FinalWin Prob.pScore
166%102
91
1334%96
99
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
96.89488.2
IND logo IND
105.394100.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASIND
Q4 - 0:00.0IND91
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0SASMISS Green 28' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0INDS. Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)91
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0INDS. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)91
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0SASMahinmi STEAL (2 STL)91
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 0:15.0INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)91
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 0:19.0SASLeonard 1' Driving Layup (23 PTS)91
4.3%
94
95.7%
Q4 - 0:26.0INDEllis 1' Driving Layup (26 PTS)89
3.6%
94
96.4%
Q4 - 0:46.0INDPACERS Rebound89
10.9%
92
89.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
13.6%
92
86.4%
Q4 - 0:55.0SASSpurs Rebound89
22.7%
92
77.3%
Q4 - 0:55.0INDMISS George 21' Pullup Jump Shot89
19.1%
92
80.9%
Q4 - 1:12SASMills Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)89
15.3%
92
84.7%
Q4 - 1:12SASMills Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)88
14.2%
92
85.8%
Q4 - 1:22SASMills REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)87
11.7%
92
88.3%
Q4 - 1:24SASMISS Leonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
8.1%
92
91.9%
Q4 - 1:42INDEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)87
14.9%
92
85.1%
Q4 - 1:42INDEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)87
16.1%
91
83.9%
Q4 - 1:55SASAldridge 1' Putback Layup (23 PTS)87
22.4%
90
77.6%
Q4 - 1:55SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)85
15.5%
90
84.5%
Q4 - 1:56SASMISS Duncan 3' Driving Layup85
11.2%
90
88.8%
Q4 - 2:13SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
19.3%
90
80.7%
Q4 - 2:15INDMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot85
16.4%
90
83.6%
Q4 - 2:39SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)85
11.2%
90
88.8%
Q4 - 2:39SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)84
10.7%
90
89.3%
Q4 - 2:54INDEllis 1' Driving Layup (22 PTS) (Mahinmi 2 AST)83
10.2%
90
89.8%
Q4 - 3:01INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)83
13.1%
88
86.9%
Q4 - 3:02INDMISS Turner 19' Jump Shot83
18.4%
88
81.6%
Q4 - 3:19INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)83
13.0%
88
87.0%
Q4 - 3:19SASMISS Leonard 10' Running Jump Shot83
15.2%
88
84.8%
Q4 - 3:27SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)83
21.6%
88
78.4%
Q4 - 3:28INDMISS Ellis 17' Jump Shot83
18.6%
88
81.4%
Q4 - 3:36INDTurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)83
18.5%
88
81.5%
Q4 - 3:37SASMISS Ginobili 2' Driving Layup83
20.3%
88
79.7%
Q4 - 3:48SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
24.5%
88
75.5%
Q4 - 3:48INDMISS Mahinmi 8' Hook Shot83
22.3%
88
77.7%
Q4 - 4:04SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)83
17.5%
88
82.5%
Q4 - 4:04SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 282
16.7%
88
83.3%
Q4 - 4:20INDEllis Foul Turnover (P3.T9)82
17.7%
88
82.3%
Q4 - 4:31INDHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)82
12.4%
88
87.6%
Q4 - 4:31SASMISS Leonard 27' 3PT Jump Shot82
13.8%
88
86.2%
Q4 - 4:46INDEllis Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)82
17.4%
88
82.6%
Q4 - 4:58INDHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)82
12.2%
88
87.8%
Q4 - 4:59INDMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot82
15.6%
88
84.4%
Q4 - 5:19SASDuncan 1' Layup (9 PTS)82
16.5%
88
83.5%
Q4 - 5:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)80
12.7%
88
87.3%
Q4 - 5:23SASMahinmi BLOCK (2 BLK)80
10.2%
88
89.8%
Q4 - 5:39INDEllis 18' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS)80
12.6%
88
87.4%
Q4 - 5:56SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)80
16.3%
86
83.7%
Q4 - 5:56SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)79
15.7%
86
84.3%
Q4 - 6:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)78
16.4%
86
83.6%
Q4 - 6:06INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
15.0%
86
85.0%
Q4 - 6:14SASLeonard 12' Turnaround Bank Shot (18 PTS)78
12.1%
86
87.9%
Q4 - 6:35INDGeorge 16' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS)76
9.5%
86
90.5%
Q4 - 6:56SASMills 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)76
11.9%
84
88.1%
Q4 - 6:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)74
9.5%
84
90.5%
Q4 - 7:00INDMISS Ellis 2' Driving Reverse Layup74
8.6%
84
91.4%
Q4 - 7:11INDStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
9.4%
84
90.6%
Q4 - 7:13SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
10.2%
84
89.8%
Q4 - 7:20SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)74
12.2%
84
87.8%
Q4 - 7:20INDMISS George 21' Step Back Jump Shot74
11.3%
84
88.7%
Q4 - 7:45SASMills 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)74
9.2%
84
90.8%
Q4 - 7:56SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)71
5.6%
84
94.4%
Q4 - 7:57INDMISS Stuckey 12' Jump Shot71
5.2%
84
94.8%
Q4 - 8:13SASDuncan 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)71
5.7%
84
94.3%
Q4 - 8:26INDMahinmi 1' Cutting Layup Shot (11 PTS) (George 2 AST)69
4.4%
84
95.6%
Q4 - 8:35INDPACERS Rebound69
5.6%
82
94.4%
Q4 - 8:36INDMISS S. Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
6.6%
82
93.4%
Q4 - 8:45INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
5.6%
82
94.4%
Q4 - 8:46SASMISS Aldridge 18' Jump Shot69
6.0%
82
94.0%
Q4 - 8:53SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)69
7.1%
82
92.9%
Q4 - 8:54SASMahinmi BLOCK (1 BLK)69
6.0%
82
94.0%
Q4 - 9:01SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)69
9.0%
82
91.0%
Q4 - 9:01INDMISS Hill 2' Reverse Layup69
8.4%
82
91.6%
Q4 - 9:20SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)69
7.0%
82
93.0%
Q4 - 9:33INDS. Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (G. Hill 5 AST)66
4.5%
82
95.5%
Q4 - 9:41SASStuckey STEAL (1 STL)66
7.0%
79
93.0%
Q4 - 9:53INDHill 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)66
8.8%
79
91.2%
Q4 - 10:04INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
12.5%
77
87.5%
Q4 - 10:05SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot66
13.3%
77
86.7%
Q4 - 10:20INDTurner Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)66
15.3%
77
84.7%
Q4 - 10:20INDTurner Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)66
16.1%
76
83.9%
Q4 - 10:25INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
18.2%
75
81.8%
Q4 - 10:25SASMISS Parker 1' Driving Layup66
19.3%
75
80.7%
Q4 - 10:34INDHill 1' Layup (6 PTS)66
22.1%
75
77.9%
Q4 - 10:37INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
25.9%
73
74.1%
Q4 - 10:37INDMISS Turner 20' Jump Shot66
29.3%
73
70.7%
Q4 - 10:56SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)66
25.9%
73
74.1%
Q4 - 10:56SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)65
25.1%
73
74.9%
Q4 - 11:07SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
23.4%
73
76.6%
Q4 - 11:08INDMISS Stuckey 13' Jump Shot64
22.2%
73
77.8%
Q4 - 11:33SASWest 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)64
19.6%
73
80.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND62
16.5%
73
83.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
13.6%
73
86.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASWest Putback Layup (2 PTS)62
13.6%
73
86.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASEllis BLOCK (2 BLK)60
9.9%
73
90.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
13.1%
73
86.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
11.6%
73
88.4%
Q3 - 0:26.0INDEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)60
13.0%
73
87.0%
Q3 - 0:26.0INDEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)60
13.4%
72
86.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)60
15.4%
71
84.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 259
15.1%
71
84.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
15.4%
71
84.6%
Q3 - 0:37.0SASMISS Diaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
13.7%
71
86.3%
Q3 - 0:50.0INDEllis 1' Running Layup (16 PTS)59
15.4%
71
84.6%
Q3 - 0:53.0SASEllis STEAL (1 STL)59
18.3%
69
81.7%
Q3 - 1:01INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)59
23.6%
69
76.4%
Q3 - 1:01INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)59
24.1%
68
75.9%
Q3 - 1:15SASMills 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)59
27.1%
67
72.9%
Q3 - 1:30INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)56
20.2%
67
79.8%
Q3 - 1:30INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)56
20.6%
66
79.4%
Q3 - 1:37INDHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
23.4%
65
76.6%
Q3 - 1:38SASMISS Diaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
24.5%
65
75.5%
Q3 - 1:53SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)56
27.2%
65
72.8%
Q3 - 1:54INDMISS Turner 12' Jump Shot56
26.0%
65
74.0%
Q3 - 2:09INDStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
25.3%
65
74.7%
Q3 - 2:09SASMISS Leonard 27' 3PT Jump Shot56
26.4%
65
73.6%
Q3 - 2:30INDEllis 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)56
29.1%
65
70.9%
Q3 - 2:44INDHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
37.0%
62
63.0%
Q3 - 2:45SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
38.4%
62
61.6%
Q3 - 3:01SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)56
43.2%
62
56.8%
Q3 - 3:01INDMISS Stuckey 21' Jump Shot56
41.8%
62
58.2%
Q3 - 3:28SASMills 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)56
38.4%
62
61.6%
Q3 - 3:46INDGeorge 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Turner 1 AST)53
30.7%
62
69.3%
Q3 - 4:09SASLeonard 2' Layup (15 PTS)53
39.6%
59
60.4%
Q3 - 4:24SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
36.2%
59
63.8%
Q3 - 4:25INDMISS Turner 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
34.8%
59
65.2%
Q3 - 4:40SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)51
31.7%
59
68.3%
Q3 - 4:40SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)50
31.2%
59
68.8%
Q3 - 5:04INDEllis 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)49
30.0%
59
70.0%
Q3 - 5:11INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
33.2%
57
66.8%
Q3 - 5:11SASMISS Aldridge 7' Hook Shot49
34.4%
57
65.6%
Q3 - 5:23SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
37.3%
57
62.7%
Q3 - 5:23INDMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
36.0%
57
64.0%
Q3 - 5:35INDPACERS Rebound49
33.1%
57
66.9%
Q3 - 5:36SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
34.4%
57
65.6%
Q3 - 6:01INDEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
39.0%
57
61.0%
Q3 - 6:01INDEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)49
39.7%
56
60.3%
Q3 - 6:13SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)49
42.3%
55
57.7%
Q3 - 6:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)48
38.5%
55
61.5%
Q3 - 6:13SASDuncan 1' Layup (4 PTS)48
38.5%
55
61.5%
Q3 - 6:15SASMISS Parker 20' Pullup Jump Shot46
32.5%
55
67.5%
Q3 - 6:28INDTurner 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (G. Hill 4 AST)46
35.1%
55
64.9%
Q3 - 6:43SASAldridge 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)46
38.4%
53
61.6%
Q3 - 6:57INDGeorge 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Mahinmi 1 AST)44
35.1%
53
64.9%
Q3 - 7:26SASAldridge Alley Oop Layup (12 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)44
39.4%
51
60.6%
Q3 - 7:35INDEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)42
36.2%
51
63.8%
Q3 - 7:35INDEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)42
36.9%
50
63.1%
Q3 - 7:41INDTurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)42
39.4%
49
60.6%
Q3 - 7:42SASMISS Leonard Driving Layup42
40.6%
49
59.4%
Q3 - 8:00SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
43.5%
49
56.5%
Q3 - 8:02INDMISS G. Hill 1' Driving Layup42
43.5%
49
56.5%
Q3 - 8:16SASAldridge 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)42
40.5%
49
59.5%
Q3 - 8:30INDEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)40
37.4%
49
62.6%
Q3 - 8:47SASLeonard 16' Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS)40
33.5%
49
66.5%
Q3 - 9:00INDG. Hill Running Dunk (5 PTS) (George 1 AST)38
30.6%
49
69.4%
Q3 - 9:04SASGeorge STEAL (1 STL)38
35.0%
47
65.0%
Q3 - 9:19INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
38.4%
47
61.6%
Q3 - 9:19INDMahinmi Layup (9 PTS)38
38.4%
47
61.6%
Q3 - 9:20INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
41.7%
45
58.3%
Q3 - 9:20INDMISS George Tip Layup Shot38
44.3%
45
55.7%
Q3 - 9:21INDMISS George 2' Layup38
44.3%
45
55.7%
Q3 - 9:39SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)38
41.7%
45
58.3%
Q3 - 9:51INDG. Hill Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)38
45.4%
45
54.6%
Q3 - 9:56INDEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
41.7%
45
58.3%
Q3 - 9:57SASMISS Aldridge 2' Driving Layup38
42.8%
45
57.2%
Q3 - 10:09INDMahinmi Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)38
46.7%
45
53.3%
Q3 - 10:10SASParker 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)38
43.0%
45
57.0%
Q3 - 10:30SASSpurs Rebound36
39.7%
45
60.3%
Q3 - 10:30INDMISS George 17' Jump Shot36
38.6%
45
61.4%
Q3 - 10:45INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
36.2%
45
63.8%
Q3 - 10:47SASTurner BLOCK (2 BLK)36
37.2%
45
62.8%
Q3 - 10:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)36
39.7%
45
60.3%
Q3 - 10:54INDMISS G. Hill 27' 3PT Jump Shot36
38.6%
45
61.4%
Q3 - 11:06SASAldridge 7' Turnaround Bank Shot (8 PTS)36
38.3%
45
61.7%
Q3 - 11:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)34
35.2%
45
64.8%
Q3 - 11:22INDMISS Mahinmi 7' Hook Shot34
34.2%
45
65.8%
Q3 - 11:40SASGreen 1' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)34
31.9%
45
68.1%
Q3 - 11:46INDMahinmi Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)32
29.2%
45
70.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND32
26.3%
45
73.7%
Q2 - 0:04.0INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)32
28.8%
45
71.2%
Q2 - 0:05.0SASMISS West 21' Jump Shot32
29.3%
45
70.7%
Q2 - 0:27.0SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)32
30.6%
45
69.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0INDMISS George 16' Pullup Jump Shot32
30.0%
45
70.0%
Q2 - 0:36.0INDHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
28.6%
45
71.4%
Q2 - 0:37.0SASMISS Leonard 1' Driving Layup32
29.2%
45
70.8%
Q2 - 0:54.0INDMahinmi Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)32
30.5%
45
69.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0INDMahinmi Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)32
31.7%
44
68.3%
Q2 - 0:54.0INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
34.1%
43
65.9%
Q2 - 0:55.0INDMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot32
35.6%
43
64.4%
Q2 - 1:12SASGinobili 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)32
35.5%
43
64.5%
Q2 - 1:32SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
31.3%
43
68.7%
Q2 - 1:33INDMISS Mahinmi 17' Jump Shot30
30.9%
43
69.1%
Q2 - 1:49INDPACERS Rebound30
29.9%
43
70.1%
Q2 - 1:50SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
30.3%
43
69.7%
Q2 - 2:09INDGeorge 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)30
33.2%
43
66.8%
Q2 - 2:27SASLeonard Driving Layup (11 PTS)30
36.0%
41
64.0%
Q2 - 2:46INDTurner Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)28
33.0%
41
67.0%
Q2 - 2:46INDMISS Turner Free Throw 1 of 228
33.7%
40
66.3%
Q2 - 2:46INDTurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)28
33.2%
40
66.8%
Q2 - 2:48INDMISS G. Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
35.0%
40
65.0%
Q2 - 2:54INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)28
33.2%
40
66.8%
Q2 - 2:56SASGeorge BLOCK (1 BLK)28
34.0%
40
66.0%
Q2 - 3:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)28
37.8%
40
62.2%
Q2 - 3:07INDMISS G. Hill 21' Turnaround Jump Shot28
36.8%
40
63.2%
Q2 - 3:38INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)28
34.5%
40
65.5%
Q2 - 3:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)28
37.7%
40
62.3%
Q2 - 3:40SASMISS Duncan 1' Tip Layup Shot28
35.4%
40
64.6%
Q2 - 3:41SASMISS Aldridge 8' Jump Shot28
35.4%
40
64.6%
Q2 - 3:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)28
37.6%
40
62.4%
Q2 - 3:56INDMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot28
36.6%
40
63.4%
Q2 - 4:10SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
36.1%
40
63.9%
Q2 - 4:10SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
35.5%
40
64.5%
Q2 - 4:21INDTurner 3' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)26
33.6%
40
66.4%
Q2 - 4:29INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)26
36.0%
38
64.0%
Q2 - 4:30SASMISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot26
36.9%
38
63.1%
Q2 - 4:48SASSpurs Rebound26
38.9%
38
61.1%
Q2 - 4:48INDMISS Hill 2' Layup26
38.0%
38
62.0%
Q2 - 5:04SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)26
37.3%
38
62.7%
Q2 - 5:14SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
40.0%
38
60.0%
Q2 - 5:16INDMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot26
39.2%
38
60.8%
Q2 - 5:29SASAldridge Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS)26
37.2%
38
62.8%
Q2 - 5:53INDHill 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (G. Hill 3 AST)24
34.7%
38
65.3%
Q2 - 6:07SASAldridge 1' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS)24
38.2%
36
61.8%
Q2 - 6:23INDEllis 17' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)22
36.3%
36
63.7%
Q2 - 6:32INDHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
38.2%
34
61.8%
Q2 - 6:33SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
39.1%
34
60.9%
Q2 - 6:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)22
41.4%
34
58.6%
Q2 - 6:49SASMISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot22
39.1%
34
60.9%
Q2 - 6:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
41.4%
34
58.6%
Q2 - 6:59INDMISS Turner 3' Cutting Layup Shot22
40.4%
34
59.6%
Q2 - 7:08INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)22
39.6%
34
60.4%
Q2 - 7:10SASEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)22
40.4%
34
59.6%
Q2 - 7:15INDTurner Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)22
42.3%
34
57.7%
Q2 - 7:29SASAldridge 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)22
39.5%
34
60.5%
Q2 - 7:38SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
37.3%
34
62.7%
Q2 - 7:40INDMISS Turner 20' Pullup Jump Shot20
36.4%
34
63.6%
Q2 - 7:48SASAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)20
34.6%
34
65.4%
Q2 - 7:48SASAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)19
34.1%
34
65.9%
Q2 - 8:02INDStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)18
33.4%
34
66.6%
Q2 - 8:20INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)18
37.9%
31
62.1%
Q2 - 8:21SASMISS Mills 27' 3PT Jump Shot18
38.7%
31
61.3%
Q2 - 8:34INDStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)18
40.5%
31
59.5%
Q2 - 8:34INDStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)18
40.9%
30
59.1%
Q2 - 8:54SASMills 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
42.8%
29
57.2%
Q2 - 9:02SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
41.7%
29
58.3%
Q2 - 9:03INDMISS Turner 1' Alley Oop Layup16
40.8%
29
59.2%
Q2 - 9:19INDHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
38.8%
29
61.2%
Q2 - 9:19SASMISS Anderson Free Throw 2 of 216
39.2%
29
60.8%
Q2 - 9:19SASAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
40.7%
29
59.3%
Q2 - 9:22SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
39.2%
29
60.8%
Q2 - 9:24SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
37.3%
29
62.7%
Q2 - 9:37INDTurner 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)15
39.1%
29
60.9%
Q2 - 9:55SASMills 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
41.2%
27
58.8%
Q2 - 10:01SASSpurs Rebound13
39.3%
27
60.7%
Q2 - 10:02SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot13
37.4%
27
62.6%
Q2 - 10:08SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
39.4%
27
60.6%
Q2 - 10:11INDMISS Lawson 2' Driving Layup13
38.5%
27
61.5%
Q2 - 10:27INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
36.6%
27
63.4%
Q2 - 10:29SASMISS Anderson 1' Cutting Layup Shot13
37.4%
27
62.6%
Q2 - 10:48SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
39.4%
27
60.6%
Q2 - 10:49SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
37.4%
27
62.6%
Q2 - 11:09INDHill Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)13
39.7%
27
60.3%
Q2 - 11:26INDLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
42.0%
25
58.0%
Q2 - 11:28SASTurner BLOCK (1 BLK)13
42.7%
25
57.3%
Q2 - 11:38SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
44.4%
25
55.6%
Q2 - 11:40INDMISS Stuckey 18' Jump Shot13
43.6%
25
56.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND13
41.9%
25
58.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
41.9%
25
58.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
42.6%
25
57.4%
Q1 - 0:24.0INDStuckey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)13
44.7%
25
55.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)13
50.0%
22
50.0%
Q1 - 0:47.0SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
44.7%
22
55.3%
Q1 - 0:48.0INDMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot10
44.2%
22
55.8%
Q1 - 0:58.0SASGinobili Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
43.0%
22
57.0%
Q1 - 1:12INDStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
45.4%
22
54.6%
Q1 - 1:12INDStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
45.8%
21
54.2%
Q1 - 1:27SASLeonard Driving Layup (6 PTS)10
48.3%
20
51.7%
Q1 - 1:46INDMahinmi Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
45.4%
20
54.6%
Q1 - 2:03SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
44.7%
20
55.3%
Q1 - 2:08SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
44.1%
20
55.9%
Q1 - 2:09SASMISS Leonard 10' Turnaround Jump Shot8
44.7%
20
55.3%
Q1 - 2:24INDPACERS Rebound8
44.1%
20
55.9%
Q1 - 2:24INDMahinmi Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)8
46.1%
20
53.9%
Q1 - 2:24INDMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 1 of 28
47.0%
19
53.0%
Q1 - 2:33INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
46.3%
19
53.7%
Q1 - 2:34SASMISS Ginobili 27' 3PT Jump Shot8
47.0%
19
53.0%
Q1 - 2:50INDStuckey 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)8
48.4%
19
51.6%
Q1 - 3:13INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
51.7%
17
48.3%
Q1 - 3:14SASMISS Parker 15' Pullup Jump Shot8
52.4%
17
47.6%
Q1 - 3:39INDEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (G. Hill 2 AST)8
54.0%
17
46.0%
Q1 - 3:45INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)8
58.2%
14
41.8%
Q1 - 3:48SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
58.9%
14
41.1%
Q1 - 3:51SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
60.6%
14
39.4%
Q1 - 3:53SASMISS Ginobili 8' Jump Shot8
58.9%
14
41.1%
Q1 - 4:03SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
61.0%
14
39.0%
Q1 - 4:04INDMISS George 1' Driving Layup8
60.3%
14
39.7%
Q1 - 4:17INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
58.6%
14
41.4%
Q1 - 4:17SASMISS Aldridge 2' Layup8
59.3%
14
40.7%
Q1 - 4:26SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
61.0%
14
39.0%
Q1 - 4:27INDMISS Mahinmi 12' Jump Shot8
60.3%
14
39.7%
Q1 - 4:39INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)8
58.6%
14
41.4%
Q1 - 4:42INDMISS George 17' Pullup Jump Shot8
60.3%
14
39.7%
Q1 - 4:58SASLeonard 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
58.6%
14
41.4%
Q1 - 5:17SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
57.5%
14
42.5%
Q1 - 5:18INDMISS G. Hill 16' Pullup Jump Shot6
56.9%
14
43.1%
Q1 - 5:30SASParker Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)6
55.3%
14
44.7%
Q1 - 5:46INDGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
53.4%
14
46.6%
Q1 - 5:55SASMahinmi STEAL (1 STL)4
51.1%
14
48.9%
Q1 - 5:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
53.3%
14
46.7%
Q1 - 5:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
53.3%
14
46.7%
Q1 - 5:59SASMISS Duncan 1' Tip Layup Shot4
51.8%
14
48.2%
Q1 - 6:00SASMISS Duncan 2' Reverse Layup4
51.8%
14
48.2%
Q1 - 6:09SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
54.4%
14
45.6%
Q1 - 6:11INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
53.8%
14
46.2%
Q1 - 6:18INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)4
52.3%
14
47.7%
Q1 - 6:19SASMISS Aldridge 6' Hook Shot4
52.9%
14
47.1%
Q1 - 6:43INDMahinmi Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)4
54.4%
14
45.6%
Q1 - 6:57INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
56.2%
12
43.8%
Q1 - 6:58SASMISS Leonard 13' Floating Jump Shot4
56.8%
12
43.2%
Q1 - 7:04SASSpurs Rebound4
59.1%
12
40.9%
Q1 - 7:05SASMISS Aldridge 20' Jump Shot4
57.6%
12
42.4%
Q1 - 7:27INDG. Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)4
59.1%
12
40.9%
Q1 - 7:37INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
62.4%
9
37.6%
Q1 - 7:38SASMISS Green 28' 3PT Jump Shot4
63.0%
9
37.0%
Q1 - 7:42SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
64.5%
9
35.5%
Q1 - 7:42SASMISS Duncan 9' Hook Shot4
63.0%
9
37.0%
Q1 - 7:59SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
64.5%
9
35.5%
Q1 - 8:00INDMISS Turner 19' Jump Shot4
63.8%
9
36.2%
Q1 - 8:13INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
63.2%
9
36.8%
Q1 - 8:14SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot4
63.8%
9
36.2%
Q1 - 8:29INDMahinmi 5' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
65.1%
9
34.9%
Q1 - 8:42INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
66.6%
7
33.4%
Q1 - 8:42SASMISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot4
67.2%
7
32.8%
Q1 - 8:55SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
68.5%
7
31.5%
Q1 - 8:56SASMISS Parker 16' Pullup Jump Shot4
67.2%
7
32.8%
Q1 - 9:12INDGeorge 1' Running Layup (7 PTS) (G. Hill 1 AST)4
68.8%
7
31.2%
Q1 - 9:17INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
70.1%
5
29.9%
Q1 - 9:18SASMISS Leonard 1' Layup4
70.6%
5
29.4%
Q1 - 9:31INDGeorge 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)4
71.9%
5
28.1%
Q1 - 9:53INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
74.6%
2
25.4%
Q1 - 9:54SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot4
75.1%
2
24.9%
Q1 - 10:18INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
76.1%
2
23.9%
Q1 - 10:18INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
76.3%
1
23.7%
Q1 - 10:44SASGreen 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)4
77.2%
0
22.8%
Q1 - 10:51SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
76.1%
0
23.9%
Q1 - 10:53INDMISS George 19' Pullup Jump Shot2
75.6%
0
24.4%
Q1 - 11:06SASLeonard 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
74.6%
0
25.4%
Q1 - 11:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
73.1%
0
26.9%
Q1 - 11:18INDMISS George 6' Jump Shot0
72.7%
0
27.3%
Q1 - 11:36INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
71.8%
0
28.2%
Q1 - 11:38SASMISS Aldridge 17' Jump Shot0
72.2%
0
27.8%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Mahinmi vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker0
73.1%
0
26.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.85 42.5%
IND
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
19
35
54%
IND
14
24
58%
Midrange
SAS
11
33
33%
IND
11
38
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
4
6.0
28
14%
21%
IND
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
Free Throws
SAS
19
22
86%
IND
28
30
93%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2344%11.5 / 26
L. Aldridge2355%11.5 / 21
P. Mills1761%8.5 / 14
T. Duncan941%4.5 / 11
T. Parker633%3.0 / 9
D. Green425%2.0 / 8
D. West467%2.0 / 3
K. Anderson338%1.5 / 4
M. Ginobili213%1.0 / 8
B. Diaw0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ellis2676%13.0 / 17
P. George2350%11.5 / 23
R. Stuckey1267%6.0 / 9
I. Mahinmi1155%5.5 / 10
M. Turner935%4.5 / 13
J. Hill844%4.0 / 9
G. Hill536%2.5 / 7
S. Hill583%2.5 / 3
T. Lawson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
86
+20
-8
106
IND
85
+9
-9
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.85 42.5%
IND
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.2
104.6
SAS 96.8 +8.5
IND 105.3
Pace
94.0
96.7
SAS 88.2
IND 100.6 +12.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.8
SAS 16.3
IND 14.3 +2.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
49.7%
SAS 37.5%
IND 45.5% +8.0%
TO %
13.3%
14.7%
SAS 7.0% +2.0%
IND 9.0%
ORB %
22.9%
23.4%
SAS 31.0% +12.0%
IND 19.0%
FTrt
24.6
26.8
SAS 22.9
IND 38.5 +15.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
55.4%
SAS 44.1%
IND 59.4% +15.3%
STL %
8.8%
9.3%
SAS 5.3%
IND 5.3%
BLK %
9.6%
7.9%
SAS 9.7%
IND 10.3% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
52.3%
SAS 42.5%
IND 51.6% +9.1%
Rim FG%
62.8%
60.5%
SAS 54.3%
IND 58.3% +4.0%
Mid FG%
43.2%
38.9%
SAS 33.3% +4.4%
IND 28.9%
3P %
37.5%
35.1%
SAS 14.3%
IND 43.8% +29.5%
FT %
80.3%
76.4%
SAS 86.4%
IND 93.3% +6.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.7%
33.1%
SAS 36.5% +5.7%
IND 30.8%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
39.9%
SAS 34.4% +14.3%
IND 48.7%
3P Att. %
22.3%
27.0%
SAS 29.2% +8.7%
IND 20.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASIND
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points9199
Rebounds5248
Assists1519
Steals55
Blocks67
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (2)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (3)40 (4)
Field Goals34-9632-78
At-the-Rim FG19-3514-24
Midrange FG11-3311-38
2-Point FG30-6825-62
3-Point FG4-287-16
Free Throws19-2228-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 225 · 25
39.7
23
44%
6
2
0
1
1
3
3
3
4-6
67%
8-16
50%
1-7
14%
F · 6'11" 260 · 31
38.3
23
55%
12
0
1
2
0
4
2
10
5-5
100%
9-20
45%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 29
27.9
4
25%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-5
0%
C · 6'11" 250 · 40
27.6
9
41%
14
4
1
2
3
3
6
8
3-3
100%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 34
24.9
6
33%
1
5
0
0
2
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 185 · 28
22.3
17
61%
4
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
3-10
30%
G · 6'6" 205 · 39
19.9
2
13%
1
1
0
0
2
3
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-4
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 36
15.9
4
67%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34
14.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F-G · 6'9" 230 · 22
9.4
3
38%
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 195 · 26
C · 7'3" 290 · 28
G · 6'3" 200 · 40
#15 · C-F · 6'10" 235 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#18 · F · 6'7" 215 · 37
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
43%
52
15
5
6
8
0
18
34
19-22
86%
30-68
44%
4-28
14%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.