FinalWin Prob.pScore
2132%100
98
768%106
116
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
101.09799.3
ATL logo ATL
119.69795.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL98
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)98
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot98
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0DENMISS Augustin 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot98
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01ATLHumphries Foul Turnover (P1.T12)98
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06ATLHumphries Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (11 PTS)98
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06ATLHumphries Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (10 PTS)98
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13DENSampson 16' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)98
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29ATLHumphries 6' Hook Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Muscala 1 AST)96
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)96
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33ATLMISS Humphries 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51DENJokic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T14)96
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04DENSampson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05ATLMISS Muscala Free Throw 2 of 296
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05ATLMuscala Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)96
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12ATLMISS Muscala 15' Jump Shot96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34DENLauvergne Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34DENLauvergne Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34DENNuggets Rebound94
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35ATLMISS Humphries 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46ATLHardaway Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)94
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47DENMISS Lauvergne 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05ATLSefolosha 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Teague 8 AST)94
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22ATLHardaway Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24DENMISS Mudiay 19' Pullup Jump Shot94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32ATLMISS Teague 1' Driving Layup94
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 3:46ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)94
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 3:48ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 14' Jump Shot94
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 4:10DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)94
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 4:10DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 1 of 293
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 4:17ATLHumphries Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)93
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 4:17ATLHumphries Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)93
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 4:37DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)93
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 4:37DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)92
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 4:45ATLMillsap Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)91
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 4:58DENJokic 6' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lauvergne 1 AST)91
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14ATLHardaway Jr. Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)89
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 5:14ATLHardaway Jr. Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)89
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 5:19ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)89
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 5:20DENMISS Mudiay 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 5:37ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)89
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 5:37ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)89
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 5:49ATLHardaway Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 5:54ATLMISS Millsap 13' Step Back Jump Shot89
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 6:12DENAugustin 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)89
0.7%
103
99.3%
Q4 - 6:24ATLMillsap 19' Step Back Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Hardaway Jr. 4 AST)86
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 6:35DENAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)86
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 6:35DENMISS Augustin Free Throw 1 of 285
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 7:00ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)85
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 7:09ATLHumphries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 7:12DENMISS Augustin 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot85
1.1%
99
98.9%
Q4 - 7:26ATLSefolosha Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Teague 7 AST)85
1.3%
99
98.7%
Q4 - 7:31ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
1.7%
97
98.3%
Q4 - 7:33DENMISS Toupane 3PT Jump Shot85
1.9%
97
98.1%
Q4 - 7:51ATLTeague 19' Step Back Jump Shot (12 PTS)85
2.3%
97
97.7%
Q4 - 8:09ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)85
3.7%
95
96.3%
Q4 - 8:10DENMISS Nurkic 1' Putback Layup85
3.9%
95
96.1%
Q4 - 8:11DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)85
4.7%
95
95.3%
Q4 - 8:13DENMISS Barton 13' Pullup Jump Shot85
3.9%
95
96.1%
Q4 - 8:25DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)85
4.6%
95
95.4%
Q4 - 8:26ATLMISS Teague 3PT Jump Shot85
4.3%
95
95.7%
Q4 - 8:44DENAugustin Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T13)85
3.6%
95
96.4%
Q4 - 8:57DENNuggets Rebound85
4.6%
95
95.4%
Q4 - 9:00ATLMISS Sefolosha 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
4.3%
95
95.7%
Q4 - 9:12DENNurkic 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Barton 6 AST)85
4.3%
95
95.7%
Q4 - 9:34ATLSefolosha 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)83
3.4%
95
96.6%
Q4 - 9:47DENLauvergne Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)83
5.3%
92
94.7%
Q4 - 9:47DENLauvergne Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)82
5.1%
92
94.9%
Q4 - 9:56ATLScott Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)81
4.2%
92
95.8%
Q4 - 10:01DENScott STEAL (2 STL)81
3.8%
92
96.2%
Q4 - 10:06DENAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
4.8%
92
95.2%
Q4 - 10:09ATLMISS Sefolosha 1' Driving Layup81
4.5%
92
95.5%
Q4 - 10:26DENAugustin 18' Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS)81
3.8%
92
96.2%
Q4 - 10:43ATLSefolosha 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Scott 2 AST)79
3.1%
92
96.9%
Q4 - 11:03DENBarton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Augustin 7 AST)79
5.3%
89
94.7%
Q4 - 11:19ATLSchroder Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)76
3.5%
89
96.5%
Q4 - 11:19ATLSchroder Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)76
3.6%
88
96.4%
Q4 - 11:32ATLHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
4.3%
87
95.7%
Q4 - 11:34DENMISS Augustin 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot76
4.5%
87
95.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN76
5.3%
87
94.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound76
5.3%
87
94.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Barton 20' Turnaround Jump Shot76
4.5%
87
95.5%
Q3 - 0:13.0ATLHinrich Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)76
5.8%
87
94.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0DENHarris 17' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Augustin 6 AST)76
4.7%
87
95.3%
Q3 - 0:47.0ATLSchroder 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)74
3.9%
87
96.1%
Q3 - 1:02DENHarris 1' Cutting Layup Shot (13 PTS) (Nurkic 2 AST)74
5.2%
85
94.8%
Q3 - 1:22ATLSchroder 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Sefolosha 2 AST)72
4.3%
85
95.7%
Q3 - 1:34ATLHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
5.2%
83
94.8%
Q3 - 1:36DENMISS Augustin 15' Jump Shot72
5.5%
83
94.5%
Q3 - 1:50ATLSefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)72
6.2%
83
93.8%
Q3 - 1:50ATLSefolosha Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)72
6.5%
82
93.5%
Q3 - 2:05DENLauvergne 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Nurkic 1 AST)72
7.9%
81
92.1%
Q3 - 2:26ATLHumphries Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)70
6.7%
81
93.3%
Q3 - 2:26ATLMISS Humphries Free Throw 1 of 270
7.0%
80
93.0%
Q3 - 2:26ATLHumphries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)70
6.7%
80
93.3%
Q3 - 2:27ATLMISS Schroder 3PT Jump Shot70
7.6%
80
92.4%
Q3 - 2:35DENSefolosha STEAL (1 STL)70
6.7%
80
93.3%
Q3 - 2:54DENNuggets Rebound70
8.0%
80
92.0%
Q3 - 2:54ATLMISS Schroder 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
7.5%
80
92.5%
Q3 - 3:12DENHarris 6' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)70
7.1%
80
92.9%
Q3 - 3:16DENHarris REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)68
6.1%
80
93.9%
Q3 - 3:17DENMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
5.4%
80
94.6%
Q3 - 3:23DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
6.1%
80
93.9%
Q3 - 3:25ATLMISS Millsap 2' Driving Layup68
5.8%
80
94.2%
Q3 - 3:43DENNurkic 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)68
5.1%
80
94.9%
Q3 - 3:55DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
4.3%
80
95.7%
Q3 - 3:58ATLMISS Humphries 19' Jump Shot66
4.1%
80
95.9%
Q3 - 4:09DENHarris 1' Putback Layup (9 PTS)66
3.9%
80
96.1%
Q3 - 4:10DENHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
3.4%
80
96.6%
Q3 - 4:12DENMillsap BLOCK (4 BLK)64
3.0%
80
97.0%
Q3 - 4:27ATLSefolosha Foul Turnover (P1.T8)64
3.4%
80
96.6%
Q3 - 4:40DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q3 - 4:40DENLauvergne 1' Tip Layup Shot (10 PTS)64
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q3 - 4:41DENMISS Nurkic 1' Tip Layup Shot62
2.1%
80
97.9%
Q3 - 4:42DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
2.4%
80
97.6%
Q3 - 4:44DENMISS Nurkic 8' Hook Shot62
2.1%
80
97.9%
Q3 - 5:03ATLHardaway Jr. Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)62
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q3 - 5:03ATLHardaway Jr. Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)62
2.7%
79
97.3%
Q3 - 5:05ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)62
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q3 - 5:06DENMISS Augustin 1' Driving Layup62
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q3 - 5:23ATLHorford 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)62
3.7%
78
96.3%
Q3 - 5:37DENNurkic 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Augustin 5 AST)62
4.2%
76
95.8%
Q3 - 5:49ATLTeague Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T7)60
3.7%
76
96.3%
Q3 - 6:04DENNurkic 12' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Augustin 4 AST)60
3.4%
76
96.6%
Q3 - 6:20ATLHardaway Jr. 1' Cutting Layup Shot (17 PTS) (Korver 4 AST)58
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q3 - 6:29ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q3 - 6:31DENMillsap BLOCK (3 BLK)58
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q3 - 6:51ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)58
3.9%
74
96.1%
Q3 - 7:05DENAugustin 12' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS)58
4.8%
72
95.2%
Q3 - 7:19ATLHardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)56
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q3 - 7:28ATLHAWKS Rebound56
5.5%
69
94.5%
Q3 - 7:29DENMISS Harris 11' Driving Floating Jump Shot56
5.8%
69
94.2%
Q3 - 7:51ATLTeague 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hardaway Jr. 3 AST)56
6.5%
69
93.5%
Q3 - 8:01DENHardaway Jr. STEAL (1 STL)56
8.7%
66
91.3%
Q3 - 8:24ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)56
10.1%
66
89.9%
Q3 - 8:32ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
12.9%
63
87.1%
Q3 - 8:33DENMISS Arthur 17' Pullup Jump Shot56
13.5%
63
86.5%
Q3 - 8:36DENSampson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
14.9%
63
85.1%
Q3 - 8:42ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot56
14.3%
63
85.7%
Q3 - 8:46ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
12.9%
63
87.1%
Q3 - 8:49DENHorford BLOCK (3 BLK)56
13.5%
63
86.5%
Q3 - 8:58ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)56
14.9%
63
85.1%
Q3 - 9:08DENSampson 1' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Mudiay 2 AST)56
19.0%
60
81.0%
Q3 - 9:15DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
16.9%
60
83.1%
Q3 - 9:17ATLMISS Teague 11' Driving Floating Jump Shot54
16.3%
60
83.7%
Q3 - 9:29DENHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)54
14.9%
60
85.1%
Q3 - 9:29DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)53
14.6%
60
85.4%
Q3 - 9:45ATLMillsap 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Korver 3 AST)52
13.2%
60
86.8%
Q3 - 9:55ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)52
14.9%
58
85.1%
Q3 - 9:56DENMISS Mudiay 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
15.5%
58
84.5%
Q3 - 10:15ATLHardaway Jr. Cutting Dunk Shot (12 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)52
17.0%
58
83.0%
Q3 - 10:26DENJokic 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)52
18.9%
56
81.1%
Q3 - 10:33DENSampson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
17.0%
56
83.0%
Q3 - 10:35ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
16.4%
56
83.6%
Q3 - 11:00DENSampson 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)50
15.0%
56
85.0%
Q3 - 11:18ATLMillsap Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)48
13.6%
56
86.4%
Q3 - 11:26ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)48
11.9%
56
88.1%
Q3 - 11:30DENMISS Harris 1' Alley Oop Layup48
12.4%
56
87.6%
Q3 - 11:43ATLHorford 6' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)48
13.5%
56
86.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL48
15.1%
54
84.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
15.1%
54
84.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Barton 1' Driving Layup48
15.7%
54
84.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0DENMISS Harris Free Throw Technical48
17.2%
54
82.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0ATLSchroder 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)48
17.2%
54
82.8%
Q2 - 0:22.0ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)48
19.7%
52
80.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0DENHorford BLOCK (2 BLK)48
20.1%
52
79.9%
Q2 - 0:46.0ATLSefolosha 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)48
21.2%
52
78.8%
Q2 - 0:56.0ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
24.1%
50
75.9%
Q2 - 0:58.0DENMISS Mudiay 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot48
24.6%
50
75.4%
Q2 - 1:18ATLMillsap 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)48
25.8%
50
74.2%
Q2 - 1:36DENMudiay 19' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)48
32.3%
47
67.7%
Q2 - 1:41DENHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
28.3%
47
71.7%
Q2 - 1:43DENHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)46
27.4%
47
72.6%
Q2 - 2:01ATLMillsap 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Schroder 3 AST)46
28.7%
47
71.3%
Q2 - 2:15DENMudiay 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Barton 5 AST)46
31.4%
45
68.6%
Q2 - 2:25DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
26.2%
45
73.8%
Q2 - 2:27ATLMISS Millsap 12' Step Back Jump Shot43
25.5%
45
74.5%
Q2 - 2:41DENJokic 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
24.1%
45
75.9%
Q2 - 2:55DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
21.7%
45
78.3%
Q2 - 2:57ATLMISS Teague 16' Pullup Jump Shot41
21.1%
45
78.9%
Q2 - 3:10DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
19.7%
45
80.3%
Q2 - 3:10DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
19.2%
45
80.8%
Q2 - 3:13ATLTeague Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)39
18.2%
45
81.8%
Q2 - 3:29ATLHAWKS Rebound39
16.2%
45
83.8%
Q2 - 3:29ATLMISS Teague 2' Driving Layup39
17.6%
45
82.4%
Q2 - 3:35DENBarton Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T9)39
16.2%
45
83.8%
Q2 - 3:38DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
18.2%
45
81.8%
Q2 - 3:40ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot39
17.6%
45
82.4%
Q2 - 4:04DENLauvergne 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Barton 4 AST)39
16.5%
45
83.5%
Q2 - 4:28ATLHardaway Jr. 21' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Scott 1 AST)37
15.0%
45
85.0%
Q2 - 4:37ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
16.4%
43
83.6%
Q2 - 4:40DENMISS Harris 3' Driving Layup37
17.0%
43
83.0%
Q2 - 4:50DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
18.2%
43
81.8%
Q2 - 4:53ATLMISS Teague 2' Driving Layup37
17.6%
43
82.4%
Q2 - 5:13ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
16.6%
43
83.4%
Q2 - 5:14DENMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
17.1%
43
82.9%
Q2 - 5:26DENNuggets Rebound37
18.3%
43
81.7%
Q2 - 5:26DENMillsap BLOCK (2 BLK)37
17.1%
43
82.9%
Q2 - 5:40ATLMillsap 1' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Hardaway Jr. 2 AST)37
18.3%
43
81.7%
Q2 - 6:02DENLauvergne Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Barton 3 AST)37
20.0%
41
80.0%
Q2 - 6:05DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
18.7%
41
81.3%
Q2 - 6:08ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 1' Driving Layup35
18.1%
41
81.9%
Q2 - 6:15ATLHardaway Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
16.7%
41
83.3%
Q2 - 6:16DENMISS Toupane 3PT Jump Shot35
17.3%
41
82.7%
Q2 - 6:29ATLScott Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
18.7%
41
81.3%
Q2 - 6:29ATLMISS Scott Free Throw 1 of 235
19.0%
40
81.0%
Q2 - 6:57DENBarton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST)35
18.3%
40
81.7%
Q2 - 7:07DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
15.8%
40
84.2%
Q2 - 7:09ATLMISS Scott 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
15.3%
40
84.7%
Q2 - 7:26ATLHardaway Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
14.3%
40
85.7%
Q2 - 7:27DENMISS Toupane 3PT Jump Shot32
14.7%
40
85.3%
Q2 - 7:46ATLScott Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)32
15.8%
40
84.2%
Q2 - 7:56DENAugustin 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)32
18.6%
37
81.4%
Q2 - 8:23ATLHorford Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Schroder 1 AST)30
17.3%
37
82.7%
Q2 - 8:39ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
18.7%
35
81.3%
Q2 - 8:40DENMISS Lauvergne 2' Layup30
19.2%
35
80.8%
Q2 - 9:00ATLHardaway Jr. Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)30
20.4%
35
79.6%
Q2 - 9:00ATLHardaway Jr. Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)30
20.6%
34
79.4%
Q2 - 9:03DENScott STEAL (1 STL)30
21.8%
33
78.2%
Q2 - 9:20DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
23.9%
33
76.1%
Q2 - 9:22ATLMISS Scott 7' Turnaround Jump Shot30
23.2%
33
76.8%
Q2 - 9:40ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
21.8%
33
78.2%
Q2 - 9:41DENMISS Toupane 1' Running Layup30
22.4%
33
77.6%
Q2 - 9:46DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
23.9%
33
76.1%
Q2 - 9:48ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 21' Jump Shot30
23.2%
33
76.8%
Q2 - 10:04DENAugustin 17' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)30
22.0%
33
78.0%
Q2 - 10:13DENToupane REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
20.7%
33
79.3%
Q2 - 10:14ATLMISS Schroder 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
20.1%
33
79.9%
Q2 - 10:31DENAugustin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barton 2 AST)28
18.8%
33
81.2%
Q2 - 10:34DENNuggets Rebound25
16.2%
33
83.8%
Q2 - 10:34DENMISS Barton 16' Step Back Jump Shot25
15.1%
33
84.9%
Q2 - 10:46DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
16.2%
33
83.8%
Q2 - 10:48ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot25
15.7%
33
84.3%
Q2 - 11:02DENBarton Foul Turnover (P3.T7)25
14.9%
33
85.1%
Q2 - 11:02ATLSchroder Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)25
16.2%
33
83.8%
Q2 - 11:23DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
14.9%
33
85.1%
Q2 - 11:23DENNurkic 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)25
14.9%
33
85.1%
Q2 - 11:25DENMISS Nurkic 6' Pullup Jump Shot23
12.9%
33
87.1%
Q2 - 11:41DENToupane REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
13.7%
33
86.3%
Q2 - 11:43ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot23
13.4%
33
86.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL23
12.6%
33
87.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound23
12.6%
33
87.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Horford 18' Turnaround Jump Shot23
13.4%
33
86.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENNurkic Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)23
12.9%
33
87.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
13.7%
33
86.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Schroder 2' Driving Layup23
13.5%
33
86.5%
Q1 - 0:09.0ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
12.9%
33
87.1%
Q1 - 0:12.0DENHinrich BLOCK (1 BLK)23
13.2%
33
86.8%
Q1 - 0:30.0DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
13.7%
33
86.3%
Q1 - 0:33.0ATLMISS Schroder 17' Pullup Jump Shot23
13.5%
33
86.5%
Q1 - 0:54.0DENLauvergne 9' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)23
12.9%
33
87.1%
Q1 - 1:09ATLHumphries Dunk (4 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)21
11.8%
33
88.2%
Q1 - 1:26DENAugustin 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
13.1%
31
86.9%
Q1 - 1:37DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
11.8%
31
88.2%
Q1 - 1:38ATLMISS Humphries 19' Jump Shot19
11.6%
31
88.4%
Q1 - 1:59DENBarton Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T5)19
11.1%
31
88.9%
Q1 - 2:02DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
12.0%
31
88.0%
Q1 - 2:06ATLMISS Humphries 8' Pullup Jump Shot19
11.7%
31
88.3%
Q1 - 2:27DENLauvergne 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)19
11.1%
31
88.9%
Q1 - 2:53DENNuggets Rebound17
10.2%
31
89.8%
Q1 - 2:53DENMISS Arthur 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
9.7%
31
90.3%
Q1 - 3:05ATLSchroder Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)17
10.5%
31
89.5%
Q1 - 3:19DENHarris 18' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barton 1 AST)17
9.6%
31
90.4%
Q1 - 3:38ATLSchroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)15
8.9%
31
91.1%
Q1 - 3:42ATLHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
10.4%
28
89.6%
Q1 - 3:44ATLMISS Millsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
11.0%
28
89.0%
Q1 - 3:59DENBarton Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T4)15
10.4%
28
89.6%
Q1 - 4:12ATLTeague Driving Layup (5 PTS)15
11.5%
28
88.5%
Q1 - 4:22ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
12.2%
26
87.8%
Q1 - 4:23DENMISS Arthur 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
12.6%
26
87.4%
Q1 - 4:35ATLHardaway Jr. 21' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)15
13.4%
26
86.6%
Q1 - 4:46DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
14.3%
24
85.7%
Q1 - 4:46DENJokic Putback Layup (2 PTS)15
14.3%
24
85.7%
Q1 - 4:48DENMISS Mudiay 2' Driving Layup13
12.6%
24
87.4%
Q1 - 5:04ATLHumphries 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Millsap 3 AST)13
13.7%
24
86.3%
Q1 - 5:25DENArthur 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Jokic 2 AST)13
14.6%
22
85.4%
Q1 - 5:38ATLMillsap Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)11
13.7%
22
86.3%
Q1 - 5:44DENMudiay Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)11
12.7%
22
87.3%
Q1 - 5:52DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
13.7%
22
86.3%
Q1 - 5:55ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. Free Throw 2 of 211
13.5%
22
86.5%
Q1 - 5:55ATLHardaway Jr. Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)11
12.8%
22
87.2%
Q1 - 5:56ATLHardaway Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
13.6%
21
86.4%
Q1 - 5:58DENMillsap BLOCK (1 BLK)11
13.9%
21
86.1%
Q1 - 6:04DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
15.0%
21
85.0%
Q1 - 6:05ATLMISS Teague 3' Driving Floating Jump Shot11
14.7%
21
85.3%
Q1 - 6:18DENArthur 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jokic 1 AST)11
13.9%
21
86.1%
Q1 - 6:37ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)9
13.1%
21
86.9%
Q1 - 6:45ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
14.9%
18
85.1%
Q1 - 6:48DENMISS Arthur 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
15.2%
18
84.8%
Q1 - 6:56DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
16.0%
18
84.0%
Q1 - 6:58ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Running Pull-Up Jump Shot9
15.7%
18
84.3%
Q1 - 7:04DENTeague STEAL (1 STL)9
15.0%
18
85.0%
Q1 - 7:15ATLTeague 25' 3PT Running Pull-Up Jump Shot (3 PTS)9
16.2%
18
83.8%
Q1 - 7:21DENMudiay 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)9
18.2%
15
81.8%
Q1 - 7:28DENSampson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
17.3%
15
82.7%
Q1 - 7:29ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot7
16.9%
15
83.1%
Q1 - 7:42ATLHAWKS Rebound7
16.0%
15
84.0%
Q1 - 7:42DENMISS Sampson 3' Layup7
16.4%
15
83.6%
Q1 - 7:50DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
17.3%
15
82.7%
Q1 - 7:55ATLMISS Korver 18' Pullup Jump Shot7
16.9%
15
83.1%
Q1 - 8:03DENSampson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
16.0%
15
84.0%
Q1 - 8:03DENSampson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
15.7%
15
84.3%
Q1 - 8:16ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)5
15.1%
15
84.9%
Q1 - 8:29ATLHardaway Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
17.0%
12
83.0%
Q1 - 8:32DENMISS Sampson 18' Pullup Jump Shot5
17.4%
12
82.6%
Q1 - 8:42ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)5
18.3%
12
81.7%
Q1 - 8:55DENHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mudiay 1 AST)5
19.3%
10
80.7%
Q1 - 9:16DENSampson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.2%
10
82.8%
Q1 - 9:18ATLMISS Horford 3' Turnaround Hook Shot2
16.8%
10
83.2%
Q1 - 9:35ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
16.0%
10
84.0%
Q1 - 9:36DENMISS Harris 3' Driving Layup2
16.3%
10
83.7%
Q1 - 9:54ATLMillsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hardaway Jr. 1 AST)2
17.2%
10
82.8%
Q1 - 10:08DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
19.4%
7
80.6%
Q1 - 10:08DENArthur Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)2
19.4%
7
80.6%
Q1 - 10:09DENMISS Harris 5' Running Jump Shot0
17.5%
7
82.5%
Q1 - 10:17ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
18.4%
7
81.6%
Q1 - 10:20ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.2%
7
82.8%
Q1 - 10:22DENMISS Jokic 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
17.5%
7
82.5%
Q1 - 10:35ATLHardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)0
18.4%
7
81.6%
Q1 - 10:48DENSampson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
20.5%
4
79.5%
Q1 - 10:59ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
22.0%
4
78.0%
Q1 - 10:59ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
22.2%
3
77.8%
Q1 - 11:12ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.1%
2
76.9%
Q1 - 11:13DENMISS Arthur 17' Jump Shot0
23.5%
2
76.5%
Q1 - 11:31ATLKorver 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)0
24.3%
2
75.7%
Q1 - 11:42ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.8%
0
74.2%
Q1 - 11:43DENMISS Mudiay 16' Pullup Jump Shot0
26.2%
0
73.8%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Horford vs. Jokic: Tip to Arthur0
27.1%
0
72.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.02 51.0%
ATL
1.22 61.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
14
32
44%
ATL
18
27
67%
Midrange
DEN
19
33
58%
ATL
10
27
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
6
9.0
22
27%
41%
ATL
12
18.0
26
46%
69%
Free Throws
DEN
14
17
82%
ATL
24
28
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Augustin1765%8.5 / 13
J. Lauvergne1680%8.0 / 10
G. Harris1547%7.5 / 16
E. Mudiay1243%6.0 / 14
J. Nurkić1050%5.0 / 10
N. Jokić857%4.0 / 7
J. Sampson867%4.0 / 6
D. Arthur638%3.0 / 8
W. Barton643%3.0 / 7
A. Toupane0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Hardaway2170%10.5 / 15
P. Millsap1673%8.0 / 11
J. Teague1647%8.0 / 17
T. Sefolosha1488%7.0 / 8
A. Horford1155%5.5 / 10
K. Korver11110%5.5 / 5
D. Schröder1155%5.5 / 10
K. Humphries1155%5.5 / 10
M. Scott450%2.0 / 4
M. Muscala125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
83
+13
-14
96
ATL
85
+9
-12
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.02 51.0%
ATL
1.22 61.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.2
105.5
DEN 101.0
ATL 119.6 +18.6
Pace
95.3
96.8
DEN 99.3 +3.5
ATL 95.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
14.6
DEN 14.5 +0.5
ATL 15.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.9%
51.6%
DEN 48.3%
ATL 57.5% +9.2%
TO %
14.8%
14.9%
DEN 12.9%
ATL 11.5% +1.4%
ORB %
25.8%
19.2%
DEN 21.4% +2.5%
ATL 18.9%
FTrt
28.2
23.7
DEN 19.5
ATL 35.0 +15.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
66.3%
DEN 56.4%
ATL 80.0% +23.6%
STL %
7.7%
9.3%
DEN 6.2% +1.0%
ATL 5.2%
BLK %
8.1%
9.6%
DEN 7.4%
ATL 12.3% +4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.7%
54.1%
DEN 51.0%
ATL 61.1% +10.1%
Rim FG%
54.8%
58.9%
DEN 43.8%
ATL 66.7% +22.9%
Mid FG%
38.8%
41.2%
DEN 57.6% +20.6%
ATL 37.0%
3P %
33.8%
35.0%
DEN 27.3%
ATL 46.2% +18.9%
FT %
76.6%
78.3%
DEN 82.4%
ATL 85.7% +3.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.5%
37.6%
DEN 36.8% +3.0%
ATL 33.8%
Mid Att. %
29.8%
28.8%
DEN 37.9%
ATL 33.8% +4.2%
3P Att. %
27.7%
33.6%
DEN 25.3%
ATL 32.5% +7.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENATL
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes23.424.3
Points98116
Rebounds3940
Assists2232
Steals65
Blocks48
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)33 (2)
Field Goals39-8740-80
At-the-Rim FG14-3218-27
Midrange FG19-3310-27
2-Point FG33-6528-54
3-Point FG6-2212-26
Free Throws14-1724-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 210 · 22
31.8
15
47%
4
2
1
0
0
4
3
1
2-3
67%
5-12
42%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 200 · 20
23.2
12
43%
2
2
1
0
1
1
0
2
5-6
83%
2-7
29%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 284 · 21
22.1
8
57%
5
2
1
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 28
17.6
6
38%
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 207 · 23
13.3
8
67%
5
0
0
0
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25
30.6
6
43%
6
6
1
0
4
3
0
6
0-0
-
0-5
0%
2-2
100%
C · 6'11" 260 · 24
30.4
16
80%
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
5
4-4
100%
6-7
86%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 183 · 28
28.8
17
65%
1
7
0
1
2
4
0
1
1-2
50%
5-7
71%
2-5
40%
C · 7'0" 290 · 22
25.9
10
50%
7
2
1
1
2
3
3
4
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24
16.2
0
0%
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 228 · 26
G · 6'0" 190 · 34
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36
#8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · F · 6'9" 225 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
51%
39
22
6
4
14
0
9
30
14-17
82%
33-65
51%
6-22
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.