FinalWin Prob.pScore
1817%94
81
183%107
97
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
89.091105.6
SAS logo SAS
105.49280.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS81
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0DETButler STEAL (1 STL)81
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0DETBullock REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASMISS Anderson 1' Reverse Layup81
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0DETMarjanovic BLOCK (1 BLK)81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0DETMISS Hilliard 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10SASSimmons 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (A. Miller 2 AST)81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)81
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23SASMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46DETMISS Harris Free Throw 2 of 281
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)81
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50SASMISS Anderson 5' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 280
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 280
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33SASGreen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45DETMISS Jackson 2' Running Layup80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:51SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06SASSPURS Rebound80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07DETMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15SASMISS Aldridge 16' Pullup Jump Shot80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31DETMISS Harris 1' Layup80
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 3:47SASLeonard 7' Hook Shot (27 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)80
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 4:11DETDrummond Dunk (9 PTS) (Marc Morris 2 AST)80
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 4:30SASLeonard 8' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS) (Aldridge 3 AST)78
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 4:46DETMarc Morris Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)78
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 4:46DETMarc Morris Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)77
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 4:54SASAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)76
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 4:54SASAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)76
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 5:18DETMarc Morris 1' Layup (14 PTS)76
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 5:40SASAldridge 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Leonard 5 AST)74
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 6:02SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)74
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 6:03DETMISS Harris 11' Fadeaway Jumper74
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 6:18DETPistons Rebound74
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 6:18SASMISS Anderson 17' Turnaround Jump Shot74
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 6:31SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)74
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 6:32DETMISS Marc Morris 3PT Jump Shot74
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 6:43DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 6:43SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot74
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 7:20DETJackson 12' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)74
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 7:28DETPistons Rebound72
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 7:28DETAnderson BLOCK (2 BLK)72
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 7:39DETPistons Rebound72
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 7:40DETMISS Marc Morris 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 7:50SASLeonard Running Dunk (23 PTS)72
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 7:54DETLeonard STEAL (2 STL)72
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 8:08SASLeonard 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)72
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 8:31DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)72
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 8:31DETPistons Rebound72
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q4 - 8:31DETAnderson BLOCK (1 BLK)72
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q4 - 8:58SASWest 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)72
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q4 - 9:23DETHilliard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Blake 4 AST)72
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q4 - 9:32DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q4 - 9:33SASMISS Diaw 13' Jump Shot69
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q4 - 9:47DETBaynes 1' Tip Layup Shot (12 PTS)69
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q4 - 9:51DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q4 - 9:52DETMISS Marc Morris 1' Driving Reverse Layup67
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q4 - 10:11DETBullock REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q4 - 10:11SASMISS West 21' Jump Shot67
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 10:36DETBullock Free Throw 3 of 3 (7 PTS)67
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 10:36DETMISS Bullock Free Throw 2 of 366
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 10:36DETBullock Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)66
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 10:58SASMills 19' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (A. Miller 1 AST)65
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q4 - 11:19SASA. Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q4 - 11:21DETGreen BLOCK (2 BLK)65
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q4 - 11:32DETPistons Rebound65
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 11:32DETMISS Hilliard 5' Floating Jump Shot65
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q4 - 11:44DETPistons Rebound65
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 11:44SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS65
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)65
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q3 - 0:08.0SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)62
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q3 - 0:08.0SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)62
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q3 - 0:25.0DETAnderson STEAL (1 STL)62
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 0:34.0DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q3 - 0:35.0SASMISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot62
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q3 - 0:51.0SASA. Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)62
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 0:51.0SASMISS Mills 20' Pullup Jump Shot62
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q3 - 1:05SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q3 - 1:06DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 262
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q3 - 1:06DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 262
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q3 - 1:06DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)62
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q3 - 1:07DETMISS Baynes 15' Jump Shot62
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q3 - 1:25SASAldridge 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Mills 7 AST)62
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q3 - 1:40SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)62
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 1:41DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot62
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 2:01SASMills 1' Running Layup (5 PTS)62
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 2:06DETMills STEAL (1 STL)62
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q3 - 2:09DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)62
3.8%
73
96.2%
Q3 - 2:10DETMISS Harris 16' Jump Shot62
3.3%
73
96.7%
Q3 - 2:17DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)62
3.8%
73
96.2%
Q3 - 2:18SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q3 - 2:35DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)62
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q3 - 2:35DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 261
3.0%
73
97.0%
Q3 - 2:42DETPistons Rebound61
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q3 - 2:42DETWest BLOCK (1 BLK)61
2.8%
73
97.2%
Q3 - 3:01SASLeonard 15' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Mills 6 AST)61
3.4%
73
96.6%
Q3 - 3:12SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)61
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q3 - 3:13DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
4.2%
71
95.8%
Q3 - 3:31DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
4.8%
71
95.2%
Q3 - 3:32SASMISS Leonard 8' Fadeaway Jumper61
4.5%
71
95.5%
Q3 - 3:51DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)61
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q3 - 3:51DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)60
3.9%
71
96.1%
Q3 - 3:54DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)59
3.4%
71
96.6%
Q3 - 3:55SASMISS West 17' Jump Shot59
3.2%
71
96.8%
Q3 - 4:21DETBaynes 1' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)59
2.9%
71
97.1%
Q3 - 4:41SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)57
2.5%
71
97.5%
Q3 - 5:00DETLeonard STEAL (1 STL)57
3.5%
68
96.5%
Q3 - 5:06DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
4.4%
68
95.6%
Q3 - 5:07SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
4.2%
68
95.8%
Q3 - 5:22DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)57
3.7%
68
96.3%
Q3 - 5:22DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 256
3.4%
68
96.6%
Q3 - 5:23DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)56
3.7%
68
96.3%
Q3 - 5:24DETMISS Jackson 1' Layup56
3.3%
68
96.7%
Q3 - 5:38DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)56
3.7%
68
96.3%
Q3 - 5:39SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot56
3.5%
68
96.5%
Q3 - 5:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)56
3.1%
68
96.9%
Q3 - 5:59SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot56
3.5%
68
96.5%
Q3 - 6:06SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)56
3.3%
68
96.7%
Q3 - 6:07DETMISS Marc Morris 16' Jump Shot56
3.4%
68
96.6%
Q3 - 6:22SASDuncan 1' Cutting Layup Shot (12 PTS) (Aldridge 2 AST)56
3.9%
68
96.1%
Q3 - 6:36SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
4.4%
66
95.6%
Q3 - 6:37DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 256
4.5%
66
95.5%
Q3 - 6:37DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 256
4.8%
66
95.2%
Q3 - 6:50SASAldridge 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Green 3 AST)56
5.2%
66
94.8%
Q3 - 7:13SASSPURS Rebound56
6.1%
64
93.9%
Q3 - 7:13DETMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
6.4%
64
93.6%
Q3 - 7:27DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
7.1%
64
92.9%
Q3 - 7:27SASMISS Aldridge 17' Pullup Jump Shot56
6.8%
64
93.2%
Q3 - 7:43DETHarris Driving Layup (15 PTS)56
6.1%
64
93.9%
Q3 - 8:02SASAldridge 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Leonard 4 AST)54
5.4%
64
94.6%
Q3 - 8:13SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
6.1%
62
93.9%
Q3 - 8:15DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 2' Layup54
6.4%
62
93.6%
Q3 - 8:19DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
7.1%
62
92.9%
Q3 - 8:20SASMISS Parker 17' Pullup Jump Shot54
6.8%
62
93.2%
Q3 - 8:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
6.1%
62
93.9%
Q3 - 8:33DETMISS Jackson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup54
6.4%
62
93.6%
Q3 - 8:44SASParker 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)54
7.1%
62
92.9%
Q3 - 8:50SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
8.0%
60
92.0%
Q3 - 8:51DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 3PT Jump Shot54
8.4%
60
91.6%
Q3 - 9:02DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
9.2%
60
90.8%
Q3 - 9:02SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
8.9%
60
91.1%
Q3 - 9:22DETDrummond Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)54
8.1%
60
91.9%
Q3 - 9:36SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Green 2 AST)54
9.2%
60
90.8%
Q3 - 9:48SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
10.5%
58
89.5%
Q3 - 9:50DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 18' Pullup Jump Shot54
10.9%
58
89.1%
Q3 - 10:04SASParker 18' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)54
11.8%
58
88.2%
Q3 - 10:27DETMarc Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)54
13.2%
56
86.8%
Q3 - 10:49SASParker 14' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)51
10.4%
56
89.6%
Q3 - 11:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
11.3%
54
88.7%
Q3 - 11:06DETMISS Drummond 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup51
11.8%
54
88.2%
Q3 - 11:25SASAldridge 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Green 1 AST)51
12.9%
54
87.1%
Q3 - 11:45SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
14.4%
52
85.6%
Q3 - 11:45DETMISS Marc Morris 16' Pullup Jump Shot51
15.0%
52
85.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS51
16.3%
52
83.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
14.4%
52
85.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Jackson 18' Step Back Jump Shot51
15.0%
52
85.0%
Q2 - 0:12.0SASLeonard 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)51
15.9%
52
84.1%
Q2 - 0:30.0DETDuncan STEAL (1 STL)51
18.3%
50
81.7%
Q2 - 0:50.0SASLeonard 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)51
19.7%
50
80.3%
Q2 - 1:08DETHarris 1' Driving Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)51
22.6%
48
77.4%
Q2 - 1:23SASAldridge 3' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)49
19.5%
48
80.5%
Q2 - 1:32DETGreen STEAL (2 STL)49
22.6%
46
77.4%
Q2 - 1:56SASDuncan 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS)49
23.8%
46
76.2%
Q2 - 2:17DETHarris 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)49
26.1%
44
73.9%
Q2 - 2:41SASLeonard 3' Running Layup (13 PTS)46
21.6%
44
78.4%
Q2 - 2:49SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
23.9%
42
76.1%
Q2 - 2:50DETMISS Jackson 8' Jump Shot46
24.5%
42
75.5%
Q2 - 3:03SASDuncan 6' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)46
25.3%
42
74.7%
Q2 - 3:15SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
27.2%
40
72.8%
Q2 - 3:16DETMISS Harris 16' Jump Shot46
28.1%
40
71.9%
Q2 - 3:31SASParker Double Dribble Turnover (P3.T7)46
30.1%
40
69.9%
Q2 - 3:49DETJackson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)46
27.3%
40
72.7%
Q2 - 4:00DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
25.4%
40
74.6%
Q2 - 4:01SASMISS Aldridge 20' Jump Shot44
23.6%
40
76.4%
Q2 - 4:16DETHarris 2' Running Layup (8 PTS)44
22.1%
40
77.9%
Q2 - 4:22SASAldridge Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)42
20.4%
40
79.6%
Q2 - 4:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
18.5%
40
81.5%
Q2 - 4:35DETMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot42
19.0%
40
81.0%
Q2 - 4:40DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
20.4%
40
79.6%
Q2 - 4:42SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
19.8%
40
80.2%
Q2 - 4:57DETDrummond Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)42
18.5%
40
81.5%
Q2 - 5:09DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
20.0%
40
80.0%
Q2 - 5:11SASMISS Leonard 20' Turnaround Jump Shot42
19.4%
40
80.6%
Q2 - 5:38DETBullock 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)42
18.2%
40
81.8%
Q2 - 5:54DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
15.2%
40
84.8%
Q2 - 5:55SASMISS Green 18' Jump Shot39
14.7%
40
85.3%
Q2 - 6:08DETBlake 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)39
13.5%
40
86.5%
Q2 - 6:18DETBullock REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
11.5%
40
88.5%
Q2 - 6:19SASMISS West 20' Jump Shot36
11.1%
40
88.9%
Q2 - 6:39DETDrummond 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Marc Morris 1 AST)36
10.2%
40
89.8%
Q2 - 6:46DETBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
9.5%
40
90.5%
Q2 - 6:47SASMISS Diaw 19' Jump Shot34
9.1%
40
90.9%
Q2 - 7:08DETBlake Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T6)34
8.5%
40
91.5%
Q2 - 7:19SASWest 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Mills 5 AST)34
9.4%
40
90.6%
Q2 - 7:28SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
10.3%
38
89.7%
Q2 - 7:29DETMISS Marc Morris 19' Pullup Jump Shot34
10.6%
38
89.4%
Q2 - 7:43SASAnderson 15' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)34
11.4%
38
88.6%
Q2 - 7:52SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
12.4%
36
87.6%
Q2 - 7:53DETMISS Hilliard 3PT Jump Shot34
12.8%
36
87.2%
Q2 - 8:09SASDiaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mills 4 AST)34
13.6%
36
86.4%
Q2 - 8:23DETBaynes 5' Hook Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Hilliard 1 AST)34
16.1%
33
83.9%
Q2 - 8:42SASDiaw 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)32
14.8%
33
85.2%
Q2 - 8:58SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
16.1%
31
83.9%
Q2 - 8:59DETMISS Blake 20' Pullup Jump Shot32
16.5%
31
83.5%
Q2 - 9:13SASAnderson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)32
17.2%
31
82.8%
Q2 - 9:26DETMarc Morris Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)32
20.0%
28
80.0%
Q2 - 9:30DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
21.9%
28
78.1%
Q2 - 9:31SASMISS West 7' Running Jump Shot32
21.3%
28
78.7%
Q2 - 9:49DETBaynes Foul Turnover (P1.T4)32
20.0%
28
80.0%
Q2 - 9:52DETHilliard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
21.9%
28
78.1%
Q2 - 9:53SASMISS West 15' Jump Shot32
21.3%
28
78.7%
Q2 - 10:13DETMarc Morris 17' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)32
20.1%
28
79.9%
Q2 - 10:29SASWest Foul Turnover (P1.T5)30
18.9%
28
81.1%
Q2 - 10:44DETBaynes Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
17.1%
28
82.9%
Q2 - 10:44DETBaynes Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
16.8%
28
83.2%
Q2 - 10:51DETBullock REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
16.0%
28
84.0%
Q2 - 10:52SASMISS Mills 18' Pullup Jump Shot28
15.5%
28
84.5%
Q2 - 11:06DETMarc Morris Driving Dunk (7 PTS)28
14.4%
28
85.6%
Q2 - 11:29DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
13.3%
28
86.7%
Q2 - 11:30SASMISS Anderson 14' Jump Shot26
13.0%
28
87.0%
Q2 - 11:42SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
12.2%
28
87.8%
Q2 - 11:44DETMISS Marc Morris 17' Pullup Jump Shot26
12.6%
28
87.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET26
13.4%
28
86.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound26
13.4%
28
86.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 37' 3PT Running Jump Shot26
12.6%
28
87.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASLeonard 17' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)26
13.1%
28
86.9%
Q1 - 0:16.0DETBullock 14' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Baynes 1 AST)26
14.5%
26
85.5%
Q1 - 0:32.0DETBullock REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
13.1%
26
86.9%
Q1 - 0:33.0SASMISS Mills 20' Pullup Jump Shot24
12.8%
26
87.2%
Q1 - 0:53.0DETBaynes 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)24
12.3%
26
87.7%
Q1 - 1:02DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
11.0%
26
89.0%
Q1 - 1:03SASMISS Leonard 15' Turnaround Jump Shot22
10.8%
26
89.2%
Q1 - 1:12SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
10.4%
26
89.6%
Q1 - 1:14DETMISS Baynes 1' Layup22
10.6%
26
89.4%
Q1 - 1:22DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
11.0%
26
89.0%
Q1 - 1:23SASMISS Aldridge 15' Jump Shot22
10.8%
26
89.2%
Q1 - 1:36DETHarris 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)22
10.4%
26
89.6%
Q1 - 1:53SASAldridge 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
9.3%
26
90.7%
Q1 - 2:06SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
10.3%
24
89.7%
Q1 - 2:07DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 17' Step Back Jump Shot20
10.6%
24
89.4%
Q1 - 2:27SASLeonard 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)20
11.1%
24
88.9%
Q1 - 2:48DETHarris 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 3 AST)20
12.1%
22
87.9%
Q1 - 3:08SASMills 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)18
11.1%
22
88.9%
Q1 - 3:26SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
12.8%
19
87.2%
Q1 - 3:27DETMISS Harris 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup18
13.2%
19
86.8%
Q1 - 3:35DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
14.0%
19
86.0%
Q1 - 3:36SASMISS Mills 17' Pullup Jump Shot18
13.6%
19
86.4%
Q1 - 3:51DETBaynes 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 2 AST)18
12.9%
19
87.1%
Q1 - 4:01DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
11.8%
19
88.2%
Q1 - 4:02SASMISS Leonard 10' Turnaround Jump Shot16
11.5%
19
88.5%
Q1 - 4:15DETGreen STEAL (1 STL)16
10.8%
19
89.2%
Q1 - 4:27SASAldridge 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)16
11.9%
19
88.1%
Q1 - 4:41DETJackson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)16
12.6%
17
87.4%
Q1 - 4:49SASAldridge 21' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)14
11.9%
17
88.1%
Q1 - 5:05DETMarc Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)14
12.5%
15
87.5%
Q1 - 5:30SASLeonard 11' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)11
10.9%
15
89.1%
Q1 - 5:42SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
11.6%
13
88.4%
Q1 - 5:43DETMISS Marc Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
11.9%
13
88.1%
Q1 - 5:53DETJackson Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)11
12.6%
13
87.4%
Q1 - 6:08SASParker 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)10
11.6%
13
88.4%
Q1 - 6:15SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
12.4%
11
87.6%
Q1 - 6:17DETMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
12.6%
11
87.4%
Q1 - 6:29DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
13.3%
11
86.7%
Q1 - 6:30SASMISS Duncan 3' Jump Bank Shot10
13.0%
11
87.0%
Q1 - 6:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
12.4%
11
87.6%
Q1 - 6:47SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
13.0%
11
87.0%
Q1 - 7:09DETMarc Morris Dunk (2 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 1 AST)10
12.1%
11
87.9%
Q1 - 7:14SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)8
11.5%
11
88.5%
Q1 - 7:20SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
10.6%
11
89.4%
Q1 - 7:21DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 17' Pullup Jump Shot8
10.9%
11
89.1%
Q1 - 7:39SASLeonard 18' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)8
11.5%
11
88.5%
Q1 - 7:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
12.1%
9
87.9%
Q1 - 7:49DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 15' Pullup Jump Shot8
12.4%
9
87.6%
Q1 - 8:04SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)8
12.8%
9
87.2%
Q1 - 8:17SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
11.9%
9
88.1%
Q1 - 8:18DETMISS Harris 20' Jump Shot8
12.2%
9
87.8%
Q1 - 8:31SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
12.8%
9
87.2%
Q1 - 8:31SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
13.0%
8
87.0%
Q1 - 8:39DETDrummond 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)8
13.6%
7
86.4%
Q1 - 8:48DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
12.8%
7
87.2%
Q1 - 8:49SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot6
12.5%
7
87.5%
Q1 - 9:08DETJackson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T2)6
11.7%
7
88.3%
Q1 - 9:15DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
12.7%
7
87.3%
Q1 - 9:16SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 16
12.6%
7
87.4%
Q1 - 9:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
13.4%
5
86.6%
Q1 - 9:25DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
14.5%
5
85.5%
Q1 - 9:25DETMISS Harris 1' Layup6
13.7%
5
86.3%
Q1 - 9:27DETGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)6
13.7%
5
86.3%
Q1 - 9:43SASAldridge Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
14.5%
5
85.5%
Q1 - 9:58DETMarc Morris Foul Turnover (P1.T1)6
13.4%
5
86.6%
Q1 - 10:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
14.4%
5
85.6%
Q1 - 10:09SASDuncan 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)6
14.4%
5
85.6%
Q1 - 10:11SASMISS Aldridge 1' Driving Layup6
16.0%
3
84.0%
Q1 - 10:31DETHarris 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)6
15.2%
3
84.8%
Q1 - 10:41SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
14.4%
3
85.6%
Q1 - 10:55DETJackson 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
13.4%
3
86.6%
Q1 - 11:01DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
12.4%
3
87.6%
Q1 - 11:02DETMISS Jackson 1' Layup2
11.9%
3
88.1%
Q1 - 11:19SASLeonard 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
12.4%
3
87.6%
Q1 - 11:37DETDrummond Dunk (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)2
14.1%
0
85.9%
Q1 - 11:42DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.3%
0
86.7%
Q1 - 11:43SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup0
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Drummond: Tip to Parker0
12.5%
0
87.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.90 45.0%
SAS
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
17
32
53%
SAS
16
21
76%
Midrange
DET
8
27
30%
SAS
24
49
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
SAS
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
Free Throws
DET
13
23
57%
SAS
8
9
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Harris1647%8.0 / 17
M. Morris1650%8.0 / 16
A. Baynes1267%6.0 / 9
R. Jackson1139%5.5 / 14
A. Drummond945%4.5 / 10
R. Bullock7117%3.5 / 3
K. Caldwell-Pope418%2.0 / 11
S. Blake338%1.5 / 4
D. Hilliard338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2761%13.5 / 22
L. Aldridge2368%11.5 / 17
T. Duncan1267%6.0 / 9
T. Parker1063%5.0 / 8
K. Anderson750%3.5 / 7
P. Mills744%3.5 / 8
B. Diaw563%2.5 / 4
D. West429%2.0 / 7
J. Simmons2100%1.0 / 1
D. Green0-0.0 / 3
R. Butler0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
76
+13
-15
89
SAS
84
+5
-8
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.90 45.0%
SAS
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
110.2
DET 89.0 +16.4
SAS 105.4
Pace
95.3
94.0
DET 105.6 +24.8
SAS 80.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.2
DET 13.6 +4.2
SAS 17.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
52.6%
DET 43.6%
SAS 53.0% +9.4%
TO %
13.5%
13.3%
DET 15.4%
SAS 8.3% +7.1%
ORB %
27.0%
22.9%
DET 16.3% +3.8%
SAS 12.5%
FTrt
29.6
24.6
DET 29.5 +18.8
SAS 10.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.2%
61.1%
DET 61.3% +3.2%
SAS 58.1%
STL %
7.3%
8.8%
DET 3.3%
SAS 8.7% +5.4%
BLK %
5.8%
9.6%
DET 1.4%
SAS 10.2% +8.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
54.9%
DET 45.0%
SAS 53.9% +8.9%
Rim FG%
55.8%
62.8%
DET 53.1%
SAS 76.2% +23.1%
Mid FG%
39.7%
43.2%
DET 29.6%
SAS 49.0% +19.4%
3P %
34.5%
37.5%
DET 31.6% +10.2%
SAS 21.4%
FT %
66.8%
80.3%
DET 56.5%
SAS 88.9% +32.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.0%
32.7%
DET 41.0% +16.0%
SAS 25.0%
Mid Att. %
33.7%
44.9%
DET 34.6% +23.7%
SAS 58.3%
3P Att. %
30.3%
22.3%
DET 24.4% +7.7%
SAS 16.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.56 and 2.56.
Game TotalsDETSAS
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes20.727.3
Points8197
Rebounds4241
Assists1925
Steals38
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (6)5 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)36 (2)
Field Goals31-7843-84
At-the-Rim FG17-3216-21
Midrange FG8-2724-49
2-Point FG25-5940-70
3-Point FG6-193-14
Free Throws13-238-9
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 226 · 24
38.1
16
47%
6
4
0
0
1
1
1
5
1-2
50%
6-14
43%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 204 · 23
36.1
4
18%
2
3
1
0
1
1
0
2
2-3
67%
1-6
17%
0-4
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
32.3
16
50%
4
2
0
0
2
2
0
4
2-2
100%
4-10
40%
2-5
40%
G · 6'3" 208 · 26
30.7
11
39%
3
3
1
0
4
0
0
3
3-3
100%
4-11
36%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 279 · 23
26.7
9
45%
14
1
1
1
3
4
4
10
1-8
13%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 260 · 29
26.0
12
67%
6
1
0
0
2
3
2
4
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25
21.1
7
117%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
2-3
67%
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
G · 6'3" 172 · 36
17.3
3
38%
1
4
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'6" 220 · 23
11.6
3
38%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
F · 6'7" 245 · 20
F · 6'10" 225 · 27
F · 6'8" 240 · 31
C · 6'9" 245 · 34
#20 · G · 6'4" 210 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'5" 215 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
45%
42
19
3
1
15
0
7
35
13-23
57%
25-59
42%
6-19
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.