FinalWin Prob.pScore
2237%102
102
1063%106
115
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
104.19892.4
HOU logo HOU
116.299106.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU102
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)102
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Haslem 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)102
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0HOUMISS McDaniels 3' Driving Layup102
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0HOUROCKETS Rebound102
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0HOUMISS McDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2102
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0HOUMcDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)102
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Stokes 1 AST)102
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05HOUBeverley 2' Running Layup (14 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)99
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)99
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25HOUMcDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)99
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25HOUMcDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)99
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43MIAUdrih 13' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Green 3 AST)99
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 1:53MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 1:54HOUMISS Beverley 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06MIAGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)97
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06MIAGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)96
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21HOUMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot95
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47MIAGreen 20' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Udrih 5 AST)95
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58HOUMISS Jones 4' Driving Layup93
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07MIAAriza STEAL (1 STL)93
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18HOUHarden 26' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)93
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 293
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 3:30MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)93
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 3:36MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)92
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 3:36HOUMISS Harden 22' Jump Shot92
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 4:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)92
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 4:03MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 291
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 4:15MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 4:16HOUMISS Harden 18' Step Back Jump Shot91
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 4:29MIAThornton STEAL (1 STL)91
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 4:41HOUThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Harden 14 AST)91
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 4:55MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)91
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 4:55MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)90
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 4:55HOUSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)89
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 4:56HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 4:57MIAMISS Dragic 2' Layup89
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 5:04MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)89
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 5:05HOUMISS Thornton 2' Cutting Layup Shot89
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q4 - 5:10HOULawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 5:11MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot89
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q4 - 5:34HOUSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)89
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 5:46HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
1.1%
101
98.9%
Q4 - 5:47MIAMISS Dragic 14' Pullup Jump Shot89
1.2%
101
98.8%
Q4 - 6:13HOUSmith 2' Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)89
2.2%
101
97.8%
Q4 - 6:37MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)89
2.7%
99
97.3%
Q4 - 6:37MIAStoudemire 2' Tip Layup Shot (14 PTS)89
2.7%
99
97.3%
Q4 - 6:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)87
2.1%
99
97.9%
Q4 - 6:38MIAMISS Wade 1' Tip Layup Shot87
1.7%
99
98.3%
Q4 - 6:39MIAMISS Wade 6' Floating Jump Shot87
1.7%
99
98.3%
Q4 - 6:52HOUSmith 2' Running Layup (14 PTS) (Harden 13 AST)87
2.1%
99
97.9%
Q4 - 6:59MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)87
2.7%
97
97.3%
Q4 - 7:16HOUBrewer Foul Turnover (P1.T10)85
2.7%
97
97.3%
Q4 - 7:32HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
2.0%
97
98.0%
Q4 - 7:33MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot85
2.2%
97
97.8%
Q4 - 7:47HOUThornton 2' Alley Oop Layup (15 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)85
2.7%
97
97.3%
Q4 - 8:09MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)85
4.3%
95
95.7%
Q4 - 8:09MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 284
4.1%
95
95.9%
Q4 - 8:27MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
4.3%
95
95.7%
Q4 - 8:28HOUMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot84
3.9%
95
96.1%
Q4 - 8:49HOULawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
3.3%
95
96.7%
Q4 - 8:50MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Bank Shot84
3.6%
95
96.4%
Q4 - 9:13HOUThornton 19' Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS)84
5.1%
95
94.9%
Q4 - 9:27MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)84
6.3%
93
93.7%
Q4 - 9:43MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
4.0%
93
96.0%
Q4 - 9:43HOUMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot81
3.7%
93
96.3%
Q4 - 9:59MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)81
3.1%
93
96.9%
Q4 - 9:59MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 280
3.0%
93
97.0%
Q4 - 10:07MIAHeat Rebound80
3.7%
93
96.3%
Q4 - 10:07MIAMISS Bosh 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup80
3.1%
93
96.9%
Q4 - 10:24HOUJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)80
3.7%
93
96.3%
Q4 - 10:24HOUJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)80
3.9%
92
96.1%
Q4 - 10:35HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
4.5%
91
95.5%
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS Dragic 17' Jump Shot80
4.8%
91
95.2%
Q4 - 10:58HOUThornton 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)80
5.6%
91
94.4%
Q4 - 11:07HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
7.6%
89
92.4%
Q4 - 11:08MIABrewer BLOCK (2 BLK)80
8.1%
89
91.9%
Q4 - 11:23HOUJones 3' Cutting Layup Shot (9 PTS) (Thornton 3 AST)80
9.3%
89
90.7%
Q4 - 11:41HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
11.2%
87
88.8%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
11.9%
87
88.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU80
13.6%
87
86.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound80
11.1%
87
88.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Brewer 47' 3PT Jump Shot80
12.8%
87
87.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
12.0%
87
88.0%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Bosh 19' Pullup Jump Shot80
12.7%
87
87.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)80
14.3%
87
85.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIABosh 16' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)80
20.1%
84
79.9%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
17.0%
84
83.0%
Q3 - 0:49.0HOUMISS Brewer 21' Jump Shot78
16.1%
84
83.9%
Q3 - 1:09MIADragic 2' Running Layup (14 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)78
14.9%
84
85.1%
Q3 - 1:15MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
12.6%
84
87.4%
Q3 - 1:16HOUMISS Harden 3' Driving Layup76
12.0%
84
88.0%
Q3 - 1:36HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
10.5%
84
89.5%
Q3 - 1:37MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
11.1%
84
88.9%
Q3 - 1:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
12.6%
84
87.4%
Q3 - 1:53HOUMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 276
12.3%
84
87.7%
Q3 - 1:53HOUJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)76
11.1%
84
88.9%
Q3 - 2:07MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)76
13.1%
83
86.9%
Q3 - 2:07MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)75
12.7%
83
87.3%
Q3 - 2:24HOUJones Cutting Dunk Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 12 AST)74
11.2%
83
88.8%
Q3 - 2:31MIAHarden STEAL (2 STL)74
13.1%
81
86.9%
Q3 - 2:42MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
15.5%
81
84.5%
Q3 - 2:43HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot74
14.7%
81
85.3%
Q3 - 2:55HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
13.0%
81
87.0%
Q3 - 2:56MIAMISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
13.7%
81
86.3%
Q3 - 3:25HOUThornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harden 11 AST)74
16.1%
81
83.9%
Q3 - 3:49MIAUdrih 11' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)74
21.2%
78
78.8%
Q3 - 4:12HOUBeverley 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Thornton 2 AST)72
19.1%
78
80.9%
Q3 - 4:21HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
24.4%
75
75.6%
Q3 - 4:23MIAMISS Wade 8' Floating Jump Shot72
25.6%
75
74.4%
Q3 - 4:31MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)72
28.3%
75
71.7%
Q3 - 4:33MIAMISS Stoudemire 2' Layup72
25.6%
75
74.4%
Q3 - 4:35MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)72
28.3%
75
71.7%
Q3 - 4:36MIAMISS Wade 21' Pullup Jump Shot72
25.6%
75
74.4%
Q3 - 4:54HOUBeverley Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)72
28.3%
75
71.7%
Q3 - 4:54HOUMISS Beverley Free Throw 1 of 272
29.0%
74
71.0%
Q3 - 4:56MIAJones STEAL (1 STL)72
27.7%
74
72.3%
Q3 - 5:08HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)72
31.7%
74
68.3%
Q3 - 5:12HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
27.9%
74
72.1%
Q3 - 5:13MIAMISS Wade 7' Floating Jump Shot72
29.0%
74
71.0%
Q3 - 5:23MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)72
31.7%
74
68.3%
Q3 - 5:23HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
30.5%
74
69.5%
Q3 - 5:34MIAWinslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)72
27.9%
74
72.1%
Q3 - 5:51MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
22.1%
74
77.9%
Q3 - 5:51HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 269
21.6%
74
78.4%
Q3 - 5:51HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)69
19.6%
74
80.4%
Q3 - 6:06MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)69
22.0%
73
78.0%
Q3 - 6:18MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
17.3%
73
82.7%
Q3 - 6:20HOUMISS Jones 1' Layup66
16.6%
73
83.4%
Q3 - 6:24HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
14.9%
73
85.1%
Q3 - 6:25MIAMISS Stoudemire 2' Layup66
15.6%
73
84.4%
Q3 - 6:28MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)66
17.3%
73
82.7%
Q3 - 6:29MIAMISS Stoudemire 2' Layup66
15.6%
73
84.4%
Q3 - 6:52HOUSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)66
17.3%
73
82.7%
Q3 - 7:00MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)66
14.9%
73
85.1%
Q3 - 7:18HOUHarden 16' Step Back Jump Shot (19 PTS)63
11.9%
73
88.1%
Q3 - 7:31MIAWade 9' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)63
13.3%
71
86.7%
Q3 - 7:40MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
11.9%
71
88.1%
Q3 - 7:41HOUMISS Ariza Driving Dunk61
11.3%
71
88.7%
Q3 - 7:52MIAWade 4' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)61
10.2%
71
89.8%
Q3 - 8:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
9.3%
71
90.7%
Q3 - 8:10MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
8.4%
71
91.6%
Q3 - 8:18MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
9.3%
71
90.7%
Q3 - 8:19HOUMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot59
8.9%
71
91.1%
Q3 - 8:32MIAStoudemire Dunk (12 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)59
8.0%
71
92.0%
Q3 - 8:54HOUSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Beverley 2 AST)57
7.0%
71
93.0%
Q3 - 9:05MIAHarden STEAL (1 STL)57
9.5%
68
90.5%
Q3 - 9:26MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
10.9%
68
89.1%
Q3 - 9:27HOUMISS Smith 5' Floating Jump Shot57
10.4%
68
89.6%
Q3 - 9:39MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
9.5%
68
90.5%
Q3 - 9:39MIADeng 1' Tip Layup Shot (10 PTS)57
9.5%
68
90.5%
Q3 - 9:40MIAMISS Wade 13' Fadeaway Jumper55
7.6%
68
92.4%
Q3 - 9:59HOUSmith 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)55
8.4%
68
91.6%
Q3 - 10:11HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
9.8%
66
90.2%
Q3 - 10:11MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot55
10.2%
66
89.8%
Q3 - 10:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
11.2%
66
88.8%
Q3 - 10:28HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
10.8%
66
89.2%
Q3 - 10:39HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
9.8%
66
90.2%
Q3 - 10:40MIASmith BLOCK (1 BLK)55
10.2%
66
89.8%
Q3 - 10:40MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
11.2%
66
88.8%
Q3 - 10:41MIAMISS Wade 5' Floating Jump Shot55
10.2%
66
89.8%
Q3 - 10:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
11.2%
66
88.8%
Q3 - 10:45MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot55
10.2%
66
89.8%
Q3 - 11:02HOUSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harden 10 AST)55
11.6%
66
88.4%
Q3 - 11:16HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
14.5%
63
85.5%
Q3 - 11:17HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
15.8%
63
84.2%
Q3 - 11:23HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
14.5%
63
85.5%
Q3 - 11:24MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot55
15.1%
63
84.9%
Q3 - 11:49HOUAriza 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harden 9 AST)55
16.4%
63
83.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA55
20.3%
60
79.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUHarden 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)55
22.8%
60
77.2%
Q2 - 0:09.0HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
28.6%
57
71.4%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot55
29.1%
57
70.9%
Q2 - 0:34.0HOUHarden 17' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)55
30.5%
57
69.5%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIADeng Running Dunk (8 PTS)55
34.1%
55
65.9%
Q2 - 0:54.0HOULawson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)53
30.5%
55
69.5%
Q2 - 1:06MIAWade 2' Running Layup (9 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)53
29.0%
55
71.0%
Q2 - 1:11HOUHarden Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)51
25.3%
55
74.7%
Q2 - 1:19HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
24.1%
55
75.9%
Q2 - 1:20MIAMISS Bosh 9' Hook Shot51
24.5%
55
75.5%
Q2 - 1:37HOUHarden 7' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)51
25.3%
55
74.7%
Q2 - 1:51MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)51
29.0%
53
71.0%
Q2 - 2:10HOUJones 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)48
23.7%
53
76.3%
Q2 - 2:30HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
26.1%
51
73.9%
Q2 - 2:30MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 248
26.4%
51
73.6%
Q2 - 2:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
28.0%
51
72.0%
Q2 - 2:56HOUBrewer 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST)47
25.9%
51
74.1%
Q2 - 3:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)47
30.7%
48
69.3%
Q2 - 3:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)46
30.2%
48
69.8%
Q2 - 3:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
28.6%
48
71.4%
Q2 - 3:23HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
27.8%
48
72.2%
Q2 - 3:34HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
25.9%
48
74.1%
Q2 - 3:35MIAMISS Deng 5' Jump Shot45
26.7%
48
73.3%
Q2 - 3:58HOUAriza 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Harden 8 AST)45
28.6%
48
71.4%
Q2 - 4:02HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
30.7%
46
69.3%
Q2 - 4:03MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot45
31.4%
46
68.6%
Q2 - 4:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
33.3%
46
66.7%
Q2 - 4:16HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
32.5%
46
67.5%
Q2 - 4:28MIAWinslow Foul Turnover (P3.T12)45
30.7%
46
69.3%
Q2 - 4:32HOUHarden Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)45
33.3%
46
66.7%
Q2 - 4:45MIADragic 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)45
30.7%
46
69.3%
Q2 - 4:49MIAHeat Rebound43
28.4%
46
71.6%
Q2 - 4:49MIAHarden BLOCK (1 BLK)43
26.7%
46
73.3%
Q2 - 5:13HOUAriza 2' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Harden 7 AST)43
28.5%
46
71.5%
Q2 - 5:21HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
30.7%
44
69.3%
Q2 - 5:22MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot43
31.5%
44
68.5%
Q2 - 5:36HOUHarden 2' Running Layup (10 PTS)43
33.2%
44
66.8%
Q2 - 5:42HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
35.6%
42
64.4%
Q2 - 5:42MIAMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
36.5%
42
63.5%
Q2 - 5:59HOUBeverley 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)43
38.4%
42
61.6%
Q2 - 6:12MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)43
43.0%
39
57.0%
Q2 - 6:12MIAStoudemire 1' Tip Layup Shot (10 PTS)43
43.0%
39
57.0%
Q2 - 6:13MIAMISS Udrih 1' Layup41
38.8%
39
61.2%
Q2 - 6:18MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
41.1%
39
58.9%
Q2 - 6:19HOUMISS Jones 2' Driving Layup41
40.1%
39
59.9%
Q2 - 6:30MIAStoudemire Dunk (8 PTS)41
37.8%
39
62.2%
Q2 - 6:32MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
36.0%
39
64.0%
Q2 - 6:33MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup39
33.8%
39
66.2%
Q2 - 6:54HOUSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T4)39
36.0%
39
64.0%
Q2 - 6:56MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)39
32.9%
39
67.1%
Q2 - 7:05HOUBeverley 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)39
35.6%
39
64.4%
Q2 - 7:16MIAStoudemire Foul Turnover (P3.T10)39
37.9%
37
62.1%
Q2 - 7:24MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
40.6%
37
59.4%
Q2 - 7:25HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
39.8%
37
60.2%
Q2 - 7:32MIAStoudemire Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)39
37.9%
37
62.1%
Q2 - 7:46MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
40.6%
37
59.4%
Q2 - 7:46HOUMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 239
40.2%
37
59.8%
Q2 - 7:46HOULawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
38.6%
37
61.4%
Q2 - 7:54HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
40.4%
36
59.6%
Q2 - 7:54MIAMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot39
41.2%
36
58.8%
Q2 - 8:21HOULawson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)39
42.7%
36
57.3%
Q2 - 8:31HOUROCKETS Rebound39
45.1%
34
54.9%
Q2 - 8:31HOUMISS Smith 4' Hook Shot39
46.9%
34
53.1%
Q2 - 8:36HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
45.1%
34
54.9%
Q2 - 8:37HOUMISS Ariza 1' Driving Layup39
46.9%
34
53.1%
Q2 - 8:55MIAGreen 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)39
45.1%
34
54.9%
Q2 - 9:07HOUTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)37
42.3%
34
57.7%
Q2 - 9:18MIASmith STEAL (2 STL)37
39.5%
34
60.5%
Q2 - 9:22MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
42.3%
34
57.7%
Q2 - 9:23HOUMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
41.4%
34
58.6%
Q2 - 9:37MIABrewer STEAL (2 STL)37
39.5%
34
60.5%
Q2 - 9:46MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
42.3%
34
57.7%
Q2 - 9:47HOUMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
41.5%
34
58.5%
Q2 - 10:10MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
39.4%
34
60.6%
Q2 - 10:10MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
39.0%
34
61.0%
Q2 - 10:24HOUBrewer 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)35
37.6%
34
62.4%
Q2 - 10:36HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
41.8%
31
58.2%
Q2 - 10:36MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 235
42.2%
31
57.8%
Q2 - 10:36MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 235
43.7%
31
56.3%
Q2 - 10:44MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
44.7%
31
55.3%
Q2 - 10:45HOUMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
43.8%
31
56.2%
Q2 - 10:59MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)35
41.8%
31
58.2%
Q2 - 11:04MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
39.3%
31
60.7%
Q2 - 11:05MIAMISS Bosh 2' Driving Reverse Layup33
37.7%
31
62.3%
Q2 - 11:15MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
39.3%
31
60.7%
Q2 - 11:16HOUMISS Jones 3' Turnaround Hook Shot33
38.6%
31
61.4%
Q2 - 11:36MIAGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
37.0%
31
63.0%
Q2 - 11:36MIAGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
36.6%
31
63.4%
Q2 - 11:47MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
34.9%
31
65.1%
Q2 - 11:48HOUMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot31
34.2%
31
65.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA31
32.6%
31
67.4%
Q1 - 0:11.0HOUThornton 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
34.3%
31
65.7%
Q1 - 0:30.0HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
39.3%
28
60.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0HOUMISS Brewer 2' Running Layup31
40.5%
28
59.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIABrewer STEAL (1 STL)31
39.3%
28
60.7%
Q1 - 0:48.0HOULawson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)31
41.0%
28
59.0%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAWinslow 2' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)31
39.3%
28
60.7%
Q1 - 1:07HOULawson 5' Driving Layup (2 PTS)29
36.4%
28
63.6%
Q1 - 1:21MIAWinslow 4' Layup (4 PTS) (Green 2 AST)29
39.2%
26
60.8%
Q1 - 1:42HOUBrewer 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)27
36.4%
26
63.6%
Q1 - 1:55MIAWinslow 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)27
39.2%
24
60.8%
Q1 - 2:07HOUBrewer 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)27
40.9%
24
59.1%
Q1 - 2:24MIAWinslow 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)27
43.4%
22
56.6%
Q1 - 2:36MIAHeat Rebound25
40.9%
22
59.1%
Q1 - 2:36MIAMISS McRoberts 16' Jump Shot25
39.5%
22
60.5%
Q1 - 2:49HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
40.9%
22
59.1%
Q1 - 2:49HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
41.2%
21
58.8%
Q1 - 2:52MIAGreen 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)25
43.4%
20
56.6%
Q1 - 3:00HOUJones 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)23
40.9%
20
59.1%
Q1 - 3:15MIAStoudemire Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)23
42.6%
18
57.4%
Q1 - 3:36HOUHarden 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)23
45.1%
18
54.9%
Q1 - 3:49MIAStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
47.1%
16
52.9%
Q1 - 3:49MIAStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
46.6%
16
53.4%
Q1 - 4:09HOUThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)21
44.7%
16
55.3%
Q1 - 4:15MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)21
48.6%
13
51.4%
Q1 - 4:42HOUHarden 17' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
46.8%
13
53.2%
Q1 - 4:58MIADeng Dunk (6 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)19
48.7%
11
51.3%
Q1 - 5:06MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
45.6%
11
54.4%
Q1 - 5:07HOUMISS Jones Hook Shot17
45.0%
11
55.0%
Q1 - 5:24MIAStoudemire 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)17
43.6%
11
56.4%
Q1 - 5:41MIAHeat Rebound15
41.7%
11
58.3%
Q1 - 5:42MIAMISS Wade 7' Turnaround Jump Shot15
40.2%
11
59.8%
Q1 - 6:02HOUHarden 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)15
41.0%
11
59.0%
Q1 - 6:08MIASmith STEAL (1 STL)15
42.8%
9
57.2%
Q1 - 6:24HOUSmith 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)15
44.9%
9
55.1%
Q1 - 6:46MIAStoudemire 1' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)15
46.7%
7
53.3%
Q1 - 6:55MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
44.9%
7
55.1%
Q1 - 6:56HOUMISS Beverley 7' Floating Jump Shot13
44.3%
7
55.7%
Q1 - 7:18MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)13
42.2%
7
57.8%
Q1 - 7:22MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
38.8%
7
61.2%
Q1 - 7:23HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
38.2%
7
61.8%
Q1 - 7:40MIAWade 21' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)10
36.7%
7
63.3%
Q1 - 7:58MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
35.2%
7
64.8%
Q1 - 7:59HOUMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
34.6%
7
65.4%
Q1 - 8:15MIADeng 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Stoudemire 1 AST)8
33.1%
7
66.9%
Q1 - 8:21MIAHeat Rebound6
31.7%
7
68.3%
Q1 - 8:21MIABeverley BLOCK (1 BLK)6
30.4%
7
69.6%
Q1 - 8:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
31.7%
7
68.3%
Q1 - 8:28HOUMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
31.1%
7
68.9%
Q1 - 8:41MIADeng 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
29.8%
7
70.2%
Q1 - 8:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
28.5%
7
71.5%
Q1 - 8:53HOUMISS Brewer 18' Pullup Jump Shot4
27.9%
7
72.1%
Q1 - 9:07MIADragic 1' Layup (4 PTS)4
26.6%
7
73.4%
Q1 - 9:16MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.5%
7
74.5%
Q1 - 9:17HOUMISS Harden 2' Driving Layup2
25.0%
7
75.0%
Q1 - 9:24HOUROCKETS Rebound2
23.8%
7
76.2%
Q1 - 9:24MIAMISS Wade 1' Alley Oop Layup2
24.3%
7
75.7%
Q1 - 9:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.5%
7
74.5%
Q1 - 9:31HOUMISS Ariza 1' Alley Oop Layup2
25.0%
7
75.0%
Q1 - 9:38MIADragic 17' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
23.8%
7
76.2%
Q1 - 9:50HOUHarden Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
22.7%
7
77.3%
Q1 - 10:02MIADeng Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)0
21.4%
7
78.6%
Q1 - 10:23HOUAriza Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)0
22.8%
7
77.2%
Q1 - 10:28HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.0%
5
76.0%
Q1 - 10:29MIAAriza BLOCK (1 BLK)0
24.4%
5
75.6%
Q1 - 10:30MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
25.5%
5
74.5%
Q1 - 10:32MIABrewer BLOCK (1 BLK)0
24.4%
5
75.6%
Q1 - 10:44HOUSmith 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)0
25.5%
5
74.5%
Q1 - 10:58MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
26.7%
3
73.3%
Q1 - 11:22HOUBeverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)0
28.2%
3
71.8%
Q1 - 11:40HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.3%
0
68.7%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS Stoudemire 10' Fadeaway Bank Shot0
31.8%
0
68.2%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Smith vs. Stoudemire: Tip to Bosh0
32.8%
0
67.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.0%
HOU
1.22 61.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
39
54%
HOU
19
34
56%
Midrange
MIA
11
29
38%
HOU
9
15
60%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
HOU
16
24.0
35
46%
69%
Free Throws
MIA
20
27
74%
HOU
11
16
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Deng1761%8.5 / 14
D. Wade1638%8.0 / 21
G. Dragic1454%7.0 / 13
A. Stoudemire1454%7.0 / 13
C. Bosh1343%6.5 / 15
G. Green1381%6.5 / 8
J. Winslow1192%5.5 / 6
B. Udrih440%2.0 / 5
J. Richardson0-0.0 / 1
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 1
J. McRoberts0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden2662%13.0 / 21
J. Smith1973%9.5 / 13
M. Thornton1882%9.0 / 11
P. Beverley1488%7.0 / 8
T. Jones1150%5.5 / 11
C. Brewer1050%5.0 / 10
T. Ariza945%4.5 / 10
T. Lawson563%2.5 / 4
K. McDaniels350%1.5 / 3
J. Terry0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+18
-17
99
HOU
88
+6
-11
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.0%
HOU
1.22 61.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
108.1
MIA 104.1
HOU 116.2 +12.1
Pace
93.7
97.9
MIA 92.4
HOU 106.6 +14.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.2
MIA 15.6
HOU 13.5 +2.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
51.6%
MIA 48.2%
HOU 61.9% +13.7%
TO %
14.0%
15.5%
MIA 14.9%
HOU 10.8% +4.1%
ORB %
23.9%
25.7%
MIA 29.5% +22.2%
HOU 7.3%
FTrt
28.2
35.2
MIA 31.8 +12.8
HOU 19.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.3%
58.9%
MIA 68.4% +0.2%
HOU 68.2%
STL %
7.2%
10.2%
MIA 5.1%
HOU 9.1% +4.0%
BLK %
10.3%
9.0%
MIA 6.1%
HOU 8.8% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.6 and 2.6.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
53.7%
MIA 51.0%
HOU 61.2% +10.2%
Rim FG%
62.3%
58.5%
MIA 53.8%
HOU 55.9% +2.1%
Mid FG%
40.5%
38.9%
MIA 37.9%
HOU 60.0% +22.1%
3P %
33.6%
34.7%
MIA 35.3%
HOU 45.7% +10.4%
FT %
74.4%
69.5%
MIA 74.1% +5.3%
HOU 68.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
40.0%
MIA 45.9% +5.4%
HOU 40.5%
Mid Att. %
40.9%
23.0%
MIA 34.1%
HOU 17.9% +16.3%
3P Att. %
22.1%
37.0%
MIA 20.0%
HOU 41.7% +21.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsMIAHOU
Possessions9899
Possession Minutes25.422.3
Points102115
Rebounds5134
Assists2630
Steals59
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (5)3 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (0)31 (1)
Field Goals38-8544-84
At-the-Rim FG21-3919-34
Midrange FG11-299-15
2-Point FG32-6828-49
3-Point FG6-1716-35
Free Throws20-2711-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
33.0
14
54%
4
6
0
0
2
0
0
4
1-3
33%
5-9
56%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 235 · 32
30.4
13
43%
7
1
0
1
0
2
1
6
6-8
75%
2-9
22%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
29.4
16
38%
4
4
1
1
3
0
3
1
4-6
67%
6-18
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
28.8
17
61%
8
3
1
0
3
2
2
6
1-2
50%
5-9
56%
2-4
50%
C · 6'10" 245 · 33
23.6
14
54%
10
1
0
0
3
3
6
4
2-2
100%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
32.1
11
92%
8
2
3
0
4
4
1
7
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
25.0
13
81%
4
3
0
1
1
1
0
4
4-4
100%
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 205 · 34
24.5
4
40%
4
5
0
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 200 · 22
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22
3.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
· 6'10" 240 · 29
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#8 · G · 6'3" 186 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
51%
51
26
5
3
17
0
13
38
20-27
74%
32-68
47%
6-17
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.