FinalWin Prob.pScore
2237%98
119
1663%103
124
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
120.299104.4
MIA logo MIA
124.010095.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA119
0%
124
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)119
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2119
0.4%
124
99.6%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)119
0.2%
124
99.8%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)119
0.4%
123
99.6%
Q4 - 0:07.0DENMISS Mudiay 2' Driving Layup119
0.7%
123
99.3%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)119
3.0%
123
97.0%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2119
3.6%
122
96.4%
Q4 - 0:15.0DENMudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)119
2.4%
122
97.6%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)116
0.8%
122
99.2%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)116
0.9%
121
99.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0DENAugustin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)113
0.4%
120
99.6%
Q4 - 0:29.0DENMISS Augustin 3PT Jump Shot113
0.2%
120
99.8%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)113
0.8%
120
99.2%
Q4 - 0:52.0DENJokic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mudiay 10 AST)113
2.0%
118
98.0%
Q4 - 1:01MIAJohnson 16' Step Back Jump Shot (18 PTS)110
0.7%
118
99.3%
Q4 - 1:23MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)110
2.0%
116
98.0%
Q4 - 1:24DENMISS Mudiay 16' Jump Bank Shot110
2.5%
116
97.5%
Q4 - 1:44MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)110
4.8%
116
95.2%
Q4 - 1:55DENHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Mudiay 9 AST)110
7.5%
114
92.5%
Q4 - 2:03MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)107
3.8%
114
96.2%
Q4 - 2:17MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)107
5.2%
112
94.8%
Q4 - 2:18DENMISS Mudiay 5' Hook Shot107
6.2%
112
93.8%
Q4 - 2:41MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)107
9.7%
112
90.3%
Q4 - 2:57MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)107
6.3%
112
93.7%
Q4 - 2:58DENWade BLOCK (1 BLK)107
7.4%
112
92.6%
Q4 - 3:21MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (14 PTS)107
10.8%
112
89.2%
Q4 - 3:22MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)107
13.5%
110
86.5%
Q4 - 3:23MIAMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot107
19.2%
110
80.8%
Q4 - 3:46DENMudiay 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS)107
16.5%
110
83.5%
Q4 - 4:08MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)105
12.1%
110
87.9%
Q4 - 4:14MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)105
21.9%
107
78.1%
Q4 - 4:15DENRichardson BLOCK (3 BLK)105
24.1%
107
75.9%
Q4 - 4:20MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14)105
29.7%
107
70.3%
Q4 - 4:34DENHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)105
21.8%
107
78.2%
Q4 - 4:34DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)104
20.7%
107
79.3%
Q4 - 4:36DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)103
16.5%
107
83.5%
Q4 - 4:37MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup103
14.8%
107
85.2%
Q4 - 4:45MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)103
11.5%
107
88.5%
Q4 - 4:46DENMISS Jokic 7' Floating Jump Shot103
12.9%
107
87.1%
Q4 - 5:01MIADeng Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T13)103
18.3%
107
81.7%
Q4 - 5:09MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)103
13.6%
107
86.4%
Q4 - 5:10DENRichardson BLOCK (2 BLK)103
14.9%
107
85.1%
Q4 - 5:18MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)103
18.3%
107
81.7%
Q4 - 5:34DENAugustin 2' Reverse Layup (13 PTS)103
13.5%
107
86.5%
Q4 - 5:50MIAWinslow 3' Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)101
10.3%
107
89.7%
Q4 - 6:03DENNuggets Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#15)101
14.9%
105
85.1%
Q4 - 6:27MIARichardson Dunk (17 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)101
19.6%
105
80.4%
Q4 - 6:47DENAugustin 1' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)101
24.1%
103
75.9%
Q4 - 6:50DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)99
19.6%
103
80.4%
Q4 - 6:51MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Bank Shot99
18.0%
103
82.0%
Q4 - 7:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)99
16.0%
103
84.0%
Q4 - 7:10DENMISS Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
17.3%
103
82.7%
Q4 - 7:22DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)99
20.5%
103
79.5%
Q4 - 7:23MIAMISS Dragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot99
19.1%
103
80.9%
Q4 - 7:39DENFaried 1' Tip Layup Shot (24 PTS)99
16.0%
103
84.0%
Q4 - 7:40DENFaried REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)97
12.9%
103
87.1%
Q4 - 7:41DENMISS Harris 6' Jump Bank Shot97
10.7%
103
89.3%
Q4 - 7:50DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)97
12.9%
103
87.1%
Q4 - 7:51MIAMISS Richardson 1' Layup97
11.9%
103
88.1%
Q4 - 7:52MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)97
9.8%
103
90.2%
Q4 - 7:53MIAMISS Winslow 2' Layup97
11.9%
103
88.1%
Q4 - 7:58DENWinslow STEAL (2 STL)97
9.8%
103
90.2%
Q4 - 8:09MIADragic 17' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)97
14.0%
103
86.0%
Q4 - 8:17MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
17.5%
101
82.5%
Q4 - 8:18DENMISS Barton 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
18.6%
101
81.4%
Q4 - 8:34MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)97
21.3%
101
78.7%
Q4 - 8:34MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)97
22.9%
100
77.1%
Q4 - 8:43DENNuggets Turnover: Backcourt (T#13)97
26.0%
99
74.0%
Q4 - 8:57MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)97
31.2%
99
68.8%
Q4 - 9:01DENWinslow STEAL (1 STL)97
42.7%
96
57.3%
Q4 - 9:14DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
48.9%
96
51.1%
Q4 - 9:15MIAMISS Winslow 12' Jump Shot97
47.0%
96
53.0%
Q4 - 9:38DENLauvergne 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST)97
42.8%
96
57.2%
Q4 - 9:59MIAWhiteside 10' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dragic 8 AST)95
37.2%
96
62.8%
Q4 - 10:25MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)95
42.2%
94
57.8%
Q4 - 10:26DENMISS Augustin 5' Jump Shot95
44.0%
94
56.0%
Q4 - 10:44MIADeng 17' Step Back Jump Shot (17 PTS)95
48.2%
94
51.8%
Q4 - 11:07DENLauvergne 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)95
52.6%
92
47.4%
Q4 - 11:08DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)93
47.4%
92
52.6%
Q4 - 11:09DENMISS Barton 6' Jump Shot93
43.6%
92
56.4%
Q4 - 11:20MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)93
47.5%
92
52.5%
Q4 - 11:20MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)93
49.4%
91
50.6%
Q4 - 11:29DENArthur 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)93
52.7%
90
47.3%
Q4 - 11:48DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
47.5%
90
52.5%
Q4 - 11:49MIAMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot91
45.8%
90
54.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN91
41.9%
90
58.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)91
46.6%
90
53.4%
Q3 - 0:11.0DENLauvergne 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mudiay 8 AST)91
51.8%
88
48.2%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)89
46.7%
88
53.3%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 289
48.0%
87
52.0%
Q3 - 0:32.0DENRichardson STEAL (2 STL)89
46.7%
87
53.3%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)89
51.9%
87
48.1%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)89
53.7%
86
46.3%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
56.9%
85
43.1%
Q3 - 0:44.0DENMISS Augustin 7' Jump Shot89
58.5%
85
41.5%
Q3 - 1:06MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)89
60.6%
85
39.4%
Q3 - 1:17DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)89
69.3%
82
30.7%
Q3 - 1:17DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 1 of 288
68.1%
82
31.9%
Q3 - 1:27DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
69.5%
82
30.5%
Q3 - 1:28MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 288
68.9%
82
31.1%
Q3 - 1:28MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 288
66.1%
82
33.9%
Q3 - 1:34DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)88
65.1%
82
34.9%
Q3 - 1:48DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
55.9%
82
44.1%
Q3 - 1:49MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
54.4%
82
45.6%
Q3 - 2:03MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
49.4%
82
50.6%
Q3 - 2:04DENMISS Harris 10' Floating Jump Shot85
50.9%
82
49.1%
Q3 - 2:17MIAJohnson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)85
54.4%
82
45.6%
Q3 - 2:39DENJokic 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mudiay 7 AST)85
58.7%
80
41.3%
Q3 - 2:51DENSampson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
54.5%
80
45.5%
Q3 - 2:52MIAMISS Richardson 12' Floating Jump Shot83
53.0%
80
47.0%
Q3 - 3:06DENArthur 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jokic 3 AST)83
48.9%
80
51.1%
Q3 - 3:14DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)80
40.5%
80
59.5%
Q3 - 3:15DENMISS Jokic 3' Layup80
37.3%
80
62.7%
Q3 - 3:28MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)80
40.5%
80
59.5%
Q3 - 3:52DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)80
35.9%
80
64.1%
Q3 - 3:52DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
40.5%
80
59.5%
Q3 - 3:54DENMISS Sampson Dunk80
37.3%
80
62.7%
Q3 - 4:22MIAWade 4' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)80
40.2%
80
59.8%
Q3 - 4:43DENMudiay 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)80
43.7%
78
56.3%
Q3 - 4:56MIAJohnson 7' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)78
40.2%
78
59.8%
Q3 - 5:07MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
43.2%
76
56.8%
Q3 - 5:08DENMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
44.6%
76
55.4%
Q3 - 5:25DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
47.7%
76
52.3%
Q3 - 5:26MIAMISS Wade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot78
46.3%
76
53.7%
Q3 - 5:52DENHarris 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)78
43.2%
76
56.8%
Q3 - 5:58DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
39.6%
76
60.4%
Q3 - 5:59MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
38.3%
76
61.7%
Q3 - 6:18DENFaried 3' Layup (22 PTS)76
35.1%
76
64.9%
Q3 - 6:19DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)74
32.0%
76
68.0%
Q3 - 6:20DENMISS Mudiay 5' Jump Shot74
29.4%
76
70.6%
Q3 - 6:30MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)74
32.0%
76
68.0%
Q3 - 6:30MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)74
32.5%
75
67.5%
Q3 - 6:35MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
35.1%
74
64.9%
Q3 - 6:36DENMISS Jokic 9' Turnaround Jump Shot74
36.4%
74
63.6%
Q3 - 6:57MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)74
39.2%
74
60.8%
Q3 - 7:11DENHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)74
45.7%
71
54.3%
Q3 - 7:11DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)73
45.1%
71
54.9%
Q3 - 7:14MIAStoudemire Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)72
42.4%
71
57.6%
Q3 - 7:38DENMudiay 20' Step Back Jump Shot (12 PTS)72
38.3%
71
61.7%
Q3 - 7:52DENNuggets Rebound70
35.2%
71
64.8%
Q3 - 7:53DENMISS Harris 1' Reverse Layup70
32.5%
71
67.5%
Q3 - 8:12MIADeng 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)70
35.1%
71
64.9%
Q3 - 8:19MIAHEAT Rebound70
38.1%
69
61.9%
Q3 - 8:20DENMISS Mudiay 19' Jump Shot70
39.3%
69
60.7%
Q3 - 8:32DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
42.2%
69
57.8%
Q3 - 8:33MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 270
41.6%
69
58.4%
Q3 - 8:33MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)70
39.1%
69
60.9%
Q3 - 8:45MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
41.7%
68
58.3%
Q3 - 8:46DENMISS Sampson 3PT Jump Shot70
43.0%
68
57.0%
Q3 - 8:57DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)70
45.9%
68
54.1%
Q3 - 8:58MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
44.6%
68
55.4%
Q3 - 9:23DENHarris 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Jokic 2 AST)70
41.3%
68
58.7%
Q3 - 9:27MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)68
37.9%
68
62.1%
Q3 - 9:46DENMudiay 6' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)68
34.5%
68
65.5%
Q3 - 10:02MIAWade 19' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS)66
31.3%
68
68.7%
Q3 - 10:18DENDeng STEAL (2 STL)66
34.2%
66
65.8%
Q3 - 10:24DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)66
37.7%
66
62.3%
Q3 - 10:25MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
36.6%
66
63.4%
Q3 - 10:36MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
34.2%
66
65.8%
Q3 - 10:37DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 1 of 166
34.7%
66
65.3%
Q3 - 10:54MIAStoudemire 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)64
31.3%
66
68.7%
Q3 - 11:20DENSampson 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Faried 2 AST)64
34.0%
64
66.0%
Q3 - 11:26DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)62
31.2%
64
68.8%
Q3 - 11:27MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot62
30.3%
64
69.7%
Q3 - 11:45DENWade STEAL (2 STL)62
28.2%
64
71.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA62
31.2%
64
68.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound62
28.2%
64
71.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot62
30.3%
64
69.7%
Q2 - 0:14.0DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)62
29.0%
64
71.0%
Q2 - 0:14.0DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
28.2%
64
71.8%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)60
25.6%
64
74.4%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
31.7%
61
68.3%
Q2 - 0:48.0DENMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
32.3%
61
67.7%
Q2 - 1:09MIADragic 1' Layup (9 PTS)60
33.6%
61
66.4%
Q2 - 1:31DENFaried 1' Layup (20 PTS)60
37.9%
59
62.1%
Q2 - 1:33DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)58
33.6%
59
66.4%
Q2 - 1:34DENMISS Mudiay 15' Pullup Jump Shot58
32.6%
59
67.4%
Q2 - 1:46MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)58
33.6%
59
66.4%
Q2 - 1:46MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)58
34.4%
58
65.6%
Q2 - 2:01DENAugustin 1' Running Layup (9 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)58
36.9%
57
63.1%
Q2 - 2:05DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)56
34.1%
57
65.9%
Q2 - 2:06MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup56
33.2%
57
66.8%
Q2 - 2:24DENFaried 2' Layup (18 PTS) (Mudiay 6 AST)56
31.5%
57
68.5%
Q2 - 2:36MIAWhiteside 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T8)54
28.7%
57
71.3%
Q2 - 2:54DENHarris 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Mudiay 5 AST)54
26.5%
57
73.5%
Q2 - 3:01DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)52
24.4%
57
75.6%
Q2 - 3:02MIAMISS Wade 6' Floating Jump Shot52
23.7%
57
76.3%
Q2 - 3:25DENFaried Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)52
21.9%
57
78.1%
Q2 - 3:36MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)50
20.3%
57
79.7%
Q2 - 3:46MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
24.0%
54
76.0%
Q2 - 3:47DENRichardson BLOCK (1 BLK)50
24.8%
54
75.2%
Q2 - 4:13MIAWade 1' Reverse Layup (9 PTS)50
26.6%
54
73.4%
Q2 - 4:21MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
28.7%
52
71.3%
Q2 - 4:22MIAMISS Winslow 20' Jump Shot50
30.5%
52
69.5%
Q2 - 4:45DENAugustin 14' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)50
28.7%
52
71.3%
Q2 - 4:57MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T7)48
26.6%
52
73.4%
Q2 - 5:03DENLauvergne Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
24.5%
52
75.5%
Q2 - 5:03DENLauvergne Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
24.1%
52
75.9%
Q2 - 5:06DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
22.6%
52
77.4%
Q2 - 5:07MIAMISS Wade 5' Floating Jump Shot46
21.9%
52
78.1%
Q2 - 5:25DENAugustin 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)46
20.6%
52
79.4%
Q2 - 5:45MIAWinslow 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)43
17.2%
52
82.8%
Q2 - 5:50MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
18.8%
50
81.2%
Q2 - 5:51DENMcRoberts BLOCK (1 BLK)43
19.3%
50
80.7%
Q2 - 6:15MIADeng 2' Layup (10 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)43
21.2%
50
78.8%
Q2 - 6:32DENAugustin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)43
22.6%
48
77.4%
Q2 - 6:43MIADragic 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)43
25.0%
48
75.0%
Q2 - 6:48MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
26.6%
46
73.4%
Q2 - 6:49DENMISS Lauvergne 15' Fadeaway Jumper43
27.4%
46
72.6%
Q2 - 7:15MIADeng 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)43
29.2%
46
70.8%
Q2 - 7:33DENRichardson STEAL (1 STL)43
31.2%
44
68.8%
Q2 - 7:49MIAWinslow 17' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS)43
33.8%
44
66.2%
Q2 - 8:08DENToupane Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
35.7%
42
64.3%
Q2 - 8:08DENMISS Toupane Free Throw 1 of 242
35.2%
42
64.8%
Q2 - 8:10DENToupane REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
35.9%
42
64.1%
Q2 - 8:11MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
35.1%
42
64.9%
Q2 - 8:24DENAugustin 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)42
33.4%
42
66.6%
Q2 - 8:31DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
31.3%
42
68.7%
Q2 - 8:32MIAMISS McRoberts 13' Jump Shot40
30.6%
42
69.4%
Q2 - 8:49MIAHEAT Rebound40
29.1%
42
70.9%
Q2 - 8:50DENMISS Augustin 9' Jump Shot40
29.7%
42
70.3%
Q2 - 9:03MIAWinslow 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)40
31.2%
42
68.8%
Q2 - 9:13MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
33.1%
40
66.9%
Q2 - 9:14DENMISS Lauvergne 10' Jump Shot40
33.9%
40
66.1%
Q2 - 9:29MIAWinslow 2' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)40
35.7%
40
64.3%
Q2 - 9:45DENLauvergne 10' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Toupane 1 AST)40
37.7%
38
62.3%
Q2 - 9:56DENNuggets Rebound38
35.7%
38
64.3%
Q2 - 9:57DENMISS Arthur 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
33.9%
38
66.1%
Q2 - 10:07DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
35.8%
38
64.2%
Q2 - 10:08MIAMISS Winslow 19' Jump Shot38
35.0%
38
65.0%
Q2 - 10:24DENToupane 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)38
33.1%
38
66.9%
Q2 - 10:32DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
29.3%
38
70.7%
Q2 - 10:33MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
28.6%
38
71.4%
Q2 - 10:56DENArthur 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
26.9%
38
73.1%
Q2 - 11:17MIAWhiteside Putback Dunk (2 PTS)33
25.2%
38
74.8%
Q2 - 11:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
27.0%
36
73.0%
Q2 - 11:19MIAMISS Richardson 14' Step Back Jump Shot33
28.4%
36
71.6%
Q2 - 11:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
27.0%
36
73.0%
Q2 - 11:42DENMISS Lauvergne 2' Tip Layup Shot33
27.6%
36
72.4%
Q2 - 11:43DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
29.0%
36
71.0%
Q2 - 11:44DENMISS Toupane 2' Reverse Layup33
27.6%
36
72.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN33
29.1%
36
70.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound33
29.1%
36
70.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Mudiay 38' 3PT Jump Shot33
27.6%
36
72.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)33
28.7%
36
71.3%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAHEAT Rebound33
33.3%
33
66.7%
Q1 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Winslow 5' Turnaround Hook Shot33
34.3%
33
65.7%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
33.3%
33
66.7%
Q1 - 0:25.0DENMISS Jokic Free Throw 1 of 133
33.5%
33
66.5%
Q1 - 0:25.0DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)31
30.7%
33
69.3%
Q1 - 0:26.0DENMISS Barton 7' Jump Bank Shot31
29.7%
33
70.3%
Q1 - 0:41.0DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
30.7%
33
69.3%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
30.2%
33
69.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
29.2%
33
70.8%
Q1 - 1:00DENMISS Barton 16' Pullup Jump Shot31
29.7%
33
70.3%
Q1 - 1:20MIAWinslow 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)31
30.7%
33
69.3%
Q1 - 1:26DENJohnson STEAL (1 STL)31
33.2%
31
66.8%
Q1 - 1:43MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)31
34.8%
31
65.2%
Q1 - 1:54DENJokic 2' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)31
39.7%
28
60.3%
Q1 - 1:55DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
36.9%
28
63.1%
Q1 - 1:56DENMISS Mudiay 21' Jump Shot29
35.8%
28
64.2%
Q1 - 2:17MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P3.T6)29
37.1%
28
62.9%
Q1 - 2:22DENMudiay Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T4)29
35.2%
28
64.8%
Q1 - 2:36MIAWinslow 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)29
37.1%
28
62.9%
Q1 - 2:58DENFaried 2' Tip Layup Shot (14 PTS)29
41.7%
25
58.3%
Q1 - 2:59DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)27
39.2%
25
60.8%
Q1 - 3:00DENMISS Barton 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
37.9%
25
62.1%
Q1 - 3:13DENNuggets Rebound27
39.1%
25
60.9%
Q1 - 3:14DENMISS Mudiay 3' Pullup Jump Shot27
37.5%
25
62.5%
Q1 - 3:23MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)27
39.1%
25
60.9%
Q1 - 3:39DENFaried Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)27
43.2%
22
56.8%
Q1 - 3:41DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
45.6%
22
54.4%
Q1 - 3:42DENMISS Jokic 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
44.0%
22
56.0%
Q1 - 3:54MIARichardson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)27
45.7%
22
54.3%
Q1 - 4:09DENMudiay 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
47.0%
20
53.0%
Q1 - 4:29MIAWade 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)25
45.2%
20
54.8%
Q1 - 4:41MIAWade Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)25
47.0%
18
53.0%
Q1 - 4:54DENMudiay 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
49.2%
17
50.8%
Q1 - 5:03DENNuggets Rebound23
46.2%
17
53.8%
Q1 - 5:04DENWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)23
44.7%
17
55.3%
Q1 - 5:05MIAWhiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)23
46.2%
17
53.8%
Q1 - 5:06MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
44.1%
17
55.9%
Q1 - 5:07DENMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
44.7%
17
55.3%
Q1 - 5:13DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
46.2%
17
53.8%
Q1 - 5:14MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
45.6%
17
54.4%
Q1 - 5:35DENSampson 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)23
44.1%
17
55.9%
Q1 - 5:49MIAWade 5' Driving Bank Shot (4 PTS)21
42.2%
17
57.8%
Q1 - 6:04DENFaried 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Mudiay 4 AST)21
43.3%
15
56.7%
Q1 - 6:17MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
41.6%
15
58.4%
Q1 - 6:17MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
41.9%
14
58.1%
Q1 - 6:35DENFaried Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Mudiay 3 AST)19
43.4%
13
56.6%
Q1 - 6:40DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
41.6%
13
58.4%
Q1 - 6:41MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup17
40.9%
13
59.1%
Q1 - 6:48DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)17
39.5%
13
60.5%
Q1 - 6:51MIAWhiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)14
35.9%
13
64.1%
Q1 - 7:14DENHarris 9' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)14
33.7%
13
66.3%
Q1 - 7:18MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)12
32.3%
13
67.7%
Q1 - 7:19DENWade STEAL (1 STL)12
30.4%
13
69.6%
Q1 - 7:27MIADeng 2' Layup (4 PTS)12
32.3%
13
67.7%
Q1 - 7:28MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
33.7%
11
66.3%
Q1 - 7:29MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup12
35.1%
11
64.9%
Q1 - 7:45DENHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)12
33.7%
11
66.3%
Q1 - 7:45DENMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 211
33.4%
11
66.6%
Q1 - 7:53MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)11
34.0%
11
66.0%
Q1 - 8:13DENFaried 1' Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (Mudiay 1 AST)11
37.2%
8
62.8%
Q1 - 8:18DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
35.6%
8
64.4%
Q1 - 8:19MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
35.0%
8
65.0%
Q1 - 8:32DENFaried 2' Layup (3 PTS)9
33.7%
8
66.3%
Q1 - 8:35DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
32.2%
8
67.8%
Q1 - 8:36DENMISS Mudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
30.9%
8
69.1%
Q1 - 9:00MIAWade 2' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
32.2%
8
67.8%
Q1 - 9:17DENSampson 3' Running Layup (4 PTS)7
33.5%
6
66.5%
Q1 - 9:23MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)5
32.1%
6
67.9%
Q1 - 9:37MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
30.2%
6
69.8%
Q1 - 9:38DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 25
30.5%
6
69.5%
Q1 - 9:38DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
31.3%
6
68.7%
Q1 - 9:53MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
30.5%
6
69.5%
Q1 - 10:08DENHarris 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)4
28.7%
6
71.3%
Q1 - 10:26MIADragic 12' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
27.4%
6
72.6%
Q1 - 10:36DENSampson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jokic 1 AST)2
28.7%
4
71.3%
Q1 - 11:00MIADeng 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)0
27.4%
4
72.6%
Q1 - 11:18MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.8%
2
71.2%
Q1 - 11:19DENMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
29.2%
2
70.8%
Q1 - 11:24DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.2%
2
69.8%
Q1 - 11:25MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup0
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 11:30DENDeng STEAL (1 STL)0
28.8%
2
71.2%
Q1 - 11:44MIAStoudemire 3' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)0
30.2%
2
69.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Stoudemire vs. Jokic: Tip to Dragic0
31.8%
0
68.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.13 56.7%
MIA
1.32 66.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
28
44
64%
MIA
25
35
71%
Midrange
DEN
14
29
48%
MIA
14
27
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
MIA
8
12.0
17
47%
71%
Free Throws
DEN
14
20
70%
MIA
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Faried24100%12.0 / 12
E. Mudiay2357%11.5 / 20
G. Harris1853%9.0 / 17
D. Augustin1346%6.5 / 14
N. Jokić1260%6.0 / 10
J. Lauvergne1063%5.0 / 8
J. Sampson867%4.0 / 6
D. Arthur788%3.5 / 4
A. Toupane467%2.0 / 3
W. Barton0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Winslow2071%10.0 / 14
D. Wade1953%9.5 / 18
J. Johnson1869%9.0 / 13
H. Whiteside1890%9.0 / 10
L. Deng1777%8.5 / 11
J. Richardson1777%8.5 / 11
G. Dragic1150%5.5 / 11
A. Stoudemire4100%2.0 / 2
J. McRoberts0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
87
+18
-12
105
MIA
86
+8
-14
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.13 56.7%
MIA
1.32 66.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.2
106.0
DEN 120.2
MIA 124.0 +3.8
Pace
95.3
93.7
DEN 104.4 +9.4
MIA 95.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.0
DEN 13.8 +1.4
MIA 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.9%
50.8%
DEN 56.5%
MIA 64.6% +8.1%
TO %
14.8%
14.0%
DEN 12.8% +1.3%
MIA 14.1%
ORB %
25.8%
23.9%
DEN 32.5% +14.3%
MIA 18.2%
FTrt
28.2
28.2
DEN 21.5
MIA 35.4 +13.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
54.3%
DEN 44.9%
MIA 51.1% +6.2%
STL %
7.7%
7.2%
DEN 9.1% +0.1%
MIA 9.0%
BLK %
8.1%
10.3%
DEN 3.2%
MIA 8.2% +5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.7%
52.8%
DEN 56.7%
MIA 66.0% +9.3%
Rim FG%
54.8%
62.3%
DEN 63.6%
MIA 71.4% +7.8%
Mid FG%
38.8%
40.5%
DEN 48.3%
MIA 51.9% +3.6%
3P %
33.8%
33.6%
DEN 35.0%
MIA 47.1% +12.1%
FT %
76.6%
74.4%
DEN 70.0%
MIA 78.6% +8.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.5%
37.0%
DEN 47.3% +3.0%
MIA 44.3%
Mid Att. %
29.8%
40.9%
DEN 31.2% +3.0%
MIA 34.2%
3P Att. %
27.7%
22.1%
DEN 21.5%
MIA 21.5% +0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENMIA
Possessions99100
Possession Minutes22.825.3
Points119124
Rebounds4033
Assists2224
Steals99
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)12 (3)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (5)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (0)27 (2)
Field Goals49-9347-79
At-the-Rim FG28-4425-35
Midrange FG14-2914-27
2-Point FG42-7339-62
3-Point FG7-208-17
Free Throws14-2022-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 210 · 21
34.2
18
53%
3
2
3
0
0
0
0
3
5-6
83%
5-9
56%
1-5
20%
G · 6'3" 200 · 20
32.9
23
57%
3
10
0
0
5
2
0
3
3-5
60%
7-15
47%
2-4
50%
C · 6'11" 284 · 21
27.8
12
60%
8
4
2
1
1
2
3
5
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 228 · 26
25.7
24
100%
11
2
0
1
3
3
6
5
2-3
67%
11-11
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 207 · 23
22.5
8
67%
1
0
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 28
26.6
7
88%
5
0
1
0
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
G · 6'0" 183 · 28
25.3
13
46%
1
3
2
0
2
3
1
0
0-0
-
5-11
45%
1-3
33%
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25
20.2
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24
12.5
4
67%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 260 · 24
12.4
10
63%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 290 · 22
G · 6'0" 190 · 34
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36
#21 · F · 6'9" 225 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
119
57%
40
22
9
2
12
0
13
27
14-20
70%
42-73
58%
7-20
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.