FinalWin Prob.pScore
1419%102
105
181%114
109
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
104.010192.6
GSW logo GSW
105.810392.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WarriorsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

WarriorsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLGSW
OT1 - 0:00.0GSW105
0%
109
100%
OT1 - 0:06.0GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)105
0.3%
109
99.7%
OT1 - 0:07.0ATLMISS Schroder 29' 3PT Jump Shot105
0.5%
109
99.5%
OT1 - 0:11.0GSWThompson 7' Step Back Jump Shot (26 PTS)105
1.9%
109
98.1%
OT1 - 0:33.0ATLSchroder Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)105
6.0%
107
94.0%
OT1 - 0:33.0ATLSchroder Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)104
5.2%
107
94.8%
OT1 - 0:40.0GSWGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)103
4.3%
107
95.7%
OT1 - 1:05ATLMillsap 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Schroder 9 AST)103
16.7%
104
83.3%
OT1 - 1:19ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)101
11.3%
104
88.7%
OT1 - 1:20GSWMISS Barnes 3PT Pullup Jump Shot101
9.5%
104
90.5%
OT1 - 1:38GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)101
7.1%
104
92.9%
OT1 - 1:40ATLMISS Schroder Free Throw 2 of 2101
7.8%
104
92.2%
OT1 - 1:40ATLMISS Schroder Free Throw 1 of 2101
10.6%
104
89.4%
OT1 - 1:51GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)101
12.1%
104
87.9%
OT1 - 1:51GSWBogut 1' Putback Layup (19 PTS)101
12.1%
104
87.9%
OT1 - 1:51GSWMISS Green 11' Floating Jump Shot101
23.8%
102
76.2%
OT1 - 2:14GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)101
17.5%
102
82.5%
OT1 - 2:14ATLMISS Schroder 18' Jump Shot101
20.4%
102
79.6%
OT1 - 2:24ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)101
28.7%
102
71.3%
OT1 - 2:27GSWMISS Thompson 17' Fadeaway Jumper101
24.8%
102
75.2%
OT1 - 2:37ATLLivingston STEAL (2 STL)101
17.4%
102
82.6%
OT1 - 2:54GSWThompson 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)101
28.6%
102
71.4%
OT1 - 3:10ATLBazemore Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)101
44.8%
99
55.2%
OT1 - 3:10ATLBazemore Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)100
42.4%
99
57.6%
OT1 - 3:15GSWGreen Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T13)99
38.4%
99
61.6%
OT1 - 3:31ATLBazemore 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Schroder 8 AST)99
26.4%
99
73.6%
OT1 - 3:56GSWThompson Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)97
20.3%
99
79.7%
OT1 - 3:56GSWThompson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)97
21.1%
98
78.9%
OT1 - 4:07GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)97
26.4%
97
73.6%
OT1 - 4:08ATLMISS Millsap 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
28.9%
97
71.1%
OT1 - 4:18ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)97
35.2%
97
64.8%
OT1 - 4:19GSWMISS Thompson 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
32.4%
97
67.6%
OT1 - 4:34GSWLivingston REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)97
26.4%
97
73.6%
OT1 - 4:35ATLMISS Horford 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
29.0%
97
71.0%
OT1 - 5:00GSWJump Ball Bogut vs. Horford: Tip to Millsap97
35.3%
97
64.7%
Q4 - 0:04.0GSWMISS Thompson 12' Fadeaway Jumper97
51.4%
97
48.6%
Q4 - 0:23.0GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)97
24.5%
97
75.5%
Q4 - 0:24.0ATLMISS Millsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
31.0%
97
69.0%
Q4 - 0:47.0GSWThompson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)97
44.6%
97
55.4%
Q4 - 0:47.0GSWThompson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)97
46.7%
96
53.3%
Q4 - 1:00ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)97
57.0%
95
43.0%
Q4 - 1:00ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)96
53.7%
95
46.3%
Q4 - 1:14ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)95
41.4%
95
58.6%
Q4 - 1:15GSWMISS Thompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
36.5%
95
63.5%
Q4 - 1:22ATLSchroder 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS)95
26.3%
95
73.7%
Q4 - 1:30GSWGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)93
18.5%
95
81.5%
Q4 - 1:45ATLKorver 28' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Millsap 4 AST)93
11.7%
95
88.3%
Q4 - 2:01GSWThompson 4' Driving Layup (17 PTS)90
5.7%
95
94.3%
Q4 - 2:20GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)90
7.7%
93
92.3%
Q4 - 2:20GSWMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 290
12.7%
93
87.3%
Q4 - 2:20GSWBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)90
10.8%
93
89.2%
Q4 - 2:20GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
11.7%
92
88.3%
Q4 - 2:20GSWMISS Livingston 14' Fadeaway Jumper90
17.2%
92
82.8%
Q4 - 2:32GSWWARRIORS Rebound90
11.7%
92
88.3%
Q4 - 2:32ATLMISS Horford 9' Jump Shot90
13.9%
92
86.1%
Q4 - 2:46ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)90
20.4%
92
79.6%
Q4 - 2:47GSWMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
17.3%
92
82.7%
Q4 - 3:05GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
12.9%
92
87.1%
Q4 - 3:06ATLMISS Millsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
15.0%
92
85.0%
Q4 - 3:14GSWBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)90
21.0%
92
79.0%
Q4 - 3:14GSWBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)90
24.1%
91
75.9%
Q4 - 3:22GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)90
25.6%
90
74.4%
Q4 - 3:23ATLMISS Schroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
29.2%
90
70.8%
Q4 - 3:35ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)90
34.7%
90
65.3%
Q4 - 3:36ATLMISS Bazemore 7' Hook Shot90
28.8%
90
71.2%
Q4 - 4:00ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
35.0%
90
65.0%
Q4 - 4:01GSWMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
32.3%
90
67.7%
Q4 - 4:12GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)90
26.4%
90
73.6%
Q4 - 4:14ATLGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)90
28.9%
90
71.1%
Q4 - 4:18ATLHardaway Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
35.2%
90
64.8%
Q4 - 4:19GSWMISS Barbosa 15' Jump Shot90
32.4%
90
67.6%
Q4 - 4:40GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)90
26.4%
90
73.6%
Q4 - 4:41ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot90
29.0%
90
71.0%
Q4 - 4:55GSWGreen Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)90
35.3%
90
64.7%
Q4 - 5:17ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P3.T16)90
48.1%
87
51.9%
Q4 - 5:33GSWWARRIORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)90
57.1%
87
42.9%
Q4 - 5:33GSWWARRIORS Rebound90
48.2%
87
51.8%
Q4 - 5:34GSWMISS Thompson 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot90
54.4%
87
45.6%
Q4 - 5:59ATLHorford Running Dunk (17 PTS) (Schroder 7 AST)90
48.4%
87
51.6%
Q4 - 6:03ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
37.9%
87
62.1%
Q4 - 6:04GSWMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
35.5%
87
64.5%
Q4 - 6:20GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)88
30.3%
87
69.7%
Q4 - 6:20ATLMISS Horford 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
32.6%
87
67.4%
Q4 - 6:30ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
38.0%
87
62.0%
Q4 - 6:30GSWMISS Thompson 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
35.6%
87
64.4%
Q4 - 6:34GSWWARRIORS Rebound88
30.4%
87
69.6%
Q4 - 6:34GSWMISS Barnes 12' Jump Shot88
35.6%
87
64.4%
Q4 - 6:58ATLHardaway Jr. 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)88
30.4%
87
69.6%
Q4 - 7:12GSWBarnes Foul Turnover (P2.T10)86
23.9%
87
76.1%
Q4 - 7:25ATLBazemore 3' Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)86
18.8%
87
81.2%
Q4 - 7:37ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)84
15.3%
87
84.7%
Q4 - 7:38GSWMISS Speights 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot84
14.1%
87
85.9%
Q4 - 8:01ATLHardaway Jr. 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Schroder 6 AST)84
12.7%
87
87.3%
Q4 - 8:24GSWLivingston 1' Layup (6 PTS)81
7.9%
87
92.1%
Q4 - 8:37ATLHorford Driving Dunk (15 PTS) (Bazemore 1 AST)81
10.0%
85
90.0%
Q4 - 8:47ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)79
7.9%
85
92.1%
Q4 - 8:48GSWMISS Barbosa 3PT Jump Shot79
7.3%
85
92.7%
Q4 - 9:02ATLSchroder Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)79
6.8%
85
93.2%
Q4 - 9:02ATLSchroder Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)78
6.5%
85
93.5%
Q4 - 9:11GSWSpeights 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Rush 2 AST)77
5.5%
85
94.5%
Q4 - 9:27ATLBazemore 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)77
8.5%
82
91.5%
Q4 - 9:42ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
6.8%
82
93.2%
Q4 - 9:42GSWMISS Barbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
6.4%
82
93.6%
Q4 - 9:56ATLBarbosa STEAL (1 STL)75
5.4%
82
94.6%
Q4 - 10:11GSWSpeights 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Livingston 3 AST)75
7.2%
82
92.8%
Q4 - 10:21ATLHorford 8' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Schroder 5 AST)75
10.8%
79
89.2%
Q4 - 10:38GSWBarnes 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Barbosa 2 AST)73
8.9%
79
91.1%
Q4 - 10:53ATLHardaway Jr. Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)73
10.8%
77
89.2%
Q4 - 10:53ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. Free Throw 1 of 272
10.4%
77
89.6%
Q4 - 11:12GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)72
11.3%
77
88.7%
Q4 - 11:12GSWBarnes 3' Putback Layup (10 PTS)72
11.3%
77
88.7%
Q4 - 11:14GSWMISS Speights 3' Turnaround Hook Shot72
15.5%
75
84.5%
Q4 - 11:31GSWWARRIORS Rebound72
13.6%
75
86.4%
Q4 - 11:32GSWMISS Speights 3' Driving Layup72
15.5%
75
84.5%
Q4 - 11:50ATLSchroder 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)72
13.6%
75
86.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL70
11.3%
75
88.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSWBarbosa 19' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Speights 1 AST)70
11.3%
75
88.7%
Q3 - 0:08.0ATLSchroder Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T14)70
13.8%
73
86.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0ATLHawks Rebound70
16.4%
73
83.6%
Q3 - 0:31.0GSWMISS Speights 2' Layup70
15.6%
73
84.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0GSWSpeights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
13.8%
73
86.2%
Q3 - 0:34.0GSWMISS Rush 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
15.6%
73
84.4%
Q3 - 0:56.0ATLSchroder Foul Turnover (P2.T13)70
13.8%
73
86.2%
Q3 - 1:07ATLHawks Rebound70
16.4%
73
83.6%
Q3 - 1:10GSWMISS Green Driving Dunk70
15.5%
73
84.5%
Q3 - 1:27GSWRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
13.8%
73
86.2%
Q3 - 1:28GSWMISS Thompson 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
15.5%
73
84.5%
Q3 - 1:52ATLMillsap 7' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)70
13.8%
73
86.2%
Q3 - 2:09GSWThompson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)68
11.7%
73
88.3%
Q3 - 2:29ATLSchroder 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Millsap 3 AST)68
9.8%
73
90.2%
Q3 - 2:40GSWClark Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)65
7.1%
73
92.9%
Q3 - 2:57ATLScott 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Schroder 4 AST)65
5.9%
73
94.1%
Q3 - 3:12GSWMcAdoo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)62
4.5%
73
95.5%
Q3 - 3:12GSWMcAdoo Putback Dunk (2 PTS)62
4.5%
73
95.5%
Q3 - 3:14GSWMISS Clark 3PT Jump Shot62
5.9%
71
94.1%
Q3 - 3:29GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
5.2%
71
94.8%
Q3 - 3:30ATLMISS Scott 3PT Jump Shot62
5.5%
71
94.5%
Q3 - 3:45ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
6.2%
71
93.8%
Q3 - 3:47GSWMISS McAdoo 4' Jump Shot62
5.9%
71
94.1%
Q3 - 4:07ATLMillsap Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)62
5.3%
71
94.7%
Q3 - 4:28GSWMcAdoo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)62
6.4%
71
93.6%
Q3 - 4:29GSWMcAdoo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)62
5.3%
71
94.7%
Q3 - 4:31GSWMISS Clark 3' Layup62
6.1%
71
93.9%
Q3 - 4:36GSWClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
5.3%
71
94.7%
Q3 - 4:36ATLMISS Millsap 11' Jump Shot62
5.6%
71
94.4%
Q3 - 4:59ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
6.4%
71
93.6%
Q3 - 5:00GSWMISS Thompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
6.1%
71
93.9%
Q3 - 5:11ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)62
5.6%
71
94.4%
Q3 - 5:11ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)61
5.4%
71
94.6%
Q3 - 5:21GSWBarnes 2' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Thompson 5 AST)60
4.8%
71
95.2%
Q3 - 5:26ATLThompson STEAL (1 STL)60
5.6%
69
94.4%
Q3 - 5:39GSWGreen Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T6)60
6.6%
69
93.4%
Q3 - 5:51ATLGreen STEAL (4 STL)60
5.6%
69
94.4%
Q3 - 6:07GSWBogut Cutting Dunk Shot (14 PTS) (Livingston 2 AST)60
6.8%
69
93.2%
Q3 - 6:20ATLHorford 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)60
7.7%
67
92.3%
Q3 - 6:37GSWBogut Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Thompson 4 AST)58
6.7%
67
93.3%
Q3 - 6:51GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
7.7%
65
92.3%
Q3 - 6:53ATLMISS Millsap 3PT Jump Shot58
8.1%
65
91.9%
Q3 - 7:04ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
9.1%
65
90.9%
Q3 - 7:04GSWMISS Green 27' 3PT Jump Shot58
8.7%
65
91.3%
Q3 - 7:13GSWLivingston REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
7.8%
65
92.2%
Q3 - 7:14ATLMISS Bazemore 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
8.2%
65
91.8%
Q3 - 7:21ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)58
9.1%
65
90.9%
Q3 - 7:22ATLBogut BLOCK (1 BLK)58
8.2%
65
91.8%
Q3 - 7:32ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
9.1%
65
90.9%
Q3 - 7:33GSWMISS Thompson 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot58
8.7%
65
91.3%
Q3 - 7:41GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
7.8%
65
92.2%
Q3 - 7:42ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot58
8.1%
65
91.9%
Q3 - 7:57GSWBarnes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)58
9.1%
65
90.9%
Q3 - 8:03GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)58
7.8%
65
92.2%
Q3 - 8:04GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)58
7.8%
65
92.2%
Q3 - 8:04GSWMISS Barnes 2' Layup58
8.7%
65
91.3%
Q3 - 8:07GSWMISS Thompson 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
8.7%
65
91.3%
Q3 - 8:23ATLKorver 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)58
7.8%
65
92.2%
Q3 - 8:31GSWThompson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)55
6.0%
65
94.0%
Q3 - 8:40GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
5.1%
65
94.9%
Q3 - 8:41ATLMISS Millsap 10' Jump Shot55
5.4%
65
94.6%
Q3 - 8:59GSWThompson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Green 9 AST)55
6.0%
65
94.0%
Q3 - 9:16ATLMillsap 2' Putback Layup (11 PTS)55
7.9%
62
92.1%
Q3 - 9:16ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
6.9%
62
93.1%
Q3 - 9:17ATLMISS Millsap 2' Driving Layup53
6.3%
62
93.7%
Q3 - 9:31GSWThompson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Barnes 2 AST)53
6.9%
62
93.1%
Q3 - 9:40GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
9.0%
59
91.0%
Q3 - 9:41ATLMISS Korver 28' 3PT Jump Shot53
9.3%
59
90.7%
Q3 - 9:50ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
10.3%
59
89.7%
Q3 - 9:50GSWMISS Thompson 2' Layup53
9.9%
59
90.1%
Q3 - 9:57ATLGreen STEAL (3 STL)53
9.0%
59
91.0%
Q3 - 10:16ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
10.2%
59
89.8%
Q3 - 10:18GSWMISS Livingston 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot53
9.8%
59
90.2%
Q3 - 10:42ATLHorford 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)53
8.9%
59
91.1%
Q3 - 11:04ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
6.9%
59
93.1%
Q3 - 11:04GSWMISS Thompson 18' Pullup Jump Shot50
6.6%
59
93.4%
Q3 - 11:23ATLHorford 11' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)50
6.0%
59
94.0%
Q3 - 11:38ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
5.4%
59
94.6%
Q3 - 11:39GSWMISS Thompson 18' Pullup Jump Shot48
5.1%
59
94.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSW48
4.7%
59
95.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWWARRIORS Rebound48
4.7%
59
95.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWMISS McAdoo 5' Jump Shot48
5.1%
59
94.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)48
5.1%
59
94.9%
Q2 - 0:26.0GSWClark Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)46
4.3%
59
95.7%
Q2 - 0:26.0GSWMISS Clark Free Throw 1 of 246
4.4%
58
95.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
4.5%
58
95.5%
Q2 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Teague 27' 3PT Jump Shot46
4.6%
58
95.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)46
4.9%
58
95.1%
Q2 - 0:43.0GSWMISS Green 19' Jump Shot46
4.7%
58
95.3%
Q2 - 1:08ATLTeague 8' Driving Bank Shot (7 PTS)46
4.7%
58
95.3%
Q2 - 1:27ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
3.9%
58
96.1%
Q2 - 1:28GSWMISS Clark 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
3.9%
58
96.1%
Q2 - 1:40ATLBogut STEAL (2 STL)44
3.7%
58
96.3%
Q2 - 1:55ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)44
3.9%
58
96.1%
Q2 - 1:55GSWMISS Thompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
3.9%
58
96.1%
Q2 - 2:11ATLHorford Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)44
3.8%
58
96.2%
Q2 - 2:26GSWBogut Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Thompson 3 AST)44
4.2%
58
95.8%
Q2 - 2:33GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
4.7%
56
95.3%
Q2 - 2:35GSWMISS Thompson 18' Jump Shot44
5.1%
56
94.9%
Q2 - 2:52ATLSefolosha 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)44
4.7%
56
95.3%
Q2 - 3:02GSWGreen 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)42
4.4%
56
95.6%
Q2 - 3:14GSWRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
4.8%
54
95.2%
Q2 - 3:15ATLMISS Millsap 16' Fadeaway Jumper42
5.0%
54
95.0%
Q2 - 3:38ATLHawks Rebound42
5.5%
54
94.5%
Q2 - 3:39GSWMISS Clark 27' 3PT Jump Shot42
5.3%
54
94.7%
Q2 - 3:45GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
4.8%
54
95.2%
Q2 - 3:46ATLMISS Horford 12' Floating Jump Shot42
5.0%
54
95.0%
Q2 - 4:12GSWBogut Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Green 8 AST)42
5.6%
54
94.4%
Q2 - 4:27GSWClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
6.1%
52
93.9%
Q2 - 4:28ATLMISS Scott 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
6.4%
52
93.6%
Q2 - 4:56GSWThompson 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Green 7 AST)42
6.9%
52
93.1%
Q2 - 5:06GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
8.5%
49
91.5%
Q2 - 5:09ATLMISS Korver 8' Jump Shot42
8.8%
49
91.2%
Q2 - 5:11ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
9.5%
49
90.5%
Q2 - 5:12ATLMISS Bazemore 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
8.8%
49
91.2%
Q2 - 5:25GSWBogut 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Green 6 AST)42
9.4%
49
90.6%
Q2 - 5:49ATLBazemore 28' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)42
10.4%
47
89.6%
Q2 - 6:02GSWBarnes Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Thompson 2 AST)39
8.8%
47
91.2%
Q2 - 6:08ATLGreen STEAL (2 STL)39
9.4%
45
90.6%
Q2 - 6:20ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
10.7%
45
89.3%
Q2 - 6:21GSWMISS Livingston 10' Floating Jump Shot39
10.3%
45
89.7%
Q2 - 6:29GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)39
9.4%
45
90.6%
Q2 - 6:32GSWMISS Thompson 10' Fadeaway Jumper39
10.3%
45
89.7%
Q2 - 6:36GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
9.4%
45
90.6%
Q2 - 6:37GSWMISS Green 18' Jump Shot39
10.3%
45
89.7%
Q2 - 6:54ATLBazemore 2' Running Layup (4 PTS)39
9.4%
45
90.6%
Q2 - 7:01ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
8.8%
45
91.2%
Q2 - 7:02GSWMISS Rush 17' Jump Shot37
8.5%
45
91.5%
Q2 - 7:26ATLTeague 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)37
7.9%
45
92.1%
Q2 - 7:39ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
6.6%
45
93.4%
Q2 - 7:41GSWMISS Rush 13' Floating Jump Shot34
6.4%
45
93.6%
Q2 - 7:52GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
5.9%
45
94.1%
Q2 - 7:53ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot34
6.1%
45
93.9%
Q2 - 8:07GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
6.7%
45
93.3%
Q2 - 8:07GSWBarnes Putback Dunk (4 PTS)34
6.7%
45
93.3%
Q2 - 8:08GSWMISS Varejao 2' Layup34
7.8%
43
92.2%
Q2 - 8:32ATLTeague 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)34
7.3%
43
92.7%
Q2 - 8:43GSWBarnes 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Barbosa 1 AST)32
6.7%
43
93.3%
Q2 - 8:51GSWBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
7.3%
41
92.7%
Q2 - 8:51ATLMISS Bazemore 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
7.5%
41
92.5%
Q2 - 9:07ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
8.0%
41
92.0%
Q2 - 9:08GSWMISS Livingston 17' Jump Shot32
7.8%
41
92.2%
Q2 - 9:31ATLSchroder 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
7.2%
41
92.8%
Q2 - 9:55GSWBarbosa 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Varejao 1 AST)30
6.7%
41
93.3%
Q2 - 10:07ATLHorford Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Schroder 3 AST)30
8.1%
38
91.9%
Q2 - 10:16GSWBarbosa 19' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)28
7.5%
38
92.5%
Q2 - 10:38GSWWARRIORS Rebound28
8.1%
36
91.9%
Q2 - 10:39ATLMISS Schroder 17' Jump Shot28
8.4%
36
91.6%
Q2 - 10:52GSWVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
9.0%
36
91.0%
Q2 - 10:52GSWVarejao 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)28
9.0%
36
91.0%
Q2 - 10:53GSWMISS Livingston 14' Jump Shot28
10.4%
34
89.6%
Q2 - 11:14ATLSchroder 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)28
9.8%
34
90.2%
Q2 - 11:29GSWBarbosa 9' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)26
9.0%
34
91.0%
Q2 - 11:35GSWBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
9.8%
32
90.2%
Q2 - 11:36ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 17' Jump Shot26
10.1%
32
89.9%
Q2 - 11:47ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
10.7%
32
89.3%
Q2 - 11:49GSWMISS Rush 19' Jump Shot26
10.4%
32
89.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSW26
9.8%
32
90.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSWWARRIORS Rebound26
9.8%
32
90.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Rush 32' 3PT Jump Shot26
10.4%
32
89.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0ATLRush STEAL (1 STL)26
10.0%
32
90.0%
Q1 - 0:12.0GSWRush 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Clark 1 AST)26
10.6%
32
89.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0ATLScott 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Schroder 2 AST)26
12.8%
29
87.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0GSWBarbosa Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
10.6%
29
89.4%
Q1 - 0:39.0GSWBarbosa Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
10.7%
28
89.3%
Q1 - 0:42.0GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
11.8%
27
88.2%
Q1 - 0:43.0ATLSpeights BLOCK (1 BLK)23
12.0%
27
88.0%
Q1 - 0:56.0ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
12.5%
27
87.5%
Q1 - 0:57.0GSWMISS Green 18' Jump Shot23
12.3%
27
87.7%
Q1 - 1:08ATLScott 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Schroder 1 AST)23
11.7%
27
88.3%
Q1 - 1:22GSWSpeights Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
10.6%
27
89.4%
Q1 - 1:22GSWSpeights Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
10.7%
26
89.3%
Q1 - 1:31GSWRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
11.7%
25
88.3%
Q1 - 1:31ATLMISS Korver 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
12.0%
25
88.0%
Q1 - 1:36ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
12.5%
25
87.5%
Q1 - 1:37ATLMISS Schroder 19' Jump Shot21
12.0%
25
88.0%
Q1 - 1:49GSWClark Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
12.5%
25
87.5%
Q1 - 1:49GSWClark Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
12.6%
24
87.4%
Q1 - 1:52ATLGreen STEAL (1 STL)21
13.8%
23
86.2%
Q1 - 2:00GSWSpeights 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Green 5 AST)21
14.6%
23
85.4%
Q1 - 2:23ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)21
16.0%
21
84.0%
Q1 - 2:23ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 220
15.7%
21
84.3%
Q1 - 2:34GSWGreen Cutting Dunk Shot (7 PTS) (Thompson 1 AST)20
15.9%
21
84.1%
Q1 - 2:51ATLSchroder Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
17.3%
19
82.7%
Q1 - 2:51ATLSchroder Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
17.1%
19
82.9%
Q1 - 3:03GSWGreen 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)18
15.7%
19
84.3%
Q1 - 3:17ATLScott 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)18
16.8%
17
83.2%
Q1 - 3:35ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
14.6%
17
85.4%
Q1 - 3:35GSWMISS Speights 18' Jump Shot15
14.2%
17
85.8%
Q1 - 3:53GSWWARRIORS Rebound15
13.4%
17
86.6%
Q1 - 3:53ATLMISS Muscala 12' Jump Shot15
13.8%
17
86.2%
Q1 - 4:02ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
14.4%
17
85.6%
Q1 - 4:02GSWMISS Thompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
14.1%
17
85.9%
Q1 - 4:17ATLKorver 29' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)15
13.2%
17
86.8%
Q1 - 4:21ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
11.5%
17
88.5%
Q1 - 4:22ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
10.8%
17
89.2%
Q1 - 4:35ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
11.5%
17
88.5%
Q1 - 4:36GSWMISS Clark 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
11.2%
17
88.8%
Q1 - 4:47ATLMillsap 9' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)12
10.5%
17
89.5%
Q1 - 5:11GSWGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)10
9.9%
17
90.1%
Q1 - 5:35ATLMuscala Foul Turnover (P1.T3)10
9.1%
17
90.9%
Q1 - 5:43GSWLivingston 7' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Green 4 AST)10
9.9%
17
90.1%
Q1 - 5:51GSWLivingston REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
10.6%
15
89.4%
Q1 - 5:53GSWMISS Thompson 16' Floating Jump Shot10
11.2%
15
88.8%
Q1 - 6:07ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)10
10.6%
15
89.4%
Q1 - 6:07ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)9
10.4%
15
89.6%
Q1 - 6:16ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
9.9%
15
90.1%
Q1 - 6:17GSWMISS Livingston 14' Jump Shot8
9.7%
15
90.3%
Q1 - 6:25GSWLivingston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
9.2%
15
90.8%
Q1 - 6:25GSWMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
9.7%
15
90.3%
Q1 - 6:44ATLBogut STEAL (1 STL)8
9.2%
15
90.8%
Q1 - 6:54ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
9.9%
15
90.1%
Q1 - 6:54GSWMISS Barnes 4' Jump Shot8
9.7%
15
90.3%
Q1 - 7:06GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
9.1%
15
90.9%
Q1 - 7:07ATLMISS Millsap 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
9.4%
15
90.6%
Q1 - 7:29GSWWARRIORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)8
9.9%
15
90.1%
Q1 - 7:29GSWWARRIORS Rebound8
9.1%
15
90.9%
Q1 - 7:29GSWMISS Barnes 15' Jump Shot8
9.7%
15
90.3%
Q1 - 7:53GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
9.1%
15
90.9%
Q1 - 7:53ATLMISS Teague 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
9.4%
15
90.6%
Q1 - 8:16GSWGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Livingston 1 AST)8
9.7%
15
90.3%
Q1 - 8:25GSWLivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
11.1%
12
88.9%
Q1 - 8:25ATLMISS Millsap 16' Jump Shot8
11.3%
12
88.7%
Q1 - 8:51GSWBogut Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Green 3 AST)8
11.9%
12
88.1%
Q1 - 8:56GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
12.7%
10
87.3%
Q1 - 8:56ATLMISS Horford 22' Jump Shot8
13.0%
10
87.0%
Q1 - 9:10GSWLivingston Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Green 2 AST)8
13.5%
10
86.5%
Q1 - 9:26ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
14.3%
8
85.7%
Q1 - 9:26ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 27
14.1%
8
85.9%
Q1 - 9:38ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
14.4%
8
85.6%
Q1 - 9:40GSWMISS Thompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
14.1%
8
85.9%
Q1 - 9:54ATLBazemore Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
13.4%
8
86.6%
Q1 - 9:54ATLBazemore Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
13.2%
8
86.8%
Q1 - 10:06GSWBogut 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)5
12.7%
8
87.3%
Q1 - 10:17GSWLivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
13.4%
6
86.6%
Q1 - 10:17ATLMISS Korver 17' Jump Bank Shot5
13.7%
6
86.3%
Q1 - 10:22ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
14.4%
6
85.6%
Q1 - 10:22ATLMISS Millsap 1' Layup5
13.7%
6
86.3%
Q1 - 10:37GSWThompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Green 1 AST)5
14.4%
6
85.6%
Q1 - 10:53ATLMillsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)5
16.2%
3
83.8%
Q1 - 11:09GSWThompson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)2
14.2%
3
85.8%
Q1 - 11:25ATLKorver 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)2
16.1%
0
83.9%
Q1 - 11:32ATLHawks Rebound0
15.1%
0
84.9%
Q1 - 11:33ATLMISS Korver 29' 3PT Jump Shot0
14.5%
0
85.5%
Q1 - 11:43GSWJump Ball Green vs. Korver: Tip to Horford0
15.1%
0
84.9%
Q1 - 11:47ATLLivingston STEAL (1 STL)0
14.2%
0
85.8%
Q1 - 12:00GSWJump Ball Bogut vs. Horford: Tip to Millsap0
15.1%
0
84.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.13 56.5%
GSW
0.93 46.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
13
17
76%
GSW
24
35
69%
Midrange
ATL
12
30
40%
GSW
5
32
16%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
12
18.0
33
36%
55%
GSW
12
18.0
36
33%
50%
Free Throws
ATL
19
24
79%
GSW
15
17
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Millsap1943%9.5 / 22
A. Horford1753%8.5 / 16
D. Schröder1761%8.5 / 14
K. Bazemore1568%7.5 / 11
K. Korver1161%5.5 / 9
M. Scott1192%5.5 / 6
J. Teague758%3.5 / 6
T. Hardaway650%3.0 / 6
T. Sefolosha2100%1.0 / 1
M. Muscala0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Thompson2645%13.0 / 29
A. Bogut1986%9.5 / 11
D. Green1550%7.5 / 15
H. Barnes1250%6.0 / 12
L. Barbosa1169%5.5 / 8
M. Speights1056%5.0 / 9
S. Livingston633%3.0 / 9
B. Rush325%1.5 / 6
I. Clark321%1.5 / 7
J. McAdoo233%1.0 / 3
A. Varejao250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
84
+8
-17
92
GSW
92
+25
-11
117
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.13 56.5%
GSW
0.93 46.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.5
114.4
ATL 104.0
GSW 105.8 +1.9
Pace
96.8
99.5
ATL 92.6 +0.4
GSW 92.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
14.1
ATL 15.6 +0.1
GSW 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.6%
56.3%
ATL 53.8% +8.2%
GSW 45.6%
TO %
14.9%
14.8%
ATL 15.8%
GSW 10.5% +5.3%
ORB %
19.2%
23.5%
ATL 17.5%
GSW 34.0% +16.5%
FTrt
23.7
25.0
ATL 30.0 +13.5
GSW 16.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.3%
68.0%
ATL 67.6%
GSW 68.3% +0.7%
STL %
9.3%
8.4%
ATL 8.9%
GSW 10.7% +1.8%
BLK %
9.6%
9.2%
ATL 7.5% +1.1%
GSW 6.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.17 and 3.17.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.1%
58.0%
ATL 56.5% +9.9%
GSW 46.6%
Rim FG%
58.9%
60.9%
ATL 76.5% +7.9%
GSW 68.6%
Mid FG%
41.2%
42.8%
ATL 40.0% +24.4%
GSW 15.6%
3P %
35.0%
41.6%
ATL 36.4% +3.1%
GSW 33.3%
FT %
78.3%
76.3%
ATL 79.2%
GSW 88.2% +9.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
35.2%
ATL 21.3%
GSW 34.0% +12.7%
Mid Att. %
28.8%
28.6%
ATL 37.5%
GSW 31.1% +6.4%
3P Att. %
33.6%
36.2%
ATL 41.3% +6.3%
GSW 35.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.54 and 3.54.
Game TotalsATLGSW
Possessions101103
Possession Minutes26.226.8
Points105109
Rebounds4251
Assists2528
Steals911
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)11 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)18 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (3)33 (3)
Field Goals37-8041-103
At-the-Rim FG13-1724-35
Midrange FG12-305-32
2-Point FG25-4729-67
3-Point FG12-3312-36
Free Throws19-2415-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'10" 245 · 30
41.9
17
53%
9
3
1
0
4
3
1
8
0-0
-
7-13
54%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 246 · 31
41.0
19
43%
7
4
3
4
2
3
3
4
8-10
80%
4-11
36%
1-6
17%
F · 6'5" 201 · 27
35.4
15
68%
9
1
1
1
2
4
1
8
4-4
100%
4-5
80%
1-4
25%
G · 6'7" 212 · 35
33.8
11
61%
7
1
3
0
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-6
50%
G · 6'2" 189 · 28
24.2
7
58%
1
6
0
0
3
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
G · 6'1" 175 · 22
28.8
17
61%
3
9
0
0
3
2
0
3
6-8
75%
4-7
57%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 237 · 28
20.8
11
92%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
F · 6'7" 220 · 32
19.4
2
100%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 24
17.5
6
50%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 25
2.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 31
G · 6'4" 190 · 35
C · 7'3" 265 · 24
#11 · C-F · 6'11" 245 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G-F · 6'5" 225 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
105
56%
42
25
9
5
17
0
7
35
19-24
79%
25-47
53%
12-33
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.