FinalWin Prob.pScore
2038%101
96
1662%105
118
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
98.098101.7
MIA logo MIA
120.49894.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA96
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0ORLMISS Marble Free Throw 2 of 296
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0ORLMarble Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)96
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAGreen 14' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)95
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0ORLNicholson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)95
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0ORLNicholson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)94
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAWeber 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)93
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAWeber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00ORLMISS Dedmon 16' Jump Shot93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14ORLDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37ORLMISS Marble 20' Jump Shot93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53MIARichardson 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Weber 1 AST)93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07ORLMISS Nicholson 14' Turnaround Hook Shot93
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32MIAGreen Reverse Dunk (13 PTS) (McRoberts 5 AST)93
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43ORLNapier Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)93
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43ORLNapier Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)92
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50MIAGreen 5' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)91
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00ORLMISS Marble 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:08ORLDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09MIAMISS McRoberts 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30ORLWatson 13' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)91
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48MIADragic 1' Cutting Layup Shot (19 PTS) (McRoberts 4 AST)89
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07ORLNapier 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)89
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14ORLDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:15MIAMISS Dragic 2' Reverse Layup87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30ORLDedmon 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44MIAMcRoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)85
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44MIAMcRoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00MIAHEAT Rebound85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01ORLMISS Marble 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13ORLDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 5:14MIAMISS McRoberts 13' Turnaround Jump Shot85
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 5:35ORLMarble Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35ORLMarble Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)84
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:43MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)83
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:43MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:49MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:50MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01ORLMarble Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)83
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 6:01ORLMISS Marble Free Throw 1 of 282
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 6:03ORLWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 6:04MIAMISS Green 1' Cutting Dunk Shot82
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 6:12MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:14ORLMISS Watson 11' Driving Floating Jump Shot82
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 6:25MIADeng Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T12)82
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 6:42ORLDedmon 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:56MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:56MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:15MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 7:16ORLMISS Smith 12' Turnaround Jump Shot80
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 7:33MIAGreen 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Deng 5 AST)80
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 7:46ORLWatson Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)80
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 7:56MIAGreen Running Dunk (7 PTS)77
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 8:01MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 8:02ORLMISS Nicholson 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 8:13MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)77
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 8:20MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 8:21ORLMISS Napier 21' Pullup Jump Shot77
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 8:38ORLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)77
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 8:39MIAMISS Green 18' Jump Shot77
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 9:01ORLMarble 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)77
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 9:10MIADragic 2' Layup (13 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)74
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 9:19ORLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)74
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 9:21ORLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)71
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 9:22ORLMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 9:26ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 9:28MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 9:50ORLWatson Foul Turnover (P1.T16)71
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 10:09MIADeng Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T11)71
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 10:25MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 10:26ORLMISS Smith 12' Turnaround Jump Shot71
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 10:48MIAGreen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)71
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 11:07MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 11:08ORLMISS Napier 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 11:20ORLWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q4 - 11:21MIAMISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q4 - 11:41ORLSmith 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)71
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL69
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound69
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Hezonja 55' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot69
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)69
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q3 - 0:27.0ORLMISS Nicholson 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAJohnson 16' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)69
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0ORLMISS Hezonja 4' Hook Shot69
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q3 - 1:00MIADeng 2' Cutting Layup Shot (18 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)69
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q3 - 1:17ORLFournier 3' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Vucevic 2 AST)69
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q3 - 1:38MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Deng 4 AST)67
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q3 - 1:44ORLWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)67
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q3 - 1:51ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
3.7%
82
96.3%
Q3 - 1:52MIAMISS Whiteside 17' Jump Shot67
3.5%
82
96.5%
Q3 - 2:03MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
3.5%
82
96.5%
Q3 - 2:04ORLMISS Vucevic 16' Jump Shot67
3.7%
82
96.3%
Q3 - 2:21MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)67
4.2%
82
95.8%
Q3 - 2:32MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)67
4.9%
80
95.1%
Q3 - 2:33ORLMISS Vucevic Free Throw 2 of 267
5.1%
80
94.9%
Q3 - 2:33ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)67
5.7%
80
94.3%
Q3 - 2:48ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
5.0%
80
95.0%
Q3 - 2:49MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Jump Shot66
4.7%
80
95.3%
Q3 - 2:59MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)66
4.1%
80
95.9%
Q3 - 3:00ORLMISS Fournier 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
4.4%
80
95.6%
Q3 - 3:22MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)66
5.5%
80
94.5%
Q3 - 3:31MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
6.4%
78
93.6%
Q3 - 3:32ORLMISS Vucevic 15' Jump Shot66
6.7%
78
93.3%
Q3 - 3:51MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)66
7.6%
78
92.4%
Q3 - 3:51MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)66
8.1%
77
91.9%
Q3 - 4:00MIAHEAT Rebound66
8.9%
76
91.1%
Q3 - 4:01MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
10.6%
76
89.4%
Q3 - 4:30ORLFournier 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Nicholson 1 AST)66
9.3%
76
90.7%
Q3 - 4:38ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
7.0%
76
93.0%
Q3 - 4:39MIAMISS Winslow 6' Jump Shot63
6.6%
76
93.4%
Q3 - 5:02ORLVucevic 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Hezonja 1 AST)63
6.3%
76
93.7%
Q3 - 5:15ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
5.5%
76
94.5%
Q3 - 5:16MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
5.2%
76
94.8%
Q3 - 5:31MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
4.6%
76
95.4%
Q3 - 5:32ORLMISS Nicholson 18' Jump Shot61
4.8%
76
95.2%
Q3 - 5:55MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS)61
5.4%
76
94.6%
Q3 - 6:05ORLWade STEAL (3 STL)61
6.7%
74
93.3%
Q3 - 6:16MIADeng 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)61
7.9%
74
92.1%
Q3 - 6:22MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)61
9.0%
72
91.0%
Q3 - 6:23ORLMISS Payton 6' Floating Jump Shot61
9.4%
72
90.6%
Q3 - 6:39MIAWade 3' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)61
10.5%
72
89.5%
Q3 - 7:01ORLFournier Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)61
12.3%
70
87.7%
Q3 - 7:04MIADragic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)58
9.5%
70
90.5%
Q3 - 7:15ORLFournier 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (13 PTS)58
8.1%
70
91.9%
Q3 - 7:39MIAWhiteside 5' Hook Shot (12 PTS)56
7.2%
70
92.8%
Q3 - 7:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)56
8.1%
68
91.9%
Q3 - 7:44MIAMISS Dragic 12' Pullup Jump Shot56
9.0%
68
91.0%
Q3 - 8:05ORLVucevic 1' Cutting Layup Shot (16 PTS) (Fournier 5 AST)56
8.4%
68
91.6%
Q3 - 8:22ORLIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
7.5%
68
92.5%
Q3 - 8:24ORLMISS Vucevic 18' Jump Shot54
6.7%
68
93.3%
Q3 - 8:40MIADeng 2' Running Layup (14 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)54
7.4%
68
92.6%
Q3 - 8:46ORLDragic STEAL (1 STL)54
8.4%
66
91.6%
Q3 - 8:58ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
9.8%
66
90.2%
Q3 - 8:59MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
9.3%
66
90.7%
Q3 - 9:18ORLJohnson STEAL (1 STL)54
8.8%
66
91.2%
Q3 - 9:35MIAWhiteside 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)54
10.1%
66
89.9%
Q3 - 10:00ORLFournier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)54
11.4%
64
88.6%
Q3 - 10:07ORLMagic Rebound51
9.2%
64
90.8%
Q3 - 10:08ORLMISS Vucevic 5' Hook Shot51
8.4%
64
91.6%
Q3 - 10:23MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)51
9.2%
64
90.8%
Q3 - 10:34ORLVucevic 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)51
10.3%
62
89.7%
Q3 - 10:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)49
9.2%
62
90.8%
Q3 - 10:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)49
9.4%
61
90.6%
Q3 - 11:03ORLWade STEAL (2 STL)49
10.8%
60
89.2%
Q3 - 11:18MIADeng 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)49
12.2%
60
87.8%
Q3 - 11:30MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)49
13.6%
58
86.4%
Q3 - 11:31ORLMISS Hezonja 16' Jump Shot49
14.2%
58
85.8%
Q3 - 11:45MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
15.4%
58
84.6%
Q3 - 11:45MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)49
16.0%
57
84.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
17.2%
56
82.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound49
17.2%
56
82.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Vucevic 19' Step Back Jump Shot49
17.8%
56
82.2%
Q2 - 0:06.0ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
19.6%
56
80.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot49
19.2%
56
80.8%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)49
18.2%
56
81.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0ORLMISS Payton 18' Pullup Jump Shot49
18.6%
56
81.4%
Q2 - 0:40.0ORLMagic Rebound49
19.6%
56
80.4%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot49
19.1%
56
80.9%
Q2 - 0:52.0ORLWade STEAL (1 STL)49
18.1%
56
81.9%
Q2 - 0:59.0ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
19.6%
56
80.4%
Q2 - 1:00MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
19.1%
56
80.9%
Q2 - 1:25ORLVucevic 2' Tip Layup Shot (12 PTS)49
18.8%
56
81.2%
Q2 - 1:26ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
16.1%
56
83.9%
Q2 - 1:27ORLMISS Vucevic 1' Layup47
15.5%
56
84.5%
Q2 - 1:34ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
16.1%
56
83.9%
Q2 - 1:35MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
15.8%
56
84.2%
Q2 - 1:48MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)47
15.2%
56
84.8%
Q2 - 1:49ORLMISS Payton 8' Jump Shot47
15.5%
56
84.5%
Q2 - 1:55ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
16.1%
56
83.9%
Q2 - 1:56MIAMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot47
15.8%
56
84.2%
Q2 - 2:15ORLVucevic Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)47
15.2%
56
84.8%
Q2 - 2:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)47
16.8%
56
83.2%
Q2 - 2:33ORLFournier Running Dunk (8 PTS) (Marble 1 AST)47
20.6%
53
79.4%
Q2 - 2:38MIADeng Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)45
18.6%
53
81.4%
Q2 - 2:54ORLPayton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Vucevic 1 AST)45
16.9%
53
83.1%
Q2 - 3:08MIAWade Cutting Dunk Shot (6 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)42
14.2%
53
85.8%
Q2 - 3:22ORLVucevic 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)42
15.5%
51
84.5%
Q2 - 3:36MIAWhiteside 3' Hook Shot (6 PTS)40
14.2%
51
85.8%
Q2 - 3:38MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)40
15.5%
49
84.5%
Q2 - 3:39MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot40
16.8%
49
83.2%
Q2 - 3:50MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)40
15.5%
49
84.5%
Q2 - 3:51ORLMISS Payton Free Throw 2 of 240
15.7%
49
84.3%
Q2 - 3:51ORLPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
16.5%
49
83.5%
Q2 - 3:56MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
15.7%
49
84.3%
Q2 - 3:56MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
16.2%
48
83.8%
Q2 - 4:10MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
17.5%
47
82.5%
Q2 - 4:11ORLMISS Fournier 18' Pullup Jump Shot39
18.1%
47
81.9%
Q2 - 4:23ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
19.3%
47
80.7%
Q2 - 4:24MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 239
19.1%
47
80.9%
Q2 - 4:24MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)39
17.9%
47
82.1%
Q2 - 4:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
19.2%
46
80.8%
Q2 - 4:26ORLMISS Marble 15' Jump Shot39
19.8%
46
80.2%
Q2 - 4:35MIARichardson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)39
21.2%
46
78.8%
Q2 - 4:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
19.2%
46
80.8%
Q2 - 4:45ORLMISS Vucevic 16' Jump Shot39
19.8%
46
80.2%
Q2 - 4:58MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
21.2%
46
78.8%
Q2 - 4:58MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)39
21.7%
45
78.3%
Q2 - 5:12ORLMarble Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)39
23.3%
44
76.7%
Q2 - 5:23MIARichardson 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)39
25.4%
44
74.6%
Q2 - 5:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
27.5%
42
72.5%
Q2 - 5:29ORLMISS Fournier 20' Jump Shot39
28.2%
42
71.8%
Q2 - 5:46ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
29.9%
42
70.1%
Q2 - 5:47MIAMISS Wade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot39
29.1%
42
70.9%
Q2 - 5:55ORLGreen STEAL (1 STL)39
27.5%
42
72.5%
Q2 - 6:13MIAWinslow Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)39
30.3%
42
69.7%
Q2 - 6:16MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
27.5%
42
72.5%
Q2 - 6:17ORLMISS Fournier 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
28.3%
42
71.7%
Q2 - 6:36ORLMarble REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
30.3%
42
69.7%
Q2 - 6:37MIAMISS Winslow 19' Jump Shot39
29.4%
42
70.6%
Q2 - 6:56ORLVucevic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)39
27.5%
42
72.5%
Q2 - 7:19MIAGreen Dunk (2 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)39
30.2%
42
69.8%
Q2 - 7:38ORLWatson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Fournier 4 AST)39
32.3%
40
67.7%
Q2 - 7:44MIAMcRoberts Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)36
28.1%
40
71.9%
Q2 - 8:04ORLMarble Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)36
25.9%
40
74.1%
Q2 - 8:19MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
28.0%
40
72.0%
Q2 - 8:19MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)36
28.6%
39
71.4%
Q2 - 8:22ORLWinslow STEAL (1 STL)36
30.0%
38
70.0%
Q2 - 8:38ORLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
32.3%
38
67.7%
Q2 - 8:39MIAMISS Dragic 18' Pullup Jump Shot36
31.6%
38
68.4%
Q2 - 8:54MIAHEAT Rebound36
30.0%
38
70.0%
Q2 - 8:55MIAMISS Green 8' Turnaround Jump Shot36
31.6%
38
68.4%
Q2 - 9:11ORLFournier 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)36
29.8%
38
70.2%
Q2 - 9:28MIAMcRoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
28.1%
38
71.9%
Q2 - 9:28MIAMISS McRoberts Free Throw 1 of 234
28.5%
37
71.5%
Q2 - 9:28MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
27.8%
37
72.2%
Q2 - 9:29MIAMISS Deng 14' Jump Shot34
29.4%
37
70.6%
Q2 - 9:47ORLMarble 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)34
27.8%
37
72.2%
Q2 - 9:51ORLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
26.1%
37
73.9%
Q2 - 9:52MIAMISS McRoberts 7' Turnaround Jump Shot32
25.4%
37
74.6%
Q2 - 10:06ORLNicholson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
24.1%
37
75.9%
Q2 - 10:06ORLNicholson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
23.7%
37
76.3%
Q2 - 10:29MIAMcRoberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)30
22.7%
37
77.3%
Q2 - 10:47ORLNicholson 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS)30
25.9%
34
74.1%
Q2 - 11:05MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)28
24.3%
34
75.7%
Q2 - 11:14MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
28.0%
31
72.0%
Q2 - 11:15ORLMISS Hezonja 16' Step Back Jump Shot28
28.6%
31
71.4%
Q2 - 11:37ORLWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
30.0%
31
70.0%
Q2 - 11:38MIAMISS McRoberts 5' Jump Shot28
29.4%
31
70.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL28
28.0%
31
72.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWinslow Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)28
30.0%
31
70.0%
Q1 - 0:05.0ORLHezonja 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)28
28.3%
31
71.7%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)25
24.2%
31
75.8%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)25
24.5%
30
75.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0ORLNicholson 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)25
26.4%
29
73.6%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)23
24.2%
29
75.8%
Q1 - 1:00ORLHezonja 17' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)23
28.3%
26
71.7%
Q1 - 1:06ORLMarble REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
26.0%
26
74.0%
Q1 - 1:08MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
25.6%
26
74.4%
Q1 - 1:17MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
24.7%
26
75.3%
Q1 - 1:18ORLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot21
25.1%
26
74.9%
Q1 - 1:32MIADragic 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)21
26.0%
26
74.0%
Q1 - 1:41MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
28.4%
24
71.6%
Q1 - 1:43ORLMISS Ilyasova 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
28.8%
24
71.2%
Q1 - 1:47ORLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
29.7%
24
70.3%
Q1 - 1:49ORLMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot21
28.8%
24
71.2%
Q1 - 1:53ORLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
29.7%
24
70.3%
Q1 - 1:54ORLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot21
28.8%
24
71.2%
Q1 - 2:09MIADragic 1' Layup (6 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)21
30.0%
24
70.0%
Q1 - 2:20ORLDeng STEAL (2 STL)21
32.2%
22
67.8%
Q1 - 2:34MIAJohnson 4' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)21
34.0%
22
66.0%
Q1 - 2:41MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
36.3%
20
63.7%
Q1 - 2:42ORLMISS Ilyasova 1' Layup21
36.9%
20
63.1%
Q1 - 2:47MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)21
38.2%
20
61.8%
Q1 - 3:10ORLFournier 1' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)21
35.9%
20
64.1%
Q1 - 3:14ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
34.1%
20
65.9%
Q1 - 3:15MIAMISS Richardson 18' Pullup Jump Shot19
33.4%
20
66.6%
Q1 - 3:36ORLPayton 1' Layup (4 PTS)19
31.9%
20
68.1%
Q1 - 3:42ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
30.2%
20
69.8%
Q1 - 3:43MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot17
29.6%
20
70.4%
Q1 - 3:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
28.2%
20
71.8%
Q1 - 3:56ORLMISS Ilyasova 16' Jump Shot17
28.8%
20
71.2%
Q1 - 4:14MIAWade 8' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
30.1%
20
69.9%
Q1 - 4:21MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
31.7%
18
68.3%
Q1 - 4:22ORLMISS Vucevic 19' Jump Shot17
32.4%
18
67.6%
Q1 - 4:32MIAWinslow 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)17
33.9%
18
66.1%
Q1 - 4:53ORLFournier 19' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
37.6%
15
62.4%
Q1 - 5:17MIAWhiteside Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)15
35.5%
15
64.5%
Q1 - 5:38ORLHezonja 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Fournier 3 AST)15
33.5%
15
66.5%
Q1 - 5:42ORLMagic Rebound12
30.0%
15
70.0%
Q1 - 5:42ORLWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)12
28.8%
15
71.2%
Q1 - 5:51MIADeng Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
30.0%
15
70.0%
Q1 - 6:05ORLVucevic 11' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS)12
28.3%
15
71.7%
Q1 - 6:24MIAWade 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
26.8%
15
73.2%
Q1 - 6:35ORLIlyasova 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)10
28.3%
13
71.7%
Q1 - 6:48ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
30.0%
13
70.0%
Q1 - 6:49MIAMISS Johnson 2' Layup10
29.5%
13
70.5%
Q1 - 6:59MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
28.3%
13
71.7%
Q1 - 7:00ORLMISS Ilyasova 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
28.8%
13
71.2%
Q1 - 7:17MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
30.1%
13
69.9%
Q1 - 7:17MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
30.6%
12
69.4%
Q1 - 7:36ORLVucevic 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)10
31.4%
11
68.6%
Q1 - 7:55MIADragic 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)8
30.1%
11
69.9%
Q1 - 8:08ORLHezonja 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)8
31.5%
9
68.5%
Q1 - 8:22MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
30.0%
9
70.0%
Q1 - 8:43ORLPayton 1' Layup (2 PTS)6
31.4%
7
68.6%
Q1 - 8:45ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
30.0%
7
70.0%
Q1 - 8:46ORLDragic BLOCK (1 BLK)4
28.8%
7
71.2%
Q1 - 9:10MIADeng 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)4
30.0%
7
70.0%
Q1 - 9:15MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
31.3%
5
68.7%
Q1 - 9:16ORLMISS Fournier 17' Pullup Jump Shot4
31.9%
5
68.1%
Q1 - 9:34MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
33.3%
5
66.7%
Q1 - 9:54MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 9:55ORLMISS Fournier 5' Floating Jump Shot4
37.0%
2
63.0%
Q1 - 10:04ORLMagic Rebound4
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 10:05ORLWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)4
36.9%
2
63.1%
Q1 - 10:12MIADeng 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 10:24ORLDeng STEAL (1 STL)4
39.8%
0
60.2%
Q1 - 10:35MIAWhiteside Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T1)4
41.9%
0
58.1%
Q1 - 10:56ORLVucevic 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Fournier 2 AST)4
39.8%
0
60.2%
Q1 - 11:11ORLIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
37.7%
0
62.3%
Q1 - 11:12MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 22
37.5%
0
62.5%
Q1 - 11:12MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 22
36.4%
0
63.6%
Q1 - 11:36ORLVucevic 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Fournier 1 AST)2
36.2%
0
63.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Vucevic: Tip to Hezonja0
34.5%
0
65.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.03 51.6%
MIA
1.27 63.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
14
21
67%
MIA
27
32
84%
Midrange
ORL
16
44
36%
MIA
10
25
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
MIA
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
Free Throws
ORL
15
19
79%
MIA
26
30
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Fournier2166%10.5 / 16
N. Vučević1953%9.5 / 18
M. Hezonja1063%5.0 / 8
D. Marble950%4.5 / 9
E. Payton844%4.0 / 9
A. Nicholson850%4.0 / 8
C. Watson880%4.0 / 5
J. Smith536%2.5 / 7
S. Napier450%2.0 / 4
D. Dedmon467%2.0 / 3
E. Ilyasova0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Deng2067%10.0 / 15
G. Dragic1973%9.5 / 13
H. Whiteside1882%9.0 / 11
D. Wade1785%8.5 / 10
G. Green1563%7.5 / 12
J. Richardson956%4.5 / 8
J. Johnson739%3.5 / 9
J. McRoberts638%3.0 / 8
J. Winslow563%2.5 / 4
B. Weber2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
82
+10
-16
92
MIA
86
+6
-12
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.03 51.6%
MIA
1.27 63.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.6
106.0
ORL 98.0 +22.4
MIA 120.4
Pace
95.6
93.7
ORL 101.7 +7.2
MIA 94.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.0
ORL 14.2 +1.1
MIA 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
50.8%
ORL 48.8%
MIA 59.7% +10.9%
TO %
14.1%
14.0%
ORL 14.9%
MIA 11.7% +3.2%
ORB %
23.2%
23.9%
ORL 14.0% +1.9%
MIA 12.1%
FTrt
23.2
28.2
ORL 22.9
MIA 39.0 +16.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.6%
54.3%
ORL 48.6%
MIA 65.1% +16.5%
STL %
8.5%
7.2%
ORL 6.1%
MIA 10.2% +4.1%
BLK %
8.7%
10.3%
ORL 1.8%
MIA 4.6% +2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
52.8%
ORL 51.6%
MIA 63.4% +11.8%
Rim FG%
58.0%
62.3%
ORL 66.7%
MIA 84.4% +17.7%
Mid FG%
41.3%
40.5%
ORL 36.4%
MIA 40.0% +3.6%
3P %
35.0%
33.6%
ORL 38.9% +8.9%
MIA 30.0%
FT %
75.7%
74.4%
ORL 78.9%
MIA 86.7% +7.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
37.0%
ORL 25.3%
MIA 41.6% +16.3%
Mid Att. %
39.3%
40.9%
ORL 53.0%
MIA 32.5% +20.5%
3P Att. %
25.5%
22.1%
ORL 21.7%
MIA 26.0% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points96118
Rebounds3541
Assists1828
Steals610
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (4)4 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)37 (2)
Field Goals37-8343-77
At-the-Rim FG14-2127-32
Midrange FG16-4410-25
2-Point FG30-6537-57
3-Point FG7-186-20
Free Throws15-1926-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 218 · 21
31.8
10
63%
3
1
1
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 205 · 23
31.5
21
66%
2
5
1
0
2
1
0
2
1-1
100%
7-12
58%
2-4
50%
C · 6'10" 260 · 25
29.8
19
53%
8
2
1
0
3
3
1
7
1-2
50%
9-17
53%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 185 · 22
25.8
8
44%
4
4
1
0
2
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-7
29%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 235 · 29
16.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 200 · 24
26.6
9
50%
2
1
1
0
2
1
0
2
4-6
67%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
22.9
8
50%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 32
22.2
8
80%
3
2
1
0
1
4
0
3
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30
12.7
5
36%
6
1
0
1
1
2
3
3
1-1
100%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 25
12.0
4
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 245 · 27
7.9
4
67%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 24
G · 6'1" 170 · 27
#0 · F · 6'8" 235 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
52%
35
18
6
1
16
0
6
29
15-19
79%
30-65
46%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.