FinalWin Prob.pScore
1651%102
118
1949%101
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
120.49898.5
CHI logo CHI
101.19594.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA118
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:13.0CHIPortis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)118
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0CHIMISS Portis Free Throw 1 of 2118
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0CHIFelicio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)118
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMISS McRoberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot118
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0CHISnell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Portis 2 AST)118
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0CHIPortis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)118
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0CHIMISS Holiday 19' Jump Shot118
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0CHIFelicio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)118
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot118
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02CHIFelicio Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)118
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02CHIMISS Felicio Free Throw 1 of 2118
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)118
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:37MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)115
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:38CHIMISS Brooks 26' 3PT Jump Shot115
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:44CHIFelicio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)115
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:45MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot115
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:04MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)115
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:05CHIMISS Felicio 4' Hook Shot115
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:23MIAWinslow 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)115
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:47CHIBrooks Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)113
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:47CHIBrooks Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)113
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:54MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)113
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:18CHISnell 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)110
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:22MIASnell STEAL (1 STL)110
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:34CHISnell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)110
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:53MIADragic 16' Jump Shot (26 PTS)110
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 4:07MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)108
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 4:08CHIMISS Gasol 26' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 4:20MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Dragic 9 AST)108
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 4:30MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)105
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 4:32CHIMISS McDermott 24' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 4:39CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)105
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 4:40MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Jump Shot105
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 4:51CHIGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T17)105
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 5:08MIAWinslow Running Dunk (6 PTS)105
99.7%
87
0.3%
Q4 - 5:11CHIMcDermott Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)103
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 5:26MIADeng 5' Turnaround Fadeaway (16 PTS) (Winslow 4 AST)103
99.4%
87
0.6%
Q4 - 5:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)101
99.2%
87
0.8%
Q4 - 5:29MIAMISS Dragic 13' Floating Jump Shot101
99.0%
87
1.0%
Q4 - 5:49CHIMoore 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gasol 9 AST)101
99.3%
87
0.7%
Q4 - 6:02MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Dragic 8 AST)101
99.1%
85
0.9%
Q4 - 6:15CHIGibson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)98
98.5%
85
1.5%
Q4 - 6:29MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)98
97.9%
85
2.1%
Q4 - 6:35CHIDunleavy Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)96
97.3%
85
2.7%
Q4 - 7:04MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)96
95.2%
85
4.8%
Q4 - 7:18MIAHeat Rebound93
92.3%
85
7.7%
Q4 - 7:20CHIMISS McDermott 15' Floating Jump Shot93
91.6%
85
8.4%
Q4 - 7:40MIADeng 2' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Whiteside 2 AST)93
89.9%
85
10.1%
Q4 - 7:54CHIMirotic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)91
87.4%
85
12.6%
Q4 - 8:07MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)91
82.0%
85
18.0%
Q4 - 8:27CHIMoore 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)88
73.1%
85
26.9%
Q4 - 8:48MIAHoliday STEAL (2 STL)88
78.0%
83
22.0%
Q4 - 9:04MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
80.7%
83
19.3%
Q4 - 9:06CHIMISS Mirotic 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
79.5%
83
20.5%
Q4 - 9:24MIARichardson 3' Layup (10 PTS)88
76.6%
83
23.4%
Q4 - 9:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)86
72.2%
83
27.8%
Q4 - 9:35CHIMISS Brooks 5' Jump Shot86
70.6%
83
29.4%
Q4 - 9:50MIARichardson 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Winslow 3 AST)86
67.0%
83
33.0%
Q4 - 9:56MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
61.6%
83
38.4%
Q4 - 9:59CHIMISS Holiday 2' Running Layup84
59.8%
83
40.2%
Q4 - 10:02MIAHoliday STEAL (1 STL)84
55.3%
83
44.7%
Q4 - 10:04MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
61.1%
83
38.9%
Q4 - 10:06CHIMISS Holiday 2' Driving Layup84
59.4%
83
40.6%
Q4 - 10:26MIAMirotic STEAL (1 STL)84
55.3%
83
44.7%
Q4 - 10:45CHIBrooks 6' Driving Hook Shot (9 PTS)84
61.2%
83
38.8%
Q4 - 11:07CHIBULLS Rebound84
65.2%
81
34.8%
Q4 - 11:08MIAMISS Winslow 18' Jump Shot84
66.7%
81
33.3%
Q4 - 11:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
70.1%
81
29.9%
Q4 - 11:28CHIMISS Portis 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
68.7%
81
31.3%
Q4 - 11:37CHIPortis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
65.2%
81
34.8%
Q4 - 11:38MIAMISS Wade 11' Pullup Jump Shot84
66.8%
81
33.2%
Q4 - 11:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
70.2%
81
29.8%
Q4 - 11:44CHIMISS McDermott 16' Jump Shot84
68.7%
81
31.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI84
65.3%
81
34.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIARichardson 2' Running Layup (6 PTS)84
65.3%
81
34.7%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)82
59.9%
81
40.1%
Q3 - 0:06.0CHIMISS Brooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
58.4%
81
41.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0CHIBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
54.9%
81
45.1%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup82
56.4%
81
43.6%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)82
59.9%
81
40.1%
Q3 - 0:49.0CHIMISS McDermott 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
58.4%
81
41.6%
Q3 - 1:08CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
54.7%
81
45.3%
Q3 - 1:13MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot82
56.3%
81
43.8%
Q3 - 1:38CHIMcDermott 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Brooks 3 AST)82
59.7%
81
40.3%
Q3 - 1:44MIAPortis STEAL (1 STL)82
68.6%
78
31.4%
Q3 - 2:02CHIBrooks 7' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)82
71.5%
78
28.5%
Q3 - 2:19CHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
75.0%
76
25.0%
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS Whiteside 15' Jump Shot82
76.1%
76
23.9%
Q3 - 2:35CHIMISS Brooks 18' Jump Shot82
77.5%
76
22.5%
Q3 - 2:53MIAHeat Rebound82
78.6%
76
21.4%
Q3 - 2:53MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)82
75.0%
76
25.0%
Q3 - 2:53MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 281
74.5%
76
25.5%
Q3 - 2:55CHIGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)81
75.3%
76
24.7%
Q3 - 3:12MIAWinslow 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)81
70.8%
76
29.2%
Q3 - 3:19MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
67.3%
76
32.7%
Q3 - 3:20CHIMISS Holiday 12' Jump Shot79
66.0%
76
34.0%
Q3 - 3:40MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (24 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)79
62.9%
76
37.1%
Q3 - 3:45MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)77
59.0%
76
41.0%
Q3 - 3:46CHIMISS Brooks 2' Driving Layup77
57.6%
76
42.4%
Q3 - 4:01MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)77
53.9%
76
46.1%
Q3 - 4:01MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)76
53.0%
76
47.0%
Q3 - 4:17CHIDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)75
50.3%
76
49.7%
Q3 - 4:38MIAJohnson 7' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)75
58.1%
73
41.9%
Q3 - 4:54CHIGasol 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Moore 5 AST)73
54.6%
73
45.4%
Q3 - 5:01CHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
57.8%
71
42.2%
Q3 - 5:02MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
59.2%
71
40.8%
Q3 - 5:13CHIGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)73
62.2%
71
37.8%
Q3 - 5:23CHIMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
57.8%
71
42.2%
Q3 - 5:24MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot73
59.2%
71
40.8%
Q3 - 5:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)73
62.2%
71
37.8%
Q3 - 5:42CHIMISS Moore 14' Pullup Jump Shot73
60.9%
71
39.1%
Q3 - 6:03MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)73
57.6%
71
42.4%
Q3 - 6:12MIAHeat Rebound70
50.2%
71
49.8%
Q3 - 6:13MIAMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot70
47.2%
71
52.8%
Q3 - 6:27CHIGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)70
50.2%
71
49.8%
Q3 - 6:48MIADragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)70
45.8%
71
54.2%
Q3 - 7:02CHIHoliday Running Dunk (14 PTS) (Moore 4 AST)67
38.8%
71
61.2%
Q3 - 7:05CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
42.0%
69
58.0%
Q3 - 7:07MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup67
43.3%
69
56.7%
Q3 - 7:13MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
46.3%
69
53.7%
Q3 - 7:14CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
42.0%
69
58.0%
Q3 - 7:14CHIMISS Gibson 3' Tip Layup Shot67
45.0%
69
55.0%
Q3 - 7:15CHIMISS Gasol 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot67
45.0%
69
55.0%
Q3 - 7:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)67
42.0%
69
58.0%
Q3 - 7:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)66
41.3%
69
58.7%
Q3 - 7:49CHIHoliday Cutting Dunk Shot (12 PTS) (Gasol 7 AST)65
38.8%
69
61.2%
Q3 - 8:10MIADragic 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)65
42.4%
67
57.6%
Q3 - 8:24CHIGibson 6' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Moore 3 AST)63
39.3%
67
60.7%
Q3 - 8:41MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)63
42.4%
65
57.6%
Q3 - 8:51CHIMoore Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)63
46.6%
65
53.4%
Q3 - 9:07MIADeng Dunk (9 PTS)63
42.7%
65
57.3%
Q3 - 9:11CHIHoliday Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)61
39.4%
65
60.6%
Q3 - 9:20MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)61
35.8%
65
64.2%
Q3 - 9:39CHIDunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Holiday 1 AST)58
29.6%
65
70.4%
Q3 - 9:53MIAWade 12' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)58
35.8%
62
64.2%
Q3 - 9:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
32.7%
62
67.3%
Q3 - 9:59CHIMISS Holiday 2' Driving Layup56
31.7%
62
68.3%
Q3 - 10:16CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)56
30.1%
62
69.9%
Q3 - 10:17MIAMISS Dragic 13' Pullup Jump Shot56
31.1%
62
68.9%
Q3 - 10:26MIAHeat Rebound56
33.3%
62
66.7%
Q3 - 10:27MIAGibson BLOCK (1 BLK)56
31.1%
62
68.9%
Q3 - 10:42CHIGibson 2' Cutting Layup Shot (11 PTS) (Moore 2 AST)56
33.3%
62
66.7%
Q3 - 10:52CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)56
36.3%
60
63.7%
Q3 - 10:53MIAMISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot56
37.4%
60
62.6%
Q3 - 11:18CHIGasol 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)56
40.5%
60
59.5%
Q3 - 11:37MIAStoudemire 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)56
43.6%
58
56.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI54
40.5%
58
59.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIADragic 7' Jump Shot (15 PTS)54
37.0%
58
63.0%
Q2 - 0:04.0CHIGibson 7' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Moore 1 AST)52
34.5%
58
65.5%
Q2 - 0:21.0CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)52
38.4%
56
61.6%
Q2 - 0:22.0CHIMISS Moore 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
39.9%
56
60.1%
Q2 - 0:27.0CHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)52
38.4%
56
61.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0CHIMISS Holiday 1' Cutting Layup Shot52
39.9%
56
60.1%
Q2 - 0:36.0CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)52
38.4%
56
61.6%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Whiteside 12' Jump Shot52
39.0%
56
61.0%
Q2 - 0:59.0CHIGasol 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)52
40.6%
56
59.4%
Q2 - 1:10CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
45.3%
54
54.7%
Q2 - 1:11MIAMISS Winslow 2' Putback Layup52
45.8%
54
54.2%
Q2 - 1:13MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)52
46.9%
54
53.1%
Q2 - 1:15MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Hook Shot52
45.8%
54
54.2%
Q2 - 1:21MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)52
46.9%
54
53.1%
Q2 - 1:22CHIMISS Holiday 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
46.4%
54
53.6%
Q2 - 1:35CHIMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
45.3%
54
54.7%
Q2 - 1:36MIAMISS Winslow 1' Driving Layup52
45.8%
54
54.2%
Q2 - 1:43CHIGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)52
46.9%
54
53.1%
Q2 - 1:51MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)52
45.3%
54
54.7%
Q2 - 1:51MIAWhiteside Putback Dunk (11 PTS)52
45.3%
54
54.7%
Q2 - 1:54MIAMISS Wade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot50
39.6%
54
60.4%
Q2 - 2:11CHIGasol 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)50
41.6%
54
58.4%
Q2 - 2:21MIADragic 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)50
44.8%
52
55.2%
Q2 - 2:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
41.6%
52
58.4%
Q2 - 2:25CHIMISS Gasol 5' Jump Shot48
40.8%
52
59.2%
Q2 - 2:32CHIDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
38.8%
52
61.2%
Q2 - 2:34MIAMISS Whiteside 16' Jump Shot48
39.7%
52
60.3%
Q2 - 2:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
41.6%
52
58.4%
Q2 - 2:46CHIMISS Moore 2' Driving Layup48
40.7%
52
59.3%
Q2 - 2:57MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)48
38.9%
52
61.1%
Q2 - 3:09MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
36.8%
52
63.2%
Q2 - 3:09CHIMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 246
36.3%
52
63.7%
Q2 - 3:09CHIGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
34.5%
52
65.5%
Q2 - 3:21MIAJohnson 3' Layup (9 PTS)46
36.3%
51
63.7%
Q2 - 3:25MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
34.0%
51
66.0%
Q2 - 3:26CHIMISS Gibson 3' Driving Layup44
33.1%
51
66.9%
Q2 - 3:43MIAWhiteside 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS)44
31.0%
51
69.0%
Q2 - 3:51CHIDunleavy Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)42
28.9%
51
71.1%
Q2 - 3:54CHIDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
26.1%
51
73.9%
Q2 - 3:56MIAGasol BLOCK (2 BLK)42
26.9%
51
73.1%
Q2 - 4:00MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
28.9%
51
71.1%
Q2 - 4:02MIAMoore BLOCK (1 BLK)42
27.8%
51
72.2%
Q2 - 4:15CHIHoliday 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Gasol 6 AST)42
29.5%
51
70.5%
Q2 - 4:18CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)42
34.3%
48
65.7%
Q2 - 4:19CHIMISS Dunleavy 3PT Jump Shot42
36.2%
48
63.8%
Q2 - 4:27CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
34.3%
48
65.7%
Q2 - 4:28MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot42
35.1%
48
64.9%
Q2 - 4:43CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)42
37.1%
48
62.9%
Q2 - 4:48CHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
42.3%
45
57.7%
Q2 - 4:49CHIMISS Holiday 9' Floating Jump Shot42
44.4%
45
55.6%
Q2 - 5:12MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)42
42.8%
45
57.2%
Q2 - 5:12MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
42.2%
45
57.8%
Q2 - 5:12MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
40.2%
45
59.8%
Q2 - 5:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
40.2%
45
59.8%
Q2 - 5:12MIAMISS Wade 1' Tip Layup Shot40
38.3%
45
61.7%
Q2 - 5:13MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup40
38.2%
45
61.8%
Q2 - 5:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
40.2%
45
59.8%
Q2 - 5:24CHIMISS Gibson 8' Jump Shot40
39.3%
45
60.7%
Q2 - 5:43MIAWhiteside Dunk (7 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)40
37.4%
45
62.6%
Q2 - 5:59CHIMoore 15' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
34.9%
45
65.1%
Q2 - 6:08CHIPortis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
37.7%
43
62.3%
Q2 - 6:09MIAMISS Dragic 13' Step Back Jump Shot38
38.7%
43
61.3%
Q2 - 6:28CHIHoliday Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)38
40.9%
43
59.1%
Q2 - 6:44MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)38
45.5%
40
54.5%
Q2 - 6:44MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)37
45.0%
40
55.0%
Q2 - 6:47MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
43.5%
40
56.5%
Q2 - 6:49CHIMISS Brooks 10' Jump Shot36
42.5%
40
57.5%
Q2 - 6:59MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)36
40.2%
40
59.8%
Q2 - 7:14CHIBrooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Portis 1 AST)34
38.6%
40
61.4%
Q2 - 7:22MIADragic 3' Layup (7 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)34
43.4%
37
56.6%
Q2 - 7:30MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
41.1%
37
58.9%
Q2 - 7:31CHIMISS McDermott 3' Driving Layup32
40.3%
37
59.7%
Q2 - 7:47CHIPortis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
38.3%
37
61.7%
Q2 - 7:48MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 232
38.7%
37
61.3%
Q2 - 7:48MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
40.0%
37
60.0%
Q2 - 8:04CHIMcDermott 10' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Brooks 2 AST)31
38.8%
37
61.2%
Q2 - 8:20CHIBULLS Rebound31
41.1%
35
58.9%
Q2 - 8:20MIAMISS Whiteside 18' Turnaround Jump Shot31
41.9%
35
58.1%
Q2 - 8:43CHIPortis 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Snell 1 AST)31
43.7%
35
56.3%
Q2 - 8:59MIADragic 8' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)31
46.1%
33
53.9%
Q2 - 9:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
44.1%
33
55.9%
Q2 - 9:04MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
42.1%
33
57.9%
Q2 - 9:14MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
44.0%
33
56.0%
Q2 - 9:15CHIMISS Mirotic 13' Fadeaway Jumper29
43.2%
33
56.8%
Q2 - 9:43MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)29
41.2%
33
58.8%
Q2 - 9:58CHIPortis 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McDermott 1 AST)27
39.2%
33
60.8%
Q2 - 10:10CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
41.2%
31
58.8%
Q2 - 10:13MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 2 of 227
41.6%
31
58.4%
Q2 - 10:13MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 1 of 227
43.0%
31
57.0%
Q2 - 10:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
44.1%
31
55.9%
Q2 - 10:21CHIMISS Snell 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
43.2%
31
56.8%
Q2 - 10:34CHIMcDermott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
41.2%
31
58.8%
Q2 - 10:35MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
42.1%
31
57.9%
Q2 - 10:51MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
44.1%
31
55.9%
Q2 - 10:52CHIMISS Brooks 5' Floating Jump Shot27
43.2%
31
56.8%
Q2 - 11:05MIADeng 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)27
41.4%
31
58.6%
Q2 - 11:17MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
39.2%
31
60.8%
Q2 - 11:18CHIMISS Mirotic 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
38.5%
31
61.5%
Q2 - 11:37MIAWhiteside 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)25
36.8%
31
63.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHI23
34.7%
31
65.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)23
33.2%
31
66.8%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 222
32.7%
31
67.3%
Q1 - 0:14.0CHIMcDermott 2' Cutting Layup Shot (5 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)22
32.6%
31
67.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIARichardson Running Dunk (4 PTS)22
35.2%
29
64.8%
Q1 - 0:33.0CHIBrooks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)20
32.6%
29
67.4%
Q1 - 0:42.0CHIMcDermott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
31.1%
29
68.9%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
31.5%
29
68.5%
Q1 - 1:08CHIGasol Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T4)20
33.0%
29
67.0%
Q1 - 1:15CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)20
31.5%
29
68.5%
Q1 - 1:17MIAMISS Whiteside 17' Jump Shot20
31.9%
29
68.1%
Q1 - 1:36CHIGasol 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mirotic 1 AST)20
32.9%
29
67.1%
Q1 - 1:55MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
37.7%
26
62.3%
Q1 - 1:55MIAJohnson 2' Putback Layup (7 PTS)20
37.7%
26
62.3%
Q1 - 1:56MIAMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot18
33.9%
26
66.1%
Q1 - 2:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
35.5%
26
64.5%
Q1 - 2:02CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
33.6%
26
66.4%
Q1 - 2:02CHIMISS Gasol 2' Tip Layup Shot18
35.0%
26
65.0%
Q1 - 2:04CHIMISS Brooks 6' Jump Shot18
35.0%
26
65.0%
Q1 - 2:26MIARichardson 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)18
33.6%
26
66.4%
Q1 - 2:44CHIBrooks 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)16
31.4%
26
68.6%
Q1 - 3:06CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
34.0%
24
66.0%
Q1 - 3:07MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot16
34.7%
24
65.3%
Q1 - 3:28CHIGasol 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Brooks 1 AST)16
36.2%
24
63.8%
Q1 - 3:40MIAWinslow 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)16
40.2%
21
59.8%
Q1 - 3:55CHIMcDermott 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (3 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)14
38.3%
21
61.7%
Q1 - 4:19CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
42.4%
18
57.6%
Q1 - 4:20MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
43.2%
18
56.8%
Q1 - 4:36CHIMirotic Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)14
44.9%
18
55.1%
Q1 - 4:36CHIMirotic Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
45.3%
17
54.7%
Q1 - 4:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)14
46.7%
16
53.3%
Q1 - 4:43MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 213
46.3%
16
53.7%
Q1 - 4:51CHIMirotic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
47.1%
16
52.9%
Q1 - 4:51CHIMirotic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
47.5%
15
52.5%
Q1 - 4:56MIAMcDermott STEAL (1 STL)13
48.9%
14
51.1%
Q1 - 5:17CHIMirotic 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)13
51.2%
14
48.8%
Q1 - 5:33MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)13
53.2%
12
46.8%
Q1 - 5:33MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)12
52.9%
12
47.1%
Q1 - 5:42MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
51.3%
12
48.7%
Q1 - 5:43CHIMISS Gibson 2' Layup11
50.6%
12
49.4%
Q1 - 5:57MIAStoudemire 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)11
49.1%
12
50.9%
Q1 - 6:12MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
47.3%
12
52.7%
Q1 - 6:15CHIMISS Gasol 13' Jump Shot9
46.6%
12
53.4%
Q1 - 6:33MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)9
45.2%
12
54.8%
Q1 - 6:52CHIGasol 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)6
41.4%
12
58.6%
Q1 - 7:04MIAStoudemire Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
43.4%
10
56.6%
Q1 - 7:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
41.9%
10
58.1%
Q1 - 7:07MIAHoliday BLOCK (2 BLK)4
40.3%
10
59.7%
Q1 - 7:21MIAHeat Rebound4
41.9%
10
58.1%
Q1 - 7:21MIAHoliday BLOCK (1 BLK)4
40.3%
10
59.7%
Q1 - 7:26MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
41.9%
10
58.1%
Q1 - 7:26CHIMISS Moore 3PT Jump Shot4
41.2%
10
58.8%
Q1 - 7:36CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
39.6%
10
60.4%
Q1 - 7:38MIAGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)4
40.3%
10
59.7%
Q1 - 8:05CHIHoliday 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
42.1%
10
57.9%
Q1 - 8:12CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
43.8%
8
56.2%
Q1 - 8:13MIAMISS Dragic 9' Fadeaway Jumper4
44.4%
8
55.6%
Q1 - 8:24CHIHoliday Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T3)4
45.9%
8
54.1%
Q1 - 8:30CHIBULLS Rebound4
43.8%
8
56.2%
Q1 - 8:30CHIMISS Holiday 12' Jump Shot4
45.3%
8
54.7%
Q1 - 8:50MIAWade 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)4
43.8%
8
56.2%
Q1 - 9:06CHIHoliday 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)2
42.4%
8
57.6%
Q1 - 9:24MIADragic 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
43.8%
6
56.2%
Q1 - 9:39CHIDunleavy 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)0
42.3%
6
57.7%
Q1 - 9:41CHIBULLS Rebound0
43.9%
4
56.1%
Q1 - 9:41CHIMISS Moore 10' Pullup Bank Shot0
45.4%
4
54.6%
Q1 - 9:51CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
43.9%
4
56.1%
Q1 - 9:53MIAMISS Deng 1' Driving Layup0
44.5%
4
55.5%
Q1 - 10:14CHIGibson 2' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)0
46.1%
4
53.9%
Q1 - 10:30MIADunleavy STEAL (1 STL)0
47.6%
2
52.4%
Q1 - 10:43CHIGibson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)0
49.8%
2
50.2%
Q1 - 10:52CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
47.6%
2
52.4%
Q1 - 10:53MIAMISS Deng 16' Jump Shot0
48.3%
2
51.7%
Q1 - 11:11CHIGibson 4' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
49.6%
2
50.4%
Q1 - 11:30CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
51.5%
0
48.5%
Q1 - 11:32MIAMISS Wade 3' Cutting Layup Shot0
52.0%
0
48.0%
Q1 - 11:46CHIMoore Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)0
53.2%
0
46.8%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Gasol vs. Stoudemire: Tip to Gibson0
51.5%
0
48.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 57.8%
CHI
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
23
37
62%
CHI
14
29
48%
Midrange
MIA
14
36
39%
CHI
16
31
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
18
56%
83%
CHI
8
12.0
21
38%
57%
Free Throws
MIA
14
20
70%
CHI
12
15
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2668%13.0 / 19
J. Richardson2292%11.0 / 12
L. Deng1973%9.5 / 13
J. Johnson1563%7.5 / 12
H. Whiteside1346%6.5 / 14
D. Wade926%4.5 / 17
J. Winslow850%4.0 / 8
A. Stoudemire6100%3.0 / 3
G. Green0-0.0 / 1
J. McRoberts0-0.0 / 1
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Gasol1765%8.5 / 13
J. Holiday1447%7.0 / 15
T. Gibson1365%6.5 / 10
A. Brooks1142%5.5 / 13
D. McDermott1056%5.0 / 9
M. Dunleavy8100%4.0 / 4
E. Moore638%3.0 / 8
N. Mirotic650%3.0 / 6
B. Portis563%2.5 / 4
T. Snell583%2.5 / 3
C. Felicio125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
90
+12
-8
102
CHI
77
+9
-18
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 57.8%
CHI
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
105.7
MIA 120.4 +19.4
CHI 101.1
Pace
93.7
95.2
MIA 98.5 +3.9
CHI 94.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.0
MIA 14.6 +0.6
CHI 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
48.7%
MIA 57.1% +5.2%
CHI 51.9%
TO %
14.0%
13.9%
MIA 7.4% +9.6%
CHI 17.0%
ORB %
23.9%
24.5%
MIA 22.0% +4.9%
CHI 17.1%
FTrt
28.2
24.0
MIA 22.0 +3.5
CHI 18.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.3%
59.1%
MIA 63.8%
CHI 71.1% +7.3%
STL %
7.2%
6.3%
MIA 14.3% +6.9%
CHI 7.4%
BLK %
10.3%
8.6%
MIA 10.0% +1.8%
CHI 8.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
51.2%
MIA 57.8% +4.5%
CHI 53.3%
Rim FG%
62.3%
53.9%
MIA 62.2% +13.9%
CHI 48.3%
Mid FG%
40.5%
39.5%
MIA 38.9%
CHI 51.6% +12.7%
3P %
33.6%
37.1%
MIA 55.6% +17.5%
CHI 38.1%
FT %
74.4%
78.7%
MIA 70.0%
CHI 80.0% +10.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
36.2%
MIA 40.7% +4.9%
CHI 35.8%
Mid Att. %
40.9%
39.4%
MIA 39.6%
CHI 38.3% +1.3%
3P Att. %
22.1%
24.4%
MIA 19.8%
CHI 25.9% +6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions9895
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points11896
Rebounds4339
Assists3027
Steals147
Blocks66
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)32 (2)
Field Goals47-9138-81
At-the-Rim FG23-3714-29
Midrange FG14-3616-31
2-Point FG37-7330-60
3-Point FG10-188-21
Free Throws14-2012-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
32.3
19
73%
6
2
4
0
1
3
1
5
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
3-5
60%
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
31.0
9
26%
7
5
0
2
2
0
2
5
3-4
75%
3-15
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
30.5
26
68%
3
9
1
1
1
0
0
3
5-6
83%
9-14
64%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 240 · 35
28.7
15
63%
3
2
4
0
3
2
1
2
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
2-3
67%
C · 6'10" 245 · 33
14.6
6
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
32.2
8
50%
6
4
3
0
0
3
1
5
0-2
0%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 22
31.7
22
92%
2
4
1
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
5-6
83%
4-6
67%
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
30.6
13
46%
16
2
1
3
0
0
3
13
1-2
50%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
· 6'10" 240 · 29
2.8
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'3" 186 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
118
58%
43
30
14
6
8
0
9
34
14-20
70%
37-73
51%
10-18
56%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.