FinalWin Prob.pScore
1742%104
102
1458%107
96
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
109.79392.7
DAL logo DAL
104.39292.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DET102
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:08.0DALNowitzki 11' Step Back Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Parsons 6 AST)102
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)102
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)101
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0DALMAVERICKS Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#10)100
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 0:20.0DALPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)100
99.4%
94
0.6%
Q4 - 0:20.0DETMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2100
99.5%
94
0.5%
Q4 - 0:20.0DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)100
99.7%
94
0.3%
Q4 - 0:21.0DETMarc Morris Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (20 PTS)99
99.2%
94
0.8%
Q4 - 0:21.0DETMISS Marc Morris Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 298
99.0%
94
1.0%
Q4 - 0:21.0DALD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)98
98.1%
94
1.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0DALParsons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)98
94.3%
94
5.7%
Q4 - 0:24.0DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot98
97.0%
94
3.0%
Q4 - 0:31.0DALParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
92.9%
94
7.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0DETMISS Marc Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
94.8%
94
5.2%
Q4 - 0:49.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)98
95.1%
94
4.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)98
95.4%
93
4.6%
Q4 - 0:58.0DETJackson 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)98
96.5%
92
3.5%
Q4 - 1:21DETPistons Rebound95
86.1%
92
13.9%
Q4 - 1:21DALMISS Parsons 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot95
83.5%
92
16.5%
Q4 - 1:43DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)95
74.1%
92
25.9%
Q4 - 1:43DETPistons Rebound95
83.1%
92
16.9%
Q4 - 1:43DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 56' 3PT Jump Shot95
77.1%
92
22.9%
Q4 - 2:07DALPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)95
82.9%
92
17.1%
Q4 - 2:26DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)95
91.2%
89
8.8%
Q4 - 2:26DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)94
90.5%
89
9.5%
Q4 - 2:39DALParsons Driving Dunk (25 PTS) (D. Williams 9 AST)93
88.7%
89
11.3%
Q4 - 2:48DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)93
91.1%
87
8.9%
Q4 - 2:48DETPistons Rebound93
95.2%
87
4.8%
Q4 - 2:49DETMISS Jackson 2' Driving Layup93
92.6%
87
7.4%
Q4 - 3:11DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)93
93.6%
87
6.4%
Q4 - 3:12DALMISS Felton 14' Driving Floating Jump Shot93
92.5%
87
7.5%
Q4 - 3:33DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)93
85.7%
87
14.3%
Q4 - 3:35DETMISS Drummond 7' Turnaround Hook Shot93
87.1%
87
12.9%
Q4 - 3:49DETJackson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)93
90.3%
87
9.7%
Q4 - 3:51DETMISS Jackson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot93
87.6%
87
12.4%
Q4 - 4:10DALNowitzki 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (21 PTS)93
90.6%
87
9.4%
Q4 - 4:32DETCaldwell-Pope Foul Turnover (P1.T12)93
93.2%
85
6.8%
Q4 - 4:35DALMatthews Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)93
95.4%
85
4.6%
Q4 - 4:53DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)93
93.3%
85
6.7%
Q4 - 4:53DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 292
92.0%
85
8.0%
Q4 - 5:11DALNowitzki 1' Cutting Layup Shot (19 PTS) (D. Williams 8 AST)92
90.7%
85
9.3%
Q4 - 5:21DETMarc Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)92
93.0%
83
7.0%
Q4 - 5:33DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)89
87.6%
83
12.4%
Q4 - 5:34DALMISS Matthews 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
86.4%
83
13.6%
Q4 - 5:46DALPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)89
83.3%
83
16.7%
Q4 - 5:47DETMISS Drummond 3' Driving Layup89
84.8%
83
15.2%
Q4 - 6:07DALMatthews 10' Driving Bank Shot (10 PTS)89
85.2%
83
14.8%
Q4 - 6:30DETBlake Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T11)89
88.2%
81
11.8%
Q4 - 6:38DETBullock REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)89
91.4%
81
8.6%
Q4 - 6:39DALMISS Nowitzki 10' Turnaround Jump Shot89
90.5%
81
9.5%
Q4 - 6:55DETBlake 22' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)89
88.3%
81
11.7%
Q4 - 7:03DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)87
82.9%
81
17.1%
Q4 - 7:04DALMISS Barea 11' Fadeaway Jumper87
81.5%
81
18.5%
Q4 - 7:16DETBlake 3' Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)87
78.2%
81
21.8%
Q4 - 7:29DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
73.7%
81
26.3%
Q4 - 7:30DALMISS Nowitzki 8' Fadeaway Jumper85
71.9%
81
28.1%
Q4 - 7:41DETMarc Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Blake 4 AST)85
67.5%
81
32.5%
Q4 - 8:02DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
53.5%
81
46.5%
Q4 - 8:03DALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
51.6%
81
48.4%
Q4 - 8:29DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Running Layup (12 PTS)82
47.3%
81
52.7%
Q4 - 8:33DALFelton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)80
40.9%
81
59.1%
Q4 - 8:46DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)80
34.9%
81
65.1%
Q4 - 8:47DETMISS Marc Morris 8' Floating Jump Shot80
36.7%
81
63.3%
Q4 - 8:57DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
40.9%
81
59.1%
Q4 - 8:58DALMISS Felton 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
39.0%
81
61.0%
Q4 - 9:08DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)80
35.3%
81
64.7%
Q4 - 9:09DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 17' Step Back Jump Shot80
37.1%
81
62.9%
Q4 - 9:31DALLee Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)80
41.2%
81
58.8%
Q4 - 9:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)80
46.9%
79
53.1%
Q4 - 9:45DETMISS Baynes Free Throw 2 of 280
47.8%
79
52.2%
Q4 - 9:45DETBaynes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)80
51.8%
79
48.2%
Q4 - 9:45DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)79
47.1%
79
52.9%
Q4 - 9:45DETMISS Marc Morris 9' Turnaround Bank Shot79
42.8%
79
57.2%
Q4 - 9:58DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
47.1%
79
52.9%
Q4 - 9:58DALMISS D. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
45.2%
79
54.8%
Q4 - 10:07DETBarea STEAL (1 STL)79
40.8%
79
59.2%
Q4 - 10:24DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (D. Williams 7 AST)79
46.8%
79
53.2%
Q4 - 10:38DALLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
52.1%
77
47.9%
Q4 - 10:38DETMISS Bullock 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
54.0%
77
46.0%
Q4 - 10:56DALBarea 6' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)79
58.1%
77
41.9%
Q4 - 11:11DETBlake 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 3 AST)79
62.0%
75
38.0%
Q4 - 11:29DALD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)76
51.7%
75
48.3%
Q4 - 11:29DALMISS D. Williams Free Throw 1 of 276
52.4%
74
47.6%
Q4 - 11:45DALLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
51.5%
74
48.5%
Q4 - 11:46DETMISS Marc Morris 16' Jump Shot76
53.2%
74
46.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL76
57.1%
74
42.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound76
51.5%
74
48.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0DALMISS D. Williams 29' 3PT Running Jump Shot76
54.5%
74
45.5%
Q3 - 0:07.0DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
51.0%
74
49.0%
Q3 - 0:08.0DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 176
51.7%
74
48.3%
Q3 - 0:27.0DALFelton 12' Driving Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS) (D. Williams 6 AST)74
45.9%
74
54.1%
Q3 - 0:39.0DETHarris 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Blake 3 AST)74
51.0%
72
49.0%
Q3 - 0:58.0DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
45.9%
72
54.1%
Q3 - 0:59.0DALMISS Matthews 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot72
44.4%
72
55.6%
Q3 - 1:22DETHarris Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)72
40.7%
72
59.3%
Q3 - 1:22DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)72
45.6%
72
54.4%
Q3 - 1:24DETMISS Drummond 1' Driving Reverse Layup72
42.2%
72
57.8%
Q3 - 1:46DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)72
45.7%
72
54.3%
Q3 - 1:47DALMISS Felton 20' Pullup Jump Shot72
44.1%
72
55.9%
Q3 - 1:59DALParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
40.7%
72
59.3%
Q3 - 2:00DETMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
42.2%
72
57.8%
Q3 - 2:16DALD. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parsons 5 AST)72
45.0%
72
55.0%
Q3 - 2:43DETJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
54.0%
69
46.0%
Q3 - 2:43DETJackson 1' Putback Layup (7 PTS)72
54.0%
69
46.0%
Q3 - 2:44DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 3' Putback Layup70
46.3%
69
53.7%
Q3 - 2:46DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
49.7%
69
50.3%
Q3 - 2:46DETMISS Jackson 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup70
46.3%
69
53.7%
Q3 - 2:58DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
49.7%
69
50.3%
Q3 - 2:59DALMISS Parsons 16' Jump Shot70
48.2%
69
51.8%
Q3 - 3:13DALD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
44.7%
69
55.3%
Q3 - 3:13DETMISS Drummond 4' Turnaround Hook Shot70
46.1%
69
53.9%
Q3 - 3:16DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)70
49.5%
69
50.5%
Q3 - 3:17DETMISS Jackson 18' Pullup Jump Shot70
46.1%
69
53.9%
Q3 - 3:36DALParsons 18' Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS)70
49.5%
69
50.5%
Q3 - 3:46DALPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)70
53.6%
67
46.4%
Q3 - 3:46DETMISS Bullock 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
55.0%
67
45.0%
Q3 - 4:11DALParsons 2' Driving Reverse Layup (21 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)70
57.5%
67
42.5%
Q3 - 4:36DETHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)70
61.1%
65
38.9%
Q3 - 4:53DALParsons 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot (19 PTS)67
53.4%
65
46.6%
Q3 - 5:04DALPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)67
56.1%
63
43.9%
Q3 - 5:05DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
57.5%
63
42.5%
Q3 - 5:13DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
60.5%
63
39.5%
Q3 - 5:14DALMISS D. Williams 19' Pullup Jump Shot67
59.2%
63
40.8%
Q3 - 5:27DETMarc Morris 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Harris 5 AST)67
56.2%
63
43.8%
Q3 - 5:36DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)65
52.5%
63
47.5%
Q3 - 5:38DALMISS Parsons 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
51.1%
63
48.9%
Q3 - 5:58DALD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
47.9%
63
52.1%
Q3 - 5:59DETMISS Drummond 8' Turnaround Hook Shot65
49.3%
63
50.7%
Q3 - 6:16DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)65
51.8%
63
48.2%
Q3 - 6:17DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot65
50.5%
63
49.5%
Q3 - 6:29DALD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
47.5%
63
52.5%
Q3 - 6:30DETMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
48.8%
63
51.2%
Q3 - 6:51DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (D. Williams 5 AST)65
51.9%
63
48.1%
Q3 - 6:58DALPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)65
59.3%
60
40.7%
Q3 - 6:59DETMISS Jackson 4' Driving Floating Jump Shot65
60.6%
60
39.4%
Q3 - 7:21DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parsons 4 AST)65
62.4%
60
37.6%
Q3 - 7:33DETMISS Jackson Free Throw Technical65
65.5%
58
34.5%
Q3 - 7:33DETHarris 7' Driving Bank Shot (12 PTS)65
65.5%
58
34.5%
Q3 - 7:40DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)63
62.4%
58
37.6%
Q3 - 7:41DALMISS Matthews 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot63
61.2%
58
38.8%
Q3 - 7:51DETMarc Morris 17' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)63
58.3%
58
41.7%
Q3 - 7:54DETJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
55.0%
58
45.0%
Q3 - 7:58DETD. Williams BLOCK (1 BLK)61
52.1%
58
47.9%
Q3 - 8:17DALPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)61
54.7%
58
45.3%
Q3 - 8:17DALMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 261
55.4%
57
44.6%
Q3 - 8:30DALPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)61
54.2%
57
45.8%
Q3 - 8:33DETMISS Drummond 6' Jump Shot61
55.5%
57
44.5%
Q3 - 8:44DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)61
58.4%
57
41.6%
Q3 - 8:45DALMISS D. Williams 9' Driving Bank Shot61
57.1%
57
42.9%
Q3 - 9:00DETJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)61
54.2%
57
45.8%
Q3 - 9:11DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)58
46.5%
57
53.5%
Q3 - 9:12DALMISS Pachulia 10' Jump Shot58
45.3%
57
54.7%
Q3 - 9:24DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
42.8%
57
57.2%
Q3 - 9:25DETMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
43.9%
57
56.1%
Q3 - 9:33DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
46.5%
57
53.5%
Q3 - 9:34DALMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
45.4%
57
54.6%
Q3 - 10:02DETMarc Morris Driving Dunk (9 PTS)58
42.5%
57
57.5%
Q3 - 10:19DALD. Williams 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)56
39.4%
57
60.6%
Q3 - 10:25DALPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)56
42.5%
55
57.5%
Q3 - 10:26DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
45.1%
55
54.9%
Q3 - 10:38DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)56
42.5%
55
57.5%
Q3 - 10:55DETDrummond Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)56
46.0%
54
54.0%
Q3 - 11:20DALPachulia 2' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)56
49.3%
54
50.7%
Q3 - 11:33DETDrummond 11' Turnaround Hook Shot (22 PTS)56
52.5%
52
47.5%
Q3 - 11:46DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
49.4%
52
50.6%
Q3 - 11:47DALMISS Pachulia 14' Jump Shot54
48.3%
52
51.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET54
45.7%
52
54.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound54
49.4%
52
50.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot54
46.8%
52
53.2%
Q2 - 0:05.0DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)54
48.4%
52
51.6%
Q2 - 0:05.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound54
46.2%
52
53.8%
Q2 - 0:05.0DALMISS Parsons 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
47.7%
52
52.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0DETMarc Morris Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)54
46.1%
52
53.9%
Q2 - 0:40.0DALParsons 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (D. Williams 3 AST)54
48.5%
52
51.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0DALD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
55.9%
49
44.1%
Q2 - 0:44.0DALMISS D. Williams 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot54
57.5%
49
42.5%
Q2 - 0:59.0DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)54
55.9%
49
44.1%
Q2 - 0:59.0DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 253
54.1%
49
45.9%
Q2 - 1:06DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parsons 3 AST)53
54.3%
49
45.7%
Q2 - 1:25DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
58.9%
47
41.1%
Q2 - 1:25DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 253
59.1%
47
40.9%
Q2 - 1:25DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)53
60.2%
47
39.8%
Q2 - 1:32DALMatthews 16' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)52
57.5%
47
42.5%
Q2 - 1:45DALMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
62.0%
45
38.0%
Q2 - 1:46DETMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot52
62.4%
45
37.6%
Q2 - 1:57DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
63.5%
45
36.5%
Q2 - 1:58DALMISS Parsons 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot52
63.0%
45
37.0%
Q2 - 2:06DALMAVERICKS Rebound52
60.4%
45
39.6%
Q2 - 2:06DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 152
60.8%
45
39.2%
Q2 - 2:15DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)50
57.4%
45
42.6%
Q2 - 2:16DALMISS D. Williams 7' Turnaround Jump Shot50
56.5%
45
43.5%
Q2 - 2:26DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)50
54.6%
45
45.4%
Q2 - 2:26DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 249
52.9%
45
47.1%
Q2 - 2:27DALNowitzki Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T5)49
54.4%
45
45.6%
Q2 - 2:43DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
51.6%
45
48.4%
Q2 - 2:43DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 249
51.9%
45
48.1%
Q2 - 2:43DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)49
53.0%
45
47.0%
Q2 - 2:47DALParsons 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)48
51.3%
45
48.7%
Q2 - 3:06DETDrummond 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)48
53.6%
43
46.4%
Q2 - 3:14DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)46
51.2%
43
48.8%
Q2 - 3:15DALMISS D. Williams 10' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot46
50.1%
43
49.9%
Q2 - 3:30DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
47.7%
43
52.3%
Q2 - 3:31DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 246
48.2%
43
51.8%
Q2 - 3:31DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 246
49.1%
43
50.9%
Q2 - 3:43DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
51.2%
43
48.8%
Q2 - 3:44DALMISS Matthews 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
50.1%
43
49.9%
Q2 - 4:09DETDrummond 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)46
47.3%
43
52.7%
Q2 - 4:11DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
44.7%
43
55.3%
Q2 - 4:12DETMISS Drummond 1' Reverse Layup44
42.6%
43
57.4%
Q2 - 4:15DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)44
44.7%
43
55.3%
Q2 - 4:16DETMISS Marc Morris 3PT Jump Shot44
42.6%
43
57.4%
Q2 - 4:24DETBullock REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
44.7%
43
55.3%
Q2 - 4:25DALMISS Parsons 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
43.8%
43
56.2%
Q2 - 4:45DALPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
41.7%
43
58.3%
Q2 - 4:46DALMISS Felton 22' Jump Shot44
43.8%
43
56.2%
Q2 - 5:03DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)44
41.7%
43
58.3%
Q2 - 5:13DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)41
36.5%
43
63.5%
Q2 - 5:15DALMISS Lee 3' Jump Shot41
35.7%
43
64.3%
Q2 - 5:17DALLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
33.8%
43
66.2%
Q2 - 5:18DALMISS Felton 21' Pullup Jump Shot41
35.7%
43
64.3%
Q2 - 5:39DETMarc Morris Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)41
33.8%
43
66.2%
Q2 - 5:42DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
29.2%
43
70.8%
Q2 - 5:43DALMISS Barea 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot38
28.4%
43
71.6%
Q2 - 6:03DETHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Marc Morris 2 AST)38
27.0%
43
73.0%
Q2 - 6:24DALParsons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)35
23.4%
43
76.6%
Q2 - 6:35DALLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
27.0%
40
73.0%
Q2 - 6:36DETMISS Bullock 3' Driving Reverse Layup35
27.8%
40
72.2%
Q2 - 6:45DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
29.7%
40
70.3%
Q2 - 6:46DALMISS Matthews 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot35
28.8%
40
71.2%
Q2 - 7:02DETBullock 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)35
27.5%
40
72.5%
Q2 - 7:22DALParsons 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)32
23.7%
40
76.3%
Q2 - 7:40DETLee STEAL (1 STL)32
27.5%
37
72.5%
Q2 - 8:01DALLee Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)32
29.9%
37
70.1%
Q2 - 8:15DETCaldwell-Pope 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)32
32.0%
35
68.0%
Q2 - 8:39DALBarea 4' Driving Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)30
29.9%
35
70.1%
Q2 - 8:48DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
32.0%
33
68.0%
Q2 - 8:49DETMISS Harris 7' Turnaround Jump Shot30
32.7%
33
67.3%
Q2 - 9:13DALBarea 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)30
34.4%
33
65.6%
Q2 - 9:20DETFelton STEAL (2 STL)30
38.7%
30
61.3%
Q2 - 9:22DETBullock REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)30
41.4%
30
58.6%
Q2 - 9:23DETMISS Blake 20' Jump Shot30
39.5%
30
60.5%
Q2 - 9:33DETBullock REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
41.4%
30
58.6%
Q2 - 9:34DALMISS Lee 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot30
40.6%
30
59.4%
Q2 - 9:50DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
38.7%
30
61.3%
Q2 - 9:50DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
38.3%
30
61.7%
Q2 - 9:58DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)28
36.7%
30
63.3%
Q2 - 10:11DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)28
34.1%
30
65.9%
Q2 - 10:19DETPistons Rebound28
36.8%
30
63.2%
Q2 - 10:19DETLee BLOCK (1 BLK)28
34.9%
30
65.1%
Q2 - 10:34DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
36.8%
30
63.2%
Q2 - 10:35DALMISS Nowitzki 10' Jump Shot28
35.9%
30
64.1%
Q2 - 10:37DALFelton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
34.1%
30
65.9%
Q2 - 10:38DALMISS Felton 4' Driving Floating Jump Shot28
35.9%
30
64.1%
Q2 - 11:00DETBullock 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
34.1%
30
65.9%
Q2 - 11:20DALHarris 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)26
32.1%
30
67.9%
Q2 - 11:24DETFelton STEAL (1 STL)26
34.2%
28
65.8%
Q2 - 11:36DETBullock REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
36.4%
28
63.6%
Q2 - 11:37DALMISS Harris 21' Pullup Jump Shot26
35.7%
28
64.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL26
34.2%
28
65.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)26
34.2%
28
65.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALFelton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)23
29.8%
28
70.2%
Q1 - 0:24.0DETDrummond Running Alley Oop Dunk Shot (10 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 1 AST)23
28.4%
28
71.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0DALFelton Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)21
26.0%
28
74.0%
Q1 - 0:55.0DETDrummond 12' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)21
30.3%
25
69.7%
Q1 - 1:04DALFelton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
28.1%
25
71.9%
Q1 - 1:11DALPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)19
26.7%
25
73.3%
Q1 - 1:12DETMISS Drummond 10' Turnaround Hook Shot19
27.1%
25
72.9%
Q1 - 1:17DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)19
28.1%
25
71.9%
Q1 - 1:18DETMISS Marc Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
27.1%
25
72.9%
Q1 - 1:28DETBullock REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
28.1%
25
71.9%
Q1 - 1:30DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
27.1%
25
72.9%
Q1 - 1:41DALNowitzki 4' Driving Bank Shot (7 PTS)19
28.1%
25
71.9%
Q1 - 2:00DETMarc Morris 7' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
30.5%
23
69.5%
Q1 - 2:11DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
28.4%
23
71.6%
Q1 - 2:12DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot17
27.9%
23
72.1%
Q1 - 2:30DALMAVERICKS Rebound17
26.7%
23
73.3%
Q1 - 2:31DETMISS Jackson 14' Jump Shot17
27.2%
23
72.8%
Q1 - 2:39DETBullock REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
28.4%
23
71.6%
Q1 - 2:40DALMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
27.9%
23
72.1%
Q1 - 2:49DALD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
26.7%
23
73.3%
Q1 - 2:50DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 13' Pullup Bank Shot17
27.2%
23
72.8%
Q1 - 3:09DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
28.8%
23
71.2%
Q1 - 3:10DALMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot17
28.2%
23
71.8%
Q1 - 3:20DALPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
26.8%
23
73.2%
Q1 - 3:21DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 3PT Jump Shot17
27.4%
23
72.6%
Q1 - 3:39DALMatthews 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)17
28.8%
23
71.2%
Q1 - 3:43DALPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
32.4%
20
67.6%
Q1 - 3:45DETMISS Jackson Driving Reverse Layup17
33.0%
20
67.0%
Q1 - 3:53DETBullock REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
34.5%
20
65.5%
Q1 - 3:54DALMISS Parsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
33.9%
20
66.1%
Q1 - 4:12DETDrummond 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)17
32.3%
20
67.7%
Q1 - 4:14DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
30.7%
20
69.3%
Q1 - 4:15DETMISS Marc Morris 6' Turnaround Jump Shot15
29.2%
20
70.8%
Q1 - 4:30DALPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
30.7%
20
69.3%
Q1 - 4:30DALPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
31.1%
19
68.9%
Q1 - 4:41DETMarc Morris 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
32.3%
18
67.7%
Q1 - 4:50DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
30.7%
18
69.3%
Q1 - 4:51DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 3PT Jump Shot13
29.2%
18
70.8%
Q1 - 5:07DALD. Williams 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
30.8%
18
69.2%
Q1 - 5:21DETDrummond 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)13
32.5%
16
67.5%
Q1 - 5:36DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
30.8%
16
69.2%
Q1 - 5:37DALMISS Parsons 15' Pullup Jump Shot11
30.2%
16
69.8%
Q1 - 5:50DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
29.0%
16
71.0%
Q1 - 5:51DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
29.5%
16
70.5%
Q1 - 6:13DALParsons 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)11
31.0%
16
69.0%
Q1 - 6:28DETMatthews STEAL (1 STL)11
32.6%
14
67.4%
Q1 - 6:51DALParsons 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
34.5%
14
65.5%
Q1 - 6:59DALPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
36.2%
12
63.8%
Q1 - 7:00DETMISS Jackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot11
36.8%
12
63.2%
Q1 - 7:15DALPachulia 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parsons 2 AST)11
38.2%
12
61.8%
Q1 - 7:34DETJackson 6' Driving Bank Shot (2 PTS)11
39.7%
10
60.3%
Q1 - 8:09DALParsons 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)9
38.2%
10
61.8%
Q1 - 8:25DETCaldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)9
39.8%
8
60.2%
Q1 - 8:37DETPistons Rebound6
36.4%
8
63.6%
Q1 - 8:38DALMISS D. Williams 3PT Jump Shot6
35.8%
8
64.2%
Q1 - 8:45DETNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)6
34.4%
8
65.6%
Q1 - 8:48DALD. Williams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
36.4%
8
63.6%
Q1 - 8:55DETCaldwell-Pope 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
34.4%
8
65.6%
Q1 - 8:59DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
32.9%
8
67.1%
Q1 - 9:00DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot4
31.6%
8
68.4%
Q1 - 9:19DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)4
33.0%
8
67.0%
Q1 - 9:52DETHarris 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)4
34.3%
6
65.7%
Q1 - 10:14DALMatthews 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parsons 1 AST)2
33.0%
6
67.0%
Q1 - 10:26DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
36.1%
3
63.9%
Q1 - 10:27DETMISS Marc Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
36.7%
3
63.3%
Q1 - 10:38DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)2
38.1%
3
61.9%
Q1 - 10:42DALPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
41.4%
0
58.6%
Q1 - 10:43DALMISS Parsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
42.8%
0
57.2%
Q1 - 11:05DETDrummond 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)2
41.3%
0
58.7%
Q1 - 11:24DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.4%
0
60.6%
Q1 - 11:25DALMISS Pachulia 12' Jump Shot0
39.0%
0
61.0%
Q1 - 11:42DALParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.9%
0
62.1%
Q1 - 11:43DETMISS Drummond 12' Turnaround Hook Shot0
38.3%
0
61.7%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Pachulia vs. Drummond: Tip to Harris0
39.5%
0
60.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.01 50.5%
DAL
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
12
24
50%
DAL
13
16
81%
Midrange
DET
17
34
50%
DAL
17
40
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
9
13.5
27
33%
50%
DAL
9
13.5
30
30%
45%
Free Throws
DET
17
30
57%
DAL
9
11
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Drummond2550%12.5 / 25
M. Morris2063%10.0 / 16
T. Harris1973%9.5 / 13
K. Caldwell-Pope1441%7.0 / 17
R. Jackson1139%5.5 / 14
S. Blake788%3.5 / 4
R. Bullock542%2.5 / 6
A. Baynes150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Parsons2563%12.5 / 20
D. Nowitzki2569%12.5 / 18
Z. Pachulia1063%5.0 / 8
W. Matthews1056%5.0 / 9
D. Williams829%4.0 / 14
J. Barea770%3.5 / 5
R. Felton531%2.5 / 8
D. Lee450%2.0 / 4
D. Harris225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
82
+19
-11
101
DAL
84
+9
-8
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.01 50.5%
DAL
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
106.5
DET 109.7 +5.3
DAL 104.3
Pace
95.3
94.5
DET 92.7 +0.4
DAL 92.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.6
DET 15.5 +0.1
DAL 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
50.2%
DET 50.0%
DAL 50.6% +0.6%
TO %
13.5%
12.8%
DET 12.5%
DAL 9.9% +2.6%
ORB %
27.0%
20.7%
DET 31.3% +15.0%
DAL 16.3%
FTrt
29.6
26.5
DET 35.3 +22.5
DAL 12.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.2%
59.2%
DET 50.0%
DAL 64.1% +14.1%
STL %
7.3%
7.1%
DET 7.5% +1.0%
DAL 6.5%
BLK %
5.8%
6.4%
DET 5.4% +2.0%
DAL 3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
53.0%
DET 50.5%
DAL 51.1% +0.6%
Rim FG%
55.8%
59.3%
DET 50.0%
DAL 81.3% +31.3%
Mid FG%
39.7%
41.2%
DET 50.0% +7.5%
DAL 42.5%
3P %
34.5%
34.4%
DET 33.3% +3.3%
DAL 30.0%
FT %
66.8%
79.4%
DET 56.7%
DAL 81.8% +25.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.0%
30.5%
DET 28.2% +9.6%
DAL 18.6%
Mid Att. %
33.7%
35.5%
DET 40.0% +6.5%
DAL 46.5%
3P Att. %
30.3%
33.9%
DET 31.8%
DAL 34.9% +3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.56 and 2.56.
Game TotalsDETDAL
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points10296
Rebounds5140
Assists1925
Steals76
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)11 (3)8 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (4)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)33 (2)
Field Goals38-8539-86
At-the-Rim FG12-2413-16
Midrange FG17-3417-40
2-Point FG29-5830-56
3-Point FG9-279-30
Free Throws17-309-11
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 204 · 23
40.1
14
41%
5
3
3
0
1
2
2
3
3-3
100%
4-8
50%
1-8
13%
F · 6'9" 235 · 27
39.3
20
63%
7
2
1
0
1
1
0
7
2-3
67%
6-10
60%
2-6
33%
F · 6'8" 226 · 24
39.2
19
73%
7
5
1
0
2
2
1
6
5-5
100%
4-5
80%
2-6
33%
C · 6'11" 279 · 23
33.9
25
50%
17
1
1
1
3
3
6
11
5-14
36%
10-19
53%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 208 · 26
29.3
11
39%
4
4
0
0
0
2
3
1
1-3
33%
2-10
20%
2-3
67%
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25
25.8
5
42%
8
0
0
0
2
1
2
6
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 172 · 36
18.7
7
88%
0
4
1
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-1
100%
C · 6'10" 260 · 29
13.7
1
50%
3
0
0
2
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 220 · 23
F · 6'10" 225 · 27
F · 6'8" 240 · 31
G · 6'4" 210 · 29
C · 6'9" 245 · 34
#8 · G · 6'5" 215 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · F · 6'7" 245 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
51%
51
19
7
3
11
0
15
36
17-30
57%
29-58
50%
9-27
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.