FinalWin Prob.pScore
269%101
119
1731%95
101
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
124.09689.5
MIA logo MIA
105.296104.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS119
100%
101
0%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAMcRoberts Driving Dunk (2 PTS)119
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASMarjanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)119
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASMISS Marjanovic Free Throw 1 of 2118
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAWinslow 2' Layup (2 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)118
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)118
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0SASMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot118
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)118
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMISS Stokes Free Throw 2 of 2118
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17MIAStokes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)118
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)118
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22SASMISS McCallum 16' Pullup Jump Shot118
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40MIAUdrih 2' Running Layup (13 PTS)118
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:45SASStokes STEAL (1 STL)118
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:04MIAWinslow Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)118
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:18SASMarjanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)118
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:18SASMarjanovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)117
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:31SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)116
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:32MIAMISS McRoberts 12' Turnaround Jump Shot116
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:53MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)116
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:54SASMISS Simmons Free Throw 1 of 1116
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 3:11SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)114
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 3:12MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot114
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 3:33SASDiaw 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)114
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 3:52MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)112
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 3:52MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)112
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 4:03SASButler 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)112
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 4:31MIADragic 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 4:38SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)110
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 4:38SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)109
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 4:53SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)108
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 4:54MIAMISS Wade 12' Fadeaway Jumper108
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 5:07SASLeonard 12' Step Back Jump Shot (23 PTS)108
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 5:28SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)106
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 5:29SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.7%
90
0.3%
Q4 - 5:52SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)106
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 5:53MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2106
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 5:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)106
99.7%
90
0.3%
Q4 - 5:56SASWade STEAL (1 STL)106
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 6:12SASGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)106
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 6:13MIAMISS Wade 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot106
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 6:27SASDiaw 6' Hook Shot (7 PTS)106
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 6:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)104
99.5%
89
0.5%
Q4 - 6:54SASAldridge Alley Oop Dunk (26 PTS) (Leonard 4 AST)104
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 6:59MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)102
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 7:08SASDiaw 5' Hook Shot (5 PTS)102
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 7:26MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS)100
99.2%
86
0.8%
Q4 - 7:39SASLeonard 6' Hook Shot (21 PTS)100
99.3%
84
0.7%
Q4 - 7:57MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)98
99.2%
84
0.8%
Q4 - 8:16SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)98
99.1%
82
0.9%
Q4 - 8:16MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P7.T16)95
98.5%
82
1.5%
Q4 - 8:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)95
98.1%
82
1.9%
Q4 - 8:23SASMISS Green Free Throw 2 of 295
98.2%
82
1.8%
Q4 - 8:23SASGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)95
98.5%
82
1.5%
Q4 - 8:24MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T15)94
98.1%
82
1.9%
Q4 - 8:26SASBosh STEAL (1 STL)94
97.6%
82
2.4%
Q4 - 8:33SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)94
98.1%
82
1.9%
Q4 - 8:34MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
97.9%
82
2.1%
Q4 - 8:40MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
97.6%
82
2.4%
Q4 - 8:41SASMISS Simmons 11' Floating Jump Shot94
97.7%
82
2.3%
Q4 - 8:58MIABosh Driving Dunk (14 PTS)94
98.1%
82
1.9%
Q4 - 9:19SASLeonard 9' Jump Shot (19 PTS)94
98.2%
80
1.8%
Q4 - 9:35MIAWhiteside Swinging Elbows Turnover (P1.T14)92
97.7%
80
2.3%
Q4 - 9:35SASMarjanovic Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 1 (8 PTS)92
97.1%
80
2.9%
Q4 - 9:35SASMills Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)91
96.3%
80
3.7%
Q4 - 9:51MIAGreen 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)87
92.8%
80
7.2%
Q4 - 10:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)87
93.6%
78
6.4%
Q4 - 10:03SASMISS Diaw 8' Hook Shot87
94.0%
78
6.0%
Q4 - 10:16MIAUdrih Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)87
94.9%
78
5.1%
Q4 - 10:27MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)87
96.7%
75
3.3%
Q4 - 10:28MIAMISS Whiteside 10' Hook Shot87
97.2%
75
2.8%
Q4 - 10:50SASMarjanovic 7' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)87
96.7%
75
3.3%
Q4 - 10:59SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
95.9%
75
4.1%
Q4 - 11:00MIAMISS Dragic 19' Step Back Jump Shot85
95.6%
75
4.4%
Q4 - 11:14MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
94.2%
75
5.8%
Q4 - 11:15SASMISS Diaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
94.6%
75
5.4%
Q4 - 11:41SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
95.4%
75
4.6%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
95.0%
75
5.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA85
94.3%
75
5.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound85
94.3%
75
5.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Winslow 50' 3PT Jump Shot85
95.1%
75
4.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASMarjanovic 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS)85
93.8%
75
6.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)83
92.4%
75
7.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
91.4%
75
8.6%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)83
92.5%
75
7.5%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
94.9%
72
5.1%
Q3 - 0:29.0SASMISS Mills 20' Jump Shot83
95.2%
72
4.8%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)83
95.8%
72
4.2%
Q3 - 0:54.0SASSimmons 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)83
97.2%
69
2.8%
Q3 - 1:11MIAUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)81
96.2%
69
3.8%
Q3 - 1:11MIAUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)81
96.3%
68
3.7%
Q3 - 1:12SASMarjanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)81
96.8%
67
3.2%
Q3 - 1:12SASMISS Marjanovic Free Throw 1 of 280
96.6%
67
3.4%
Q3 - 1:12SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
96.8%
67
3.2%
Q3 - 1:13SASMISS Simmons 2' Driving Layup80
96.4%
67
3.6%
Q3 - 1:27MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)80
96.9%
67
3.1%
Q3 - 1:27MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)80
97.0%
66
3.0%
Q3 - 1:49SASLeonard 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)80
97.4%
65
2.6%
Q3 - 2:08MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)78
96.4%
65
3.6%
Q3 - 2:31SASMills 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)78
97.0%
63
3.0%
Q3 - 2:46MIAWhiteside 12' Hook Shot (14 PTS)75
95.7%
63
4.3%
Q3 - 3:06SASMarjanovic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)75
96.1%
61
3.9%
Q3 - 3:14SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)75
96.8%
61
3.2%
Q3 - 3:15MIAMISS Udrih 19' Jump Shot75
96.6%
61
3.4%
Q3 - 3:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
96.1%
61
3.9%
Q3 - 3:34SASMISS Diaw Free Throw 2 of 275
96.2%
61
3.8%
Q3 - 3:34SASMISS Diaw Free Throw 1 of 275
96.6%
61
3.4%
Q3 - 3:49SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
96.8%
61
3.2%
Q3 - 3:50MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
96.6%
61
3.4%
Q3 - 4:12SASLeonard 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)75
95.7%
61
4.3%
Q3 - 4:27MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)73
95.1%
61
4.9%
Q3 - 4:27MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 273
95.3%
60
4.7%
Q3 - 4:47SASAldridge 2' Layup (24 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)73
95.0%
60
5.0%
Q3 - 4:52MIADragic Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)71
94.3%
60
5.7%
Q3 - 4:57MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
93.1%
60
6.9%
Q3 - 4:58SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot71
93.5%
60
6.5%
Q3 - 5:09MIADragic 17' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)71
93.8%
60
6.2%
Q3 - 5:22SASAldridge 3' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Green 3 AST)71
94.6%
58
5.4%
Q3 - 5:45MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)69
93.8%
58
6.2%
Q3 - 5:59SASParker 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)69
92.7%
58
7.3%
Q3 - 6:04MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)67
91.2%
58
8.8%
Q3 - 6:14MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)67
89.7%
58
10.3%
Q3 - 6:15SASMISS Aldridge 16' Jump Shot67
90.2%
58
9.8%
Q3 - 6:30SASGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
91.3%
58
8.7%
Q3 - 6:31MIAMISS Stoudemire 13' Jump Shot67
90.8%
58
9.2%
Q3 - 6:50SASWest 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Aldridge 4 AST)67
89.8%
58
10.2%
Q3 - 7:05MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)65
88.0%
58
12.0%
Q3 - 7:05MIAHEAT Rebound65
86.0%
58
14.0%
Q3 - 7:06MIAMISS Stoudemire 19' Jump Shot65
87.4%
58
12.6%
Q3 - 7:32SASLeonard 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)65
86.1%
58
13.9%
Q3 - 7:45SASSpurs Rebound63
84.4%
58
15.6%
Q3 - 7:46SASMISS Leonard 20' Jump Shot63
82.7%
58
17.3%
Q3 - 8:01SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
84.5%
58
15.5%
Q3 - 8:02MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 163
84.2%
58
15.8%
Q3 - 8:07MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)63
86.1%
56
13.9%
Q3 - 8:08SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
86.7%
56
13.3%
Q3 - 8:18MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)63
88.0%
56
12.0%
Q3 - 8:35SASAldridge Dunk (20 PTS) (Green 2 AST)63
89.3%
54
10.7%
Q3 - 8:44SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
88.0%
54
12.0%
Q3 - 8:45MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup61
87.4%
54
12.6%
Q3 - 9:08SASLeonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (West 3 AST)61
85.9%
54
14.1%
Q3 - 9:19MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)58
82.1%
54
17.9%
Q3 - 9:36SASAldridge 1' Layup (18 PTS) (West 2 AST)58
84.1%
52
15.9%
Q3 - 9:45MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Stoudemire 2 AST)56
82.1%
52
17.9%
Q3 - 9:59SASWest Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)56
84.1%
50
15.9%
Q3 - 10:18SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
85.9%
50
14.1%
Q3 - 10:19MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 256
85.7%
50
14.3%
Q3 - 10:19MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 256
84.5%
50
15.5%
Q3 - 10:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
84.0%
50
16.0%
Q3 - 10:23SASStoudemire BLOCK (2 BLK)56
84.6%
50
15.4%
Q3 - 10:34MIADragic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)56
85.9%
50
14.1%
Q3 - 10:57SASParker 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)56
84.0%
50
16.0%
Q3 - 11:15MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)54
82.5%
50
17.5%
Q3 - 11:37MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
86.0%
47
14.0%
Q3 - 11:38SASMISS Aldridge 17' Jump Shot54
86.5%
47
13.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS54
87.7%
47
12.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAUdrih Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)54
87.7%
47
12.3%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASAldridge 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)54
86.0%
47
14.0%
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAWade Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T7)52
83.8%
47
16.2%
Q2 - 0:34.0SASWest 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Aldridge 3 AST)52
82.5%
47
17.5%
Q2 - 0:47.0SASWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
80.0%
47
20.0%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Bosh 14' Step Back Jump Shot50
79.6%
47
20.4%
Q2 - 1:10SASAldridge 3' Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)50
78.5%
47
21.5%
Q2 - 1:36MIAWhiteside 9' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)48
75.2%
47
24.8%
Q2 - 1:54SASLeonard 2' Layup (8 PTS)48
78.5%
45
21.5%
Q2 - 1:55SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
75.2%
45
24.8%
Q2 - 1:56SASMISS Aldridge 9' Jump Shot46
74.3%
45
25.7%
Q2 - 2:19MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)46
75.7%
45
24.3%
Q2 - 2:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
78.0%
43
22.0%
Q2 - 2:34SASMISS Leonard 14' Step Back Jump Shot46
78.6%
43
21.4%
Q2 - 2:53MIABosh Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T6)46
79.9%
43
20.1%
Q2 - 3:12SASSimmons Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)46
78.0%
43
22.0%
Q2 - 3:16MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)44
76.2%
43
23.8%
Q2 - 3:32SASLeonard 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)44
73.6%
43
26.4%
Q2 - 3:47MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
71.6%
43
28.4%
Q2 - 3:47MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
72.1%
42
27.9%
Q2 - 4:00SASGreen Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T5)42
73.6%
41
26.4%
Q2 - 4:03SASGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
76.1%
41
23.9%
Q2 - 4:04MIAMISS Whiteside 16' Step Back Jump Shot42
75.5%
41
24.5%
Q2 - 4:20SASLeonard 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)42
73.9%
41
26.1%
Q2 - 4:41MIADragic 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)40
71.8%
41
28.2%
Q2 - 4:51MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
73.9%
39
26.1%
Q2 - 4:52SASMISS West 17' Jump Shot40
74.6%
39
25.4%
Q2 - 5:06SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
76.4%
39
23.6%
Q2 - 5:07MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
75.8%
39
24.2%
Q2 - 5:28SASDiaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)40
74.2%
39
25.8%
Q2 - 5:32SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
69.8%
39
30.2%
Q2 - 5:33SASMcRoberts BLOCK (1 BLK)37
68.1%
39
31.9%
Q2 - 5:41SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
69.8%
39
30.2%
Q2 - 5:42MIAMISS Dragic 20' Jump Shot37
69.1%
39
30.9%
Q2 - 6:02SASGreen 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)37
67.5%
39
32.5%
Q2 - 6:12MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)35
65.7%
39
34.3%
Q2 - 6:41SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)35
69.8%
36
30.2%
Q2 - 6:47SASGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
65.7%
36
34.3%
Q2 - 6:48SASWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)32
63.5%
36
36.5%
Q2 - 6:49SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
65.7%
36
34.3%
Q2 - 6:50SASMISS Diaw 9' Hook Shot32
63.5%
36
36.5%
Q2 - 7:05SASSpurs Rebound32
65.9%
36
34.1%
Q2 - 7:07SASMISS Aldridge 17' Jump Shot32
64.2%
36
35.8%
Q2 - 7:30MIAWhiteside 5' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)32
65.9%
36
34.1%
Q2 - 7:51SASGreen 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Aldridge 2 AST)32
68.0%
34
32.0%
Q2 - 8:07MIAWade 20' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)30
66.1%
34
33.9%
Q2 - 8:21SASAldridge 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)30
68.2%
32
31.8%
Q2 - 8:37MIAWhiteside 5' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)28
66.1%
32
33.9%
Q2 - 9:02SASGreen 22' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)28
68.6%
30
31.4%
Q2 - 9:28MIAUdrih 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
66.7%
30
33.3%
Q2 - 9:44SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)26
68.5%
28
31.5%
Q2 - 9:44SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)25
68.2%
28
31.8%
Q2 - 9:58MIAWinslow Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T4)24
66.7%
28
33.3%
Q2 - 10:20SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)24
63.8%
28
36.2%
Q2 - 10:20SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)23
63.5%
28
36.5%
Q2 - 10:34SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
62.0%
28
38.0%
Q2 - 10:35MIAMISS Green 9' Jump Shot22
61.2%
28
38.8%
Q2 - 10:52SASMcRoberts STEAL (2 STL)22
59.2%
28
40.8%
Q2 - 11:09MIAUdrih 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
61.9%
28
38.1%
Q2 - 11:26SASAldridge 10' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)22
64.1%
26
35.9%
Q2 - 11:41MIAUdrih 2' Layup (2 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)20
61.9%
26
38.1%
Q2 - 11:48SASMcRoberts STEAL (1 STL)20
64.1%
24
35.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS20
66.4%
24
33.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound20
66.4%
24
33.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Mills 37' 3PT Jump Shot20
64.8%
24
35.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)20
66.3%
24
33.7%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
68.9%
22
31.1%
Q1 - 0:18.0SASMISS Mills Free Throw 2 of 220
69.1%
22
30.9%
Q1 - 0:18.0SASMills Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
70.6%
22
29.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
68.3%
22
31.7%
Q1 - 0:34.0SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
67.3%
22
32.7%
Q1 - 0:38.0SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
68.3%
22
31.7%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Green 6' Jump Shot19
67.9%
22
32.1%
Q1 - 0:55.0SASSimmons Dunk (4 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)19
66.8%
22
33.2%
Q1 - 1:03SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
64.6%
22
35.4%
Q1 - 1:04MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Hook Shot17
64.1%
22
35.9%
Q1 - 1:23MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
63.0%
22
37.0%
Q1 - 1:24SASMISS Marjanovic 2' Cutting Layup Shot17
63.4%
22
36.6%
Q1 - 1:39SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
64.5%
22
35.5%
Q1 - 1:40MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot17
64.0%
22
36.0%
Q1 - 1:56MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
62.9%
22
37.1%
Q1 - 1:57SASWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)17
63.4%
22
36.6%
Q1 - 2:04SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
65.1%
22
34.9%
Q1 - 2:05MIAMISS Udrih 18' Jump Shot17
64.5%
22
35.5%
Q1 - 2:25SASMarjanovic 8' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)17
63.2%
22
36.8%
Q1 - 2:50MIADragic Foul Turnover (P1.T3)15
60.8%
22
39.2%
Q1 - 2:52SASDragic STEAL (1 STL)15
58.8%
22
41.2%
Q1 - 3:13MIADragic 13' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
61.8%
22
38.2%
Q1 - 3:23MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
63.6%
20
36.4%
Q1 - 3:24SASMISS Marjanovic 9' Hook Shot15
64.3%
20
35.7%
Q1 - 3:40SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
65.8%
20
34.2%
Q1 - 3:41MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 215
65.5%
20
34.5%
Q1 - 3:41MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
64.6%
20
35.4%
Q1 - 3:43SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
65.6%
19
34.4%
Q1 - 3:43SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
65.3%
19
34.7%
Q1 - 3:58MIAWhiteside 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)13
63.8%
19
36.2%
Q1 - 4:14SASSimmons 9' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
65.9%
17
34.1%
Q1 - 4:22SASSpurs Rebound11
64.2%
17
35.8%
Q1 - 4:23SASMISS West 20' Jump Shot11
62.6%
17
37.4%
Q1 - 4:33SASWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
64.2%
17
35.8%
Q1 - 4:34MIAMISS Deng 2' Layup11
63.5%
17
36.5%
Q1 - 4:44MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
61.9%
17
38.1%
Q1 - 4:45SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot11
62.6%
17
37.4%
Q1 - 4:50SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
64.2%
17
35.8%
Q1 - 4:51MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
63.5%
17
36.5%
Q1 - 5:03SASDeng STEAL (1 STL)11
62.8%
17
37.2%
Q1 - 5:11SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
64.8%
17
35.2%
Q1 - 5:12SASMISS Simmons 8' Floating Jump Shot11
63.4%
17
36.6%
Q1 - 5:28MIAWade 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)11
64.7%
17
35.3%
Q1 - 5:40SASWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
66.5%
15
33.5%
Q1 - 5:40SASWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
66.1%
15
33.9%
Q1 - 5:40SASWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
64.7%
15
35.3%
Q1 - 5:41SASMISS Leonard 8' Turnaround Hook Shot9
63.3%
15
36.7%
Q1 - 5:48SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
64.7%
15
35.3%
Q1 - 5:49MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
64.1%
15
35.9%
Q1 - 5:58MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
62.7%
15
37.3%
Q1 - 5:59SASMISS Leonard 20' Jump Shot9
63.3%
15
36.7%
Q1 - 6:17MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)9
65.3%
15
34.7%
Q1 - 6:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
68.7%
12
31.3%
Q1 - 6:25SASMISS Parker 1' Layup9
69.3%
12
30.7%
Q1 - 6:38MIABosh 16' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)9
70.5%
12
29.5%
Q1 - 6:54SASGreen 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)9
72.0%
10
28.0%
Q1 - 6:55SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
70.5%
10
29.5%
Q1 - 6:56SASMISS Parker 2' Layup7
69.2%
10
30.8%
Q1 - 7:02MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)7
71.0%
10
29.0%
Q1 - 7:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
69.1%
10
30.9%
Q1 - 7:13SASMISS Leonard 16' Jump Shot7
69.6%
10
30.4%
Q1 - 7:27MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
71.0%
10
29.0%
Q1 - 7:27MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
71.2%
9
28.8%
Q1 - 7:31MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)7
72.2%
8
27.8%
Q1 - 7:32SASMISS Aldridge 15' Fadeaway Jumper7
72.8%
8
27.2%
Q1 - 7:52MIAStoudemire 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)7
74.0%
8
26.0%
Q1 - 8:04MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)7
75.9%
6
24.1%
Q1 - 8:05SASMISS Green 16' Jump Shot7
76.4%
6
23.6%
Q1 - 8:08SASSpurs Rebound7
77.4%
6
22.6%
Q1 - 8:09SASStoudemire BLOCK (1 BLK)7
76.3%
6
23.7%
Q1 - 8:19SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
77.4%
6
22.6%
Q1 - 8:20MIAMISS Dragic 15' Jump Shot7
76.9%
6
23.1%
Q1 - 8:25MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
75.8%
6
24.2%
Q1 - 8:26SASMISS Aldridge 3' Jump Shot7
76.3%
6
23.7%
Q1 - 8:50MIABosh 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)7
77.3%
6
22.7%
Q1 - 9:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
78.5%
4
21.5%
Q1 - 9:03SASMISS Parker 15' Pullup Jump Shot7
79.0%
4
21.0%
Q1 - 9:19MIAWade 14' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)7
80.0%
4
20.0%
Q1 - 9:33SASAldridge Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)7
81.0%
2
19.0%
Q1 - 9:44MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)5
80.0%
2
20.0%
Q1 - 9:51MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
78.6%
2
21.4%
Q1 - 9:52SASMISS Parker 2' Driving Layup5
79.0%
2
21.0%
Q1 - 9:58SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
80.0%
2
20.0%
Q1 - 10:00MIAMISS Dragic 2' Reverse Layup5
79.6%
2
20.4%
Q1 - 10:15SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
78.4%
2
21.6%
Q1 - 10:23SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
76.0%
2
24.0%
Q1 - 10:24MIAMISS Bosh 13' Turnaround Jump Shot2
75.6%
2
24.4%
Q1 - 10:48SASLeonard 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
74.4%
2
25.6%
Q1 - 10:54SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
73.2%
2
26.8%
Q1 - 10:55MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
72.7%
2
27.3%
Q1 - 11:12MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
71.9%
2
28.1%
Q1 - 11:13SASMISS Green 7' Floating Jump Shot0
72.3%
2
27.7%
Q1 - 11:40MIADragic 4' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Stoudemire 1 AST)0
73.2%
2
26.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Stoudemire vs. Aldridge: Tip to Deng0
74.7%
0
25.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.16 57.8%
MIA
1.23 61.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
19
29
66%
MIA
14
17
82%
Midrange
SAS
22
46
48%
MIA
22
41
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
MIA
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
Free Throws
SAS
19
26
73%
MIA
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge2870%14.0 / 20
K. Leonard2368%11.5 / 17
D. Green1568%7.5 / 11
B. Marjanovic1169%5.5 / 8
J. Simmons1056%5.0 / 9
B. Diaw950%4.5 / 9
P. Mills857%4.0 / 7
T. Parker735%3.5 / 10
D. West660%3.0 / 5
R. Butler233%1.0 / 3
R. McCallum0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2077%10.0 / 13
C. Bosh1860%9.0 / 15
H. Whiteside1470%7.0 / 10
B. Udrih1381%6.5 / 8
L. Deng1161%5.5 / 9
G. Dragic1050%5.0 / 10
G. Green857%4.0 / 7
A. Stoudemire233%1.0 / 3
J. Winslow250%1.0 / 2
J. McRoberts250%1.0 / 2
J. Stokes150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
86
+16
-10
102
MIA
79
+3
-17
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.16 57.8%
MIA
1.23 61.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.2
106.0
SAS 124.0 +18.8
MIA 105.2
Pace
94.0
93.7
SAS 89.5
MIA 104.9 +15.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.0
SAS 16.1
MIA 13.7 +2.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
50.8%
SAS 56.2%
MIA 60.0% +3.8%
TO %
13.3%
14.0%
SAS 9.1% +9.2%
MIA 18.3%
ORB %
22.9%
23.9%
SAS 26.8% +23.8%
MIA 3.0%
FTrt
24.6
28.2
SAS 29.2
MIA 34.3 +5.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
54.3%
SAS 53.2% +0.7%
MIA 52.5%
STL %
8.8%
7.2%
SAS 10.4% +3.1%
MIA 7.3%
BLK %
9.6%
10.3%
SAS 6.9% +0.2%
MIA 6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
52.8%
SAS 57.8%
MIA 61.6% +3.8%
Rim FG%
62.8%
62.3%
SAS 65.5%
MIA 82.4% +16.9%
Mid FG%
43.2%
40.5%
SAS 47.8%
MIA 53.7% +5.9%
3P %
37.5%
33.6%
SAS 42.9% +9.6%
MIA 33.3%
FT %
80.3%
74.4%
SAS 73.1% +2.3%
MIA 70.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.7%
37.0%
SAS 32.6% +8.3%
MIA 24.3%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
40.9%
SAS 51.7% +6.9%
MIA 58.6%
3P Att. %
22.3%
22.1%
SAS 15.7%
MIA 17.1% +1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASMIA
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes25.722.0
Points119101
Rebounds4331
Assists2521
Steals107
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (5)1 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)30 (0)
Field Goals47-8940-70
At-the-Rim FG19-2914-17
Midrange FG22-4622-41
2-Point FG41-7536-58
3-Point FG6-144-12
Free Throws19-2617-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 225 · 25
33.5
23
68%
9
4
3
1
3
1
2
7
0-0
-
10-16
63%
1-1
100%
F · 6'11" 260 · 31
32.0
28
70%
4
4
0
1
0
1
0
4
8-8
100%
10-16
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 29
31.3
15
68%
7
3
3
1
1
2
2
5
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
2-4
50%
G · 6'2" 185 · 34
27.9
7
35%
2
5
2
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 250 · 35
22.6
6
60%
3
3
0
1
1
4
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34
25.4
9
50%
5
2
0
0
2
4
2
3
0-2
0%
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'6" 195 · 26
22.7
10
56%
4
1
0
0
2
3
1
3
0-1
0%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 185 · 27
15.5
8
57%
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
2-5
40%
C · 7'3" 290 · 27
13.3
11
69%
6
0
1
0
1
1
2
4
5-7
71%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 37
11.2
2
33%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 190 · 25
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 40
F-G · 6'9" 230 · 22
#15 · C-F · 6'10" 235 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 39
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
119
58%
43
25
10
4
10
0
11
32
19-26
73%
41-75
55%
6-14
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.