ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
---|---|---|---|
107.7 | 91 | 93.0 | |
113.2 | 91 | 89.1 |
Scoring Opportunities
Scoring Efficiency
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
Score / WinProb | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Clock | Team | Event | PHI | MIA |
Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 98 0% | 103 100% | |
Q4 - 0:04.0 | PHI | Grant 2' Layup (6 PTS) (McConnell 3 AST) | 98 0.1% | 103 99.9% |
Q4 - 0:11.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS) | 96 0.1% | 103 99.9% |
Q4 - 0:11.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS) | 96 0.1% | 102 99.9% |
Q4 - 0:13.0 | PHI | Thompson 3' Driving Layup (16 PTS) | 96 0.3% | 101 99.7% |
Q4 - 0:20.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS) | 94 0.2% | 101 99.8% |
Q4 - 0:20.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS) | 94 0.2% | 100 99.8% |
Q4 - 0:22.0 | PHI | Covington Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS) | 94 0.5% | 99 99.5% |
Q4 - 0:22.0 | PHI | Covington Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS) | 93 0.4% | 99 99.6% |
Q4 - 0:22.0 | PHI | MISS Covington Free Throw 1 of 3 | 92 0.4% | 99 99.6% |
Q4 - 0:31.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS) | 92 0.4% | 99 99.6% |
Q4 - 0:31.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS) | 92 0.4% | 98 99.6% |
Q4 - 0:42.0 | PHI | Smith 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS) | 92 1.2% | 97 98.8% |
Q4 - 1:00 | MIA | Whiteside Dunk (14 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST) | 89 0.6% | 97 99.4% |
Q4 - 1:23 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8) | 89 1.6% | 95 98.4% |
Q4 - 1:24 | PHI | MISS Smith 17' Fadeaway Jumper | 89 2.0% | 95 98.0% |
Q4 - 1:39 | MIA | Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 89 3.7% | 95 96.3% |
Q4 - 2:02 | PHI | Smith 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS) | 89 9.8% | 92 90.2% |
Q4 - 2:20 | PHI | Covington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 87 7.6% | 92 92.4% |
Q4 - 2:21 | MIA | MISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 87 6.3% | 92 93.7% |
Q4 - 2:42 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11) | 87 4.1% | 92 95.9% |
Q4 - 2:43 | MIA | MISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 | 87 7.1% | 92 92.9% |
Q4 - 2:43 | MIA | Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 87 5.8% | 92 94.2% |
Q4 - 2:46 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11) | 87 6.4% | 91 93.6% |
Q4 - 2:47 | MIA | MISS Wade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup | 87 9.8% | 91 90.2% |
Q4 - 3:02 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11) | 87 7.5% | 91 92.5% |
Q4 - 3:03 | PHI | Whiteside BLOCK (7 BLK) | 87 8.8% | 91 91.2% |
Q4 - 3:21 | MIA | Wade Dunk (17 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST) | 87 12.8% | 91 87.2% |
Q4 - 3:25 | MIA | Dragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 87 15.9% | 89 84.1% |
Q4 - 3:26 | PHI | Whiteside BLOCK (6 BLK) | 87 18.5% | 89 81.5% |
Q4 - 3:31 | PHI | Landry REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2) | 87 25.2% | 89 74.8% |
Q4 - 3:32 | PHI | MISS Canaan 2' Driving Layup | 87 20.4% | 89 79.6% |
Q4 - 3:52 | MIA | Deng 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 87 25.0% | 89 75.0% |
Q4 - 3:58 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7) | 87 31.8% | 87 68.2% |
Q4 - 3:59 | PHI | MISS Landry 3' Driving Layup | 87 34.6% | 87 65.4% |
Q4 - 4:17 | MIA | Whiteside Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 87 41.3% | 87 58.7% |
Q4 - 4:39 | PHI | Grant Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Covington 4 AST) | 87 49.9% | 85 50.1% |
Q4 - 4:53 | PHI | Grant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 85 41.4% | 85 58.6% |
Q4 - 4:54 | MIA | MISS Whiteside 3' Layup | 85 38.4% | 85 61.6% |
Q4 - 4:56 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6) | 85 31.8% | 85 68.2% |
Q4 - 4:57 | MIA | MISS Wade 13' Fadeaway Jumper | 85 38.4% | 85 61.6% |
Q4 - 5:17 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6) | 85 31.3% | 85 68.7% |
Q4 - 5:18 | PHI | Whiteside BLOCK (5 BLK) | 85 33.6% | 85 66.4% |
Q4 - 5:30 | MIA | Dragic Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13) | 85 39.4% | 85 60.6% |
Q4 - 5:47 | PHI | Canaan 1' Reverse Layup (17 PTS) (Smith 5 AST) | 85 31.3% | 85 68.7% |
Q4 - 6:07 | MIA | Dragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS) | 83 25.2% | 85 74.8% |
Q4 - 6:29 | PHI | Landry 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Smith 4 AST) | 83 30.4% | 83 69.6% |
Q4 - 6:50 | MIA | Wade 10' Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 81 25.2% | 83 74.8% |
Q4 - 7:03 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10) | 81 29.8% | 81 70.2% |
Q4 - 7:04 | PHI | MISS Canaan 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 81 31.8% | 81 68.2% |
Q4 - 7:24 | MIA | Deng 5' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST) | 81 36.6% | 81 63.4% |
Q4 - 7:36 | PHI | Covington Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T11) | 81 42.6% | 79 57.4% |
Q4 - 7:39 | PHI | Grant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 81 50.3% | 79 49.7% |
Q4 - 7:40 | MIA | MISS Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot | 81 47.9% | 79 52.1% |
Q4 - 7:52 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 81 42.7% | 79 57.3% |
Q4 - 7:53 | MIA | MISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 81 48.0% | 79 52.0% |
Q4 - 8:13 | PHI | Smith 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS) | 81 42.0% | 79 58.0% |
Q4 - 8:32 | MIA | Winslow 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST) | 79 35.8% | 79 64.2% |
Q4 - 8:46 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5) | 79 48.4% | 76 51.6% |
Q4 - 8:47 | PHI | MISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 79 50.3% | 76 49.7% |
Q4 - 9:11 | PHI | Covington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 79 53.1% | 76 46.9% |
Q4 - 9:12 | MIA | MISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 79 51.2% | 76 48.8% |
Q4 - 9:18 | PHI | Deng STEAL (2 STL) | 79 46.9% | 76 53.1% |
Q4 - 9:32 | MIA | Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Deng 4 AST) | 79 53.1% | 76 46.9% |
Q4 - 9:45 | PHI | Thompson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Covington 3 AST) | 79 64.6% | 73 35.4% |
Q4 - 9:50 | PHI | Covington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 76 53.2% | 73 46.8% |
Q4 - 9:51 | PHI | MISS Canaan 3PT Jump Shot | 76 48.9% | 73 51.1% |
Q4 - 9:57 | PHI | Thompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 76 53.2% | 73 46.8% |
Q4 - 9:58 | MIA | MISS Whiteside 2' Layup | 76 51.3% | 73 48.7% |
Q4 - 10:15 | PHI | Holmes 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 76 45.5% | 73 54.5% |
Q4 - 10:28 | MIA | Deng 1' Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS) | 74 40.3% | 73 59.7% |
Q4 - 10:29 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9) | 74 45.6% | 71 54.4% |
Q4 - 10:30 | MIA | MISS Dragic 5' Floating Jump Shot | 74 49.8% | 71 50.2% |
Q4 - 10:46 | PHI | Covington 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Smith 3 AST) | 74 45.6% | 71 54.4% |
Q4 - 10:59 | MIA | Whiteside Dunk (9 PTS) | 72 40.4% | 71 59.6% |
Q4 - 11:01 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 72 44.7% | 69 55.3% |
Q4 - 11:02 | MIA | MISS Deng 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup | 72 48.6% | 69 51.4% |
Q4 - 11:16 | PHI | Covington 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Canaan 4 AST) | 72 44.8% | 69 55.2% |
Q4 - 11:37 | MIA | Dragic Foul Turnover (P2.T12) | 69 34.7% | 69 65.3% |
Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 69 29.7% | 69 70.3% | |
Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 69 29.7% | 69 70.3% |
Q3 - 0:01.0 | MIA | MISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 32.6% | 69 67.4% |
Q3 - 0:04.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 69 29.5% | 69 70.5% |
Q3 - 0:05.0 | MIA | MISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 | 69 33.4% | 69 66.6% |
Q3 - 0:05.0 | MIA | MISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 | 69 31.1% | 69 68.9% |
Q3 - 0:05.0 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 69 29.5% | 69 70.5% |
Q3 - 0:06.0 | MIA | MISS Deng 19' Jump Shot | 69 32.6% | 69 67.4% |
Q3 - 0:25.0 | PHI | Canaan 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (McConnell 2 AST) | 69 29.6% | 69 70.4% |
Q3 - 0:36.0 | MIA | Dragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 66 21.8% | 69 78.2% |
Q3 - 0:36.0 | MIA | Dragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 66 22.5% | 68 77.5% |
Q3 - 0:47.0 | PHI | Holmes Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 66 25.5% | 67 74.5% |
Q3 - 0:47.0 | PHI | Holmes Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 65 24.5% | 67 75.5% |
Q3 - 1:04 | PHI | Grant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 64 21.9% | 67 78.1% |
Q3 - 1:05 | MIA | MISS Winslow 5' Hook Shot | 64 20.8% | 67 79.2% |
Q3 - 1:12 | PHI | Winslow STEAL (2 STL) | 64 18.6% | 67 81.4% |
Q3 - 1:22 | MIA | Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 64 21.9% | 67 78.1% |
Q3 - 1:22 | MIA | Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 64 23.1% | 66 76.9% |
Q3 - 1:22 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 64 25.3% | 65 74.7% |
Q3 - 1:23 | MIA | MISS Richardson 3' Driving Layup | 64 28.0% | 65 72.0% |
Q3 - 1:40 | PHI | Holmes 1' Cutting Layup Shot (3 PTS) (Canaan 3 AST) | 64 25.3% | 65 74.7% |
Q3 - 1:58 | MIA | Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 62 21.9% | 65 78.1% |
Q3 - 1:58 | MIA | Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 62 23.1% | 64 76.9% |
Q3 - 2:13 | MIA | Winslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 62 24.9% | 63 75.1% |
Q3 - 2:14 | PHI | MISS Canaan 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 62 26.0% | 63 74.0% |
Q3 - 2:20 | MIA | Johnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11) | 62 28.7% | 63 71.3% |
Q3 - 2:23 | MIA | Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 62 24.9% | 63 75.1% |
Q3 - 2:24 | MIA | MISS Johnson 12' Floating Jump Shot | 62 27.5% | 63 72.5% |
Q3 - 2:38 | PHI | Thompson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 62 24.9% | 63 75.1% |
Q3 - 2:38 | PHI | Thompson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 61 24.0% | 63 76.0% |
Q3 - 2:48 | PHI | Canaan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 60 21.8% | 63 78.2% |
Q3 - 2:49 | MIA | MISS Johnson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot | 60 20.8% | 63 79.2% |
Q3 - 3:12 | PHI | Thompson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McConnell 1 AST) | 60 18.9% | 63 81.1% |
Q3 - 3:35 | PHI | Thompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 57 14.2% | 63 85.8% |
Q3 - 3:36 | MIA | MISS Winslow Free Throw 2 of 2 | 57 13.8% | 63 86.2% |
Q3 - 3:36 | MIA | Winslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 57 12.6% | 63 87.4% |
Q3 - 3:55 | MIA | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 57 14.0% | 62 86.0% |
Q3 - 3:56 | PHI | MISS Canaan 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 14.7% | 62 85.3% |
Q3 - 4:03 | PHI | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 57 16.7% | 62 83.3% |
Q3 - 4:04 | MIA | MISS Wade 17' Jump Shot | 57 15.8% | 62 84.2% |
Q3 - 4:21 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 57 14.1% | 62 85.9% |
Q3 - 4:22 | PHI | MISS Thompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 14.8% | 62 85.2% |
Q3 - 4:36 | PHI | Thompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 57 16.7% | 62 83.3% |
Q3 - 4:37 | PHI | MISS Canaan 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 14.8% | 62 85.2% |
Q3 - 4:54 | PHI | Landry REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2) | 57 16.7% | 62 83.3% |
Q3 - 4:55 | MIA | MISS Stoudemire 5' Hook Shot | 57 15.8% | 62 84.2% |
Q3 - 5:09 | PHI | Landry 2' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Canaan 2 AST) | 57 14.4% | 62 85.6% |
Q3 - 5:19 | PHI | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 55 12.7% | 62 87.3% |
Q3 - 5:20 | MIA | MISS Wade 18' Jump Shot | 55 12.1% | 62 87.9% |
Q3 - 5:50 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 55 10.8% | 62 89.2% |
Q3 - 5:51 | PHI | Stoudemire BLOCK (2 BLK) | 55 11.3% | 62 88.7% |
Q3 - 6:11 | PHI | Covington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 55 12.9% | 62 87.1% |
Q3 - 6:12 | MIA | MISS Wade 16' Jump Shot | 55 12.3% | 62 87.7% |
Q3 - 6:28 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9) | 55 11.0% | 62 89.0% |
Q3 - 6:29 | PHI | MISS Landry 19' Jump Shot | 55 11.6% | 62 88.4% |
Q3 - 6:45 | MIA | Deng 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 55 12.9% | 62 87.1% |
Q3 - 7:03 | PHI | Grant Traveling Turnover (P1.T8) | 55 14.6% | 60 85.4% |
Q3 - 7:19 | MIA | Stoudemire Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS) | 55 16.9% | 60 83.1% |
Q3 - 7:20 | MIA | Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 55 18.8% | 58 81.2% |
Q3 - 7:21 | MIA | MISS Dragic 4' Floating Jump Shot | 55 20.7% | 58 79.3% |
Q3 - 7:33 | PHI | Thompson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7) | 55 18.8% | 58 81.2% |
Q3 - 7:46 | MIA | Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 55 21.6% | 58 78.4% |
Q3 - 8:01 | PHI | Landry 2' Layup (14 PTS) | 55 26.6% | 55 73.4% |
Q3 - 8:02 | PHI | Landry REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1) | 53 24.1% | 55 75.9% |
Q3 - 8:03 | PHI | Stoudemire BLOCK (1 BLK) | 53 22.0% | 55 78.0% |
Q3 - 8:19 | PHI | Landry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 53 24.1% | 55 75.9% |
Q3 - 8:20 | MIA | MISS Dragic 9' Floating Jump Shot | 53 23.2% | 55 76.8% |
Q3 - 8:42 | MIA | Dragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 53 21.2% | 55 78.8% |
Q3 - 8:43 | PHI | MISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 1 | 53 21.6% | 55 78.4% |
Q3 - 8:46 | MIA | Wade 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 51 19.1% | 55 80.9% |
Q3 - 8:58 | MIA | Dragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 51 21.2% | 53 78.8% |
Q3 - 8:59 | PHI | MISS Grant 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 51 22.1% | 53 77.9% |
Q3 - 9:18 | MIA | Dragic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10) | 51 23.7% | 53 76.3% |
Q3 - 9:27 | MIA | Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 51 21.1% | 53 78.9% |
Q3 - 9:28 | PHI | MISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 | 51 21.4% | 53 78.6% |
Q3 - 9:28 | PHI | Smith Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 51 22.8% | 53 77.2% |
Q3 - 9:30 | PHI | Grant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 50 21.2% | 53 78.8% |
Q3 - 9:31 | MIA | MISS Stoudemire 1' Jump Bank Shot | 50 20.4% | 53 79.6% |
Q3 - 9:43 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 50 18.8% | 53 81.2% |
Q3 - 9:44 | MIA | MISS Wade 18' Jump Shot | 50 20.4% | 53 79.6% |
Q3 - 9:59 | PHI | Landry Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 50 18.8% | 53 81.2% |
Q3 - 9:59 | PHI | MISS Landry Free Throw 1 of 2 | 49 18.4% | 53 81.6% |
Q3 - 10:13 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 49 18.8% | 53 81.2% |
Q3 - 10:13 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 49 19.2% | 52 80.8% |
Q3 - 10:30 | MIA | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 49 20.9% | 51 79.1% |
Q3 - 10:31 | MIA | MISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot | 49 22.7% | 51 77.3% |
Q3 - 10:48 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 49 20.9% | 51 79.1% |
Q3 - 10:49 | PHI | MISS Covington 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 49 21.6% | 51 78.4% |
Q3 - 11:02 | MIA | Wade 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 49 23.1% | 51 76.9% |
Q3 - 11:11 | MIA | Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 49 25.4% | 49 74.6% |
Q3 - 11:12 | PHI | MISS Thompson 12' Step Back Jump Shot | 49 26.2% | 49 73.8% |
Q3 - 11:37 | MIA | Dragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 49 28.3% | 49 71.7% |
Q3 - 11:44 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 49 30.9% | 47 69.1% |
Q3 - 11:45 | PHI | MISS Thompson 3PT Jump Shot | 49 31.9% | 47 68.1% |
Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 49 34.2% | 47 65.8% | |
Q2 - 0:00.0 | PHI | Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 49 30.9% | 47 69.1% |
Q2 - 0:03.0 | MIA | HEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9) | 46 25.1% | 47 74.9% |
Q2 - 0:03.0 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 46 23.5% | 47 76.5% |
Q2 - 0:04.0 | MIA | MISS Dragic 2' Layup | 46 24.6% | 47 75.4% |
Q2 - 0:07.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 46 23.5% | 47 76.5% |
Q2 - 0:08.0 | MIA | MISS Whiteside 1' Alley Oop Layup | 46 24.6% | 47 75.4% |
Q2 - 0:27.0 | PHI | Landry Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 46 23.4% | 47 76.6% |
Q2 - 0:27.0 | PHI | MISS Landry Free Throw 1 of 2 | 45 23.0% | 47 77.0% |
Q2 - 0:27.0 | PHI | Landry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0) | 45 22.8% | 47 77.2% |
Q2 - 0:28.0 | PHI | MISS Grant 3' Driving Layup | 45 21.7% | 47 78.3% |
Q2 - 0:42.0 | MIA | Stoudemire Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T8) | 45 22.8% | 47 77.2% |
Q2 - 0:51.0 | PHI | Smith Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS) | 45 21.1% | 47 78.9% |
Q2 - 0:58.0 | MIA | Johnson 10' Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 42 16.6% | 47 83.4% |
Q2 - 1:21 | MIA | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 42 19.5% | 45 80.5% |
Q2 - 1:22 | PHI | MISS Landry 3' Jump Shot | 42 19.9% | 45 80.1% |
Q2 - 1:48 | MIA | Richardson 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 42 20.6% | 45 79.4% |
Q2 - 2:01 | MIA | Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 42 23.1% | 43 76.9% |
Q2 - 2:04 | PHI | MISS Smith 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup | 42 23.8% | 43 76.2% |
Q2 - 2:26 | MIA | Johnson 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 42 25.3% | 43 74.7% |
Q2 - 2:43 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 42 30.4% | 40 69.6% |
Q2 - 2:44 | PHI | MISS Landry 11' Jump Shot | 42 31.2% | 40 68.8% |
Q2 - 3:07 | MIA | Wade Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T7) | 42 32.5% | 40 67.5% |
Q2 - 3:20 | MIA | Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 42 29.6% | 40 70.4% |
Q2 - 3:21 | PHI | MISS Covington 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 42 30.5% | 40 69.5% |
Q2 - 3:42 | PHI | Covington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 42 32.6% | 40 67.4% |
Q2 - 3:43 | MIA | MISS Wade 4' Turnaround Hook Shot | 42 31.7% | 40 68.3% |
Q2 - 4:01 | PHI | Smith Traveling Turnover (P2.T6) | 42 29.2% | 40 70.8% |
Q2 - 4:22 | PHI | Covington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 42 31.8% | 40 68.2% |
Q2 - 4:23 | MIA | MISS Wade 3' Layup | 42 31.0% | 40 69.0% |
Q2 - 4:29 | PHI | Johnson STEAL (1 STL) | 42 29.2% | 40 70.8% |
Q2 - 4:35 | PHI | Grant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 42 31.8% | 40 68.2% |
Q2 - 4:36 | MIA | MISS Stoudemire 6' Jump Shot | 42 31.0% | 40 69.0% |
Q2 - 4:47 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 42 29.2% | 40 70.8% |
Q2 - 4:50 | MIA | MISS Johnson 6' Floating Jump Shot | 42 31.0% | 40 69.0% |
Q2 - 4:58 | MIA | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 42 29.2% | 40 70.8% |
Q2 - 4:59 | PHI | MISS Brand 12' Jump Shot | 42 30.0% | 40 70.0% |
Q2 - 5:14 | MIA | Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST) | 42 31.4% | 40 68.6% |
Q2 - 5:44 | PHI | Canaan 2' Layup (12 PTS) | 42 36.3% | 37 63.7% |
Q2 - 5:45 | PHI | Canaan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 40 33.9% | 37 66.1% |
Q2 - 5:46 | PHI | MISS McConnell 9' Step Back Jump Shot | 40 32.1% | 37 67.9% |
Q2 - 5:56 | PHI | McConnell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 40 33.9% | 37 66.1% |
Q2 - 5:57 | MIA | MISS Green 19' Jump Shot | 40 33.1% | 37 66.9% |
Q2 - 5:59 | MIA | Winslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 40 31.3% | 37 68.7% |
Q2 - 6:00 | MIA | MISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 40 33.1% | 37 66.9% |
Q2 - 6:06 | MIA | Dragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 40 30.8% | 37 69.2% |
Q2 - 6:07 | PHI | MISS Canaan 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 40 31.7% | 37 68.3% |
Q2 - 6:13 | PHI | Brand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 40 33.8% | 37 66.2% |
Q2 - 6:15 | MIA | MISS Whiteside Alley Oop Dunk | 40 32.8% | 37 67.2% |
Q2 - 6:33 | PHI | McConnell 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 40 30.8% | 37 69.2% |
Q2 - 6:46 | MIA | Dragic 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 38 29.1% | 37 70.9% |
Q2 - 7:01 | PHI | Thompson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Brand 2 AST) | 38 30.7% | 35 69.3% |
Q2 - 7:21 | MIA | Green 10' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST) | 35 26.6% | 35 73.4% |
Q2 - 7:46 | PHI | Canaan 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Brand 1 AST) | 35 28.5% | 33 71.5% |
Q2 - 8:00 | MIA | Deng Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 32 24.6% | 33 75.4% |
Q2 - 8:00 | MIA | MISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 2 | 32 25.0% | 32 75.0% |
Q2 - 8:02 | PHI | Deng STEAL (1 STL) | 32 24.3% | 32 75.7% |
Q2 - 8:15 | PHI | Brand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 32 26.3% | 32 73.7% |
Q2 - 8:16 | MIA | MISS Whiteside 12' Jump Shot | 32 25.7% | 32 74.3% |
Q2 - 8:31 | PHI | McConnell 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 32 24.3% | 32 75.7% |
Q2 - 8:42 | PHI | Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 30 22.6% | 32 77.4% |
Q2 - 8:43 | MIA | MISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot | 30 22.0% | 32 78.0% |
Q2 - 8:55 | MIA | Dragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 30 20.8% | 32 79.2% |
Q2 - 8:56 | PHI | MISS Thompson 20' Jump Shot | 30 21.3% | 32 78.7% |
Q2 - 9:16 | MIA | Winslow Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6) | 30 22.4% | 32 77.6% |
Q2 - 9:31 | PHI | Canaan Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS) | 30 20.4% | 32 79.6% |
Q2 - 9:46 | MIA | Winslow Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T5) | 26 16.2% | 32 83.8% |
Q2 - 10:03 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 26 14.9% | 32 85.1% |
Q2 - 10:04 | PHI | MISS Holmes Free Throw 2 of 2 | 26 15.1% | 32 84.9% |
Q2 - 10:04 | PHI | Holmes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 26 15.8% | 32 84.2% |
Q2 - 10:18 | PHI | McConnell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 15.1% | 32 84.9% |
Q2 - 10:19 | MIA | MISS Whiteside 19' Jump Shot | 25 14.7% | 32 85.3% |
Q2 - 10:34 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 25 13.6% | 32 86.4% |
Q2 - 10:35 | PHI | MISS Holmes 3' Hook Shot | 25 14.1% | 32 85.9% |
Q2 - 10:48 | PHI | Holmes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 25 15.1% | 32 84.9% |
Q2 - 10:50 | PHI | MISS Thompson 3PT Jump Shot | 25 14.1% | 32 85.9% |
Q2 - 11:18 | MIA | Dragic 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Deng 3 AST) | 25 15.0% | 32 85.0% |
Q2 - 11:23 | PHI | Winslow STEAL (1 STL) | 25 16.3% | 30 83.7% |
Q2 - 11:36 | PHI | Covington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 25 17.7% | 30 82.3% |
Q2 - 11:38 | MIA | MISS Richardson 10' Jump Shot | 25 17.3% | 30 82.7% |
Q2 - 11:46 | MIA | Dragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 25 16.3% | 30 83.7% |
Q2 - 11:47 | PHI | Deng BLOCK (1 BLK) | 25 16.7% | 30 83.3% |
Q1 - 0:00.0 | PHI | 25 17.7% | 30 82.3% | |
Q1 - 0:00.0 | PHI | 76ers Rebound | 25 17.7% | 30 82.3% |
Q1 - 0:00.0 | PHI | MISS Holmes 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 25 16.7% | 30 83.3% |
Q1 - 0:10.0 | PHI | Covington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 25 17.5% | 30 82.5% |
Q1 - 0:11.0 | MIA | MISS Whiteside 2' Layup | 25 17.2% | 30 82.8% |
Q1 - 0:24.0 | PHI | Covington Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS) | 25 16.5% | 30 83.5% |
Q1 - 0:25.0 | PHI | Covington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 23 14.9% | 30 85.1% |
Q1 - 0:26.0 | PHI | MISS Covington 4' Driving Layup | 23 14.3% | 30 85.7% |
Q1 - 0:35.0 | PHI | 76ers Rebound | 23 14.9% | 30 85.1% |
Q1 - 0:36.0 | PHI | Whiteside BLOCK (4 BLK) | 23 14.3% | 30 85.7% |
Q1 - 0:46.0 | MIA | Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 23 14.9% | 30 85.1% |
Q1 - 0:46.0 | MIA | MISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 | 23 15.4% | 29 84.6% |
Q1 - 0:46.0 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 23 15.2% | 29 84.8% |
Q1 - 0:47.0 | MIA | MISS Deng 22' Jump Shot | 23 15.9% | 29 84.1% |
Q1 - 0:56.0 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 23 15.2% | 29 84.8% |
Q1 - 0:57.0 | PHI | MISS Covington 16' Turnaround Jump Shot | 23 15.5% | 29 84.5% |
Q1 - 1:25 | MIA | Richardson Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST) | 23 16.2% | 29 83.8% |
Q1 - 1:27 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 23 17.9% | 27 82.1% |
Q1 - 1:28 | PHI | MISS Covington 4' Driving Layup | 23 18.2% | 27 81.8% |
Q1 - 1:45 | MIA | Dragic 3' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Deng 2 AST) | 23 18.9% | 27 81.1% |
Q1 - 2:05 | PHI | Grant Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST) | 23 20.7% | 25 79.3% |
Q1 - 2:11 | MIA | Whiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4) | 21 19.1% | 25 80.9% |
Q1 - 2:23 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 21 17.8% | 25 82.2% |
Q1 - 2:24 | PHI | Whiteside BLOCK (3 BLK) | 21 18.2% | 25 81.8% |
Q1 - 2:50 | MIA | Winslow 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 21 19.1% | 25 80.9% |
Q1 - 3:07 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 21 20.4% | 23 79.6% |
Q1 - 3:08 | PHI | MISS Grant 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup | 21 20.9% | 23 79.1% |
Q1 - 3:13 | PHI | Canaan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 21 22.0% | 23 78.0% |
Q1 - 3:14 | MIA | MISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper | 21 21.5% | 23 78.5% |
Q1 - 3:21 | PHI | Wade STEAL (2 STL) | 21 20.4% | 23 79.6% |
Q1 - 3:24 | MIA | Richardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 21 22.0% | 23 78.0% |
Q1 - 3:28 | PHI | Wade STEAL (1 STL) | 21 20.4% | 23 79.6% |
Q1 - 3:42 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 21 22.0% | 23 78.0% |
Q1 - 3:42 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 21 22.3% | 22 77.7% |
Q1 - 3:54 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 21 21.9% | 22 78.1% |
Q1 - 3:55 | PHI | MISS Canaan 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 21 22.4% | 22 77.6% |
Q1 - 4:01 | PHI | Grant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 21 23.4% | 22 76.6% |
Q1 - 4:02 | PHI | MISS Landry Free Throw 1 of 1 | 21 21.9% | 22 78.1% |
Q1 - 4:10 | PHI | Landry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 19 20.4% | 22 79.6% |
Q1 - 4:11 | PHI | MISS Smith 25' 3PT Floating Jump Shot | 19 19.3% | 22 80.7% |
Q1 - 4:22 | MIA | Johnson 6' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 19 20.4% | 22 79.6% |
Q1 - 4:37 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 21.7% | 20 78.3% |
Q1 - 4:38 | PHI | MISS Thompson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 19 22.2% | 20 77.8% |
Q1 - 4:54 | MIA | Whiteside 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST) | 19 23.4% | 20 76.6% |
Q1 - 5:18 | PHI | Canaan 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Grant 1 AST) | 19 24.5% | 18 75.5% |
Q1 - 5:23 | PHI | Grant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 16 21.7% | 18 78.3% |
Q1 - 5:24 | PHI | MISS Landry Free Throw 1 of 1 | 16 20.4% | 18 79.6% |
Q1 - 5:33 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 14 19.0% | 18 81.0% |
Q1 - 5:51 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 14 20.2% | 16 79.8% |
Q1 - 5:52 | PHI | Whiteside BLOCK (2 BLK) | 14 20.6% | 16 79.4% |
Q1 - 6:03 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 14 21.5% | 16 78.5% |
Q1 - 6:03 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 14 21.8% | 15 78.2% |
Q1 - 6:15 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 14 22.8% | 14 77.2% |
Q1 - 6:16 | PHI | MISS Landry 20' Jump Shot | 14 23.2% | 14 76.8% |
Q1 - 6:33 | MIA | Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Deng 1 AST) | 14 24.3% | 14 75.7% |
Q1 - 6:40 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 14 27.3% | 11 72.7% |
Q1 - 6:41 | PHI | Whiteside BLOCK (1 BLK) | 14 27.8% | 11 72.2% |
Q1 - 6:59 | MIA | Whiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2) | 14 29.0% | 11 71.0% |
Q1 - 7:10 | PHI | Smith 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS) | 14 26.8% | 11 73.2% |
Q1 - 7:24 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 12 25.6% | 11 74.4% |
Q1 - 7:24 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 12 25.9% | 10 74.1% |
Q1 - 7:39 | PHI | Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 12 26.8% | 9 73.2% |
Q1 - 7:39 | PHI | MISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 2 | 11 26.4% | 9 73.6% |
Q1 - 7:43 | MIA | Dragic 3' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS) | 11 27.1% | 9 72.9% |
Q1 - 7:44 | MIA | Dragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 11 28.3% | 7 71.7% |
Q1 - 7:45 | MIA | MISS Dragic 12' Jump Bank Shot | 11 29.6% | 7 70.4% |
Q1 - 7:57 | PHI | Thompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Covington 2 AST) | 11 28.4% | 7 71.6% |
Q1 - 8:07 | PHI | Grant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 8 25.2% | 7 74.8% |
Q1 - 8:08 | MIA | MISS Johnson 9' Floating Jump Shot | 8 24.8% | 7 75.2% |
Q1 - 8:22 | PHI | Landry 1' Layup (6 PTS) | 8 23.7% | 7 76.3% |
Q1 - 8:26 | PHI | Landry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 6 22.5% | 7 77.5% |
Q1 - 8:27 | PHI | MISS Thompson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 6 21.5% | 7 78.5% |
Q1 - 8:42 | MIA | Johnson Foul Turnover (P1.T1) | 6 22.5% | 7 77.5% |
Q1 - 9:01 | PHI | Smith 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 6 20.8% | 7 79.2% |
Q1 - 9:24 | MIA | Johnson 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 4 19.9% | 7 80.1% |
Q1 - 9:36 | MIA | Dragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 20.9% | 5 79.1% |
Q1 - 9:37 | PHI | MISS Covington 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 4 21.3% | 5 78.7% |
Q1 - 9:50 | PHI | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 4 22.4% | 5 77.6% |
Q1 - 9:51 | MIA | MISS Stoudemire 2' Layup | 4 21.9% | 5 78.1% |
Q1 - 10:15 | PHI | Landry 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Covington 1 AST) | 4 20.9% | 5 79.1% |
Q1 - 10:33 | MIA | Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST) | 2 19.9% | 5 80.1% |
Q1 - 10:49 | MIA | Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 22.2% | 2 77.8% |
Q1 - 10:50 | PHI | MISS Landry 11' Turnaround Jump Shot | 2 22.6% | 2 77.4% |
Q1 - 11:02 | PHI | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 23.2% | 2 76.8% |
Q1 - 11:03 | MIA | MISS Stoudemire 18' Jump Shot | 2 22.9% | 2 77.1% |
Q1 - 11:17 | PHI | Landry 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST) | 2 22.1% | 2 77.9% |
Q1 - 11:35 | MIA | Johnson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 0 20.8% | 2 79.2% |
Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Stoudemire vs. Grant: Tip to Dragic | 0 22.1% | 0 77.9% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
Scoring by Shot Type
Total Points
|PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
---|---|---|---|---|
I. Smith | 21 | 75% | 10.5 / 14 | |
C. Landry | 18 | 50% | 9.0 / 18 | |
I. Canaan | 17 | 57% | 8.5 / 15 | |
H. Thompson | 16 | 57% | 8.0 / 14 | |
R. Covington | 9 | 41% | 4.5 / 11 | |
R. Holmes | 7 | 44% | 3.5 / 8 | |
J. Grant | 6 | 38% | 3.0 / 8 | |
T. McConnell | 4 | 50% | 2.0 / 4 | |
E. Brand | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
Total Points
|PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
---|---|---|---|---|
G. Dragic | 23 | 72% | 11.5 / 16 | |
D. Wade | 23 | 52% | 11.5 / 22 | |
J. Johnson | 14 | 64% | 7.0 / 11 | |
H. Whiteside | 14 | 44% | 7.0 / 16 | |
L. Deng | 12 | 50% | 6.0 / 12 | |
J. Richardson | 7 | 70% | 3.5 / 5 | |
J. Winslow | 6 | 60% | 3.0 / 5 | |
A. Stoudemire | 2 | 17% | 1.0 / 6 | |
G. Green | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 |
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
Scoring Efficiency
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
---|---|---|
Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
Efficiency | 99.5 106.0 | PHI 107.7 MIA 113.2 +5.5 |
Pace | 97.4 93.7 | PHI 93.0 +3.9 MIA 89.1 |
Avg. Poss. Time | 15.0 16.0 | PHI 15.5 +0.7 MIA 16.2 |
Four Factors | This Game | |
EFG % | 48.7% 50.8% | PHI 50.0% +0.6% MIA 49.4% |
TO % | 15.9% 14.0% | PHI 10.4% +1.7% MIA 12.1% |
ORB % | 20.8% 23.9% | PHI 24.0% MIA 31.7% +7.7% |
FTrt | 26.9 28.2 | PHI 25.9 MIA 37.0 +11.1 |
Misc. Stats | This Game | |
AST % | 59.4% 54.3% | PHI 54.1% +9.7% MIA 44.4% |
STL % | 8.5% 7.2% | PHI 5.5% MIA 7.7% +2.2% |
BLK % | 9.5% 10.3% | PHI 10.4% MIA 18.5% +8.1% |
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
---|---|---|
Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
TS% | 50.6% 52.8% | PHI 52.1% +0.6% MIA 51.5% |
Rim FG% | 56.3% 62.3% | PHI 57.1% +13.3% MIA 43.8% |
Mid FG% | 35.8% 40.5% | PHI 31.6% MIA 40.0% +8.4% |
3P % | 33.9% 33.6% | PHI 35.5% MIA 57.1% +21.6% |
FT % | 69.4% 74.4% | PHI 59.1% MIA 76.7% +17.6% |
Shot Distribution | This Game | |
Rim Att. % | 38.7% 37.0% | PHI 41.2% +1.7% MIA 39.5% |
Mid Att. % | 28.6% 40.9% | PHI 22.4% +20.9% MIA 43.2% |
3P Att. % | 32.7% 22.1% | PHI 36.5% +19.2% MIA 17.3% |
Game Totals | PHI | MIA |
---|---|---|
Possessions | 91 | 91 |
Possession Minutes | 23.5 | 24.5 |
Points | 98 | 103 |
Rebounds | 40 | 51 |
Assists | 20 | 16 |
Steals | 5 | 7 |
Blocks | 7 | 10 |
Turnovers (Team) | 11 (0) | 12 (1) |
Fouls | ||
Off. Rebounds (Team) | 12 (2) | 13 (7) |
Def. Rebounds (Team) | 28 (0) | 38 (1) |
Field Goals | 37-85 | 36-81 |
At-the-Rim FG | 20-35 | 14-32 |
Midrange FG | 6-19 | 14-35 |
2-Point FG | 26-54 | 28-67 |
3-Point FG | 11-31 | 8-14 |
Free Throws | 13-22 | 23-30 |
Fast Break Pts | ||
2nd Chance Pts | ||
Points in Paint | ||
Pts off Turnovers | ||
Bench Points | ||
Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.