FinalWin Prob.pScore
2829%97
98
1771%105
103
ORTG#PossPace
PHI logo PHI
107.79193.0
MIA logo MIA
113.29189.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA98
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0PHIGrant 2' Layup (6 PTS) (McConnell 3 AST)98
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)96
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)96
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0PHIThompson 3' Driving Layup (16 PTS)96
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)94
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)94
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 0:22.0PHICovington Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)94
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 0:22.0PHICovington Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS)93
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 0:22.0PHIMISS Covington Free Throw 1 of 392
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)92
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)92
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 0:42.0PHISmith 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS)92
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 1:00MIAWhiteside Dunk (14 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)89
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 1:23MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)89
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 1:24PHIMISS Smith 17' Fadeaway Jumper89
2.0%
95
98.0%
Q4 - 1:39MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)89
3.7%
95
96.3%
Q4 - 2:02PHISmith 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)89
9.8%
92
90.2%
Q4 - 2:20PHICovington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)87
7.6%
92
92.4%
Q4 - 2:21MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
6.3%
92
93.7%
Q4 - 2:42MIADeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)87
4.1%
92
95.9%
Q4 - 2:43MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 287
7.1%
92
92.9%
Q4 - 2:43MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)87
5.8%
92
94.2%
Q4 - 2:46MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)87
6.4%
91
93.6%
Q4 - 2:47MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup87
9.8%
91
90.2%
Q4 - 3:02MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)87
7.5%
91
92.5%
Q4 - 3:03PHIWhiteside BLOCK (7 BLK)87
8.8%
91
91.2%
Q4 - 3:21MIAWade Dunk (17 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)87
12.8%
91
87.2%
Q4 - 3:25MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)87
15.9%
89
84.1%
Q4 - 3:26PHIWhiteside BLOCK (6 BLK)87
18.5%
89
81.5%
Q4 - 3:31PHILandry REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)87
25.2%
89
74.8%
Q4 - 3:32PHIMISS Canaan 2' Driving Layup87
20.4%
89
79.6%
Q4 - 3:52MIADeng 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)87
25.0%
89
75.0%
Q4 - 3:58MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)87
31.8%
87
68.2%
Q4 - 3:59PHIMISS Landry 3' Driving Layup87
34.6%
87
65.4%
Q4 - 4:17MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)87
41.3%
87
58.7%
Q4 - 4:39PHIGrant Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Covington 4 AST)87
49.9%
85
50.1%
Q4 - 4:53PHIGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)85
41.4%
85
58.6%
Q4 - 4:54MIAMISS Whiteside 3' Layup85
38.4%
85
61.6%
Q4 - 4:56MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)85
31.8%
85
68.2%
Q4 - 4:57MIAMISS Wade 13' Fadeaway Jumper85
38.4%
85
61.6%
Q4 - 5:17MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)85
31.3%
85
68.7%
Q4 - 5:18PHIWhiteside BLOCK (5 BLK)85
33.6%
85
66.4%
Q4 - 5:30MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)85
39.4%
85
60.6%
Q4 - 5:47PHICanaan 1' Reverse Layup (17 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)85
31.3%
85
68.7%
Q4 - 6:07MIADragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS)83
25.2%
85
74.8%
Q4 - 6:29PHILandry 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)83
30.4%
83
69.6%
Q4 - 6:50MIAWade 10' Jump Shot (15 PTS)81
25.2%
83
74.8%
Q4 - 7:03MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)81
29.8%
81
70.2%
Q4 - 7:04PHIMISS Canaan 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
31.8%
81
68.2%
Q4 - 7:24MIADeng 5' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)81
36.6%
81
63.4%
Q4 - 7:36PHICovington Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T11)81
42.6%
79
57.4%
Q4 - 7:39PHIGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
50.3%
79
49.7%
Q4 - 7:40MIAMISS Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot81
47.9%
79
52.1%
Q4 - 7:52MIAHEAT Rebound81
42.7%
79
57.3%
Q4 - 7:53MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
48.0%
79
52.0%
Q4 - 8:13PHISmith 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)81
42.0%
79
58.0%
Q4 - 8:32MIAWinslow 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)79
35.8%
79
64.2%
Q4 - 8:46MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)79
48.4%
76
51.6%
Q4 - 8:47PHIMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
50.3%
76
49.7%
Q4 - 9:11PHICovington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
53.1%
76
46.9%
Q4 - 9:12MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
51.2%
76
48.8%
Q4 - 9:18PHIDeng STEAL (2 STL)79
46.9%
76
53.1%
Q4 - 9:32MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Deng 4 AST)79
53.1%
76
46.9%
Q4 - 9:45PHIThompson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Covington 3 AST)79
64.6%
73
35.4%
Q4 - 9:50PHICovington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
53.2%
73
46.8%
Q4 - 9:51PHIMISS Canaan 3PT Jump Shot76
48.9%
73
51.1%
Q4 - 9:57PHIThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
53.2%
73
46.8%
Q4 - 9:58MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup76
51.3%
73
48.7%
Q4 - 10:15PHIHolmes 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)76
45.5%
73
54.5%
Q4 - 10:28MIADeng 1' Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS)74
40.3%
73
59.7%
Q4 - 10:29MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)74
45.6%
71
54.4%
Q4 - 10:30MIAMISS Dragic 5' Floating Jump Shot74
49.8%
71
50.2%
Q4 - 10:46PHICovington 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)74
45.6%
71
54.4%
Q4 - 10:59MIAWhiteside Dunk (9 PTS)72
40.4%
71
59.6%
Q4 - 11:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)72
44.7%
69
55.3%
Q4 - 11:02MIAMISS Deng 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup72
48.6%
69
51.4%
Q4 - 11:16PHICovington 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Canaan 4 AST)72
44.8%
69
55.2%
Q4 - 11:37MIADragic Foul Turnover (P2.T12)69
34.7%
69
65.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA69
29.7%
69
70.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound69
29.7%
69
70.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
32.6%
69
67.4%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAHEAT Rebound69
29.5%
69
70.5%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 269
33.4%
69
66.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 269
31.1%
69
68.9%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)69
29.5%
69
70.5%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot69
32.6%
69
67.4%
Q3 - 0:25.0PHICanaan 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (McConnell 2 AST)69
29.6%
69
70.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)66
21.8%
69
78.2%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)66
22.5%
68
77.5%
Q3 - 0:47.0PHIHolmes Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)66
25.5%
67
74.5%
Q3 - 0:47.0PHIHolmes Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)65
24.5%
67
75.5%
Q3 - 1:04PHIGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
21.9%
67
78.1%
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS Winslow 5' Hook Shot64
20.8%
67
79.2%
Q3 - 1:12PHIWinslow STEAL (2 STL)64
18.6%
67
81.4%
Q3 - 1:22MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)64
21.9%
67
78.1%
Q3 - 1:22MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)64
23.1%
66
76.9%
Q3 - 1:22MIAHEAT Rebound64
25.3%
65
74.7%
Q3 - 1:23MIAMISS Richardson 3' Driving Layup64
28.0%
65
72.0%
Q3 - 1:40PHIHolmes 1' Cutting Layup Shot (3 PTS) (Canaan 3 AST)64
25.3%
65
74.7%
Q3 - 1:58MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)62
21.9%
65
78.1%
Q3 - 1:58MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)62
23.1%
64
76.9%
Q3 - 2:13MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
24.9%
63
75.1%
Q3 - 2:14PHIMISS Canaan 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
26.0%
63
74.0%
Q3 - 2:20MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)62
28.7%
63
71.3%
Q3 - 2:23MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
24.9%
63
75.1%
Q3 - 2:24MIAMISS Johnson 12' Floating Jump Shot62
27.5%
63
72.5%
Q3 - 2:38PHIThompson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)62
24.9%
63
75.1%
Q3 - 2:38PHIThompson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)61
24.0%
63
76.0%
Q3 - 2:48PHICanaan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
21.8%
63
78.2%
Q3 - 2:49MIAMISS Johnson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot60
20.8%
63
79.2%
Q3 - 3:12PHIThompson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McConnell 1 AST)60
18.9%
63
81.1%
Q3 - 3:35PHIThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
14.2%
63
85.8%
Q3 - 3:36MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 2 of 257
13.8%
63
86.2%
Q3 - 3:36MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)57
12.6%
63
87.4%
Q3 - 3:55MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
14.0%
62
86.0%
Q3 - 3:56PHIMISS Canaan 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
14.7%
62
85.3%
Q3 - 4:03PHISmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
16.7%
62
83.3%
Q3 - 4:04MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot57
15.8%
62
84.2%
Q3 - 4:21MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
14.1%
62
85.9%
Q3 - 4:22PHIMISS Thompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
14.8%
62
85.2%
Q3 - 4:36PHIThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
16.7%
62
83.3%
Q3 - 4:37PHIMISS Canaan 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
14.8%
62
85.2%
Q3 - 4:54PHILandry REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)57
16.7%
62
83.3%
Q3 - 4:55MIAMISS Stoudemire 5' Hook Shot57
15.8%
62
84.2%
Q3 - 5:09PHILandry 2' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Canaan 2 AST)57
14.4%
62
85.6%
Q3 - 5:19PHISmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
12.7%
62
87.3%
Q3 - 5:20MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot55
12.1%
62
87.9%
Q3 - 5:50MIAHEAT Rebound55
10.8%
62
89.2%
Q3 - 5:51PHIStoudemire BLOCK (2 BLK)55
11.3%
62
88.7%
Q3 - 6:11PHICovington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
12.9%
62
87.1%
Q3 - 6:12MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot55
12.3%
62
87.7%
Q3 - 6:28MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)55
11.0%
62
89.0%
Q3 - 6:29PHIMISS Landry 19' Jump Shot55
11.6%
62
88.4%
Q3 - 6:45MIADeng 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)55
12.9%
62
87.1%
Q3 - 7:03PHIGrant Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)55
14.6%
60
85.4%
Q3 - 7:19MIAStoudemire Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)55
16.9%
60
83.1%
Q3 - 7:20MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
18.8%
58
81.2%
Q3 - 7:21MIAMISS Dragic 4' Floating Jump Shot55
20.7%
58
79.3%
Q3 - 7:33PHIThompson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)55
18.8%
58
81.2%
Q3 - 7:46MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)55
21.6%
58
78.4%
Q3 - 8:01PHILandry 2' Layup (14 PTS)55
26.6%
55
73.4%
Q3 - 8:02PHILandry REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)53
24.1%
55
75.9%
Q3 - 8:03PHIStoudemire BLOCK (1 BLK)53
22.0%
55
78.0%
Q3 - 8:19PHILandry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)53
24.1%
55
75.9%
Q3 - 8:20MIAMISS Dragic 9' Floating Jump Shot53
23.2%
55
76.8%
Q3 - 8:42MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
21.2%
55
78.8%
Q3 - 8:43PHIMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 153
21.6%
55
78.4%
Q3 - 8:46MIAWade 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)51
19.1%
55
80.9%
Q3 - 8:58MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
21.2%
53
78.8%
Q3 - 8:59PHIMISS Grant 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
22.1%
53
77.9%
Q3 - 9:18MIADragic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)51
23.7%
53
76.3%
Q3 - 9:27MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
21.1%
53
78.9%
Q3 - 9:28PHIMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 251
21.4%
53
78.6%
Q3 - 9:28PHISmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)51
22.8%
53
77.2%
Q3 - 9:30PHIGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
21.2%
53
78.8%
Q3 - 9:31MIAMISS Stoudemire 1' Jump Bank Shot50
20.4%
53
79.6%
Q3 - 9:43MIAHEAT Rebound50
18.8%
53
81.2%
Q3 - 9:44MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot50
20.4%
53
79.6%
Q3 - 9:59PHILandry Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)50
18.8%
53
81.2%
Q3 - 9:59PHIMISS Landry Free Throw 1 of 249
18.4%
53
81.6%
Q3 - 10:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)49
18.8%
53
81.2%
Q3 - 10:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)49
19.2%
52
80.8%
Q3 - 10:30MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
20.9%
51
79.1%
Q3 - 10:31MIAMISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot49
22.7%
51
77.3%
Q3 - 10:48MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)49
20.9%
51
79.1%
Q3 - 10:49PHIMISS Covington 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
21.6%
51
78.4%
Q3 - 11:02MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)49
23.1%
51
76.9%
Q3 - 11:11MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
25.4%
49
74.6%
Q3 - 11:12PHIMISS Thompson 12' Step Back Jump Shot49
26.2%
49
73.8%
Q3 - 11:37MIADragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)49
28.3%
49
71.7%
Q3 - 11:44MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)49
30.9%
47
69.1%
Q3 - 11:45PHIMISS Thompson 3PT Jump Shot49
31.9%
47
68.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
34.2%
47
65.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHISmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)49
30.9%
47
69.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)46
25.1%
47
74.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
23.5%
47
76.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Dragic 2' Layup46
24.6%
47
75.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAHEAT Rebound46
23.5%
47
76.5%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Alley Oop Layup46
24.6%
47
75.4%
Q2 - 0:27.0PHILandry Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)46
23.4%
47
76.6%
Q2 - 0:27.0PHIMISS Landry Free Throw 1 of 245
23.0%
47
77.0%
Q2 - 0:27.0PHILandry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)45
22.8%
47
77.2%
Q2 - 0:28.0PHIMISS Grant 3' Driving Layup45
21.7%
47
78.3%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAStoudemire Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T8)45
22.8%
47
77.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0PHISmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)45
21.1%
47
78.9%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAJohnson 10' Jump Shot (14 PTS)42
16.6%
47
83.4%
Q2 - 1:21MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
19.5%
45
80.5%
Q2 - 1:22PHIMISS Landry 3' Jump Shot42
19.9%
45
80.1%
Q2 - 1:48MIARichardson 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)42
20.6%
45
79.4%
Q2 - 2:01MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
23.1%
43
76.9%
Q2 - 2:04PHIMISS Smith 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup42
23.8%
43
76.2%
Q2 - 2:26MIAJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)42
25.3%
43
74.7%
Q2 - 2:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
30.4%
40
69.6%
Q2 - 2:44PHIMISS Landry 11' Jump Shot42
31.2%
40
68.8%
Q2 - 3:07MIAWade Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T7)42
32.5%
40
67.5%
Q2 - 3:20MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
29.6%
40
70.4%
Q2 - 3:21PHIMISS Covington 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
30.5%
40
69.5%
Q2 - 3:42PHICovington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
32.6%
40
67.4%
Q2 - 3:43MIAMISS Wade 4' Turnaround Hook Shot42
31.7%
40
68.3%
Q2 - 4:01PHISmith Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)42
29.2%
40
70.8%
Q2 - 4:22PHICovington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
31.8%
40
68.2%
Q2 - 4:23MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup42
31.0%
40
69.0%
Q2 - 4:29PHIJohnson STEAL (1 STL)42
29.2%
40
70.8%
Q2 - 4:35PHIGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
31.8%
40
68.2%
Q2 - 4:36MIAMISS Stoudemire 6' Jump Shot42
31.0%
40
69.0%
Q2 - 4:47MIAHEAT Rebound42
29.2%
40
70.8%
Q2 - 4:50MIAMISS Johnson 6' Floating Jump Shot42
31.0%
40
69.0%
Q2 - 4:58MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
29.2%
40
70.8%
Q2 - 4:59PHIMISS Brand 12' Jump Shot42
30.0%
40
70.0%
Q2 - 5:14MIAJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)42
31.4%
40
68.6%
Q2 - 5:44PHICanaan 2' Layup (12 PTS)42
36.3%
37
63.7%
Q2 - 5:45PHICanaan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
33.9%
37
66.1%
Q2 - 5:46PHIMISS McConnell 9' Step Back Jump Shot40
32.1%
37
67.9%
Q2 - 5:56PHIMcConnell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
33.9%
37
66.1%
Q2 - 5:57MIAMISS Green 19' Jump Shot40
33.1%
37
66.9%
Q2 - 5:59MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
31.3%
37
68.7%
Q2 - 6:00MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
33.1%
37
66.9%
Q2 - 6:06MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
30.8%
37
69.2%
Q2 - 6:07PHIMISS Canaan 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
31.7%
37
68.3%
Q2 - 6:13PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
33.8%
37
66.2%
Q2 - 6:15MIAMISS Whiteside Alley Oop Dunk40
32.8%
37
67.2%
Q2 - 6:33PHIMcConnell 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)40
30.8%
37
69.2%
Q2 - 6:46MIADragic 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)38
29.1%
37
70.9%
Q2 - 7:01PHIThompson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Brand 2 AST)38
30.7%
35
69.3%
Q2 - 7:21MIAGreen 10' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)35
26.6%
35
73.4%
Q2 - 7:46PHICanaan 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Brand 1 AST)35
28.5%
33
71.5%
Q2 - 8:00MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
24.6%
33
75.4%
Q2 - 8:00MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 232
25.0%
32
75.0%
Q2 - 8:02PHIDeng STEAL (1 STL)32
24.3%
32
75.7%
Q2 - 8:15PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
26.3%
32
73.7%
Q2 - 8:16MIAMISS Whiteside 12' Jump Shot32
25.7%
32
74.3%
Q2 - 8:31PHIMcConnell 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
24.3%
32
75.7%
Q2 - 8:42PHIThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
22.6%
32
77.4%
Q2 - 8:43MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot30
22.0%
32
78.0%
Q2 - 8:55MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
20.8%
32
79.2%
Q2 - 8:56PHIMISS Thompson 20' Jump Shot30
21.3%
32
78.7%
Q2 - 9:16MIAWinslow Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6)30
22.4%
32
77.6%
Q2 - 9:31PHICanaan Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)30
20.4%
32
79.6%
Q2 - 9:46MIAWinslow Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T5)26
16.2%
32
83.8%
Q2 - 10:03MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)26
14.9%
32
85.1%
Q2 - 10:04PHIMISS Holmes Free Throw 2 of 226
15.1%
32
84.9%
Q2 - 10:04PHIHolmes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
15.8%
32
84.2%
Q2 - 10:18PHIMcConnell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
15.1%
32
84.9%
Q2 - 10:19MIAMISS Whiteside 19' Jump Shot25
14.7%
32
85.3%
Q2 - 10:34MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)25
13.6%
32
86.4%
Q2 - 10:35PHIMISS Holmes 3' Hook Shot25
14.1%
32
85.9%
Q2 - 10:48PHIHolmes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
15.1%
32
84.9%
Q2 - 10:50PHIMISS Thompson 3PT Jump Shot25
14.1%
32
85.9%
Q2 - 11:18MIADragic 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)25
15.0%
32
85.0%
Q2 - 11:23PHIWinslow STEAL (1 STL)25
16.3%
30
83.7%
Q2 - 11:36PHICovington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
17.7%
30
82.3%
Q2 - 11:38MIAMISS Richardson 10' Jump Shot25
17.3%
30
82.7%
Q2 - 11:46MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
16.3%
30
83.7%
Q2 - 11:47PHIDeng BLOCK (1 BLK)25
16.7%
30
83.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHI25
17.7%
30
82.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHI76ers Rebound25
17.7%
30
82.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHIMISS Holmes 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
16.7%
30
83.3%
Q1 - 0:10.0PHICovington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
17.5%
30
82.5%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup25
17.2%
30
82.8%
Q1 - 0:24.0PHICovington Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)25
16.5%
30
83.5%
Q1 - 0:25.0PHICovington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
14.9%
30
85.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0PHIMISS Covington 4' Driving Layup23
14.3%
30
85.7%
Q1 - 0:35.0PHI76ers Rebound23
14.9%
30
85.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0PHIWhiteside BLOCK (4 BLK)23
14.3%
30
85.7%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)23
14.9%
30
85.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 223
15.4%
29
84.6%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
15.2%
29
84.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Deng 22' Jump Shot23
15.9%
29
84.1%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
15.2%
29
84.8%
Q1 - 0:57.0PHIMISS Covington 16' Turnaround Jump Shot23
15.5%
29
84.5%
Q1 - 1:25MIARichardson Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)23
16.2%
29
83.8%
Q1 - 1:27MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
17.9%
27
82.1%
Q1 - 1:28PHIMISS Covington 4' Driving Layup23
18.2%
27
81.8%
Q1 - 1:45MIADragic 3' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)23
18.9%
27
81.1%
Q1 - 2:05PHIGrant Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)23
20.7%
25
79.3%
Q1 - 2:11MIAWhiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)21
19.1%
25
80.9%
Q1 - 2:23MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
17.8%
25
82.2%
Q1 - 2:24PHIWhiteside BLOCK (3 BLK)21
18.2%
25
81.8%
Q1 - 2:50MIAWinslow 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
19.1%
25
80.9%
Q1 - 3:07MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
20.4%
23
79.6%
Q1 - 3:08PHIMISS Grant 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup21
20.9%
23
79.1%
Q1 - 3:13PHICanaan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
22.0%
23
78.0%
Q1 - 3:14MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper21
21.5%
23
78.5%
Q1 - 3:21PHIWade STEAL (2 STL)21
20.4%
23
79.6%
Q1 - 3:24MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)21
22.0%
23
78.0%
Q1 - 3:28PHIWade STEAL (1 STL)21
20.4%
23
79.6%
Q1 - 3:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)21
22.0%
23
78.0%
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 221
22.3%
22
77.7%
Q1 - 3:54MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
21.9%
22
78.1%
Q1 - 3:55PHIMISS Canaan 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
22.4%
22
77.6%
Q1 - 4:01PHIGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
23.4%
22
76.6%
Q1 - 4:02PHIMISS Landry Free Throw 1 of 121
21.9%
22
78.1%
Q1 - 4:10PHILandry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)19
20.4%
22
79.6%
Q1 - 4:11PHIMISS Smith 25' 3PT Floating Jump Shot19
19.3%
22
80.7%
Q1 - 4:22MIAJohnson 6' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)19
20.4%
22
79.6%
Q1 - 4:37MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
21.7%
20
78.3%
Q1 - 4:38PHIMISS Thompson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot19
22.2%
20
77.8%
Q1 - 4:54MIAWhiteside 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)19
23.4%
20
76.6%
Q1 - 5:18PHICanaan 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)19
24.5%
18
75.5%
Q1 - 5:23PHIGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
21.7%
18
78.3%
Q1 - 5:24PHIMISS Landry Free Throw 1 of 116
20.4%
18
79.6%
Q1 - 5:33MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)14
19.0%
18
81.0%
Q1 - 5:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
20.2%
16
79.8%
Q1 - 5:52PHIWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)14
20.6%
16
79.4%
Q1 - 6:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
21.5%
16
78.5%
Q1 - 6:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
21.8%
15
78.2%
Q1 - 6:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
22.8%
14
77.2%
Q1 - 6:16PHIMISS Landry 20' Jump Shot14
23.2%
14
76.8%
Q1 - 6:33MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)14
24.3%
14
75.7%
Q1 - 6:40MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
27.3%
11
72.7%
Q1 - 6:41PHIWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)14
27.8%
11
72.2%
Q1 - 6:59MIAWhiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)14
29.0%
11
71.0%
Q1 - 7:10PHISmith 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)14
26.8%
11
73.2%
Q1 - 7:24MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
25.6%
11
74.4%
Q1 - 7:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
25.9%
10
74.1%
Q1 - 7:39PHISmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)12
26.8%
9
73.2%
Q1 - 7:39PHIMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 211
26.4%
9
73.6%
Q1 - 7:43MIADragic 3' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)11
27.1%
9
72.9%
Q1 - 7:44MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
28.3%
7
71.7%
Q1 - 7:45MIAMISS Dragic 12' Jump Bank Shot11
29.6%
7
70.4%
Q1 - 7:57PHIThompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Covington 2 AST)11
28.4%
7
71.6%
Q1 - 8:07PHIGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
25.2%
7
74.8%
Q1 - 8:08MIAMISS Johnson 9' Floating Jump Shot8
24.8%
7
75.2%
Q1 - 8:22PHILandry 1' Layup (6 PTS)8
23.7%
7
76.3%
Q1 - 8:26PHILandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
22.5%
7
77.5%
Q1 - 8:27PHIMISS Thompson 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
21.5%
7
78.5%
Q1 - 8:42MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)6
22.5%
7
77.5%
Q1 - 9:01PHISmith 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
20.8%
7
79.2%
Q1 - 9:24MIAJohnson 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
19.9%
7
80.1%
Q1 - 9:36MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
20.9%
5
79.1%
Q1 - 9:37PHIMISS Covington 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
21.3%
5
78.7%
Q1 - 9:50PHISmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
22.4%
5
77.6%
Q1 - 9:51MIAMISS Stoudemire 2' Layup4
21.9%
5
78.1%
Q1 - 10:15PHILandry 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Covington 1 AST)4
20.9%
5
79.1%
Q1 - 10:33MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)2
19.9%
5
80.1%
Q1 - 10:49MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.2%
2
77.8%
Q1 - 10:50PHIMISS Landry 11' Turnaround Jump Shot2
22.6%
2
77.4%
Q1 - 11:02PHISmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
23.2%
2
76.8%
Q1 - 11:03MIAMISS Stoudemire 18' Jump Shot2
22.9%
2
77.1%
Q1 - 11:17PHILandry 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)2
22.1%
2
77.9%
Q1 - 11:35MIAJohnson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
20.8%
2
79.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Stoudemire vs. Grant: Tip to Dragic0
22.1%
0
77.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
1.04 52.1%
MIA
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHI
20
35
57%
MIA
14
32
44%
Midrange
PHI
6
19
32%
MIA
14
35
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHI
11
16.5
31
35%
53%
MIA
8
12.0
14
57%
86%
Free Throws
PHI
13
22
59%
MIA
23
30
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
I. Smith2175%10.5 / 14
C. Landry1850%9.0 / 18
I. Canaan1757%8.5 / 15
H. Thompson1657%8.0 / 14
R. Covington941%4.5 / 11
R. Holmes744%3.5 / 8
J. Grant638%3.0 / 8
T. McConnell450%2.0 / 4
E. Brand0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2372%11.5 / 16
D. Wade2352%11.5 / 22
J. Johnson1464%7.0 / 11
H. Whiteside1444%7.0 / 16
L. Deng1250%6.0 / 12
J. Richardson770%3.5 / 5
J. Winslow660%3.0 / 5
A. Stoudemire217%1.0 / 6
G. Green233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHI
80
+14
-11
94
MIA
79
+20
-12
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
1.04 52.1%
MIA
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.5
106.0
PHI 107.7
MIA 113.2 +5.5
Pace
97.4
93.7
PHI 93.0 +3.9
MIA 89.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
16.0
PHI 15.5 +0.7
MIA 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.7%
50.8%
PHI 50.0% +0.6%
MIA 49.4%
TO %
15.9%
14.0%
PHI 10.4% +1.7%
MIA 12.1%
ORB %
20.8%
23.9%
PHI 24.0%
MIA 31.7% +7.7%
FTrt
26.9
28.2
PHI 25.9
MIA 37.0 +11.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
54.3%
PHI 54.1% +9.7%
MIA 44.4%
STL %
8.5%
7.2%
PHI 5.5%
MIA 7.7% +2.2%
BLK %
9.5%
10.3%
PHI 10.4%
MIA 18.5% +8.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
52.8%
PHI 52.1% +0.6%
MIA 51.5%
Rim FG%
56.3%
62.3%
PHI 57.1% +13.3%
MIA 43.8%
Mid FG%
35.8%
40.5%
PHI 31.6%
MIA 40.0% +8.4%
3P %
33.9%
33.6%
PHI 35.5%
MIA 57.1% +21.6%
FT %
69.4%
74.4%
PHI 59.1%
MIA 76.7% +17.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.7%
37.0%
PHI 41.2% +1.7%
MIA 39.5%
Mid Att. %
28.6%
40.9%
PHI 22.4% +20.9%
MIA 43.2%
3P Att. %
32.7%
22.1%
PHI 36.5% +19.2%
MIA 17.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.28 and 2.28.
Game TotalsPHIMIA
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points98103
Rebounds4051
Assists2016
Steals57
Blocks710
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)13 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (0)38 (1)
Field Goals37-8536-81
At-the-Rim FG20-3514-32
Midrange FG6-1914-35
2-Point FG26-5428-67
3-Point FG11-318-14
Free Throws13-2223-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 175 · 28
38.1
21
75%
4
5
1
0
3
0
0
4
3-6
50%
6-8
75%
2-4
50%
F · 6'7" 210 · 22
37.5
6
38%
8
2
0
2
1
4
2
6
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 206 · 25
37.2
16
57%
4
0
0
0
2
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
4-9
44%
G · 6'9" 225 · 25
34.5
9
41%
9
4
1
2
2
6
2
7
2-3
67%
2-6
33%
1-4
25%
C · 6'9" 248 · 32
26.2
18
50%
7
0
1
0
0
3
5
2
2-6
33%
8-16
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 200 · 25
32.9
17
57%
3
4
0
0
0
5
1
2
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
4-12
33%
F · 6'9" 235 · 22
15.2
7
44%
1
0
1
3
1
0
1
0
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
12.5
4
50%
2
3
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 254 · 37
6.0
0
0%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 220 · 22
C · 6'11" 260 · 20
G · 6'4" 200 · 25
F · 6'9" 214 · 20
#21 · C-F · 7'0" 280 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'6" 205 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
52%
40
20
5
7
11
0
12
28
13-22
59%
26-54
48%
11-31
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.