FinalWin Prob.pScore
2045%99
98
1855%101
95
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
101.09790.1
CHA logo CHA
101.194101.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA98
100%
95
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIADeng Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)98
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0CHAHawes Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)96
99.3%
93
0.7%
Q4 - 0:11.0CHABatum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)96
91.7%
93
8.3%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 296
92.3%
93
7.7%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)96
95.8%
93
4.2%
Q4 - 0:15.0CHAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)95
92.5%
93
7.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)95
75.7%
93
24.3%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)92
40.2%
93
59.8%
Q4 - 0:40.0CHAMISS Walker 18' Pullup Jump Shot92
34.2%
93
65.8%
Q4 - 1:01MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (22 PTS)92
25.4%
93
74.6%
Q4 - 1:10CHAWalker 20' Step Back Jump Shot (20 PTS)90
17.3%
93
82.7%
Q4 - 1:26MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)90
27.6%
91
72.4%
Q4 - 1:26MIAWinslow 1' Layup (8 PTS)90
27.6%
91
72.4%
Q4 - 1:28MIAZeller BLOCK (1 BLK)88
13.8%
91
86.2%
Q4 - 1:51CHAWilliams 19' Pullup Jump Shot (27 PTS)88
21.4%
91
78.6%
Q4 - 2:05CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
30.2%
89
69.8%
Q4 - 2:06MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot88
34.3%
89
65.7%
Q4 - 2:22CHAWilliams 10' Floating Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Walker 6 AST)88
45.1%
89
54.9%
Q4 - 2:35CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
52.3%
87
47.7%
Q4 - 2:37MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
57.2%
87
42.8%
Q4 - 2:58CHAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Kidd-Gilchrist 1 AST)88
65.2%
87
34.8%
Q4 - 3:13MIAWade 1' Running Layup (20 PTS) (Dragic 9 AST)88
79.3%
84
20.7%
Q4 - 3:14MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)86
74.5%
84
25.5%
Q4 - 3:17CHAMISS Williams 3' Layup86
71.0%
84
29.0%
Q4 - 3:39MIADragic 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)86
60.6%
84
39.4%
Q4 - 3:59MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)84
52.4%
84
47.6%
Q4 - 4:01CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 6' Jump Shot84
49.3%
84
50.7%
Q4 - 4:23MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)84
42.2%
84
57.8%
Q4 - 4:23MIAWinslow 1' Tip Layup Shot (6 PTS)84
42.2%
84
57.8%
Q4 - 4:24MIAMISS Winslow 1' Layup82
28.0%
84
72.0%
Q4 - 4:39CHAWalker 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS)82
34.1%
84
65.9%
Q4 - 4:56CHAHORNETS Rebound82
42.2%
82
57.8%
Q4 - 4:56MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Bank Shot82
45.3%
82
54.7%
Q4 - 5:05MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)82
51.2%
82
48.8%
Q4 - 5:07CHAMISS Hawes 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
48.5%
82
51.5%
Q4 - 5:22MIAWhiteside 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)82
42.5%
82
57.5%
Q4 - 5:43CHABatum 1' Cutting Layup Shot (21 PTS) (Walker 5 AST)80
35.2%
82
64.8%
Q4 - 5:54CHAHORNETS Rebound80
42.5%
80
57.5%
Q4 - 5:54MIAMISS Bosh 11' Jump Shot80
45.2%
80
54.8%
Q4 - 6:05MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)80
51.0%
80
49.0%
Q4 - 6:07CHAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot80
48.4%
80
51.6%
Q4 - 6:18CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
42.5%
80
57.5%
Q4 - 6:19MIAMISS Green 19' Jump Shot80
45.1%
80
54.9%
Q4 - 6:29MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
51.0%
80
49.0%
Q4 - 6:30CHAMISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
48.4%
80
51.6%
Q4 - 6:40CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
42.5%
80
57.5%
Q4 - 6:41MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot80
45.0%
80
55.0%
Q4 - 7:17CHAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Hawes 1 AST)80
50.5%
80
49.5%
Q4 - 7:21CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
63.4%
77
36.6%
Q4 - 7:22CHAMISS Walker 17' Jump Shot80
68.1%
77
31.9%
Q4 - 7:30MIALamb STEAL (1 STL)80
63.4%
77
36.6%
Q4 - 7:45MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
70.2%
77
29.8%
Q4 - 7:47CHAMISS Lin 1' Layup80
68.2%
77
31.8%
Q4 - 8:07MIAGreen 6' Jump Shot (7 PTS)80
62.3%
77
37.7%
Q4 - 8:24MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
56.1%
77
43.9%
Q4 - 8:26CHAMISS Williams 12' Jump Shot78
54.2%
77
45.8%
Q4 - 8:55MIADragic 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)78
49.8%
77
50.2%
Q4 - 9:03MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
43.7%
77
56.3%
Q4 - 9:05CHAMISS Lin 19' Jump Shot76
41.8%
77
58.2%
Q4 - 9:19MIAWhiteside Dunk (8 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)76
37.7%
77
62.3%
Q4 - 9:30CHABatum Traveling Turnover (P4.T10)74
32.4%
77
67.6%
Q4 - 9:45MIABosh 12' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)74
27.2%
77
72.8%
Q4 - 9:59CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)72
22.8%
77
77.2%
Q4 - 9:59CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)72
23.4%
76
76.6%
Q4 - 10:10MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)72
27.9%
75
72.1%
Q4 - 10:10MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
23.6%
75
76.4%
Q4 - 10:10MIAWhiteside Dunk (5 PTS)71
23.6%
75
76.4%
Q4 - 10:10MIAMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
17.4%
75
82.6%
Q4 - 10:15MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
19.9%
75
80.1%
Q4 - 10:17CHAMISS Lin 6' Jump Shot69
18.8%
75
81.2%
Q4 - 10:42MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)69
16.3%
75
83.7%
Q4 - 10:54CHABatum Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T9)67
13.6%
75
86.4%
Q4 - 11:11CHAHairston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
11.9%
75
88.1%
Q4 - 11:12MIAMISS Udrih 18' Jump Shot67
12.7%
75
87.3%
Q4 - 11:29CHALin 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)67
14.5%
75
85.5%
Q4 - 11:40CHALin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
17.2%
73
82.8%
Q4 - 11:41MIAMISS Bosh 10' Jump Shot67
18.2%
73
81.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA67
20.6%
73
79.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
20.6%
73
79.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Walker 29' 3PT Jump Shot67
19.5%
73
80.5%
Q3 - 0:05.0CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
18.3%
73
81.7%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Bosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot67
19.3%
73
80.7%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
21.5%
73
78.5%
Q3 - 0:31.0CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
20.5%
73
79.5%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAGreen Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T7)67
18.2%
73
81.8%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
21.5%
73
78.5%
Q3 - 0:53.0CHAMISS Kaminsky 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
20.5%
73
79.5%
Q3 - 1:06CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
19.1%
73
80.9%
Q3 - 1:07MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
20.1%
73
79.9%
Q3 - 1:14MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
22.4%
73
77.6%
Q3 - 1:16CHAMISS Walker 3' Jump Shot67
21.3%
73
78.7%
Q3 - 1:44MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)67
19.0%
73
81.0%
Q3 - 1:53MIAHeat Rebound65
16.3%
73
83.7%
Q3 - 1:55MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
14.4%
73
85.6%
Q3 - 2:23CHAWalker 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Kaminsky 3 AST)65
17.2%
73
82.8%
Q3 - 2:40MIAUdrih 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)65
19.7%
71
80.3%
Q3 - 3:05CHAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Kaminsky 2 AST)63
18.0%
71
82.0%
Q3 - 3:16CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
23.6%
68
76.4%
Q3 - 3:17MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot63
24.7%
68
75.3%
Q3 - 3:33CHAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Kaminsky 1 AST)63
27.3%
68
72.7%
Q3 - 3:55MIAWade Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T6)63
34.5%
65
65.5%
Q3 - 4:15CHAKidd-Gilchrist 1' Running Layup (9 PTS)63
39.2%
65
60.8%
Q3 - 4:21MIAWalker STEAL (2 STL)63
42.7%
63
57.3%
Q3 - 4:30CHAZeller Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)63
47.6%
63
52.4%
Q3 - 4:53MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Dragic 8 AST)63
42.7%
63
57.3%
Q3 - 5:04MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
39.1%
63
60.9%
Q3 - 5:05CHAMISS Batum 22' Jump Shot61
37.8%
63
62.2%
Q3 - 5:20CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
34.9%
63
65.1%
Q3 - 5:22MIAMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 2 of 261
35.4%
63
64.6%
Q3 - 5:22MIAStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)61
37.8%
63
62.2%
Q3 - 5:44CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)60
35.2%
63
64.8%
Q3 - 5:44CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)60
35.7%
62
64.3%
Q3 - 5:47CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
38.7%
61
61.3%
Q3 - 5:49MIAMISS Deng 1' Layup60
40.0%
61
60.0%
Q3 - 6:11CHAZeller Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Batum 7 AST)60
43.0%
61
57.0%
Q3 - 6:27CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
46.5%
59
53.5%
Q3 - 6:28MIABatum BLOCK (3 BLK)60
47.8%
59
52.2%
Q3 - 6:47MIAHeat Rebound60
50.9%
59
49.1%
Q3 - 6:47CHAMISS Zeller 2' Layup60
49.5%
59
50.5%
Q3 - 7:03MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)60
46.1%
59
53.9%
Q3 - 7:27CHAWilliams 23' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)58
42.8%
59
57.2%
Q3 - 7:36CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
46.1%
57
53.9%
Q3 - 7:38MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot58
47.4%
57
52.6%
Q3 - 7:49MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
50.4%
57
49.6%
Q3 - 7:50CHAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
49.1%
57
50.9%
Q3 - 8:05MIABosh 13' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)58
46.0%
57
54.0%
Q3 - 8:39CHAWilliams 18' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)56
42.8%
57
57.2%
Q3 - 8:58MIADragic 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)56
46.0%
55
54.0%
Q3 - 9:12MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
42.4%
55
57.6%
Q3 - 9:14CHAMISS Walker 19' Jump Shot54
41.3%
55
58.7%
Q3 - 9:32MIAStoudemire 1' Layup (6 PTS)54
38.8%
55
61.2%
Q3 - 9:58CHABatum 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)52
35.6%
55
64.4%
Q3 - 10:03CHABatum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
42.2%
52
57.8%
Q3 - 10:04CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 20' Jump Shot52
44.8%
52
55.2%
Q3 - 10:25MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)52
42.2%
52
57.8%
Q3 - 10:42CHAWilliams 6' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Batum 6 AST)50
39.0%
52
61.0%
Q3 - 10:54CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
42.2%
50
57.8%
Q3 - 10:55MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot50
43.3%
50
56.7%
Q3 - 11:15CHABatum 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)50
45.9%
50
54.1%
Q3 - 11:32MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)50
52.4%
47
47.6%
Q3 - 11:47MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
45.9%
47
54.1%
Q3 - 11:48CHAMISS Zeller 1' Driving Layup47
44.8%
47
55.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHA47
42.3%
47
57.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHAHORNETS Rebound47
42.3%
47
57.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0CHAMISS Batum 27' 3PT Jump Shot47
44.6%
47
55.4%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)47
43.1%
47
56.9%
Q2 - 0:25.0CHAKidd-Gilchrist 2' Running Layup (7 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)44
35.9%
47
64.1%
Q2 - 0:30.0CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
39.9%
45
60.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot44
40.5%
45
59.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0CHAWilliams Dunk (11 PTS) (Batum 5 AST)44
42.1%
45
57.9%
Q2 - 1:09MIAWade Running Dunk (12 PTS)44
46.6%
43
53.4%
Q2 - 1:14CHABatum Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)42
41.9%
43
58.1%
Q2 - 1:32CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
40.3%
43
59.7%
Q2 - 1:33MIAMISS Deng 21' Jump Shot42
40.8%
43
59.2%
Q2 - 1:58CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Batum 4 AST)42
41.9%
43
58.1%
Q2 - 2:12CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
48.7%
40
51.3%
Q2 - 2:13MIAMISS Wade 7' Hook Shot42
49.6%
40
50.4%
Q2 - 2:32MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
51.6%
40
48.4%
Q2 - 2:33CHAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot42
50.8%
40
49.2%
Q2 - 2:44MIAUdrih Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)42
48.8%
40
51.2%
Q2 - 2:52MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
51.6%
40
48.4%
Q2 - 2:54CHAMISS Walker 20' Jump Shot42
50.8%
40
49.2%
Q2 - 3:08MIAWade 3' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)42
48.2%
40
51.8%
Q2 - 3:19MIAHeat Rebound40
45.7%
40
54.3%
Q2 - 3:19MIABatum BLOCK (2 BLK)40
43.4%
40
56.6%
Q2 - 3:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
45.7%
40
54.3%
Q2 - 3:25CHAMISS Walker 2' Running Layup40
44.7%
40
55.3%
Q2 - 3:29CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
42.3%
40
57.7%
Q2 - 3:31MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)40
43.4%
40
56.6%
Q2 - 3:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
45.7%
40
54.3%
Q2 - 3:53CHAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
44.7%
40
55.3%
Q2 - 4:05CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
42.3%
40
57.7%
Q2 - 4:05MIAMISS Green 3' Layup40
43.2%
40
56.8%
Q2 - 4:17MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
45.3%
40
54.7%
Q2 - 4:18CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 7' Jump Shot40
44.4%
40
55.6%
Q2 - 4:42MIAWade 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS)40
42.3%
40
57.7%
Q2 - 5:06CHABatum 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)38
39.9%
40
60.1%
Q2 - 5:24MIAWade 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)38
45.2%
37
54.8%
Q2 - 5:38CHALamb Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Lin 3 AST)36
42.6%
37
57.4%
Q2 - 5:43MIAWalker STEAL (1 STL)36
45.2%
35
54.8%
Q2 - 5:51MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
48.1%
35
51.9%
Q2 - 5:53CHAMISS Hawes 3PT Jump Shot36
47.2%
35
52.8%
Q2 - 6:09MIAWade 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)36
44.9%
35
55.1%
Q2 - 6:21CHAKaminsky Foul Turnover (P2.T6)34
42.9%
35
57.1%
Q2 - 6:30CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
39.6%
35
60.4%
Q2 - 6:32MIAHawes BLOCK (2 BLK)34
40.6%
35
59.4%
Q2 - 6:41MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
42.9%
35
57.1%
Q2 - 6:42CHAMISS Lamb 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
41.9%
35
58.1%
Q2 - 7:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
40.0%
35
60.0%
Q2 - 7:04MIAWade 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
40.0%
35
60.0%
Q2 - 7:07MIALamb BLOCK (1 BLK)32
35.9%
35
64.1%
Q2 - 7:17MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
37.7%
35
62.3%
Q2 - 7:18CHAMISS Lamb 16' Jump Shot32
36.9%
35
63.1%
Q2 - 7:28CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
35.1%
35
64.9%
Q2 - 7:29MIAMISS Dragic 2' Layup32
35.9%
35
64.1%
Q2 - 7:45CHALamb 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lin 2 AST)32
37.7%
35
62.3%
Q2 - 7:59MIABosh Running Dunk (6 PTS)32
39.9%
33
60.1%
Q2 - 8:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
37.7%
33
62.3%
Q2 - 8:05CHAMISS Hairston 3PT Jump Shot30
36.9%
33
63.1%
Q2 - 8:28CHAHORNETS Rebound30
35.2%
33
64.8%
Q2 - 8:28MIAHawes BLOCK (1 BLK)30
35.9%
33
64.1%
Q2 - 8:41MIADragic Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
37.6%
33
62.4%
Q2 - 8:41MIADragic Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
37.1%
33
62.9%
Q2 - 8:42MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
33.0%
33
67.0%
Q2 - 8:44CHAMISS Lamb 3' Layup28
32.3%
33
67.7%
Q2 - 8:52CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
30.7%
33
69.3%
Q2 - 8:54MIAMISS Dragic 11' Fadeaway Jumper28
31.4%
33
68.6%
Q2 - 9:08CHAHawes Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T5)28
33.2%
33
66.8%
Q2 - 9:19CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
30.7%
33
69.3%
Q2 - 9:20MIAMISS Green 14' Jump Shot28
31.4%
33
68.6%
Q2 - 9:32MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
33.2%
33
66.8%
Q2 - 9:33CHAMISS Kaminsky 15' Jump Shot28
32.4%
33
67.6%
Q2 - 9:52MIAMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
31.4%
33
68.6%
Q2 - 9:56MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
30.7%
33
69.3%
Q2 - 9:59MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 128
31.0%
33
69.0%
Q2 - 9:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
30.7%
33
69.3%
Q2 - 9:59MIABosh 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)28
30.7%
33
69.3%
Q2 - 9:59MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot26
27.3%
33
72.7%
Q2 - 10:20MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
29.1%
33
70.9%
Q2 - 10:21CHAMISS Lamb 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
28.4%
33
71.6%
Q2 - 10:30CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
26.7%
33
73.3%
Q2 - 10:31MIAMISS Bosh 10' Jump Shot26
27.4%
33
72.6%
Q2 - 10:42MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
29.1%
33
70.9%
Q2 - 10:43CHAMISS Hawes 27' 3PT Jump Shot26
28.4%
33
71.6%
Q2 - 10:51CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
26.7%
33
73.3%
Q2 - 10:52MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Hook Shot26
27.4%
33
72.6%
Q2 - 11:01MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
29.0%
33
71.0%
Q2 - 11:03MIAMISS Whiteside 3' Layup26
27.7%
33
72.3%
Q2 - 11:18CHAHawes 2' Layup (2 PTS)26
29.0%
33
71.0%
Q2 - 11:36MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)26
31.0%
31
69.0%
Q2 - 11:36MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 225
30.2%
31
69.8%
Q2 - 11:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
31.1%
31
68.9%
Q2 - 11:38MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Reverse Layup25
29.6%
31
70.4%
Q2 - 11:49CHAKaminsky Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)25
31.1%
31
68.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
29.0%
31
71.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound25
31.1%
31
68.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Green 38' 3PT Jump Shot25
29.6%
31
70.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0CHALin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
30.9%
31
69.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0CHALin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
31.3%
30
68.7%
Q1 - 0:04.0CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
33.6%
29
66.4%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Green 22' Jump Shot25
34.0%
29
66.0%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
35.1%
29
64.9%
Q1 - 0:25.0CHAMISS Batum 9' Running Jump Shot25
34.6%
29
65.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0CHALin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
33.5%
29
66.5%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot25
34.0%
29
66.0%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAHeat Rebound25
35.1%
29
64.9%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIALin BLOCK (1 BLK)25
34.0%
29
66.0%
Q1 - 0:55.0CHABatum 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lin 1 AST)25
35.1%
29
64.9%
Q1 - 1:07MIAGreen Dunk (5 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)25
40.2%
26
59.8%
Q1 - 1:11CHAHairston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)23
37.4%
26
62.6%
Q1 - 1:24CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
35.8%
26
64.2%
Q1 - 1:25MIAMISS Udrih 18' Jump Shot23
36.3%
26
63.7%
Q1 - 1:43CHABatum 18' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)23
37.4%
26
62.6%
Q1 - 1:53CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
40.2%
24
59.8%
Q1 - 1:54MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot23
40.7%
24
59.3%
Q1 - 2:06MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
42.1%
24
57.9%
Q1 - 2:08CHAMISS Hawes 19' Jump Shot23
41.5%
24
58.5%
Q1 - 2:24MIAWhiteside 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)23
40.1%
24
59.9%
Q1 - 2:36MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
37.7%
24
62.3%
Q1 - 2:37CHAMISS Lin 23' Jump Shot21
37.1%
24
62.9%
Q1 - 3:00MIAWinslow 1' Running Layup (4 PTS)21
35.8%
24
64.2%
Q1 - 3:03MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
33.9%
24
66.1%
Q1 - 3:05CHAMISS Lin 6' Jump Shot19
33.3%
24
66.7%
Q1 - 3:27MIAGreen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)19
31.8%
24
68.2%
Q1 - 3:32MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
28.2%
24
71.8%
Q1 - 3:35CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
26.3%
24
73.7%
Q1 - 3:35CHAMISS Zeller 2' Layup16
27.6%
24
72.4%
Q1 - 3:37CHAMISS Zeller Dunk16
27.6%
24
72.4%
Q1 - 3:48CHAHORNETS Rebound16
26.3%
24
73.7%
Q1 - 3:48MIAMISS Udrih 19' Jump Shot16
26.8%
24
73.2%
Q1 - 4:10CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)16
28.4%
24
71.6%
Q1 - 4:12CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
31.8%
21
68.2%
Q1 - 4:13MIABatum BLOCK (1 BLK)16
32.5%
21
67.5%
Q1 - 4:30CHAWilliams 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Batum 3 AST)16
34.0%
21
66.0%
Q1 - 4:54MIAUdrih 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
35.7%
19
64.3%
Q1 - 5:08CHAWilliams 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)14
34.2%
19
65.8%
Q1 - 5:20CHABatum Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)14
36.0%
17
64.0%
Q1 - 5:30CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
37.9%
16
62.1%
Q1 - 5:31MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot14
38.5%
16
61.5%
Q1 - 5:46CHAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)14
40.0%
16
60.0%
Q1 - 5:59MIAWinslow 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)14
43.9%
13
56.1%
Q1 - 6:04CHAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)12
41.9%
13
58.1%
Q1 - 6:22MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)12
39.8%
13
60.2%
Q1 - 6:42CHAWilliams 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
38.1%
13
61.9%
Q1 - 6:55CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
39.8%
11
60.2%
Q1 - 6:56MIAMISS Dragic 15' Step Back Jump Shot10
40.4%
11
59.6%
Q1 - 7:10CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)10
41.9%
11
58.1%
Q1 - 7:14CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
45.4%
8
54.6%
Q1 - 7:15MIAMISS Stoudemire 1' Layup10
46.0%
8
54.0%
Q1 - 7:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
47.6%
8
52.4%
Q1 - 7:30CHAMISS Batum 27' 3PT Jump Shot10
46.9%
8
53.1%
Q1 - 7:43MIABosh 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)10
45.4%
8
54.6%
Q1 - 7:59CHAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)8
43.8%
8
56.2%
Q1 - 8:22MIADragic 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
47.4%
5
52.6%
Q1 - 8:26MIAHeat Rebound6
45.7%
5
54.3%
Q1 - 8:26MIAKidd-Gilchrist BLOCK (1 BLK)6
44.3%
5
55.7%
Q1 - 8:46MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
45.7%
5
54.3%
Q1 - 8:47CHAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
45.1%
5
54.9%
Q1 - 9:06MIAStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
43.5%
5
56.5%
Q1 - 9:06MIAStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
43.1%
5
56.9%
Q1 - 9:11CHABatum Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
42.0%
5
58.0%
Q1 - 9:34MIAStoudemire 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)4
39.8%
5
60.2%
Q1 - 9:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.4%
5
61.6%
Q1 - 9:45CHAMISS Zeller Free Throw 2 of 22
38.1%
5
61.9%
Q1 - 9:45CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
37.0%
5
63.0%
Q1 - 9:49MIAZeller STEAL (1 STL)2
38.0%
4
62.0%
Q1 - 10:14CHAKidd-Gilchrist 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
40.1%
4
59.9%
Q1 - 10:25CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
41.6%
2
58.4%
Q1 - 10:26MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
42.3%
2
57.7%
Q1 - 10:35MIAHeat Rebound2
43.7%
2
56.3%
Q1 - 10:36CHAMISS Walker 2' Driving Layup2
43.1%
2
56.9%
Q1 - 10:42CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
41.6%
2
58.4%
Q1 - 10:44MIAMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 2 of 22
41.9%
2
58.1%
Q1 - 10:44MIAMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 22
43.1%
2
56.9%
Q1 - 10:52MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
43.7%
2
56.3%
Q1 - 10:55CHAMISS Zeller 6' Floating Jump Shot2
43.1%
2
56.9%
Q1 - 11:10CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
41.7%
2
58.3%
Q1 - 11:11MIAMISS Deng 15' Jump Shot2
42.2%
2
57.8%
Q1 - 11:30CHABatum 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)2
43.3%
2
56.7%
Q1 - 11:41MIADeng 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)2
45.2%
0
54.8%
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Zeller vs. Stoudemire: Tip to Dragic0
43.4%
0
56.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.95 47.6%
CHA
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
27
40
68%
CHA
13
23
57%
Midrange
MIA
16
45
36%
CHA
13
32
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
0%
CHA
10
15.0
26
38%
58%
Free Throws
MIA
12
18
67%
CHA
13
15
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2255%11.0 / 20
C. Bosh2048%10.0 / 21
G. Dragic1260%6.0 / 10
H. Whiteside1050%5.0 / 10
L. Deng844%4.0 / 9
J. Winslow867%4.0 / 6
A. Stoudemire744%3.5 / 8
G. Green732%3.5 / 11
B. Udrih433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams2779%13.5 / 17
N. Batum2181%10.5 / 13
K. Walker2053%10.0 / 19
M. Kidd-Gilchrist964%4.5 / 7
C. Zeller638%3.0 / 8
J. Lin638%3.0 / 8
J. Lamb433%2.0 / 6
S. Hawes220%1.0 / 5
F. Kaminsky0-0.0 / 2
P. Hairston0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
89
+13
-8
102
CHA
82
+5
-12
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.95 47.6%
CHA
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
107.5
MIA 101.0
CHA 101.1 +0.0
Pace
93.7
95.4
MIA 90.1
CHA 101.9 +11.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.3
MIA 16.0
CHA 14.1 +1.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
50.2%
MIA 45.7%
CHA 50.6% +4.9%
TO %
14.0%
12.3%
MIA 7.3% +4.7%
CHA 12.0%
ORB %
23.9%
20.1%
MIA 17.4% +10.4%
CHA 7.0%
FTrt
28.2
28.0
MIA 19.1 +0.6
CHA 18.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.3%
58.6%
MIA 46.5%
CHA 63.9% +17.4%
STL %
7.2%
7.6%
MIA 7.2% +1.9%
CHA 5.3%
BLK %
10.3%
9.0%
MIA 21.8% +10.0%
CHA 11.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
53.0%
MIA 47.6%
CHA 54.0% +6.4%
Rim FG%
62.3%
56.9%
MIA 67.5% +11.0%
CHA 56.5%
Mid FG%
40.5%
39.7%
MIA 35.6%
CHA 40.6% +5.0%
3P %
33.6%
36.2%
MIA 0.0%
CHA 38.5% +38.5%
FT %
74.4%
79.0%
MIA 66.7%
CHA 86.7% +20.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
31.3%
MIA 42.6% +14.2%
CHA 28.4%
Mid Att. %
40.9%
33.9%
MIA 47.9%
CHA 39.5% +8.4%
3P Att. %
22.1%
34.8%
MIA 9.6%
CHA 32.1% +22.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions9794
Possession Minutes25.922.1
Points9895
Rebounds4841
Assists2023
Steals75
Blocks1210
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)3 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (2)38 (4)
Field Goals43-9436-81
At-the-Rim FG27-4013-23
Midrange FG16-4513-32
2-Point FG43-8526-55
3-Point FG0-910-26
Free Throws12-1813-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 32
35.2
20
48%
6
2
0
0
0
1
1
5
2-3
67%
9-18
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
32.0
12
60%
8
9
2
0
0
3
1
7
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
29.7
22
55%
3
5
2
0
3
2
1
2
0-0
-
11-20
55%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
28.1
8
44%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
2-3
67%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 245 · 33
15.9
7
44%
5
0
0
2
0
1
0
5
3-6
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
33.0
8
67%
10
2
2
0
0
2
2
8
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
27.0
10
50%
10
0
0
10
2
4
3
7
2-3
67%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
23.6
7
32%
3
0
0
0
1
3
0
3
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
0-4
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 34
15.5
4
33%
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
· 6'10" 240 · 29
F · 6'6" 200 · 22
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
#8 · G · 6'3" 186 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
48%
48
20
7
12
8
0
8
40
12-18
67%
43-85
51%
0-9
0%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.