FinalWin Prob.pScore
2234%97
115
1166%103
111
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
110.6104101.2
ATL logo ATL
105.7105108.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA115
100%
111
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)115
99.8%
111
0.2%
Q4 - 0:07.0ATLMISS Millsap 2' Driving Layup115
98.9%
111
1.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)115
95.6%
111
4.4%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 2114
94.9%
111
5.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)114
96.8%
109
3.2%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 2113
96.3%
109
3.7%
Q4 - 0:27.0ATLMillsap 24' 3PT Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Teague 7 AST)113
97.1%
109
2.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)113
99.2%
106
0.8%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)112
99.1%
106
0.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0ATLTeague 1' Running Layup (23 PTS)111
98.6%
106
1.4%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)111
98.8%
104
1.2%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 2110
98.6%
104
1.4%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)110
98.8%
104
1.2%
Q4 - 0:41.0ATLMISS Scott 3PT Jump Shot110
98.5%
104
1.5%
Q4 - 0:45.0ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)110
97.1%
104
2.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0ATLMISS Millsap 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot110
98.2%
104
1.8%
Q4 - 1:01ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)110
95.6%
104
4.4%
Q4 - 1:04MIAMISS Deng 21' Pullup Jump Shot110
96.2%
104
3.8%
Q4 - 1:24ATLTeague 1' Reverse Layup (21 PTS)110
96.3%
104
3.7%
Q4 - 1:33MIADeng 20' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Dragic 10 AST)110
97.0%
102
3.0%
Q4 - 1:49ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T21)108
94.2%
102
5.8%
Q4 - 1:56MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)108
91.0%
102
9.0%
Q4 - 1:56MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)107
90.1%
102
9.9%
Q4 - 2:00ATLBazemore Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T20)106
86.6%
102
13.4%
Q4 - 2:07ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)106
77.2%
102
22.8%
Q4 - 2:09MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot106
80.3%
102
19.7%
Q4 - 2:28ATLMillsap Running Dunk (7 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)106
86.4%
102
13.6%
Q4 - 2:31ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)106
89.3%
100
10.7%
Q4 - 2:33MIAMISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot106
91.1%
100
8.9%
Q4 - 2:51MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)106
92.1%
100
7.9%
Q4 - 2:53ATLMISS Horford 25' 3PT Jump Shot106
90.9%
100
9.1%
Q4 - 3:03MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)106
87.2%
100
12.8%
Q4 - 3:09MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)103
77.1%
100
22.9%
Q4 - 3:11ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
73.9%
100
26.1%
Q4 - 3:17MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)103
65.4%
100
34.6%
Q4 - 3:17MIAMcRoberts 1' Tip Layup Shot (19 PTS)103
65.4%
100
34.6%
Q4 - 3:20MIAMISS Green 17' Fadeaway Jumper101
49.0%
100
51.0%
Q4 - 3:39ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (19 PTS)101
54.2%
100
45.8%
Q4 - 3:57MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (McRoberts 10 AST)101
62.8%
98
37.2%
Q4 - 4:16ATLTeague 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)98
45.4%
98
54.6%
Q4 - 4:29ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)98
63.1%
95
36.9%
Q4 - 4:30MIAMISS McRoberts 15' Jump Shot98
66.0%
95
34.0%
Q4 - 4:47ATLBazemore 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Millsap 4 AST)98
72.2%
95
27.8%
Q4 - 4:56ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)98
78.6%
93
21.4%
Q4 - 4:58MIAMISS McRoberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
80.7%
93
19.3%
Q4 - 5:18ATLKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)98
80.2%
93
19.8%
Q4 - 5:26ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)98
88.5%
90
11.5%
Q4 - 5:28MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
89.5%
90
10.5%
Q4 - 5:42MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)98
91.7%
90
8.3%
Q4 - 5:43ATLMISS Millsap 40' 3PT Jump Shot98
90.8%
90
9.2%
Q4 - 6:12MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)98
85.4%
90
14.6%
Q4 - 6:28ATLMillsap Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T19)96
82.0%
90
18.0%
Q4 - 6:30ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)96
76.4%
90
23.6%
Q4 - 6:31ATLMISS Millsap 2' Turnaround Jump Shot96
80.4%
90
19.6%
Q4 - 6:44MIAMcRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Dragic 9 AST)96
76.4%
90
23.6%
Q4 - 7:09ATLTeague 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)93
62.0%
90
38.0%
Q4 - 7:26MIADeng 2' Driving Layup (24 PTS) (McRoberts 9 AST)93
73.5%
87
26.5%
Q4 - 7:36MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)91
68.4%
87
31.6%
Q4 - 7:40ATLMISS Horford Alley Oop Dunk91
66.4%
87
33.6%
Q4 - 7:46ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
61.5%
87
38.5%
Q4 - 7:48MIAMISS McRoberts 19' Jump Shot91
63.7%
87
36.3%
Q4 - 7:56MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
68.5%
87
31.5%
Q4 - 7:58ATLMISS Horford 8' Turnaround Jump Shot91
66.5%
87
33.5%
Q4 - 8:12ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)91
59.9%
87
40.1%
Q4 - 8:14MIAMISS Udrih 18' Pullup Jump Shot91
61.7%
87
38.3%
Q4 - 8:34ATLSchroder Traveling Turnover (P5.T18)91
65.8%
87
34.2%
Q4 - 8:44MIAUdrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McRoberts 8 AST)91
59.9%
87
40.1%
Q4 - 8:51MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)88
47.1%
87
52.9%
Q4 - 8:54ATLMISS Millsap 19' Step Back Jump Shot88
45.2%
87
54.8%
Q4 - 9:11MIAHorford STEAL (1 STL)88
40.3%
87
59.7%
Q4 - 9:20ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)88
46.5%
87
53.5%
Q4 - 9:30MIADeng Layup (22 PTS) (McRoberts 7 AST)88
58.2%
84
41.8%
Q4 - 9:42MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
52.5%
84
47.5%
Q4 - 9:45ATLMISS Scott 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
50.6%
84
49.4%
Q4 - 10:01MIADeng 17' Step Back Jump Shot (20 PTS)86
45.3%
84
54.7%
Q4 - 10:26ATLScott 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Schroder 6 AST)84
40.1%
84
59.9%
Q4 - 10:37MIAWinslow 3' Layup (11 PTS) (McRoberts 6 AST)84
51.0%
81
49.0%
Q4 - 10:44MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
45.7%
81
54.3%
Q4 - 10:46MIAMISS Udrih 17' Jump Shot82
41.6%
81
58.4%
Q4 - 11:12MIAHeat Rebound82
45.0%
81
55.0%
Q4 - 11:12ATLMISS Schroder 1' Driving Layup82
43.3%
81
56.7%
Q4 - 11:30MIAMcRoberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)82
39.5%
81
60.5%
Q4 - 11:49ATLSchroder Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)79
29.9%
81
70.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA79
25.4%
81
74.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLSchroder 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)79
29.9%
81
70.1%
Q3 - 0:17.0ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
39.1%
78
60.9%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot79
40.6%
78
59.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0ATLSefolosha Dunk (4 PTS) (Millsap 3 AST)79
44.2%
78
55.8%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAKorver STEAL (1 STL)79
49.3%
76
50.7%
Q3 - 0:56.0ATLKorver 21' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)79
54.5%
76
45.5%
Q3 - 1:16MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McRoberts 5 AST)79
57.9%
74
42.1%
Q3 - 1:34MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
48.4%
74
51.6%
Q3 - 1:36ATLMISS Scott 18' Jump Shot76
46.8%
74
53.2%
Q3 - 1:55MIAGreen Foul Turnover (P3.T14)76
43.4%
74
56.6%
Q3 - 2:13ATLSchroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Sefolosha 2 AST)76
47.0%
74
53.0%
Q3 - 2:25MIAMcRoberts 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)76
56.0%
71
44.0%
Q3 - 2:45ATLKorver 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Schroder 5 AST)74
51.8%
71
48.2%
Q3 - 2:53MIAMcRoberts 7' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)74
60.6%
68
39.4%
Q3 - 3:05MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
55.5%
68
44.5%
Q3 - 3:06ATLMISS Millsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
54.0%
68
46.0%
Q3 - 3:20MIADragic Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)72
50.7%
68
49.3%
Q3 - 3:32ATLSchroder 15' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)72
55.5%
68
44.5%
Q3 - 3:41MIAGreen Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T12)72
59.5%
66
40.5%
Q3 - 3:46ATLSchroder Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)72
64.1%
66
35.9%
Q3 - 4:03MIAGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dragic 8 AST)72
57.8%
66
42.2%
Q3 - 4:12MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
50.1%
66
49.9%
Q3 - 4:13ATLMISS Scott 18' Jump Shot69
48.5%
66
51.5%
Q3 - 4:29MIAStoudemire 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Green 2 AST)69
45.1%
66
54.9%
Q3 - 4:36MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
41.6%
66
58.4%
Q3 - 4:38ATLMISS Sefolosha 21' Pullup Jump Shot67
40.2%
66
59.8%
Q3 - 5:00ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
36.9%
66
63.1%
Q3 - 5:01MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 267
37.1%
66
62.9%
Q3 - 5:01MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)67
39.7%
66
60.3%
Q3 - 5:02ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)66
36.9%
66
63.1%
Q3 - 5:23MIADragic 17' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)66
32.8%
66
67.2%
Q3 - 5:38ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)64
29.7%
66
70.3%
Q3 - 5:42ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
26.0%
66
74.0%
Q3 - 5:43MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
27.1%
66
72.9%
Q3 - 6:01ATLTeague 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)64
29.5%
66
70.5%
Q3 - 6:05ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
36.0%
63
64.0%
Q3 - 6:07MIAKorver BLOCK (1 BLK)64
37.3%
63
62.7%
Q3 - 6:08MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
40.2%
63
59.8%
Q3 - 6:11MIAMISS Stoudemire 2' Layup64
37.3%
63
62.7%
Q3 - 6:38ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)64
40.2%
63
59.8%
Q3 - 6:47MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)64
47.6%
60
52.4%
Q3 - 6:47MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)63
46.9%
60
53.1%
Q3 - 6:54MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)62
44.1%
60
55.9%
Q3 - 6:57ATLMISS Korver 17' Pullup Jump Shot62
42.8%
60
57.2%
Q3 - 7:01MIABazemore STEAL (2 STL)62
39.1%
60
60.9%
Q3 - 7:01MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)62
43.3%
60
56.7%
Q3 - 7:04ATLMISS Bazemore 1' Driving Layup62
42.0%
60
58.0%
Q3 - 7:21ATLScott REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
39.1%
60
60.9%
Q3 - 7:22MIAMISS Winslow 2' Driving Layup62
40.4%
60
59.6%
Q3 - 7:27MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)62
43.3%
60
56.7%
Q3 - 7:33MIAMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 162
39.7%
60
60.3%
Q3 - 7:33MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
36.0%
60
64.0%
Q3 - 7:33MIAMISS Green 1' Alley Oop Layup60
33.3%
60
66.7%
Q3 - 7:35MIAHeat Rebound60
36.0%
60
64.0%
Q3 - 7:35MIAHorford BLOCK (2 BLK)60
33.3%
60
66.7%
Q3 - 7:39MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
36.0%
60
64.0%
Q3 - 7:41ATLMISS Bazemore 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
34.8%
60
65.2%
Q3 - 7:48ATLScott REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
32.2%
60
67.8%
Q3 - 7:50ATLMISS Korver 3PT Jump Shot60
34.8%
60
65.2%
Q3 - 7:58ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
32.2%
60
67.8%
Q3 - 8:00ATLMISS Bazemore 2' Driving Layup60
34.8%
60
65.2%
Q3 - 8:21MIAGreen 19' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)60
32.0%
60
68.0%
Q3 - 8:33ATLMillsap Foul Turnover (P2.T13)58
29.2%
60
70.8%
Q3 - 8:37ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
25.8%
60
74.2%
Q3 - 8:39MIAMISS Green 20' Pullup Jump Shot58
26.8%
60
73.2%
Q3 - 8:45MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)58
29.2%
60
70.8%
Q3 - 8:47ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot58
28.2%
60
71.8%
Q3 - 9:03MIAGreen 17' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)58
25.8%
60
74.2%
Q3 - 9:14MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)56
23.2%
60
76.8%
Q3 - 9:16ATLMISS Millsap 4' Pullup Jump Shot56
22.4%
60
77.6%
Q3 - 9:22ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
20.7%
60
79.3%
Q3 - 9:24ATLMISS Horford 3PT Jump Shot56
22.4%
60
77.6%
Q3 - 9:32ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
20.7%
60
79.3%
Q3 - 9:33MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
21.4%
60
78.6%
Q3 - 9:49ATLMillsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)56
23.3%
60
76.7%
Q3 - 9:57MIAStoudemire Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T10)56
28.7%
57
71.3%
Q3 - 10:18MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
31.6%
57
68.4%
Q3 - 10:19ATLMISS Teague 2' Driving Layup56
30.6%
57
69.4%
Q3 - 10:29MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)56
28.5%
57
71.5%
Q3 - 10:39ATLTeague 2' Running Layup (8 PTS)54
25.9%
57
74.1%
Q3 - 10:43MIATeague STEAL (1 STL)54
28.5%
55
71.5%
Q3 - 11:00ATLKorver 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)54
31.6%
55
68.4%
Q3 - 11:09ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
37.2%
52
62.8%
Q3 - 11:12MIAMISS Deng 13' Turnaround Jump Shot54
38.2%
52
61.8%
Q3 - 11:31ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)54
40.7%
52
59.3%
Q3 - 11:51MIAGreen 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stoudemire 1 AST)54
37.2%
52
62.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
34.3%
52
65.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound52
34.3%
52
65.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot52
32.1%
52
67.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0ATLScott 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Schroder 4 AST)52
33.7%
52
66.3%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIADeng 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)52
40.7%
49
59.3%
Q2 - 0:22.0ATLSchroder Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)52
42.9%
49
57.1%
Q2 - 0:22.0ATLSchroder Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)52
43.5%
48
56.5%
Q2 - 0:22.0ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
47.0%
47
53.0%
Q2 - 0:23.0ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot52
48.6%
47
51.4%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIASchroder STEAL (1 STL)52
47.0%
47
53.0%
Q2 - 0:44.0ATLHorford 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Scott 1 AST)52
49.4%
47
50.6%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAGreen 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS) (McRoberts 4 AST)52
53.5%
45
46.5%
Q2 - 1:13ATLTeague 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)50
48.6%
45
51.4%
Q2 - 1:25MIAGreen Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)50
53.3%
43
46.7%
Q2 - 1:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
55.0%
43
45.0%
Q2 - 1:38ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Running Pull-Up Jump Shot50
54.5%
43
45.5%
Q2 - 1:44MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)50
53.4%
43
46.6%
Q2 - 1:44MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)49
52.7%
43
47.3%
Q2 - 2:00ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)48
48.7%
43
51.3%
Q2 - 2:00ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)48
49.4%
42
50.6%
Q2 - 2:06ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
51.7%
41
48.3%
Q2 - 2:07MIAMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot48
52.6%
41
47.4%
Q2 - 2:25ATLScott Alley Oop Layup (7 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)48
54.6%
41
45.4%
Q2 - 2:48MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Green 1 AST)48
57.9%
39
42.1%
Q2 - 3:01MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
53.8%
39
46.2%
Q2 - 3:02ATLMISS Bazemore 18' Running Pull-Up Jump Shot46
52.8%
39
47.2%
Q2 - 3:07ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
50.4%
39
49.6%
Q2 - 3:09MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
51.5%
39
48.5%
Q2 - 3:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
53.9%
39
46.1%
Q2 - 3:17ATLMISS Bazemore 2' Layup46
52.8%
39
47.2%
Q2 - 3:28ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
50.5%
39
49.5%
Q2 - 3:29MIAMISS Dragic 11' Pullup Jump Shot46
51.5%
39
48.5%
Q2 - 3:38MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)46
53.9%
39
46.1%
Q2 - 3:40MIAMISS Dragic 22' Pullup Jump Shot46
51.5%
39
48.5%
Q2 - 4:00ATLScott Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)46
54.0%
39
46.0%
Q2 - 4:26MIAWinslow 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)46
49.5%
39
50.5%
Q2 - 4:56ATLHorford 1' Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)44
46.9%
39
53.1%
Q2 - 5:06MIAWinslow Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)44
49.0%
37
51.0%
Q2 - 5:20ATLBazemore 1' Cutting Layup Shot (5 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)44
51.9%
37
48.1%
Q2 - 5:34ATLHAWKS Rebound44
54.6%
35
45.4%
Q2 - 5:35MIAMISS Dragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot44
55.4%
35
44.6%
Q2 - 5:41ATLMuscala Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)44
57.5%
35
42.5%
Q2 - 5:41ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
54.6%
35
45.4%
Q2 - 5:43ATLMISS Korver 19' Pullup Jump Shot44
56.6%
35
43.4%
Q2 - 5:57MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)44
54.6%
35
45.4%
Q2 - 6:08ATLMuscala Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
48.8%
35
51.2%
Q2 - 6:08ATLMuscala Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
49.2%
34
50.8%
Q2 - 6:23MIARichardson 1' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)41
50.8%
33
49.2%
Q2 - 6:28ATLBazemore Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)39
48.8%
33
51.2%
Q2 - 6:41MIAWinslow 1' Running Layup (7 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)39
45.5%
33
54.5%
Q2 - 6:45MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
43.5%
33
56.5%
Q2 - 6:48ATLMISS Korver 1' Cutting Layup Shot37
42.4%
33
57.6%
Q2 - 6:59MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
40.2%
33
59.8%
Q2 - 6:59MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
39.6%
33
60.4%
Q2 - 7:11ATLKorver 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
37.7%
33
62.3%
Q2 - 7:35MIADeng 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)35
40.0%
31
60.0%
Q2 - 7:48ATLSchroder 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)33
37.8%
31
62.2%
Q2 - 8:01MIAHaslem 2' Layup (2 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)33
39.6%
29
60.4%
Q2 - 8:27ATLMuscala 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)31
37.3%
29
62.7%
Q2 - 8:36ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
39.6%
27
60.4%
Q2 - 8:38MIASchroder BLOCK (1 BLK)31
40.4%
27
59.6%
Q2 - 9:02ATLSchroder Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)31
41.7%
27
58.3%
Q2 - 9:19MIARichardson Dunk (2 PTS)31
39.0%
27
61.0%
Q2 - 9:21ATLMuscala Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)29
37.0%
27
63.0%
Q2 - 9:22MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)29
34.3%
27
65.7%
Q2 - 9:22MIAHeat Rebound29
37.0%
27
63.0%
Q2 - 9:22MIAMISS Udrih 6' Driving Hook Shot29
35.1%
27
64.9%
Q2 - 9:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
37.0%
27
63.0%
Q2 - 9:47ATLMISS Schroder 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
36.2%
27
63.8%
Q2 - 10:04MIAMcRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)29
34.3%
27
65.7%
Q2 - 10:26ATLHorford 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Schroder 3 AST)26
30.4%
27
69.6%
Q2 - 10:40MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)26
34.3%
24
65.7%
Q2 - 11:11ATLScott 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Schroder 2 AST)26
36.4%
24
63.6%
Q2 - 11:19MIADeng 1' Cutting Layup Shot (11 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)26
41.0%
21
59.0%
Q2 - 11:33ATLSefolosha 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)24
38.8%
21
61.2%
Q2 - 11:46MIADeng Driving Dunk (9 PTS)24
41.0%
19
59.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL22
38.8%
19
61.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound22
36.4%
19
63.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Schroder 16' Pullup Jump Shot22
38.1%
19
61.9%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIADeng Putback Layup (7 PTS)22
36.4%
19
63.6%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)20
33.7%
19
66.3%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAMISS McRoberts 19' Pullup Jump Shot20
32.7%
19
67.3%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)20
33.7%
19
66.3%
Q1 - 0:34.0ATLMISS Sefolosha 3PT Jump Shot20
33.2%
19
66.8%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAWinslow 1' Running Layup (5 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)20
32.2%
19
67.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
29.7%
19
70.3%
Q1 - 1:01ATLMISS Schroder 3' Layup18
29.2%
19
70.8%
Q1 - 1:15ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
28.2%
19
71.8%
Q1 - 1:16MIAMISS Udrih 1' Driving Reverse Layup18
28.6%
19
71.4%
Q1 - 1:24MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
29.6%
19
70.4%
Q1 - 1:26ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
29.2%
19
70.8%
Q1 - 1:31ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
28.2%
19
71.8%
Q1 - 1:32MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
29.6%
19
70.4%
Q1 - 1:32MIAMISS Winslow 1' Tip Layup Shot18
28.6%
19
71.4%
Q1 - 1:33MIAMISS Deng 1' Driving Reverse Layup18
28.6%
19
71.4%
Q1 - 1:53ATLSchroder 20' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
29.6%
19
70.4%
Q1 - 2:07MIADeng 2' Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)18
31.9%
17
68.1%
Q1 - 2:13MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
29.8%
17
70.2%
Q1 - 2:16ATLMISS Horford 7' Turnaround Hook Shot16
29.3%
17
70.7%
Q1 - 2:25ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
28.1%
17
71.9%
Q1 - 2:27MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 216
28.3%
17
71.7%
Q1 - 2:27MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
29.6%
17
70.4%
Q1 - 2:33ATLSchroder Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)15
27.9%
17
72.1%
Q1 - 2:35ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
26.3%
17
73.7%
Q1 - 2:37MIAMISS Udrih 21' Pullup Jump Shot15
26.8%
17
73.2%
Q1 - 2:48ATLScott 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Schroder 1 AST)15
27.9%
17
72.1%
Q1 - 2:53MIASefolosha STEAL (1 STL)15
30.0%
15
70.0%
Q1 - 3:07ATLSchroder 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)15
31.7%
15
68.3%
Q1 - 3:16ATLHardaway Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
33.4%
13
66.6%
Q1 - 3:19MIAMISS Green 17' Jump Shot15
34.1%
13
65.9%
Q1 - 3:35ATLScott Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)15
35.7%
13
64.3%
Q1 - 3:36ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
33.5%
13
66.5%
Q1 - 3:37ATLMISS Sefolosha 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
35.0%
13
65.0%
Q1 - 3:45ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
33.5%
13
66.5%
Q1 - 3:49MIAMISS Winslow 3' Driving Layup15
34.1%
13
65.9%
Q1 - 4:03ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
35.4%
13
64.6%
Q1 - 4:03ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
35.8%
12
64.2%
Q1 - 4:18ATLHardaway Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
37.1%
11
62.9%
Q1 - 4:19MIAMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 2 of 215
37.4%
11
62.6%
Q1 - 4:19MIAStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)15
38.7%
11
61.3%
Q1 - 4:42ATLMillsap Foul Turnover (P1.T4)14
37.4%
11
62.6%
Q1 - 4:59MIAMcRoberts 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)14
35.1%
11
64.9%
Q1 - 5:09ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
32.8%
11
67.2%
Q1 - 5:09ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
33.1%
10
66.9%
Q1 - 5:18MIAMcRoberts 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
34.6%
9
65.4%
Q1 - 5:42ATLBazemore 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)10
32.9%
9
67.1%
Q1 - 5:56MIAStoudemire 2' Layup (3 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)10
36.6%
6
63.4%
Q1 - 6:06MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
34.3%
6
65.7%
Q1 - 6:08ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
33.7%
6
66.3%
Q1 - 6:29ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
32.4%
6
67.6%
Q1 - 6:30MIAMISS Stoudemire 20' Jump Shot8
33.0%
6
67.0%
Q1 - 6:40MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
34.3%
6
65.7%
Q1 - 6:42ATLMISS Korver 21' Pullup Jump Shot8
33.7%
6
66.3%
Q1 - 7:02MIAWinslow Putback Layup (3 PTS)8
32.0%
6
68.0%
Q1 - 7:03MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
30.7%
6
69.3%
Q1 - 7:04MIAMISS Dragic 1' Running Layup6
29.3%
6
70.7%
Q1 - 7:09MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
30.7%
6
69.3%
Q1 - 7:10ATLMISS Horford 3' Cutting Layup Shot6
30.1%
6
69.9%
Q1 - 7:22MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)6
28.8%
6
71.2%
Q1 - 7:22MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 1 of 25
28.4%
6
71.6%
Q1 - 7:32MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
29.1%
6
70.9%
Q1 - 7:33ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot5
28.5%
6
71.5%
Q1 - 7:46MIADeng 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)5
27.2%
6
72.8%
Q1 - 8:00ATLTeague 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Bazemore 1 AST)3
26.0%
6
74.0%
Q1 - 8:05MIABazemore STEAL (1 STL)3
27.1%
4
72.9%
Q1 - 8:12MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
28.9%
4
71.1%
Q1 - 8:14ATLMISS Bazemore 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
28.3%
4
71.7%
Q1 - 8:24ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
27.1%
4
72.9%
Q1 - 8:27MIAMISS Winslow 18' Pullup Jump Shot3
27.7%
4
72.3%
Q1 - 8:46MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
28.9%
4
71.1%
Q1 - 8:47ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
28.3%
4
71.7%
Q1 - 8:59ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
27.1%
4
72.9%
Q1 - 9:00MIAMISS Dragic 18' Step Back Jump Shot3
27.7%
4
72.3%
Q1 - 9:15ATLKorver 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
28.8%
4
71.2%
Q1 - 9:23ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
30.1%
2
69.9%
Q1 - 9:25MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot3
30.6%
2
69.4%
Q1 - 9:36MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
32.0%
2
68.0%
Q1 - 9:38ATLMISS Millsap 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot3
31.4%
2
68.6%
Q1 - 9:45ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
30.1%
2
69.9%
Q1 - 9:47MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot3
30.6%
2
69.4%
Q1 - 9:58ATLKorver Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T3)3
32.0%
2
68.0%
Q1 - 10:07ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
30.1%
2
69.9%
Q1 - 10:08MIAMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 2 of 23
30.3%
2
69.7%
Q1 - 10:08MIAStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
31.3%
2
68.7%
Q1 - 10:09MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
30.3%
2
69.7%
Q1 - 10:10MIAMISS Green 1' Reverse Dunk2
29.1%
2
70.9%
Q1 - 10:27MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.3%
2
69.7%
Q1 - 10:29ATLMISS Millsap 12' Jump Shot2
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 10:50MIADragic 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)2
28.5%
2
71.5%
Q1 - 10:55ATLBazemore Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)0
27.3%
2
72.7%
Q1 - 11:01ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.7%
2
74.3%
Q1 - 11:02MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 11:14ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
27.0%
2
73.0%
Q1 - 11:14ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
27.3%
1
72.7%
Q1 - 11:26ATLJump Ball Horford vs. Stoudemire: Tip to Millsap0
28.5%
0
71.5%
Q1 - 11:26MIAHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)0
28.9%
0
71.1%
Q1 - 11:44ATLBazemore Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T1)0
29.9%
0
70.1%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Horford vs. Stoudemire: Tip to Korver0
28.5%
0
71.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 54.2%
ATL
1.19 59.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
24
35
69%
ATL
19
31
61%
Midrange
MIA
12
33
36%
ATL
6
20
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
ATL
16
24.0
36
44%
67%
Free Throws
MIA
19
28
68%
ATL
13
13
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Deng3071%15.0 / 21
J. McRoberts1973%9.5 / 13
G. Dragic1753%8.5 / 16
G. Green1450%7.0 / 14
J. Winslow1343%6.5 / 15
J. Richardson788%3.5 / 4
A. Stoudemire638%3.0 / 8
U. Haslem6100%3.0 / 3
B. Udrih325%1.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Teague2377%11.5 / 15
K. Korver1864%9.0 / 14
D. Schröder1673%8.0 / 11
A. Horford1454%7.0 / 13
M. Scott1372%6.5 / 9
P. Millsap1246%6.0 / 13
K. Bazemore739%3.5 / 9
T. Sefolosha440%2.0 / 5
M. Muscala4100%2.0 / 2
T. Hardaway0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
90
+13
-14
103
ATL
84
+9
-21
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 54.2%
ATL
1.19 59.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
105.5
MIA 110.6 +4.9
ATL 105.7
Pace
93.7
96.8
MIA 101.2
ATL 108.0 +6.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.6
MIA 14.2
ATL 13.3 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
51.6%
MIA 54.5%
ATL 56.3% +1.8%
TO %
14.0%
14.9%
MIA 13.8% +4.7%
ATL 18.5%
ORB %
23.9%
19.2%
MIA 22.7% +4.5%
ATL 18.2%
FTrt
28.2
23.7
MIA 31.8 +16.9
ATL 14.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.3%
66.3%
MIA 61.4%
ATL 65.9% +4.5%
STL %
7.2%
9.3%
MIA 12.5% +5.8%
ATL 6.7%
BLK %
10.3%
9.6%
MIA 2.0%
ATL 5.9% +3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
54.1%
MIA 54.2%
ATL 59.7% +5.5%
Rim FG%
62.3%
58.9%
MIA 68.6% +7.3%
ATL 61.3%
Mid FG%
40.5%
41.2%
MIA 36.4% +6.4%
ATL 30.0%
3P %
33.6%
35.0%
MIA 40.0%
ATL 44.4% +4.4%
FT %
74.4%
78.3%
MIA 67.9%
ATL 100.0% +32.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
37.6%
MIA 39.8% +4.1%
ATL 35.6%
Mid Att. %
40.9%
28.8%
MIA 37.5%
ATL 23.0% +14.5%
3P Att. %
22.1%
33.6%
MIA 22.7%
ATL 41.4% +18.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions104105
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points115111
Rebounds4642
Assists2727
Steals137
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)14 (2)21 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)34 (2)
Field Goals44-8841-87
At-the-Rim FG24-3519-31
Midrange FG12-336-20
2-Point FG36-6825-51
3-Point FG8-2016-36
Free Throws19-2813-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
37.5
30
71%
11
0
4
0
1
1
2
9
7-10
70%
10-14
71%
1-3
33%
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
37.4
13
43%
9
0
2
0
2
2
3
6
3-4
75%
5-10
50%
0-3
0%
G · 6'7" 205 · 30
36.9
14
50%
5
2
2
1
3
2
1
4
1-3
33%
5-10
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
33.5
17
53%
5
10
4
0
4
2
0
5
4-5
80%
5-10
50%
1-4
25%
C · 6'10" 245 · 33
18.7
6
38%
6
1
0
0
1
0
2
4
2-4
50%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
· 6'10" 240 · 29
29.8
19
73%
6
10
0
0
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
5-8
63%
3-5
60%
F · 6'6" 200 · 22
19.7
7
88%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-1
100%
G · 6'3" 205 · 34
14.7
3
25%
0
3
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-5
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
11.8
6
100%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
#8 · G · 6'3" 186 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
115
54%
46
27
13
1
14
0
10
36
19-28
68%
36-68
53%
8-20
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.