS Payton 1' Layup91
99.1%
72
0.9%
Q4 - 9:04MIAReed Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)91
98.5%
72
1.5%
Q4 - 9:10MIAReed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)89
98.1%
72
1.9%
Q4 - 9:13MIAMISS Winslow 18' Step Back Jump Shot89
97.8%
72
2.2%
Q4 - 9:35ORLIbaka 1' Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)89
98.2%
72
1.8%
Q4 - 9:54MIAJohnson 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Winslow 4 AST)89
98.5%
70
1.5%
Q4 - 10:05MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
97.6%
70
2.4%
Q4 - 10:08ORLMISS Fournier Free Throw 2 of 287
97.6%
70
2.4%
Q4 - 10:08ORLFournier Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)87
97.1%
70
2.9%
Q4 - 10:10ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)87
97.6%
69
2.4%
Q4 - 10:12MIAIbaka BLOCK (1 BLK)87
97.8%
69
2.2%
Q4 - 10:22MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
98.1%
69
1.9%
Q4 - 10:23ORLMISS Ibaka 26' 3PT Running Jump Shot87
98.0%
69
2.0%
Q4 - 10:30ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
97.6%
69
2.4%
Q4 - 10:31MIAMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot87
97.8%
69
2.2%
Q4 - 10:48ORLAugustin Foul Turnover (P1.T8)87
98.1%
69
1.9%
Q4 - 11:00MIAReed Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)87
97.6%
69
2.4%
Q4 - 11:08MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)85
96.5%
69
3.5%
Q4 - 11:09ORLMISS Hezonja 18' Jump Shot85
96.2%
69
3.8%
Q4 - 11:26MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)85
95.6%
69
4.4%
Q4 - 11:32MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
93.4%
69
6.6%
Q4 - 11:34ORLMISS Green 28' 3PT Jump Shot82
93.0%
69
7.0%
Q4 - 11:50MIAWinslow Driving Dunk (13 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)82
91.9%
69
8.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA80
90.2%
69
9.8%
Q3 - 0:15.0ORLGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)80
88.7%
69
11.3%
Q3 - 0:15.0ORLGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)80
89.1%
68
10.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAMcGruder 2' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)80
90.7%
67
9.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAHeat Rebound78
88.8%
67
11.2%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Whiteside 12' Jump Shot78
87.3%
67
12.7%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)78
88.8%
67
11.2%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Winslow 17' Jump Shot78
87.3%
67
12.7%
Q3 - 1:00ORLFournier 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hezonja 2 AST)78
88.8%
67
11.2%
Q3 - 1:15MIAWhiteside Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T8)78
89.3%
65
10.7%
Q3 - 1:23ORLGreen Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T7)78
91.1%
65
8.9%
Q3 - 1:33MIAWhiteside 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Babbitt 2 AST)78
89.3%
65
10.7%
Q3 - 1:44ORLPayton Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)76
87.4%
65
12.6%
Q3 - 2:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)76
83.2%
65
16.8%
Q3 - 2:18MIAWhiteside 1' Tip Layup Shot (14 PTS)76
83.2%
65
16.8%
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS Waiters 3' Jump Shot74
78.4%
65
21.6%
Q3 - 2:37MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)74
80.8%
65
19.2%
Q3 - 2:38ORLMISS Augustin 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
79.8%
65
20.2%
Q3 - 2:46ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)74
77.5%
65
22.5%
Q3 - 2:47MIAMISS Babbitt 28' 3PT Jump Shot74
78.5%
65
21.5%
Q3 - 3:04MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
79.6%
65
20.4%
Q3 - 3:05ORLMISS Fournier 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
78.7%
65
21.3%
Q3 - 3:25MIAMcGruder Free Throw 3 of 3 (4 PTS)74
76.4%
65
23.6%
Q3 - 3:25MIAMcGruder Free Throw 2 of 3 (3 PTS)73
75.7%
65
24.3%
Q3 - 3:25MIAMcGruder Free Throw 1 of 3 (2 PTS)72
74.8%
65
25.2%
Q3 - 3:33MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
69.7%
65
30.3%
Q3 - 3:36MIAMISS Babbitt 28' 3PT Jump Shot71
66.8%
65
33.2%
Q3 - 3:56ORLVucevic 5' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Fournier 2 AST)71
69.7%
65
30.3%
Q3 - 4:18MIAWhiteside Dunk (12 PTS) (Waiters 4 AST)71
71.7%
63
28.3%
Q3 - 4:23MIAHeat Rebound69
68.7%
63
31.3%
Q3 - 4:24MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup69
65.7%
63
34.3%
Q3 - 4:32MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
68.7%
63
31.3%
Q3 - 4:33ORLMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
67.4%
63
32.6%
Q3 - 4:46ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)69
64.3%
63
35.7%
Q3 - 4:47MIAMISS Johnson 1' Cutting Layup Shot69
65.7%
63
34.3%
Q3 - 5:01ORLIbaka 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Fournier 1 AST)69
67.6%
63
32.4%
Q3 - 5:11MIAFournier STEAL (1 STL)69
74.1%
60
25.9%
Q3 - 5:23MIAHeat Rebound69
77.5%
60
22.5%
Q3 - 5:24ORLMISS Fournier 28' 3PT Jump Shot69
76.5%
60
23.5%
Q3 - 5:41MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T6)69
74.1%
60
25.9%
Q3 - 5:45ORLMISS Vucevic 1' Tip Layup Shot69
76.5%
60
23.5%
Q3 - 5:45ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)69
77.5%
60
22.5%
Q3 - 5:45MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
77.5%
60
22.5%
Q3 - 5:47ORLMISS Ibaka 5' Hook Shot69
76.5%
60
23.5%
Q3 - 6:01MIABabbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)69
72.8%
60
27.2%
Q3 - 6:13ORLAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)66
66.4%
60
33.6%
Q3 - 6:13ORLAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)66
66.9%
59
33.1%
Q3 - 6:31MIABabbitt 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)66
69.6%
58
30.4%
Q3 - 6:39MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)63
62.8%
58
37.2%
Q3 - 6:41ORLMISS Gordon 2' Tip Layup Shot63
61.6%
58
38.4%
Q3 - 6:41ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
58.7%
58
41.3%
Q3 - 6:43ORLMISS Vucevic 1' Layup63
61.6%
58
38.4%
Q3 - 6:54MIAWhiteside Dunk (10 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)63
58.7%
58
41.3%
Q3 - 7:04MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
54.4%
58
45.6%
Q3 - 7:07ORLMISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot61
53.1%
58
46.9%
Q3 - 7:35MIAWinslow 2' Running Dunk (11 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)61
50.0%
58
50.0%
Q3 - 7:38MIADragic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)59
46.7%
58
53.3%
Q3 - 7:41ORLMISS Fournier 3' Layup59
45.4%
58
54.6%
Q3 - 7:51ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
42.4%
58
57.6%
Q3 - 7:53MIAMISS Dragic 17' Jump Shot59
43.7%
58
56.3%
Q3 - 8:18ORLVucevic 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)59
46.7%
58
53.3%
Q3 - 8:26ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
49.7%
56
50.3%
Q3 - 8:28MIAMISS Babbitt 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
51.1%
56
48.9%
Q3 - 8:37MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
54.2%
56
45.8%
Q3 - 8:39ORLMISS Ibaka 4' Hook Shot59
52.8%
56
47.2%
Q3 - 8:56MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
49.7%
56
50.3%
Q3 - 8:56MIAWaiters 1' Tip Layup Shot (9 PTS)59
49.7%
56
50.3%
Q3 - 9:03MIAMISS Waiters 1' Finger Roll Layup57
43.1%
56
56.9%
Q3 - 9:08MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
45.7%
56
54.3%
Q3 - 9:13MIAMISS Babbitt 21' Jump Shot57
43.2%
56
56.8%
Q3 - 9:26ORLMISS Fournier Free Throw Technical57
45.8%
56
54.2%
Q3 - 9:26ORLGordon 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)57
45.8%
56
54.2%
Q3 - 9:43MIADragic 2' Running Layup (10 PTS)57
49.3%
54
50.7%
Q3 - 9:46MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)55
45.8%
54
54.2%
Q3 - 9:49ORLMISS Payton 1' Layup55
44.7%
54
55.3%
Q3 - 10:00ORLFournier Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)55
42.1%
54
57.9%
Q3 - 10:00MIAWaiters 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Babbitt 1 AST)55
45.6%
53
54.4%
Q3 - 10:11MIAHeat Rebound53
42.0%
53
58.0%
Q3 - 10:11ORLMISS Vucevic 6' Hook Shot53
40.9%
53
59.1%
Q3 - 10:26MIADragic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)53
38.4%
53
61.6%
Q3 - 10:26MIADragic 1' Putback Layup (8 PTS)53
38.4%
53
61.6%
Q3 - 10:30MIAMISS Waiters 2' Running Layup51
33.0%
53
67.0%
Q3 - 10:34ORLGordon Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)51
35.4%
53
64.6%
Q3 - 10:48ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)51
31.9%
53
68.1%
Q3 - 10:49MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 2 of 251
32.4%
53
67.6%
Q3 - 10:49MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)51
34.3%
53
65.7%
Q3 - 10:57MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
32.2%
53
67.8%
Q3 - 10:58ORLMISS Ibaka 18' Jump Shot50
31.2%
53
68.8%
Q3 - 11:13MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)50
29.1%
53
70.9%
Q3 - 11:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)50
32.2%
53
67.8%
Q3 - 11:38ORLMISS Fournier 3' Driving Layup50
31.3%
53
68.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL50
29.1%
53
70.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)50
29.1%
53
70.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Babbitt 4' Jump Shot50
30.1%
53
69.9%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
32.0%
53
68.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0ORLMISS Payton 9' Pullup Jump Shot50
31.4%
53
68.6%
Q2 - 0:33.0ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
30.0%
53
70.0%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Johnson 29' 3PT Jump Shot50
30.6%
53
69.4%
Q2 - 0:51.0ORLVucevic 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)50
32.0%
53
68.0%
Q2 - 1:04MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)50
36.3%
51
63.7%
Q2 - 1:15ORLVucevic 6' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)47
29.2%
51
70.8%
Q2 - 1:25ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
33.4%
49
66.6%
Q2 - 1:26MIAMISS Reed 16' Jump Shot47
33.8%
49
66.2%
Q2 - 1:40ORLPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)47
34.8%
49
65.2%
Q2 - 1:40ORLPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)47
35.9%
48
64.1%
Q2 - 1:41ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
39.3%
47
60.7%
Q2 - 1:45MIAMISS Winslow 21' Jump Shot47
39.7%
47
60.3%
Q2 - 2:04ORLIbaka 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Gordon 4 AST)47
41.3%
47
58.7%
Q2 - 2:25MIAWhiteside 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)47
44.6%
45
55.4%
Q2 - 2:43ORLPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
41.3%
45
58.7%
Q2 - 2:43ORLPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)45
42.4%
44
57.6%
Q2 - 2:47MIADragic 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)45
44.6%
43
55.4%
Q2 - 3:06MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)43
41.4%
43
58.6%
Q2 - 3:07ORLMISS Fournier 7' Floating Jump Shot43
40.4%
43
59.6%
Q2 - 3:17ORLGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
38.1%
43
61.9%
Q2 - 3:18MIAMISS Whiteside 18' Jump Shot43
39.1%
43
60.9%
Q2 - 3:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)43
41.4%
43
58.6%
Q2 - 3:31ORLGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
38.1%
43
61.9%
Q2 - 3:31ORLMISS Green 1' Tip Layup Shot43
40.4%
43
59.6%
Q2 - 3:33ORLMISS Payton 2' Driving Layup43
40.4%
43
59.6%
Q2 - 3:46MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)43
38.1%
43
61.9%
Q2 - 3:55ORLPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)41
35.8%
43
64.2%
Q2 - 4:04MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)41
33.0%
43
67.0%
Q2 - 4:15ORLIbaka 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)38
28.1%
43
71.9%
Q2 - 4:21ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
33.0%
40
67.0%
Q2 - 4:23MIAMISS McGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
33.7%
40
66.3%
Q2 - 4:35ORLPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
35.5%
40
64.5%
Q2 - 4:35ORLPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)38
36.5%
39
63.5%
Q2 - 4:43MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)38
38.2%
38
61.8%
Q2 - 4:54ORLGreen 6' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)36
35.5%
38
64.5%
Q2 - 5:02ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
38.1%
36
61.9%
Q2 - 5:04MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Hook Shot36
39.0%
36
61.0%
Q2 - 5:21ORLHezonja 21' Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)36
41.0%
36
59.0%
Q2 - 5:36MIAWhiteside Dunk (6 PTS)36
43.5%
34
56.5%
Q2 - 5:38MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)34
40.9%
34
59.1%
Q2 - 5:40MIAMISS Waiters 3' Jump Shot34
39.0%
34
61.0%
Q2 - 5:48MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
40.9%
34
59.1%
Q2 - 5:49ORLMISS Ibaka 5' Turnaround Hook Shot34
40.1%
34
59.9%
Q2 - 5:52ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)34
38.1%
34
61.9%
Q2 - 5:54ORLMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
40.1%
34
59.9%
Q2 - 6:09MIAMcGruder Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)34
37.9%
34
62.1%
Q2 - 6:09MIAMISS McGruder Free Throw 1 of 233
37.4%
34
62.6%
Q2 - 6:19ORLGordon Foul Turnover (P2.T3)33
38.5%
34
61.5%
Q2 - 6:40ORLMAGIC Rebound33
35.4%
34
64.6%
Q2 - 6:40MIAMISS Winslow 20' Jump Shot33
36.3%
34
63.7%
Q2 - 7:04ORLIbaka 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)33
38.4%
34
61.6%
Q2 - 7:22MIAWinslow 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)33
40.7%
32
59.3%
Q2 - 7:36ORLGreen 1' Driving Layup (3 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)31
38.4%
32
61.6%
Q2 - 7:43ORLAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
40.7%
30
59.3%
Q2 - 7:44MIAMISS McGruder 12' Floating Jump Shot31
41.5%
30
58.5%
Q2 - 7:59MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
43.5%
30
56.5%
Q2 - 8:01MIAMISS Winslow 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
41.3%
30
58.7%
Q2 - 8:09MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
43.2%
30
56.8%
Q2 - 8:10ORLMISS Ibaka 9' Turnaround Jump Shot31
42.3%
30
57.7%
Q2 - 8:30MIAJohnson Running Dunk (8 PTS)31
40.5%
30
59.5%
Q2 - 8:33ORLGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)29
38.2%
30
61.8%
Q2 - 8:40ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
35.6%
30
64.4%
Q2 - 8:41MIAGordon BLOCK (1 BLK)29
36.4%
30
63.6%
Q2 - 8:55MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
38.2%
30
61.8%
Q2 - 8:55ORLMISS Hezonja 3' Layup29
37.4%
30
62.6%
Q2 - 9:06ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
35.6%
30
64.4%
Q2 - 9:07ORLMISS Gordon 17' Jump Shot29
37.3%
30
62.7%
Q2 - 9:30MIAJohnson 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)29
35.6%
30
64.4%
Q2 - 9:43ORLHezonja Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)27
33.5%
30
66.5%
Q2 - 9:43ORLMISS Hezonja Free Throw 1 of 227
33.7%
29
66.3%
Q2 - 10:02MIAWinslow 5' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)27
33.4%
29
66.6%
Q2 - 10:18MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
31.5%
29
68.5%
Q2 - 10:19ORLMISS Hezonja 20' Jump Shot25
30.8%
29
69.2%
Q2 - 10:33MIAJohnson 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)25
29.1%
29
70.9%
Q2 - 10:51ORLAugustin 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS)23
27.4%
29
72.6%
Q2 - 11:00ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
29.1%
27
70.9%
Q2 - 11:02MIAMISS Winslow 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
29.8%
27
70.2%
Q2 - 11:24MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
31.3%
27
68.7%
Q2 - 11:26ORLMISS Green 1' Running Layup23
30.7%
27
69.3%
Q2 - 11:31ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
29.2%
27
70.8%
Q2 - 11:33MIAMISS Johnson 18' Pullup Jump Shot23
29.8%
27
70.2%
Q2 - 11:40MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
31.3%
27
68.7%
Q2 - 11:42ORLMISS Ibaka 13' Jump Shot23
30.7%
27
69.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
29.2%
27
70.8%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
30.9%
27
69.1%
Q1 - 0:05.0ORLMISS Ibaka 27' 3PT Jump Shot23
30.5%
27
69.5%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
29.5%
27
70.5%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAReed 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)23
29.5%
27
70.5%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup21
26.1%
27
73.9%
Q1 - 0:42.0ORLFournier Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)21
27.0%
27
73.0%
Q1 - 0:42.0ORLFournier Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)21
27.4%
26
72.6%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAReed 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)21
29.5%
25
70.5%
Q1 - 1:04ORLGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)19
27.2%
25
72.8%
Q1 - 1:04ORLMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 219
27.6%
24
72.4%
Q1 - 1:25MIAJohnson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)19
27.6%
24
72.4%
Q1 - 1:38ORLFournier 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hezonja 1 AST)17
25.3%
24
74.7%
Q1 - 1:47ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
27.6%
22
72.4%
Q1 - 1:48MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot17
28.1%
22
71.9%
Q1 - 1:59ORLAugustin Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)17
29.0%
22
71.0%
Q1 - 2:13MIAJohnson 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
33.6%
19
66.4%
Q1 - 2:21MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
31.4%
19
68.6%
Q1 - 2:23ORLMISS Hezonja 22' Jump Shot15
30.8%
19
69.2%
Q1 - 2:25ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
29.6%
19
70.4%
Q1 - 2:27ORLMISS Fournier 7' Jump Shot15
30.8%
19
69.2%
Q1 - 2:41ORLGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
29.6%
19
70.4%
Q1 - 2:43MIAMISS Whiteside 15' Jump Shot15
30.1%
19
69.9%
Q1 - 2:54MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
31.4%
19
68.6%
Q1 - 2:56MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
31.4%
19
68.6%
Q1 - 2:56MIAMISS Dragic 1' Tip Layup Shot15
30.1%
19
69.9%
Q1 - 2:57MIAMISS Dragic 7' Floating Jump Shot15
30.1%
19
69.9%
Q1 - 3:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)15
31.7%
19
68.3%
Q1 - 3:21ORLMISS Fournier 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
31.0%
19
69.0%
Q1 - 3:41MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)15
29.6%
19
70.4%
Q1 - 4:01MIAHeat Rebound15
31.7%
19
68.3%
Q1 - 4:01MIAPayton BLOCK (1 BLK)15
30.1%
19
69.9%
Q1 - 4:13ORLFournier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 1 AST)15
31.7%
19
68.3%
Q1 - 4:17ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)15
35.2%
16
64.8%
Q1 - 4:19ORLMISS Fournier 8' Hook Shot15
36.9%
16
63.1%
Q1 - 4:24ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
35.2%
16
64.8%
Q1 - 4:26ORLMISS Green 21' Jump Shot15
36.9%
16
63.1%
Q1 - 4:33ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
35.2%
16
64.8%
Q1 - 4:35MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
37.7%
16
62.3%
Q1 - 4:35MIAMISS Whiteside Putback Dunk15
36.0%
16
64.0%
Q1 - 4:38MIAMISS Waiters 18' Jump Shot15
36.0%
16
64.0%
Q1 - 4:51ORLPayton Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)15
37.7%
16
62.3%
Q1 - 4:58ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)15
35.2%
16
64.8%
Q1 - 4:59MIAMISS Babbitt 27' 3PT Jump Shot15
36.0%
16
64.0%
Q1 - 5:10ORLVucevic Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
37.4%
16
62.6%
Q1 - 5:10ORLMISS Vucevic Free Throw 1 of 215
37.8%
15
62.2%
Q1 - 5:10ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)15
37.2%
15
62.8%
Q1 - 5:10ORLMISS Vucevic 2' Layup15
38.7%
15
61.3%
Q1 - 5:27MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T3)15
37.2%
15
62.8%
Q1 - 5:47ORLGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)15
39.4%
15
60.6%
Q1 - 6:06MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)15
42.8%
12
57.2%
Q1 - 6:09MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
39.1%
12
60.9%
Q1 - 6:11ORLMISS Fournier 4' Jump Shot12
38.5%
12
61.5%
Q1 - 6:27MIABabbitt 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)12
37.1%
12
62.9%
Q1 - 6:40ORLPayton 14' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
35.4%
12
64.6%
Q1 - 6:52ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
37.1%
10
62.9%
Q1 - 6:53MIAMISS Waiters 13' Fadeaway Jumper10
37.7%
10
62.3%
Q1 - 7:05MIAHeat Rebound10
39.0%
10
61.0%
Q1 - 7:05MIAMISS Dragic 13' Turnaround Jump Shot10
37.6%
10
62.4%
Q1 - 7:19ORLPayton 4' Driving Bank Shot (4 PTS)10
39.0%
10
61.0%
Q1 - 7:26MIAWaiters 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
40.5%
8
59.5%
Q1 - 7:34MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
39.0%
8
61.0%
Q1 - 7:35ORLMISS Vucevic 22' Jump Shot8
38.4%
8
61.6%
Q1 - 7:46MIAWaiters 8' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
36.9%
8
63.1%
Q1 - 8:12ORLVucevic 2' Putback Layup (4 PTS)6
35.5%
8
64.5%
Q1 - 8:14ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
37.1%
6
62.9%
Q1 - 8:16ORLMISS Gordon 5' Floating Jump Shot6
38.4%
6
61.6%
Q1 - 8:29MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T2)6
37.0%
6
63.0%
Q1 - 8:31MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
39.0%
6
61.0%
Q1 - 8:33MIAMISS Waiters 27' 3PT Jump Shot6
37.6%
6
62.4%
Q1 - 8:46ORLPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
39.0%
6
61.0%
Q1 - 8:46ORLPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
39.7%
5
60.3%
Q1 - 8:46ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
40.6%
4
59.4%
Q1 - 8:47ORLMISS Vucevic 2' Tip Layup Shot6
42.1%
4
57.9%
Q1 - 8:47ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
40.6%
4
59.4%
Q1 - 8:48ORLMISS Payton 8' Jump Shot6
42.1%
4
57.9%
Q1 - 8:55ORLMISS Fournier Free Throw Technical6
40.6%
4
59.4%
Q1 - 9:08MIAWinslow 2' Layup (2 PTS)6
40.3%
4
59.7%
Q1 - 9:10MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
39.0%
4
61.0%
Q1 - 9:13MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 24
37.1%
4
62.9%
Q1 - 9:13MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 24
38.0%
4
62.0%
Q1 - 9:19MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
39.0%
4
61.0%
Q1 - 9:21ORLMISS Gordon Running Finger Roll Layup4
38.3%
4
61.7%
Q1 - 9:25MIAGordon STEAL (1 STL)4
36.8%
4
63.2%
Q1 - 9:40ORLVucevic 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
39.0%
4
61.0%
Q1 - 9:54ORLMAGIC Rebound4
40.4%
2
59.6%
Q1 - 9:56ORLMISS Ibaka 14' Floating Jump Shot4
41.9%
2
58.1%
Q1 - 10:06ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
40.3%
2
59.7%
Q1 - 10:07MIAMISS Babbitt 13' Pullup Jump Shot4
40.9%
2
59.1%
Q1 - 10:32ORLGordon Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Vucevic 1 AST)4
42.3%
2
57.7%
Q1 - 10:44ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
43.9%
0
56.1%
Q1 - 10:46ORLMISS Vucevic 19' Jump Shot4
45.4%
0
54.6%
Q1 - 11:07MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)4
43.9%
0
56.1%
Q1 - 11:15MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
42.0%
0
58.0%
Q1 - 11:16ORLMISS Fournier 17' Step Back Jump Shot2
41.5%
0
58.5%
Q1 - 11:38MIAWhiteside Putback Dunk (2 PTS)2
40.4%
0
59.6%
Q1 - 11:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
38.5%
0
61.5%
Q1 - 11:42MIAMISS Winslow 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot0
37.4%
0
62.6%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Vucevic vs. Whiteside: Tip to Dragic0
38.5%
0
61.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.00 50.0%
ORL
0.94 47.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
34
48
71%
ORL
10
32
31%
Midrange
MIA
9
33
27%
ORL
18
39
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
ORL
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
10
16
63%
ORL
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside1850%9.0 / 18
G. Dragic1650%8.0 / 16
J. Winslow1550%7.5 / 15
T. Johnson1568%7.5 / 11
J. Johnson1169%5.5 / 8
W. Reed1083%5.0 / 6
D. Waiters932%4.5 / 14
L. Babbitt840%4.0 / 10
R. McGruder660%3.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Fournier2048%10.0 / 21
N. Vučević1753%8.5 / 16
E. Payton1650%8.0 / 16
S. Ibaka1441%7.0 / 17
A. Gordon1250%6.0 / 12
J. Green739%3.5 / 9
D. Augustin7117%3.5 / 3
M. Hezonja325%1.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
85
+22
-10
107
ORL
82
+18
-11
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.00 50.0%
ORL
0.94 47.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
104.5
MIA 113.7 +10.5
ORL 103.2
Pace
95.0
96.2
MIA 87.0
ORL 102.5 +15.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
14.7
MIA 16.6
ORL 14.1 +2.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
48.9%
MIA 50.5% +8.9%
ORL 41.6%
TO %
13.2%
13.3%
MIA 10.3%
ORL 9.8% +0.5%
ORB %
24.2%
21.6%
MIA 34.8% +5.4%
ORL 29.4%
FTrt
25.1
24.6
MIA 16.5
ORL 31.5 +15.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
58.0%
MIA 57.4%
ORL 58.8% +1.4%
STL %
7.5%
7.3%
MIA 5.3%
ORL 5.4% +0.1%
BLK %
9.3%
8.0%
MIA 9.9% +5.0%
ORL 4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
51.2%
MIA 50.0% +2.9%
ORL 47.1%
Rim FG%
59.2%
58.1%
MIA 70.8% +39.5%
ORL 31.3%
Mid FG%
39.4%
40.8%
MIA 27.3%
ORL 46.2% +18.9%
3P %
36.5%
32.8%
MIA 25.0%
ORL 33.3% +8.3%
FT %
70.6%
74.7%
MIA 62.5%
ORL 78.6% +16.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
32.4%
MIA 49.5% +13.5%
ORL 36.0%
Mid Att. %
33.1%
37.7%
MIA 34.0% +9.8%
ORL 43.8%
3P Att. %
31.4%
30.0%
MIA 16.5%
ORL 20.2% +3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions9593
Possession Minutes26.221.8
Points10896
Rebounds5245
Assists2720
Steals55
Blocks74
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (6)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)30 (1)
Field Goals47-9734-89
At-the-Rim FG34-4810-32
Midrange FG9-3318-39
2-Point FG43-8128-71
3-Point FG4-166-18
Free Throws10-1622-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 225 · 21
34.0
15
50%
8
4
1
2
2
4
3
5
1-1
100%
7-13
54%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 215 · 25
33.5
9
32%
6
4
0
0
1
2
1
5
1-2
50%
4-12
33%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
31.0
18
50%
14
1
0
4
1
3
4
10
0-4
0%
9-16
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
28.6
16
50%
6
6
0
0
3
4
3
3
2-2
100%
7-14
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
18.8
8
40%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-6
33%
G · 6'3" 186 · 24
28.3
15
68%
6
3
2
0
1
2
1
5
1-1
100%
7-10
70%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
25.2
11
69%
2
6
0
0
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25
23.6
6
60%
3
0
2
0
1
4
1
2
4-5
80%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
· 6'11" 245 · 26
17.0
10
83%
6
1
0
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
5-6
83%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
F · 6'8" 240 · 25
· 6'10" 240 · 30
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
#2 · G · 6'5" 200 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
50%
52
27
5
7
10
0
16
36
10-16
63%
43-81
53%
4-16
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.