FinalWin Prob.pScore
1652%106
112
1948%105
106
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
116.79686.6
SAC logo SAC
115.292103.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

KingsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KingsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAC
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA112
100%
106
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)112
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)111
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:13)110
99.8%
106
0.2%
Q4 - 0:05.0SACKoufos REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)110
99.5%
106
0.5%
Q4 - 0:05.0SACMISS Koufos 2' Tip Layup Shot110
99.7%
106
0.3%
Q4 - 0:07.0SACMISS Gay 2' Jump Shot110
99.1%
106
0.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0SACGay REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)110
97.4%
106
2.6%
Q4 - 0:10.0SACMISS Gay 4' Jump Shot110
98.9%
106
1.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P6.T18)110
96.5%
106
3.5%
Q4 - 0:37.0SACKoufos Cutting Dunk Shot (12 PTS) (Curry 3 AST)110
98.0%
106
2.0%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)110
98.0%
104
2.0%
Q4 - 1:07MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)107
90.2%
104
9.8%
Q4 - 1:09SACMISS Collison 15' Jump Shot107
87.9%
104
12.1%
Q4 - 1:15MIAJohnson 11' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)107
81.1%
104
18.9%
Q4 - 1:34SACKoufos 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS)105
71.4%
104
28.6%
Q4 - 1:35SACKoufos REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)105
79.4%
102
20.6%
Q4 - 1:36SACMISS Gay 4' Floating Jump Shot105
85.2%
102
14.8%
Q4 - 1:45SACGay REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)105
79.0%
102
21.0%
Q4 - 1:45MIAMISS Deng 11' Fadeaway Jumper105
81.5%
102
18.5%
Q4 - 2:06MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)105
86.7%
102
13.3%
Q4 - 2:07SACMISS Gay 19' Pullup Jump Shot105
84.4%
102
15.6%
Q4 - 2:18MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)105
77.7%
102
22.3%
Q4 - 2:18MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)104
75.0%
102
25.0%
Q4 - 2:18SACCurry Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)103
72.1%
102
27.9%
Q4 - 2:23MIAHeat Rebound103
80.5%
101
19.5%
Q4 - 2:23MIAMISS Green 17' Running Jump Shot103
72.7%
101
27.3%
Q4 - 2:41SACCurry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Koufos 2 AST)103
80.6%
101
19.4%
Q4 - 2:46SACKoufos REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)103
89.7%
98
10.3%
Q4 - 2:47SACMISS Collison 15' Pullup Jump Shot103
93.3%
98
6.7%
Q4 - 3:07SACCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)103
87.9%
98
12.1%
Q4 - 3:07MIAMISS Johnson 18' Pullup Jump Shot103
89.6%
98
10.4%
Q4 - 3:28SACCollison Backcourt Turnover (P2.T14)103
92.9%
98
7.1%
Q4 - 3:30SACCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)103
87.9%
98
12.1%
Q4 - 3:32MIAKoufos BLOCK (2 BLK)103
86.4%
98
13.6%
Q4 - 3:50SACKoufos 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)103
89.7%
98
10.3%
Q4 - 4:04MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)103
92.6%
96
7.4%
Q4 - 4:04MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)102
92.0%
96
8.0%
Q4 - 4:24MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
90.0%
96
10.0%
Q4 - 4:25SACMISS Curry 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
88.9%
96
11.1%
Q4 - 4:31SACMcLemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
85.7%
96
14.3%
Q4 - 4:32MIAMISS Dragic 9' Jump Shot101
87.2%
96
12.8%
Q4 - 4:46MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)101
90.1%
96
9.9%
Q4 - 4:46SACMISS Koufos 9' Jump Shot101
89.0%
96
11.0%
Q4 - 5:08MIAJohnson 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS)101
82.9%
96
17.1%
Q4 - 5:31SACCurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)99
78.3%
96
21.7%
Q4 - 5:31SACCurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)99
79.2%
95
20.8%
Q4 - 5:39MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)99
83.1%
94
16.9%
Q4 - 5:39MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 298
82.1%
94
17.9%
Q4 - 5:55SACCollison 17' Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS)98
83.5%
94
16.5%
Q4 - 6:04SACMcLemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)98
85.2%
92
14.8%
Q4 - 6:06MIAMISS Winslow 9' Jump Shot98
86.5%
92
13.5%
Q4 - 6:14MIAHeat Rebound98
89.1%
92
10.9%
Q4 - 6:15MIAMISS Dragic 7' Floating Jump Shot98
86.5%
92
13.5%
Q4 - 6:35MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)98
89.1%
92
10.9%
Q4 - 6:35SACMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
88.1%
92
11.9%
Q4 - 6:49MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P5.T17)98
85.4%
92
14.6%
Q4 - 6:59MIAJohnson Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)98
89.2%
92
10.8%
Q4 - 6:59SACKoufos Foul Turnover (P2.T13)97
85.9%
92
14.1%
Q4 - 7:08SACGay REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)97
79.8%
92
20.2%
Q4 - 7:09MIAMISS Deng 15' Jump Shot97
81.3%
92
18.7%
Q4 - 7:28SACCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)97
84.3%
92
15.7%
Q4 - 7:28SACCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)97
84.8%
91
15.2%
Q4 - 7:42MIAWinslow 4' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)97
87.4%
90
12.6%
Q4 - 8:06SACCollison 2' Running Layup (22 PTS)95
82.4%
90
17.6%
Q4 - 8:12SACAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
85.9%
88
14.1%
Q4 - 8:12MIAMISS Dragic 18' Fadeaway Jumper95
86.8%
88
13.2%
Q4 - 8:34SACCurry 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)95
88.7%
88
11.3%
Q4 - 8:44SACKoufos REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)95
93.0%
85
7.0%
Q4 - 8:45MIAMISS Richardson 23' Jump Shot95
93.5%
85
6.5%
Q4 - 9:02SACCollison Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)95
93.4%
85
6.6%
Q4 - 9:05SACKoufos REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)95
95.8%
82
4.2%
Q4 - 9:06MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot95
96.1%
82
3.9%
Q4 - 9:22SACCollison Foul Turnover (P1.T12)95
96.7%
82
3.3%
Q4 - 9:27MIAMcLemore STEAL (2 STL)95
95.8%
82
4.2%
Q4 - 9:31MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)95
96.7%
82
3.3%
Q4 - 9:32SACMISS McLemore 2' Driving Layup95
96.5%
82
3.5%
Q4 - 9:47MIADragic 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)95
95.9%
82
4.1%
Q4 - 10:11SACCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)92
92.6%
82
7.4%
Q4 - 10:11SACCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)92
92.8%
81
7.2%
Q4 - 10:24SACKINGS Rebound92
94.0%
80
6.0%
Q4 - 10:24MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Jump Shot92
94.4%
80
5.6%
Q4 - 10:47SACKoufos 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)92
95.2%
80
4.8%
Q4 - 11:07MIADragic Traveling Turnover (P4.T15)92
95.4%
78
4.6%
Q4 - 11:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)92
96.3%
78
3.7%
Q4 - 11:19SACMISS McLemore 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
96.1%
78
3.9%
Q4 - 11:26SACKoufos REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)92
95.4%
78
4.6%
Q4 - 11:26MIAMISS Dragic 6' Jump Shot92
95.7%
78
4.3%
Q4 - 11:50SACMcLemore 3' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Koufos 1 AST)92
96.4%
78
3.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA92
97.0%
76
3.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound92
97.6%
76
2.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Green 21' Jump Shot92
97.2%
76
2.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)92
97.1%
76
2.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIACauley-Stein BLOCK (2 BLK)92
96.7%
76
3.3%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)92
97.1%
76
2.9%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Deng 4' Jump Shot92
96.7%
76
3.3%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)92
97.1%
76
2.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0SACMISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 292
97.1%
76
2.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0SACRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)92
96.7%
76
3.3%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)92
97.1%
75
2.9%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)89
95.7%
75
4.3%
Q3 - 0:55.0SACMISS Cauley-Stein 15' Fadeaway Jumper89
95.5%
75
4.5%
Q3 - 1:12MIARichardson Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)89
94.1%
75
5.9%
Q3 - 1:30MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
95.2%
75
4.8%
Q3 - 1:32SACMISS Rondo 4' Driving Layup89
94.9%
75
5.1%
Q3 - 1:57MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P4.T13)89
94.2%
75
5.8%
Q3 - 2:22SACCauley-Stein Dunk (4 PTS) (Rondo 10 AST)89
94.4%
75
5.6%
Q3 - 2:26SACRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
95.2%
73
4.8%
Q3 - 2:27MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot89
95.5%
73
4.5%
Q3 - 2:45SACGay 16' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)89
96.1%
73
3.9%
Q3 - 2:49SACCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)89
96.7%
71
3.3%
Q3 - 2:51SACMISS Collison 7' Floating Jump Shot89
97.1%
71
2.9%
Q3 - 2:58SACGay REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)89
96.7%
71
3.3%
Q3 - 2:58MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
96.9%
71
3.1%
Q3 - 3:23SACCauley-Stein Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)89
96.9%
71
3.1%
Q3 - 3:23SACCauley-Stein Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)89
97.0%
70
3.0%
Q3 - 3:23SACCauley-Stein REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
97.3%
69
2.7%
Q3 - 3:23SACCauley-Stein REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
97.3%
69
2.7%
Q3 - 3:23SACMISS Cauley-Stein 2' Tip Layup Shot89
97.7%
69
2.3%
Q3 - 3:23SACMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
97.7%
69
2.3%
Q3 - 3:31SACGay REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)89
97.3%
69
2.7%
Q3 - 3:31MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
97.5%
69
2.5%
Q3 - 3:48SACCollison 17' Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST)89
97.8%
69
2.2%
Q3 - 4:05MIARichardson 20' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Green 1 AST)89
97.8%
67
2.2%
Q3 - 4:16SACGay 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)87
97.5%
67
2.5%
Q3 - 4:35MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P2.T12)87
97.8%
65
2.2%
Q3 - 4:44SACGay Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)87
98.2%
65
1.8%
Q3 - 4:48SACCauley-Stein REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
97.8%
65
2.2%
Q3 - 4:49MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
97.9%
65
2.1%
Q3 - 4:52MIAHeat Rebound87
98.2%
65
1.8%
Q3 - 4:53MIAAnderson BLOCK (1 BLK)87
97.9%
65
2.1%
Q3 - 5:15SACCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)87
97.9%
65
2.1%
Q3 - 5:15SACCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)87
97.9%
64
2.1%
Q3 - 5:23SACRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
98.2%
63
1.8%
Q3 - 5:25MIACauley-Stein BLOCK (1 BLK)87
98.3%
63
1.7%
Q3 - 5:36MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
98.5%
63
1.5%
Q3 - 5:36SACMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
98.4%
63
1.6%
Q3 - 5:51MIAGreen Free Throw 3 of 3 (30 PTS)87
98.2%
63
1.8%
Q3 - 5:51MIAGreen Free Throw 2 of 3 (29 PTS)86
98.1%
63
1.9%
Q3 - 5:51MIAGreen Free Throw 1 of 3 (28 PTS)85
98.1%
63
1.9%
Q3 - 5:57MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
97.5%
63
2.5%
Q3 - 5:58SACMISS Acy 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
97.4%
63
2.6%
Q3 - 6:10MIAGreen 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)84
96.6%
63
3.4%
Q3 - 6:20MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
95.5%
63
4.5%
Q3 - 6:20SACMISS Gay 18' Jump Shot81
95.3%
63
4.7%
Q3 - 6:33SACGay REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)81
94.7%
63
5.3%
Q3 - 6:34MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
95.0%
63
5.0%
Q3 - 6:57SACGay Cutting Dunk Shot (16 PTS) (Curry 2 AST)81
95.5%
63
4.5%
Q3 - 7:06MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)81
95.6%
61
4.4%
Q3 - 7:26MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
96.3%
61
3.7%
Q3 - 7:27SACMISS Rondo 3' Driving Layup81
96.1%
61
3.9%
Q3 - 7:40MIAGreen 16' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)81
95.6%
61
4.4%
Q3 - 8:00SACAnderson Running Dunk (7 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)79
95.1%
61
4.9%
Q3 - 8:03SACRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
95.4%
59
4.6%
Q3 - 8:03MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
95.6%
59
4.4%
Q3 - 8:11MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
96.1%
59
3.9%
Q3 - 8:12SACMISS Curry 11' Floating Jump Shot79
95.9%
59
4.1%
Q3 - 8:26MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T10)79
95.4%
59
4.6%
Q3 - 8:43SACCurry Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)79
96.1%
59
3.9%
Q3 - 9:05MIADeng 8' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)79
94.9%
59
5.1%
Q3 - 9:28SACGay 3' Driving Layup (14 PTS)77
94.2%
59
5.8%
Q3 - 9:39MIADragic 13' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)77
95.0%
57
5.0%
Q3 - 9:45SACRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)75
94.3%
57
5.7%
Q3 - 9:51MIAJohnson 12' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)75
93.4%
57
6.6%
Q3 - 10:13SACAcy 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)73
92.0%
57
8.0%
Q3 - 10:23MIAGreen 17' Step Back Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)73
92.9%
55
7.1%
Q3 - 10:35SACAnderson 3' Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS)71
92.0%
55
8.0%
Q3 - 10:50MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)71
92.9%
53
7.1%
Q3 - 10:50MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)70
92.7%
53
7.3%
Q3 - 10:57SACGay Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)69
92.0%
53
8.0%
Q3 - 11:01MIAGay STEAL (2 STL)69
90.3%
53
9.7%
Q3 - 11:22SACAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)69
91.6%
53
8.4%
Q3 - 11:29SACGay REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)69
93.4%
50
6.6%
Q3 - 11:30SACMISS Curry Free Throw 3 of 369
94.1%
50
5.9%
Q3 - 11:30SACCurry Free Throw 2 of 3 (12 PTS)69
93.6%
50
6.4%
Q3 - 11:30SACCurry Free Throw 1 of 3 (11 PTS)69
93.7%
49
6.3%
Q3 - 11:44MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)69
94.9%
48
5.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA66
93.5%
48
6.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound66
93.5%
48
6.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Johnson 61' 3PT Jump Shot66
92.8%
48
7.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
92.6%
48
7.4%
Q2 - 0:04.0SACMISS Koufos 13' Jump Shot66
92.4%
48
7.6%
Q2 - 0:05.0SACKoufos REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)66
91.9%
48
8.1%
Q2 - 0:06.0SACMISS Koufos Free Throw 2 of 266
92.5%
48
7.5%
Q2 - 0:06.0SACMISS Koufos Free Throw 1 of 266
92.0%
48
8.0%
Q2 - 0:06.0SACKoufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)66
91.9%
48
8.1%
Q2 - 0:07.0SACMISS Rondo 3' Reverse Layup66
92.4%
48
7.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAJohnson 8' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)66
92.0%
48
8.0%
Q2 - 0:39.0SACKoufos 8' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)64
90.7%
48
9.3%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)64
92.0%
46
8.0%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)63
91.8%
46
8.2%
Q2 - 1:04SACGay Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T7)62
90.0%
46
10.0%
Q2 - 1:18MIAGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)62
89.4%
46
10.6%
Q2 - 1:47SACGay 3' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (12 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)59
86.1%
46
13.9%
Q2 - 1:54SACRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
88.2%
44
11.8%
Q2 - 1:54MIAMISS Dragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot59
88.4%
44
11.6%
Q2 - 2:09SACGay 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS)59
88.5%
44
11.5%
Q2 - 2:17SACKINGS Rebound59
89.7%
42
10.3%
Q2 - 2:17SACMISS Rondo 3' Driving Reverse Layup59
90.4%
42
9.6%
Q2 - 2:30MIACurry STEAL (2 STL)59
89.7%
42
10.3%
Q2 - 2:42SACCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)59
90.8%
42
9.2%
Q2 - 2:42SACCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)59
90.9%
41
9.1%
Q2 - 2:45MIAGay STEAL (1 STL)59
91.8%
40
8.2%
Q2 - 2:49MIAHeat Rebound59
92.6%
40
7.4%
Q2 - 2:49MIAKoufos BLOCK (1 BLK)59
92.1%
40
7.9%
Q2 - 3:06SACGay 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)59
92.2%
40
7.8%
Q2 - 3:12MIACurry STEAL (1 STL)59
92.8%
38
7.2%
Q2 - 3:15MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)59
93.7%
38
6.3%
Q2 - 3:15MIAMISS Whiteside 18' Jump Shot59
93.1%
38
6.9%
Q2 - 3:39SACCollison 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)59
93.7%
38
6.3%
Q2 - 3:48SACGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
94.9%
35
5.1%
Q2 - 3:49MIAMISS Green 15' Jump Shot59
95.1%
35
4.9%
Q2 - 4:05MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
95.0%
35
5.0%
Q2 - 4:07MIAMISS Green 23' Jump Shot59
94.6%
35
5.4%
Q2 - 4:12MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
95.0%
35
5.0%
Q2 - 4:13SACMISS Rondo 19' Jump Shot59
94.8%
35
5.2%
Q2 - 4:24MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)59
94.4%
35
5.6%
Q2 - 4:49SACKINGS Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#6)56
93.1%
35
6.9%
Q2 - 4:49SACKINGS Rebound56
92.3%
35
7.7%
Q2 - 4:49SACMISS Curry 5' Jump Shot56
92.9%
35
7.1%
Q2 - 4:54SACKINGS Rebound56
92.3%
35
7.7%
Q2 - 4:54SACMISS Cauley-Stein 11' Jump Shot56
92.9%
35
7.1%
Q2 - 5:11MIAGreen 17' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)56
91.9%
35
8.1%
Q2 - 5:22SACGay Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)54
91.1%
35
8.9%
Q2 - 5:24SACGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
90.1%
35
9.9%
Q2 - 5:26SACMISS Collison 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
90.8%
35
9.2%
Q2 - 5:52SACGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
90.1%
35
9.9%
Q2 - 5:53MIAMISS Richardson 7' Hook Shot54
90.4%
35
9.6%
Q2 - 6:10MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
90.7%
35
9.3%
Q2 - 6:11SACMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
90.3%
35
9.7%
Q2 - 6:22MIAWinslow 3' Layup (7 PTS)54
89.5%
35
10.5%
Q2 - 6:23MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
88.7%
35
11.3%
Q2 - 6:25MIAMISS Winslow 3' Layup52
87.7%
35
12.3%
Q2 - 6:48MIAHeat Rebound52
88.7%
35
11.3%
Q2 - 6:48MIAMISS Winslow 20' Jump Shot52
87.8%
35
12.2%
Q2 - 7:05MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
88.0%
35
12.0%
Q2 - 7:06SACMISS McLemore 27' 3PT Jump Shot52
87.7%
35
12.3%
Q2 - 7:34MIARichardson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T5)52
86.8%
35
13.2%
Q2 - 8:00SACMcLemore 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)52
88.1%
35
11.9%
Q2 - 8:09SACCauley-Stein REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
89.5%
32
10.5%
Q2 - 8:11MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot52
89.8%
32
10.2%
Q2 - 8:25SACMcLemore Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)52
90.5%
32
9.5%
Q2 - 8:34MIAMcLemore STEAL (1 STL)52
89.5%
32
10.5%
Q2 - 8:48MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
90.5%
32
9.5%
Q2 - 8:49SACMISS Casspi 6' Running Jump Shot52
90.2%
32
9.8%
Q2 - 9:02MIADragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)52
89.0%
32
11.0%
Q2 - 9:21SACCollison 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)50
88.2%
32
11.8%
Q2 - 9:30SACKINGS Rebound50
89.1%
30
10.9%
Q2 - 9:31SACCasspi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
89.1%
30
10.9%
Q2 - 9:31SACMISS Casspi 1' Tip Layup Shot50
89.8%
30
10.2%
Q2 - 9:32SACMISS Koufos 13' Jump Shot50
89.8%
30
10.2%
Q2 - 9:47MIADragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)50
89.1%
30
10.9%
Q2 - 9:58MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
88.2%
30
11.8%
Q2 - 9:59SACMISS Casspi Free Throw 2 of 248
88.1%
30
11.9%
Q2 - 9:59SACMISS Casspi Free Throw 1 of 248
87.4%
30
12.6%
Q2 - 10:10MIAWhiteside Dunk (4 PTS) (Deng 4 AST)48
86.6%
30
13.4%
Q2 - 10:23SACKoufos 2' Layup (2 PTS)46
85.6%
30
14.4%
Q2 - 10:24SACKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
86.6%
28
13.4%
Q2 - 10:26SACMISS Cauley-Stein 6' Hook Shot46
87.5%
28
12.5%
Q2 - 10:36MIADeng 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)46
86.6%
28
13.4%
Q2 - 10:51SACCollison 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)44
85.6%
28
14.4%
Q2 - 11:01MIARichardson 20' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)44
86.1%
26
13.9%
Q2 - 11:18SACCasspi 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)42
84.9%
26
15.1%
Q2 - 11:36MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)42
86.1%
24
13.9%
Q2 - 11:46MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
83.7%
24
16.3%
Q2 - 11:48MIAMISS Deng 12' Jump Shot39
82.7%
24
17.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAC39
83.7%
24
16.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWinslow 28' 3PT Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)39
82.3%
24
17.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
78.6%
24
21.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0SACMISS Gay 5' Layup36
78.2%
24
21.8%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIADragic 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
77.4%
24
22.6%
Q1 - 0:36.0SACCollison 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
75.3%
24
24.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIADeng 9' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)34
77.4%
22
22.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0SACKoufos Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)32
75.3%
22
24.7%
Q1 - 1:09MIAJohnson 6' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
73.7%
22
26.3%
Q1 - 1:17MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
71.4%
22
28.6%
Q1 - 1:18SACMISS Gay 3' Driving Layup30
71.0%
22
29.0%
Q1 - 1:39SACRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
70.0%
22
30.0%
Q1 - 1:40MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
70.4%
22
29.6%
Q1 - 1:51MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
71.4%
22
28.6%
Q1 - 1:52SACMISS Koufos Dunk30
71.0%
22
29.0%
Q1 - 2:14MIAWinslow 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)30
69.8%
22
30.2%
Q1 - 2:23SACRondo Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)28
67.6%
22
32.4%
Q1 - 2:35SACGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
65.8%
22
34.2%
Q1 - 2:37MIAMISS Johnson 4' Layup28
66.4%
22
33.6%
Q1 - 2:53MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
67.6%
22
32.4%
Q1 - 2:54SACMISS Rondo 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
67.1%
22
32.9%
Q1 - 3:10MIAGreen 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)28
65.3%
22
34.7%
Q1 - 3:16MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
63.5%
22
36.5%
Q1 - 3:19SACMISS Gay 10' Jump Shot26
62.8%
22
37.2%
Q1 - 3:38MIAWhiteside 14' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
61.2%
22
38.8%
Q1 - 4:04SACGay 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)24
59.2%
22
40.8%
Q1 - 4:13MIAStoudemire Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)24
60.9%
20
39.1%
Q1 - 4:31MIAHeat Rebound24
63.3%
20
36.7%
Q1 - 4:31SACMISS Curry 16' Jump Shot24
62.6%
20
37.4%
Q1 - 4:52MIAStoudemire 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS)24
60.9%
20
39.1%
Q1 - 5:07MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
58.7%
20
41.3%
Q1 - 5:08MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
57.2%
20
42.8%
Q1 - 5:20MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
58.7%
20
41.3%
Q1 - 5:21SACMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
58.0%
20
42.0%
Q1 - 5:38MIAGreen 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (13 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)22
56.6%
20
43.4%
Q1 - 5:49MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
54.6%
20
45.4%
Q1 - 5:50SACMISS Acy 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
54.0%
20
46.0%
Q1 - 6:00MIAGreen 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)20
52.4%
20
47.6%
Q1 - 6:10MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
50.6%
20
49.4%
Q1 - 6:10SACMISS Acy 6' Jump Shot18
49.9%
20
50.1%
Q1 - 6:23MIADeng 4' Layup (5 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)18
48.4%
20
51.6%
Q1 - 6:41SACRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
46.6%
20
53.4%
Q1 - 6:41SACRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
47.3%
19
52.7%
Q1 - 6:54MIAGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)16
48.4%
18
51.6%
Q1 - 7:13SACCurry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)13
45.1%
18
54.9%
Q1 - 7:28SACGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
48.5%
15
51.5%
Q1 - 7:28MIAMISS Dragic 7' Floating Jump Shot13
49.2%
15
50.8%
Q1 - 7:40SACCurry 6' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Cauley-Stein 1 AST)13
50.8%
15
49.2%
Q1 - 7:48SACCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
52.4%
13
47.6%
Q1 - 7:49MIAMISS Stoudemire 5' Jump Shot13
53.1%
13
46.9%
Q1 - 8:02SACCurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)13
54.9%
13
45.1%
Q1 - 8:02SACCurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)13
55.2%
12
44.8%
Q1 - 8:16MIAStoudemire 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)13
56.6%
11
43.4%
Q1 - 8:29SACRondo 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS)11
54.9%
11
45.1%
Q1 - 8:43MIAGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)11
56.5%
9
43.5%
Q1 - 9:02SACCurry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)8
53.1%
9
46.9%
Q1 - 9:09MIARondo STEAL (1 STL)8
56.4%
6
43.6%
Q1 - 9:30SACAcy 2' Layup (2 PTS)8
58.6%
6
41.4%
Q1 - 9:33SACAcy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
60.1%
4
39.9%
Q1 - 9:35SACMISS Cauley-Stein 7' Jump Shot8
61.6%
4
38.4%
Q1 - 9:46MIADeng Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)8
60.1%
4
39.9%
Q1 - 9:48SACRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
62.2%
4
37.8%
Q1 - 10:10MIADeng 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)8
60.0%
4
40.0%
Q1 - 10:24SACGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)5
56.6%
4
43.4%
Q1 - 10:24SACGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
56.9%
3
43.1%
Q1 - 10:40MIAGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)5
58.2%
2
41.8%
Q1 - 10:58SACGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
54.8%
2
45.2%
Q1 - 10:58SACGay Putback Dunk (2 PTS)2
54.8%
2
45.2%
Q1 - 10:59SACMISS Curry 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
57.8%
0
42.2%
Q1 - 11:05SACAcy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
56.4%
0
43.6%
Q1 - 11:06SACMISS Gay 16' Jump Shot2
57.5%
0
42.5%
Q1 - 11:27MIAStoudemire Dunk (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)2
56.4%
0
43.6%
Q1 - 11:44MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
54.5%
0
45.5%
Q1 - 11:44SACMISS Acy 15' Jump Shot0
54.0%
0
46.0%
Q1 - 12:00SACJump Ball Cauley-Stein vs. Stoudemire: Tip to Gay0
52.8%
0
47.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.22 60.9%
SAC
1.04 52.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
17
59%
SAC
16
31
52%
Midrange
MIA
20
43
47%
SAC
15
35
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
18.0
22
55%
82%
SAC
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
16
17
94%
SAC
23
29
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Green3075%15.0 / 20
G. Dragic1856%9.0 / 16
L. Deng1771%8.5 / 12
J. Johnson1464%7.0 / 11
J. Winslow1250%6.0 / 12
A. Stoudemire880%4.0 / 5
J. Richardson744%3.5 / 8
H. Whiteside660%3.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Collison2676%13.0 / 17
S. Curry2181%10.5 / 13
R. Gay2045%10.0 / 22
K. Koufos1250%6.0 / 12
J. Anderson770%3.5 / 5
R. Rondo528%2.5 / 9
B. McLemore550%2.5 / 5
W. Cauley-Stein429%2.0 / 7
Q. Acy433%2.0 / 6
O. Casspi225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+14
-18
92
SAC
79
+21
-13
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.22 60.9%
SAC
1.04 52.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
106.1
MIA 116.7 +1.4
SAC 115.2
Pace
93.7
99.9
MIA 86.6
SAC 103.2 +16.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.0
MIA 16.6
SAC 14.0 +2.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
51.0%
MIA 58.5% +10.8%
SAC 47.7%
TO %
14.0%
15.5%
MIA 16.7%
SAC 12.3% +4.4%
ORB %
23.9%
23.8%
MIA 21.9%
SAC 34.0% +12.1%
FTrt
28.2
29.5
MIA 20.7
SAC 33.3 +12.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.3%
61.2%
MIA 54.8% +2.2%
SAC 52.6%
STL %
7.2%
8.9%
MIA 5.2%
SAC 7.6% +2.4%
BLK %
10.3%
7.5%
MIA 9.1% +0.8%
SAC 8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
53.4%
MIA 60.9% +8.9%
SAC 52.0%
Rim FG%
62.3%
57.9%
MIA 58.8% +7.2%
SAC 51.6%
Mid FG%
40.5%
40.4%
MIA 46.5% +3.6%
SAC 42.9%
3P %
33.6%
35.9%
MIA 54.5% +21.2%
SAC 33.3%
FT %
74.4%
72.5%
MIA 94.1% +14.8%
SAC 79.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
40.5%
MIA 20.7%
SAC 35.6% +14.9%
Mid Att. %
40.9%
33.5%
MIA 52.4%
SAC 40.2% +12.2%
3P Att. %
22.1%
26.0%
MIA 26.8% +2.7%
SAC 24.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIASAC
Possessions9692
Possession Minutes26.621.4
Points112106
Rebounds3841
Assists2320
Steals57
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (7)16 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)25 (1)
Field Goals42-8238-87
At-the-Rim FG10-1716-31
Midrange FG20-4315-35
2-Point FG30-6031-66
3-Point FG12-227-21
Free Throws16-1723-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 240 · 35
36.5
14
64%
5
8
2
0
6
4
1
4
1-1
100%
5-7
71%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
34.4
17
71%
3
4
0
0
2
1
2
1
0-0
-
4-9
44%
3-3
100%
G · 6'7" 205 · 30
32.9
30
75%
3
1
3
0
0
3
1
2
3-3
100%
6-10
60%
5-9
56%
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
30.3
18
56%
2
7
0
1
4
4
0
2
7-8
88%
4-10
40%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 245 · 33
17.4
8
80%
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
30.5
6
60%
13
1
0
3
2
3
0
13
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
30.4
12
50%
5
1
0
1
1
2
3
2
1-1
100%
4-10
40%
1-2
50%
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
27.6
7
44%
3
1
0
1
2
4
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
· 6'10" 240 · 29
G · 6'3" 186 · 24
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
61%
38
23
5
6
18
0
7
31
16-17
94%
30-60
50%
12-22
55%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.