FinalWin Prob.pScore
2140%105
103
1860%108
92
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
108.495108.1
DET logo DET
95.89685.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN103
100%
92
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)103
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0DETMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)103
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0DENMISS Nurkic 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0DETJennings Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)103
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)103
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)102
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0DETDrummond 1' Tip Layup Shot (15 PTS)101
99.8%
92
0.2%
Q4 - 0:54.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)101
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0DETMISS Marc Morris 6' Jump Shot101
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06DENBarton Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)101
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 1:06DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)100
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 1:07DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)99
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 1:07DETMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot99
99.5%
90
0.5%
Q4 - 1:18DENDrummond STEAL (3 STL)99
98.9%
90
1.1%
Q4 - 1:38DETJennings 27' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)99
99.0%
90
1.0%
Q4 - 1:48DENNurkic Layup (16 PTS) (Mudiay 6 AST)99
99.5%
87
0.5%
Q4 - 2:08DETJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)97
99.2%
87
0.8%
Q4 - 2:23DENBarton 10' Floating Jump Shot (18 PTS)97
99.6%
84
0.4%
Q4 - 2:40DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)95
99.5%
84
0.5%
Q4 - 2:40DETMISS Drummond Layup95
99.4%
84
0.6%
Q4 - 2:57DENBarton Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)95
98.5%
84
1.5%
Q4 - 2:57DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)94
98.4%
84
1.6%
Q4 - 2:57DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
98.0%
84
2.0%
Q4 - 2:57DENMISS Gallinari 3' Jump Shot93
97.1%
84
2.9%
Q4 - 3:02DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)93
98.0%
84
2.0%
Q4 - 3:03DETMISS Marc Morris 6' Jump Shot93
97.7%
84
2.3%
Q4 - 3:19DENBarton Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)93
96.6%
84
3.4%
Q4 - 3:19DENMISS Barton Free Throw 1 of 292
96.4%
84
3.6%
Q4 - 3:32DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
94.5%
84
5.5%
Q4 - 3:33DETMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot92
93.8%
84
6.2%
Q4 - 3:52DENBarton 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)92
92.5%
84
7.5%
Q4 - 4:11DETJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)90
90.1%
84
9.9%
Q4 - 4:27DENBarton 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)90
86.0%
84
14.0%
Q4 - 4:31DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)88
81.5%
84
18.5%
Q4 - 4:33DETMISS Hilliard Driving Layup88
79.5%
84
20.5%
Q4 - 4:51DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)88
74.6%
84
25.4%
Q4 - 4:51DENMISS Gallinari 20' Jump Shot88
76.9%
84
23.1%
Q4 - 5:19DETJohnson Driving Layup (11 PTS)88
77.4%
84
22.6%
Q4 - 5:43DENNurkic Layup (14 PTS)88
82.5%
82
17.5%
Q4 - 5:45DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)86
77.6%
82
22.4%
Q4 - 5:46DENMISS Barton 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
73.0%
82
27.0%
Q4 - 6:05DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)86
74.7%
82
25.3%
Q4 - 6:06DETMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot86
72.7%
82
27.3%
Q4 - 6:30DENFoye 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)86
67.9%
82
32.1%
Q4 - 6:49DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
54.7%
82
45.3%
Q4 - 6:51DETMISS Drummond 5' Hook Shot83
52.1%
82
47.9%
Q4 - 7:07DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)83
45.7%
82
54.3%
Q4 - 7:08DENMISS Barton 5' Jump Shot83
48.0%
82
52.0%
Q4 - 7:34DETTolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hilliard 6 AST)83
53.3%
82
46.7%
Q4 - 7:42DETHilliard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
66.0%
79
34.0%
Q4 - 7:42DENMISS Barton 17' Jump Shot83
68.0%
79
32.0%
Q4 - 8:03DETTolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)83
69.9%
79
30.1%
Q4 - 8:21DENBarton 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)83
79.7%
76
20.3%
Q4 - 8:41DETHilliard Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)81
75.2%
76
24.8%
Q4 - 8:57DENNurkic 7' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Barton 2 AST)81
83.6%
73
16.4%
Q4 - 9:11DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
77.8%
73
22.2%
Q4 - 9:14DETMISS Drummond 8' Hook Shot79
76.5%
73
23.5%
Q4 - 9:24DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)79
73.3%
73
26.7%
Q4 - 9:24DENMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
74.7%
73
25.3%
Q4 - 9:30DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
77.8%
73
22.2%
Q4 - 9:31DETMISS Johnson 1' Layup79
76.5%
73
23.5%
Q4 - 9:36DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
73.3%
73
26.7%
Q4 - 9:37DENMISS Nurkic 4' Hook Shot79
74.8%
73
25.2%
Q4 - 10:01DETBaynes Layup (10 PTS) (Drummond 2 AST)79
76.1%
73
23.9%
Q4 - 10:13DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)79
79.8%
71
20.2%
Q4 - 10:14DENMISS Barton 27' 3PT Jump Shot79
81.0%
71
19.0%
Q4 - 10:35DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
83.5%
71
16.5%
Q4 - 10:35DETMISS Hilliard 21' Jump Shot79
82.5%
71
17.5%
Q4 - 11:00DENNurkic 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Foye 2 AST)79
80.0%
71
20.0%
Q4 - 11:12DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
74.6%
71
25.4%
Q4 - 11:13DETMISS Blake 3PT Jump Shot77
73.3%
71
26.7%
Q4 - 11:40DENBarton 7' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)77
70.2%
71
29.8%
Q4 - 11:52DETHilliard Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)75
65.7%
71
34.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN75
60.5%
71
39.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETBaynes Dunk (8 PTS) (Hilliard 5 AST)75
65.7%
71
34.3%
Q3 - 0:12.0DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)75
68.8%
69
31.2%
Q3 - 0:12.0DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)74
68.3%
69
31.7%
Q3 - 0:30.0DETHilliard 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Marc Morris 6 AST)73
64.3%
69
35.7%
Q3 - 0:36.0DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
68.8%
67
31.2%
Q3 - 0:36.0DENMISS Foye 16' Jump Shot73
70.2%
67
29.8%
Q3 - 1:00DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
73.1%
67
26.9%
Q3 - 1:01DETMISS Marc Morris 17' Jump Shot73
70.3%
67
29.7%
Q3 - 1:22DENFoye 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)73
67.4%
67
32.6%
Q3 - 1:34DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
58.5%
67
41.5%
Q3 - 1:34DETMISS Hilliard Free Throw 2 of 270
57.8%
67
42.2%
Q3 - 1:34DETHilliard Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)70
54.8%
67
45.2%
Q3 - 1:49DENNurkic Layup (8 PTS)70
58.3%
66
41.7%
Q3 - 1:52DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
53.7%
66
46.3%
Q3 - 1:52DENTolliver BLOCK (1 BLK)68
50.1%
66
49.9%
Q3 - 2:13DETBaynes Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)68
52.4%
66
47.6%
Q3 - 2:25DENNurkic Dunk (6 PTS) (Lauvergne 2 AST)68
47.5%
66
52.5%
Q3 - 2:43DETJennings Driving Layup (10 PTS)66
43.2%
66
56.8%
Q3 - 2:48DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
47.6%
64
52.4%
Q3 - 2:50DENMISS Nurkic 5' Hook Shot66
49.1%
64
50.9%
Q3 - 2:57DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
52.5%
64
47.5%
Q3 - 2:58DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
49.1%
64
50.9%
Q3 - 3:20DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
52.0%
64
48.0%
Q3 - 3:20DENMISS Mudiay 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
48.7%
64
51.3%
Q3 - 3:33DETMarc Morris 16' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)66
52.0%
64
48.0%
Q3 - 3:59DENHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gallinari 4 AST)66
56.1%
62
43.9%
Q3 - 4:06DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
47.1%
62
52.9%
Q3 - 4:07DETMISS Drummond 6' Jump Shot63
45.6%
62
54.4%
Q3 - 4:28DENFaried Foul Turnover (P2.T11)63
42.2%
62
57.8%
Q3 - 4:32DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
47.1%
62
52.9%
Q3 - 4:32DETMISS Jennings 6' Jump Shot63
45.6%
62
54.4%
Q3 - 4:45DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
42.2%
62
57.8%
Q3 - 4:46DENDrummond BLOCK (5 BLK)63
43.7%
62
56.3%
Q3 - 5:05DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
46.4%
62
53.6%
Q3 - 5:05DETMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
45.0%
62
55.0%
Q3 - 5:21DENFaried Dunk (12 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)63
41.9%
62
58.1%
Q3 - 5:33DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
38.4%
62
61.6%
Q3 - 5:35DETMISS Drummond 2' Layup61
37.1%
62
62.9%
Q3 - 5:40DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
34.2%
62
65.8%
Q3 - 5:41DENMISS Harris 2' Layup61
35.5%
62
64.5%
Q3 - 5:46DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
38.4%
62
61.6%
Q3 - 5:48DETMISS Drummond 1' Alley Oop Layup61
37.1%
62
62.9%
Q3 - 5:58DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)61
34.2%
62
65.8%
Q3 - 5:58DENMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
35.4%
62
64.6%
Q3 - 6:19DETMarc Morris Driving Layup (17 PTS)61
38.2%
62
61.8%
Q3 - 6:36DENTolliver STEAL (2 STL)61
41.6%
60
58.4%
Q3 - 6:49DETJohnson 6' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)61
45.9%
60
54.1%
Q3 - 7:10DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)61
48.7%
58
51.3%
Q3 - 7:10DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 260
48.2%
58
51.8%
Q3 - 7:10DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
49.1%
58
50.9%
Q3 - 7:10DENDrummond BLOCK (4 BLK)60
46.2%
58
53.8%
Q3 - 7:22DENNuggets Rebound60
49.2%
58
50.8%
Q3 - 7:22DETMISS Jennings 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
47.9%
58
52.1%
Q3 - 7:39DENMudiay 1' Reverse Layup (14 PTS) (Gallinari 3 AST)60
44.9%
58
55.1%
Q3 - 8:03DETMarc Morris Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10)58
41.5%
58
58.5%
Q3 - 8:14DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
37.4%
58
62.6%
Q3 - 8:15DENDrummond BLOCK (3 BLK)58
38.6%
58
61.4%
Q3 - 8:29DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
41.5%
58
58.5%
Q3 - 8:29DETMISS Drummond 1' Tip Layup Shot58
40.2%
58
59.8%
Q3 - 8:31DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)58
37.4%
58
62.6%
Q3 - 8:32DETMISS Tolliver 3PT Jump Shot58
40.2%
58
59.8%
Q3 - 8:38DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
37.4%
58
62.6%
Q3 - 8:39DENMISS Jokic 7' Jump Shot58
38.6%
58
61.4%
Q3 - 8:57DETMarc Morris 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)58
41.5%
58
58.5%
Q3 - 9:10DENHarris 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Mudiay 5 AST)58
44.2%
56
55.8%
Q3 - 9:11DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
40.8%
56
59.2%
Q3 - 9:13DETMISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot56
39.7%
56
60.3%
Q3 - 9:21DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
37.3%
56
62.7%
Q3 - 9:21DENMISS Gallinari 27' 3PT Jump Shot56
38.4%
56
61.6%
Q3 - 9:27DETDrummond Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)56
40.9%
56
59.1%
Q3 - 9:33DETPISTONS Rebound56
37.3%
56
62.7%
Q3 - 9:34DETMISS Jennings 16' Step Back Jump Shot56
39.8%
56
60.2%
Q3 - 9:48DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
37.3%
56
62.7%
Q3 - 9:49DETMISS Marc Morris 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
39.8%
56
60.2%
Q3 - 10:14DENFaried Dunk (10 PTS) (Mudiay 4 AST)56
37.1%
56
62.9%
Q3 - 10:20DETJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)54
34.1%
56
65.9%
Q3 - 10:31DENGallinari Foul Turnover (P2.T9)54
30.8%
56
69.2%
Q3 - 10:36DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
34.1%
56
65.9%
Q3 - 10:37DETMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
33.1%
56
66.9%
Q3 - 10:59DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)54
30.8%
56
69.2%
Q3 - 11:00DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 154
31.2%
56
68.8%
Q3 - 11:12DETJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)52
28.2%
56
71.8%
Q3 - 11:34DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)52
33.8%
53
66.2%
Q3 - 11:35DENMISS Harris 20' Jump Shot52
34.9%
53
65.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET52
37.2%
53
62.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound52
33.8%
53
66.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETMISS Baynes 38' 3PT Jump Shot52
36.1%
53
63.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)52
34.7%
53
65.3%
Q2 - 0:21.0DETDrummond 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Hilliard 4 AST)49
28.2%
53
71.8%
Q2 - 0:41.0DENLauvergne Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)49
31.7%
51
68.3%
Q2 - 0:41.0DENLauvergne Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)48
31.1%
51
68.9%
Q2 - 0:44.0DETMarc Morris Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)47
28.2%
51
71.8%
Q2 - 0:57.0DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)47
26.3%
51
73.7%
Q2 - 1:07DETJennings 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Tolliver 1 AST)44
21.3%
51
78.7%
Q2 - 1:25DENMudiay Driving Layup (9 PTS)44
27.0%
48
73.0%
Q2 - 1:37DENNuggets Rebound42
23.4%
48
76.6%
Q2 - 1:37DENDrummond BLOCK (2 BLK)42
22.6%
48
77.4%
Q2 - 1:48DETTolliver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)42
23.4%
48
76.6%
Q2 - 2:03DENMudiay 7' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)42
22.1%
48
77.9%
Q2 - 2:11DENNuggets Rebound40
20.0%
48
80.0%
Q2 - 2:11DENMISS Gallinari 27' 3PT Jump Shot40
18.7%
48
81.3%
Q2 - 2:22DENNuggets Rebound40
20.0%
48
80.0%
Q2 - 2:22DETMISS Marc Morris 17' Jump Shot40
19.4%
48
80.6%
Q2 - 2:41DENLauvergne Dunk (2 PTS) (Jokic 2 AST)40
18.2%
48
81.8%
Q2 - 2:47DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
16.3%
48
83.7%
Q2 - 2:49DETMISS Drummond 8' Floating Jump Shot38
15.8%
48
84.2%
Q2 - 3:02DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
15.1%
48
84.9%
Q2 - 3:03DENMISS Jokic 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
15.7%
48
84.3%
Q2 - 3:12DETDrummond 5' Hook Shot (11 PTS)38
17.0%
48
83.0%
Q2 - 3:40DENMudiay 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)38
18.4%
46
81.6%
Q2 - 4:00DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)36
16.9%
46
83.1%
Q2 - 4:10DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)36
20.7%
43
79.3%
Q2 - 4:11DENMISS Faried 1' Layup36
21.3%
43
78.7%
Q2 - 4:30DETMarc Morris 7' Driving Bank Shot (13 PTS)36
22.8%
43
77.2%
Q2 - 4:38DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)36
24.7%
41
75.3%
Q2 - 4:39DENMISS Mudiay Layup36
25.4%
41
74.6%
Q2 - 4:52DETJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)36
27.0%
41
73.0%
Q2 - 5:03DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)36
31.7%
38
68.3%
Q2 - 5:11DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
27.2%
38
72.8%
Q2 - 5:13DETMISS Drummond 6' Hook Shot33
26.5%
38
73.5%
Q2 - 5:29DENJokic Layup (2 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)33
24.9%
38
75.1%
Q2 - 5:39DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
23.0%
38
77.0%
Q2 - 5:40DETMISS Jennings 3PT Jump Shot31
22.4%
38
77.6%
Q2 - 5:54DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)31
21.0%
38
79.0%
Q2 - 5:55DENMISS Mudiay 15' Jump Shot31
21.6%
38
78.4%
Q2 - 6:07DETBaynes 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Marc Morris 4 AST)31
23.7%
38
76.3%
Q2 - 6:28DENDrummond STEAL (2 STL)31
25.1%
36
74.9%
Q2 - 6:37DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
27.7%
36
72.3%
Q2 - 6:38DETMISS Marc Morris 18' Jump Shot31
26.9%
36
73.1%
Q2 - 6:54DENNurkic Foul Turnover (P3.T7)31
25.1%
36
74.9%
Q2 - 6:59DETMarc Morris Dunk (11 PTS) (Hilliard 3 AST)31
27.7%
36
72.3%
Q2 - 7:04DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
29.8%
34
70.2%
Q2 - 7:05DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
30.5%
34
69.5%
Q2 - 7:26DETDrummond 5' Driving Bank Hook Shot (6 PTS)31
32.2%
34
67.8%
Q2 - 7:42DENNurkic Layup (4 PTS) (Barton 1 AST)31
34.3%
32
65.7%
Q2 - 7:50DETBlake Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)29
32.2%
32
67.8%
Q2 - 7:57DENBarton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)29
29.8%
32
70.2%
Q2 - 8:08DETMarc Morris 15' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)29
32.2%
32
67.8%
Q2 - 8:23DENNurkic Foul Turnover (P2.T5)29
34.3%
30
65.7%
Q2 - 8:31DETBlake 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Marc Morris 3 AST)29
36.8%
30
63.2%
Q2 - 8:48DENNurkic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)29
41.6%
27
58.4%
Q2 - 9:01DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
43.9%
27
56.1%
Q2 - 9:02DETMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot29
43.0%
27
57.0%
Q2 - 9:10DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
41.1%
27
58.9%
Q2 - 9:11DENMISS Barton 12' Jump Shot29
41.9%
27
58.1%
Q2 - 9:22DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
43.9%
27
56.1%
Q2 - 9:22DETMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
43.0%
27
57.0%
Q2 - 9:36DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
41.1%
27
58.9%
Q2 - 9:37DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
41.9%
27
58.1%
Q2 - 9:46DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
43.9%
27
56.1%
Q2 - 9:47DETMISS Tolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
43.0%
27
57.0%
Q2 - 10:02DENBarton Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Nurkic 2 AST)29
41.0%
27
59.0%
Q2 - 10:18DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
39.1%
27
60.9%
Q2 - 10:18DETMISS Hilliard 3PT Jump Shot27
38.3%
27
61.7%
Q2 - 10:27DENHarris 7' Driving Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)27
36.3%
27
63.7%
Q2 - 10:46DETBaynes 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hilliard 2 AST)25
34.5%
27
65.5%
Q2 - 11:04DENBarton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nurkic 1 AST)25
36.3%
25
63.7%
Q2 - 11:23DETHilliard 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)22
32.0%
25
68.0%
Q2 - 11:41DENNurkic 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Lauvergne 1 AST)22
36.3%
22
63.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET20
34.2%
22
65.8%
Q1 - 0:06.0DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)20
32.3%
22
67.7%
Q1 - 0:06.0DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)19
32.1%
22
67.9%
Q1 - 0:28.0DETBaynes Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)18
29.7%
22
70.3%
Q1 - 0:33.0DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
32.3%
20
67.7%
Q1 - 0:35.0DENMISS Gallinari 1' Layup18
32.7%
20
67.3%
Q1 - 0:41.0DETJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)18
33.8%
20
66.2%
Q1 - 1:00DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
32.3%
20
67.7%
Q1 - 1:00DENMISS Mudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
32.7%
20
67.3%
Q1 - 1:10DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
33.8%
20
66.2%
Q1 - 1:11DETMISS Tolliver 11' Jump Shot18
33.4%
20
66.6%
Q1 - 1:19DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
32.3%
20
67.7%
Q1 - 1:20DENBaynes BLOCK (2 BLK)18
32.8%
20
67.2%
Q1 - 1:44DETBlake 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hilliard 1 AST)18
33.8%
20
66.2%
Q1 - 2:01DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
38.5%
17
61.5%
Q1 - 2:02DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 2 of 218
38.8%
17
61.2%
Q1 - 2:02DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 1 of 218
40.1%
17
59.9%
Q1 - 2:21DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)18
40.5%
17
59.5%
Q1 - 2:21DETDrummond 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)18
40.5%
17
59.5%
Q1 - 2:22DETMISS Drummond 2' Tip Layup Shot18
44.4%
15
55.6%
Q1 - 2:22DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)18
43.0%
15
57.0%
Q1 - 2:23DETMISS Drummond Tip Layup Shot18
44.4%
15
55.6%
Q1 - 2:23DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
43.0%
15
57.0%
Q1 - 2:24DETMISS Drummond Layup18
44.4%
15
55.6%
Q1 - 2:43DENGallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mudiay 2 AST)18
43.0%
15
57.0%
Q1 - 2:48DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
38.3%
15
61.7%
Q1 - 2:50DETMISS Baynes 7' Hook Shot15
37.7%
15
62.3%
Q1 - 3:16DENHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
36.1%
15
63.9%
Q1 - 3:16DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
35.7%
15
64.3%
Q1 - 3:31DETJennings Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)13
34.3%
15
65.7%
Q1 - 3:47DENFaried 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mudiay 1 AST)13
36.1%
13
63.9%
Q1 - 3:56DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)11
34.3%
13
65.7%
Q1 - 3:57DETMISS Jennings 3PT Jump Shot11
33.6%
13
66.4%
Q1 - 4:10DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
32.0%
13
68.0%
Q1 - 4:10DENMISS Gallinari 15' Jump Shot11
32.6%
13
67.4%
Q1 - 4:24DENNuggets Rebound11
34.2%
13
65.8%
Q1 - 4:24DENDrummond BLOCK (1 BLK)11
32.6%
13
67.4%
Q1 - 4:42DETDrummond Dunk (2 PTS) (Marc Morris 2 AST)11
34.2%
13
65.8%
Q1 - 4:46DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
35.9%
11
64.1%
Q1 - 4:47DENBaynes BLOCK (1 BLK)11
36.6%
11
63.4%
Q1 - 4:58DETHilliard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)11
38.2%
11
61.8%
Q1 - 5:00DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
35.9%
11
64.1%
Q1 - 5:02DENMISS Mudiay 14' Fadeaway Jumper11
36.4%
11
63.6%
Q1 - 5:19DETMarc Morris Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)11
37.8%
11
62.2%
Q1 - 5:19DETMarc Morris Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)11
38.3%
10
61.7%
Q1 - 5:38DENHarris Dunk (2 PTS) (Jokic 1 AST)11
39.7%
9
60.3%
Q1 - 5:46DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
37.8%
9
62.2%
Q1 - 5:46DETMISS Tolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
37.2%
9
62.8%
Q1 - 5:54DENTolliver STEAL (1 STL)9
35.8%
9
64.2%
Q1 - 6:08DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)9
37.6%
9
62.4%
Q1 - 6:09DETMISS Marc Morris 6' Jump Shot9
37.0%
9
63.0%
Q1 - 6:31DENMudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)9
35.6%
9
64.4%
Q1 - 6:42DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
32.2%
9
67.8%
Q1 - 6:43DETMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
31.6%
9
68.4%
Q1 - 7:02DENDrummond STEAL (1 STL)6
30.3%
9
69.7%
Q1 - 7:12DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
32.3%
9
67.7%
Q1 - 7:12DETMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot6
31.7%
9
68.3%
Q1 - 7:33DENFaried 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)6
30.3%
9
69.7%
Q1 - 7:39DETJennings Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
29.0%
9
71.0%
Q1 - 7:57DENFaried 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)4
27.2%
9
72.8%
Q1 - 8:00DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
25.9%
9
74.1%
Q1 - 8:00DENMISS Jokic 6' Jump Shot2
24.7%
9
75.3%
Q1 - 8:10DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
25.9%
9
74.1%
Q1 - 8:10DETMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot2
25.4%
9
74.6%
Q1 - 8:13DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
24.3%
9
75.7%
Q1 - 8:14DETMISS Drummond 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
25.4%
9
74.6%
Q1 - 8:38DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.3%
9
75.7%
Q1 - 8:38DENMISS Harris 16' Jump Shot2
24.8%
9
75.2%
Q1 - 8:54DETMarc Morris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
25.9%
9
74.1%
Q1 - 9:07DENGallinari Layup (2 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)2
28.7%
6
71.3%
Q1 - 9:15DETJohnson 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)0
27.5%
6
72.5%
Q1 - 9:32DENGallinari Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
28.8%
4
71.2%
Q1 - 9:46DETMarc Morris 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
30.6%
4
69.4%
Q1 - 10:02DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
32.0%
2
68.0%
Q1 - 10:02DENMISS Harris 20' Jump Shot0
32.6%
2
67.4%
Q1 - 10:10DETJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
33.9%
2
66.1%
Q1 - 10:16DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.0%
2
68.0%
Q1 - 10:16DENMISS Gallinari Layup0
32.6%
2
67.4%
Q1 - 10:35DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.9%
2
66.1%
Q1 - 10:36DETMISS Drummond 8' Hook Shot0
33.3%
2
66.7%
Q1 - 10:59DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.0%
2
68.0%
Q1 - 11:01DENMISS Faried 1' Reverse Layup0
32.6%
2
67.4%
Q1 - 11:12DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
33.6%
2
66.4%
Q1 - 11:12DENMISS Mudiay 18' Jump Shot0
32.6%
2
67.4%
Q1 - 11:35DETJohnson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Marc Morris 1 AST)0
33.6%
2
66.4%
Q1 - 11:39DETPISTONS Rebound0
35.3%
0
64.7%
Q1 - 11:39DETMISS Drummond 4' Jump Shot0
36.4%
0
63.6%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Drummond vs. Jokic: Tip to Jennings0
35.3%
0
64.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.08 54.2%
DET
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
26
43
60%
DET
20
33
61%
Midrange
DEN
7
21
33%
DET
8
28
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
DET
10
15.0
27
37%
56%
Free Throws
DEN
19
24
79%
DET
6
7
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
W. Barton2067%10.0 / 15
J. Nurkić1667%8.0 / 12
D. Gallinari1542%7.5 / 18
E. Mudiay1454%7.0 / 13
K. Faried1267%6.0 / 9
G. Harris1146%5.5 / 12
R. Foye675%3.0 / 4
N. Jokić536%2.5 / 7
J. Lauvergne467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Morris1959%9.5 / 16
B. Jennings1667%8.0 / 12
A. Drummond1534%7.5 / 22
S. Johnson1134%5.5 / 16
A. Baynes1071%5.0 / 7
D. Hilliard964%4.5 / 7
A. Tolliver643%3.0 / 7
S. Blake6100%3.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
83
+11
-12
94
DET
82
+10
-14
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.08 54.2%
DET
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.2
106.0
DEN 108.4
DET 95.8 +12.6
Pace
95.3
95.3
DEN 108.1 +22.5
DET 85.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
15.1
DEN 13.3 +3.5
DET 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.9%
49.1%
DEN 50.6% +1.7%
DET 48.9%
TO %
14.8%
13.5%
DEN 11.4% +1.9%
DET 13.3%
ORB %
25.8%
27.0%
DEN 18.6% +3.4%
DET 15.2%
FTrt
28.2
29.6
DEN 28.9 +20.9
DET 8.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
51.2%
DEN 64.1% +8.8%
DET 55.3%
STL %
7.7%
7.3%
DEN 10.5% +5.3%
DET 5.2%
BLK %
8.1%
5.8%
DEN 4.9%
DET 12.5% +7.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.7%
50.8%
DEN 54.2% +4.2%
DET 50.0%
Rim FG%
54.8%
55.8%
DEN 60.5%
DET 60.6% +0.1%
Mid FG%
38.8%
39.7%
DEN 33.3% +4.7%
DET 28.6%
3P %
33.8%
34.5%
DEN 31.6%
DET 37.0% +5.4%
FT %
76.6%
66.8%
DEN 79.2%
DET 85.7% +6.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.5%
36.0%
DEN 51.8% +14.3%
DET 37.5%
Mid Att. %
29.8%
33.7%
DEN 25.3% +6.5%
DET 31.8%
3P Att. %
27.7%
30.3%
DEN 22.9%
DET 30.7% +7.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.56 and 2.56.
Game TotalsDENDET
Possessions9596
Possession Minutes21.126.9
Points10392
Rebounds4742
Assists2521
Steals105
Blocks38
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (2)35 (0)
Field Goals39-8338-88
At-the-Rim FG26-4320-33
Midrange FG7-218-28
2-Point FG33-6428-61
3-Point FG6-1910-27
Free Throws19-246-7
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 225 · 28
38.8
15
42%
7
4
2
0
2
2
1
6
8-9
89%
2-9
22%
1-5
20%
G · 6'4" 210 · 21
36.4
11
46%
2
4
2
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 200 · 20
34.0
14
54%
4
6
2
1
2
1
0
4
1-3
33%
5-9
56%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 284 · 21
24.9
5
36%
6
2
1
0
1
0
0
6
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 228 · 26
18.4
12
67%
6
1
0
0
2
4
2
4
0-1
0%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 290 · 21
24.2
16
67%
11
2
1
1
3
3
3
8
0-0
-
8-11
73%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25
21.6
20
67%
5
2
2
1
1
0
1
4
5-6
83%
6-9
67%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 260 · 24
20.9
4
67%
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 218 · 32
20.7
6
75%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 235 · 28
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27
#21 · F · 6'9" 225 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · G · 6'0" 190 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
54%
47
25
10
3
12
0
8
39
19-24
79%
33-64
52%
6-19
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.