FinalWin Prob.pScore
164%104
88
736%99
91
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
93.69487.2
CHA logo CHA
97.893100.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASCHA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA88
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)88
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q4 - 0:07.0SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
2.9%
91
97.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0CHALin Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)88
12.4%
91
87.6%
Q4 - 0:18.0CHALin Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)88
14.2%
90
85.8%
Q4 - 0:21.0CHALin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)88
24.5%
89
75.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASMISS Leonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
31.8%
89
68.2%
Q4 - 0:29.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)88
50.2%
89
49.8%
Q4 - 0:31.0SASMISS Leonard 14' Jump Shot88
33.6%
89
66.4%
Q4 - 0:48.0CHALin 16' Pullup Jump Shot (27 PTS)88
50.4%
89
49.6%
Q4 - 1:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)88
63.9%
87
36.1%
Q4 - 1:13SASLeonard 2' Tip Layup Shot (15 PTS)88
63.9%
87
36.1%
Q4 - 1:13SASMISS Aldridge 2' Layup86
40.5%
87
59.5%
Q4 - 1:37CHAJump Ball Lin vs. Green: Tip to86
54.7%
87
45.3%
Q4 - 1:37CHAMISS Lin 3' Layup86
50.3%
87
49.7%
Q4 - 1:40CHALin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)86
40.9%
87
59.1%
Q4 - 1:41SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
45.2%
87
54.8%
Q4 - 1:59CHAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)86
54.9%
87
45.1%
Q4 - 2:12SASAldridge 6' Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Green 1 AST)86
43.0%
87
57.0%
Q4 - 2:26SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)84
36.4%
87
63.6%
Q4 - 2:28CHAMISS Kaminsky Free Throw 2 of 284
34.5%
87
65.5%
Q4 - 2:28CHAKaminsky Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)84
28.6%
87
71.4%
Q4 - 2:45SASGreen Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T15)84
32.3%
86
67.7%
Q4 - 2:48SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
47.9%
86
52.1%
Q4 - 2:50SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
36.9%
86
63.1%
Q4 - 3:00SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
47.4%
86
52.6%
Q4 - 3:02CHAMISS Walker 7' Jump Shot84
43.1%
86
56.9%
Q4 - 3:33SASAldridge 18' Step Back Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)84
38.8%
86
61.2%
Q4 - 3:44SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
30.7%
86
69.3%
Q4 - 3:45CHAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 282
29.5%
86
70.5%
Q4 - 3:45CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)82
24.4%
86
75.6%
Q4 - 3:57CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)82
29.6%
85
70.4%
Q4 - 3:59SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
32.1%
85
67.9%
Q4 - 4:12SASSpurs Rebound82
38.3%
85
61.7%
Q4 - 4:12CHAMISS Kaminsky 3' Jump Shot82
35.4%
85
64.6%
Q4 - 4:28CHALin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
29.0%
85
71.0%
Q4 - 4:30SASMISS Parker 10' Turnaround Jump Shot82
31.7%
85
68.3%
Q4 - 4:56CHALin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Batum 3 AST)82
38.0%
85
62.0%
Q4 - 5:04CHALin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
57.3%
82
42.7%
Q4 - 5:05SASMISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot82
59.9%
82
40.1%
Q4 - 5:18CHALin Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)82
65.6%
82
34.4%
Q4 - 5:33SASGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)82
57.2%
82
42.8%
Q4 - 5:33SASGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)81
55.9%
82
44.1%
Q4 - 5:57CHALin 10' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)80
49.5%
82
50.5%
Q4 - 6:10SASLeonard 2' Cutting Layup Shot (13 PTS) (West 1 AST)80
58.6%
80
41.4%
Q4 - 6:12SASSpurs Rebound78
52.2%
80
47.8%
Q4 - 6:16SASMISS Parker 12' Jump Shot78
46.2%
80
53.8%
Q4 - 6:36CHAKaminsky 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lamb 2 AST)78
52.0%
80
48.0%
Q4 - 7:01SASParker 17' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)78
60.3%
78
39.7%
Q4 - 7:08SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
54.1%
78
45.9%
Q4 - 7:09CHAMISS Jefferson 2' Layup76
51.8%
78
48.2%
Q4 - 7:23CHALamb REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
46.5%
78
53.5%
Q4 - 7:24SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot76
48.8%
78
51.2%
Q4 - 7:54CHALamb 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lin 2 AST)76
54.0%
78
46.0%
Q4 - 8:06CHALamb REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
66.7%
75
33.3%
Q4 - 8:07SASJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)76
68.4%
75
31.6%
Q4 - 8:25CHAHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)76
72.1%
75
27.9%
Q4 - 8:52SASDuncan 8' Turnaround Bank Shot (16 PTS)76
66.7%
75
33.3%
Q4 - 9:10CHALin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)74
61.3%
75
38.7%
Q4 - 9:16CHALin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
71.7%
72
28.3%
Q4 - 9:17SASMISS Mills 19' Jump Shot74
73.2%
72
26.8%
Q4 - 9:31CHAJefferson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T12)74
76.5%
72
23.5%
Q4 - 9:37CHAHORNETS Rebound74
71.7%
72
28.3%
Q4 - 9:37CHAMISS Lin 2' Layup74
75.1%
72
24.9%
Q4 - 9:45SASParker Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T14)74
71.7%
72
28.3%
Q4 - 9:46SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
76.5%
72
23.5%
Q4 - 9:48SASLamb BLOCK (2 BLK)74
73.2%
72
26.8%
Q4 - 10:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)74
76.1%
72
23.9%
Q4 - 10:07CHAMISS Lamb 12' Jump Shot74
74.7%
72
25.3%
Q4 - 10:21CHALamb REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
71.4%
72
28.6%
Q4 - 10:22SASMISS Diaw 12' Floating Jump Shot74
72.9%
72
27.1%
Q4 - 10:46CHALin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)74
76.1%
72
23.9%
Q4 - 10:57CHAHORNETS Rebound74
83.2%
69
16.8%
Q4 - 10:57CHAMISS Kaminsky Dunk74
85.4%
69
14.6%
Q4 - 11:10SASMartin 1' Reverse Layup (7 PTS)74
82.2%
69
17.8%
Q4 - 11:26CHAJefferson 10' Hook Shot (3 PTS)72
79.0%
69
21.0%
Q4 - 11:39CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)72
82.3%
67
17.7%
Q4 - 11:40SASMISS Diaw 1' Layup72
83.3%
67
16.7%
Q4 - 11:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
85.4%
67
14.6%
Q4 - 11:48CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)72
82.3%
67
17.7%
Q4 - 11:48CHAMISS Jefferson 2' Layup72
84.5%
67
15.5%
Q4 - 11:51CHAMISS Lamb 2' Layup72
84.5%
67
15.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS72
82.3%
67
17.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
84.6%
67
15.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0CHAMISS Lin 14' Fadeaway Jumper72
83.8%
67
16.2%
Q3 - 0:27.0CHAHORNETS Rebound72
81.8%
67
18.2%
Q3 - 0:27.0SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
82.7%
67
17.3%
Q3 - 0:37.0SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
84.7%
67
15.3%
Q3 - 0:38.0CHAMISS Jefferson 8' Jump Shot72
83.9%
67
16.2%
Q3 - 1:01SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P3.T13)72
81.3%
67
18.7%
Q3 - 1:11SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
84.2%
67
15.8%
Q3 - 1:15CHAMISS Lin 15' Jump Bank Shot72
83.4%
67
16.6%
Q3 - 1:33SASAldridge Dunk (14 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)72
81.3%
67
18.7%
Q3 - 1:47SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)70
78.3%
67
21.7%
Q3 - 1:48CHAMISS Batum Free Throw 3 of 370
77.8%
67
22.2%
Q3 - 1:48CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 3 (15 PTS)70
75.3%
67
24.7%
Q3 - 1:48CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 3 (14 PTS)70
75.9%
66
24.1%
Q3 - 1:55CHALee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
81.4%
65
18.6%
Q3 - 1:57SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
82.3%
65
17.7%
Q3 - 2:13CHALin 7' Driving Bank Shot (14 PTS)70
83.4%
65
16.6%
Q3 - 2:33SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Aldridge 5 AST)70
85.7%
63
14.3%
Q3 - 2:47CHALee 1' Cutting Layup Shot (17 PTS) (Batum 2 AST)67
80.8%
63
19.2%
Q3 - 3:07SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)67
82.9%
61
17.1%
Q3 - 3:07SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)66
82.6%
61
17.4%
Q3 - 3:20CHAWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Batum 1 AST)65
80.5%
61
19.5%
Q3 - 3:31SASLee STEAL (3 STL)65
85.3%
58
14.7%
Q3 - 3:46SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)65
87.6%
58
12.4%
Q3 - 3:49CHAMISS Lee 19' Pullup Jump Shot65
86.9%
58
13.1%
Q3 - 3:56CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)65
85.3%
58
14.7%
Q3 - 3:57SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
86.0%
58
14.0%
Q3 - 4:20CHALee 16' Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS)65
87.1%
58
12.9%
Q3 - 4:39SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Aldridge 4 AST)65
88.7%
56
11.3%
Q3 - 4:59CHABatum 1' Running Layup (13 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)62
85.1%
56
14.9%
Q3 - 5:02SASBatum STEAL (1 STL)62
86.3%
54
13.7%
Q3 - 5:04SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)62
88.3%
54
11.7%
Q3 - 5:06SASWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)62
86.9%
54
13.1%
Q3 - 5:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
88.3%
54
11.7%
Q3 - 5:18CHAMISS Walker 2' Layup62
87.7%
54
12.3%
Q3 - 5:24CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
86.3%
54
13.7%
Q3 - 5:26SASMISS Parker 19' Pullup Jump Shot62
86.9%
54
13.1%
Q3 - 5:42CHALee 2' Running Layup (13 PTS)62
88.3%
54
11.7%
Q3 - 5:47CHABatum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
89.8%
52
10.2%
Q3 - 5:49SASBatum BLOCK (1 BLK)62
90.3%
52
9.7%
Q3 - 6:09CHAWalker 2' Cutting Layup Shot (5 PTS) (Zeller 3 AST)62
90.9%
52
9.1%
Q3 - 6:22SASAldridge Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)62
92.0%
50
8.0%
Q3 - 6:35CHAWilliams Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T11)62
93.2%
50
6.8%
Q3 - 6:50SASLeonard 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)62
92.0%
50
8.0%
Q3 - 7:07CHAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Zeller 2 AST)60
90.4%
50
9.6%
Q3 - 7:19CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)60
92.6%
47
7.4%
Q3 - 7:20SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 160
92.8%
47
7.2%
Q3 - 7:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
91.7%
47
8.3%
Q3 - 7:28CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
91.2%
47
8.8%
Q3 - 7:39SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)58
90.2%
47
9.8%
Q3 - 7:39SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 257
89.9%
47
10.1%
Q3 - 7:58CHALee 1' Cutting Layup Shot (11 PTS) (Zeller 1 AST)57
90.4%
47
9.6%
Q3 - 8:00CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)57
91.5%
45
8.5%
Q3 - 8:02CHAMISS Batum 17' Jump Shot57
92.2%
45
7.8%
Q3 - 8:09CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)57
91.3%
45
8.7%
Q3 - 8:10CHAMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot57
92.2%
45
7.8%
Q3 - 8:23SASLeonard Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)57
91.3%
45
8.7%
Q3 - 8:43CHALee 18' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)57
92.6%
45
7.4%
Q3 - 8:58SASAldridge 11' Driving Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)57
93.4%
43
6.6%
Q3 - 9:05SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)55
92.1%
43
7.9%
Q3 - 9:07CHAMISS Lee 22' Jump Shot55
91.8%
43
8.2%
Q3 - 9:15SASZeller STEAL (1 STL)55
91.0%
43
9.0%
Q3 - 9:39CHAWalker Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)55
92.2%
43
7.8%
Q3 - 9:49SASLeonard 18' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Aldridge 3 AST)55
91.0%
43
9.0%
Q3 - 10:09CHALee 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)53
89.6%
43
10.4%
Q3 - 10:15SASWalker STEAL (2 STL)53
91.8%
40
8.2%
Q3 - 10:33CHABatum 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)53
92.9%
40
7.1%
Q3 - 10:38CHABatum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
93.7%
38
6.3%
Q3 - 10:40SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
94.5%
38
5.5%
Q3 - 10:40SASMISS Green 1' Running Layup53
94.0%
38
6.0%
Q3 - 10:42SASMISS Aldridge 2' Alley Oop Layup53
94.0%
38
6.0%
Q3 - 10:45SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
94.5%
38
5.5%
Q3 - 10:48CHAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
94.3%
38
5.7%
Q3 - 11:02SASAldridge 2' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS)53
93.5%
38
6.5%
Q3 - 11:25CHAZeller 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)51
92.7%
38
7.3%
Q3 - 11:30CHAHORNETS Rebound51
93.5%
36
6.5%
Q3 - 11:30CHAMISS Walker 5' Jump Shot51
94.1%
36
5.9%
Q3 - 11:35CHABatum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
93.5%
36
6.5%
Q3 - 11:36SASMISS Green 20' Jump Shot51
93.8%
36
6.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHA51
94.4%
36
5.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHAHORNETS Rebound51
93.5%
36
6.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0CHAMISS Lee 76' 3PT Jump Shot51
93.6%
36
6.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASLee STEAL (2 STL)51
93.2%
36
6.8%
Q2 - 0:05.0CHALin 8' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)51
93.7%
36
6.3%
Q2 - 0:09.0CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)51
94.7%
34
5.3%
Q2 - 0:10.0SASMISS Parker 1' Layup51
94.8%
34
5.2%
Q2 - 0:31.0CHALin 1' Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)51
95.1%
34
4.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
95.9%
32
4.1%
Q2 - 0:40.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 151
95.9%
32
4.1%
Q2 - 0:54.0CHABatum Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T9)49
95.2%
32
4.8%
Q2 - 1:14SASMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)49
94.5%
32
5.5%
Q2 - 1:14SASMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)48
94.4%
32
5.6%
Q2 - 1:26CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)47
93.4%
32
6.6%
Q2 - 1:33CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)47
95.1%
29
4.9%
Q2 - 1:34SASMISS Martin 2' Layup47
95.2%
29
4.8%
Q2 - 2:03SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
95.2%
29
4.8%
Q2 - 2:04CHAMISS Lin 8' Turnaround Jump Shot47
95.0%
29
5.0%
Q2 - 2:13SASWalker STEAL (1 STL)47
94.6%
29
5.4%
Q2 - 2:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
95.2%
29
4.8%
Q2 - 2:16CHAMISS Batum 19' Jump Shot47
95.0%
29
5.0%
Q2 - 2:31SASMartin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)47
94.6%
29
5.4%
Q2 - 2:48CHABatum Foul Turnover (P4.T8)44
93.2%
29
6.8%
Q2 - 2:57SASParker Driving Layup (14 PTS)44
92.5%
29
7.5%
Q2 - 3:11CHALin Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)42
91.3%
29
8.7%
Q2 - 3:31SASDuncan 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Aldridge 2 AST)42
90.1%
29
9.9%
Q2 - 3:46CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)40
89.2%
29
10.8%
Q2 - 3:46CHAZeller 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)40
89.2%
29
10.8%
Q2 - 3:48CHAMISS Zeller 11' Jump Shot40
90.9%
27
9.1%
Q2 - 3:54CHABatum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
90.1%
27
9.9%
Q2 - 3:56CHAMISS Zeller 2' Layup40
90.9%
27
9.1%
Q2 - 4:13SASAldridge 16' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)40
89.7%
27
10.3%
Q2 - 4:28CHABatum Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)38
88.7%
27
11.3%
Q2 - 4:28CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS)38
88.9%
26
11.1%
Q2 - 4:28CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)38
89.1%
25
10.9%
Q2 - 4:40SASAldridge 7' Driving Bank Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)38
90.8%
24
9.2%
Q2 - 4:56CHABatum 17' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)36
89.8%
24
10.2%
Q2 - 5:06CHABatum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
90.6%
22
9.4%
Q2 - 5:07CHAMISS Lin 22' Jump Shot36
91.2%
22
8.8%
Q2 - 5:17SASDuncan 10' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)36
90.6%
22
9.4%
Q2 - 5:53CHAKaminsky 1' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Lin 1 AST)34
89.6%
22
10.4%
Q2 - 5:58CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
90.6%
20
9.4%
Q2 - 6:00SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
90.9%
20
9.1%
Q2 - 6:15SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
91.3%
20
8.7%
Q2 - 6:16CHAMISS Kaminsky 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
91.0%
20
9.0%
Q2 - 6:30SASLeonard 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)34
90.2%
20
9.8%
Q2 - 6:47SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)32
89.4%
20
10.6%
Q2 - 6:49CHAMISS Lamb 1' Cutting Layup Shot32
89.0%
20
11.0%
Q2 - 6:56CHALin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
88.1%
20
11.9%
Q2 - 6:57SASMISS Leonard 15' Jump Shot32
88.5%
20
11.5%
Q2 - 7:18CHALin Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS)32
89.0%
20
11.0%
Q2 - 7:36CHAHORNETS Rebound32
89.9%
18
10.1%
Q2 - 7:36SASMISS Diaw 4' Hook Shot32
90.2%
18
9.8%
Q2 - 7:53CHALee 2' Running Layup (4 PTS)32
90.9%
18
9.1%
Q2 - 7:58SASLee STEAL (1 STL)32
91.7%
16
8.3%
Q2 - 8:11CHALin 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)32
92.1%
16
7.9%
Q2 - 8:27CHALamb REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
92.8%
14
7.2%
Q2 - 8:28SASMISS Mills 19' Jump Shot32
93.0%
14
7.0%
Q2 - 8:48CHALamb Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)32
93.5%
14
6.5%
Q2 - 8:48CHAMISS Lamb Free Throw 1 of 232
93.6%
13
6.4%
Q2 - 8:52SASKaminsky STEAL (1 STL)32
93.5%
13
6.5%
Q2 - 9:00SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
94.1%
13
5.9%
Q2 - 9:01CHAMISS Kaminsky 27' 3PT Jump Shot32
93.7%
13
6.3%
Q2 - 9:17CHALamb REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
93.2%
13
6.8%
Q2 - 9:18SASMISS Ginobili 19' Jump Shot32
93.5%
13
6.5%
Q2 - 9:34SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
93.9%
13
6.1%
Q2 - 9:35CHAMISS Lamb 20' Jump Shot32
93.7%
13
6.3%
Q2 - 9:40CHAHORNETS Rebound32
93.3%
13
6.7%
Q2 - 9:40CHAMISS Lee 10' Jump Shot32
93.7%
13
6.3%
Q2 - 9:46SASLin STEAL (1 STL)32
93.3%
13
6.7%
Q2 - 9:55CHALee Layup (2 PTS) (Lamb 1 AST)32
93.9%
13
6.1%
Q2 - 10:01SASLamb STEAL (1 STL)32
94.2%
11
5.8%
Q2 - 10:18CHALin Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T6)32
94.8%
11
5.2%
Q2 - 10:31SASMills 22' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
94.2%
11
5.8%
Q2 - 10:45SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
93.7%
11
6.3%
Q2 - 10:46CHAMISS Lin 10' Pullup Bank Shot30
93.5%
11
6.5%
Q2 - 10:56CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
93.0%
11
7.0%
Q2 - 10:58SASMISS West 18' Jump Shot30
93.2%
11
6.8%
Q2 - 11:09CHALin Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)30
93.4%
11
6.6%
Q2 - 11:21CHALin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
94.9%
7
5.1%
Q2 - 11:23SASLamb BLOCK (1 BLK)30
95.1%
7
4.9%
Q2 - 11:28SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
95.4%
7
4.6%
Q2 - 11:29CHAMISS Kaminsky 2' Layup30
95.3%
7
4.7%
Q2 - 11:49SASWest 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)30
94.9%
7
5.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA28
94.5%
7
5.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHALamb REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
93.9%
7
6.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0CHAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
94.0%
7
6.0%
Q1 - 0:15.0CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
93.8%
7
6.2%
Q1 - 0:16.0SASMISS Diaw 16' Jump Shot28
93.9%
7
6.1%
Q1 - 0:34.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
94.2%
7
5.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0CHAMISS Jefferson 17' Jump Shot28
94.0%
7
6.0%
Q1 - 0:49.0CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
93.8%
7
6.2%
Q1 - 0:50.0SASMISS Diaw 9' Jump Shot28
93.9%
7
6.1%
Q1 - 1:02SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
94.0%
7
6.0%
Q1 - 1:03CHAMISS Kaminsky 1' Layup28
93.9%
7
6.1%
Q1 - 1:08CHAHORNETS Rebound28
93.6%
7
6.4%
Q1 - 1:09CHAMISS Jefferson 1' Layup28
93.9%
7
6.1%
Q1 - 1:11CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
93.6%
7
6.4%
Q1 - 1:12CHAMISS Jefferson 2' Layup28
93.9%
7
6.1%
Q1 - 1:22CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
93.6%
7
6.4%
Q1 - 1:23SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot28
93.7%
7
6.3%
Q1 - 1:35SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
94.0%
7
6.0%
Q1 - 1:37CHAMISS Walker 17' Jump Shot28
93.9%
7
6.1%
Q1 - 1:52SASWest 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)28
93.6%
7
6.4%
Q1 - 2:08SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
92.9%
7
7.1%
Q1 - 2:11CHAMISS Kaminsky 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
92.7%
7
7.3%
Q1 - 2:34SASWest 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)26
92.3%
7
7.7%
Q1 - 2:37SASSpurs Rebound24
91.5%
7
8.5%
Q1 - 2:37SASMISS Leonard 1' Reverse Layup24
91.1%
7
8.9%
Q1 - 2:43CHAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)24
91.5%
7
8.5%
Q1 - 2:49CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
90.9%
7
9.1%
Q1 - 2:51SASMISS Aldridge 12' Jump Shot24
91.1%
7
8.9%
Q1 - 3:09SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)24
91.3%
7
8.7%
Q1 - 3:10CHAMISS Jefferson 8' Turnaround Hook Shot24
91.1%
7
8.9%
Q1 - 3:29CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
90.5%
7
9.5%
Q1 - 3:31SASMISS Aldridge 18' Jump Shot24
90.8%
7
9.2%
Q1 - 3:45SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
91.3%
7
8.7%
Q1 - 3:47CHAMISS Batum 21' Jump Shot24
91.1%
7
8.9%
Q1 - 3:57SASParker 1' Alley Oop Layup (12 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)24
90.5%
7
9.5%
Q1 - 4:10CHAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
89.6%
7
10.4%
Q1 - 4:10CHAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 222
89.8%
6
10.2%
Q1 - 4:22SASAldridge 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)22
89.5%
6
10.5%
Q1 - 4:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
88.8%
6
11.2%
Q1 - 4:40SASMISS Leonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
88.1%
6
11.9%
Q1 - 5:00SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
88.8%
6
11.2%
Q1 - 5:02CHAMISS Jefferson 11' Hook Shot20
87.7%
6
12.3%
Q1 - 5:07CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
87.1%
6
12.9%
Q1 - 5:09CHAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot20
87.8%
6
12.2%
Q1 - 5:21SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)20
87.1%
6
12.9%
Q1 - 5:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
85.2%
6
14.8%
Q1 - 5:38CHAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot17
84.9%
6
15.1%
Q1 - 5:53CHALee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
84.1%
6
15.9%
Q1 - 5:54SASMISS Leonard 21' Jump Shot17
84.5%
6
15.5%
Q1 - 6:02SASSpurs Rebound17
84.7%
6
15.3%
Q1 - 6:02SASMISS Parker 2' Layup17
83.9%
6
16.1%
Q1 - 6:11SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
84.7%
6
15.3%
Q1 - 6:12CHAMISS Williams Layup17
84.4%
6
15.6%
Q1 - 6:32SASParker 19' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)17
83.6%
6
16.4%
Q1 - 6:45SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
82.6%
6
17.4%
Q1 - 6:46CHAMISS Walker 14' Jump Bank Shot15
82.2%
6
17.8%
Q1 - 6:56CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)15
81.3%
6
18.7%
Q1 - 6:59SASMISS Duncan 3' Driving Layup15
81.7%
6
18.3%
Q1 - 7:09SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
82.4%
6
17.6%
Q1 - 7:11CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
82.0%
6
18.0%
Q1 - 7:22SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)15
81.1%
6
18.9%
Q1 - 7:22SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)14
80.9%
6
19.1%
Q1 - 7:26CHABatum Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)13
80.1%
6
19.9%
Q1 - 7:34CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
78.6%
6
21.4%
Q1 - 7:35SASMISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot13
79.1%
6
20.9%
Q1 - 7:47CHABatum Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)13
80.1%
6
19.9%
Q1 - 7:58SASDuncan 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)13
78.6%
6
21.4%
Q1 - 8:12CHAZeller Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)11
77.9%
6
22.1%
Q1 - 8:30SASParker 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
79.0%
4
21.0%
Q1 - 8:33SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
77.9%
4
22.1%
Q1 - 8:35SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot9
76.9%
4
23.1%
Q1 - 8:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
77.9%
4
22.1%
Q1 - 8:52CHAMISS Zeller 14' Step Back Jump Shot9
77.4%
4
22.6%
Q1 - 9:11CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
76.3%
4
23.7%
Q1 - 9:12SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot9
76.8%
4
23.2%
Q1 - 9:21CHALee Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
77.9%
4
22.1%
Q1 - 9:34SASParker 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
76.3%
4
23.7%
Q1 - 9:42CHABatum Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
75.2%
4
24.8%
Q1 - 9:46CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
73.5%
4
26.5%
Q1 - 9:47SASMISS Aldridge 13' Turnaround Jump Shot7
74.0%
4
26.0%
Q1 - 10:09CHABatum 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
75.0%
4
25.0%
Q1 - 10:22SASParker 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
76.2%
2
23.8%
Q1 - 10:36SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
75.0%
2
25.0%
Q1 - 10:37CHAMISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
74.5%
2
25.5%
Q1 - 10:53SASLeonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)5
73.4%
2
26.6%
Q1 - 11:01SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
70.5%
2
29.5%
Q1 - 11:02CHAMISS Lee 23' Jump Shot2
70.0%
2
30.0%
Q1 - 11:05CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
69.1%
2
30.9%
Q1 - 11:08CHAMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot2
70.0%
2
30.0%
Q1 - 11:26SASAldridge 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
69.1%
2
30.9%
Q1 - 11:45SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
67.4%
2
32.6%
Q1 - 11:46CHAMISS Batum Free Throw 1 of 10
67.2%
2
32.8%
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Zeller vs. Duncan: Tip to Walker0
69.0%
0
31.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.96 47.8%
CHA
0.93 46.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
12
24
50%
CHA
15
31
48%
Midrange
SAS
21
45
47%
CHA
12
37
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
CHA
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
Free Throws
SAS
10
13
77%
CHA
13
19
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker1959%9.5 / 16
L. Aldridge1853%9.0 / 17
T. Duncan1667%8.0 / 12
K. Leonard1550%7.5 / 15
K. Martin770%3.5 / 5
D. West675%3.0 / 4
M. Ginobili350%1.5 / 3
D. Green213%1.0 / 8
P. Mills220%1.0 / 5
B. Diaw0-0.0 / 5
K. Anderson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Lin2976%14.5 / 19
C. Lee1765%8.5 / 13
N. Batum1568%7.5 / 11
K. Walker625%3.0 / 12
C. Zeller650%3.0 / 6
M. Williams643%3.0 / 7
F. Kaminsky525%2.5 / 10
J. Lamb433%2.0 / 6
A. Jefferson315%1.5 / 10
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
78
+13
-16
91
CHA
79
+16
-14
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.96 47.8%
CHA
0.93 46.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.2
107.5
SAS 93.6
CHA 97.8 +4.2
Pace
94.0
95.4
SAS 87.2
CHA 100.9 +13.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.3
SAS 16.5
CHA 14.3 +2.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
50.2%
SAS 45.3% +0.5%
CHA 44.8%
TO %
13.3%
12.3%
SAS 14.9%
CHA 13.6% +1.3%
ORB %
22.9%
20.1%
SAS 20.0%
CHA 20.8% +0.8%
FTrt
24.6
28.0
SAS 15.1
CHA 21.8 +6.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
58.6%
SAS 62.2% +10.8%
CHA 51.4%
STL %
8.8%
7.6%
SAS 9.6%
CHA 11.8% +2.2%
BLK %
9.6%
9.0%
SAS 17.6% +10.4%
CHA 7.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
53.0%
SAS 47.8% +1.4%
CHA 46.4%
Rim FG%
62.8%
56.9%
SAS 50.0% +1.6%
CHA 48.4%
Mid FG%
43.2%
39.7%
SAS 46.7% +14.3%
CHA 32.4%
3P %
37.5%
36.2%
SAS 23.5%
CHA 42.1% +18.6%
FT %
80.3%
79.0%
SAS 76.9% +8.5%
CHA 68.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.7%
31.3%
SAS 27.9%
CHA 35.6% +7.7%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
33.9%
SAS 52.3%
CHA 42.5% +9.8%
3P Att. %
22.3%
34.8%
SAS 19.8%
CHA 21.8% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASCHA
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes25.922.1
Points8891
Rebounds4746
Assists2318
Steals911
Blocks125
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)10 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (2)36 (2)
Field Goals37-8635-87
At-the-Rim FG12-2415-31
Midrange FG21-4512-37
2-Point FG33-6927-68
3-Point FG4-178-19
Free Throws10-1313-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 34
36.1
19
59%
5
7
1
2
3
3
2
3
2-2
100%
7-13
54%
1-2
50%
F · 6'11" 260 · 31
35.2
18
53%
12
5
0
1
3
2
2
10
0-0
-
9-17
53%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 250 · 40
30.8
16
67%
10
2
2
4
1
2
3
7
2-5
40%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 25
30.7
15
50%
6
0
2
0
1
3
0
6
2-2
100%
5-10
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'6" 215 · 29
21.5
2
13%
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-5
0%
G · 6'6" 205 · 39
22.9
3
50%
2
3
1
1
3
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'0" 185 · 28
15.8
2
20%
3
1
0
0
3
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34
15.3
0
0%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-5
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 36
14.8
6
75%
2
1
1
2
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 199 · 33
9.9
7
70%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
F-G · 6'9" 230 · 22
7.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 36
G · 6'3" 200 · 40
#40 · C · 7'3" 290 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · F · 6'6" 195 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
48%
47
23
9
12
16
0
9
38
10-13
77%
33-69
48%
4-17
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.