FinalWin Prob.pScore
2439%97
111
1761%101
129
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
113.398109.8
MIA logo MIA
130.39989.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA111
0%
129
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0CHIBrooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Holiday 3 AST)111
0%
129
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0CHIBairstow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)108
0%
129
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Dragic 3' Layup108
0%
129
100%
Q4 - 0:44.0CHIBairstow Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)108
0%
129
100%
Q4 - 0:44.0CHIMISS Bairstow Free Throw 1 of 2107
0%
129
100%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIADragic 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS)107
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)107
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15CHIMISS Brooks Free Throw 2 of 2107
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15CHIBrooks Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)107
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24MIADragic 12' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)106
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)106
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28CHIWhiteside BLOCK (4 BLK)106
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30CHIFelicio REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)106
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31CHIMISS Brooks 19' Jump Shot106
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44MIAWhiteside Driving Dunk (26 PTS) (Dragic 11 AST)106
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)106
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57CHIMISS Holiday 24' 3PT Jump Shot106
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)106
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)106
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25CHIMISS Brooks 26' 3PT Jump Shot106
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)106
0.2%
121
99.8%
Q4 - 3:08CHIHoliday Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)106
0.4%
118
99.6%
Q4 - 3:08CHIHoliday Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)105
0.3%
118
99.7%
Q4 - 3:16MIAWhiteside 4' Jump Bank Shot (21 PTS) (Dragic 10 AST)104
0.3%
118
99.7%
Q4 - 3:35CHIGasol 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Holiday 2 AST)104
0.8%
116
99.2%
Q4 - 3:51MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)102
0.5%
116
99.5%
Q4 - 3:51MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)102
0.6%
115
99.4%
Q4 - 3:52CHIRose Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)102
0.8%
114
99.2%
Q4 - 4:02MIAWhiteside 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)102
1.1%
114
98.9%
Q4 - 4:22MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)102
1.5%
112
98.5%
Q4 - 4:23CHIMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 2102
1.5%
112
98.5%
Q4 - 4:23CHIMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 2102
2.0%
112
98.0%
Q4 - 4:33MIADragic 18' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)102
2.2%
112
97.8%
Q4 - 4:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)102
3.0%
110
97.0%
Q4 - 4:43CHIMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot102
3.4%
110
96.6%
Q4 - 4:55MIAJohnson 16' Step Back Jump Shot (22 PTS)102
4.4%
110
95.6%
Q4 - 5:14CHIBrooks Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)102
7.9%
108
92.1%
Q4 - 5:14CHIMISS Brooks Free Throw 2 of 3101
7.5%
108
92.5%
Q4 - 5:14CHIBrooks Free Throw 1 of 3 (11 PTS)101
9.6%
108
90.4%
Q4 - 5:24MIAWhiteside 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Dragic 9 AST)100
5.9%
108
94.1%
Q4 - 5:40CHIBrooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Holiday 1 AST)100
7.8%
106
92.2%
Q4 - 5:46CHIMcDermott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)97
4.3%
106
95.7%
Q4 - 5:47CHIJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)97
3.4%
106
96.6%
Q4 - 5:54MIADeng Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)97
4.3%
106
95.7%
Q4 - 6:15CHIHoliday 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Brooks 1 AST)97
4.0%
106
96.0%
Q4 - 6:30MIADragic 12' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)94
2.3%
106
97.7%
Q4 - 6:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)94
2.9%
104
97.1%
Q4 - 6:37CHIWhiteside BLOCK (3 BLK)94
3.2%
104
96.8%
Q4 - 6:52MIAJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)94
4.1%
104
95.9%
Q4 - 7:09CHIPortis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)94
3.7%
104
96.3%
Q4 - 7:19CHIPortis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)91
2.2%
104
97.8%
Q4 - 7:20MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
2.0%
104
98.0%
Q4 - 7:38CHIHoliday 1' Running Layup (2 PTS) (McDermott 1 AST)91
1.6%
104
98.4%
Q4 - 7:43MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T13)89
1.3%
104
98.7%
Q4 - 7:59MIAHEAT Rebound89
0.9%
104
99.1%
Q4 - 8:00CHIMISS Brooks 7' Jump Bank Shot89
1.0%
104
99.0%
Q4 - 8:08CHIBulls Rebound89
1.7%
104
98.3%
Q4 - 8:09CHIMISS Holiday 17' Jump Shot89
1.4%
104
98.6%
Q4 - 8:19MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)89
1.7%
104
98.3%
Q4 - 8:19MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 289
1.8%
103
98.2%
Q4 - 8:37CHIBrooks 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)89
1.7%
103
98.3%
Q4 - 8:51MIAWinslow Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)87
1.3%
103
98.7%
Q4 - 9:05CHIBrooks 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)87
1.4%
103
98.6%
Q4 - 9:19MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)84
0.8%
103
99.2%
Q4 - 9:39MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
1.3%
100
98.7%
Q4 - 9:40CHIWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)84
1.4%
100
98.6%
Q4 - 9:54MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)84
1.7%
100
98.3%
Q4 - 9:54MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 284
1.8%
99
98.2%
Q4 - 10:12CHIDunleavy 6' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)84
2.0%
99
98.0%
Q4 - 10:26MIAWinslow Dunk (8 PTS)82
1.6%
99
98.4%
Q4 - 10:35MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)82
2.0%
97
98.0%
Q4 - 10:36CHIMISS Brooks 2' Driving Floating Jump Shot82
2.2%
97
97.8%
Q4 - 10:53MIAWhiteside 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)82
2.5%
97
97.5%
Q4 - 11:01MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
2.4%
97
97.6%
Q4 - 11:02CHIWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)82
2.6%
97
97.4%
Q4 - 11:14MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)82
3.0%
97
97.0%
Q4 - 11:38MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
3.6%
95
96.4%
Q4 - 11:39CHIMISS Holiday 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
3.8%
95
96.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI82
4.4%
95
95.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIBulls Rebound82
4.4%
95
95.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Brooks 48' 3PT Jump Shot82
3.8%
95
96.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAWade 12' Step Back Jump Shot (16 PTS)82
4.4%
95
95.6%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
6.1%
93
93.9%
Q3 - 0:14.0CHIMISS Brooks 9' Hook Bank Shot82
6.5%
93
93.5%
Q3 - 0:31.0CHIPortis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
7.4%
93
92.6%
Q3 - 0:32.0CHIMISS Portis 2' Layup82
6.4%
93
93.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0CHIPortis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
7.4%
93
92.6%
Q3 - 0:36.0CHIMISS Holiday 1' Driving Layup82
6.4%
93
93.6%
Q3 - 0:42.0CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)82
7.4%
93
92.6%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup82
6.9%
93
93.1%
Q3 - 1:04CHIPortis Running Dunk (8 PTS)82
6.7%
93
93.3%
Q3 - 1:07MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)80
5.6%
93
94.4%
Q3 - 1:28CHIMcDermott 20' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gasol 6 AST)80
4.6%
93
95.4%
Q3 - 1:44CHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
3.8%
93
96.2%
Q3 - 1:45MIAMISS Whiteside 7' Hook Shot78
3.6%
93
96.4%
Q3 - 2:04CHIBrooks 11' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)78
3.6%
93
96.4%
Q3 - 2:22MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)76
3.0%
93
97.0%
Q3 - 2:22MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 276
3.1%
92
96.9%
Q3 - 2:32MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)76
3.0%
92
97.0%
Q3 - 2:33CHIMISS Brooks 13' Floating Jump Shot76
3.2%
92
96.8%
Q3 - 2:42CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)76
3.6%
92
96.4%
Q3 - 2:43MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q3 - 2:49MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
3.0%
92
97.0%
Q3 - 2:50CHIMISS Portis 19' Jump Shot76
3.2%
92
96.8%
Q3 - 3:09MIARichardson 2' Running Layup (9 PTS)76
4.0%
92
96.0%
Q3 - 3:14CHIRichardson STEAL (2 STL)76
4.7%
90
95.3%
Q3 - 3:25MIAJohnson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)76
5.7%
90
94.3%
Q3 - 3:41MIAHEAT Rebound76
6.6%
88
93.4%
Q3 - 3:42CHIMISS Gasol 9' Turnaround Hook Shot76
7.0%
88
93.0%
Q3 - 3:53MIAStoudemire 3' Layup (7 PTS)76
7.9%
88
92.1%
Q3 - 3:59MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
9.1%
86
90.9%
Q3 - 4:00MIAMISS Richardson 14' Jump Shot76
10.3%
86
89.7%
Q3 - 4:19CHISnell Foul Turnover (P1.T8)76
9.6%
86
90.4%
Q3 - 4:27MIAJohnson 8' Turnaround Fadeaway (18 PTS)76
11.5%
86
88.5%
Q3 - 4:48CHIRose 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Gasol 5 AST)76
13.0%
84
87.0%
Q3 - 5:04CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
10.4%
84
89.6%
Q3 - 5:05MIAMISS Dragic 19' Step Back Jump Shot73
9.9%
84
90.1%
Q3 - 5:15MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
8.8%
84
91.2%
Q3 - 5:16CHIMISS Gasol 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
9.2%
84
90.8%
Q3 - 5:24MIAJohnson 2' Layup (16 PTS)73
10.3%
84
89.7%
Q3 - 5:38MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
11.8%
82
88.2%
Q3 - 5:39CHIMISS McDermott 1' Layup73
12.4%
82
87.6%
Q3 - 6:00MIADragic 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stoudemire 1 AST)73
13.8%
82
86.2%
Q3 - 6:22CHISnell 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)73
16.2%
80
83.8%
Q3 - 6:28CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
14.3%
80
85.7%
Q3 - 6:29MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot71
13.7%
80
86.3%
Q3 - 6:48CHIBulls Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)71
12.3%
80
87.7%
Q3 - 6:48CHIBulls Rebound71
14.3%
80
85.7%
Q3 - 6:49CHIWade BLOCK (1 BLK)71
12.9%
80
87.1%
Q3 - 7:12MIAStoudemire Dunk (5 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)71
14.7%
80
85.3%
Q3 - 7:31MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
16.5%
78
83.5%
Q3 - 7:32CHIMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
17.2%
78
82.8%
Q3 - 7:39MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)71
19.0%
78
81.0%
Q3 - 7:58MIAHEAT Rebound71
16.5%
78
83.5%
Q3 - 7:59CHIStoudemire BLOCK (5 BLK)71
17.2%
78
82.8%
Q3 - 8:15MIAStoudemire Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)71
19.3%
78
80.7%
Q3 - 8:18MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
16.7%
78
83.3%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Dragic 8' Floating Jump Shot71
18.5%
78
81.5%
Q3 - 8:26CHIMoore 10' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)71
16.7%
78
83.3%
Q3 - 8:32CHIDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
15.0%
78
85.0%
Q3 - 8:33CHIStoudemire BLOCK (4 BLK)69
13.6%
78
86.4%
Q3 - 8:38CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
15.0%
78
85.0%
Q3 - 8:39CHIMISS Moore 3PT Jump Shot69
13.6%
78
86.4%
Q3 - 8:59MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dragic 8 AST)69
15.0%
78
85.0%
Q3 - 9:05MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
19.3%
75
80.7%
Q3 - 9:06CHIStoudemire BLOCK (3 BLK)69
20.0%
75
80.0%
Q3 - 9:20CHIMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
21.7%
75
78.3%
Q3 - 9:21MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 269
21.4%
75
78.6%
Q3 - 9:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)69
19.8%
75
80.2%
Q3 - 9:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
21.6%
74
78.4%
Q3 - 9:28CHIMISS Rose 16' Jump Bank Shot69
22.4%
74
77.6%
Q3 - 9:40MIAWade 17' Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS)69
24.3%
74
75.7%
Q3 - 9:58CHIGasol 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (13 PTS)69
26.9%
72
73.1%
Q3 - 10:18MIAJohnson 1' Tip Layup Shot (11 PTS)67
24.5%
72
75.5%
Q3 - 10:19MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
27.0%
70
73.0%
Q3 - 10:20MIAMISS Johnson 6' Pullup Jump Shot67
29.1%
70
70.9%
Q3 - 10:39CHIDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)67
27.0%
70
73.0%
Q3 - 10:55MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)64
22.0%
70
78.0%
Q3 - 11:12CHIRose 10' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)64
27.1%
67
72.9%
Q3 - 11:23CHIBulls Rebound62
24.7%
67
75.3%
Q3 - 11:24CHIMISS Gasol 9' Turnaround Hook Shot62
22.9%
67
77.1%
Q3 - 11:41MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)62
24.7%
67
75.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA62
27.1%
65
72.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAHEAT Rebound62
28.1%
65
71.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0CHIMISS Gasol 11' Floating Jump Shot62
28.7%
65
71.3%
Q2 - 0:17.0CHIPortis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
29.9%
65
70.1%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot62
29.4%
65
70.6%
Q2 - 0:34.0CHIGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)62
28.0%
65
72.0%
Q2 - 0:34.0CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)61
27.3%
65
72.7%
Q2 - 0:35.0CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
24.8%
65
75.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup60
24.2%
65
75.8%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
23.1%
65
76.9%
Q2 - 0:42.0CHIMISS Snell 1' Layup60
23.6%
65
76.4%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)60
24.8%
65
75.2%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)60
23.0%
65
77.0%
Q2 - 0:58.0CHIMISS Brooks 15' Step Back Jump Shot60
23.6%
65
76.4%
Q2 - 1:10MIADeng 6' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)60
24.9%
65
75.1%
Q2 - 1:28CHIPortis Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T6)60
28.6%
63
71.4%
Q2 - 1:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)60
30.0%
63
70.0%
Q2 - 1:42MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 260
30.5%
62
69.5%
Q2 - 1:50CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)60
31.3%
62
68.7%
Q2 - 2:04MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)57
25.7%
62
74.3%
Q2 - 2:04MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)57
26.6%
61
73.4%
Q2 - 2:19CHIGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)57
28.1%
60
71.9%
Q2 - 2:19CHIMISS Gibson Free Throw 1 of 256
27.5%
60
72.5%
Q2 - 2:19CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
28.0%
60
72.0%
Q2 - 2:20CHIMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot56
26.4%
60
73.6%
Q2 - 2:46MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
28.0%
60
72.0%
Q2 - 2:46MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)56
28.9%
59
71.1%
Q2 - 3:05CHIMoore 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)56
30.5%
58
69.5%
Q2 - 3:13MIAWinslow Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)53
26.1%
58
73.9%
Q2 - 3:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)53
23.5%
58
76.5%
Q2 - 3:19CHIMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
24.3%
58
75.7%
Q2 - 3:25CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
26.1%
58
73.9%
Q2 - 3:26MIAMISS Whiteside 10' Turnaround Hook Shot53
25.3%
58
74.7%
Q2 - 3:42CHIDunleavy 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)53
23.5%
58
76.5%
Q2 - 3:47MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)51
21.8%
58
78.2%
Q2 - 4:01CHIWade STEAL (1 STL)51
19.9%
58
80.1%
Q2 - 4:10MIARichardson 14' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)51
21.9%
58
78.1%
Q2 - 4:26CHIRose 2' Reverse Layup (12 PTS)51
23.8%
56
76.2%
Q2 - 4:35MIAJohnson 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS)49
21.9%
56
78.1%
Q2 - 4:49CHIMoore 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)49
23.8%
54
76.2%
Q2 - 5:12MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)46
20.3%
54
79.7%
Q2 - 5:26CHIGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)46
18.5%
54
81.5%
Q2 - 5:26CHIMISS Gibson Free Throw 1 of 245
18.0%
54
82.0%
Q2 - 5:32MIAWade Dunk (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)45
18.6%
54
81.4%
Q2 - 5:51CHIGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)45
20.2%
52
79.8%
Q2 - 5:51CHIGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)44
19.9%
52
80.1%
Q2 - 5:55CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
18.6%
52
81.4%
Q2 - 5:56MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Hook Shot43
18.0%
52
82.0%
Q2 - 6:09MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
17.2%
52
82.8%
Q2 - 6:10CHIMISS Moore 11' Floating Jump Shot43
17.8%
52
82.2%
Q2 - 6:37MIAWade 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)43
19.2%
52
80.8%
Q2 - 6:46MIAHEAT Rebound43
20.4%
50
79.6%
Q2 - 6:47MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
22.0%
50
78.0%
Q2 - 7:02CHIMcDermott 11' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)43
21.0%
50
79.0%
Q2 - 7:24MIADeng 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)41
19.4%
50
80.6%
Q2 - 7:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
22.8%
47
77.2%
Q2 - 7:37CHIMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 241
23.0%
47
77.0%
Q2 - 7:37CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)41
24.4%
47
75.6%
Q2 - 7:49MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)40
22.9%
47
77.1%
Q2 - 7:49MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
23.6%
46
76.4%
Q2 - 8:00CHIRichardson STEAL (1 STL)40
24.6%
45
75.4%
Q2 - 8:18MIAWhiteside 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)40
26.9%
45
73.1%
Q2 - 8:31CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)40
28.8%
43
71.2%
Q2 - 8:44MIAWinslow Foul Turnover (P1.T3)37
24.9%
43
75.1%
Q2 - 9:03CHIRose 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)37
23.0%
43
77.0%
Q2 - 9:17MIADragic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)35
21.5%
43
78.5%
Q2 - 9:23CHIDragic STEAL (1 STL)35
19.6%
43
80.4%
Q2 - 9:30CHIPortis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
21.5%
43
78.5%
Q2 - 9:31MIAMISS Deng 3' Layup35
20.9%
43
79.1%
Q2 - 9:41MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
19.6%
43
80.4%
Q2 - 9:42CHIMISS Felicio 21' Jump Shot35
20.2%
43
79.8%
Q2 - 9:55CHIMcDermott Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)35
21.5%
43
78.5%
Q2 - 10:07MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)34
20.1%
43
79.9%
Q2 - 10:33CHIMcDermott 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Felicio 1 AST)34
23.1%
40
76.9%
Q2 - 10:48MIAWinslow 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
21.7%
40
78.3%
Q2 - 11:05MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
23.3%
38
76.7%
Q2 - 11:06CHIMISS Felicio 3' Alley Oop Layup32
23.9%
38
76.1%
Q2 - 11:18MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
25.1%
38
74.9%
Q2 - 11:18MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
25.8%
37
74.2%
Q2 - 11:30CHIMcDermott 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Snell 1 AST)32
26.9%
36
73.1%
Q2 - 11:45MIADeng Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)30
25.2%
36
74.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHI30
23.3%
36
76.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIBulls Rebound30
25.2%
36
74.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIMISS McDermott 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
23.9%
36
76.1%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIADeng 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)30
25.0%
36
75.0%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
27.3%
34
72.7%
Q1 - 0:17.0CHIMISS Brooks 6' Running Jump Shot30
27.7%
34
72.3%
Q1 - 0:34.0CHIPortis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
28.7%
34
71.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
28.3%
34
71.7%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
27.3%
34
72.7%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
28.3%
34
71.7%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
27.3%
34
72.7%
Q1 - 0:57.0CHIMISS Portis 20' Jump Shot30
27.7%
34
72.3%
Q1 - 1:18CHIBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
28.8%
34
71.2%
Q1 - 1:19MIAMISS Deng 5' Jump Shot30
28.4%
34
71.6%
Q1 - 1:43CHIPortis Driving Dunk (6 PTS)30
27.4%
34
72.6%
Q1 - 1:45CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
25.1%
34
74.9%
Q1 - 1:46CHIMISS McDermott 3' Floating Jump Shot28
24.3%
34
75.7%
Q1 - 1:53CHIBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
25.1%
34
74.9%
Q1 - 1:54MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
24.7%
34
75.3%
Q1 - 2:06CHIPortis 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
23.9%
34
76.1%
Q1 - 2:23MIAWinslow 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)26
22.1%
34
77.9%
Q1 - 2:41CHIGasol 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)26
23.9%
32
76.1%
Q1 - 2:49CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
20.6%
32
79.4%
Q1 - 2:50MIAMISS Winslow 5' Jump Shot23
20.2%
32
79.8%
Q1 - 3:02CHIPortis 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)23
19.4%
32
80.6%
Q1 - 3:21MIAWinslow 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)21
18.2%
32
81.8%
Q1 - 3:31MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
19.4%
30
80.6%
Q1 - 3:32CHIMISS McDermott 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
19.9%
30
80.1%
Q1 - 3:44CHIPortis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
21.0%
30
79.0%
Q1 - 3:45MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 121
20.8%
30
79.2%
Q1 - 3:58CHIMcDermott 7' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
22.3%
28
77.7%
Q1 - 4:12MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)19
21.1%
28
78.9%
Q1 - 4:18MIAHEAT Rebound19
22.4%
26
77.6%
Q1 - 4:19MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Bank Shot19
23.6%
26
76.4%
Q1 - 4:25MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
22.4%
26
77.6%
Q1 - 4:26CHIMISS Gibson 6' Turnaround Hook Shot19
22.9%
26
77.1%
Q1 - 4:42MIAJohnson 6' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)19
24.2%
26
75.8%
Q1 - 5:03CHIGasol Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)19
25.9%
24
74.1%
Q1 - 5:20MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
27.6%
24
72.4%
Q1 - 5:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
27.9%
23
72.1%
Q1 - 5:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
29.2%
22
70.8%
Q1 - 5:34CHIMISS Snell 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
29.8%
22
70.2%
Q1 - 6:00MIADeng 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)19
31.0%
22
69.0%
Q1 - 6:06MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
32.6%
20
67.4%
Q1 - 6:07CHIStoudemire BLOCK (2 BLK)19
33.2%
20
66.8%
Q1 - 6:15CHIDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
34.6%
20
65.4%
Q1 - 6:16MIAMISS Dragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot19
34.0%
20
66.0%
Q1 - 6:31CHIGibson 5' Hook Bank Shot (6 PTS)19
32.6%
20
67.4%
Q1 - 6:49MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)17
31.1%
20
68.9%
Q1 - 7:05CHIRose 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)17
34.2%
17
65.8%
Q1 - 7:13MIADragic 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
32.8%
17
67.2%
Q1 - 7:32CHIDunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)15
34.2%
15
65.8%
Q1 - 7:40CHIBulls Rebound12
31.1%
15
68.9%
Q1 - 7:41CHIStoudemire BLOCK (1 BLK)12
29.8%
15
70.2%
Q1 - 7:56MIAJohnson 8' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)12
31.1%
15
68.9%
Q1 - 8:19CHIGibson 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)12
32.5%
13
67.5%
Q1 - 8:36MIAWade Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)10
31.1%
13
68.9%
Q1 - 8:39MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
32.5%
11
67.5%
Q1 - 8:40CHIMISS Moore 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
33.1%
11
66.9%
Q1 - 8:48MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)10
34.4%
11
65.6%
Q1 - 9:04CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
35.8%
9
64.2%
Q1 - 9:04CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
35.5%
9
64.5%
Q1 - 9:08MIAStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)8
34.4%
9
65.6%
Q1 - 9:19CHIGibson Dunk (2 PTS) (Moore 2 AST)8
37.5%
6
62.5%
Q1 - 9:29CHIMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
36.1%
6
63.9%
Q1 - 9:30MIAMISS Wade 12' Floating Jump Shot6
35.5%
6
64.5%
Q1 - 9:54CHIGasol 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Moore 1 AST)6
34.1%
6
65.9%
Q1 - 10:04MIADeng 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS)4
32.7%
6
67.3%
Q1 - 10:30CHIGasol 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)4
34.1%
4
65.9%
Q1 - 10:47MIADeng 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)2
32.7%
4
67.3%
Q1 - 10:51CHIDeng STEAL (1 STL)2
34.1%
2
65.9%
Q1 - 10:59MIADragic 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
36.0%
2
64.0%
Q1 - 11:14MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
37.4%
0
62.6%
Q1 - 11:15CHIMISS Rose 21' Jump Shot2
37.8%
0
62.2%
Q1 - 11:21CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.9%
0
61.1%
Q1 - 11:22MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Bank Shot2
38.5%
0
61.5%
Q1 - 11:41CHIGasol 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
37.4%
0
62.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Stoudemire vs. Gasol: Tip to Moore0
35.6%
0
64.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.07 53.4%
MIA
1.43 71.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
15
32
47%
MIA
24
31
77%
Midrange
CHI
15
35
43%
MIA
22
34
65%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
11
16.5
23
48%
72%
MIA
6
9.0
12
50%
75%
Free Throws
CHI
18
26
69%
MIA
19
25
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Rose1761%8.5 / 14
A. Brooks1647%8.0 / 17
P. Gasol1554%7.5 / 14
T. Gibson1372%6.5 / 9
B. Portis1169%5.5 / 8
D. McDermott1146%5.5 / 12
M. Dunleavy1071%5.0 / 7
E. Moore867%4.0 / 6
J. Holiday750%3.5 / 7
T. Snell233%1.0 / 3
C. Bairstow150%0.5 / 1
C. Felicio0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside2681%13.0 / 16
J. Johnson2486%12.0 / 14
L. Deng2091%10.0 / 11
D. Wade1856%9.0 / 16
G. Dragic1757%8.5 / 15
J. Richardson964%4.5 / 7
J. Winslow867%4.0 / 6
A. Stoudemire7117%3.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
89
+14
-9
103
MIA
84
+6
-15
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.07 53.4%
MIA
1.43 71.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.7
106.0
CHI 113.3
MIA 130.3 +17.0
Pace
95.2
93.7
CHI 109.8 +20.4
MIA 89.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
16.0
CHI 13.1 +3.0
MIA 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.7%
50.8%
CHI 51.7%
MIA 71.4% +19.7%
TO %
13.9%
14.0%
CHI 9.0% +5.6%
MIA 14.6%
ORB %
24.5%
23.9%
CHI 19.0% +3.0%
MIA 16.0%
FTrt
24.0
28.2
CHI 28.9
MIA 32.5 +3.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.1%
54.3%
CHI 48.8%
MIA 53.8% +5.0%
STL %
6.3%
7.2%
CHI 10.2% +5.1%
MIA 5.1%
BLK %
8.6%
10.3%
CHI 3.1%
MIA 16.4% +13.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.2%
52.8%
CHI 53.4%
MIA 71.7% +18.3%
Rim FG%
53.9%
62.3%
CHI 46.9%
MIA 77.4% +30.5%
Mid FG%
39.5%
40.5%
CHI 42.9%
MIA 64.7% +21.8%
3P %
37.1%
33.6%
CHI 47.8%
MIA 50.0% +2.2%
FT %
78.7%
74.4%
CHI 69.2%
MIA 76.0% +6.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.2%
37.0%
CHI 35.6%
MIA 40.3% +4.7%
Mid Att. %
39.4%
40.9%
CHI 38.9% +5.3%
MIA 44.2%
3P Att. %
24.4%
22.1%
CHI 25.6% +10.0%
MIA 15.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions9899
Possession Minutes21.426.6
Points111129
Rebounds2938
Assists2028
Steals105
Blocks211
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (6)4 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (0)34 (4)
Field Goals41-9052-77
At-the-Rim FG15-3224-31
Midrange FG15-3522-34
2-Point FG30-6746-65
3-Point FG11-236-12
Free Throws18-2619-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 250 · 36
30.4
15
54%
9
6
0
1
1
2
1
8
2-2
100%
5-11
45%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 230 · 35
29.4
10
71%
2
1
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
G · 6'3" 190 · 27
24.2
17
61%
0
3
1
0
3
0
0
0
4-7
57%
5-10
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 235 · 31
23.1
13
72%
3
1
1
0
1
2
2
1
5-7
71%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 191 · 27
19.2
8
67%
2
2
2
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
F · 6'10" 250 · 21
26.9
11
69%
7
0
4
0
1
4
2
5
0-0
-
4-7
57%
1-1
100%
F · 6'6" 225 · 24
26.4
11
46%
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1-1
100%
5-10
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'0" 161 · 31
21.9
16
47%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
3-5
60%
2-10
20%
3-5
60%
G · 6'6" 185 · 27
16.3
7
50%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
G · 6'7" 221 · 24
14.8
2
33%
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 24
6.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25
1.3
1
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 26
#13 · C · 6'11" 230 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#44 · F · 6'10" 238 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
53%
29
20
10
2
9
0
8
21
18-26
69%
30-67
45%
11-23
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.