FinalWin Prob.pScore
643%101
87
557%104
95
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
92.69491.4
ATL logo ATL
102.29395.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORATL
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR87
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)87
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)87
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)87
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0TORMISS Lowry 28' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot87
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:21.0ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)87
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 0:21.0ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)87
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0TORValanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)87
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0TORMISS Valanciunas Free Throw 1 of 286
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q4 - 0:38.0TORRaptors Rebound86
3.3%
91
96.7%
Q4 - 0:39.0TORMISS DeRozan 1' Driving Layup86
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)86
4.0%
91
96.0%
Q4 - 0:59.0TORValanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)86
14.7%
88
85.3%
Q4 - 0:59.0TORValanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)85
13.2%
88
86.8%
Q4 - 0:59.0TORRaptors Rebound84
9.0%
88
91.0%
Q4 - 1:00TORMISS Powell 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
5.8%
88
94.2%
Q4 - 1:12TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)84
10.4%
88
89.6%
Q4 - 1:14TORMISS DeRozan 2' Driving Layup84
7.0%
88
93.0%
Q4 - 1:34TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
12.8%
88
87.2%
Q4 - 1:35ATLMISS Teague Free Throw 2 of 284
12.0%
88
88.0%
Q4 - 1:35ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)84
8.6%
88
91.4%
Q4 - 1:46ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)84
13.2%
87
86.8%
Q4 - 1:48TORMISS DeRozan 15' Pullup Jump Shot84
15.3%
87
84.7%
Q4 - 2:05TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
23.1%
87
76.9%
Q4 - 2:06ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
19.9%
87
80.1%
Q4 - 2:25TORValanciunas Dunk (10 PTS) (DeRozan 4 AST)84
13.9%
87
86.1%
Q4 - 2:38ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)82
11.2%
87
88.8%
Q4 - 2:38ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)82
12.1%
86
87.9%
Q4 - 2:42ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)82
14.0%
85
86.0%
Q4 - 2:44ATLMISS Teague 16' Pullup Jump Shot82
20.5%
85
79.5%
Q4 - 3:02ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)82
15.5%
85
84.5%
Q4 - 3:03TORMISS Lowry 27' 3PT Jump Shot82
18.0%
85
82.0%
Q4 - 3:11ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)82
24.8%
85
75.2%
Q4 - 3:29ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
15.4%
85
84.6%
Q4 - 3:31TORMISS Lowry 2' Driving Layup82
21.2%
85
78.8%
Q4 - 3:40TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
25.8%
85
74.2%
Q4 - 3:41ATLMISS Teague Driving Layup82
23.5%
85
76.5%
Q4 - 4:10TORDeRozan 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Patterson 2 AST)82
18.4%
85
81.6%
Q4 - 4:29TORNogueira REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
13.7%
85
86.3%
Q4 - 4:30ATLMISS Millsap 1' Driving Layup80
12.3%
85
87.7%
Q4 - 4:58TORPowell 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST)80
9.4%
85
90.6%
Q4 - 5:04TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
6.7%
85
93.3%
Q4 - 5:07ATLMISS Muscala 2' Cutting Layup Shot77
6.0%
85
94.0%
Q4 - 5:27TORPatterson Foul Turnover (P2.T12)77
4.7%
85
95.3%
Q4 - 5:34ATLMillsap Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)77
6.6%
85
93.4%
Q4 - 5:36ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)77
4.7%
85
95.3%
Q4 - 5:38TORKorver BLOCK (3 BLK)77
5.2%
85
94.8%
Q4 - 6:01ATLMuscala Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Korver 4 AST)77
8.2%
85
91.8%
Q4 - 6:20TORLowry 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)77
10.3%
83
89.7%
Q4 - 6:46ATLHardaway Jr. 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Muscala 1 AST)75
8.1%
83
91.9%
Q4 - 7:07TORPowell 2' Running Layup (7 PTS)75
15.0%
80
85.0%
Q4 - 7:12TORPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
12.1%
80
87.9%
Q4 - 7:14ATLMISS Millsap 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot73
11.1%
80
88.9%
Q4 - 7:28TORJoseph Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)73
9.2%
80
90.8%
Q4 - 7:49ATLKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)73
12.0%
80
88.0%
Q4 - 8:05TORCarroll 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)73
20.5%
77
79.5%
Q4 - 8:10ATLTeague Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)71
16.6%
77
83.4%
Q4 - 8:12ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
13.4%
77
86.6%
Q4 - 8:13TORMISS Lowry 6' Jump Shot71
14.3%
77
85.7%
Q4 - 8:32ATLMillsap Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)71
16.5%
77
83.5%
Q4 - 8:53TORCarroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)71
13.3%
77
86.7%
Q4 - 9:04TORRaptors Rebound68
9.7%
77
90.3%
Q4 - 9:05TORMISS Lowry 17' Step Back Jump Shot68
8.3%
77
91.7%
Q4 - 9:21ATLHorford Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)68
9.6%
77
90.4%
Q4 - 9:22ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)68
7.7%
77
92.3%
Q4 - 9:24TORMISS Biyombo Putback Layup68
8.2%
77
91.8%
Q4 - 9:25TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)68
9.6%
77
90.4%
Q4 - 9:26TORMISS Joseph 2' Driving Layup68
8.2%
77
91.8%
Q4 - 9:40TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)68
9.6%
77
90.4%
Q4 - 9:42ATLMISS Korver 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
8.9%
77
91.1%
Q4 - 9:57TORBiyombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)68
7.6%
77
92.4%
Q4 - 9:57TORBiyombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)67
7.1%
77
92.9%
Q4 - 10:07TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
7.0%
77
93.0%
Q4 - 10:11ATLMISS Schroder 4' Driving Layup66
6.5%
77
93.5%
Q4 - 10:23TORPowell 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST)66
5.5%
77
94.5%
Q4 - 10:51ATLHorford 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Schroder 3 AST)63
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q4 - 11:05ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
6.2%
74
93.8%
Q4 - 11:08TORSchroder BLOCK (1 BLK)63
6.6%
74
93.4%
Q4 - 11:22ATLScott Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)63
7.6%
74
92.4%
Q4 - 11:22ATLScott Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)63
7.9%
73
92.1%
Q4 - 11:31ATLHAWKS Rebound63
9.2%
72
90.8%
Q4 - 11:31TORHardaway Jr. BLOCK (2 BLK)63
9.8%
72
90.2%
Q4 - 11:51ATLKorver 1' Cutting Layup Shot (11 PTS) (Horford 6 AST)63
11.3%
72
88.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL63
13.5%
70
86.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound63
13.5%
70
86.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Schroder 12' Driving Floating Jump Shot63
15.4%
70
84.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
14.6%
70
85.4%
Q3 - 0:09.0ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 19' Step Back Jump Shot63
16.4%
70
83.6%
Q3 - 0:29.0ATLScott REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
14.5%
70
85.5%
Q3 - 0:33.0TORMISS Ross 16' Jump Shot63
15.3%
70
84.7%
Q3 - 0:48.0TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
17.2%
70
82.8%
Q3 - 0:50.0ATLMISS Scott 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
16.3%
70
83.7%
Q3 - 0:59.0TORJoseph 4' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)63
14.5%
70
85.5%
Q3 - 1:20TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
13.0%
70
87.0%
Q3 - 1:22ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
12.3%
70
87.7%
Q3 - 1:35TORBiyombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)61
10.8%
70
89.2%
Q3 - 1:35TORBiyombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)60
10.2%
70
89.8%
Q3 - 1:35TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
9.1%
70
90.9%
Q3 - 1:36TORMISS DeRozan 14' Fadeaway Jumper59
8.0%
70
92.0%
Q3 - 1:56TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
9.1%
70
90.9%
Q3 - 1:58ATLMISS Schroder 22' Jump Shot59
8.6%
70
91.4%
Q3 - 2:12ATLScott REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
8.3%
70
91.7%
Q3 - 2:13TORHardaway Jr. BLOCK (1 BLK)59
8.8%
70
91.2%
Q3 - 2:18TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
9.9%
70
90.1%
Q3 - 2:20ATLMISS Sefolosha 2' Layup59
9.4%
70
90.6%
Q3 - 2:32ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
8.3%
70
91.7%
Q3 - 2:34TORMISS Patterson 3PT Jump Shot59
8.8%
70
91.2%
Q3 - 2:54TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
9.9%
70
90.1%
Q3 - 2:59ATLMISS Millsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
9.4%
70
90.6%
Q3 - 3:06TORHardaway Jr. STEAL (1 STL)59
9.0%
70
91.0%
Q3 - 3:15TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
10.7%
70
89.3%
Q3 - 3:17ATLMISS Muscala 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
10.1%
70
89.9%
Q3 - 3:24ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)59
9.0%
70
91.0%
Q3 - 3:27ATLMISS Schroder 3PT Jump Shot59
10.1%
70
89.9%
Q3 - 3:45ATLHardaway Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
8.9%
70
91.1%
Q3 - 3:47TORMISS DeRozan 3PT Jump Shot59
9.4%
70
90.6%
Q3 - 3:58TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
10.6%
70
89.4%
Q3 - 3:58TORMillsap BLOCK (5 BLK)59
9.4%
70
90.6%
Q3 - 4:09ATLSchroder Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)59
11.3%
70
88.7%
Q3 - 4:24ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
9.5%
70
90.5%
Q3 - 4:25TORMISS Biyombo Free Throw 1 of 159
9.7%
70
90.3%
Q3 - 4:45ATLSefolosha 2' Cutting Layup Shot (10 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)57
8.3%
70
91.7%
Q3 - 4:55ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)57
9.4%
68
90.6%
Q3 - 4:56TORMISS Biyombo 10' Jump Shot57
10.0%
68
90.0%
Q3 - 5:18ATLHardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)57
11.9%
68
88.1%
Q3 - 5:42ATLHAWKS Rebound57
15.5%
65
84.5%
Q3 - 5:42TORMillsap BLOCK (4 BLK)57
16.3%
65
83.7%
Q3 - 5:43TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
18.1%
65
81.9%
Q3 - 5:44TORMISS Lowry 5' Driving Hook Shot57
16.3%
65
83.7%
Q3 - 5:51TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
18.1%
65
81.9%
Q3 - 5:53ATLMISS Teague 16' Pullup Jump Shot57
17.3%
65
82.7%
Q3 - 6:04TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)57
16.2%
65
83.8%
Q3 - 6:04TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)56
15.9%
65
84.1%
Q3 - 6:23ATLMillsap Dunk (9 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)55
14.4%
65
85.6%
Q3 - 6:40TORDeRozan Driving Dunk (12 PTS)55
16.2%
63
83.8%
Q3 - 6:57ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)53
14.3%
63
85.7%
Q3 - 6:57ATLMISS Teague Free Throw 1 of 253
14.6%
62
85.4%
Q3 - 7:07TORDeRozan 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)53
14.6%
62
85.4%
Q3 - 7:35ATLTeague 24' 3PT Running Pull-Up Jump Shot (16 PTS)51
13.0%
62
87.0%
Q3 - 7:40TORLowry 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)51
16.6%
59
83.4%
Q3 - 7:59ATLTeague 11' Driving Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)49
14.8%
59
85.2%
Q3 - 8:04ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
17.0%
57
83.0%
Q3 - 8:06TORMillsap BLOCK (3 BLK)49
17.7%
57
82.3%
Q3 - 8:10TORPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
19.5%
57
80.5%
Q3 - 8:12ATLMISS Horford 4' Floating Jump Shot49
18.7%
57
81.3%
Q3 - 8:30TORDeRozan 19' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
17.0%
57
83.0%
Q3 - 8:44ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)47
15.2%
57
84.8%
Q3 - 8:44ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)47
15.6%
56
84.4%
Q3 - 8:52TORValanciunas 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS)47
17.0%
55
83.0%
Q3 - 8:55TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
15.2%
55
84.8%
Q3 - 8:56TORMISS DeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
13.8%
55
86.2%
Q3 - 9:15ATLKorver Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T7)45
15.6%
55
84.4%
Q3 - 9:22TORValanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
13.7%
55
86.3%
Q3 - 9:22TORValanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
13.4%
55
86.6%
Q3 - 9:42ATLTeague 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Korver 3 AST)43
12.1%
55
87.9%
Q3 - 9:55ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
15.5%
52
84.5%
Q3 - 9:57TORMISS Scola 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
16.1%
52
83.9%
Q3 - 10:23ATLKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)43
18.0%
52
82.0%
Q3 - 10:40ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
22.4%
49
77.6%
Q3 - 10:42TORMISS DeRozan 16' Pullup Jump Shot43
23.2%
49
76.8%
Q3 - 10:55TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
25.1%
49
74.9%
Q3 - 10:56ATLMISS Horford 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
24.2%
49
75.8%
Q3 - 11:11ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
22.9%
49
77.1%
Q3 - 11:12TORMISS Valanciunas 4' Layup43
23.7%
49
76.3%
Q3 - 11:33ATLTeague 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)43
25.5%
49
74.5%
Q3 - 11:54TORDeRozan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)43
28.0%
47
72.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR43
31.0%
47
69.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound43
31.0%
47
69.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS DeRozan 19' Step Back Jump Shot43
28.9%
47
71.1%
Q2 - 0:14.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
31.0%
47
69.0%
Q2 - 0:17.0ATLMISS Korver 20' Pullup Jump Shot43
30.4%
47
69.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
29.1%
47
70.9%
Q2 - 0:33.0TORMISS DeRozan 19' Running Pull-Up Jump Shot43
29.7%
47
70.3%
Q2 - 0:40.0TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
31.0%
47
69.0%
Q2 - 0:42.0ATLMISS Korver 3PT Jump Shot43
30.4%
47
69.6%
Q2 - 1:03TORRoss 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Biyombo 1 AST)43
29.8%
47
70.2%
Q2 - 1:20ATLSefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)40
23.6%
47
76.4%
Q2 - 1:20ATLMISS Sefolosha Free Throw 1 of 240
24.2%
46
75.8%
Q2 - 1:24ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)40
24.7%
46
75.3%
Q2 - 1:25TORMISS Biyombo 1' Layup40
25.1%
46
74.9%
Q2 - 1:36TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
26.0%
46
74.0%
Q2 - 1:39ATLMISS Sefolosha 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
25.6%
46
74.4%
Q2 - 1:52TORRoss 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)40
24.7%
46
75.3%
Q2 - 2:19ATLHardaway Jr. Driving Dunk (5 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)37
20.2%
46
79.8%
Q2 - 2:39TORDeRozan 15' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)37
22.4%
44
77.6%
Q2 - 2:53ATLMillsap Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T6)35
20.2%
44
79.8%
Q2 - 3:01TORLowry Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)35
18.8%
44
81.2%
Q2 - 3:01TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 2 of 334
18.5%
44
81.5%
Q2 - 3:01TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 334
19.9%
44
80.1%
Q2 - 3:19ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)34
19.0%
44
81.0%
Q2 - 3:24ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
20.6%
42
79.4%
Q2 - 3:25TORMISS DeRozan 9' Jump Shot34
21.3%
42
78.7%
Q2 - 3:41TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
22.9%
42
77.1%
Q2 - 3:42ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot34
22.2%
42
77.8%
Q2 - 3:55TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)34
20.6%
42
79.4%
Q2 - 3:55TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 233
20.3%
42
79.7%
Q2 - 4:16ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
21.3%
42
78.7%
Q2 - 4:16ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
21.5%
41
78.5%
Q2 - 4:24TORLowry 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Powell 1 AST)33
23.1%
40
76.9%
Q2 - 4:33ATLTeague Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)30
19.4%
40
80.6%
Q2 - 4:49TORLowry 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)30
17.6%
40
82.4%
Q2 - 5:02ATLHardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)28
16.5%
40
83.5%
Q2 - 5:16TORPatterson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T8)28
19.7%
37
80.3%
Q2 - 5:33TORPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
21.6%
37
78.4%
Q2 - 5:35ATLMISS Millsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
21.0%
37
79.0%
Q2 - 5:54ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)28
19.7%
37
80.3%
Q2 - 5:56TORMISS Carroll 2' Driving Floating Jump Shot28
20.3%
37
79.7%
Q2 - 6:04ATLMillsap Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)28
22.4%
37
77.6%
Q2 - 6:20TORLowry 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)28
20.1%
37
79.9%
Q2 - 6:31TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
18.8%
37
81.2%
Q2 - 6:32ATLMISS Millsap 19' Jump Shot26
18.2%
37
81.8%
Q2 - 6:44TORLowry Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T7)26
16.8%
37
83.2%
Q2 - 6:58TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
18.8%
37
81.2%
Q2 - 7:00ATLMISS Scott 17' Jump Shot26
18.2%
37
81.8%
Q2 - 7:20TORValanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
17.5%
37
82.5%
Q2 - 7:20TORValanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
17.2%
37
82.8%
Q2 - 7:20TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
16.1%
37
83.9%
Q2 - 7:21TORMISS Valanciunas 2' Alley Oop Layup24
15.1%
37
84.9%
Q2 - 7:44ATLSefolosha 1' Cutting Layup Shot (7 PTS) (Scott 1 AST)24
16.1%
37
83.9%
Q2 - 7:48ATLScott REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
17.5%
35
82.5%
Q2 - 7:51TORMillsap BLOCK (2 BLK)24
18.0%
35
82.0%
Q2 - 8:05TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
19.5%
35
80.5%
Q2 - 8:07ATLMISS Hinrich 12' Driving Floating Jump Shot24
19.0%
35
81.0%
Q2 - 8:21ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
17.9%
35
82.1%
Q2 - 8:26TORMISS Powell 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot24
18.3%
35
81.7%
Q2 - 8:40ATLScott 1' Running Layup (9 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)24
19.5%
35
80.5%
Q2 - 8:47TORHorford STEAL (2 STL)24
21.1%
33
78.9%
Q2 - 8:54TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
22.9%
33
77.1%
Q2 - 8:55ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
22.3%
33
77.7%
Q2 - 8:58ATLScott REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
21.1%
33
78.9%
Q2 - 9:00ATLMISS Teague 2' Driving Layup24
22.3%
33
77.7%
Q2 - 9:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
21.2%
33
78.8%
Q2 - 9:08TORMISS Carroll 2' Driving Layup24
21.8%
33
78.2%
Q2 - 9:29ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P1.T3)24
23.2%
33
76.8%
Q2 - 9:29ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
21.2%
33
78.8%
Q2 - 9:31TORMISS Joseph 18' Pullup Jump Shot24
21.8%
33
78.2%
Q2 - 9:39TORRaptors Rebound24
23.2%
33
76.8%
Q2 - 9:41TORMISS Ross 17' Pullup Jump Shot24
21.8%
33
78.2%
Q2 - 10:00ATLScott 5' Hook Shot (7 PTS)24
23.2%
33
76.8%
Q2 - 10:13ATLHAWKS Rebound24
24.9%
31
75.1%
Q2 - 10:13ATLMISS Teague 2' Driving Layup24
26.5%
31
73.5%
Q2 - 10:24TORBiyombo Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Ross 1 AST)24
24.9%
31
75.1%
Q2 - 10:42ATLSchroder Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)22
23.4%
31
76.6%
Q2 - 11:02TORJoseph 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
21.7%
31
78.3%
Q2 - 11:20ATLScott 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)20
20.2%
31
79.8%
Q2 - 11:40ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
23.4%
28
76.6%
Q2 - 11:41TORMISS Ross 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
23.9%
28
76.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR20
25.2%
28
74.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
25.2%
28
74.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Schroder 4' Driving Layup20
24.8%
28
75.2%
Q1 - 0:08.0TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)20
23.9%
28
76.1%
Q1 - 0:31.0TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
25.2%
28
74.8%
Q1 - 0:33.0ATLMISS Scott 3PT Jump Shot20
24.8%
28
75.2%
Q1 - 0:51.0ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
23.9%
28
76.1%
Q1 - 0:54.0ATLMISS Schroder 3PT Jump Shot20
24.8%
28
75.2%
Q1 - 0:58.0ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
23.9%
28
76.1%
Q1 - 1:00TORKorver BLOCK (2 BLK)20
24.3%
28
75.7%
Q1 - 1:17ATLScott 12' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Schroder 2 AST)20
25.4%
28
74.6%
Q1 - 1:30TORJoseph 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)20
27.7%
26
72.3%
Q1 - 1:40TORRaptors Rebound18
25.4%
26
74.6%
Q1 - 1:40TORKorver BLOCK (1 BLK)18
24.5%
26
75.5%
Q1 - 2:00ATLKorver 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Schroder 1 AST)18
25.4%
26
74.6%
Q1 - 2:05ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)18
29.6%
23
70.4%
Q1 - 2:08TORMISS DeRozan 18' Pullup Jump Shot18
30.1%
23
69.9%
Q1 - 2:25ATLMillsap 6' Turnaround Fadeaway (7 PTS)18
31.4%
23
68.6%
Q1 - 2:37TORPatterson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST)18
33.6%
21
66.4%
Q1 - 2:54TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
29.4%
21
70.6%
Q1 - 2:55ATLMISS Humphries 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
28.9%
21
71.1%
Q1 - 3:18TORBiyombo Dunk (2 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)15
27.8%
21
72.2%
Q1 - 3:30TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
26.2%
21
73.8%
Q1 - 3:31ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
25.7%
21
74.3%
Q1 - 3:43TORLowry Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T4)13
24.4%
21
75.6%
Q1 - 3:51TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
26.2%
21
73.8%
Q1 - 3:53ATLMISS Schroder 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
25.6%
21
74.4%
Q1 - 4:07ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
24.5%
21
75.5%
Q1 - 4:10TORMISS Lowry 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot13
25.1%
21
74.9%
Q1 - 4:17ATLSchroder Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)13
26.4%
21
73.6%
Q1 - 4:34ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
24.5%
21
75.5%
Q1 - 4:35TORMISS Patterson 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot13
25.1%
21
74.9%
Q1 - 4:54ATLMillsap Running Dunk (5 PTS)13
26.4%
21
73.6%
Q1 - 4:56TORMillsap STEAL (1 STL)13
27.9%
19
72.1%
Q1 - 5:11ATLSefolosha 2' Running Dunk (5 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)13
30.2%
19
69.8%
Q1 - 5:15ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
31.8%
17
68.2%
Q1 - 5:17TORMillsap BLOCK (1 BLK)13
32.4%
17
67.6%
Q1 - 5:27TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
33.8%
17
66.2%
Q1 - 5:28ATLMISS Millsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
33.2%
17
66.8%
Q1 - 5:40ATLHAWKS Rebound13
31.8%
17
68.2%
Q1 - 5:40TORTeague BLOCK (1 BLK)13
32.4%
17
67.6%
Q1 - 5:53ATLHorford 2' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)13
33.7%
17
66.3%
Q1 - 6:01TORHorford STEAL (1 STL)13
35.5%
15
64.5%
Q1 - 6:16TORScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
37.5%
15
62.5%
Q1 - 6:17ATLMISS Horford 2' Running Layup13
36.9%
15
63.1%
Q1 - 6:22ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
35.6%
15
64.4%
Q1 - 6:23TORMISS DeRozan 1' Driving Layup13
36.2%
15
63.8%
Q1 - 6:42ATLHorford Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)13
37.5%
15
62.5%
Q1 - 7:01TORDeRozan 16' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
39.1%
13
60.9%
Q1 - 7:17ATLSefolosha 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)11
37.6%
13
62.4%
Q1 - 7:28TORScola Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T1)11
40.9%
10
59.1%
Q1 - 7:43ATLKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)11
43.2%
10
56.8%
Q1 - 7:53ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
46.6%
7
53.4%
Q1 - 7:55TORMISS Scola 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
47.3%
7
52.7%
Q1 - 7:58TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
48.9%
7
51.1%
Q1 - 7:59TORMISS Scola 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
47.3%
7
52.7%
Q1 - 8:09TORScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
48.8%
7
51.2%
Q1 - 8:10ATLMISS Horford 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
48.2%
7
51.8%
Q1 - 8:26TORScola 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)11
46.7%
7
53.3%
Q1 - 8:40TORScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
45.0%
7
55.0%
Q1 - 8:41ATLMISS Millsap 1' Driving Layup9
44.4%
7
55.6%
Q1 - 9:02TORPowell 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)9
42.7%
7
57.3%
Q1 - 9:10TORPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
41.2%
7
58.8%
Q1 - 9:12ATLMISS Teague 3PT Running Pull-Up Jump Shot7
40.6%
7
59.4%
Q1 - 9:20TORDeRozan 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS)7
39.1%
7
60.9%
Q1 - 9:35TORScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
37.6%
7
62.4%
Q1 - 9:36ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 25
37.4%
7
62.6%
Q1 - 9:36ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
36.2%
7
63.8%
Q1 - 9:40ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
37.3%
6
62.7%
Q1 - 9:41TORMISS Valanciunas 7' Turnaround Jump Shot5
37.9%
6
62.1%
Q1 - 10:09ATLTeague Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)5
39.4%
6
60.6%
Q1 - 10:16ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
40.9%
4
59.1%
Q1 - 10:18TORMISS DeRozan 20' Pullup Jump Shot5
41.5%
4
58.5%
Q1 - 10:38ATLMillsap 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)5
42.9%
4
57.1%
Q1 - 10:51TORValanciunas 2' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
44.5%
2
55.5%
Q1 - 11:18ATLHorford 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)3
42.5%
2
57.5%
Q1 - 11:28TORLowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)3
44.3%
0
55.7%
Q1 - 11:43TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
40.8%
0
59.2%
Q1 - 11:44ATLMISS Korver 17' Jump Shot0
40.3%
0
59.7%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Horford vs. Valanciunas: Tip to Sefolosha0
39.1%
0
60.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.90 44.8%
ATL
1.09 54.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
16
36
44%
ATL
18
29
62%
Midrange
TOR
8
27
30%
ATL
3
15
20%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
8
12.0
21
38%
57%
ATL
12
18.0
32
38%
56%
Free Throws
TOR
15
20
75%
ATL
17
21
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Lowry1647%8.0 / 17
D. DeRozan1632%8.0 / 25
J. Valančiūnas1365%6.5 / 10
N. Powell1063%5.0 / 8
B. Biyombo1050%5.0 / 10
T. Ross660%3.0 / 5
C. Joseph650%3.0 / 6
D. Carroll563%2.5 / 4
P. Patterson350%1.5 / 3
L. Scola225%1.0 / 4
L. Nogueira0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Teague2368%11.5 / 17
K. Korver1464%7.0 / 11
P. Millsap1346%6.5 / 14
A. Horford1155%5.5 / 10
T. Hardaway1179%5.5 / 7
M. Scott1169%5.5 / 8
T. Sefolosha1071%5.0 / 7
M. Muscala233%1.0 / 3
D. Schröder0-0.0 / 7
K. Hinrich0-0.0 / 1
K. Humphries0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
83
+14
-11
97
ATL
80
+7
-13
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.90 44.8%
ATL
1.09 54.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.2
105.5
TOR 92.6 +9.6
ATL 102.2
Pace
92.8
96.8
TOR 91.4
ATL 95.7 +4.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
14.6
TOR 15.8
ATL 15.0 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
51.6%
TOR 42.9%
ATL 51.3% +8.4%
TO %
13.0%
14.9%
TOR 11.5% +1.7%
ATL 13.2%
ORB %
24.7%
19.2%
TOR 18.2% +6.6%
ATL 11.6%
FTrt
32.8
23.7
TOR 23.8
ATL 27.6 +3.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.1%
66.3%
TOR 50.0%
ATL 69.7% +19.7%
STL %
8.3%
9.3%
TOR 10.6% +6.3%
ATL 4.3%
BLK %
9.3%
9.6%
TOR 9.1%
ATL 19.0% +9.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.4%
54.1%
TOR 44.8%
ATL 54.6% +9.8%
Rim FG%
57.2%
58.9%
TOR 44.4%
ATL 62.1% +17.7%
Mid FG%
38.7%
41.2%
TOR 29.6% +9.6%
ATL 20.0%
3P %
37.0%
35.0%
TOR 38.1% +0.6%
ATL 37.5%
FT %
77.7%
78.3%
TOR 75.0%
ATL 81.0% +6.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.1%
37.6%
TOR 42.9% +4.7%
ATL 38.2%
Mid Att. %
34.2%
28.8%
TOR 32.1%
ATL 19.7% +12.4%
3P Att. %
28.7%
33.6%
TOR 25.0%
ATL 42.1% +17.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORATL
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points8795
Rebounds4641
Assists1623
Steals104
Blocks412
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (6)5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (0)36 (3)
Field Goals32-8433-76
At-the-Rim FG16-3618-29
Midrange FG8-273-15
2-Point FG24-6321-44
3-Point FG8-2112-32
Free Throws15-2017-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 196 · 30
34.3
16
47%
4
6
1
0
2
4
1
3
2-5
40%
4-9
44%
2-6
33%
G · 6'6" 220 · 27
34.2
16
32%
4
4
1
0
1
3
1
3
2-2
100%
7-22
32%
0-2
0%
F · 6'4" 215 · 23
31.0
10
63%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
C · 6'11" 265 · 24
21.4
13
65%
8
0
0
1
0
1
3
5
7-8
88%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 241 · 36
11.3
2
25%
4
0
0
0
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 230 · 27
28.0
3
50%
4
2
2
1
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
C · 6'9" 255 · 24
21.7
10
50%
9
1
0
1
1
0
3
6
4-5
80%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25
18.8
6
60%
5
1
0
0
2
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
G · 6'2" 200 · 25
17.6
6
50%
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 30
13.8
5
63%
1
0
4
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
C · 7'0" 220 · 24
4.8
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 30
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 190 · 24
#3 · F · 6'8" 240 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F · 6'9" 205 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
45%
46
16
10
4
11
0
8
38
15-20
75%
24-63
38%
8-21
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.