FinalWin Prob.pScore
1047%104
99
1553%105
93
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
107.69286.4
DET logo DET
100.09399.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA99
100%
93
0%
Q4 - 0:16.0DETHarris Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Blake 7 AST)99
99.8%
93
0.2%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)99
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 0:43.0DETCaldwell-Pope 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)96
98.0%
91
2.0%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)96
98.8%
89
1.2%
Q4 - 1:07MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)93
93.8%
89
6.2%
Q4 - 1:07MIAMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
90.4%
89
9.6%
Q4 - 1:24DETMarc Morris 28' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Blake 6 AST)93
92.2%
89
7.8%
Q4 - 1:34MIAJohnson 9' Jump Shot (22 PTS)93
96.4%
86
3.6%
Q4 - 1:48DETMarc Morris Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)91
93.6%
86
6.4%
Q4 - 1:48DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)91
97.4%
83
2.6%
Q4 - 1:48DETMISS Drummond 8' Jump Shot91
98.2%
83
1.8%
Q4 - 1:51DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:9 Def:9)91
97.4%
83
2.6%
Q4 - 1:52DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
98.1%
83
1.9%
Q4 - 2:08MIAJohnson 13' Jump Shot (20 PTS)91
96.9%
83
3.1%
Q4 - 2:23DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)89
95.9%
83
4.1%
Q4 - 2:23DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)89
96.2%
82
3.8%
Q4 - 2:36MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)89
96.8%
81
3.2%
Q4 - 2:56DETBlake Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)87
94.4%
81
5.6%
Q4 - 3:08DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:8 Def:9)87
90.7%
81
9.3%
Q4 - 3:09MIAMISS Dragic 9' Jump Shot87
92.1%
81
7.9%
Q4 - 3:26DETMarc Morris Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)87
94.6%
81
5.4%
Q4 - 3:28MIADrummond STEAL (2 STL)87
90.7%
81
9.3%
Q4 - 3:32MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)87
91.2%
81
8.8%
Q4 - 3:33MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
88.8%
81
11.2%
Q4 - 4:02DETHarris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Blake 5 AST)87
91.8%
81
8.2%
Q4 - 4:16MIAJohnson 5' Jump Shot (18 PTS)87
95.9%
78
4.1%
Q4 - 4:31DETMarc Morris Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P3.T14)85
94.4%
78
5.6%
Q4 - 4:34DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
91.8%
78
8.2%
Q4 - 4:35MIAMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
92.7%
78
7.3%
Q4 - 4:44DETCaldwell-Pope Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)85
94.4%
78
5.6%
Q4 - 4:56DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)85
91.8%
78
8.2%
Q4 - 4:56MIAMISS Whiteside 16' Jump Shot85
92.7%
78
7.3%
Q4 - 5:16MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)85
92.1%
78
7.9%
Q4 - 5:16DETMISS Harris 12' Jump Shot85
91.2%
78
8.8%
Q4 - 5:26MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)85
89.1%
78
10.9%
Q4 - 5:33MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
81.3%
78
18.7%
Q4 - 5:34DETMISS Harris 21' Jump Shot82
79.6%
78
20.4%
Q4 - 5:48MIAJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)82
75.4%
78
24.6%
Q4 - 6:14DETTolliver Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)79
60.7%
78
39.3%
Q4 - 6:14DETTolliver Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)79
62.5%
77
37.5%
Q4 - 6:23DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:8 Def:8)79
66.8%
76
33.2%
Q4 - 6:24MIAMISS Dragic 11' Jump Shot79
69.0%
76
31.0%
Q4 - 6:34DETMarc Morris Layup (10 PTS)79
73.9%
76
26.1%
Q4 - 7:05DETPISTONS Rebound79
76.9%
74
23.1%
Q4 - 7:05MIADrummond BLOCK (1 BLK)79
78.5%
74
21.5%
Q4 - 7:14MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
81.9%
74
18.1%
Q4 - 7:15DETMISS Dinwiddie 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
80.5%
74
19.5%
Q4 - 7:24DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:8 Def:7)79
77.0%
74
23.0%
Q4 - 7:25MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Tip Layup Shot79
78.6%
74
21.4%
Q4 - 7:25MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)79
81.9%
74
18.1%
Q4 - 7:26MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot79
78.6%
74
21.4%
Q4 - 7:32MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
82.0%
74
18.0%
Q4 - 7:33DETMISS Marc Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
80.6%
74
19.4%
Q4 - 8:00MIADragic 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)79
77.1%
74
22.9%
Q4 - 8:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
70.3%
74
29.7%
Q4 - 8:23DETMISS Baynes 15' Jump Shot77
68.7%
74
31.3%
Q4 - 8:41MIADragic 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS)77
64.8%
74
35.2%
Q4 - 9:03DETDinwiddie 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)75
58.2%
74
41.8%
Q4 - 9:22MIAWade 14' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)75
63.7%
72
36.3%
Q4 - 9:40DETJohnson Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)73
58.2%
72
41.8%
Q4 - 9:57DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
52.1%
72
47.9%
Q4 - 9:58MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 273
52.9%
72
47.1%
Q4 - 9:58MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)73
56.9%
72
43.1%
Q4 - 10:07MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)72
52.0%
72
48.0%
Q4 - 10:08DETMISS Dinwiddie 1' Tip Layup Shot72
50.2%
72
49.8%
Q4 - 10:09DETDinwiddie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
46.0%
72
54.0%
Q4 - 10:10DETMISS Dinwiddie Layup72
50.2%
72
49.8%
Q4 - 10:23DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
46.0%
72
54.0%
Q4 - 10:23MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 272
46.8%
72
53.2%
Q4 - 10:23MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)72
50.3%
72
49.7%
Q4 - 10:46MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)71
46.4%
72
53.6%
Q4 - 10:47DETMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 271
45.6%
72
54.4%
Q4 - 10:47DETJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
41.8%
72
58.2%
Q4 - 11:01DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
45.9%
71
54.1%
Q4 - 11:01MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot71
47.6%
71
52.4%
Q4 - 11:10MIAHeat Rebound71
51.5%
71
48.5%
Q4 - 11:10MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot71
47.6%
71
52.4%
Q4 - 11:36DETBaynes Dunk (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)71
51.6%
71
48.4%
Q4 - 11:46DETPISTONS Rebound71
56.7%
69
43.3%
Q4 - 11:46DETMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot71
60.5%
69
39.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET71
56.7%
69
43.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound71
56.7%
69
43.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 47' 3PT Jump Shot71
59.8%
69
40.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAWade 5' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)71
56.3%
69
43.7%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
51.3%
69
48.7%
Q3 - 0:19.0DETMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
49.7%
69
50.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0DETDinwiddie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
46.1%
69
53.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot69
47.7%
69
52.3%
Q3 - 0:47.0DETBaynes Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)69
51.3%
69
48.7%
Q3 - 0:47.0DETMISS Baynes Free Throw 1 of 269
52.2%
68
47.8%
Q3 - 0:47.0DETPISTONS Rebound69
51.3%
68
48.7%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Wade Layup69
52.8%
68
47.2%
Q3 - 0:58.0DETBaynes Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)69
56.4%
68
43.6%
Q3 - 1:03DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
51.0%
68
49.0%
Q3 - 1:06MIAMISS Wade 15' Fadeaway Jumper69
52.5%
68
47.5%
Q3 - 1:23DETJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)69
56.0%
68
44.0%
Q3 - 1:35MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)69
51.0%
68
49.0%
Q3 - 1:35MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 268
49.7%
68
50.3%
Q3 - 1:35MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
51.2%
68
48.8%
Q3 - 1:35DETMISS Baynes 5' Hook Shot68
49.6%
68
50.4%
Q3 - 1:46DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
46.1%
68
53.9%
Q3 - 1:46MIAMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot68
47.7%
68
52.3%
Q3 - 2:03DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)68
50.7%
68
49.3%
Q3 - 2:03DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 268
51.5%
67
48.5%
Q3 - 2:22MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)68
50.4%
67
49.6%
Q3 - 2:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
55.3%
67
44.7%
Q3 - 2:31DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 15' Jump Shot68
53.8%
67
46.2%
Q3 - 2:57MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)68
50.4%
67
49.6%
Q3 - 3:04MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)65
41.9%
67
58.1%
Q3 - 3:05DETMISS Harris 15' Jump Shot65
40.5%
67
59.5%
Q3 - 3:19MIARichardson 13' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)65
37.3%
67
62.7%
Q3 - 3:38MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
33.5%
67
66.5%
Q3 - 3:38DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 263
32.9%
67
67.1%
Q3 - 3:38DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 263
31.7%
67
68.3%
Q3 - 3:53DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
29.3%
67
70.7%
Q3 - 3:54MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 263
29.9%
67
70.1%
Q3 - 3:54MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)63
32.5%
67
67.5%
Q3 - 4:20DETDrummond 1' Tip Layup Shot (9 PTS)62
30.3%
67
69.7%
Q3 - 4:21DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:8 Def:6)62
33.4%
65
66.6%
Q3 - 4:22DETMISS Drummond 4' Jump Shot62
36.6%
65
63.4%
Q3 - 4:34DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)62
33.4%
65
66.6%
Q3 - 4:36MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
34.8%
65
65.2%
Q3 - 4:42MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
38.0%
65
62.0%
Q3 - 4:42MIAMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot62
34.8%
65
65.2%
Q3 - 5:15DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Blake 4 AST)62
38.1%
65
61.9%
Q3 - 5:23MIAWhiteside 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)62
41.6%
63
58.4%
Q3 - 5:44DETDrummond Layup (7 PTS)60
38.1%
63
61.9%
Q3 - 5:48DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)60
41.6%
61
58.4%
Q3 - 5:48DETMISS Blake 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
44.7%
61
55.3%
Q3 - 6:01DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)60
41.8%
61
58.2%
Q3 - 6:04MIAMISS Whiteside Alley Oop Dunk60
43.1%
61
56.9%
Q3 - 6:25DETDrummond Foul Turnover (P2.T9)60
46.1%
61
53.9%
Q3 - 6:43MIAJohnson 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)60
41.8%
61
58.2%
Q3 - 6:55DETHarris 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS)58
38.4%
61
61.6%
Q3 - 7:14MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P3.T13)58
41.7%
59
58.3%
Q3 - 7:27DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)58
45.9%
59
54.1%
Q3 - 7:52MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
41.7%
59
58.3%
Q3 - 7:52MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)57
40.5%
59
59.5%
Q3 - 8:07DETMarc Morris Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)56
38.8%
59
61.2%
Q3 - 8:19MIADeng Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)56
34.8%
59
65.2%
Q3 - 8:36DETCaldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Blake 3 AST)56
38.8%
59
61.2%
Q3 - 8:47MIAWhiteside 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)56
45.5%
56
54.5%
Q3 - 9:03DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)54
42.1%
56
57.9%
Q3 - 9:03DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)54
42.7%
55
57.3%
Q3 - 9:25MIADragic 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)54
45.6%
54
54.4%
Q3 - 9:49DETMarc Morris Dunk (8 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)52
42.2%
54
57.8%
Q3 - 9:54DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
45.6%
52
54.4%
Q3 - 9:56MIAHarris BLOCK (2 BLK)52
46.7%
52
53.3%
Q3 - 10:02MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
49.3%
52
50.7%
Q3 - 10:03MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
46.7%
52
53.3%
Q3 - 10:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
49.3%
52
50.7%
Q3 - 10:09DETMISS Harris 8' Jump Shot52
48.2%
52
51.8%
Q3 - 10:26DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)52
45.6%
52
54.4%
Q3 - 10:27MIAMISS Deng 27' 3PT Jump Shot52
46.7%
52
53.3%
Q3 - 10:30MIAHeat Rebound52
49.3%
52
50.7%
Q3 - 10:30MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot52
46.7%
52
53.3%
Q3 - 10:52DETDrummond Layup (5 PTS)52
49.3%
52
50.7%
Q3 - 10:55DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)52
52.6%
50
47.4%
Q3 - 10:55DETMISS Harris 5' Jump Shot52
55.2%
50
44.8%
Q3 - 11:03DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
52.6%
50
47.4%
Q3 - 11:03MIAMISS Dragic 17' Jump Shot52
53.7%
50
46.3%
Q3 - 11:24MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
56.2%
50
43.8%
Q3 - 11:24DETMISS Marc Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
55.1%
50
44.9%
Q3 - 11:38MIAWade 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)52
52.6%
50
47.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA50
49.4%
50
50.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound50
49.4%
50
50.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 31' 3PT Jump Shot50
46.9%
50
53.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
48.8%
50
51.2%
Q2 - 0:04.0DETMISS Marc Morris Free Throw 2 of 250
48.5%
50
51.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0DETMarc Morris Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)50
46.4%
50
53.6%
Q2 - 0:05.0DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)50
49.8%
49
50.2%
Q2 - 0:05.0DETMISS Marc Morris 9' Jump Shot50
51.4%
49
48.6%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIADeng 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)50
49.8%
49
50.2%
Q2 - 0:40.0DETBlake 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)47
42.4%
49
57.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIADeng 6' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)47
46.5%
47
53.5%
Q2 - 1:17DETCaldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)45
42.3%
47
57.7%
Q2 - 1:25DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
50.1%
44
49.9%
Q2 - 1:25MIAMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot45
50.6%
44
49.4%
Q2 - 1:30MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
51.7%
44
48.3%
Q2 - 1:31DETMISS Harris 4' Jump Shot45
51.2%
44
48.8%
Q2 - 1:39MIABlake STEAL (1 STL)45
50.1%
44
49.9%
Q2 - 2:00DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)45
51.7%
44
48.3%
Q2 - 2:20MIAJohnson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T10)45
55.4%
42
44.6%
Q2 - 2:34DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)45
58.2%
42
41.8%
Q2 - 2:36DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
61.4%
40
38.6%
Q2 - 2:37DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Layup45
63.2%
40
36.8%
Q2 - 2:46MIADrummond STEAL (1 STL)45
61.4%
40
38.6%
Q2 - 2:49DETBlake Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)45
64.0%
40
36.0%
Q2 - 2:58MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
61.4%
40
38.6%
Q2 - 2:58MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
60.4%
40
39.6%
Q2 - 3:09DETMarc Morris Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)43
58.2%
40
41.8%
Q2 - 3:24MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)43
54.8%
40
45.2%
Q2 - 3:37DETDrummond Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)41
52.3%
40
47.7%
Q2 - 3:55MIAWade 14' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)41
48.9%
40
51.1%
Q2 - 4:07DETBlake Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
46.1%
40
53.9%
Q2 - 4:07DETBlake Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
46.7%
39
53.3%
Q2 - 4:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)39
48.8%
38
51.2%
Q2 - 4:27DETMarc Morris Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
43.3%
38
56.7%
Q2 - 4:27DETMarc Morris Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)36
44.0%
37
56.0%
Q2 - 4:27DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)36
46.0%
36
54.0%
Q2 - 4:27MIAMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
46.9%
36
53.1%
Q2 - 4:50DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)36
49.0%
36
51.0%
Q2 - 5:07DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
54.5%
33
45.5%
Q2 - 5:07MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 236
54.9%
33
45.1%
Q2 - 5:07MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)36
56.3%
33
43.7%
Q2 - 5:29DETBlake 15' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)35
54.6%
33
45.4%
Q2 - 5:55DETJump Ball Drummond vs. Whiteside: Tip to Blake35
57.2%
31
42.8%
Q2 - 5:56MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 235
57.6%
31
42.4%
Q2 - 5:56MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
59.1%
31
40.9%
Q2 - 6:07DETTolliver 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Bullock 1 AST)34
57.4%
31
42.6%
Q2 - 6:23MIAGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)34
59.4%
29
40.6%
Q2 - 6:36DETDinwiddie Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
54.8%
29
45.2%
Q2 - 6:36DETMISS Dinwiddie Free Throw 1 of 231
55.3%
28
44.7%
Q2 - 6:42DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
54.1%
28
45.9%
Q2 - 6:44MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot31
55.1%
28
44.9%
Q2 - 6:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
57.4%
28
42.6%
Q2 - 6:51DETMISS Marc Morris 1' Tip Layup Shot31
56.4%
28
43.6%
Q2 - 6:51DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)31
54.1%
28
45.9%
Q2 - 6:52DETMISS Bullock 20' Jump Shot31
56.4%
28
43.6%
Q2 - 7:08DETPISTONS Rebound31
54.2%
28
45.8%
Q2 - 7:09DETMISS Tolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
56.1%
28
43.9%
Q2 - 7:17MIABullock STEAL (1 STL)31
54.1%
28
45.9%
Q2 - 7:34DETBaynes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)31
57.0%
28
43.0%
Q2 - 7:34DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
54.1%
28
45.9%
Q2 - 7:35DETMISS Marc Morris 17' Jump Shot31
56.1%
28
43.9%
Q2 - 7:52MIADeng Dunk (9 PTS)31
54.1%
28
45.9%
Q2 - 7:56MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
51.8%
28
48.2%
Q2 - 7:57MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot29
49.8%
28
50.2%
Q2 - 8:18DETMarc Morris Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
51.4%
28
48.6%
Q2 - 8:18DETMISS Marc Morris Free Throw 1 of 229
52.1%
27
47.9%
Q2 - 8:23DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
51.3%
27
48.7%
Q2 - 8:24DETMISS Marc Morris 15' Jump Shot29
53.2%
27
46.8%
Q2 - 8:41MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
51.3%
27
48.7%
Q2 - 8:41MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)28
50.8%
27
49.2%
Q2 - 8:45MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
48.9%
27
51.1%
Q2 - 8:47DETMISS Bullock Reverse Layup27
48.1%
27
51.9%
Q2 - 9:02MIADeng 15' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)27
46.0%
27
54.0%
Q2 - 9:20DETBullock Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Dinwiddie 3 AST)25
43.9%
27
56.1%
Q2 - 9:29DETBullock REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
46.0%
25
54.0%
Q2 - 9:30MIAMISS Green 27' 3PT Jump Shot25
46.9%
25
53.1%
Q2 - 9:41DETTolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dinwiddie 2 AST)25
48.9%
25
51.1%
Q2 - 9:52DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
53.5%
22
46.5%
Q2 - 9:53MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
54.4%
22
45.6%
Q2 - 10:07DETDinwiddie 9' Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)25
56.2%
22
43.8%
Q2 - 10:19MIAStoudemire Layup (4 PTS)25
58.1%
20
41.9%
Q2 - 10:36DETDinwiddie Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)23
56.2%
20
43.8%
Q2 - 10:36DETMISS Dinwiddie Free Throw 1 of 223
56.7%
19
43.3%
Q2 - 10:44MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)23
55.7%
19
44.3%
Q2 - 10:56MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
53.8%
19
46.2%
Q2 - 10:57DETMISS Johnson 6' Jump Bank Shot21
52.9%
19
47.1%
Q2 - 11:12MIAGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
50.7%
19
49.3%
Q2 - 11:12MIAGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
50.3%
19
49.7%
Q2 - 11:16DETCaldwell-Pope Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
48.4%
19
51.6%
Q2 - 11:20MIACaldwell-Pope STEAL (3 STL)19
45.9%
19
54.1%
Q2 - 11:33DETBaynes Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Dinwiddie 1 AST)19
48.4%
19
51.6%
Q2 - 11:44DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
50.7%
17
49.3%
Q2 - 11:45MIABaynes BLOCK (1 BLK)19
51.5%
17
48.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET19
53.3%
17
46.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound19
50.7%
17
49.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
52.1%
17
47.9%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAStoudemire Dunk (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)19
50.9%
17
49.1%
Q1 - 0:31.0DETJohnson 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)17
47.9%
17
52.1%
Q1 - 0:32.0DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
50.9%
15
49.1%
Q1 - 0:33.0DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 217
52.4%
15
47.6%
Q1 - 0:33.0DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
51.6%
15
48.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)17
53.3%
14
46.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0DETMISS Drummond Layup17
54.5%
14
45.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)17
53.3%
14
46.7%
Q1 - 0:36.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Driving Layup17
54.5%
14
45.5%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIADragic 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)17
53.3%
14
46.7%
Q1 - 1:15DETCaldwell-Pope Layup (2 PTS)15
50.3%
14
49.7%
Q1 - 1:20MIACaldwell-Pope STEAL (2 STL)15
53.2%
12
46.8%
Q1 - 1:35DETJohnson 1' Layup (2 PTS)15
54.9%
12
45.1%
Q1 - 1:40MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)15
57.8%
10
42.2%
Q1 - 1:45MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
59.4%
10
40.6%
Q1 - 1:45DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 14' Jump Shot15
58.9%
10
41.1%
Q1 - 2:04MIAJohnson 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)15
57.6%
10
42.4%
Q1 - 2:31DETDrummond Layup (2 PTS)13
55.1%
10
44.9%
Q1 - 2:35DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)13
57.6%
8
42.4%
Q1 - 2:36DETMISS Drummond Layup13
59.0%
8
41.0%
Q1 - 2:38DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)13
57.6%
8
42.4%
Q1 - 2:41DETMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
59.0%
8
41.0%
Q1 - 2:51MIADragic 1' Layup (6 PTS)13
57.6%
8
42.4%
Q1 - 2:54MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
55.1%
8
44.9%
Q1 - 2:54MIAMISS Dragic 5' Jump Shot11
53.7%
8
46.3%
Q1 - 3:00MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
55.1%
8
44.9%
Q1 - 3:02DETMISS Drummond Alley Oop Layup11
54.3%
8
45.7%
Q1 - 3:17MIAJohnson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
52.6%
8
47.4%
Q1 - 3:34MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
50.7%
8
49.3%
Q1 - 3:35DETMISS Harris 6' Jump Shot9
49.9%
8
50.1%
Q1 - 3:47DETPISTONS Rebound9
48.2%
8
51.8%
Q1 - 3:47DETMISS Blake 6' Jump Shot9
49.9%
8
50.1%
Q1 - 3:59MIAWhiteside 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)9
48.2%
8
51.8%
Q1 - 4:03MIAHeat Rebound7
46.2%
8
53.8%
Q1 - 4:04MIAHarris BLOCK (1 BLK)7
44.4%
8
55.6%
Q1 - 4:11MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
46.2%
8
53.8%
Q1 - 4:13DETMISS Harris 6' Jump Bank Shot7
45.4%
8
54.6%
Q1 - 4:37MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)7
43.7%
8
56.3%
Q1 - 5:02MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
45.9%
8
54.1%
Q1 - 5:02DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
45.3%
8
54.7%
Q1 - 5:10DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)7
43.8%
8
56.2%
Q1 - 5:11DETMISS Blake 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
45.3%
8
54.7%
Q1 - 5:20MIACaldwell-Pope STEAL (1 STL)7
43.8%
8
56.2%
Q1 - 5:37DETBlake 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Marc Morris 1 AST)7
46.0%
8
54.0%
Q1 - 5:57MIAWhiteside 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)7
47.9%
6
52.1%
Q1 - 6:12DETBlake 9' Driving Bank Shot (2 PTS)7
49.8%
6
50.2%
Q1 - 6:33MIADeng 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)7
51.7%
4
48.3%
Q1 - 6:42MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)4
47.9%
4
52.1%
Q1 - 6:42DETMISS Marc Morris 17' Jump Shot4
47.2%
4
52.8%
Q1 - 7:06MIADragic 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
45.6%
4
54.4%
Q1 - 7:17MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
44.1%
4
55.9%
Q1 - 7:18DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 18' Jump Shot2
43.4%
4
56.6%
Q1 - 7:26DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
41.9%
4
58.1%
Q1 - 7:27MIAMISS Wade 17' Turnaround Jump Shot2
42.5%
4
57.5%
Q1 - 7:43DETBlake Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
44.1%
4
55.9%
Q1 - 7:45DETBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
41.8%
4
58.2%
Q1 - 7:46MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot2
42.5%
4
57.5%
Q1 - 8:19DETHarris 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
44.2%
4
55.8%
Q1 - 8:26MIAHarris STEAL (1 STL)2
45.9%
2
54.1%
Q1 - 8:39MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
48.0%
2
52.0%
Q1 - 8:40DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 1' Layup2
47.4%
2
52.6%
Q1 - 8:50DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
45.9%
2
54.1%
Q1 - 8:52MIAMISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot2
46.5%
2
53.5%
Q1 - 9:03MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
48.0%
2
52.0%
Q1 - 9:04DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 7' Running Jump Shot2
47.3%
2
52.7%
Q1 - 9:17DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
45.8%
2
54.2%
Q1 - 9:17MIAMISS Whiteside 9' Jump Shot2
46.5%
2
53.5%
Q1 - 9:35DETMarc Morris 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
48.0%
2
52.0%
Q1 - 9:54MIADragic Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
49.6%
0
50.4%
Q1 - 10:15MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)0
47.9%
0
52.1%
Q1 - 10:15DETMISS Marc Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
47.3%
0
52.7%
Q1 - 10:25DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
45.8%
0
54.2%
Q1 - 10:28DETMISS Drummond Alley Oop Dunk0
47.3%
0
52.7%
Q1 - 10:34DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.8%
0
54.2%
Q1 - 10:36MIAMISS Whiteside Tip Layup Shot0
46.4%
0
53.6%
Q1 - 10:38MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
47.9%
0
52.1%
Q1 - 10:39MIAMISS Wade 6' Turnaround Jump Shot0
46.4%
0
53.6%
Q1 - 10:59MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
47.9%
0
52.1%
Q1 - 10:59DETMISS Harris 8' Pullup Jump Shot0
47.3%
0
52.7%
Q1 - 11:18DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.9%
0
54.1%
Q1 - 11:19MIAMISS Dragic 3PT Jump Shot0
46.4%
0
53.6%
Q1 - 11:39MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
47.6%
0
52.4%
Q1 - 11:40DETMISS Drummond 6' Hook Shot0
47.1%
0
52.9%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Drummond vs. Whiteside: Tip to Blake0
45.9%
0
54.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.4%
DET
0.92 46.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
20
55%
DET
21
36
58%
Midrange
MIA
20
38
53%
DET
8
30
27%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
DET
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
Free Throws
MIA
16
22
73%
DET
20
30
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2578%12.5 / 16
L. Deng1771%8.5 / 12
G. Dragic1653%8.0 / 15
H. Whiteside1450%7.0 / 14
D. Wade1441%7.0 / 17
G. Green550%2.5 / 5
A. Stoudemire467%2.0 / 3
J. Richardson338%1.5 / 4
U. Haslem125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Caldwell-Pope1747%8.5 / 18
T. Harris1644%8.0 / 18
M. Morris1650%8.0 / 16
S. Blake1063%5.0 / 8
A. Drummond935%4.5 / 13
A. Tolliver788%3.5 / 4
S. Dinwiddie643%3.0 / 7
A. Baynes550%2.5 / 5
S. Johnson542%2.5 / 6
R. Bullock233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+12
-14
90
DET
78
+23
-15
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.4%
DET
0.92 46.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
106.0
MIA 107.6 +7.6
DET 100.0
Pace
93.7
95.3
MIA 86.4
DET 99.4 +13.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.1
MIA 16.7
DET 14.5 +2.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
49.1%
MIA 53.2% +9.7%
DET 43.5%
TO %
14.0%
13.5%
MIA 14.6%
DET 14.1% +0.5%
ORB %
23.9%
27.0%
MIA 21.1%
DET 36.7% +15.6%
FTrt
28.2
29.6
MIA 28.2
DET 35.7 +7.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.3%
51.2%
MIA 39.5%
DET 44.1% +4.6%
STL %
7.2%
7.3%
MIA 7.6%
DET 9.7% +2.1%
BLK %
10.3%
5.8%
MIA 7.6% +0.7%
DET 6.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
50.8%
MIA 54.4% +8.4%
DET 46.0%
Rim FG%
62.3%
55.8%
MIA 55.0%
DET 58.3% +3.3%
Mid FG%
40.5%
39.7%
MIA 52.6% +25.9%
DET 26.7%
3P %
33.6%
34.5%
MIA 35.0% +7.2%
DET 27.8%
FT %
74.4%
66.8%
MIA 72.7% +6.0%
DET 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
36.0%
MIA 25.6%
DET 42.9% +17.2%
Mid Att. %
40.9%
33.7%
MIA 48.7%
DET 35.7% +13.0%
3P Att. %
22.1%
30.3%
MIA 25.6% +4.2%
DET 21.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.56 and 2.56.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points9993
Rebounds3948
Assists1515
Steals79
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)18 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (0)30 (3)
Field Goals38-7834-84
At-the-Rim FG11-2021-36
Midrange FG20-388-30
2-Point FG31-5829-66
3-Point FG7-205-18
Free Throws16-2220-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
41.4
17
71%
10
2
0
0
3
1
1
9
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
34.1
14
50%
9
0
2
3
3
4
5
4
6-8
75%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 240 · 35
34.0
25
78%
2
5
2
0
4
1
0
2
2-3
67%
7-10
70%
3-5
60%
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
33.6
14
41%
4
3
0
0
1
2
0
4
2-3
67%
6-15
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
26.2
16
53%
5
4
1
0
2
4
2
3
0-0
-
8-13
62%
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
37.3
3
38%
6
1
1
2
1
2
0
6
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
19.5
5
50%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
7.9
1
25%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
6.0
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 30
· 6'10" 240 · 29
G · 6'2" 165 · 23
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F · 6'7" 225 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'3" 186 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
54%
39
15
7
5
14
0
8
31
16-22
73%
31-58
53%
7-20
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.