for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, March 23, 2016
FinalWin Prob.pScore
15
Heat
16%92
88
1
Spurs
84%106
112
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
97.89091.8
SAS logo SAS
123.19189.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS88
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Winslow 3 AST)88
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0SASMISS Anderson 17' Jump Shot85
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAGreen 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)85
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:49.0SASMarjanovic 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (19 PTS) (A. Miller 2 AST)83
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:59.0SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)83
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 1:00MIAMISS Green 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup83
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 1:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)83
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 1:22SASMISS A. Miller 1' Driving Layup83
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 1:39MIARichardson Running Dunk (17 PTS)83
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 1:42SASA. Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)81
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 2:00MIAMcRoberts 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)81
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 2:15SASMarjanovic 10' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (West 2 AST)79
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 2:39MIAMarjanovic STEAL (1 STL)79
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 2:55SASMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)79
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55SASMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)79
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14MIAGreen 20' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30SASMISS Anderson 14' Fadeaway Jumper77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:53SASA. Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS Richardson Dunk77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14SASMISS Marjanovic 14' Turnaround Jump Shot77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20SASSPURS Rebound77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20SASMISS Anderson 7' Jump Shot77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:36SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:55SASMarjanovic 1' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (15 PTS) (West 1 AST)77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06MIAMISS Whiteside 14' Jump Shot77
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:29SASMarjanovic 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)77
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01MIARichardson Cutting Layup Shot (15 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)77
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:26SASMarjanovic Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)75
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:26SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)75
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:27SASMISS Martin 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup75
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:43SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:44MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:50MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)75
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:52SASMISS Martin 6' Floating Jump Shot75
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:14MIARichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)75
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:27MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)72
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:28SASMISS Marjanovic 1' Putback Layup72
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:32SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)72
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:33SASMISS A. Miller 14' Pullup Jump Shot72
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:48MIAGreen 19' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)72
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:57SASMartin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (A. Miller 1 AST)70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:12MIAGreen 16' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)70
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 8:41SASMartin 20' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)68
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 9:04MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:15SASMarjanovic 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)65
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:31MIAWhiteside 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)65
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 9:49MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 9:51SASMISS Marjanovic 8' Hook Shot63
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 10:02SASMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 10:03MIAAnderson BLOCK (1 BLK)63
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 10:23MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 10:24SASMISS Ginobili 18' Pullup Jump Shot63
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 10:41SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 10:43MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 263
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 10:43MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 263
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 11:02SASMills 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)63
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 11:23MIADragic Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P6.T14)63
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 11:40SASMarjanovic 1' Tip Layup Shot (6 PTS)63
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 11:41SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 11:42SASMISS Ginobili 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup63
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS63
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIARichardson 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)63
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0SASMarjanovic 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)60
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIADragic Foul Turnover (P5.T13)60
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0SASDiaw Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)60
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)60
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 1:11SASMarjanovic 1' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)57
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 1:28SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 1:28MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 2 of 257
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 1:28MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 1 of 257
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 1:31MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 1:33SASMISS Diaw Free Throw 1 of 157
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 1:49MIAAldridge STEAL (2 STL)57
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 2:00SASGinobili 15' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)57
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 2:16SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 2:17SASMISS Anderson 9' Pullup Jump Shot57
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 2:30MIAAldridge STEAL (1 STL)57
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 2:48SASAldridge 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T8)57
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 3:01SASSPURS Rebound57
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 3:02MIAMISS Wade 13' Floating Jump Shot57
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 3:10SASGreen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)57
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q3 - 3:18SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 3:19MIAMISS Winslow 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup57
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 3:39SASGreen 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)57
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q3 - 3:47SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 3:50MIAMISS Wade 17' Pullup Jump Shot57
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 3:58MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q3 - 4:01MIAMISS Johnson 7' Floating Jump Shot57
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q3 - 4:20SASAldridge 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)57
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q3 - 4:40MIAWinslow 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)57
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q3 - 4:48SASAldridge Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)55
0.9%
75
99.1%
Q3 - 4:49SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
0.7%
75
99.3%
Q3 - 4:50MIAMISS Richardson 6' Floating Jump Shot55
0.8%
75
99.2%
Q3 - 5:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)55
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q3 - 5:01SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 255
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q3 - 5:01SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)55
0.9%
75
99.1%
Q3 - 5:12MIAGreen STEAL (1 STL)55
1.0%
74
99.0%
Q3 - 5:26SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)55
1.2%
74
98.8%
Q3 - 5:42SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 5:43MIAMISS Richardson 7' Floating Jump Shot55
1.7%
71
98.3%
Q3 - 6:01SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS)55
2.0%
71
98.0%
Q3 - 6:13SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)55
2.7%
68
97.3%
Q3 - 6:14SASMISS Leonard 15' Pullup Jump Shot55
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q3 - 6:29MIALeonard STEAL (1 STL)55
2.7%
68
97.3%
Q3 - 6:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
3.2%
68
96.8%
Q3 - 6:34SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot55
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q3 - 6:53MIAWade 14' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)55
2.7%
68
97.3%
Q3 - 7:07SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)53
2.5%
68
97.5%
Q3 - 7:07SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)53
2.5%
67
97.5%
Q3 - 7:18SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
2.8%
66
97.2%
Q3 - 7:21MIAMISS Dragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot53
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q3 - 7:29MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
3.3%
66
96.7%
Q3 - 7:30SASMISS Aldridge 18' Jump Shot53
3.2%
66
96.8%
Q3 - 7:57MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)53
2.8%
66
97.2%
Q3 - 7:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
3.3%
66
96.7%
Q3 - 8:01SASMISS Leonard 1' Finger Roll Layup53
3.2%
66
96.8%
Q3 - 8:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)53
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 8:14MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q3 - 8:27MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
3.4%
66
96.6%
Q3 - 8:29SASMISS Green 1' Cutting Layup Shot53
3.2%
66
96.8%
Q3 - 8:47MIAStoudemire Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)53
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 9:02SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)53
3.4%
66
96.6%
Q3 - 9:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)53
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 9:06MIAMISS McRoberts 18' Jump Shot53
4.7%
63
95.3%
Q3 - 9:20SASDuncan 2' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)53
5.2%
63
94.8%
Q3 - 9:38MIADragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)53
5.9%
61
94.1%
Q3 - 9:53SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)51
5.2%
61
94.8%
Q3 - 10:14MIAWade 1' Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS)51
6.8%
58
93.2%
Q3 - 10:26SASParker 16' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)49
6.0%
58
94.0%
Q3 - 10:37SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
6.8%
56
93.2%
Q3 - 10:38MIAMISS McRoberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
7.1%
56
92.9%
Q3 - 10:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
7.8%
56
92.2%
Q3 - 10:49SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot49
7.4%
56
92.6%
Q3 - 11:04MIADragic 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)49
6.6%
56
93.4%
Q3 - 11:12MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
5.9%
56
94.1%
Q3 - 11:13SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
5.7%
56
94.3%
Q3 - 11:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
5.1%
56
94.9%
Q3 - 11:25SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 2 of 247
5.8%
56
94.2%
Q3 - 11:25SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 247
5.3%
56
94.7%
Q3 - 11:38MIAMcRoberts Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T6)47
5.2%
56
94.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS47
5.9%
56
94.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
5.2%
56
94.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Leonard 32' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot47
5.7%
56
94.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAWade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)47
5.5%
56
94.5%
Q2 - 0:16.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
4.7%
56
95.3%
Q2 - 0:16.0SASLeonard 1' Tip Layup Shot (24 PTS)45
4.7%
56
95.3%
Q2 - 0:16.0SASMISS Green 1' Driving Layup45
5.9%
54
94.1%
Q2 - 0:36.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
5.5%
54
94.5%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
5.6%
54
94.4%
Q2 - 0:59.0SASLeonard 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (22 PTS)45
6.0%
54
94.0%
Q2 - 1:23MIAJohnson 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)45
7.3%
52
92.7%
Q2 - 1:32MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)43
6.1%
52
93.9%
Q2 - 1:33SASMISS Leonard 3PT Pullup Jump Shot43
6.0%
52
94.0%
Q2 - 1:42SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
5.8%
52
94.2%
Q2 - 1:44MIAMISS Wade 3' Finger Roll Layup43
5.9%
52
94.1%
Q2 - 2:06SASLeonard 15' Jump Shot (20 PTS)43
6.4%
52
93.6%
Q2 - 2:10SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
7.2%
50
92.8%
Q2 - 2:11SASMISS Leonard 11' Pullup Jump Shot43
7.8%
50
92.2%
Q2 - 2:20SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
7.2%
50
92.8%
Q2 - 2:21MIAMISS McRoberts 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot43
7.4%
50
92.6%
Q2 - 2:43MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Technical43
8.0%
50
92.0%
Q2 - 2:43SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)43
8.0%
50
92.0%
Q2 - 2:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
7.2%
50
92.8%
Q2 - 2:57MIAMISS Whiteside 21' Jump Shot43
7.5%
50
92.5%
Q2 - 3:08SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)43
8.1%
50
91.9%
Q2 - 3:29MIAMcRoberts 5' Driving Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)43
9.9%
47
90.1%
Q2 - 3:48MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
9.0%
47
91.0%
Q2 - 3:49SASMISS Aldridge 17' Jump Shot41
8.7%
47
91.3%
Q2 - 4:08MIAWade 16' Turnaround Fadeaway (10 PTS)41
8.0%
47
92.0%
Q2 - 4:21MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
7.2%
47
92.8%
Q2 - 4:22SASMISS Leonard 5' Turnaround Hook Shot39
7.0%
47
93.0%
Q2 - 4:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
6.5%
47
93.5%
Q2 - 4:45MIAWade 1' Putback Layup (8 PTS)39
6.5%
47
93.5%
Q2 - 4:47MIAMISS Richardson 16' Pullup Jump Shot37
5.4%
47
94.6%
Q2 - 5:17SASLeonard 1' Running Layup (15 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)37
5.9%
47
94.1%
Q2 - 5:23MIADuncan STEAL (1 STL)37
6.5%
45
93.5%
Q2 - 5:41SASAnderson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
7.2%
45
92.8%
Q2 - 6:07MIAWinslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)37
8.0%
43
92.0%
Q2 - 6:28SASLeonard 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)34
6.7%
43
93.3%
Q2 - 6:34SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
8.0%
40
92.0%
Q2 - 6:36MIAMISS Wade 19' Pullup Jump Shot34
8.3%
40
91.7%
Q2 - 7:04SASMartin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)34
9.1%
40
90.9%
Q2 - 7:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)34
10.9%
37
89.1%
Q2 - 7:20MIAWhiteside 1' Putback Layup (10 PTS)34
10.9%
37
89.1%
Q2 - 7:22MIADiaw BLOCK (1 BLK)32
9.3%
37
90.7%
Q2 - 7:36SASMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)32
10.0%
37
90.0%
Q2 - 7:36SASMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
10.1%
36
89.9%
Q2 - 7:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)32
10.8%
35
89.2%
Q2 - 7:57MIAMISS Green 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot32
11.2%
35
88.8%
Q2 - 8:13SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)32
11.9%
35
88.1%
Q2 - 8:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
10.8%
35
89.2%
Q2 - 8:24MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
11.2%
35
88.8%
Q2 - 8:31MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)32
11.9%
35
88.1%
Q2 - 8:32SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
11.6%
35
88.4%
Q2 - 8:41SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
10.8%
35
89.2%
Q2 - 8:43MIAMISS Green 16' Jump Shot32
11.2%
35
88.8%
Q2 - 8:57SASMills Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)32
11.9%
35
88.1%
Q2 - 8:57SASMills Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)32
12.1%
34
87.9%
Q2 - 9:06MIARichardson 10' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)32
12.6%
33
87.4%
Q2 - 9:19SASMills Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)30
11.7%
33
88.3%
Q2 - 9:19SASMills Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)30
11.9%
32
88.1%
Q2 - 9:19SASMills Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)30
12.1%
31
87.9%
Q2 - 9:26SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
13.8%
30
86.2%
Q2 - 9:27MIAMISS Dragic 6' Pullup Jump Shot30
14.2%
30
85.8%
Q2 - 9:41SASDiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
15.2%
30
84.8%
Q2 - 9:41SASDiaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
15.5%
29
84.5%
Q2 - 9:57MIARichardson Running Dunk (2 PTS)30
16.4%
28
83.6%
Q2 - 10:02SASMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)28
15.4%
28
84.6%
Q2 - 10:11MIAGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
13.9%
28
86.1%
Q2 - 10:11MIAGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
13.7%
28
86.3%
Q2 - 10:37SASDiaw 1' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)26
13.0%
28
87.0%
Q2 - 10:48MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)26
13.9%
26
86.1%
Q2 - 10:53MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)23
11.9%
26
88.1%
Q2 - 10:54SASMISS West 20' Jump Shot23
11.5%
26
88.5%
Q2 - 11:09MIAMills STEAL (1 STL)23
10.8%
26
89.2%
Q2 - 11:19MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)23
11.8%
26
88.2%
Q2 - 11:20SASMISS Mills 17' Pullup Jump Shot23
11.5%
26
88.5%
Q2 - 11:36MIAWhiteside 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS)23
10.8%
26
89.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS21
9.9%
26
90.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound21
9.1%
26
90.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Diaw 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup21
9.7%
26
90.3%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)21
9.2%
26
90.8%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAHeat Rebound21
9.8%
26
90.2%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Winslow 24' Jump Shot21
9.4%
26
90.6%
Q1 - 0:29.0SASMills 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
9.8%
26
90.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
10.9%
24
89.1%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Winslow 1' Reverse Layup21
11.1%
24
88.9%
Q1 - 1:19SASWest 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)21
11.5%
24
88.5%
Q1 - 1:36MIAWhiteside 5' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS)21
12.7%
22
87.3%
Q1 - 1:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)19
11.5%
22
88.5%
Q1 - 1:45MIAMISS Dragic 9' Turnaround Jump Shot19
11.0%
22
89.0%
Q1 - 1:53MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
11.5%
22
88.5%
Q1 - 1:55SASMISS Mills 15' Pullup Jump Shot19
11.3%
22
88.7%
Q1 - 2:07MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
10.7%
22
89.3%
Q1 - 2:07MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
10.5%
22
89.5%
Q1 - 2:18SASDiaw 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)17
9.8%
22
90.2%
Q1 - 2:37MIAWhiteside 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)17
10.7%
20
89.3%
Q1 - 2:52SASAldridge Cutting Dunk Shot (6 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)15
9.8%
20
90.2%
Q1 - 3:14MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
10.5%
18
89.5%
Q1 - 3:14MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
10.2%
18
89.8%
Q1 - 3:14MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)13
9.8%
18
90.2%
Q1 - 3:15MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Putback Layup13
9.2%
18
90.8%
Q1 - 3:17MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
9.8%
18
90.2%
Q1 - 3:18MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
9.2%
18
90.8%
Q1 - 3:40SASMills Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
9.8%
18
90.2%
Q1 - 3:54MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P1.T2)13
9.0%
18
91.0%
Q1 - 4:04SASLeonard 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)13
9.7%
18
90.3%
Q1 - 4:13SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
10.4%
16
89.6%
Q1 - 4:15MIAMISS Stoudemire 12' Jump Shot13
10.7%
16
89.3%
Q1 - 4:22MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
11.4%
16
88.6%
Q1 - 4:23SASMISS Aldridge 6' Hook Bank Shot13
11.0%
16
89.0%
Q1 - 4:25SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
10.4%
16
89.6%
Q1 - 4:26SASMISS Leonard 19' Jump Shot13
11.0%
16
89.0%
Q1 - 4:45MIAWade 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)13
10.4%
16
89.6%
Q1 - 5:05MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
9.6%
16
90.4%
Q1 - 5:07SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot11
9.4%
16
90.6%
Q1 - 5:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
8.9%
16
91.1%
Q1 - 5:13MIALeonard BLOCK (1 BLK)11
9.1%
16
90.9%
Q1 - 5:34SASAldridge 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)11
9.7%
16
90.3%
Q1 - 5:55MIAMcRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)11
10.4%
14
89.6%
Q1 - 6:09MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
9.0%
14
91.0%
Q1 - 6:11SASMISS Aldridge 12' Turnaround Jump Shot8
8.7%
14
91.3%
Q1 - 6:32MIAMcRoberts Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
8.3%
14
91.7%
Q1 - 6:59SASAldridge 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)6
7.7%
14
92.3%
Q1 - 7:10MIAStoudemire 1' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)6
8.2%
12
91.8%
Q1 - 7:27SASLeonard 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)4
7.7%
12
92.3%
Q1 - 7:34SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
8.8%
9
91.2%
Q1 - 7:36MIAAldridge BLOCK (1 BLK)4
9.0%
9
91.0%
Q1 - 7:49MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
9.6%
9
90.4%
Q1 - 7:50SASMISS Parker 17' Pullup Jump Shot4
9.3%
9
90.7%
Q1 - 8:08MIAWade Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T1)4
8.6%
9
91.4%
Q1 - 8:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
9.3%
9
90.7%
Q1 - 8:12SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot4
9.1%
9
90.9%
Q1 - 8:31MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)4
8.6%
9
91.4%
Q1 - 8:49SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
8.1%
9
91.9%
Q1 - 8:49SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
8.3%
8
91.7%
Q1 - 8:57SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
8.6%
7
91.4%
Q1 - 8:58MIAMISS Stoudemire 19' Jump Shot2
8.9%
7
91.1%
Q1 - 9:08SASLeonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Green 1 AST)2
9.3%
7
90.7%
Q1 - 9:24MIAWade 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
10.5%
4
89.5%
Q1 - 9:43SASLeonard 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
9.9%
4
90.1%
Q1 - 9:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
10.5%
2
89.5%
Q1 - 9:53MIAMISS Dragic 1' Running Finger Roll Layup0
10.8%
2
89.2%
Q1 - 9:59SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
11.4%
2
88.6%
Q1 - 10:10SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.6%
2
89.4%
Q1 - 10:11MIAMISS Stoudemire 10' Pullup Jump Shot0
10.8%
2
89.2%
Q1 - 10:42SASParker 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
11.4%
2
88.6%
Q1 - 10:56SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.0%
0
88.0%
Q1 - 10:58MIAMISS Dragic 8' Pullup Jump Shot0
12.3%
0
87.7%
Q1 - 11:03MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.6%
0
87.4%
Q1 - 11:04SASMISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot0
12.4%
0
87.6%
Q1 - 11:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.9%
0
88.1%
Q1 - 11:18MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot0
12.2%
0
87.8%
Q1 - 11:35MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.7%
0
87.3%
Q1 - 11:37SASMISS Parker 2' Driving Layup0
12.4%
0
87.6%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Stoudemire: Tip to Parker0
12.0%
0
88.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.0%
SAS
1.19 59.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
26
62%
SAS
18
28
64%
Midrange
MIA
14
37
38%
SAS
16
39
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
SAS
8
12.0
14
57%
86%
Free Throws
MIA
7
12
58%
SAS
20
24
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Richardson1765%8.5 / 13
D. Wade1662%8.0 / 13
G. Green1365%6.5 / 10
H. Whiteside1255%6.0 / 11
J. Winslow1056%5.0 / 9
J. McRoberts964%4.5 / 7
J. Johnson542%2.5 / 6
G. Dragic425%2.0 / 8
A. Stoudemire220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard3270%16.0 / 23
B. Marjanovic1979%9.5 / 12
K. Martin1286%6.0 / 7
D. Green975%4.5 / 6
P. Mills964%4.5 / 7
L. Aldridge844%4.0 / 9
B. Diaw880%4.0 / 5
T. Parker542%2.5 / 6
T. Duncan467%2.0 / 3
K. Anderson220%1.0 / 5
M. Ginobili233%1.0 / 3
D. West250%1.0 / 2
A. Miller0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+7
-14
83
SAS
81
+12
-10
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.0%
SAS
1.19 59.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
110.2
MIA 97.8 +25.3
SAS 123.1
Pace
93.7
94.0
MIA 91.8 +2.5
SAS 89.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.2
MIA 15.7 +0.4
SAS 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
52.6%
MIA 52.6%
SAS 56.8% +4.2%
TO %
14.0%
13.3%
MIA 15.4%
SAS 9.8% +5.6%
ORB %
23.9%
22.9%
MIA 15.0%
SAS 25.0% +10.0%
FTrt
28.2
24.6
MIA 15.6
SAS 29.6 +14.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.3%
61.1%
MIA 62.2% +0.3%
SAS 61.9%
STL %
7.2%
8.8%
MIA 8.9% +1.2%
SAS 7.7%
BLK %
10.3%
9.6%
MIA 9.0% +2.7%
SAS 6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
54.9%
MIA 53.0%
SAS 59.6% +6.6%
Rim FG%
62.3%
62.8%
MIA 61.5%
SAS 64.3% +2.8%
Mid FG%
40.5%
43.2%
MIA 37.8%
SAS 41.0% +3.2%
3P %
33.6%
37.5%
MIA 50.0%
SAS 57.1% +7.1%
FT %
74.4%
80.3%
MIA 58.3%
SAS 83.3% +25.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
32.7%
MIA 33.8%
SAS 34.6% +0.8%
Mid Att. %
40.9%
44.9%
MIA 48.1% +0.1%
SAS 48.1%
3P Att. %
22.1%
22.3%
MIA 18.2% +0.9%
SAS 17.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIASAS
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points88112
Rebounds3644
Assists2326
Steals87
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (1)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (0)34 (1)
Field Goals37-7742-81
At-the-Rim FG16-2618-28
Midrange FG14-3716-39
2-Point FG30-6334-67
3-Point FG7-148-14
Free Throws7-1220-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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15 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Joe Johnson
F · 6'7" 240 · 35
32.5
5
42%
2
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
Josh McRoberts
F · 6'10" 240 · 29
30.0
9
64%
3
3
0
0
2
4
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
24.6
16
62%
5
3
0
1
3
0
1
4
0-1
0%
8-13
62%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
24.6
4
25%
1
4
2
0
6
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-1
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
C · 6'10" 245 · 33
13.8
2
20%
4
0
0
2
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
34.2
12
55%
14
1
1
2
2
2
4
10
2-4
50%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
34.2
17
65%
2
4
3
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
4-9
44%
3-4
75%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
30.9
10
56%
2
3
0
0
0
4
0
2
3-5
60%
2-6
33%
1-1
100%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
15.1
13
65%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
1-2
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
Chris Bosh
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
53%
36
23
8
6
14
0
6
30
7-12
58%
30-63
48%
7-14
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.