FinalWin Prob.pScore
276%108
98
2324%98
102
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
100.09894.1
DEN logo DEN
103.099103.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN98
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)98
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASMISS Mills 27' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 0:10.0DENHarris Driving Dunk (6 PTS)98
4.2%
102
95.8%
Q4 - 0:12.0SASHarris STEAL (1 STL)98
9.8%
100
90.2%
Q4 - 0:30.0DENHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)98
36.7%
100
63.3%
Q4 - 0:30.0DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)98
39.8%
99
60.2%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASMartin Foul Turnover (P2.T9)98
51.9%
98
48.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0DENNurkic 3' Layup (21 PTS)98
72.5%
98
27.5%
Q4 - 0:44.0DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)98
82.9%
96
17.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0DENMISS Nurkic 3' Jump Shot98
89.3%
96
10.7%
Q4 - 1:01SASMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)98
81.3%
96
18.7%
Q4 - 1:01SASMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)97
80.3%
96
19.7%
Q4 - 1:14DENJokic Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)96
71.6%
96
28.4%
Q4 - 1:14DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)96
73.6%
95
26.4%
Q4 - 1:24DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)96
80.6%
94
19.4%
Q4 - 1:25SASMISS A. Miller 17' Jump Shot96
83.5%
94
16.5%
Q4 - 1:45DENNurkic 2' Reverse Layup (19 PTS) (Mudiay 5 AST)96
87.9%
94
12.1%
Q4 - 1:53DENNUGGETS Rebound96
91.9%
92
8.1%
Q4 - 1:54DENMISS Mudiay 2' Driving Layup96
94.2%
92
5.8%
Q4 - 2:02DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)96
91.6%
92
8.4%
Q4 - 2:04SASMISS West 17' Step Back Jump Shot96
92.9%
92
7.1%
Q4 - 2:21SASMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)96
95.3%
92
4.7%
Q4 - 2:22DENMISS Barton 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
94.4%
92
5.6%
Q4 - 2:27DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)96
91.5%
92
8.5%
Q4 - 2:30SASMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
95.4%
92
4.6%
Q4 - 2:30SASMISS Martin 1' Tip Layup Shot96
92.9%
92
7.1%
Q4 - 2:31SASMISS Martin 7' Floating Jump Shot96
92.9%
92
7.1%
Q4 - 2:47SASMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
95.4%
92
4.6%
Q4 - 2:48DENMISS Mudiay 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
94.4%
92
5.6%
Q4 - 3:01DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)96
90.0%
92
10.0%
Q4 - 3:02SASMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
91.4%
92
8.6%
Q4 - 3:21SASWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)96
94.2%
92
5.8%
Q4 - 3:22DENMISS Nurkic 4' Hook Shot96
93.1%
92
6.9%
Q4 - 3:41SASDuncan 22' Jump Shot (21 PTS)96
88.7%
92
11.3%
Q4 - 4:05SASMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
85.0%
92
15.0%
Q4 - 4:06DENMISS Barton 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
83.3%
92
16.7%
Q4 - 4:14SASSimmons 2' Layup (15 PTS) (A. Miller 5 AST)94
79.0%
92
21.0%
Q4 - 4:22DENMudiay Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)92
72.7%
92
27.3%
Q4 - 4:33SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)92
63.7%
92
36.3%
Q4 - 4:33SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 291
61.7%
92
38.3%
Q4 - 4:57DENMudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)91
64.5%
92
35.5%
Q4 - 5:04DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)91
78.7%
89
21.3%
Q4 - 5:05DENMISS Harris 3' Layup91
82.5%
89
17.5%
Q4 - 5:24SASWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)91
78.7%
89
21.3%
Q4 - 5:24SASWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)90
77.6%
89
22.4%
Q4 - 5:47DENNurkic 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)89
73.1%
89
26.9%
Q4 - 6:00SASSimmons 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (A. Miller 4 AST)89
78.7%
87
21.3%
Q4 - 6:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
74.5%
87
25.5%
Q4 - 6:06DENMISS Barton 11' Jump Shot87
72.5%
87
27.5%
Q4 - 6:16DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)87
67.4%
87
32.6%
Q4 - 6:17SASNurkic BLOCK (2 BLK)87
69.6%
87
30.4%
Q4 - 6:36DENNurkic 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)87
74.4%
87
25.6%
Q4 - 6:50DENNUGGETS Rebound87
79.0%
85
21.0%
Q4 - 6:52SASMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
80.7%
85
19.3%
Q4 - 6:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
84.1%
85
15.9%
Q4 - 7:00DENMISS Nurkic 2' Layup87
82.7%
85
17.3%
Q4 - 7:10DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
80.0%
85
20.0%
Q4 - 7:10SASMISS A. Miller 2' Finger Roll Layup87
81.4%
85
18.6%
Q4 - 7:35DENBarton Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)87
84.4%
85
15.6%
Q4 - 7:35DENMISS Barton Free Throw 1 of 287
85.0%
84
15.0%
Q4 - 7:49SASSimmons 3' Driving Layup (11 PTS)87
84.0%
84
16.0%
Q4 - 7:54SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
80.3%
84
19.7%
Q4 - 7:55DENMISS Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
78.8%
84
21.2%
Q4 - 8:11SASWest 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (A. Miller 3 AST)85
75.2%
84
24.8%
Q4 - 8:29SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
70.0%
84
30.0%
Q4 - 8:29DENMISS Jokic 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
68.4%
84
31.6%
Q4 - 8:45SASSimmons Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)83
64.5%
84
35.5%
Q4 - 8:48SASMISS Simmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
47.5%
84
52.5%
Q4 - 9:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
54.1%
84
45.9%
Q4 - 9:07DENMISS Augustin 18' Jump Shot80
52.2%
84
47.8%
Q4 - 9:27SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)80
47.8%
84
52.2%
Q4 - 9:27SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 279
46.4%
84
53.6%
Q4 - 9:48DENNurkic 3' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)79
47.9%
84
52.1%
Q4 - 10:04SASWest 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)79
55.3%
82
44.7%
Q4 - 10:11SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
49.9%
82
50.1%
Q4 - 10:13DENMISS Toupane 4' Hook Shot77
48.1%
82
51.9%
Q4 - 10:28SASSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)77
43.9%
82
56.1%
Q4 - 10:28SASSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)76
42.7%
82
57.3%
Q4 - 10:32SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
38.7%
82
61.3%
Q4 - 10:34DENMISS Toupane 1' Alley Oop Layup75
36.9%
82
63.1%
Q4 - 10:40DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
33.1%
82
66.9%
Q4 - 10:41SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
34.8%
82
65.2%
Q4 - 10:55DENToupane 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)75
38.6%
82
61.4%
Q4 - 11:15SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Marjanovic 2 AST)75
50.4%
79
49.6%
Q4 - 11:36DENLauvergne Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)72
39.9%
79
60.1%
Q4 - 11:36DENLauvergne Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)72
40.7%
78
59.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN72
44.9%
77
55.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
44.9%
77
55.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Marjanovic Free Throw 2 of 272
45.7%
77
54.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMarjanovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)72
48.9%
77
51.1%
Q3 - 0:09.0DENMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lauvergne 3 AST)71
47.3%
77
52.7%
Q3 - 0:28.0SASMarjanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)71
57.3%
74
42.7%
Q3 - 0:28.0SASMarjanovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)70
56.0%
74
44.0%
Q3 - 0:32.0SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
52.3%
74
47.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0DENMISS Mudiay 18' Jump Shot69
50.7%
74
49.3%
Q3 - 0:48.0SASBonner 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Marjanovic 1 AST)69
47.0%
74
53.0%
Q3 - 1:06DENSampson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)67
44.4%
74
55.6%
Q3 - 1:06DENSampson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)67
45.8%
73
54.2%
Q3 - 1:21SASMartin Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)67
49.0%
72
51.0%
Q3 - 1:24SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
39.5%
72
60.5%
Q3 - 1:25DENMISS Lauvergne 3' Hook Shot64
38.0%
72
62.0%
Q3 - 1:38SASMartin 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Mills 7 AST)64
34.7%
72
65.3%
Q3 - 1:49DENLauvergne Foul Turnover (P4.T10)62
30.5%
72
69.5%
Q3 - 1:57DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
26.4%
72
73.6%
Q3 - 1:57SASMISS Mills 23' Jump Shot62
27.6%
72
72.4%
Q3 - 2:16DENSampson Driving Dunk (14 PTS) (Mudiay 4 AST)62
33.1%
72
66.9%
Q3 - 2:22SASJokic STEAL (1 STL)62
37.0%
70
63.0%
Q3 - 2:26DENLauvergne 2' Hook Shot (6 PTS)62
41.7%
70
58.3%
Q3 - 2:35DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
45.9%
68
54.1%
Q3 - 2:36DENMISS Lauvergne 2' Layup62
49.3%
68
50.7%
Q3 - 2:53DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)62
45.9%
68
54.1%
Q3 - 2:54DENMISS Sampson 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
49.3%
68
50.7%
Q3 - 2:58DENMISS Lauvergne 2' Reverse Layup62
49.3%
68
50.7%
Q3 - 3:22SASWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)62
47.6%
68
52.4%
Q3 - 3:22SASMISS West Free Throw 1 of 261
46.8%
68
53.2%
Q3 - 3:37DENMudiay 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Lauvergne 2 AST)61
48.0%
68
52.0%
Q3 - 3:54SASWest 2' Layup (10 PTS) (A. Miller 2 AST)61
56.5%
65
43.5%
Q3 - 3:57SASA. Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
52.4%
65
47.6%
Q3 - 3:58SASMISS A. Miller 2' Driving Layup59
49.0%
65
51.0%
Q3 - 4:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
54.0%
65
46.0%
Q3 - 4:12DENMISS Barton 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
52.5%
65
47.5%
Q3 - 4:31DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
49.0%
65
51.0%
Q3 - 4:31SASMISS West 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
50.5%
65
49.5%
Q3 - 4:55DENSampson Driving Dunk (12 PTS)59
53.9%
65
46.1%
Q3 - 4:59SASSampson STEAL (2 STL)59
57.5%
63
42.5%
Q3 - 5:12SASA. Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
62.9%
63
37.1%
Q3 - 5:13DENMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
61.6%
63
38.4%
Q3 - 5:21DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
58.6%
63
41.4%
Q3 - 5:22SASMISS Anderson 18' Jump Shot59
59.9%
63
40.1%
Q3 - 5:27SASA. Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
62.9%
63
37.1%
Q3 - 5:27DENMISS Mudiay 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
61.6%
63
38.4%
Q3 - 5:44DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
58.5%
63
41.5%
Q3 - 5:45SASMISS Anderson 17' Jump Shot59
59.9%
63
40.1%
Q3 - 6:11SASSpurs Rebound59
64.1%
63
35.9%
Q3 - 6:12DENMISS Jokic 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
62.8%
63
37.2%
Q3 - 6:35SASA. Miller 2' Cutting Layup Shot (8 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)59
59.9%
63
40.1%
Q3 - 6:48SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
56.4%
63
43.6%
Q3 - 6:48DENMISS Nurkic 4' Hook Shot57
55.1%
63
44.9%
Q3 - 6:57DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)57
52.0%
63
48.0%
Q3 - 6:58SASMISS West 7' Jump Shot57
53.3%
63
46.7%
Q3 - 7:21DENJokic 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)57
57.4%
63
42.6%
Q3 - 7:42DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)57
60.6%
61
39.4%
Q3 - 7:43SASMISS Duncan 8' Driving Hook Shot57
61.8%
61
38.2%
Q3 - 8:01DENSampson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jokic 4 AST)57
65.7%
61
34.3%
Q3 - 8:18DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)57
71.6%
58
28.4%
Q3 - 8:18SASMISS Anderson 10' Turnaround Hook Shot57
72.7%
58
27.3%
Q3 - 8:46DENSampson 10' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)57
74.9%
58
25.1%
Q3 - 9:02DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
77.6%
56
22.4%
Q3 - 9:03SASMISS Anderson 16' Jump Shot57
78.4%
56
21.6%
Q3 - 9:28DENJokic 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nurkic 1 AST)57
80.1%
56
19.9%
Q3 - 9:48SASDuncan 3' Reverse Layup (17 PTS) (West 1 AST)57
82.3%
54
17.7%
Q3 - 9:54SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
80.1%
54
19.9%
Q3 - 9:55DENMISS Nurkic 3' Layup55
79.4%
54
20.6%
Q3 - 10:06DENSampson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
78.1%
54
21.9%
Q3 - 10:07SASJokic BLOCK (1 BLK)55
78.9%
54
21.1%
Q3 - 10:30SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
80.5%
54
19.5%
Q3 - 10:31DENMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
79.8%
54
20.2%
Q3 - 10:37DENSampson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
78.1%
54
21.9%
Q3 - 10:38SASMISS Duncan 21' Jump Shot55
78.8%
54
21.2%
Q3 - 10:58DENSampson 4' Hook Shot (5 PTS)55
80.5%
54
19.5%
Q3 - 11:27SASDuncan 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (A. Miller 1 AST)55
83.1%
52
16.9%
Q3 - 11:43DENSampson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)53
81.3%
52
18.7%
Q3 - 11:43DENMISS Sampson Free Throw 1 of 253
81.9%
51
18.1%
Q3 - 11:46SASNurkic STEAL (2 STL)53
81.1%
51
18.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS53
83.3%
51
16.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound53
83.3%
51
16.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Mills 40' 3PT Jump Shot53
82.0%
51
18.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENBarton 3' Layup (10 PTS)53
82.9%
51
17.1%
Q2 - 0:07.0SASWest 8' Turnaround Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Mills 6 AST)53
85.2%
49
14.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0DENNurkic 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Jokic 3 AST)51
83.0%
49
17.0%
Q2 - 0:40.0DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)51
85.2%
47
14.8%
Q2 - 0:40.0SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
85.6%
47
14.4%
Q2 - 0:45.0SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
86.4%
47
13.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0DENMISS Mudiay 3' Jump Shot51
86.0%
47
14.0%
Q2 - 1:01SASMills Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)51
85.2%
47
14.8%
Q2 - 1:01SASMills Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)50
85.0%
47
15.0%
Q2 - 1:02DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
82.7%
47
17.3%
Q2 - 1:02DENNurkic 3' Tip Layup Shot (9 PTS)49
82.7%
47
17.3%
Q2 - 1:05DENMISS Jokic 5' Turnaround Hook Shot49
85.8%
45
14.2%
Q2 - 1:27SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)49
85.2%
45
14.8%
Q2 - 1:27SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 248
84.8%
45
15.2%
Q2 - 1:43DENNurkic 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Barton 2 AST)48
84.4%
45
15.6%
Q2 - 1:57SASDuncan 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mills 5 AST)48
86.7%
43
13.3%
Q2 - 2:15DENJokic 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Barton 1 AST)46
84.7%
43
15.3%
Q2 - 2:36SASDuncan 3' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Mills 4 AST)46
86.3%
41
13.7%
Q2 - 3:02SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
85.1%
41
14.9%
Q2 - 3:02DENMISS Barton 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
84.5%
41
15.5%
Q2 - 3:11SASDuncan 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS)44
83.2%
41
16.8%
Q2 - 3:32SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
81.8%
41
18.2%
Q2 - 3:33DENMISS Nurkic Free Throw 2 of 242
81.5%
41
18.5%
Q2 - 3:33DENNurkic Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
80.5%
41
19.5%
Q2 - 3:47SASDuncan 3' Layup (6 PTS)42
81.5%
40
18.5%
Q2 - 3:58SASSpurs Rebound40
79.9%
40
20.1%
Q2 - 3:59SASSampson BLOCK (1 BLK)40
78.3%
40
21.7%
Q2 - 4:05DENBarton Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Mudiay 3 AST)40
80.0%
40
20.0%
Q2 - 4:08SASBarton STEAL (2 STL)40
81.7%
38
18.3%
Q2 - 4:10SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
83.4%
38
16.6%
Q2 - 4:11SASMudiay BLOCK (1 BLK)40
82.3%
38
17.7%
Q2 - 4:29DENMudiay 16' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)40
83.5%
38
16.5%
Q2 - 4:44SASSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
84.9%
36
15.1%
Q2 - 4:44SASSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
84.6%
36
15.4%
Q2 - 4:59DENBarton 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Mudiay 2 AST)38
83.5%
36
16.5%
Q2 - 5:14DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
85.1%
34
14.9%
Q2 - 5:14SASMISS Anderson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot38
85.5%
34
14.5%
Q2 - 5:35DENAugustin 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
86.5%
34
13.5%
Q2 - 5:46SASA. Miller 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
87.7%
32
12.3%
Q2 - 6:02DENAugustin Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T9)36
86.6%
32
13.4%
Q2 - 6:11SASDuncan 3' Layup (4 PTS)36
84.9%
32
15.1%
Q2 - 6:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
83.9%
32
16.1%
Q2 - 6:13SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup34
82.6%
32
17.4%
Q2 - 6:20DENNurkic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)34
83.9%
32
16.1%
Q2 - 6:33SASA. Miller 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
82.0%
32
18.0%
Q2 - 6:43SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
80.7%
32
19.3%
Q2 - 6:43DENMISS Toupane 19' Jump Shot32
80.1%
32
19.9%
Q2 - 6:59SASAnderson Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)32
78.5%
32
21.5%
Q2 - 7:15SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
77.3%
32
22.7%
Q2 - 7:16DENMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
76.6%
32
23.4%
Q2 - 7:32SASMartin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)30
75.2%
32
24.8%
Q2 - 7:39SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
71.3%
32
28.7%
Q2 - 7:40DENMISS Barton 13' Jump Shot27
70.5%
32
29.5%
Q2 - 7:48DENToupane REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
68.8%
32
31.2%
Q2 - 7:49SASToupane BLOCK (1 BLK)27
69.6%
32
30.4%
Q2 - 8:03DENNurkic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)27
71.5%
32
28.5%
Q2 - 8:21SASA. Miller 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
69.2%
32
30.8%
Q2 - 8:39DENToupane Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
67.1%
32
32.9%
Q2 - 8:39DENToupane Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
67.7%
31
32.3%
Q2 - 8:47DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
69.2%
30
30.8%
Q2 - 8:48SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
69.9%
30
30.1%
Q2 - 9:01SASMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
72.2%
30
27.8%
Q2 - 9:02DENMISS Augustin 11' Jump Shot25
71.5%
30
28.5%
Q2 - 9:10DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
69.8%
30
30.2%
Q2 - 9:10SASMISS Mills 19' Jump Shot25
70.6%
30
29.4%
Q2 - 9:32DENLauvergne Foul Turnover (P3.T6)25
72.2%
30
27.8%
Q2 - 9:41SASMarjanovic 2' Layup (6 PTS)25
69.8%
30
30.2%
Q2 - 9:44SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
68.0%
30
32.0%
Q2 - 9:44SASMISS Mills 16' Jump Shot23
66.2%
30
33.8%
Q2 - 10:03DENBarton 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Lauvergne 1 AST)23
67.8%
30
32.2%
Q2 - 10:16SASMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)23
69.5%
28
30.5%
Q2 - 10:16SASMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)22
69.3%
28
30.7%
Q2 - 10:26DENLauvergne Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
67.8%
28
32.2%
Q2 - 10:26DENLauvergne Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
68.2%
27
31.8%
Q2 - 10:31SASBarton STEAL (1 STL)21
69.5%
26
30.5%
Q2 - 11:00DENBarton 3' Layup (2 PTS)21
72.0%
26
28.0%
Q2 - 11:16SASMartin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)21
73.8%
24
26.2%
Q2 - 11:22SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
69.9%
24
30.1%
Q2 - 11:23DENMISS Miller 27' 3PT Jump Shot18
69.3%
24
30.7%
Q2 - 11:41DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
67.7%
24
32.3%
Q2 - 11:42SASMISS Marjanovic 14' Turnaround Jump Shot18
68.4%
24
31.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN18
69.9%
24
30.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
67.7%
24
32.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASMISS Martin 3' Driving Layup18
69.0%
24
31.0%
Q1 - 0:22.0DENAugustin 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)18
69.9%
24
30.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0SASMills 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
72.4%
22
27.6%
Q1 - 0:38.0SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
69.9%
22
30.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0DENMISS Barton 5' Jump Shot16
69.5%
22
30.5%
Q1 - 1:00SASSimmons 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)16
68.4%
22
31.6%
Q1 - 1:13SASMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
66.4%
22
33.6%
Q1 - 1:14DENMISS Lauvergne 19' Jump Shot14
65.9%
22
34.1%
Q1 - 1:38SASMarjanovic 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)14
64.9%
22
35.1%
Q1 - 1:49DENLauvergne 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T5)12
62.1%
22
37.9%
Q1 - 1:57DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)12
60.5%
22
39.5%
Q1 - 1:58SASMISS Marjanovic 12' Turnaround Bank Shot12
61.0%
22
39.0%
Q1 - 2:20DENMudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)12
62.8%
22
37.2%
Q1 - 2:34SASMartin 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
67.2%
19
32.8%
Q1 - 2:40DENLauvergne Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)10
64.9%
19
35.1%
Q1 - 2:42DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
63.0%
19
37.0%
Q1 - 2:43SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
63.6%
19
36.4%
Q1 - 3:02DENMudiay 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)10
66.2%
19
33.8%
Q1 - 3:15SASMarjanovic 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)10
67.9%
17
32.1%
Q1 - 3:33DENLauvergne 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
66.1%
17
33.9%
Q1 - 3:38DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)8
67.8%
15
32.2%
Q1 - 3:43SASLauvergne BLOCK (1 BLK)8
68.5%
15
31.5%
Q1 - 3:56DENHarris Foul Turnover (P1.T3)8
69.9%
15
30.1%
Q1 - 4:02SASSampson STEAL (1 STL)8
68.3%
15
31.7%
Q1 - 4:09SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
70.5%
15
29.5%
Q1 - 4:11DENMISS Jokic 2' Layup8
69.8%
15
30.2%
Q1 - 4:16DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
68.3%
15
31.7%
Q1 - 4:17SASMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
69.0%
15
31.0%
Q1 - 4:24DENMudiay Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)8
70.5%
15
29.5%
Q1 - 4:29DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
68.3%
15
31.7%
Q1 - 4:30SASMISS Mills 15' Jump Shot8
69.0%
15
31.0%
Q1 - 4:47DENHarris 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
70.5%
15
29.5%
Q1 - 4:52DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
71.9%
13
28.1%
Q1 - 4:53SASMISS Martin 16' Jump Shot8
72.6%
13
27.4%
Q1 - 5:05SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
74.4%
13
25.6%
Q1 - 5:06DENMISS Mudiay 11' Turnaround Jump Shot8
73.9%
13
26.1%
Q1 - 5:27DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
72.6%
13
27.4%
Q1 - 5:28SASMISS A. Miller 15' Jump Shot8
73.2%
13
26.8%
Q1 - 5:50DENMudiay 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Jokic 2 AST)8
74.3%
13
25.7%
Q1 - 6:11SASDuncan 2' Hook Shot (2 PTS)8
76.2%
11
23.8%
Q1 - 6:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
74.9%
11
25.1%
Q1 - 6:12SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup6
73.7%
11
26.3%
Q1 - 6:21SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
74.8%
11
25.2%
Q1 - 6:22DENMISS Nurkic 2' Layup6
74.3%
11
25.7%
Q1 - 6:30DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)6
73.2%
11
26.8%
Q1 - 6:30SASMISS Anderson 7' Floating Jump Shot6
73.7%
11
26.3%
Q1 - 6:35SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
74.8%
11
25.2%
Q1 - 6:36SASMISS Anderson 8' Floating Jump Shot6
73.7%
11
26.3%
Q1 - 6:42DENMudiay Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
74.8%
11
25.2%
Q1 - 6:47DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
73.2%
11
26.8%
Q1 - 6:48SASMISS West 3' Driving Layup6
73.7%
11
26.3%
Q1 - 7:06SASA. Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
75.4%
11
24.6%
Q1 - 7:07DENMISS Nurkic 21' Jump Shot6
74.9%
11
25.1%
Q1 - 7:15DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
73.7%
11
26.3%
Q1 - 7:15SASMISS West 21' Jump Shot6
74.2%
11
25.8%
Q1 - 7:33DENSampson 5' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
75.4%
11
24.6%
Q1 - 7:40DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)6
76.5%
9
23.5%
Q1 - 7:41DENMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
77.7%
9
22.3%
Q1 - 8:04SASWest 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)6
77.4%
9
22.6%
Q1 - 8:15DENNurkic 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)4
76.1%
9
23.9%
Q1 - 8:32SASWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
77.3%
7
22.7%
Q1 - 8:32SASWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
77.0%
7
23.0%
Q1 - 8:40SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
76.1%
7
23.9%
Q1 - 8:41DENMISS Mudiay 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
75.6%
7
24.4%
Q1 - 8:55DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
74.5%
7
25.5%
Q1 - 8:57SASNurkic BLOCK (1 BLK)2
75.0%
7
25.0%
Q1 - 9:23DENMudiay 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jokic 1 AST)2
76.4%
7
23.6%
Q1 - 9:41DENSampson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
77.5%
5
22.5%
Q1 - 9:42SASMISS West 20' Jump Shot2
78.0%
5
22.0%
Q1 - 9:55DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
79.0%
5
21.0%
Q1 - 9:58SASNurkic STEAL (1 STL)2
81.2%
2
18.8%
Q1 - 10:14DENNurkic 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mudiay 1 AST)2
82.4%
2
17.6%
Q1 - 10:28SASWest Dunk (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)2
83.3%
0
16.7%
Q1 - 10:37SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
82.4%
0
17.6%
Q1 - 10:37DENMISS Jokic 1' Layup0
82.0%
0
18.0%
Q1 - 10:41DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
81.2%
0
18.8%
Q1 - 10:42DENMISS Nurkic 7' Hook Shot0
82.0%
0
18.0%
Q1 - 10:52DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
81.1%
0
18.9%
Q1 - 10:53SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot0
81.5%
0
18.5%
Q1 - 11:06SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
82.4%
0
17.6%
Q1 - 11:08DENMISS Jokic 16' Jump Shot0
82.1%
0
17.9%
Q1 - 11:20SASMudiay STEAL (1 STL)0
81.4%
0
18.6%
Q1 - 11:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
82.4%
0
17.6%
Q1 - 11:37DENMISS Sampson 4' Hook Shot0
82.1%
0
17.9%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nurkic vs. Duncan: Tip to Jokic0
81.4%
0
18.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.99 49.5%
DEN
1.04 52.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
20
33
61%
DEN
22
41
54%
Midrange
SAS
13
38
34%
DEN
12
23
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
DEN
6
9.0
22
27%
41%
Free Throws
SAS
23
28
82%
DEN
16
19
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2158%10.5 / 18
D. West1757%8.5 / 15
K. Martin1765%8.5 / 13
J. Simmons1583%7.5 / 9
B. Marjanovic964%4.5 / 7
A. Miller836%4.0 / 11
P. Mills727%3.5 / 13
K. Anderson211%1.0 / 9
M. Bonner233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nurkić2155%10.5 / 19
E. Mudiay2067%10.0 / 15
J. Sampson1680%8.0 / 10
W. Barton1142%5.5 / 13
N. Jokić840%4.0 / 10
J. Lauvergne850%4.0 / 8
G. Harris643%3.0 / 7
A. Toupane550%2.5 / 5
D. Augustin440%2.0 / 5
M. Miller350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
88
+9
-10
97
DEN
88
+8
-11
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.99 49.5%
DEN
1.04 52.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.2
106.2
SAS 100.0
DEN 103.0 +3.0
Pace
94.0
95.3
SAS 94.1
DEN 103.2 +9.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.9
SAS 15.3
DEN 13.9 +1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
48.9%
SAS 44.1%
DEN 50.0% +5.9%
TO %
13.3%
14.8%
SAS 9.3% +1.1%
DEN 10.4%
ORB %
22.9%
25.8%
SAS 14.9%
DEN 15.6% +0.7%
FTrt
24.6
28.2
SAS 32.9 +10.8
DEN 22.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
60.1%
SAS 55.6% +3.1%
DEN 52.5%
STL %
8.8%
7.7%
SAS 6.1%
DEN 9.1% +3.0%
BLK %
9.6%
8.1%
SAS 12.5% +2.6%
DEN 9.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
51.7%
SAS 49.5%
DEN 52.0% +2.5%
Rim FG%
62.8%
54.8%
SAS 60.6% +6.9%
DEN 53.7%
Mid FG%
43.2%
38.8%
SAS 34.2%
DEN 52.2% +18.0%
3P %
37.5%
33.8%
SAS 21.4%
DEN 27.3% +5.9%
FT %
80.3%
76.6%
SAS 82.1%
DEN 84.2% +2.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.7%
42.5%
SAS 38.8%
DEN 47.7% +8.9%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
29.8%
SAS 44.7%
DEN 26.7% +18.0%
3P Att. %
22.3%
27.7%
SAS 16.5%
DEN 25.6% +9.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASDEN
Possessions9899
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points98102
Rebounds4547
Assists2021
Steals69
Blocks87
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (1)40 (1)
Field Goals36-8540-86
At-the-Rim FG20-3322-41
Midrange FG13-3812-23
2-Point FG33-7134-64
3-Point FG3-146-22
Free Throws23-2816-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 195 · 27
35.1
15
83%
5
0
0
0
2
3
1
4
5-5
100%
5-6
83%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 230 · 23
34.6
2
11%
6
2
0
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-8
13%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 250 · 40
34.5
21
58%
7
2
0
1
2
1
2
5
3-6
50%
9-15
60%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 250 · 36
32.2
17
57%
7
2
1
5
0
3
1
6
5-6
83%
6-11
55%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 40
27.5
8
36%
4
5
3
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-11
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 199 · 33
26.3
17
65%
6
0
1
0
2
1
1
5
5-5
100%
3-7
43%
2-4
50%
G · 6'0" 185 · 28
23.1
7
27%
3
7
1
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-7
14%
1-5
20%
C · 7'3" 290 · 28
13.6
9
64%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 36
13.2
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 225 · 25
F · 6'11" 260 · 31
G · 6'2" 185 · 34
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29
#33 · C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 39
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
50%
45
20
6
8
10
0
7
38
23-28
82%
33-71
46%
3-14
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.