Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, February 25, 2016

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	3	Spurs	54%	99	96
	10	Jazz	46%	97	78

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
SAS	111.6	86	80.0
UTA	92.9	84	90.8

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+13

-11

UTA

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.09 54.5%

UTA

0.94 47.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	UTA
Q4 - 0:00.0	SAS		96 100%	78 0%
Q4 - 0:10.0	SAS	Marjanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	96 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0	UTA	MISS Mack 3PT Jump Shot	96 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0	UTA	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	96 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0	SAS	MISS McCallum 17' Jump Shot	96 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0	UTA	Mack 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)	96 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0	SAS	Simmons 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McCallum 1 AST)	96 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0	UTA	Gobert 2' Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Mack 3 AST)	93 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 1:08	UTA	Gobert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	93 99.9%	74 0.1%
Q4 - 1:09	SAS	MISS Anderson 15' Fadeaway Jumper	93 99.9%	74 0.1%
Q4 - 1:30	UTA	Mack Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)	93 99.9%	74 0.1%
Q4 - 1:40	UTA	Gobert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	93 99.9%	74 0.1%
Q4 - 1:40	SAS	MISS Simmons 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot	93 99.9%	74 0.1%
Q4 - 1:58	SAS	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	93 99.9%	74 0.1%
Q4 - 1:59	UTA	MISS Hayward 2' Layup	93 99.9%	74 0.1%
Q4 - 2:22	SAS	Mills 3' Driving Layup (11 PTS)	93 99.9%	74 0.1%
Q4 - 2:35	SAS	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	91 99.9%	74 0.1%
Q4 - 2:37	UTA	Booker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	91 99.9%	74 0.1%
Q4 - 2:37	UTA	MISS Booker 1' Tip Layup Shot	91 99.9%	74 0.1%
Q4 - 2:38	UTA	MISS Mack 2' Driving Layup	91 99.9%	74 0.1%
Q4 - 2:56	SAS	Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)	91 99.9%	74 0.1%
Q4 - 3:12	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)	88 99.8%	74 0.2%
Q4 - 3:14	UTA	MISS Booker 2' Running Alley Oop Layup Shot	88 99.8%	74 0.2%
Q4 - 3:20	SAS	Favors STEAL (2 STL)	88 99.7%	74 0.3%
Q4 - 3:38	UTA	Favors 17' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Hood 6 AST)	88 99.6%	74 0.4%
Q4 - 3:55	SAS	Leonard 15' Pullup Jump Shot (29 PTS)	88 99.7%	72 0.3%
Q4 - 4:17	UTA	Hayward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	86 99.6%	72 0.4%
Q4 - 4:17	UTA	Hayward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	86 99.6%	71 0.4%
Q4 - 4:32	SAS	Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)	86 99.7%	70 0.3%
Q4 - 4:53	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	83 99.5%	70 0.5%
Q4 - 4:53	SAS	MISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot	83 99.3%	70 0.7%
Q4 - 5:16	UTA	Neto 12' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)	83 99.0%	70 1.0%
Q4 - 5:38	SAS	Aldridge 2' Layup (12 PTS)	83 99.3%	68 0.7%
Q4 - 5:55	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)	81 99.1%	68 0.9%
Q4 - 5:56	UTA	MISS Favors 18' Jump Shot	81 99.0%	68 1.0%
Q4 - 6:13	UTA	JAZZ Rebound	81 98.1%	68 1.9%
Q4 - 6:13	SAS	MISS Green 4' Running Jump Shot	81 98.2%	68 1.8%
Q4 - 6:17	UTA	Hood Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)	81 98.6%	68 1.4%
Q4 - 6:41	SAS	Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Aldridge 2 AST)	81 98.1%	68 1.9%
Q4 - 6:59	UTA	Favors Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)	78 96.7%	68 3.3%
Q4 - 6:59	UTA	MISS Favors Free Throw 1 of 2	78 97.0%	67 3.0%
Q4 - 7:13	SAS	Parker 3' Alley Oop Layup (13 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)	78 95.7%	67 4.3%
Q4 - 7:28	UTA	Favors 8' Turnaround Fadeaway (22 PTS)	76 94.6%	67 5.4%
Q4 - 7:48	SAS	Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)	76 95.8%	65 4.2%
Q4 - 8:04	SAS	Spurs Rebound	73 91.5%	65 8.5%
Q4 - 8:05	UTA	MISS Mack 7' Floating Jump Shot	73 90.9%	65 9.1%
Q4 - 8:23	SAS	Mack STEAL (2 STL)	73 89.5%	65 10.5%
Q4 - 8:24	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	73 91.6%	65 8.4%
Q4 - 8:25	UTA	MISS Gobert 3' Jump Bank Shot	73 91.0%	65 9.0%
Q4 - 8:31	UTA	JAZZ Rebound	73 89.5%	65 10.5%
Q4 - 8:31	UTA	Gobert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	73 89.5%	65 10.5%
Q4 - 8:31	UTA	MISS Gobert 2' Tip Layup Shot	73 91.0%	65 9.0%
Q4 - 8:31	UTA	MISS Hood 5' Jump Bank Shot	73 91.0%	65 9.0%
Q4 - 8:58	SAS	Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	73 89.6%	65 10.4%
Q4 - 8:58	SAS	Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	72 89.1%	65 10.9%
Q4 - 9:15	SAS	Spurs Rebound	71 85.6%	65 14.4%
Q4 - 9:16	UTA	MISS Mack 3PT Jump Shot	71 84.7%	65 15.3%
Q4 - 9:31	UTA	Burke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	71 82.3%	65 17.7%
Q4 - 9:32	SAS	MISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot	71 83.4%	65 16.6%
Q4 - 9:55	UTA	Hood 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	71 85.7%	65 14.3%
Q4 - 10:14	UTA	Gobert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	71 87.2%	63 12.8%
Q4 - 10:14	SAS	MISS Mills Free Throw 1 of 1	71 87.5%	63 12.5%
Q4 - 10:25	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	68 81.4%	63 18.6%
Q4 - 10:26	UTA	MISS Booker Free Throw 2 of 2	68 80.9%	63 19.1%
Q4 - 10:26	UTA	MISS Booker Free Throw 1 of 2	68 79.0%	63 21.0%
Q4 - 10:36	UTA	Booker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	68 77.5%	63 22.5%
Q4 - 10:37	SAS	MISS West 10' Jump Shot	68 78.8%	63 21.2%
Q4 - 10:57	UTA	Burke Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	68 81.5%	63 18.5%
Q4 - 11:08	SAS	Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)	68 86.1%	60 13.9%
Q4 - 11:30	UTA	Hood 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Burke 1 AST)	65 80.2%	60 19.8%
Q4 - 11:43	UTA	Booker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	65 86.1%	57 13.9%
Q4 - 11:44	SAS	MISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot	65 86.9%	57 13.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAS		65 88.6%	57 11.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0	SAS	Leonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	65 87.6%	57 12.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0	UTA	MISS Burke 24' 3PT Jump Shot	65 86.9%	57 13.1%
Q3 - 0:22.0	SAS	Duncan 3' Layup (14 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)	65 85.2%	57 14.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0	SAS	Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	63 82.5%	57 17.5%
Q3 - 0:47.0	UTA	MISS Ingles 24' 3PT Jump Shot	63 81.5%	57 18.5%
Q3 - 1:11	UTA	Hood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	63 78.4%	57 21.6%
Q3 - 1:11	SAS	MISS Leonard 16' Pullup Jump Shot	63 79.4%	57 20.6%
Q3 - 1:23	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	63 81.6%	57 18.4%
Q3 - 1:24	UTA	MISS Hood 13' Pullup Jump Shot	63 80.7%	57 19.3%
Q3 - 1:37	SAS	Leonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)	63 78.4%	57 21.6%
Q3 - 1:37	SAS	Leonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)	62 78.0%	57 22.0%
Q3 - 1:48	UTA	Burke 8' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)	61 75.1%	57 24.9%
Q3 - 1:59	UTA	Hayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	61 78.5%	55 21.5%
Q3 - 1:59	SAS	MISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot	61 79.5%	55 20.5%
Q3 - 2:13	SAS	West REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	61 80.5%	55 19.5%
Q3 - 2:15	UTA	MISS Favors 15' Jump Shot	61 79.5%	55 20.5%
Q3 - 2:29	SAS	Aldridge 4' Hook Shot (10 PTS)	61 77.2%	55 22.8%
Q3 - 2:53	UTA	Booker 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Favors 3 AST)	59 74.1%	55 25.9%
Q3 - 3:14	SAS	Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (West 1 AST)	59 79.7%	52 20.3%
Q3 - 3:31	UTA	Hayward 3' Driving Reverse Layup (9 PTS)	56 73.6%	52 26.4%
Q3 - 3:40	UTA	Favors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	56 76.6%	50 23.4%
Q3 - 3:41	SAS	MISS Anderson 6' Jump Bank Shot	56 77.7%	50 22.3%
Q3 - 3:51	SAS	Mills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	56 79.9%	50 20.1%
Q3 - 3:51	UTA	MISS Hayward 16' Jump Shot	56 79.0%	50 21.0%
Q3 - 4:14	SAS	West Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)	56 75.8%	50 24.2%
Q3 - 4:21	SAS	Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	56 79.3%	50 20.7%
Q3 - 4:21	UTA	MISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot	56 78.2%	50 21.8%
Q3 - 4:36	UTA	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	56 75.8%	50 24.2%
Q3 - 4:37	SAS	MISS Aldridge 12' Turnaround Jump Shot	56 76.9%	50 23.1%
Q3 - 4:50	UTA	Favors Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)	56 79.3%	50 20.7%
Q3 - 4:55	UTA	Hayward Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)	56 75.8%	50 24.2%
Q3 - 5:10	SAS	Aldridge 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS)	56 78.0%	49 22.0%
Q3 - 5:34	UTA	Hayward Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)	54 75.4%	49 24.6%
Q3 - 5:45	SAS	Leonard 1' Running Dunk (19 PTS)	54 71.9%	49 28.1%
Q3 - 5:49	UTA	Burke Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)	52 68.8%	49 31.2%
Q3 - 6:10	UTA	Hood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	52 64.5%	49 35.5%
Q3 - 6:11	SAS	MISS Parker 8' Pullup Jump Shot	52 65.7%	49 34.3%
Q3 - 6:32	UTA	Favors 11' Step Back Jump Shot (20 PTS)	52 68.4%	49 31.6%
Q3 - 6:46	SAS	Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	52 71.4%	47 28.6%
Q3 - 6:46	SAS	Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	51 70.8%	47 29.2%
Q3 - 7:03	UTA	Gobert Dunk (6 PTS) (Hayward 2 AST)	50 67.9%	47 32.1%
Q3 - 7:18	SAS	Duncan 3' Driving Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)	50 70.7%	45 29.3%
Q3 - 7:40	SAS	Spurs Rebound	48 67.9%	45 32.1%
Q3 - 7:40	SAS	MISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot	48 65.3%	45 34.7%
Q3 - 7:50	SAS	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	48 67.9%	45 32.1%
Q3 - 7:51	UTA	MISS Favors 14' Pullup Jump Shot	48 66.8%	45 33.2%
Q3 - 8:09	SAS	Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)	48 64.1%	45 35.9%
Q3 - 8:27	SAS	Leonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	45 57.4%	45 42.6%
Q3 - 8:28	UTA	MISS Mack 15' Pullup Jump Shot	45 56.2%	45 43.8%
Q3 - 8:47	SAS	Green Foul Turnover (P1.T9)	45 53.2%	45 46.8%
Q3 - 8:47	SAS	Spurs Rebound	45 57.4%	45 42.6%
Q3 - 8:47	SAS	MISS Parker 16' Jump Shot	45 54.5%	45 45.5%
Q3 - 9:04	UTA	Favors 4' Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Mack 2 AST)	45 57.1%	45 42.9%
Q3 - 9:18	UTA	Favors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	45 60.5%	43 39.5%
Q3 - 9:18	SAS	MISS Aldridge 4' Turnaround Hook Shot	45 61.6%	43 38.4%
Q3 - 9:38	UTA	Favors 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (16 PTS)	45 64.0%	43 36.0%
Q3 - 9:59	SAS	Leonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)	45 67.2%	41 32.8%
Q3 - 9:59	SAS	Leonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)	44 66.7%	41 33.3%
Q3 - 10:20	UTA	Favors Dunk (14 PTS) (Hood 5 AST)	43 64.0%	41 36.0%
Q3 - 10:34	SAS	Duncan 3' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)	43 66.9%	39 33.1%
Q3 - 10:51	UTA	Favors 6' Hook Shot (12 PTS)	41 64.0%	39 36.0%
Q3 - 11:13	SAS	Aldridge 16' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)	41 67.0%	37 33.0%
Q3 - 11:37	UTA	Hayward 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)	39 64.1%	37 35.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAS		39 67.0%	35 33.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAS	Spurs Rebound	39 70.1%	35 29.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0	SAS	MISS Green 56' 3PT Jump Shot	39 67.8%	35 32.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0	UTA	Favors 7' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hood 4 AST)	39 69.1%	35 30.9%
Q2 - 0:09.0	SAS	Aldridge 2' Layup (4 PTS)	39 72.7%	33 27.3%
Q2 - 0:09.0	SAS	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	37 69.2%	33 30.8%
Q2 - 0:09.0	SAS	Gobert BLOCK (1 BLK)	37 67.8%	33 32.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0	UTA	Hayward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)	37 69.2%	33 30.8%
Q2 - 0:49.0	SAS	West 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS)	37 67.2%	33 32.8%
Q2 - 1:05	UTA	Hood 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)	35 63.0%	33 37.0%
Q2 - 1:27	SAS	Spurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)	35 67.3%	31 32.7%
Q2 - 1:52	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	35 68.7%	31 31.3%
Q2 - 1:52	UTA	MISS Hayward 4' Driving Floating Jump Shot	35 68.3%	31 31.7%
Q2 - 2:15	UTA	Mack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	35 66.3%	31 33.7%
Q2 - 2:16	SAS	MISS Aldridge 3' Layup	35 67.1%	31 32.9%
Q2 - 2:30	SAS	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	35 68.9%	31 31.1%
Q2 - 2:31	UTA	MISS Mack 3' Driving Layup	35 68.1%	31 31.9%
Q2 - 2:58	SAS	Leonard 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)	35 66.4%	31 33.6%
Q2 - 3:17	UTA	Mack Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	33 63.6%	31 36.4%
Q2 - 3:29	SAS	Aldridge 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)	33 60.3%	31 39.7%
Q2 - 3:42	SAS	Green REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	31 58.0%	31 42.0%
Q2 - 3:42	UTA	MISS Gobert 2' Layup	31 56.9%	31 43.1%
Q2 - 3:56	SAS	Leonard 8' Turnaround Fadeaway (13 PTS)	31 54.5%	31 45.5%
Q2 - 4:07	SAS	Green REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	29 52.1%	31 47.9%
Q2 - 4:07	UTA	MISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	29 51.2%	31 48.8%
Q2 - 4:22	UTA	JAZZ Rebound	29 49.0%	31 51.0%
Q2 - 4:22	UTA	MISS Hayward 25' 3PT Jump Shot	29 51.2%	31 48.8%
Q2 - 4:37	SAS	Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Green 1 AST)	29 49.0%	31 51.0%
Q2 - 5:01	SAS	Leonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	26 44.1%	31 55.9%
Q2 - 5:01	UTA	MISS Hayward 13' Jump Shot	26 43.2%	31 56.8%
Q2 - 5:16	SAS	West 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)	26 41.2%	31 58.8%
Q2 - 5:25	SAS	Leonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	24 38.6%	31 61.4%
Q2 - 5:26	UTA	MISS Mack 6' Floating Jump Shot	24 37.8%	31 62.2%
Q2 - 5:33	UTA	Mack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	24 35.9%	31 64.1%
Q2 - 5:33	SAS	MISS Leonard 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot	24 36.7%	31 63.3%
Q2 - 5:41	SAS	West REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	24 38.6%	31 61.4%
Q2 - 5:41	SAS	MISS Parker 3' Finger Roll Layup	24 36.7%	31 63.3%
Q2 - 5:53	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	24 38.6%	31 61.4%
Q2 - 5:54	SAS	MISS West 11' Jump Shot	24 36.7%	31 63.3%
Q2 - 6:19	UTA	Hayward 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Favors 2 AST)	24 39.6%	31 60.4%
Q2 - 6:32	SAS	West 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)	24 41.5%	29 58.5%
Q2 - 6:33	SAS	West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	22 39.5%	29 60.5%
Q2 - 6:36	SAS	MISS Leonard 20' Jump Shot	22 37.3%	29 62.7%
Q2 - 6:47	SAS	Spurs Rebound	22 39.5%	29 60.5%
Q2 - 6:47	SAS	MISS Parker 17' Jump Shot	22 37.3%	29 62.7%
Q2 - 7:14	UTA	Favors 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	22 39.9%	29 60.1%
Q2 - 7:35	SAS	Leonard 15' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)	22 42.2%	27 57.8%
Q2 - 7:45	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	20 39.9%	27 60.1%
Q2 - 7:46	UTA	MISS Hood 24' 3PT Jump Shot	20 39.1%	27 60.9%
Q2 - 7:55	UTA	Hood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	20 37.2%	27 62.8%
Q2 - 7:56	SAS	MISS Parker 14' Jump Shot	20 38.0%	27 62.0%
Q2 - 8:06	SAS	Diaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	20 40.2%	27 59.8%
Q2 - 8:08	SAS	MISS Duncan 7' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot	20 38.4%	27 61.6%
Q2 - 8:24	UTA	Lyles Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)	20 40.2%	27 59.8%
Q2 - 8:36	SAS	Anderson Foul Turnover (P1.T7)	20 37.6%	27 62.4%
Q2 - 8:41	SAS	Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	20 40.2%	27 59.8%
Q2 - 8:42	UTA	MISS Hood 20' Pullup Jump Shot	20 39.4%	27 60.6%
Q2 - 9:02	SAS	Simmons Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)	20 38.0%	27 62.0%
Q2 - 9:14	SAS	Simmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	20 40.7%	27 59.3%
Q2 - 9:14	UTA	MISS Neto 3' Running Layup	20 39.9%	27 60.1%
Q2 - 9:20	UTA	Neto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	20 38.0%	27 62.0%
Q2 - 9:21	SAS	MISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot	20 38.8%	27 61.2%
Q2 - 9:46	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	20 40.7%	27 59.3%
Q2 - 9:46	UTA	MISS Ingles 3PT Jump Shot	20 39.8%	27 60.2%
Q2 - 10:08	UTA	Ingles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	20 38.0%	27 62.0%
Q2 - 10:08	SAS	MISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot	20 38.8%	27 61.2%
Q2 - 10:36	UTA	Favors 3' Reverse Layup (6 PTS)	20 40.8%	27 59.2%
Q2 - 10:37	UTA	Favors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	20 42.7%	25 57.3%
Q2 - 10:38	UTA	MISS Favors 1' Layup	20 44.8%	25 55.2%
Q2 - 10:54	UTA	JAZZ Rebound	20 42.7%	25 57.3%
Q2 - 10:54	UTA	MISS Hood 14' Turnaround Jump Shot	20 44.8%	25 55.2%
Q2 - 11:19	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	20 43.0%	25 57.0%
Q2 - 11:19	SAS	Duncan 1' Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS)	20 43.0%	25 57.0%
Q2 - 11:21	SAS	Booker BLOCK (1 BLK)	18 39.1%	25 60.9%
Q2 - 11:42	UTA	Booker Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Hood 3 AST)	18 40.8%	25 59.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0	UTA		18 43.0%	23 57.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0	UTA	JAZZ Rebound	18 43.0%	23 57.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0	UTA	MISS Neto 52' 3PT Jump Shot	18 44.7%	23 55.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0	SAS	Duncan 3' Hook Shot (6 PTS)	18 43.7%	23 56.3%
Q1 - 0:13.0	UTA	Neto Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	16 40.7%	23 59.3%
Q1 - 0:13.0	UTA	Neto Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	16 41.3%	22 58.7%
Q1 - 0:15.0	SAS	Neto STEAL (1 STL)	16 43.6%	21 56.4%
Q1 - 0:29.0	SAS	Simmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	16 45.3%	21 54.7%
Q1 - 0:30.0	UTA	MISS Hayward 24' 3PT Jump Shot	16 44.8%	21 55.2%
Q1 - 0:48.0	SAS	Diaw 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)	16 43.6%	21 56.4%
Q1 - 0:58.0	SAS	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	14 40.7%	21 59.3%
Q1 - 0:59.0	UTA	MISS Hayward 2' Driving Layup	14 40.2%	21 59.8%
Q1 - 1:07	UTA	Booker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	14 39.5%	21 60.5%
Q1 - 1:08	SAS	MISS Diaw 22' Jump Shot	14 39.9%	21 60.1%
Q1 - 1:25	SAS	Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	14 41.1%	21 58.9%
Q1 - 1:25	UTA	MISS Hayward 24' 3PT Jump Shot	14 40.6%	21 59.4%
Q1 - 1:44	UTA	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	14 39.4%	21 60.6%
Q1 - 1:45	SAS	MISS Aldridge 13' Jump Shot	14 39.9%	21 60.1%
Q1 - 2:04	SAS	Diaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	14 41.6%	21 58.4%
Q1 - 2:05	UTA	MISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot	14 41.0%	21 59.0%
Q1 - 2:21	SAS	Hayward STEAL (1 STL)	14 39.6%	21 60.4%
Q1 - 2:32	SAS	Simmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	14 41.6%	21 58.4%
Q1 - 2:33	SAS	MISS Aldridge 17' Jump Shot	14 40.2%	21 59.8%
Q1 - 2:56	UTA	Hayward Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)	14 41.6%	21 58.4%
Q1 - 3:08	UTA	Hayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	14 40.0%	21 60.0%
Q1 - 3:08	SAS	MISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot	14 40.7%	21 59.3%
Q1 - 3:27	UTA	Mack 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)	14 42.3%	21 57.7%
Q1 - 3:37	UTA	Booker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	14 44.3%	19 55.7%
Q1 - 3:38	SAS	MISS Anderson 16' Jump Shot	14 45.0%	19 55.0%
Q1 - 3:53	SAS	Diaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	14 46.7%	19 53.3%
Q1 - 3:54	UTA	MISS Johnson 3' Jump Shot	14 45.9%	19 54.1%
Q1 - 4:04	UTA	Gobert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	14 44.4%	19 55.6%
Q1 - 4:05	SAS	MISS Aldridge 4' Hook Shot	14 45.2%	19 54.8%
Q1 - 4:22	UTA	Gobert Backcourt Turnover (P2.T2)	14 47.0%	19 53.0%
Q1 - 4:30	SAS	Parker 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)	14 44.4%	19 55.6%
Q1 - 4:48	UTA	Hood 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)	12 42.6%	19 57.4%
Q1 - 5:06	UTA	Favors REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	12 47.1%	16 52.9%
Q1 - 5:06	SAS	MISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot	12 47.8%	16 52.2%
Q1 - 5:20	UTA	Hayward 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Favors 1 AST)	12 49.3%	16 50.7%
Q1 - 5:39	SAS	Leonard 3' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)	12 51.2%	14 48.8%
Q1 - 6:02	UTA	Mack 1' Running Layup (4 PTS)	10 49.6%	14 50.4%
Q1 - 6:08	SAS	Mack STEAL (1 STL)	10 51.4%	12 48.6%
Q1 - 6:22	UTA	Mack 11' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)	10 53.5%	12 46.5%
Q1 - 6:35	SAS	Leonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	10 55.4%	10 44.6%
Q1 - 6:35	SAS	Leonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	9 55.1%	10 44.9%
Q1 - 6:45	UTA	Gobert Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	8 53.5%	10 46.5%
Q1 - 7:06	SAS	Duncan 2' Layup (4 PTS)	8 51.5%	10 48.5%
Q1 - 7:08	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	6 50.0%	10 50.0%
Q1 - 7:09	SAS	MISS Aldridge 3' Jump Shot	6 48.4%	10 51.6%
Q1 - 7:24	UTA	Gobert 2' Layup (4 PTS)	6 50.0%	10 50.0%
Q1 - 7:43	UTA	Mack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 51.5%	8 48.5%
Q1 - 7:43	SAS	MISS Parker 8' Pullup Jump Shot	6 52.2%	8 47.8%
Q1 - 7:59	UTA	Favors 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hood 2 AST)	6 53.8%	8 46.2%
Q1 - 8:16	SAS	Duncan 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)	6 55.8%	6 44.2%
Q1 - 8:28	UTA	Hood Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	4 54.1%	6 45.9%
Q1 - 8:28	UTA	Hood Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	4 54.4%	5 45.6%
Q1 - 8:34	UTA	JAZZ Rebound	4 55.8%	4 44.2%
Q1 - 8:34	UTA	MISS Hood 5' Jump Shot	4 57.3%	4 42.7%
Q1 - 8:45	UTA	Favors REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	4 55.8%	4 44.2%
Q1 - 8:46	SAS	MISS Green 10' Floating Jump Shot	4 56.4%	4 43.6%
Q1 - 9:07	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 58.0%	4 42.0%
Q1 - 9:08	UTA	MISS Hood 25' 3PT Jump Shot	4 57.3%	4 42.7%
Q1 - 9:14	SAS	Favors STEAL (1 STL)	4 55.8%	4 44.2%
Q1 - 9:25	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 58.0%	4 42.0%
Q1 - 9:26	UTA	MISS Hayward 18' Jump Shot	4 57.3%	4 42.7%
Q1 - 9:40	UTA	Favors REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 55.8%	4 44.2%
Q1 - 9:40	SAS	MISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot	4 56.5%	4 43.5%
Q1 - 9:55	UTA	Favors 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hood 1 AST)	4 58.0%	4 42.0%
Q1 - 10:17	SAS	Parker 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)	4 59.4%	2 40.6%
Q1 - 10:25	SAS	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 57.9%	2 42.1%
Q1 - 10:27	UTA	MISS Mack 19' Jump Shot	2 57.2%	2 42.8%
Q1 - 10:43	UTA	JAZZ Rebound	2 55.8%	2 44.2%
Q1 - 10:45	SAS	MISS Leonard 3PT Jump Shot	2 56.4%	2 43.6%
Q1 - 11:00	UTA	Gobert 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Hayward 1 AST)	2 57.9%	2 42.1%
Q1 - 11:14	SAS	Leonard 3' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)	2 59.4%	0 40.6%
Q1 - 11:25	SAS	Leonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 57.6%	0 42.4%
Q1 - 11:26	UTA	MISS Gobert 2' Tip Layup Shot	0 57.1%	0 42.9%
Q1 - 11:26	UTA	Gobert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	0 55.9%	0 44.1%
Q1 - 11:26	UTA	MISS Favors 12' Jump Shot	0 57.1%	0 42.9%
Q1 - 11:47	SAS	Duncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	0 55.9%	0 44.1%
Q1 - 12:00	UTA	Jump Ball Gobert vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker	0 57.6%	0 42.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.09 54.5%

UTA

0.94 47.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

72%

UTA

48%

Midrange

SAS

31%

UTA

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

13.5

50%

75%

UTA

4.5

18%

26%

Free Throws

SAS

92%

UTA

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	29	81%	14.5 / 18
T. Parker	16	57%	8.0 / 14
L. Aldridge	15	50%	7.5 / 15
T. Duncan	14	64%	7.0 / 11
P. Mills	11	110%	5.5 / 5
D. West	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Simmons	3	75%	1.5 / 2
B. Diaw	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Green	0	-	0.0 / 5
K. Anderson	0	-	0.0 / 4
R. Butler	0	-	0.0 / 1
R. McCallum	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Favors	25	69%	12.5 / 18
R. Hood	12	50%	6.0 / 12
G. Hayward	11	39%	5.5 / 14
R. Gobert	8	50%	4.0 / 8
S. Mack	8	33%	4.0 / 12
T. Booker	5	50%	2.5 / 5
T. Burke	5	83%	2.5 / 3
R. Neto	4	50%	2.0 / 4
C. Johnson	0	-	0.0 / 4
J. Ingles	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+13

-11

UTA

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.09 54.5%

UTA

0.94 47.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	110.2 106.2	SAS 111.6 UTA 92.9 +18.8
Pace	94.0 90.8	SAS 80.0 UTA 90.8 +10.8
Avg. Poss. Time	16.2 16.5	SAS 18.0 UTA 15.9 +2.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	52.6% 50.1%	SAS 53.8% +9.0% UTA 44.8%
TO %	13.3% 15.4%	SAS 12.5% UTA 11.8% +0.7%
ORB %	22.9% 25.9%	SAS 25.0% +14.5% UTA 10.5%
FTrt	24.6 28.6	SAS 15.2 UTA 15.6 +0.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	61.1% 52.6%	SAS 44.7% UTA 45.5% +0.8%
STL %	8.8% 8.3%	SAS 5.8% UTA 7.1% +1.3%
BLK %	9.6% 9.0%	SAS 8.3% +5.0% UTA 3.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	54.9% 52.4%	SAS 54.5% +7.5% UTA 47.0%
Rim FG%	62.8% 57.1%	SAS 72.0% +23.6% UTA 48.4%
Mid FG%	43.2% 40.1%	SAS 30.6% UTA 51.7% +21.1%
3P %	37.5% 35.5%	SAS 50.0% +32.4% UTA 17.6%
FT %	80.3% 74.4%	SAS 91.7% +16.7% UTA 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	32.7% 36.0%	SAS 31.6% UTA 40.3% +8.6%
Mid Att. %	44.9% 34.3%	SAS 45.6% UTA 37.7% +7.9%
3P Att. %	22.3% 29.7%	SAS 22.8% +0.7% UTA 22.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	UTA
Possessions	86	84
Possession Minutes	25.8	22.2
Points	96	78
Rebounds	43	31
Assists	17	15
Steals	5	6
Blocks	5	2
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	4 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (2)	27 (2)
Field Goals	38-79	33-77
At-the-Rim FG	18-25	15-31
Midrange FG	11-36	15-29
2-Point FG	29-61	30-60
3-Point FG	9-18	3-17
Free Throws	11-12	9-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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3 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'7" 225 · 25	35.2	29	81%	5	3	3	0	0	2	0	5	6-6	100%	7-10	70%	3-5	60%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 31	33.0	15	50%	7	2	0	1	1	1	1	6	1-1	100%	7-15	47%	0-0	-
Tim Duncan C · 6'11" 250 · 40	31.7	14	64%	11	2	1	1	3	3	3	8	0-0	-	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 34	30.9	16	57%	3	6	0	0	1	1	1	2	4-4	100%	3-10	30%	2-2	100%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 29	27.9	0	0%	2	1	0	1	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 35	17.9	6	60%	3	1	0	1	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 28	16.9	11	110%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	3-4	75%
Kyle Anderson F-G · 6'9" 230 · 22	16.6	0	0%	3	0	0	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34	9.6	2	33%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 37	8.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jonathon Simmons F · 6'6" 195 · 26	8.2	3	75%	3	0	1	0	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Ray McCallum G · 6'3" 190 · 25	1.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Boban Marjanovic C · 7'3" 290 · 28	1.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Manu Ginobili #20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 39	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Matt Bonner #15 · C-F · 6'10" 235 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	55%	43	17	5	5	11	0	9	34	11-12	92%	29-61	48%	9-18	50%

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3 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'7" 225 · 25	35.2	29	81%	5	3	3	0	0	2	0	5	6-6	100%	7-10	70%	3-5	60%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 31	33.0	15	50%	7	2	0	1	1	1	1	6	1-1	100%	7-15	47%	0-0	-
Tim Duncan C · 6'11" 250 · 40	31.7	14	64%	11	2	1	1	3	3	3	8	0-0	-	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 34	30.9	16	57%	3	6	0	0	1	1	1	2	4-4	100%	3-10	30%	2-2	100%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 29	27.9	0	0%	2	1	0	1	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 35	17.9	6	60%	3	1	0	1	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 28	16.9	11	110%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	3-4	75%
Kyle Anderson F-G · 6'9" 230 · 22	16.6	0	0%	3	0	0	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34	9.6	2	33%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 37	8.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jonathon Simmons F · 6'6" 195 · 26	8.2	3	75%	3	0	1	0	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Ray McCallum G · 6'3" 190 · 25	1.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Boban Marjanovic C · 7'3" 290 · 28	1.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Manu Ginobili #20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 39	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Matt Bonner #15 · C-F · 6'10" 235 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	55%	43	17	5	5	11	0	9	34	11-12	92%	29-61	48%	9-18	50%

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10 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rudy Gobert C · 7'1" 258 · 24	37.0	8	50%	6	0	0	1	2	2	2	4	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Rodney Hood G · 6'8" 206 · 23	36.5	12	50%	3	6	0	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	2-4	50%
Derrick Favors F · 6'10" 265 · 25	36.5	25	69%	6	3	2	0	1	2	1	5	1-2	50%	12-17	71%	0-0	-
Gordon Hayward F · 6'8" 226 · 26	35.9	11	39%	2	2	1	0	3	1	0	2	3-3	100%	4-10	40%	0-3	0%
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 26	27.9	8	33%	3	3	2	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	4-10	40%	0-2	0%
Trevor Booker F · 6'8" 228 · 28	18.8	5	50%	5	0	0	1	0	0	1	4	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Raul Neto G · 6'1" 179 · 24	12.4	4	50%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Chris Johnson F · 6'6" 206 · 26	11.5	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Trey Burke G · 6'1" 191 · 23	10.7	5	83%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Joe Ingles F-G · 6'8" 220 · 28	9.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Trey Lyles F · 6'10" 234 · 20	3.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jeff Withey · 7'0" 231 · 26
Tibor Pleiss #21 · C · 7'3" 256 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Dante Exum #11 · G · 6'5" 214 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Alec Burks #10 · G · 6'5" 214 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	78	47%	31	15	6	2	11	0	4	27	9-12	75%	30-60	50%	3-17	18%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE