FinalWin Prob.pScore
260%105
104
840%102
94
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
108.39685.8
HOU logo HOU
98.995107.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS104
100%
94
0%
Q4 - 0:08.0HOUBrewer Running Dunk (15 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)104
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)104
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0SASBrewer BLOCK (1 BLK)104
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0HOUMcDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)104
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0HOUMcDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)104
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)104
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)103
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0HOUBrewer 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)102
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)102
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0SASMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17HOUTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Harrell 1 AST)102
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:27SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)102
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:27SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 2101
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)101
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33HOUMISS Harden 27' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot101
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:44HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)101
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:45SASMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)101
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:05HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 2101
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:05HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2101
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:05SASAldridge 6' Hook Shot (26 PTS)101
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:05SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)99
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06SASMISS Aldridge 3' Jump Shot99
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:26SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)99
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:43SASLeonard 2' Alley Oop Layup (27 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)99
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:56SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)97
99.7%
85
0.3%
Q4 - 2:57HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 297
99.6%
85
0.4%
Q4 - 2:57HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)97
99.6%
85
0.4%
Q4 - 2:57SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)97
99.6%
84
0.4%
Q4 - 2:57SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 296
99.6%
84
0.4%
Q4 - 3:07SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)96
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 3:07HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 296
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 3:07HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)96
99.6%
84
0.4%
Q4 - 3:08SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)96
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 3:08SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)95
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 3:12SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)94
99.5%
83
0.5%
Q4 - 3:13HOUMISS Terry 10' Floating Jump Shot94
99.4%
83
0.6%
Q4 - 3:18HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)94
99.2%
83
0.8%
Q4 - 3:19HOUMISS Harden 3' Layup94
99.4%
83
0.6%
Q4 - 3:26HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
99.2%
83
0.8%
Q4 - 3:27SASMISS Duncan 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Bank Jump Shot94
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 3:50HOUTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ariza 5 AST)94
99.0%
83
1.0%
Q4 - 4:09SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)94
99.5%
80
0.5%
Q4 - 4:09SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)93
99.5%
80
0.5%
Q4 - 4:31HOUHarden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (27 PTS)92
99.4%
80
0.6%
Q4 - 4:40SASAldridge 2' Layup (22 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)92
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q4 - 4:58HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)90
99.6%
77
0.4%
Q4 - 4:58HOUHoward Putback Dunk (9 PTS)90
99.6%
77
0.4%
Q4 - 4:59HOUMISS Smith 3' Layup90
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 5:21SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)90
99.4%
75
0.6%
Q4 - 5:21SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)89
99.4%
75
0.6%
Q4 - 5:30HOUHarden 3' Running Layup (24 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)88
99.2%
75
0.8%
Q4 - 5:33HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
99.4%
73
0.6%
Q4 - 5:34SASAriza BLOCK (2 BLK)88
99.5%
73
0.5%
Q4 - 5:41SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)88
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q4 - 5:42HOUMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot88
99.5%
73
0.5%
Q4 - 5:57SASAldridge 2' Putback Layup (20 PTS)88
99.4%
73
0.6%
Q4 - 5:58SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)86
99.2%
73
0.8%
Q4 - 5:59SASMISS Parker 16' Pullup Jump Shot86
99.0%
73
1.0%
Q4 - 6:18HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (22 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)86
98.9%
73
1.1%
Q4 - 6:24HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
99.1%
71
0.9%
Q4 - 6:25HOUMISS Brewer Free Throw 2 of 286
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q4 - 6:25HOUBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)86
99.2%
71
0.8%
Q4 - 6:30HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
99.3%
70
0.7%
Q4 - 6:31SASMISS Aldridge 11' Turnaround Jump Shot86
99.4%
70
0.6%
Q4 - 6:57HOUBrewer 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)86
99.5%
70
0.5%
Q4 - 7:12SASHarden STEAL (1 STL)86
99.5%
68
0.5%
Q4 - 7:18HOUTerry Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)86
99.6%
68
0.4%
Q4 - 7:35SASAldridge 3' Layup (18 PTS)86
99.5%
68
0.5%
Q4 - 7:52HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Ariza 4 AST)84
99.3%
68
0.7%
Q4 - 8:20SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)84
99.4%
65
0.6%
Q4 - 8:20SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)83
99.4%
65
0.6%
Q4 - 8:31HOUBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)82
99.3%
65
0.7%
Q4 - 8:31HOUBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)82
99.3%
64
0.7%
Q4 - 8:35HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
99.4%
63
0.6%
Q4 - 8:36SASMISS Aldridge 16' Fadeaway Jumper82
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q4 - 8:53SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q4 - 8:54HOUMISS Harden 3PT Jump Shot82
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q4 - 9:06SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)82
99.2%
63
0.8%
Q4 - 9:06SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)81
99.2%
63
0.8%
Q4 - 9:21HOUBeverley Foul Turnover (P1.T13)80
99.0%
63
1.0%
Q4 - 9:21HOUROCKETS Rebound80
98.8%
63
1.2%
Q4 - 9:21HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
99.0%
63
1.0%
Q4 - 9:34HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
98.8%
63
1.2%
Q4 - 9:34SASMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 180
98.8%
63
1.2%
Q4 - 9:38HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)78
98.5%
63
1.5%
Q4 - 9:50SASMills 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)78
98.0%
63
2.0%
Q4 - 10:13HOUBeverley 2' Running Layup (8 PTS)76
97.1%
63
2.9%
Q4 - 10:19HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
97.6%
61
2.4%
Q4 - 10:20SASMISS Leonard 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot76
97.8%
61
2.2%
Q4 - 10:41SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
98.1%
61
1.9%
Q4 - 10:42HOUMISS Harden 12' Step Back Jump Shot76
98.0%
61
2.0%
Q4 - 10:51SASMills Backcourt Turnover (P1.T13)76
97.7%
61
2.3%
Q4 - 11:04HOUBeverley 4' Running Layup (6 PTS)76
97.7%
61
2.3%
Q4 - 11:08HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)76
98.2%
59
1.8%
Q4 - 11:09SASMISS Parker 15' Step Back Jump Shot76
98.3%
59
1.7%
Q4 - 11:32SASWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)76
98.5%
59
1.5%
Q4 - 11:33SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
98.3%
59
1.7%
Q4 - 11:56HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)76
98.5%
59
1.5%
Q4 - 11:56HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)76
98.6%
58
1.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS76
98.8%
57
1.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound76
99.1%
57
0.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Mills 20' Jump Shot76
98.9%
57
1.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0HOUHarden Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T11)76
98.8%
57
1.2%
Q3 - 0:10.0SASParker 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)76
98.6%
57
1.4%
Q3 - 0:29.0HOUTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST)74
98.2%
57
1.8%
Q3 - 0:36.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
98.8%
54
1.2%
Q3 - 0:36.0SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
98.9%
54
1.1%
Q3 - 0:52.0HOUBeverley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)74
99.0%
54
1.0%
Q3 - 0:52.0HOUBeverley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)74
99.1%
53
0.9%
Q3 - 0:52.0HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
99.2%
52
0.8%
Q3 - 0:52.0SASMISS Leonard 3' Driving Layup74
99.3%
52
0.7%
Q3 - 0:59.0HOUMotiejunas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)74
99.4%
52
0.6%
Q3 - 1:10SASDiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)74
99.0%
52
1.0%
Q3 - 1:10SASMISS Diaw Free Throw 1 of 273
99.0%
52
1.0%
Q3 - 1:30HOUBeverley 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)73
99.1%
52
0.9%
Q3 - 1:35SASDiaw Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T12)73
99.2%
50
0.8%
Q3 - 1:57HOUBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
99.4%
50
0.6%
Q3 - 1:57HOUBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)73
99.4%
49
0.6%
Q3 - 2:00HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)73
99.5%
48
0.5%
Q3 - 2:01SASMISS Anderson 19' Jump Shot73
99.3%
48
0.7%
Q3 - 2:20SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
99.4%
48
0.6%
Q3 - 2:21HOUMISS Beverley 12' Floating Jump Shot73
99.4%
48
0.6%
Q3 - 2:43SASWest 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)73
99.3%
48
0.7%
Q3 - 3:03HOUTerry 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)71
99.0%
48
1.0%
Q3 - 3:10HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
99.2%
46
0.8%
Q3 - 3:10SASMISS Leonard 21' Jump Shot71
99.2%
46
0.8%
Q3 - 3:27HOUHoward 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)71
99.3%
46
0.7%
Q3 - 3:36SASLeonard Backcourt Turnover (P2.T11)71
99.4%
44
0.6%
Q3 - 3:57HOUTerry 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)71
99.5%
44
0.5%
Q3 - 4:13SASAnderson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10)71
99.5%
42
0.5%
Q3 - 4:13SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
99.6%
42
0.4%
Q3 - 4:14SASAriza BLOCK (1 BLK)71
99.5%
42
0.5%
Q3 - 4:34HOUBrewer 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)71
99.6%
42
0.4%
Q3 - 5:00SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)71
99.7%
40
0.3%
Q3 - 5:00SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)70
99.6%
40
0.4%
Q3 - 5:00SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)69
99.6%
40
0.4%
Q3 - 5:01SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
99.4%
40
0.6%
Q3 - 5:10SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
99.5%
40
0.5%
Q3 - 5:11HOUMISS Howard 10' Turnaround Hook Shot69
99.5%
40
0.5%
Q3 - 5:18HOUROCKETS Rebound69
99.4%
40
0.6%
Q3 - 5:18HOUMISS Brewer 4' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot69
99.5%
40
0.5%
Q3 - 5:36SASAldridge 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)69
99.4%
40
0.6%
Q3 - 6:01HOUHarden 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (15 PTS)67
99.2%
40
0.8%
Q3 - 6:27SASDuncan 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)67
99.3%
38
0.7%
Q3 - 6:46HOUAriza 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)65
99.2%
38
0.8%
Q3 - 6:52HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)65
99.4%
35
0.6%
Q3 - 6:52SASMISS Aldridge 17' Jump Shot65
99.4%
35
0.6%
Q3 - 7:03SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
99.4%
35
0.6%
Q3 - 7:04HOUMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot65
99.4%
35
0.6%
Q3 - 7:27SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)65
99.3%
35
0.7%
Q3 - 7:52HOUHoward 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)62
99.1%
35
0.9%
Q3 - 8:06SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)62
99.1%
33
0.9%
Q3 - 8:24SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)59
98.8%
33
1.2%
Q3 - 8:25HOUMISS Harden 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
98.8%
33
1.2%
Q3 - 8:31HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)59
98.6%
33
1.4%
Q3 - 8:32SASMISS Aldridge 18' Fadeaway Jumper59
98.7%
33
1.3%
Q3 - 8:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
98.8%
33
1.2%
Q3 - 8:53HOUMISS Harden 21' Step Back Jump Shot59
98.8%
33
1.2%
Q3 - 9:00HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
98.6%
33
1.4%
Q3 - 9:01SASMISS Duncan 7' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot59
98.5%
33
1.5%
Q3 - 9:15HOUHarden 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)59
98.7%
33
1.3%
Q3 - 9:24SASParker 2' Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS)59
98.8%
31
1.2%
Q3 - 9:50HOUSmith Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)57
98.7%
31
1.3%
Q3 - 10:05SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)57
98.3%
31
1.7%
Q3 - 10:15SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)54
97.8%
31
2.2%
Q3 - 10:16HOUMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot54
97.7%
31
2.3%
Q3 - 10:32HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
97.4%
31
2.6%
Q3 - 10:33SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot54
97.6%
31
2.4%
Q3 - 10:43SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)54
97.8%
31
2.2%
Q3 - 10:44HOUMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot54
97.7%
31
2.3%
Q3 - 11:03SASGreen 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)54
97.2%
31
2.8%
Q3 - 11:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
96.5%
31
3.5%
Q3 - 11:08HOUMISS Smith 2' Layup51
96.3%
31
3.7%
Q3 - 11:11HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
95.9%
31
4.1%
Q3 - 11:13HOUMISS Smith 5' Turnaround Hook Shot51
96.3%
31
3.7%
Q3 - 11:22HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)51
95.9%
31
4.1%
Q3 - 11:23SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot51
96.1%
31
3.9%
Q3 - 11:39SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)51
96.5%
31
3.5%
Q3 - 11:40HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
96.3%
31
3.7%
Q3 - 11:47SASHoward STEAL (1 STL)51
95.9%
31
4.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU51
96.5%
31
3.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound51
95.9%
31
4.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Motiejunas 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
96.3%
31
3.7%
Q2 - 0:15.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
95.6%
31
4.4%
Q2 - 0:15.0SASMISS Green Free Throw 2 of 251
95.6%
31
4.4%
Q2 - 0:15.0SASMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 251
96.0%
31
4.0%
Q2 - 0:15.0SASSpurs Rebound51
96.0%
31
4.0%
Q2 - 0:15.0HOUMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot51
95.8%
31
4.2%
Q2 - 0:18.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
95.6%
31
4.4%
Q2 - 0:19.0HOUMISS Harden 27' 3PT Jump Shot51
95.9%
31
4.1%
Q2 - 0:26.0HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
95.6%
31
4.4%
Q2 - 0:28.0HOUMISS Motiejunas 3' Hook Shot51
95.9%
31
4.1%
Q2 - 0:39.0SASLeonard 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)51
95.6%
31
4.4%
Q2 - 0:43.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)48
94.2%
31
5.8%
Q2 - 0:43.0HOUMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
94.0%
31
6.0%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)48
93.7%
31
6.3%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)47
93.5%
31
6.5%
Q2 - 0:55.0SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
92.6%
31
7.4%
Q2 - 0:55.0SASMISS Aldridge 9' Jump Shot46
92.1%
31
7.9%
Q2 - 1:10SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
92.1%
31
7.9%
Q2 - 1:11HOUMISS Motiejunas 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
91.9%
31
8.1%
Q2 - 1:30HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
91.6%
31
8.4%
Q2 - 1:31HOUMISS Harden 3' Driving Layup46
92.0%
31
8.0%
Q2 - 1:45SASAldridge Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)46
91.6%
31
8.4%
Q2 - 1:51SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)46
92.1%
31
7.9%
Q2 - 1:52HOUMISS Smith 6' Turnaround Hook Shot46
92.0%
31
8.0%
Q2 - 2:06HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
90.9%
31
9.1%
Q2 - 2:07SASMISS Parker 21' Pullup Jump Shot46
91.2%
31
8.8%
Q2 - 2:20SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
91.9%
31
8.1%
Q2 - 2:21HOUMISS Howard 8' Turnaround Hook Shot46
91.6%
31
8.4%
Q2 - 2:48SASParker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)46
91.0%
31
9.0%
Q2 - 3:13HOUHarden 5' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)43
88.4%
31
11.6%
Q2 - 3:27SASAldridge 3' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)43
89.4%
29
10.6%
Q2 - 3:54HOUHarden 2' Running Layup (9 PTS)41
88.4%
29
11.6%
Q2 - 4:02SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)41
88.9%
27
11.1%
Q2 - 4:31HOUHoward Dunk (3 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)38
86.5%
27
13.5%
Q2 - 4:34HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
87.7%
25
12.3%
Q2 - 4:35HOUMISS Howard 4' Jump Shot38
88.6%
25
11.4%
Q2 - 4:49HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
87.7%
25
12.3%
Q2 - 4:52SASMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
88.1%
25
11.9%
Q2 - 5:16HOUSmith 5' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
88.7%
25
11.3%
Q2 - 5:29SASAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)38
89.7%
23
10.3%
Q2 - 5:29SASAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)37
89.5%
23
10.5%
Q2 - 5:46HOUHarden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)36
88.7%
23
11.3%
Q2 - 5:52HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
90.7%
20
9.3%
Q2 - 5:53SASMISS Aldridge 20' Jump Shot36
91.0%
20
9.0%
Q2 - 6:05HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
91.4%
20
8.6%
Q2 - 6:05HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
91.4%
19
8.6%
Q2 - 6:10HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
92.0%
18
8.0%
Q2 - 6:10SASMISS Aldridge 18' Jump Shot36
92.3%
18
7.7%
Q2 - 6:22SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
92.9%
18
7.1%
Q2 - 6:23HOUMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
92.7%
18
7.3%
Q2 - 6:36SASParker 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)36
92.0%
18
8.0%
Q2 - 6:47SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
91.4%
18
8.6%
Q2 - 6:50HOUMISS Smith 8' Floating Jump Shot34
91.1%
18
8.9%
Q2 - 7:05HOUROCKETS Rebound34
89.9%
18
10.1%
Q2 - 7:05HOUMISS Harden 7' Running Jump Shot34
90.6%
18
9.4%
Q2 - 7:14SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)34
89.9%
18
10.1%
Q2 - 7:26HOUAriza 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)34
90.9%
18
9.1%
Q2 - 7:36HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
92.4%
15
7.6%
Q2 - 7:37SASMISS Green 22' Pullup Jump Shot34
92.7%
15
7.3%
Q2 - 8:00HOUHarden Foul Turnover (P3.T8)34
93.2%
15
6.8%
Q2 - 8:04SASAriza STEAL (2 STL)34
92.1%
15
7.9%
Q2 - 8:19SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
92.8%
15
7.2%
Q2 - 8:19HOUMISS Harden 4' Running Layup34
92.6%
15
7.4%
Q2 - 8:24HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
92.1%
15
7.9%
Q2 - 8:25SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot34
92.3%
15
7.7%
Q2 - 8:49HOULawson Foul Turnover (P1.T7)34
92.8%
15
7.2%
Q2 - 8:53HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
92.1%
15
7.9%
Q2 - 8:54SASMISS West 17' Jump Shot34
92.3%
15
7.7%
Q2 - 9:07HOUTerry 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
92.6%
15
7.4%
Q2 - 9:32SASGreen 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)34
93.2%
13
6.8%
Q2 - 9:49SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
92.6%
13
7.4%
Q2 - 9:50HOUMISS Ariza 16' Pullup Jump Shot32
92.4%
13
7.6%
Q2 - 10:06SASWest 13' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)32
91.5%
13
8.5%
Q2 - 10:29HOUTerry Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6)30
90.9%
13
9.1%
Q2 - 10:45SASWest 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)30
89.8%
13
10.2%
Q2 - 10:57SASSpurs Rebound28
89.1%
13
10.9%
Q2 - 10:57HOUMISS Lawson 10' Floating Jump Shot28
88.7%
13
11.3%
Q2 - 11:10SASDiaw 4' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS) (West 2 AST)28
87.5%
13
12.5%
Q2 - 11:20HOUBrewer 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)26
86.5%
13
13.5%
Q2 - 11:36HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
87.5%
11
12.5%
Q2 - 11:36SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot26
87.9%
11
12.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS26
88.6%
11
11.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound26
88.6%
11
11.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
87.9%
11
12.1%
Q1 - 0:20.0SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
88.1%
11
11.9%
Q1 - 0:21.0HOUMISS Lawson 22' Step Back Jump Shot26
87.9%
11
12.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0SASLawson STEAL (1 STL)26
87.3%
11
12.7%
Q1 - 1:04HOUMotiejunas Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)26
87.9%
11
12.1%
Q1 - 1:21SASAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (West 1 AST)26
87.2%
11
12.8%
Q1 - 1:39HOULawson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Motiejunas 1 AST)23
84.6%
11
15.4%
Q1 - 2:00SASAnderson 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)23
86.1%
9
13.9%
Q1 - 2:15HOUTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)21
84.7%
9
15.3%
Q1 - 2:33SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)21
83.6%
9
16.4%
Q1 - 2:54SASSpurs Rebound18
80.7%
9
19.3%
Q1 - 2:54HOUMISS Beverley 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
80.3%
9
19.7%
Q1 - 3:08SASAnderson 18' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)18
79.0%
9
21.0%
Q1 - 3:19HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)16
77.7%
9
22.3%
Q1 - 3:28SASLeonard 9' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
75.9%
9
24.1%
Q1 - 3:42SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
74.4%
9
25.6%
Q1 - 3:43HOUMISS Harden 9' Fadeaway Jumper14
73.9%
9
26.1%
Q1 - 3:55SASParker Foul Turnover (P2.T4)14
72.5%
9
27.5%
Q1 - 4:03HOUJones Dunk (2 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)14
74.3%
9
25.7%
Q1 - 4:21SASLeonard 12' Pullup Bank Shot (4 PTS)14
75.7%
7
24.3%
Q1 - 4:42HOUMotiejunas 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)12
74.3%
7
25.7%
Q1 - 4:50SASAriza STEAL (1 STL)12
75.7%
5
24.3%
Q1 - 4:57HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
77.5%
5
22.5%
Q1 - 5:11HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
78.2%
3
21.8%
Q1 - 5:11SASMISS Aldridge 15' Jump Shot12
78.6%
3
21.4%
Q1 - 5:25SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
79.7%
3
20.3%
Q1 - 5:26HOUMISS Harden 20' Step Back Jump Shot12
79.2%
3
20.8%
Q1 - 5:45SASAldridge 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
78.2%
3
21.8%
Q1 - 5:55SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
76.9%
3
23.1%
Q1 - 5:55HOUMISS Ariza 21' Jump Shot10
76.4%
3
23.6%
Q1 - 6:06SASAldridge Dunk (4 PTS) (Green 3 AST)10
74.8%
3
25.2%
Q1 - 6:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
73.4%
3
26.6%
Q1 - 6:17HOUMISS Harden 4' Driving Layup8
72.9%
3
27.1%
Q1 - 6:31HOUROCKETS Rebound8
71.7%
3
28.3%
Q1 - 6:32SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot8
72.2%
3
27.8%
Q1 - 7:04HOUAriza 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)8
73.4%
3
26.6%
Q1 - 7:28SASAldridge 1' Layup (2 PTS)8
74.6%
1
25.4%
Q1 - 7:40SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
73.4%
1
26.6%
Q1 - 7:42HOUMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
72.8%
1
27.2%
Q1 - 7:56SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
71.6%
1
28.4%
Q1 - 8:16SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
73.7%
1
26.3%
Q1 - 8:16HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 26
73.5%
1
26.5%
Q1 - 8:16HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
72.8%
1
27.2%
Q1 - 8:32SASLeonard 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
73.5%
0
26.5%
Q1 - 8:47SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
72.2%
0
27.8%
Q1 - 8:47HOUMISS Beverley 1' Driving Layup4
71.6%
0
28.4%
Q1 - 9:01SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Green 2 AST)4
70.3%
0
29.7%
Q1 - 9:14HOUHarden Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)2
69.1%
0
30.9%
Q1 - 9:28SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)2
67.1%
0
32.9%
Q1 - 9:33SASSpurs Rebound0
65.8%
0
34.2%
Q1 - 9:33SASHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)0
64.3%
0
35.7%
Q1 - 9:48SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
65.8%
0
34.2%
Q1 - 9:49HOUMISS Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
65.1%
0
34.9%
Q1 - 9:58HOUROCKETS Rebound0
63.7%
0
36.3%
Q1 - 9:58HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
63.7%
0
36.3%
Q1 - 9:58HOUMISS Howard 1' Tip Layup Shot0
65.1%
0
34.9%
Q1 - 9:59HOUMISS Harden 2' Driving Layup0
65.1%
0
34.9%
Q1 - 10:24SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
63.7%
0
36.3%
Q1 - 10:48SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
65.6%
0
34.4%
Q1 - 10:49HOUMISS Howard 1' Alley Oop Layup0
65.0%
0
35.0%
Q1 - 10:56HOUROCKETS Rebound0
63.7%
0
36.3%
Q1 - 10:56HOUMISS Ariza 2' Driving Layup0
65.0%
0
35.0%
Q1 - 11:03HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
63.9%
0
36.1%
Q1 - 11:04SASMISS Leonard 16' Pullup Jump Shot0
64.3%
0
35.7%
Q1 - 11:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
65.4%
0
34.6%
Q1 - 11:17SASMISS Aldridge 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
64.3%
0
35.7%
Q1 - 11:42HOUSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
65.4%
0
34.6%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Howard vs. Duncan: Tip to Beverley0
63.9%
0
36.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.12 55.9%
HOU
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
14
18
78%
HOU
25
41
61%
Midrange
SAS
15
39
38%
HOU
2
18
11%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
HOU
8
12.0
25
32%
48%
Free Throws
SAS
22
28
79%
HOU
16
22
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2779%13.5 / 17
L. Aldridge2657%13.0 / 23
T. Parker1563%7.5 / 12
K. Anderson1161%5.5 / 9
D. Green844%4.0 / 9
T. Duncan643%3.0 / 7
D. West675%3.0 / 4
B. Diaw375%1.5 / 2
P. Mills225%1.0 / 4
R. Butler0-0.0 / 1
R. McCallum0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden2750%13.5 / 27
J. Terry1575%7.5 / 10
C. Brewer1575%7.5 / 10
D. Howard1137%5.5 / 15
T. Ariza850%4.0 / 8
P. Beverley850%4.0 / 8
J. Smith213%1.0 / 8
D. Motiejunas225%1.0 / 4
T. Lawson233%1.0 / 3
T. Jones2100%1.0 / 1
K. McDaniels2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
83
+10
-13
93
HOU
81
+15
-14
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.12 55.9%
HOU
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.2
108.1
SAS 108.3
HOU 98.9 +9.4
Pace
94.0
97.9
SAS 85.8
HOU 107.9 +22.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.2
SAS 16.8
HOU 13.3 +3.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
51.6%
SAS 53.9% +7.5%
HOU 46.4%
TO %
13.3%
15.5%
SAS 13.7%
HOU 13.0% +0.7%
ORB %
22.9%
25.7%
SAS 18.9%
HOU 20.0% +1.1%
FTrt
24.6
35.2
SAS 36.8 +10.6
HOU 26.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
58.9%
SAS 64.9% +10.6%
HOU 54.3%
STL %
8.8%
10.2%
SAS 4.2%
HOU 5.3% +1.1%
BLK %
9.6%
9.0%
SAS 6.8%
HOU 7.0% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.6 and 2.6.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
53.7%
SAS 55.9% +6.9%
HOU 49.0%
Rim FG%
62.8%
58.5%
SAS 77.8% +16.8%
HOU 61.0%
Mid FG%
43.2%
38.9%
SAS 38.5% +27.4%
HOU 11.1%
3P %
37.5%
34.7%
SAS 42.1% +10.1%
HOU 32.0%
FT %
80.3%
69.5%
SAS 78.6% +5.9%
HOU 72.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.7%
40.0%
SAS 23.7%
HOU 48.8% +25.1%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
23.0%
SAS 51.3%
HOU 21.4% +29.9%
3P Att. %
22.3%
37.0%
SAS 25.0%
HOU 29.8% +4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsSASHOU
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes26.921.1
Points10494
Rebounds4339
Assists2419
Steals45
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)9 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (3)30 (1)
Field Goals37-7635-84
At-the-Rim FG14-1825-41
Midrange FG15-392-18
2-Point FG29-5727-59
3-Point FG8-198-25
Free Throws22-2816-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 225 · 25
39.1
27
79%
8
1
1
1
2
3
0
8
8-9
89%
5-9
56%
3-4
75%
F · 6'11" 260 · 31
33.4
26
57%
16
1
0
1
1
2
4
12
8-8
100%
9-18
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 34
32.7
15
63%
1
4
0
0
2
3
0
1
3-4
75%
3-8
38%
2-2
100%
G · 6'6" 215 · 29
31.1
8
44%
6
3
0
1
1
5
0
6
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
C · 6'11" 250 · 40
24.9
6
43%
6
6
0
1
2
4
1
5
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 230 · 22
23.0
11
61%
3
3
1
0
2
1
1
2
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
G · 6'0" 185 · 28
20.6
2
25%
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 35
15.8
6
75%
1
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34
10.2
3
75%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 37
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 195 · 26
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 25
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 7'3" 290 · 28
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 39
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · C-F · 6'10" 235 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
56%
43
24
4
4
13
0
7
36
22-28
79%
29-57
51%
8-19
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.