FinalWin Prob.pScore
2334%98
97
1566%104
108
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
102.195105.0
MIA logo MIA
112.59687.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL97
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Winslow 3 AST)97
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0ORLNapier 1' Tip Layup Shot (3 PTS)97
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0ORLNapier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)95
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0ORLMISS Jennings 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMcRoberts Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)95
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0ORLMISS Jennings Free Throw 2 of 295
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0ORLJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)95
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Green 18' Jump Shot94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10ORLNapier Free Throw 3 of 3 (1 PTS)94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10ORLMISS Napier Free Throw 2 of 393
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10ORLMISS Napier Free Throw 1 of 393
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21MIAMISS Deng 8' Turnaround Hook Shot93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41ORLJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 290
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59MIADeng REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Hook Shot90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16MIADeng REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17ORLMISS Nicholson 24' 3PT Running Jump Shot90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)90
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 2:23MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45MIAHEAT Rebound90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45ORLMISS Payton Free Throw 2 of 290
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45ORLPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45ORLMagic Rebound89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46MIAMISS Whiteside 18' Jump Shot89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06ORLWhiteside BLOCK (5 BLK)89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 3:19MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 2 of 289
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:19MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31ORLMISS Nicholson 8' Hook Shot89
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 3:43MIADragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)89
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 4:02ORLNicholson Cutting Dunk Shot (19 PTS) (Fournier 2 AST)89
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 4:22MIADeng 4' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Dragic 8 AST)87
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 4:39MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)87
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 4:40ORLMISS Payton 2' Driving Layup87
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 4:59MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)87
0.9%
99
99.1%
Q4 - 5:24ORLFournier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Nicholson 1 AST)87
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 5:38ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 5:39MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Turnaround Hook Shot84
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 6:04ORLNicholson 6' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Payton 7 AST)84
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 6:13ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)82
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 6:14MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 6:36ORLNicholson Foul Turnover (P2.T15)82
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 6:43ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 6:44MIAMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot82
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 6:54ORLPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)82
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 6:54ORLMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 281
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 7:02MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)81
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 7:12MIADeng REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)81
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 7:13MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Turnaround Hook Shot81
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 7:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)81
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 7:30ORLMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 7:46MIADragic 1' Running Layup (17 PTS) (Deng 5 AST)81
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 7:50ORLDeng STEAL (1 STL)81
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q4 - 8:05MIADeng 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)81
2.4%
94
97.6%
Q4 - 8:32ORLJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)81
3.0%
92
97.0%
Q4 - 8:44MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)78
1.8%
92
98.2%
Q4 - 8:44MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)78
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 8:55MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)78
2.3%
90
97.7%
Q4 - 8:56ORLMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
2.5%
90
97.5%
Q4 - 9:05ORLWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)78
3.7%
90
96.3%
Q4 - 9:06ORLMISS Jennings 10' Fadeaway Jumper78
3.1%
90
96.9%
Q4 - 9:18MIADeng 1' Layup (4 PTS)78
3.7%
90
96.3%
Q4 - 9:19MIADeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)78
4.6%
88
95.4%
Q4 - 9:20MIAMISS Deng 1' Tip Layup Shot78
5.4%
88
94.6%
Q4 - 9:21MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)78
4.6%
88
95.4%
Q4 - 9:22MIAMISS Winslow 3' Jump Shot78
5.4%
88
94.6%
Q4 - 9:26MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)78
4.6%
88
95.4%
Q4 - 9:27MIAMISS Richardson 2' Layup78
5.4%
88
94.6%
Q4 - 9:45ORLNicholson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Marble 1 AST)78
4.5%
88
95.5%
Q4 - 9:53ORLJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
2.9%
88
97.1%
Q4 - 9:54MIAMISS Dragic 15' Jump Shot75
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q4 - 10:00MIAHEAT Rebound75
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 10:02MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 275
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q4 - 10:02MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 275
2.8%
88
97.2%
Q4 - 10:10MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)75
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q4 - 10:11ORLMISS Jennings Free Throw 3 of 375
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q4 - 10:11ORLMISS Jennings Free Throw 2 of 375
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q4 - 10:11ORLJennings Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)75
3.8%
88
96.2%
Q4 - 10:17MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)74
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q4 - 10:36ORLWatson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)74
4.1%
85
95.9%
Q4 - 10:44ORLJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q4 - 10:45MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot71
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q4 - 10:54MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)71
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q4 - 10:55ORLMISS Nicholson 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 11:09MIAWinslow Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)71
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q4 - 11:23ORLNicholson 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS)71
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q4 - 11:38ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q4 - 11:39MIAMISS Winslow 4' Turnaround Hook Shot69
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA69
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Dragic 18' Fadeaway Jumper69
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q3 - 0:08.0ORLMISS Fournier 22' Jump Shot69
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q3 - 0:25.0ORLMagic Rebound69
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot69
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0ORLJennings Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)69
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)69
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q3 - 0:58.0ORLMISS Nicholson 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q3 - 1:10MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)69
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q3 - 1:26MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
3.8%
82
96.2%
Q3 - 1:27ORLMISS Smith 14' Jump Shot69
4.1%
82
95.9%
Q3 - 1:40ORLJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
4.6%
82
95.4%
Q3 - 1:41MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot69
4.4%
82
95.6%
Q3 - 1:48ORLDragic STEAL (4 STL)69
3.8%
82
96.2%
Q3 - 1:57MIAWhiteside Dunk (22 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)69
4.6%
82
95.4%
Q3 - 2:07MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
6.1%
80
93.9%
Q3 - 2:08ORLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot69
6.4%
80
93.6%
Q3 - 2:28MIAJohnson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)69
7.3%
80
92.7%
Q3 - 2:40MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
8.5%
78
91.5%
Q3 - 2:41ORLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot69
9.0%
78
91.0%
Q3 - 2:58MIAWhiteside 2' Layup (20 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)69
10.2%
78
89.8%
Q3 - 3:10MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
12.4%
76
87.6%
Q3 - 3:11ORLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)69
13.1%
76
86.9%
Q3 - 3:16ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
14.7%
76
85.3%
Q3 - 3:17MIAMISS Winslow 8' Hook Shot69
14.0%
76
86.0%
Q3 - 3:30MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
12.4%
76
87.6%
Q3 - 3:31ORLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot69
13.1%
76
86.9%
Q3 - 3:49MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)69
14.7%
76
85.3%
Q3 - 4:08ORLPayton 9' Jump Shot (12 PTS)69
19.6%
73
80.4%
Q3 - 4:16ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
17.4%
73
82.6%
Q3 - 4:17MIAMISS Winslow 19' Jump Shot67
16.6%
73
83.4%
Q3 - 4:36MIAHEAT Rebound67
14.7%
73
85.3%
Q3 - 4:37ORLMISS Fournier 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
15.5%
73
84.5%
Q3 - 4:55MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)67
17.4%
73
82.6%
Q3 - 5:08MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
22.7%
70
77.3%
Q3 - 5:09ORLMISS Hezonja 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
23.7%
70
76.3%
Q3 - 5:14ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)67
26.0%
70
74.0%
Q3 - 5:15ORLMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
23.7%
70
76.3%
Q3 - 5:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)67
26.0%
70
74.0%
Q3 - 5:34MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 267
26.7%
69
73.3%
Q3 - 5:49ORLFournier 3' Running Layup (17 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)67
25.7%
69
74.3%
Q3 - 5:53MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)65
23.0%
69
77.0%
Q3 - 6:01MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)65
20.1%
69
79.9%
Q3 - 6:02ORLMISS Hezonja 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
21.0%
69
79.0%
Q3 - 6:24ORLDedmon REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)65
23.1%
69
76.9%
Q3 - 6:25MIAMISS Wade 7' Fadeaway Jumper65
22.1%
69
77.9%
Q3 - 6:44ORLDedmon Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)65
20.1%
69
79.9%
Q3 - 6:44ORLMISS Dedmon Free Throw 1 of 264
19.4%
69
80.6%
Q3 - 6:45ORLDedmon REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)64
20.4%
69
79.6%
Q3 - 6:46ORLMISS Hezonja 18' Jump Shot64
18.5%
69
81.5%
Q3 - 6:55MIADragic 1' Running Layup (15 PTS)64
20.4%
69
79.6%
Q3 - 6:58MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
22.8%
67
77.2%
Q3 - 6:59ORLDeng BLOCK (1 BLK)64
23.7%
67
76.3%
Q3 - 7:12MIAStoudemire 1' Cutting Layup Shot (13 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)64
25.9%
67
74.1%
Q3 - 7:24ORLHezonja Cutting Dunk Shot (8 PTS) (Dedmon 1 AST)64
28.6%
65
71.4%
Q3 - 7:44MIAStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)62
25.9%
65
74.1%
Q3 - 7:44MIAMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 262
26.5%
64
73.5%
Q3 - 7:59MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
25.5%
64
74.5%
Q3 - 8:00ORLMISS Gordon 6' Jump Shot62
26.6%
64
73.4%
Q3 - 8:06ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
28.9%
64
71.1%
Q3 - 8:07MIAMISS Stoudemire 12' Jump Shot62
27.8%
64
72.2%
Q3 - 8:13ORLWade STEAL (1 STL)62
25.5%
64
74.5%
Q3 - 8:16MIAStoudemire 1' Tip Layup Shot (10 PTS)62
28.9%
64
71.1%
Q3 - 8:18MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
31.6%
62
68.4%
Q3 - 8:20MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot62
34.2%
62
65.8%
Q3 - 8:45ORLGordon 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)62
31.6%
62
68.4%
Q3 - 8:46ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
28.9%
62
71.1%
Q3 - 8:47ORLMISS Dedmon Dunk60
26.5%
62
73.5%
Q3 - 8:48ORLDedmon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)60
28.9%
62
71.1%
Q3 - 8:49ORLMISS Gordon 3PT Jump Shot60
26.5%
62
73.5%
Q3 - 9:08ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
28.4%
62
71.6%
Q3 - 9:09MIAMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 160
28.0%
62
72.0%
Q3 - 9:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
31.4%
60
68.6%
Q3 - 9:27ORLMISS Fournier 10' Jump Bank Shot60
32.4%
60
67.6%
Q3 - 9:39ORLMagic Rebound60
34.7%
60
65.3%
Q3 - 9:40ORLMISS Payton 5' Running Jump Shot60
32.4%
60
67.6%
Q3 - 10:01MIADragic 2' Running Layup (13 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)60
34.3%
60
65.7%
Q3 - 10:06ORLDragic STEAL (3 STL)60
37.3%
58
62.7%
Q3 - 10:18MIADeng 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)60
40.9%
58
59.1%
Q3 - 10:23ORLDragic STEAL (2 STL)60
44.1%
56
55.9%
Q3 - 10:32ORLFournier Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)60
47.9%
56
52.1%
Q3 - 10:39ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
44.4%
56
55.6%
Q3 - 10:40MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
43.3%
56
56.7%
Q3 - 10:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
40.7%
56
59.3%
Q3 - 10:55ORLMISS Hezonja 20' Jump Shot59
41.8%
56
58.2%
Q3 - 11:14MIAJohnson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)59
43.5%
56
56.5%
Q3 - 11:41ORLPayton 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)59
46.7%
54
53.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA57
43.6%
54
56.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
40.0%
54
60.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Fournier Free Throw 2 of 257
40.5%
54
59.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLFournier Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)57
42.8%
54
57.2%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
39.3%
54
60.7%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)56
39.9%
53
60.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0ORLPayton 2' Putback Layup (8 PTS)56
43.4%
52
56.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)54
39.3%
52
60.7%
Q2 - 0:31.0ORLMISS Fournier 3' Running Layup54
37.8%
52
62.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
39.3%
52
60.7%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
38.6%
52
61.4%
Q2 - 0:54.0ORLFournier Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)54
37.1%
52
62.9%
Q2 - 0:54.0ORLFournier Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)53
36.5%
52
63.5%
Q2 - 0:57.0ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
33.3%
52
66.7%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
32.7%
52
67.3%
Q2 - 1:10MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
31.6%
52
68.4%
Q2 - 1:11ORLMISS Fournier 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
32.1%
52
67.9%
Q2 - 1:30MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)52
33.1%
52
66.9%
Q2 - 1:31MIAHEAT Rebound52
31.6%
52
68.4%
Q2 - 1:32MIAMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot52
32.6%
52
67.4%
Q2 - 2:00ORLSmith 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hezonja 1 AST)52
31.6%
52
68.4%
Q2 - 2:14MIADragic Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T8)50
28.2%
52
71.8%
Q2 - 2:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
25.9%
52
74.1%
Q2 - 2:22ORLMISS Hezonja 18' Jump Shot50
26.6%
52
73.4%
Q2 - 2:38MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)50
28.1%
52
71.9%
Q2 - 2:52ORLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
25.9%
52
74.1%
Q2 - 2:52ORLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
25.5%
52
74.5%
Q2 - 3:02MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)48
23.8%
52
76.2%
Q2 - 3:17ORLHezonja Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)48
27.9%
49
72.1%
Q2 - 3:21ORLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
26.0%
49
74.0%
Q2 - 3:22MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot46
25.2%
49
74.8%
Q2 - 3:33ORLStoudemire STEAL (1 STL)46
23.4%
49
76.6%
Q2 - 3:49MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)46
26.0%
49
74.0%
Q2 - 4:01ORLDedmon 4' Hook Shot (9 PTS)46
23.5%
49
76.5%
Q2 - 4:04ORLDedmon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
21.6%
49
78.4%
Q2 - 4:05ORLMISS Dedmon 2' Layup44
20.2%
49
79.8%
Q2 - 4:28ORLFournier Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)44
21.6%
49
78.4%
Q2 - 4:29MIAStoudemire 2' Layup (6 PTS)43
19.7%
49
80.3%
Q2 - 4:30MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
21.5%
47
78.5%
Q2 - 4:31MIAMISS Wade 2' Cutting Layup Shot43
23.0%
47
77.0%
Q2 - 4:51ORLFournier 1' Running Layup (10 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)43
21.5%
47
78.5%
Q2 - 4:57ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
19.7%
47
80.3%
Q2 - 4:58MIAMISS Wade 1' Running Layup41
19.2%
47
80.8%
Q2 - 5:03ORLWinslow STEAL (1 STL)41
18.1%
47
81.9%
Q2 - 5:19MIAStoudemire 1' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)41
19.9%
47
80.1%
Q2 - 5:34ORLPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)41
21.6%
45
78.4%
Q2 - 5:43ORLDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
23.7%
45
76.3%
Q2 - 5:44MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
23.0%
45
77.0%
Q2 - 6:06ORLWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)41
21.7%
45
78.3%
Q2 - 6:24ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
24.1%
45
75.9%
Q2 - 6:25MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 1 of 141
23.7%
45
76.3%
Q2 - 6:29MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
25.6%
43
74.4%
Q2 - 6:30ORLMISS Jennings 2' Layup41
26.4%
43
73.6%
Q2 - 6:47MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)41
28.2%
43
71.8%
Q2 - 6:53MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)41
29.9%
41
70.1%
Q2 - 6:54MIAMISS Deng 6' Jump Shot41
31.9%
41
68.1%
Q2 - 7:16ORLNicholson 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS)41
30.1%
41
69.9%
Q2 - 7:32MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)39
28.1%
41
71.9%
Q2 - 7:45ORLHezonja Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)39
30.0%
39
70.0%
Q2 - 8:05MIAWhiteside 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)39
32.2%
39
67.8%
Q2 - 8:20ORLNicholson 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)39
29.9%
39
70.1%
Q2 - 8:33MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)37
27.9%
39
72.1%
Q2 - 8:33MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)37
28.6%
38
71.4%
Q2 - 8:47ORLNicholson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)37
30.0%
37
70.0%
Q2 - 9:18MIAWhiteside Putback Dunk (12 PTS)34
25.8%
37
74.2%
Q2 - 9:19MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
27.5%
35
72.5%
Q2 - 9:20MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 234
29.5%
35
70.5%
Q2 - 9:20MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)34
28.2%
35
71.8%
Q2 - 9:36MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
29.6%
34
70.4%
Q2 - 9:37ORLMISS Jennings 6' Floating Jump Shot34
30.3%
34
69.7%
Q2 - 9:57MIAWhiteside 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS)34
32.0%
34
68.0%
Q2 - 10:13ORLNicholson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)34
33.9%
32
66.1%
Q2 - 10:32MIADragic Running Dunk (10 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)31
30.0%
32
70.0%
Q2 - 10:37ORLDragic STEAL (1 STL)31
31.7%
30
68.3%
Q2 - 10:55MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
34.3%
30
65.7%
Q2 - 10:55MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
34.9%
29
65.1%
Q2 - 10:55MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
36.1%
28
63.9%
Q2 - 10:56MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Turnaround Hook Shot31
38.0%
28
62.0%
Q2 - 11:13MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Gordon: Tip to Dragic31
35.9%
28
64.1%
Q2 - 11:14ORLWhiteside BLOCK (4 BLK)31
36.6%
28
63.4%
Q2 - 11:29ORLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
38.3%
28
61.7%
Q2 - 11:30MIAMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot31
37.6%
28
62.4%
Q2 - 11:49ORLGordon Foul Turnover (P1.T2)31
36.0%
28
64.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA31
38.3%
28
61.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLFournier 18' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)31
36.0%
28
64.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWinslow Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)29
33.2%
28
66.8%
Q1 - 0:04.0ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)29
31.8%
28
68.2%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAWhiteside Dunk (8 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)29
33.3%
28
66.7%
Q1 - 0:39.0ORLFournier Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
36.0%
26
64.0%
Q1 - 0:39.0ORLFournier Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
35.5%
26
64.5%
Q1 - 0:39.0ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
33.3%
26
66.7%
Q1 - 0:40.0ORLWhiteside BLOCK (3 BLK)27
32.2%
26
67.8%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIARichardson 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)27
33.3%
26
66.7%
Q1 - 1:00MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
36.0%
24
64.0%
Q1 - 1:01ORLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot27
36.3%
24
63.7%
Q1 - 1:14MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)27
37.4%
24
62.6%
Q1 - 1:24ORLGordon 2' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)27
40.2%
22
59.8%
Q1 - 1:25ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
37.4%
22
62.6%
Q1 - 1:26ORLMISS Fournier 2' Layup25
36.3%
22
63.7%
Q1 - 1:43MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)25
37.4%
22
62.6%
Q1 - 1:56ORLSmith 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)25
40.2%
20
59.8%
Q1 - 2:08MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)23
37.5%
20
62.5%
Q1 - 2:08MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 223
38.0%
19
62.0%
Q1 - 2:16ORLHezonja 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
37.7%
19
62.3%
Q1 - 2:33MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)21
35.4%
19
64.6%
Q1 - 2:47ORLPayton 6' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)21
39.9%
16
60.1%
Q1 - 2:52ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
37.5%
16
62.5%
Q1 - 2:53ORLWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)19
36.2%
16
63.8%
Q1 - 3:03MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)19
37.2%
16
62.8%
Q1 - 3:29ORLPayton 1' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)19
35.0%
16
65.0%
Q1 - 3:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)17
33.2%
16
66.8%
Q1 - 3:51MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)17
33.6%
15
66.4%
Q1 - 4:05ORLSmith 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
34.6%
14
65.4%
Q1 - 4:22MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
32.9%
14
67.1%
Q1 - 4:22MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
33.6%
13
66.4%
Q1 - 4:22MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
34.6%
12
65.4%
Q1 - 4:23MIAMISS Johnson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot15
36.2%
12
63.8%
Q1 - 4:47MIAHEAT Rebound15
34.6%
12
65.4%
Q1 - 4:48ORLMISS Hezonja 2' Running Dunk15
35.3%
12
64.7%
Q1 - 4:52ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
36.9%
12
63.1%
Q1 - 4:53MIAMISS Wade 1' Reverse Layup15
36.2%
12
63.8%
Q1 - 4:58MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
34.6%
12
65.4%
Q1 - 4:59ORLMISS Fournier 5' Jump Shot15
35.3%
12
64.7%
Q1 - 5:07ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
36.1%
12
63.9%
Q1 - 5:08ORLWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)15
34.7%
12
65.3%
Q1 - 5:25MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)15
36.1%
12
63.9%
Q1 - 5:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
36.5%
11
63.5%
Q1 - 5:42ORLFournier 11' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)15
38.0%
10
62.0%
Q1 - 5:52MIAJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)13
36.2%
10
63.8%
Q1 - 6:11ORLFournier 12' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)13
33.7%
10
66.3%
Q1 - 6:18ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
32.1%
10
67.9%
Q1 - 6:19MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
31.5%
10
68.5%
Q1 - 6:38ORLPayton 9' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
30.2%
10
69.8%
Q1 - 6:53MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)9
28.7%
10
71.3%
Q1 - 7:07ORLDedmon Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)9
29.9%
8
70.1%
Q1 - 7:23MIAStoudemire 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)6
27.1%
8
72.9%
Q1 - 7:50ORLDedmon 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Fournier 1 AST)6
28.3%
6
71.7%
Q1 - 8:08MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
26.9%
6
73.1%
Q1 - 8:23MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
28.2%
4
71.8%
Q1 - 8:24ORLMISS Hezonja 8' Fadeaway Jumper4
28.8%
4
71.2%
Q1 - 8:33ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
30.0%
4
70.0%
Q1 - 8:34MIAMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot4
29.5%
4
70.5%
Q1 - 8:46MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
28.2%
4
71.8%
Q1 - 8:47ORLMISS Fournier 6' Jump Shot4
28.8%
4
71.2%
Q1 - 8:59ORLMagic Rebound4
30.0%
4
70.0%
Q1 - 9:00MIAMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot4
29.5%
4
70.5%
Q1 - 9:17ORLDedmon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
28.0%
4
72.0%
Q1 - 9:17ORLDedmon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
27.6%
4
72.4%
Q1 - 9:18ORLDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
26.8%
4
73.2%
Q1 - 9:19ORLMISS Dedmon 1' Layup2
25.6%
4
74.4%
Q1 - 9:26ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
26.8%
4
73.2%
Q1 - 9:27MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
26.3%
4
73.7%
Q1 - 9:53ORLHezonja 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)2
25.1%
4
74.9%
Q1 - 10:07MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T1)0
24.0%
4
76.0%
Q1 - 10:22MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.5%
4
77.5%
Q1 - 10:23ORLMISS Dedmon 6' Hook Shot0
23.0%
4
77.0%
Q1 - 10:43MIADragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)0
24.0%
4
76.0%
Q1 - 10:56MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.2%
2
74.8%
Q1 - 10:57ORLMISS Gordon 13' Jump Shot0
25.7%
2
74.3%
Q1 - 11:06ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
26.5%
2
73.5%
Q1 - 11:07ORLMISS Payton 6' Floating Jump Shot0
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 11:33MIADragic 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)0
26.5%
2
73.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Stoudemire vs. Dedmon: Tip to Johnson0
28.1%
0
71.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
14
28
50%
MIA
27
37
73%
Midrange
ORL
16
38
42%
MIA
8
28
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
MIA
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
ORL
19
28
68%
MIA
23
33
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Fournier2050%10.0 / 20
A. Nicholson1979%9.5 / 12
E. Payton1464%7.0 / 11
D. Dedmon1056%5.0 / 9
M. Hezonja836%4.0 / 11
B. Jennings844%4.0 / 9
J. Smith840%4.0 / 10
A. Gordon429%2.0 / 7
C. Watson375%1.5 / 2
S. Napier3150%1.5 / 1
D. Marble0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside2672%13.0 / 18
G. Dragic2269%11.0 / 16
J. Richardson1478%7.0 / 9
A. Stoudemire1381%6.5 / 8
D. Wade1142%5.5 / 13
L. Deng1036%5.0 / 14
J. Winslow531%2.5 / 8
J. Johnson433%2.0 / 6
G. Green375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
81
+15
-14
96
MIA
85
+14
-11
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.6
106.0
ORL 102.1
MIA 112.5 +10.4
Pace
95.6
93.7
ORL 105.0 +17.3
MIA 87.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.0
ORL 13.7 +2.7
MIA 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
50.8%
ORL 46.4%
MIA 53.1% +6.7%
TO %
14.1%
14.0%
ORL 13.5%
MIA 12.9% +0.6%
ORB %
23.2%
23.9%
ORL 29.8%
MIA 30.0% +0.2%
FTrt
23.2
28.2
ORL 33.3
MIA 41.3 +8.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.6%
54.3%
ORL 55.6%
MIA 57.5% +1.9%
STL %
8.5%
7.2%
ORL 7.4%
MIA 9.4% +2.0%
BLK %
8.7%
10.3%
ORL 1.5%
MIA 10.6% +9.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
52.8%
ORL 50.0%
MIA 54.0% +4.0%
Rim FG%
58.0%
62.3%
ORL 50.0%
MIA 73.0% +23.0%
Mid FG%
41.3%
40.5%
ORL 42.1% +13.5%
MIA 28.6%
3P %
35.0%
33.6%
ORL 33.3%
MIA 33.3%
FT %
75.7%
74.4%
ORL 67.9%
MIA 69.7% +1.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
37.0%
ORL 33.3%
MIA 46.3% +12.9%
Mid Att. %
39.3%
40.9%
ORL 45.2%
MIA 35.0% +10.2%
3P Att. %
25.5%
22.1%
ORL 21.4% +2.7%
MIA 18.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9596
Possession Minutes21.726.3
Points97108
Rebounds4245
Assists2023
Steals79
Blocks17
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)11 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (1)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)33 (4)
Field Goals36-8440-80
At-the-Rim FG14-2827-37
Midrange FG16-388-28
2-Point FG30-6635-65
3-Point FG6-185-15
Free Throws19-2823-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 218 · 21
36.7
8
36%
3
1
2
0
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 205 · 23
36.1
20
50%
7
2
0
0
2
3
2
5
7-8
88%
5-14
36%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 235 · 21
34.7
4
29%
6
2
0
0
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 185 · 22
34.1
14
64%
7
7
0
0
4
2
4
3
2-4
50%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 245 · 27
18.0
10
56%
6
1
1
0
1
3
4
2
4-5
80%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 32
19.2
3
75%
1
1
0
0
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
17.7
19
79%
6
1
0
0
2
3
0
6
1-1
100%
6-7
86%
2-5
40%
G · 6'1" 170 · 27
16.6
8
44%
3
3
1
0
2
0
0
3
2-5
40%
0-3
0%
2-4
50%
F · 6'6" 200 · 24
13.5
0
0%
0
1
2
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30
11.4
8
40%
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 25
2.0
3
150%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 24
F · 6'9" 235 · 29
#9 · C · 6'10" 260 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
50%
42
20
7
1
14
0
14
28
19-28
68%
30-66
45%
6-18
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.