FinalWin Prob.pScore
646%100
109
1554%102
106
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
117.29391.6
MIA logo MIA
115.29293.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA109
100%
106
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot109
99.0%
106
1.0%
Q4 - 0:03.0CHALin Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)109
97.7%
106
2.3%
Q4 - 0:03.0CHALin Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)108
97.1%
106
2.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)107
94.2%
106
5.8%
Q4 - 0:09.0CHALin Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)107
92.2%
104
7.8%
Q4 - 0:09.0CHALin Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)106
90.8%
104
9.2%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)105
83.5%
104
16.5%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)105
91.1%
102
8.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0CHAMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 2105
92.2%
102
7.8%
Q4 - 0:15.0CHAMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 2105
95.8%
102
4.2%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)105
96.9%
102
3.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)105
97.8%
101
2.2%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAHEAT Rebound105
98.5%
100
1.5%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.3%
100
0.7%
Q4 - 0:25.0CHAHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)105
97.5%
100
2.5%
Q4 - 0:25.0CHAHornets Rebound105
99.1%
100
0.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0CHAMISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot105
98.0%
100
2.0%
Q4 - 0:48.0CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)105
97.7%
100
2.3%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Deng 8' Hook Shot105
97.1%
100
2.9%
Q4 - 1:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)105
93.5%
100
6.5%
Q4 - 1:05CHAMISS Lee 18' Jump Shot105
94.6%
100
5.4%
Q4 - 1:23CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)105
95.3%
100
4.7%
Q4 - 1:24MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Bank Shot105
94.3%
100
5.7%
Q4 - 1:36CHAJefferson 3' Layup (21 PTS) (Batum 7 AST)105
90.2%
100
9.8%
Q4 - 1:50MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)103
83.9%
100
16.1%
Q4 - 1:50MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)103
85.2%
99
14.8%
Q4 - 1:50MIADeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)103
89.2%
98
10.8%
Q4 - 1:51MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot103
92.2%
98
7.8%
Q4 - 2:10CHABatum 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS)103
88.2%
98
11.8%
Q4 - 2:33MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)101
84.8%
98
15.2%
Q4 - 2:47MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)101
92.1%
95
7.9%
Q4 - 2:48CHAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
93.5%
95
6.5%
Q4 - 3:00CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)101
94.2%
95
5.8%
Q4 - 3:01MIAMISS Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot101
93.3%
95
6.7%
Q4 - 3:24CHABatum Free Throw 3 of 3 (17 PTS)101
90.4%
95
9.6%
Q4 - 3:24CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 3 (16 PTS)100
89.9%
95
10.1%
Q4 - 3:24CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 3 (15 PTS)99
89.3%
95
10.7%
Q4 - 3:37CHALee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
77.5%
95
22.5%
Q4 - 3:38MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 198
76.6%
95
23.4%
Q4 - 4:03CHABatum 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)98
87.9%
92
12.1%
Q4 - 4:23CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
84.0%
92
16.0%
Q4 - 4:24MIAMISS Whiteside 16' Jump Shot96
82.2%
92
17.8%
Q4 - 4:46CHAJefferson 5' Jump Shot (19 PTS)96
77.8%
92
22.2%
Q4 - 4:48CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)94
71.3%
92
28.7%
Q4 - 4:49CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
65.1%
92
34.9%
Q4 - 5:22MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)94
68.3%
92
31.7%
Q4 - 5:30CHAWinslow STEAL (1 STL)94
74.6%
90
25.4%
Q4 - 5:50CHALee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
80.8%
90
19.2%
Q4 - 5:51MIAMISS Winslow 3' Driving Layup94
79.1%
90
20.9%
Q4 - 5:56MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)94
74.7%
90
25.3%
Q4 - 5:57CHAMISS Jefferson 11' Jump Shot94
76.7%
90
23.3%
Q4 - 6:09MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)94
78.5%
90
21.5%
Q4 - 6:26CHAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)94
72.3%
90
27.7%
Q4 - 6:52CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)91
59.8%
90
40.2%
Q4 - 6:53MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 2 of 291
58.7%
90
41.3%
Q4 - 6:53MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 291
54.2%
90
45.8%
Q4 - 6:53MIAHEAT Rebound91
51.4%
90
48.6%
Q4 - 6:53CHAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot91
54.0%
90
46.0%
Q4 - 7:23MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)91
58.9%
90
41.1%
Q4 - 7:40CHAHansbrough 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)91
70.9%
87
29.1%
Q4 - 8:00MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)89
65.5%
87
34.5%
Q4 - 8:07MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)89
74.6%
84
25.4%
Q4 - 8:08CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
76.0%
84
24.0%
Q4 - 8:21CHAHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)89
79.1%
84
20.9%
Q4 - 8:22CHAMISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
76.1%
84
23.9%
Q4 - 8:37MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)89
79.2%
84
20.8%
Q4 - 8:37MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)89
80.6%
83
19.4%
Q4 - 8:54CHALee Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)89
83.2%
82
16.8%
Q4 - 8:54CHALee Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)88
82.7%
82
17.3%
Q4 - 9:01CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
77.6%
82
22.4%
Q4 - 9:02MIAMISS Deng 22' Jump Shot87
76.3%
82
23.7%
Q4 - 9:34CHABatum 22' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)87
73.1%
82
26.9%
Q4 - 10:01MIARichardson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)85
67.2%
82
32.8%
Q4 - 10:14MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
71.8%
80
28.2%
Q4 - 10:15CHAMISS Daniels 16' Pullup Jump Shot85
73.2%
80
26.8%
Q4 - 10:34MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)85
76.4%
80
23.6%
Q4 - 10:52CHADaniels 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 7 AST)85
83.5%
77
16.5%
Q4 - 11:09MIADeng 3' Layup (20 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)82
75.0%
77
25.0%
Q4 - 11:23CHALee Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)82
78.7%
75
21.3%
Q4 - 11:45CHADaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
82.3%
75
17.7%
Q4 - 11:46MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 182
81.8%
75
18.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA82
85.1%
73
14.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHAHornets Rebound82
87.8%
73
12.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
84.6%
73
15.4%
Q3 - 0:12.0CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
86.4%
73
13.6%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
85.7%
73
14.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0CHAKaminsky 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)82
83.9%
73
16.1%
Q3 - 0:50.0CHAHornets Rebound80
81.0%
73
19.0%
Q3 - 0:50.0CHAMISS Lin 21' Jump Shot80
78.6%
73
21.4%
Q3 - 1:02CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
79.7%
73
20.3%
Q3 - 1:03MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup80
78.7%
73
21.3%
Q3 - 1:15CHAKaminsky 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)80
76.3%
73
23.7%
Q3 - 1:27MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)78
72.7%
73
27.3%
Q3 - 1:45CHAKaminsky 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)78
79.7%
70
20.3%
Q3 - 2:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)76
74.9%
70
25.1%
Q3 - 2:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)76
75.6%
69
24.4%
Q3 - 2:29CHAWalker 3' Reverse Layup (18 PTS)76
78.1%
68
21.9%
Q3 - 2:38CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
75.0%
68
25.0%
Q3 - 2:39MIAMISS Dragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot74
73.8%
68
26.2%
Q3 - 2:52CHAWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)74
71.1%
68
28.9%
Q3 - 3:03CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
74.1%
68
25.9%
Q3 - 3:04MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot74
73.0%
68
27.0%
Q3 - 3:19CHABatum 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kaminsky 1 AST)74
70.3%
68
29.7%
Q3 - 3:25CHAHornets Rebound71
62.7%
68
37.3%
Q3 - 3:26CHAWade BLOCK (2 BLK)71
59.5%
68
40.5%
Q3 - 3:35MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P3.T14)71
62.7%
68
37.3%
Q3 - 3:48MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
58.0%
68
42.0%
Q3 - 3:49CHAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 271
58.7%
68
41.3%
Q3 - 3:49CHAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 271
61.2%
68
38.8%
Q3 - 3:55CHAHornets Rebound71
62.7%
68
37.3%
Q3 - 3:56CHAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)71
59.5%
68
40.5%
Q3 - 3:58CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)71
62.7%
68
37.3%
Q3 - 3:59CHAWinslow BLOCK (2 BLK)71
59.5%
68
40.5%
Q3 - 4:02MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)71
62.0%
68
38.0%
Q3 - 4:21CHAJefferson 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS)71
57.2%
68
42.8%
Q3 - 4:39MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)69
53.7%
68
46.3%
Q3 - 4:44MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
61.4%
65
38.6%
Q3 - 4:45CHAMISS Lin 2' Driving Layup69
62.8%
65
37.2%
Q3 - 5:07CHALin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
64.9%
65
35.1%
Q3 - 5:08MIAMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot69
63.6%
65
36.4%
Q3 - 5:45CHAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Batum 6 AST)69
60.7%
65
39.3%
Q3 - 6:05MIADeng 3' Layup (18 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)66
52.7%
65
47.3%
Q3 - 6:22CHAJefferson 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Batum 5 AST)66
56.2%
63
43.8%
Q3 - 6:35CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
52.7%
63
47.3%
Q3 - 6:36MIAMISS Dragic 3PT Jump Shot64
51.4%
63
48.6%
Q3 - 6:56CHABatum 18' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)64
48.3%
63
51.7%
Q3 - 7:12MIAStoudemire 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)62
44.6%
63
55.4%
Q3 - 7:36CHABatum 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Walker 6 AST)62
48.0%
61
52.0%
Q3 - 7:53MIADeng Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)59
40.9%
61
59.1%
Q3 - 7:59MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
36.8%
61
63.2%
Q3 - 8:00CHAMISS Walker 17' Jump Shot59
38.0%
61
62.0%
Q3 - 8:21MIADeng 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)59
41.1%
61
58.9%
Q3 - 8:34MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
44.2%
59
55.8%
Q3 - 8:35CHAMISS Jefferson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot59
45.5%
59
54.5%
Q3 - 8:51MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)59
48.5%
59
51.5%
Q3 - 9:13CHAJefferson 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)59
55.0%
56
45.0%
Q3 - 9:38MIAStoudemire 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)57
51.6%
56
48.4%
Q3 - 9:59CHAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Walker 5 AST)57
55.1%
54
44.9%
Q3 - 10:14MIADragic 13' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)54
47.9%
54
52.1%
Q3 - 10:32MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)54
51.2%
52
48.8%
Q3 - 10:33CHAMISS Lee 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
52.3%
52
47.7%
Q3 - 10:40CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
54.9%
52
45.1%
Q3 - 10:42CHAMISS Walker 17' Jump Shot54
52.3%
52
47.7%
Q3 - 11:03CHALee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
54.7%
52
45.3%
Q3 - 11:04MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot54
53.6%
52
46.4%
Q3 - 11:18MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
51.1%
52
48.9%
Q3 - 11:19CHAMISS Williams 2' Layup54
52.2%
52
47.8%
Q3 - 11:32CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
54.8%
52
45.2%
Q3 - 11:33MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
53.7%
52
46.3%
Q3 - 11:47MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
51.1%
52
48.9%
Q3 - 11:48CHAMISS Batum 17' Jump Shot54
52.2%
52
47.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHA54
54.8%
52
45.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
54.8%
52
45.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Step Back Jump Shot54
53.2%
52
46.8%
Q2 - 0:23.0CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)54
51.6%
52
48.4%
Q2 - 0:37.0CHALin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
44.2%
52
55.8%
Q2 - 0:38.0CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
42.6%
52
57.4%
Q2 - 0:50.0CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
44.2%
52
55.8%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Dragic 17' Step Back Jump Shot51
43.5%
52
56.5%
Q2 - 1:07CHAZeller 2' Tip Layup Shot (6 PTS)51
42.4%
52
57.6%
Q2 - 1:08CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
37.9%
52
62.1%
Q2 - 1:09CHAMISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
36.8%
52
63.2%
Q2 - 1:28CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
37.9%
52
62.1%
Q2 - 1:29MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
37.4%
52
62.6%
Q2 - 1:49CHAZeller 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Batum 4 AST)49
36.3%
52
63.7%
Q2 - 1:57MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)47
32.1%
52
67.9%
Q2 - 2:15CHAWalker 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)47
30.5%
52
69.5%
Q2 - 2:26MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)45
27.8%
52
72.2%
Q2 - 2:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)45
28.3%
51
71.7%
Q2 - 2:36CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)45
30.5%
50
69.5%
Q2 - 2:36CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)44
30.1%
50
69.9%
Q2 - 2:47MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (3 PTS)43
27.8%
50
72.2%
Q2 - 3:04CHABatum 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)43
30.7%
48
69.3%
Q2 - 3:17MIARichardson Foul Turnover (P2.T10)41
28.6%
48
71.4%
Q2 - 3:24MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
25.9%
48
74.1%
Q2 - 3:25CHAMISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
26.7%
48
73.3%
Q2 - 3:36MIARichardson Inbound Turnover (P1.T9)41
28.6%
48
71.4%
Q2 - 3:37CHAZeller 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)41
25.9%
48
74.1%
Q2 - 3:52MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)39
24.0%
48
76.0%
Q2 - 3:52MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 239
24.4%
47
75.6%
Q2 - 4:11CHALee Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)39
24.3%
47
75.7%
Q2 - 4:11CHALee Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)38
24.1%
47
75.9%
Q2 - 4:29MIAJohnson 1' Tip Layup Shot (7 PTS)37
22.4%
47
77.6%
Q2 - 4:30MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
24.3%
45
75.7%
Q2 - 4:31MIAMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot37
25.9%
45
74.1%
Q2 - 4:51CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)37
24.3%
45
75.7%
Q2 - 5:03MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P3.T8)34
21.0%
45
79.0%
Q2 - 5:16CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)34
19.1%
45
80.9%
Q2 - 5:25CHAHornets Rebound31
16.0%
45
84.0%
Q2 - 5:25MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Turnaround Jump Shot31
15.5%
45
84.5%
Q2 - 5:43CHALee Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)31
14.4%
45
85.6%
Q2 - 5:43CHAMISS Lee Free Throw 1 of 230
14.3%
45
85.7%
Q2 - 6:00MIAWhiteside 5' Hook Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)30
14.5%
45
85.5%
Q2 - 6:25MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
16.4%
43
83.6%
Q2 - 6:26CHAWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)30
17.0%
43
83.0%
Q2 - 6:44MIAWhiteside Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)30
18.3%
43
81.7%
Q2 - 6:51MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
16.4%
43
83.6%
Q2 - 6:52CHAMISS Zeller 19' Jump Shot30
16.9%
43
83.1%
Q2 - 7:15MIADeng Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T6)30
18.8%
43
81.2%
Q2 - 7:18MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
17.2%
43
82.8%
Q2 - 7:19CHAWinslow BLOCK (1 BLK)30
17.6%
43
82.4%
Q2 - 7:30MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T5)30
18.8%
43
81.2%
Q2 - 7:38MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
17.1%
43
82.9%
Q2 - 7:39CHAMISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
17.6%
43
82.4%
Q2 - 7:53MIADragic 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)30
18.8%
43
81.2%
Q2 - 7:58CHADragic STEAL (2 STL)30
20.3%
41
79.7%
Q2 - 8:20MIADeng 2' Layup (11 PTS)30
22.6%
41
77.4%
Q2 - 8:21MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
24.3%
39
75.7%
Q2 - 8:22MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup30
25.7%
39
74.3%
Q2 - 8:30MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
24.3%
39
75.7%
Q2 - 8:31CHAMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot30
24.9%
39
75.1%
Q2 - 8:56MIAWhiteside 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)30
26.3%
39
73.7%
Q2 - 9:07MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
28.4%
37
71.6%
Q2 - 9:08MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup30
30.1%
37
69.9%
Q2 - 9:14MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
28.4%
37
71.6%
Q2 - 9:15CHAMISS Jefferson 3' Jump Bank Shot30
29.2%
37
70.8%
Q2 - 9:39MIARichardson 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)30
30.8%
37
69.2%
Q2 - 9:44MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
32.7%
35
67.3%
Q2 - 9:45CHAMISS Lin 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
33.5%
35
66.5%
Q2 - 10:09MIADragic 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)30
35.4%
35
64.6%
Q2 - 10:26CHAJefferson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lin 1 AST)30
37.2%
33
62.8%
Q2 - 10:49MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)28
35.4%
33
64.6%
Q2 - 10:49MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)28
35.8%
32
64.2%
Q2 - 10:51CHADeng STEAL (1 STL)28
37.2%
31
62.8%
Q2 - 11:00MIAWinslow Dunk (3 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)28
40.0%
31
60.0%
Q2 - 11:07MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
42.0%
29
58.0%
Q2 - 11:08CHARichardson BLOCK (1 BLK)28
42.7%
29
57.3%
Q2 - 11:17CHALin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
44.4%
29
55.6%
Q2 - 11:18MIAMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot28
43.7%
29
56.3%
Q2 - 11:43CHAJefferson 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (9 PTS)28
42.0%
29
58.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA26
39.8%
29
60.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIADeng Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T4)26
39.8%
29
60.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHALin Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)26
37.4%
29
62.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAWhiteside Lane Violation Turnover (P1.T3)26
39.4%
29
60.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
37.8%
29
62.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
40.1%
28
59.9%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Dragic 5' Turnaround Jump Shot26
41.2%
28
58.8%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
40.1%
28
59.9%
Q1 - 0:24.0CHAMISS Lin 17' Pullup Jump Shot26
40.6%
28
59.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)26
41.7%
28
58.3%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)26
42.2%
27
57.8%
Q1 - 0:42.0CHAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)26
44.6%
26
55.4%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAWhiteside 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)23
39.5%
26
60.5%
Q1 - 1:14CHAJefferson 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS)23
42.4%
24
57.6%
Q1 - 1:30MIADeng 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)21
39.6%
24
60.4%
Q1 - 1:37MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
42.4%
22
57.6%
Q1 - 1:38CHAMISS Jefferson 3' Jump Shot21
42.9%
22
57.1%
Q1 - 1:46CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
44.1%
22
55.9%
Q1 - 1:47CHAMISS Walker 17' Step Back Jump Shot21
42.9%
22
57.1%
Q1 - 2:00CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
44.1%
22
55.9%
Q1 - 2:01MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
43.8%
22
56.2%
Q1 - 2:16CHALin 11' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)21
42.4%
22
57.6%
Q1 - 2:33MIAWhiteside 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)19
39.9%
22
60.1%
Q1 - 2:42MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
42.4%
20
57.6%
Q1 - 2:43CHAMISS Batum 17' Jump Shot19
43.0%
20
57.0%
Q1 - 2:51CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
44.4%
20
55.6%
Q1 - 2:52MIAMISS Wade 11' Floating Jump Shot19
43.8%
20
56.2%
Q1 - 3:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
42.2%
20
57.8%
Q1 - 3:04CHAMISS Batum 12' Jump Shot19
42.9%
20
57.1%
Q1 - 3:20MIARichardson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)19
44.6%
20
55.4%
Q1 - 3:40CHAJefferson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)19
46.6%
18
53.4%
Q1 - 4:04CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
44.6%
18
55.4%
Q1 - 4:05MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup17
43.8%
18
56.2%
Q1 - 4:20MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
42.1%
18
57.9%
Q1 - 4:21CHAMISS Walker 7' Floating Jump Shot17
42.8%
18
57.2%
Q1 - 4:29CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
44.6%
18
55.4%
Q1 - 4:30CHAMISS Jefferson 3' Layup17
42.8%
18
57.2%
Q1 - 4:32CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
44.6%
18
55.4%
Q1 - 4:33CHAMISS Williams 2' Driving Layup17
42.8%
18
57.2%
Q1 - 4:45CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
44.6%
18
55.4%
Q1 - 4:46MIAMISS Richardson 9' Floating Jump Shot17
43.8%
18
56.2%
Q1 - 5:14CHALee 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Batum 3 AST)17
42.2%
18
57.8%
Q1 - 5:30MIADragic 3' Hook Shot (8 PTS)14
38.3%
18
61.7%
Q1 - 5:39MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
40.2%
16
59.8%
Q1 - 5:40CHAMISS Zeller 2' Layup14
40.8%
16
59.2%
Q1 - 5:56MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)14
42.3%
16
57.7%
Q1 - 6:02MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
46.0%
13
54.0%
Q1 - 6:03MIAMISS Wade 16' Pullup Jump Shot14
47.5%
13
52.5%
Q1 - 6:23CHABatum Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T2)14
46.1%
13
53.9%
Q1 - 6:36MIADragic 13' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)14
48.2%
13
51.8%
Q1 - 6:41MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
50.0%
11
50.0%
Q1 - 6:42CHAMISS Walker 14' Pullup Jump Shot14
50.7%
11
49.3%
Q1 - 6:58MIADragic Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)14
52.2%
11
47.8%
Q1 - 7:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
50.0%
11
50.0%
Q1 - 7:01CHAWade BLOCK (1 BLK)14
50.4%
11
49.6%
Q1 - 7:17MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)14
52.0%
11
48.0%
Q1 - 7:28CHALee 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)14
53.6%
9
46.4%
Q1 - 7:36CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
50.1%
9
49.9%
Q1 - 7:37MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup11
49.4%
9
50.6%
Q1 - 8:03CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Batum 2 AST)11
48.0%
9
52.0%
Q1 - 8:08CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
44.4%
9
55.6%
Q1 - 8:09MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
43.8%
9
56.2%
Q1 - 8:27MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
42.3%
9
57.7%
Q1 - 8:28CHAMISS Batum 14' Jump Shot8
43.0%
9
57.0%
Q1 - 8:41MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
44.4%
9
55.6%
Q1 - 8:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
42.3%
9
57.7%
Q1 - 8:56CHAMISS Zeller 17' Jump Shot8
42.9%
9
57.1%
Q1 - 9:06CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
44.4%
9
55.6%
Q1 - 9:07MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
43.8%
9
56.2%
Q1 - 9:21CHAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Batum 1 AST)8
42.2%
9
57.8%
Q1 - 9:38MIAStoudemire Dunk (2 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)5
39.0%
9
61.0%
Q1 - 9:52CHALee 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
40.4%
7
59.6%
Q1 - 10:09MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)3
39.0%
7
61.0%
Q1 - 10:27CHAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)3
42.3%
4
57.7%
Q1 - 10:43MIAJohnson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)0
39.0%
4
61.0%
Q1 - 10:55MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
40.5%
2
59.5%
Q1 - 10:56CHADeng BLOCK (1 BLK)0
41.1%
2
58.9%
Q1 - 11:17MIADragic 2' Running Layup (2 PTS)0
42.3%
2
57.7%
Q1 - 11:22CHADragic STEAL (1 STL)0
44.2%
0
55.8%
Q1 - 11:35CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.8%
0
54.2%
Q1 - 11:36MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Bank Shot0
45.3%
0
54.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Stoudemire vs. Zeller: Tip to Dragic0
44.2%
0
55.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.09 54.5%
MIA
1.26 63.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
9
21
43%
MIA
23
31
74%
Midrange
CHA
18
39
46%
MIA
10
27
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
13
19.5
26
50%
75%
MIA
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
Free Throws
CHA
16
21
76%
MIA
19
24
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker2155%10.5 / 19
A. Jefferson2162%10.5 / 17
N. Batum1948%9.5 / 20
C. Lee1372%6.5 / 9
M. Williams1267%6.0 / 9
C. Zeller650%3.0 / 6
J. Lin638%3.0 / 8
F. Kaminsky675%3.0 / 4
T. Daniels375%1.5 / 2
T. Hansbrough2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Deng2269%11.0 / 16
J. Richardson18100%9.0 / 9
H. Whiteside1771%8.5 / 12
G. Dragic1650%8.0 / 16
J. Johnson1372%6.5 / 9
D. Wade1134%5.5 / 16
A. Stoudemire6100%3.0 / 3
J. Winslow375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
85
+14
-8
99
MIA
77
+7
-15
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.09 54.5%
MIA
1.26 63.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
106.0
CHA 117.2 +2.0
MIA 115.2
Pace
95.4
93.7
CHA 91.6
MIA 93.4 +1.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
16.0
CHA 15.7
MIA 15.4 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.2%
50.8%
CHA 54.1%
MIA 58.0% +3.9%
TO %
12.3%
14.0%
CHA 8.6% +6.3%
MIA 14.9%
ORB %
20.1%
23.9%
CHA 21.4% +4.7%
MIA 16.7%
FTrt
28.0
28.2
CHA 24.4
MIA 32.0 +7.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.6%
54.3%
CHA 47.5%
MIA 55.0% +7.5%
STL %
7.6%
7.2%
CHA 3.2%
MIA 5.4% +2.2%
BLK %
9.0%
10.3%
CHA 0.0%
MIA 13.3% +13.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
52.8%
CHA 54.5%
MIA 63.1% +8.6%
Rim FG%
56.9%
62.3%
CHA 42.9%
MIA 74.2% +31.3%
Mid FG%
39.7%
40.5%
CHA 46.2% +9.2%
MIA 37.0%
3P %
36.2%
33.6%
CHA 50.0% +8.8%
MIA 41.2%
FT %
79.0%
74.4%
CHA 76.2%
MIA 79.2% +3.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.3%
37.0%
CHA 24.4%
MIA 41.3% +16.9%
Mid Att. %
33.9%
40.9%
CHA 45.3%
MIA 36.0% +9.3%
3P Att. %
34.8%
22.1%
CHA 30.2% +7.6%
MIA 22.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points109106
Rebounds3939
Assists1922
Steals35
Blocks08
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)33 (1)
Field Goals40-8640-75
At-the-Rim FG9-2123-31
Midrange FG18-3910-27
2-Point FG27-6033-58
3-Point FG13-267-17
Free Throws16-2119-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 184 · 26
42.7
21
55%
7
7
0
0
1
4
1
6
3-3
100%
3-9
33%
4-9
44%
F · 6'8" 230 · 27
38.5
19
48%
5
7
0
0
3
1
0
5
3-3
100%
5-12
42%
2-7
29%
G · 6'5" 200 · 30
37.1
13
72%
3
1
0
0
1
4
0
3
5-6
83%
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 237 · 30
31.9
12
67%
5
1
2
0
0
1
2
3
0-2
0%
0-3
0%
4-5
80%
C · 7'0" 240 · 23
14.3
6
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 280 · 31
26.9
21
62%
10
1
1
0
1
2
3
7
1-3
33%
10-16
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 28
17.4
6
38%
3
1
0
0
2
4
1
2
4-4
100%
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 23
16.4
6
75%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 205 · 25
8.2
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
· 6'9" 250 · 30
6.6
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 28
G · 6'5" 185 · 24
G · 6'3" 189 · 27
#9 · G · 6'6" 210 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · F · 6'7" 232 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
55%
39
19
3
0
8
0
9
30
16-21
76%
27-60
45%
13-26
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.