FinalWin Prob.pScore
1156%102
87
2244%100
105
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
88.898115.8
MIA logo MIA
106.19985.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA87
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0ATLMISS Mack 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAUdrih Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T18)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAStokes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0ATLMISS Mack 4' Floating Jump Shot87
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAStokes 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11ATLMuscala Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11ATLMuscala Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)86
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11ATLHawks Rebound85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11ATLMISS Patterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18MIAUdrih Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35ATLWinslow BLOCK (2 BLK)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17ATLBazemore Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P5.T17)85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)85
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 2:50ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)85
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 2:50ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)84
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 3:07MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (17 PTS)83
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 3:28ATLBazemore 4' Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)83
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 3:39ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 3:40MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 181
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 3:59ATLSchroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)81
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 4:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)78
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 4:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)78
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 4:16MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)78
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 4:17MIAMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 4:31ATLStoudemire STEAL (3 STL)78
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 4:42MIAWade 4' Driving Hook Shot (13 PTS)78
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 4:57MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)78
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 4:58ATLMISS Teague 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q4 - 5:18ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
2.8%
90
97.2%
Q4 - 5:19MIAMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 2 of 278
2.6%
90
97.4%
Q4 - 5:19MIAStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)78
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q4 - 5:19MIAHEAT Rebound78
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 5:20ATLMISS Schroder 2' Driving Layup78
3.0%
89
97.0%
Q4 - 5:24MIAWinslow Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)78
3.8%
89
96.2%
Q4 - 5:53MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q4 - 5:55ATLMISS Bazemore 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
2.9%
89
97.1%
Q4 - 6:04ATLSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
5.4%
89
94.6%
Q4 - 6:06MIAMISS Stoudemire 3' Jump Shot78
4.8%
89
95.2%
Q4 - 6:14MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)78
3.8%
89
96.2%
Q4 - 6:16MIAMISS Wade 4' Driving Layup78
4.8%
89
95.2%
Q4 - 6:40ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)78
3.8%
89
96.2%
Q4 - 6:40ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)77
3.6%
89
96.4%
Q4 - 6:40ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
2.9%
89
97.1%
Q4 - 6:40MIAMISS Wade 3' Jump Shot76
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 6:58ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)76
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 6:58ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)75
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q4 - 7:03MIAMcRoberts Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)74
2.4%
89
97.6%
Q4 - 7:26ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)74
3.9%
86
96.1%
Q4 - 7:45MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)72
3.0%
86
97.0%
Q4 - 7:45MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)72
3.2%
85
96.8%
Q4 - 8:04ATLGreen STEAL (1 STL)72
5.1%
84
94.9%
Q4 - 8:12MIAGreen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)72
6.4%
84
93.6%
Q4 - 8:32ATLHardaway Jr. 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)72
5.0%
84
95.0%
Q4 - 8:52MIADragic 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)70
3.9%
84
96.1%
Q4 - 9:16ATLHardaway Jr. Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)70
6.2%
82
93.8%
Q4 - 9:16ATLHardaway Jr. Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
6.0%
82
94.0%
Q4 - 9:20ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)68
5.0%
82
95.0%
Q4 - 9:21MIAMISS Winslow 17' Jump Shot68
4.6%
82
95.4%
Q4 - 9:40ATLTeague 3' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)68
3.9%
82
96.1%
Q4 - 9:44MIAMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)66
3.1%
82
96.9%
Q4 - 9:57ATLHorford 13' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)66
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q4 - 10:11MIAGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)64
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q4 - 10:23MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q4 - 10:24ATLMISS Bazemore Free Throw 2 of 264
3.8%
79
96.2%
Q4 - 10:24ATLMISS Bazemore Free Throw 1 of 264
4.4%
79
95.6%
Q4 - 10:36MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)64
4.7%
79
95.3%
Q4 - 10:36MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)64
4.9%
78
95.1%
Q4 - 10:56MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
5.7%
77
94.3%
Q4 - 10:57ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
6.1%
77
93.9%
Q4 - 11:04ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)64
8.1%
77
91.9%
Q4 - 11:05MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
7.6%
77
92.4%
Q4 - 11:16ATLHardaway Jr. 2' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)64
6.5%
77
93.5%
Q4 - 11:36MIABosh 16' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)62
5.4%
77
94.6%
Q4 - 11:49ATLTeague Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T14)62
6.5%
75
93.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA62
8.0%
75
92.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound62
6.5%
75
93.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Udrih 58' 3PT Jump Shot62
8.7%
75
91.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLUdrih STEAL (1 STL)62
7.6%
75
92.4%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)62
9.2%
75
90.8%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)62
9.5%
74
90.5%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)62
11.0%
73
89.0%
Q3 - 0:32.0ATLMISS Schroder 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
11.6%
73
88.4%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAUdrih 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)62
13.1%
73
86.9%
Q3 - 1:12ATLSplitter 4' Driving Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Schroder 3 AST)62
17.0%
71
83.0%
Q3 - 1:22ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
14.4%
71
85.6%
Q3 - 1:23MIAMISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
13.7%
71
86.3%
Q3 - 1:32MIAHEAT Rebound60
12.1%
71
87.9%
Q3 - 1:32MIAMISS McRoberts 2' Layup60
13.7%
71
86.3%
Q3 - 1:43ATLHardaway Jr. Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)60
12.1%
71
87.9%
Q3 - 1:43ATLHardaway Jr. Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)59
11.7%
71
88.3%
Q3 - 1:43MIAGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)58
10.2%
71
89.8%
Q3 - 2:14ATLMillsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Schroder 2 AST)58
9.6%
71
90.4%
Q3 - 2:27ATLSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
6.9%
71
93.1%
Q3 - 2:28MIAMISS Deng 2' Driving Layup55
6.5%
71
93.5%
Q3 - 2:43ATLSefolosha 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)55
5.7%
71
94.3%
Q3 - 3:01MIADeng 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)53
5.6%
71
94.4%
Q3 - 3:16ATLMillsap 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS)53
6.4%
69
93.6%
Q3 - 3:35MIADeng 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Green 1 AST)51
5.5%
69
94.5%
Q3 - 3:51ATLSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)51
6.4%
67
93.6%
Q3 - 3:51ATLSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)50
6.2%
67
93.8%
Q3 - 4:01ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
6.3%
67
93.7%
Q3 - 4:03ATLMISS Schroder 16' Jump Shot49
5.5%
67
94.5%
Q3 - 4:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)49
6.2%
67
93.8%
Q3 - 4:13MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 249
6.4%
66
93.6%
Q3 - 4:29ATLHardaway Jr. 2' Running Layup (2 PTS)49
6.1%
66
93.9%
Q3 - 4:35ATLHardaway Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
5.3%
66
94.7%
Q3 - 4:36MIAMISS Udrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
5.0%
66
95.0%
Q3 - 4:58ATLMillsap 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Schroder 1 AST)47
4.4%
66
95.6%
Q3 - 5:21MIAUdrih 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)45
4.3%
66
95.7%
Q3 - 5:40ATLTeague Foul Turnover (P1.T12)45
5.0%
64
95.0%
Q3 - 5:51MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS)45
5.9%
64
94.1%
Q3 - 6:02MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)45
7.6%
62
92.4%
Q3 - 6:03ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
8.0%
62
92.0%
Q3 - 6:20MIAWade 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)45
8.9%
62
91.1%
Q3 - 6:44ATLHorford 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bazemore 1 AST)45
10.1%
60
89.9%
Q3 - 6:51ATLHawks Rebound42
7.7%
60
92.3%
Q3 - 6:53MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot42
7.3%
60
92.7%
Q3 - 7:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
7.1%
60
92.9%
Q3 - 7:06ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
7.5%
60
92.5%
Q3 - 7:14MIADeng Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T12)42
8.4%
60
91.6%
Q3 - 7:27ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)42
7.1%
60
92.9%
Q3 - 7:27ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)41
7.0%
60
93.0%
Q3 - 7:31MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)40
6.3%
60
93.7%
Q3 - 7:51ATLBazemore 2' Running Layup (6 PTS)40
5.3%
60
94.7%
Q3 - 7:56ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)38
4.7%
60
95.3%
Q3 - 7:57MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
4.5%
60
95.5%
Q3 - 8:02MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)38
4.4%
60
95.6%
Q3 - 8:03MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot38
4.9%
60
95.1%
Q3 - 8:19MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)38
4.3%
60
95.7%
Q3 - 8:20ATLMISS Teague 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
4.6%
60
95.4%
Q3 - 8:33MIABosh 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)38
5.1%
60
94.9%
Q3 - 8:58ATLMillsap 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)38
5.7%
58
94.3%
Q3 - 9:08ATLMISS Korver Free Throw Technical36
5.6%
58
94.4%
Q3 - 9:21MIAStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)36
5.6%
58
94.4%
Q3 - 9:21MIAStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)36
5.8%
57
94.2%
Q3 - 9:32ATLStoudemire STEAL (2 STL)36
6.4%
56
93.6%
Q3 - 9:45MIAStoudemire Dunk (10 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)36
7.3%
56
92.7%
Q3 - 9:55ATLMillsap Foul Turnover (P3.T10)36
8.3%
54
91.7%
Q3 - 10:11MIAStoudemire 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)36
10.3%
54
89.7%
Q3 - 10:20MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)36
11.6%
52
88.4%
Q3 - 10:21ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot36
12.0%
52
88.0%
Q3 - 10:30ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
13.2%
52
86.8%
Q3 - 10:31MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot36
12.7%
52
87.3%
Q3 - 10:44MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)36
11.5%
52
88.5%
Q3 - 10:45ATLMISS Teague 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
12.0%
52
88.0%
Q3 - 10:59MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)36
13.1%
52
86.9%
Q3 - 11:07MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
17.9%
49
82.1%
Q3 - 11:08MIAMISS Dragic 19' Jump Shot36
19.4%
49
80.6%
Q3 - 11:29ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)36
17.8%
49
82.2%
Q3 - 11:29ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)35
17.5%
49
82.5%
Q3 - 11:44MIAStoudemire Dunk (6 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)34
16.0%
49
84.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL34
17.7%
47
82.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
20.0%
47
80.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Deng 1' Tip Layup Shot34
20.6%
47
79.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
19.6%
47
80.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot34
20.5%
47
79.5%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)34
19.5%
47
80.5%
Q2 - 0:22.0ATLMISS Bazemore 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
19.9%
47
80.1%
Q2 - 0:26.0ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)34
20.9%
47
79.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
20.5%
47
79.5%
Q2 - 0:37.0ATLWade STEAL (2 STL)34
19.4%
47
80.6%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)34
20.9%
47
79.1%
Q2 - 1:12ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)34
20.5%
47
79.5%
Q2 - 1:12ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)33
20.0%
47
80.0%
Q2 - 1:24MIAWade Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T9)32
17.6%
47
82.4%
Q2 - 1:33MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)32
16.6%
47
83.4%
Q2 - 1:36MIAMISS Bosh 10' Jump Shot32
17.3%
47
82.7%
Q2 - 1:49MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
16.6%
47
83.4%
Q2 - 1:50ATLMISS Millsap 2' Layup32
16.9%
47
83.1%
Q2 - 1:56ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
17.6%
47
82.4%
Q2 - 1:57MIAMISS Dragic 11' Jump Shot32
17.3%
47
82.7%
Q2 - 2:08ATLMillsap Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)32
17.1%
47
82.9%
Q2 - 2:11ATLHawks Rebound32
18.9%
47
81.1%
Q2 - 2:12ATLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)32
17.6%
47
82.4%
Q2 - 2:28ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
18.8%
47
81.2%
Q2 - 2:29ATLMISS Horford 15' Jump Shot32
17.6%
47
82.4%
Q2 - 2:45ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)32
18.8%
47
81.2%
Q2 - 2:46MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot32
18.2%
47
81.8%
Q2 - 3:12ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
18.0%
47
82.0%
Q2 - 3:12ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
17.7%
47
82.3%
Q2 - 3:22MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
16.6%
47
83.4%
Q2 - 3:22MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
16.9%
46
83.1%
Q2 - 3:37ATLHorford 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)30
17.9%
45
82.1%
Q2 - 3:50ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
15.0%
45
85.0%
Q2 - 3:51MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot27
14.4%
45
85.6%
Q2 - 4:18ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)27
14.4%
45
85.6%
Q2 - 4:32ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)25
13.1%
45
86.9%
Q2 - 4:33MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot25
12.6%
45
87.4%
Q2 - 4:44MIAHEAT Rebound25
11.7%
45
88.3%
Q2 - 4:45ATLMISS Teague 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
12.1%
45
87.9%
Q2 - 4:55ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
13.0%
45
87.0%
Q2 - 4:56MIAMISS Green 17' Jump Shot25
12.6%
45
87.4%
Q2 - 5:04ATLDeng STEAL (2 STL)25
12.5%
45
87.5%
Q2 - 5:12ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
13.8%
45
86.2%
Q2 - 5:13MIAMISS Deng 2' Layup25
13.4%
45
86.6%
Q2 - 5:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
12.4%
45
87.6%
Q2 - 5:18ATLMISS Millsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
12.8%
45
87.2%
Q2 - 5:33MIAWade 3' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)25
13.8%
45
86.2%
Q2 - 5:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
15.1%
43
84.9%
Q2 - 5:42ATLMISS Millsap 5' Jump Shot25
15.5%
43
84.5%
Q2 - 5:54MIAStoudemire 3' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)25
16.6%
43
83.4%
Q2 - 6:05ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
19.0%
41
81.0%
Q2 - 6:05ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
18.6%
41
81.4%
Q2 - 6:15MIAWinslow 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)23
17.8%
41
82.2%
Q2 - 6:21MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
18.9%
39
81.1%
Q2 - 6:22ATLStoudemire BLOCK (1 BLK)23
19.6%
39
80.4%
Q2 - 6:34ATLHawks Rebound23
21.1%
39
78.9%
Q2 - 6:36MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
20.4%
39
79.6%
Q2 - 6:58MIAHEAT Rebound23
18.9%
39
81.1%
Q2 - 6:59MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
20.4%
39
79.6%
Q2 - 7:11MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
20.0%
39
80.0%
Q2 - 7:12MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot23
21.3%
39
78.7%
Q2 - 7:29ATLSchroder 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)23
20.0%
39
80.0%
Q2 - 7:44MIAGreen 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)21
18.5%
39
81.5%
Q2 - 8:05ATLSchroder Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
20.7%
37
79.3%
Q2 - 8:05ATLSchroder Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
20.4%
37
79.6%
Q2 - 8:16ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
19.1%
37
80.9%
Q2 - 8:17MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
18.6%
37
81.4%
Q2 - 8:29MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
17.5%
37
82.5%
Q2 - 8:30ATLMISS Schroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
18.0%
37
82.0%
Q2 - 8:49MIAWinslow 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)19
19.1%
37
80.9%
Q2 - 8:58MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
20.6%
35
79.4%
Q2 - 9:00ATLMISS Korver 16' Jump Shot19
21.2%
35
78.8%
Q2 - 9:16MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)19
23.3%
35
76.7%
Q2 - 9:16MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 219
23.6%
34
76.4%
Q2 - 9:19ATLDragic STEAL (1 STL)19
23.0%
34
77.0%
Q2 - 9:39MIADragic 3' Layup (6 PTS)19
25.0%
34
75.0%
Q2 - 9:45MIAJump Ball Winslow vs. Hardaway Jr.: Tip to Dragic19
26.7%
32
73.3%
Q2 - 9:47ATLWinslow BLOCK (1 BLK)19
27.4%
32
72.6%
Q2 - 9:57MIAMcRoberts Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)19
29.0%
32
71.0%
Q2 - 9:57MIAMcRoberts Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)19
29.5%
31
70.5%
Q2 - 9:57MIAMcRoberts Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)19
30.0%
30
70.0%
Q2 - 10:19ATLBazemore Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T5)19
33.1%
29
66.9%
Q2 - 10:24ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
35.7%
29
64.3%
Q2 - 10:25MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
34.9%
29
65.1%
Q2 - 10:32MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
33.1%
29
66.9%
Q2 - 10:33ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
33.9%
29
66.1%
Q2 - 10:58MIAWinslow 10' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
35.7%
29
64.3%
Q2 - 11:03MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
38.1%
27
61.9%
Q2 - 11:04ATLMISS Schroder 10' Jump Shot19
38.8%
27
61.2%
Q2 - 11:13MIAUdrih Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)19
40.4%
27
59.6%
Q2 - 11:28ATLSchroder 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)19
38.0%
27
62.0%
Q2 - 11:46MIAWinslow Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)17
35.8%
27
64.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA17
33.5%
27
66.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLBazemore 2' Layup (4 PTS)17
33.5%
27
66.5%
Q1 - 0:16.0ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
31.7%
27
68.3%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
31.3%
27
68.7%
Q1 - 0:38.0ATLSchroder 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)15
30.2%
27
69.8%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAWinslow 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)13
27.8%
27
72.2%
Q1 - 1:04MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
30.8%
25
69.2%
Q1 - 1:05ATLMISS Schroder 19' Jump Shot13
31.3%
25
68.7%
Q1 - 1:30MIAUdrih 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)13
32.2%
25
67.8%
Q1 - 1:53ATLBazemore 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)13
34.9%
23
65.1%
Q1 - 2:04MIAUdrih Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)11
32.9%
23
67.1%
Q1 - 2:12ATLSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)11
31.0%
23
69.0%
Q1 - 2:12ATLMISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 210
30.6%
23
69.4%
Q1 - 2:23MIAGreen 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
30.8%
23
69.2%
Q1 - 2:32MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
33.0%
21
67.0%
Q1 - 2:33ATLMISS Splitter 2' Layup10
33.6%
21
66.4%
Q1 - 2:50ATLSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
34.9%
21
65.1%
Q1 - 2:51MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot10
34.3%
21
65.7%
Q1 - 3:04MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
33.7%
21
66.3%
Q1 - 3:05ATLMISS Schroder 19' Jump Shot10
34.3%
21
65.7%
Q1 - 3:23ATLSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
35.8%
21
64.2%
Q1 - 3:24MIAMISS Udrih 4' Jump Shot10
35.2%
21
64.8%
Q1 - 3:43MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
33.6%
21
66.4%
Q1 - 3:44ATLMISS Schroder 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
34.3%
21
65.7%
Q1 - 4:11MIAMcRoberts Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T5)10
36.3%
21
63.7%
Q1 - 4:26ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P1.T4)10
34.0%
21
66.0%
Q1 - 4:33MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)10
36.3%
21
63.7%
Q1 - 4:50MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
40.1%
18
59.9%
Q1 - 4:51ATLMISS Sefolosha 1' Layup10
40.9%
18
59.1%
Q1 - 4:57ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
42.6%
18
57.4%
Q1 - 4:58MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
41.8%
18
58.2%
Q1 - 5:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
41.1%
18
58.9%
Q1 - 5:10ATLMISS Horford 8' Jump Bank Shot10
41.7%
18
58.3%
Q1 - 5:24MIAStoudemire Dunk (2 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)10
43.2%
18
56.8%
Q1 - 5:41ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)10
45.1%
16
54.9%
Q1 - 5:48ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
41.1%
16
58.9%
Q1 - 5:49MIAMISS Stoudemire 2' Layup7
40.5%
16
59.5%
Q1 - 5:51MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)7
39.0%
16
61.0%
Q1 - 5:52MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot7
40.5%
16
59.5%
Q1 - 5:59MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)7
39.0%
16
61.0%
Q1 - 6:00ATLMISS Teague 13' Jump Shot7
39.6%
16
60.4%
Q1 - 6:12MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)7
41.9%
16
58.1%
Q1 - 6:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)7
39.8%
16
60.2%
Q1 - 6:19ATLMISS Millsap 2' Driving Layup7
40.5%
16
59.5%
Q1 - 6:35MIADragic 3' Running Layup (4 PTS)7
41.9%
16
58.1%
Q1 - 6:39ATLWade STEAL (1 STL)7
43.7%
14
56.3%
Q1 - 6:44ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
45.8%
14
54.2%
Q1 - 6:45MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
45.1%
14
54.9%
Q1 - 6:54MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)7
43.7%
14
56.3%
Q1 - 6:55ATLMISS Korver 17' Jump Shot7
44.3%
14
55.7%
Q1 - 7:11MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)7
46.4%
14
53.6%
Q1 - 7:34ATLTeague 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)7
49.9%
11
50.1%
Q1 - 7:43MIADeng 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
48.3%
11
51.7%
Q1 - 7:57ATLHorford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)5
49.8%
9
50.2%
Q1 - 8:12MIABosh Dunk (5 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)2
46.8%
9
53.2%
Q1 - 8:16ATLDeng STEAL (1 STL)2
48.5%
7
51.5%
Q1 - 8:18ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
50.6%
7
49.4%
Q1 - 8:19MIAMISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot2
50.0%
7
50.0%
Q1 - 8:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
48.5%
7
51.5%
Q1 - 8:34ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot2
49.1%
7
50.9%
Q1 - 8:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
50.6%
7
49.4%
Q1 - 8:51MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
51.0%
6
49.0%
Q1 - 8:54MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
52.3%
5
47.7%
Q1 - 8:55ATLMISS Teague 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
52.9%
5
47.1%
Q1 - 9:03MIAStoudemire Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)2
54.6%
5
45.4%
Q1 - 9:06MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)2
52.4%
5
47.6%
Q1 - 9:07MIAMISS Stoudemire 2' Layup2
53.9%
5
46.1%
Q1 - 9:10MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
52.4%
5
47.6%
Q1 - 9:11MIAMISS Deng 7' Jump Shot2
53.9%
5
46.1%
Q1 - 9:21MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
52.4%
5
47.6%
Q1 - 9:22ATLMISS Korver 16' Jump Shot2
53.1%
5
46.9%
Q1 - 9:37MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)2
54.6%
5
45.4%
Q1 - 9:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
58.0%
2
42.0%
Q1 - 9:53ATLMISS Millsap 2' Layup2
58.6%
2
41.4%
Q1 - 10:09ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
60.0%
2
40.0%
Q1 - 10:10MIAMISS Dragic 14' Jump Shot2
59.4%
2
40.6%
Q1 - 10:32ATLMillsap 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)2
57.9%
2
42.1%
Q1 - 10:38MIADragic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)0
56.4%
2
43.6%
Q1 - 10:48MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
54.3%
2
45.7%
Q1 - 10:49ATLMISS Teague 20' Jump Shot0
54.9%
2
45.1%
Q1 - 11:01MIAStoudemire Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
56.2%
2
43.8%
Q1 - 11:16MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
54.6%
2
45.4%
Q1 - 11:17ATLMISS Korver 20' Jump Shot0
55.1%
2
44.9%
Q1 - 11:35MIADragic 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)0
56.2%
2
43.8%
Q1 - 11:47ATLStoudemire STEAL (1 STL)0
58.1%
0
41.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Stoudemire vs. Horford: Tip to Teague0
59.7%
0
40.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.01 50.6%
MIA
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
15
25
60%
MIA
24
36
67%
Midrange
ATL
7
23
30%
MIA
10
25
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
5
7.5
22
23%
34%
MIA
5
7.5
20
25%
38%
Free Throws
ATL
28
32
88%
MIA
22
26
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Millsap1761%8.5 / 14
A. Horford1777%8.5 / 11
J. Teague1554%7.5 / 14
D. Schröder1142%5.5 / 13
T. Hardaway1063%5.0 / 8
K. Bazemore857%4.0 / 7
T. Splitter563%2.5 / 4
T. Sefolosha250%1.0 / 2
M. Muscala2-0.0 / 0
K. Korver0-0.0 / 6
L. Patterson0-0.0 / 1
S. Mack0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh1856%9.0 / 16
L. Deng1761%8.5 / 14
D. Wade1753%8.5 / 16
A. Stoudemire1365%6.5 / 10
J. Winslow1071%5.0 / 7
G. Dragic941%4.5 / 11
G. Green758%3.5 / 6
B. Udrih643%3.0 / 7
J. McRoberts675%3.0 / 4
J. Stokes2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
81
+4
-17
85
MIA
81
+13
-18
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.01 50.6%
MIA
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.5
106.0
ATL 88.8 +17.3
MIA 106.1
Pace
96.8
93.7
ATL 115.8 +29.9
MIA 85.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
16.0
ATL 12.4 +4.3
MIA 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.6%
50.8%
ATL 42.1%
MIA 51.2% +9.1%
TO %
14.9%
14.0%
ATL 16.8%
MIA 16.3% +0.5%
ORB %
19.2%
23.9%
ATL 5.1%
MIA 25.6% +20.5%
FTrt
23.7
28.2
ATL 45.7 +13.6
MIA 32.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.3%
54.3%
ATL 48.1%
MIA 53.8% +5.7%
STL %
9.3%
7.2%
ATL 10.2% +0.1%
MIA 10.1%
BLK %
9.6%
10.3%
ATL 4.9%
MIA 8.3% +3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.1%
52.8%
ATL 50.6%
MIA 55.3% +4.7%
Rim FG%
58.9%
62.3%
ATL 60.0%
MIA 66.7% +6.7%
Mid FG%
41.2%
40.5%
ATL 30.4%
MIA 40.0% +9.6%
3P %
35.0%
33.6%
ATL 22.7%
MIA 25.0% +2.3%
FT %
78.3%
74.4%
ATL 87.5% +2.9%
MIA 84.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
37.0%
ATL 35.7%
MIA 44.4% +8.7%
Mid Att. %
28.8%
40.9%
ATL 32.9%
MIA 30.9% +2.0%
3P Att. %
33.6%
22.1%
ATL 31.4% +6.7%
MIA 24.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions9899
Possession Minutes20.327.7
Points87105
Rebounds3147
Assists1321
Steals1010
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)2 (2)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)37 (3)
Field Goals27-7039-81
At-the-Rim FG15-2524-36
Midrange FG7-2310-25
2-Point FG22-4834-61
3-Point FG5-225-20
Free Throws28-3222-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 246 · 31
35.5
17
61%
5
1
2
0
4
5
1
4
6-6
100%
4-9
44%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 245 · 30
34.0
17
77%
4
2
1
2
3
5
0
4
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
3-3
100%
F · 6'5" 201 · 27
32.5
8
57%
10
1
1
0
5
0
0
10
0-2
0%
4-4
100%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 189 · 28
26.4
15
54%
0
6
2
1
2
6
0
0
9-9
100%
3-6
50%
0-5
0%
G · 6'7" 212 · 35
23.9
0
0%
3
0
2
0
1
1
0
3
0-1
0%
0-4
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 22
20.6
11
42%
3
3
0
0
2
2
1
2
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
1-4
25%
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 24
20.3
10
63%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 220 · 32
18.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 31
15.0
5
63%
5
0
1
0
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 237 · 28
6.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 24
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 203 · 26
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 25
2.3
2
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
#22 · C · 7'3" 265 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G · 6'6" 185 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
51%
31
13
10
3
17
0
2
29
28-32
88%
22-48
46%
5-22
23%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.