FinalWin Prob.pScore
2131%100
105
969%107
109
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
100.0105116.8
IND logo IND
103.810580.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

PacersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENIND
OT1 - 0:00.0DEN105
0%
109
100%
OT1 - 0:20.0INDEllis Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS)105
2.8%
109
97.2%
OT1 - 0:28.0DENGallinari Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T19)105
15.4%
106
84.6%
OT1 - 0:43.0DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)105
33.7%
106
66.3%
OT1 - 0:44.0INDMISS Turner 20' Jump Shot105
28.5%
106
71.5%
OT1 - 1:04DENMudiay 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)105
20.4%
106
79.6%
OT1 - 1:13DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)103
13.9%
106
86.1%
OT1 - 1:14INDMISS George 24' Jump Shot103
11.7%
106
88.3%
OT1 - 1:29DENGallinari 4' Step Back Jump Shot (23 PTS)103
8.7%
106
91.3%
OT1 - 1:40INDEllis 4' Driving Layup (29 PTS)101
6.3%
106
93.7%
OT1 - 1:58INDHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)101
10.0%
104
90.0%
OT1 - 1:59DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
11.5%
104
88.5%
OT1 - 2:12DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)101
18.0%
104
82.0%
OT1 - 2:13INDMISS Turner Free Throw 2 of 2101
16.8%
104
83.2%
OT1 - 2:13INDMISS Turner Free Throw 1 of 2101
13.5%
104
86.5%
OT1 - 2:29DENEllis STEAL (3 STL)101
10.4%
104
89.6%
OT1 - 2:34DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)101
18.3%
104
81.7%
OT1 - 2:34INDMISS G. Hill 3PT Jump Shot101
15.5%
104
84.5%
OT1 - 2:38INDTurner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)101
10.4%
104
89.6%
OT1 - 2:39INDMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot101
15.5%
104
84.5%
OT1 - 3:02DENFaried 2' Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Mudiay 8 AST)101
11.8%
104
88.2%
OT1 - 3:12INDHill 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Ellis 6 AST)99
9.2%
104
90.8%
OT1 - 3:21INDEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)99
11.7%
102
88.3%
OT1 - 3:21DENMISS Gallinari 22' Jump Shot99
13.6%
102
86.4%
OT1 - 3:44INDGeorge 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)99
19.8%
102
80.2%
OT1 - 4:03DENJokic Foul Turnover (P3.T17)99
33.3%
99
66.7%
OT1 - 4:16DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)99
43.0%
99
57.0%
OT1 - 4:17INDMISS Ellis 19' Pullup Jump Shot99
39.9%
99
60.1%
OT1 - 4:36INDEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)99
33.3%
99
66.7%
OT1 - 4:37DENHill BLOCK (6 BLK)99
36.1%
99
63.9%
OT1 - 5:00INDJump Ball Turner vs. Faried: Tip to Jokic99
43.1%
99
56.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0INDHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)99
29.1%
99
70.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot99
36.3%
99
63.7%
Q4 - 0:43.0INDEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)99
51.0%
99
49.0%
Q4 - 0:56.0INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)99
32.5%
99
67.5%
Q4 - 0:57.0DENMISS Faried 3' Layup99
37.4%
99
62.6%
Q4 - 0:59.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)99
49.3%
99
50.7%
Q4 - 1:00DENHill BLOCK (5 BLK)99
37.2%
99
62.8%
Q4 - 1:23INDEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)99
47.3%
99
52.7%
Q4 - 1:23INDMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 299
50.0%
98
50.0%
Q4 - 1:38DENGallinari 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS)99
44.3%
98
55.7%
Q4 - 1:57INDGeorge 19' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)97
33.4%
98
66.6%
Q4 - 2:19DENFaried 2' Putback Layup (14 PTS)97
42.8%
96
57.2%
Q4 - 2:20DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)95
35.9%
96
64.1%
Q4 - 2:20DENMISS Jokic 15' Jump Shot95
26.3%
96
73.7%
Q4 - 2:33INDEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)95
36.1%
96
63.9%
Q4 - 2:37INDEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)95
22.7%
96
77.3%
Q4 - 2:38DENMISS Mudiay 10' Fadeaway Jumper95
26.4%
96
73.6%
Q4 - 2:58DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)95
35.6%
96
64.4%
Q4 - 2:59INDMISS Hill 16' Jump Shot95
31.7%
96
68.3%
Q4 - 3:06INDHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)95
23.8%
96
76.2%
Q4 - 3:07DENTurner BLOCK (4 BLK)95
27.1%
96
72.9%
Q4 - 3:26INDTurner 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (George 7 AST)95
36.1%
96
63.9%
Q4 - 3:41DENHarris 2' Driving Dunk (18 PTS)95
41.9%
94
58.1%
Q4 - 3:48DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)93
34.0%
94
66.0%
Q4 - 3:49INDMISS Ellis 1' Driving Layup93
31.3%
94
68.7%
Q4 - 3:54DENG. Hill STEAL (1 STL)93
25.6%
94
74.4%
Q4 - 4:08INDHill Foul Turnover (P3.T13)93
34.1%
94
65.9%
Q4 - 4:21DENMudiay Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T15)93
25.5%
94
74.5%
Q4 - 4:28DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
34.1%
94
65.9%
Q4 - 4:30INDMISS Turner 20' Jump Shot93
31.3%
94
68.7%
Q4 - 4:47DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)93
25.4%
94
74.6%
Q4 - 4:54DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
14.2%
94
85.8%
Q4 - 4:54INDMISS George 11' Jump Shot90
12.7%
94
87.3%
Q4 - 4:57INDPACERS Rebound90
9.8%
94
90.2%
Q4 - 4:57INDMISS Ellis 11' Running Jump Shot90
12.7%
94
87.3%
Q4 - 5:10DENFaried Foul Turnover (P2.T14)90
11.5%
94
88.5%
Q4 - 5:27INDHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)90
15.6%
94
84.4%
Q4 - 5:27INDHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)90
16.7%
93
83.3%
Q4 - 5:41DENNurkic Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)90
20.1%
92
79.9%
Q4 - 5:41DENMISS Nurkic Free Throw 1 of 289
18.6%
92
81.4%
Q4 - 5:54INDG. Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)89
20.5%
92
79.5%
Q4 - 5:54INDG. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)89
21.5%
91
78.5%
Q4 - 5:57INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
26.0%
90
74.0%
Q4 - 5:57DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
28.1%
90
71.9%
Q4 - 6:11INDHill 11' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)89
33.0%
90
67.0%
Q4 - 6:32INDEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
39.0%
88
61.0%
Q4 - 6:33DENMISS Arthur 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
41.5%
88
58.5%
Q4 - 6:46DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
47.4%
88
52.6%
Q4 - 6:47INDMISS Ellis 18' Pullup Jump Shot89
44.8%
88
55.2%
Q4 - 7:03DENArthur Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)89
37.9%
88
62.1%
Q4 - 7:19INDAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)89
45.4%
88
54.6%
Q4 - 7:19INDAllen 2' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)89
45.4%
88
54.6%
Q4 - 7:22INDMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
56.9%
86
43.1%
Q4 - 7:44DENArthur Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)89
51.7%
86
48.3%
Q4 - 7:44DENArthur Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)88
50.5%
86
49.5%
Q4 - 7:55DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
45.5%
86
54.5%
Q4 - 7:55INDMISS G. Hill 19' Jump Shot87
43.2%
86
56.8%
Q4 - 8:22DENBarton 5' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nurkic 1 AST)87
37.9%
86
62.1%
Q4 - 8:27DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
32.0%
86
68.0%
Q4 - 8:29INDMISS G. Hill 7' Running Jump Shot85
30.3%
86
69.7%
Q4 - 8:52INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
26.7%
86
73.3%
Q4 - 8:52DENMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot85
28.2%
86
71.8%
Q4 - 9:14INDHill 3' Dunk (14 PTS) (G. Hill 4 AST)85
32.1%
86
67.9%
Q4 - 9:29DENBarton Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)85
37.4%
84
62.6%
Q4 - 9:35DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
43.3%
84
56.7%
Q4 - 9:36INDMISS S. Hill 8' Fadeaway Jumper85
41.5%
84
58.5%
Q4 - 9:55INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
37.4%
84
62.6%
Q4 - 9:55DENMISS Barton 3' Driving Layup85
39.2%
84
60.8%
Q4 - 10:02INDS. Hill Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)85
42.4%
84
57.6%
Q4 - 10:18DENBarton Foul Turnover (P2.T11)85
36.7%
84
63.3%
Q4 - 10:37INDYoung 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)85
42.5%
84
57.5%
Q4 - 10:54DENFoye 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)85
47.8%
82
52.2%
Q4 - 11:11DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
41.8%
82
58.2%
Q4 - 11:12INDMISS Young 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
40.2%
82
59.8%
Q4 - 11:20INDAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
36.5%
82
63.5%
Q4 - 11:20DENArthur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
41.8%
82
58.2%
Q4 - 11:20DENMISS Arthur 1' Tip Layup Shot83
38.1%
82
61.9%
Q4 - 11:22DENMISS Nurkic 5' Jump Shot83
38.1%
82
61.9%
Q4 - 11:43INDS. Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)83
41.8%
82
58.2%
Q4 - 11:43INDS. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)83
42.5%
81
57.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN83
47.0%
80
53.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDEllis 20' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS)83
52.6%
80
47.4%
Q3 - 0:20.0DENGallinari 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)83
56.2%
78
43.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0DENNuggets Rebound81
51.1%
78
48.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0DENMISS Arthur 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
47.5%
78
52.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0INDMiles Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T11)81
51.2%
78
48.8%
Q3 - 0:58.0INDYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
46.0%
78
54.0%
Q3 - 1:00INDMISS Young 10' Floating Jump Shot81
49.6%
78
50.4%
Q3 - 1:11DENJokic 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)81
44.8%
78
55.2%
Q3 - 1:39INDEllis 18' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)79
40.2%
78
59.8%
Q3 - 1:57DENEllis STEAL (2 STL)79
44.9%
76
55.1%
Q3 - 2:11DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)79
48.2%
76
51.8%
Q3 - 2:11INDMISS G. Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
46.7%
76
53.3%
Q3 - 2:29DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)79
43.4%
76
56.6%
Q3 - 2:29DENJokic 1' Putback Layup (11 PTS)79
43.4%
76
56.6%
Q3 - 2:30DENMISS Harris 1' Layup77
35.9%
76
64.1%
Q3 - 2:51INDEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Turner 3 AST)77
39.2%
76
60.8%
Q3 - 3:06DENGallinari 4' Dunk (17 PTS)77
47.1%
73
52.9%
Q3 - 3:10INDGeorge Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)75
43.1%
73
56.9%
Q3 - 3:29DENHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Mudiay 6 AST)75
38.4%
73
61.6%
Q3 - 3:37DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
30.7%
73
69.3%
Q3 - 3:39INDAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
26.8%
73
73.2%
Q3 - 3:39INDMISS Allen 1' Tip Layup Shot72
29.5%
73
70.5%
Q3 - 3:41INDMISS Ellis 3' Layup72
29.5%
73
70.5%
Q3 - 3:51INDAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
26.7%
73
73.3%
Q3 - 3:53DENMISS Gallinari 2' Layup72
27.9%
73
72.1%
Q3 - 4:12INDAllen 2' Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (George 6 AST)72
30.4%
73
69.6%
Q3 - 4:21INDPACERS Rebound72
33.6%
71
66.4%
Q3 - 4:22INDMISS G. Hill 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot72
36.7%
71
63.3%
Q3 - 4:31INDAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
33.6%
71
66.4%
Q3 - 4:31INDMISS G. Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
36.8%
71
63.2%
Q3 - 4:55DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)72
33.6%
71
66.4%
Q3 - 4:55DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)71
32.6%
71
67.4%
Q3 - 4:58DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
30.5%
71
69.5%
Q3 - 4:59INDMISS Ellis 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup70
29.2%
71
70.8%
Q3 - 5:15DENMudiay Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)70
26.4%
71
73.6%
Q3 - 5:21INDHill 2' Putback Layup (12 PTS)70
30.1%
71
69.9%
Q3 - 5:23INDHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
33.3%
69
66.7%
Q3 - 5:23INDMISS Ellis 20' Pullup Jump Shot70
36.1%
69
63.9%
Q3 - 5:37DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)70
33.3%
69
66.7%
Q3 - 5:43DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
26.7%
69
73.3%
Q3 - 5:43INDMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot67
25.6%
69
74.4%
Q3 - 6:01DENGallinari 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS)67
23.2%
69
76.8%
Q3 - 6:12DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
20.8%
69
79.2%
Q3 - 6:13INDMISS G. Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
19.9%
69
80.1%
Q3 - 6:29DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
18.1%
69
81.9%
Q3 - 6:29DENJokic 1' Tip Layup Shot (9 PTS)65
18.1%
69
81.9%
Q3 - 6:30DENMISS Jokic 11' Floating Jump Shot63
14.5%
69
85.5%
Q3 - 6:37DENNuggets Rebound63
16.1%
69
83.9%
Q3 - 6:37DENTurner BLOCK (3 BLK)63
14.5%
69
85.5%
Q3 - 6:56INDGeorge 17' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)63
16.1%
69
83.9%
Q3 - 7:11DENMudiay 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)63
18.1%
67
81.9%
Q3 - 7:36INDHill 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS)61
16.2%
67
83.8%
Q3 - 7:51DENHarris 3' Cutting Layup Shot (10 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)61
18.1%
65
81.9%
Q3 - 8:01INDHill 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS)59
16.3%
65
83.7%
Q3 - 8:13INDTurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)59
18.1%
63
81.9%
Q3 - 8:14INDMISS Ellis 17' Jump Shot59
19.9%
63
80.1%
Q3 - 8:28DENHarris Foul Turnover (P1.T8)59
18.1%
63
81.9%
Q3 - 8:39INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)59
20.8%
63
79.2%
Q3 - 8:39INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)59
21.1%
62
78.9%
Q3 - 8:53DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)59
23.0%
61
77.0%
Q3 - 8:53DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)58
22.2%
61
77.8%
Q3 - 8:57INDGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)57
20.8%
61
79.2%
Q3 - 8:59INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
18.1%
61
81.9%
Q3 - 9:01DENTurner BLOCK (2 BLK)57
18.9%
61
81.1%
Q3 - 9:03DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
20.5%
61
79.5%
Q3 - 9:04DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
18.9%
61
81.1%
Q3 - 9:19DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
20.6%
61
79.4%
Q3 - 9:19INDMISS Ellis 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot57
19.8%
61
80.2%
Q3 - 9:33DENJokic 6' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)57
18.2%
61
81.8%
Q3 - 9:47INDHill Foul Turnover (P2.T8)55
16.2%
61
83.8%
Q3 - 10:00DENEllis STEAL (1 STL)55
14.3%
61
85.7%
Q3 - 10:11DENNuggets Rebound55
16.3%
61
83.7%
Q3 - 10:12DENMISS Mudiay 3' Jump Shot55
14.9%
61
85.1%
Q3 - 10:28INDEllis Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T7)55
16.3%
61
83.7%
Q3 - 10:48DENGallinari 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)55
14.4%
61
85.6%
Q3 - 11:10INDEllis 1' Driving Reverse Layup (19 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)53
13.0%
61
87.0%
Q3 - 11:31DENFaried 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Jokic 2 AST)53
14.4%
59
85.6%
Q3 - 11:34INDEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)51
13.0%
59
87.0%
Q3 - 11:43INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
11.4%
59
88.6%
Q3 - 11:44DENMISS Harris 20' Jump Shot51
11.8%
59
88.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN51
13.0%
59
87.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound51
13.0%
59
87.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Arthur 50' 3PT Jump Shot51
11.8%
59
88.2%
Q2 - 0:04.0INDEllis 3' Driving Layup (17 PTS)51
13.2%
59
86.8%
Q2 - 0:23.0INDEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
15.2%
57
84.8%
Q2 - 0:23.0DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 1 of 151
15.4%
57
84.6%
Q2 - 0:33.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
13.1%
57
86.9%
Q2 - 0:33.0INDMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
12.8%
57
87.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)49
12.1%
57
87.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 1 of 248
11.7%
57
88.3%
Q2 - 1:03INDEllis 2' Alley Oop Layup (15 PTS) (G. Hill 3 AST)48
12.0%
57
88.0%
Q2 - 1:11DENHarris 21' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mudiay 4 AST)48
14.1%
55
85.9%
Q2 - 1:25INDGeorge 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)46
12.0%
55
88.0%
Q2 - 1:49INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
15.7%
52
84.3%
Q2 - 1:50DENMISS Gallinari 18' Step Back Jump Shot46
16.0%
52
84.0%
Q2 - 2:11INDGeorge 1' Cutting Layup Shot (7 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)46
17.1%
52
82.9%
Q2 - 2:26DENFaried 4' Driving Bank Hook Shot (8 PTS)46
19.0%
50
81.0%
Q2 - 2:40DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
17.1%
50
82.9%
Q2 - 2:41INDMISS George 19' Step Back Jump Shot44
16.6%
50
83.4%
Q2 - 2:52INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)44
15.5%
50
84.5%
Q2 - 2:53DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
16.0%
50
84.0%
Q2 - 2:59INDGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)44
17.1%
50
82.9%
Q2 - 3:21DENFaried 1' Cutting Dunk Shot (6 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)44
15.5%
50
84.5%
Q2 - 3:35DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
14.2%
50
85.8%
Q2 - 3:35INDMISS Turner Free Throw 1 of 142
14.0%
50
86.0%
Q2 - 3:43INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)42
15.5%
48
84.5%
Q2 - 3:43DENMISS Jokic 11' Jump Shot42
16.1%
48
83.9%
Q2 - 3:56DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
17.4%
48
82.6%
Q2 - 3:57INDMISS Turner 19' Jump Shot42
16.8%
48
83.2%
Q2 - 4:12DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)42
15.7%
48
84.3%
Q2 - 4:12DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)41
15.5%
48
84.5%
Q2 - 4:24INDTurner Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
14.3%
48
85.7%
Q2 - 4:24INDTurner Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
14.7%
47
85.3%
Q2 - 4:35INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
15.7%
46
84.3%
Q2 - 4:35DENMISS Mudiay 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
16.2%
46
83.8%
Q2 - 4:53DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
17.4%
46
82.6%
Q2 - 4:54INDMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
16.9%
46
83.1%
Q2 - 5:08DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
15.9%
46
84.1%
Q2 - 5:08DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)39
15.7%
46
84.3%
Q2 - 5:18INDS. Hill 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (G. Hill 2 AST)38
14.5%
46
85.5%
Q2 - 5:40DENHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jokic 1 AST)38
15.8%
44
84.2%
Q2 - 5:54DENNuggets Rebound35
13.2%
44
86.8%
Q2 - 5:54INDMISS Robinson III 3' Driving Dunk35
12.8%
44
87.2%
Q2 - 6:00DENS. Hill STEAL (1 STL)35
11.9%
44
88.1%
Q2 - 6:10DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
13.6%
44
86.4%
Q2 - 6:10INDMISS Turner 18' Jump Shot35
13.1%
44
86.9%
Q2 - 6:22INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
12.1%
44
87.9%
Q2 - 6:22DENMISS Barton 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot35
12.5%
44
87.5%
Q2 - 6:29DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
13.6%
44
86.4%
Q2 - 6:29INDMISS Robinson III 11' Step Back Jump Shot35
13.1%
44
86.9%
Q2 - 6:40INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
12.1%
44
87.9%
Q2 - 6:41DENMISS Foye 27' 3PT Jump Shot35
12.5%
44
87.5%
Q2 - 6:59INDRobinson III 3' Dunk (4 PTS) (S. Hill 1 AST)35
13.6%
44
86.4%
Q2 - 7:03INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
15.0%
42
85.0%
Q2 - 7:03INDMISS Miles 28' 3PT Jump Shot35
16.0%
42
84.0%
Q2 - 7:27INDYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
14.9%
42
85.1%
Q2 - 7:28DENMISS Jokic 3' Driving Layup35
15.4%
42
84.6%
Q2 - 7:40DENNuggets Rebound35
16.4%
42
83.6%
Q2 - 7:41INDMISS Robinson III 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
16.0%
42
84.0%
Q2 - 8:03DENArthur 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Barton 1 AST)35
15.1%
42
84.9%
Q2 - 8:12DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
13.9%
42
86.1%
Q2 - 8:13INDMISS Miles 20' Jump Shot33
13.5%
42
86.5%
Q2 - 8:24INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
12.6%
42
87.4%
Q2 - 8:25DENMISS Nurkic 3' Layup33
13.0%
42
87.0%
Q2 - 8:42INDRobinson III 13' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
13.9%
42
86.1%
Q2 - 9:04DENNurkic 3' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Arthur 4 AST)33
15.0%
40
85.0%
Q2 - 9:20INDYoung 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Turner 2 AST)31
14.0%
40
86.0%
Q2 - 9:38DENBarton Reverse Dunk (4 PTS) (Arthur 3 AST)31
16.3%
37
83.7%
Q2 - 9:42INDMiles Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)29
15.2%
37
84.8%
Q2 - 9:46INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
13.8%
37
86.2%
Q2 - 9:47INDMISS Young 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
14.8%
37
85.2%
Q2 - 10:05INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
14.0%
37
86.0%
Q2 - 10:05DENMISS Nurkic 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
14.4%
37
85.6%
Q2 - 10:23DENNuggets Rebound29
15.5%
37
84.5%
Q2 - 10:23INDMISS S. Hill 18' Jump Shot29
15.0%
37
85.0%
Q2 - 10:48INDRobinson III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
14.0%
37
86.0%
Q2 - 10:48DENMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
14.4%
37
85.6%
Q2 - 10:48DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
15.4%
37
84.6%
Q2 - 10:49INDMISS S. Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
15.0%
37
85.0%
Q2 - 10:57INDAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
13.9%
37
86.1%
Q2 - 10:57DENMISS Nurkic 6' Hook Shot29
14.4%
37
85.6%
Q2 - 11:09INDYoung 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Robinson III 1 AST)29
15.4%
37
84.6%
Q2 - 11:26DENNurkic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)29
16.7%
35
83.3%
Q2 - 11:36DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
18.1%
35
81.9%
Q2 - 11:36INDMISS Miles 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
17.7%
35
82.3%
Q2 - 11:53DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
16.7%
35
83.3%
Q2 - 11:53DENArthur 2' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)29
16.7%
35
83.3%
Q2 - 11:54DENMISS Barton 3' Layup27
14.5%
35
85.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND27
15.4%
35
84.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound27
14.2%
35
85.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Ellis 27' 3PT Jump Shot27
15.0%
35
85.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
14.5%
35
85.5%
Q1 - 0:04.0DENHill BLOCK (4 BLK)27
14.7%
35
85.3%
Q1 - 0:26.0INDMiles 1' Reverse Dunk (2 PTS)27
15.3%
35
84.7%
Q1 - 0:43.0DENBarton Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Arthur 2 AST)27
16.9%
33
83.1%
Q1 - 0:45.0DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
15.3%
33
84.7%
Q1 - 0:47.0INDMISS Allen Driving Dunk25
15.1%
33
84.9%
Q1 - 0:59.0DENGallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)25
14.4%
33
85.6%
Q1 - 1:14INDEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)22
12.1%
33
87.9%
Q1 - 1:30DENNurkic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
14.6%
30
85.4%
Q1 - 1:30DENNurkic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
14.2%
30
85.8%
Q1 - 1:42INDEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Young 1 AST)20
13.2%
30
86.8%
Q1 - 1:49INDYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
15.8%
27
84.2%
Q1 - 1:50DENMISS Barton 6' Running Jump Shot20
16.0%
27
84.0%
Q1 - 2:01INDEllis 18' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)20
16.9%
27
83.1%
Q1 - 2:15DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
18.3%
25
81.7%
Q1 - 2:15DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
18.2%
25
81.8%
Q1 - 2:23DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
16.9%
25
83.1%
Q1 - 2:23INDMISS George 17' Turnaround Jump Shot18
16.5%
25
83.5%
Q1 - 2:33DENGallinari Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)18
15.8%
25
84.2%
Q1 - 2:51INDG. Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (George 4 AST)18
16.9%
25
83.1%
Q1 - 3:05DENNurkic 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Arthur 1 AST)18
19.6%
22
80.4%
Q1 - 3:27INDHill 4' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)16
18.4%
22
81.6%
Q1 - 3:30INDEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
19.6%
20
80.4%
Q1 - 3:30INDMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
20.7%
20
79.3%
Q1 - 3:36INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
19.6%
20
80.4%
Q1 - 3:41INDMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
20.7%
20
79.3%
Q1 - 3:51DENHill STEAL (1 STL)16
19.6%
20
80.4%
Q1 - 3:55INDTurner Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)16
21.2%
20
78.8%
Q1 - 4:08INDEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
19.5%
20
80.5%
Q1 - 4:09DENMISS Jokic 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
20.0%
20
80.0%
Q1 - 4:17DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
21.1%
20
78.9%
Q1 - 4:18INDMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot16
20.6%
20
79.4%
Q1 - 4:31DENFaried 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Mudiay 3 AST)16
19.5%
20
80.5%
Q1 - 4:39DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
18.4%
20
81.6%
Q1 - 4:40INDMISS Turner 9' Turnaround Hook Shot14
17.9%
20
82.1%
Q1 - 4:57DENFaried Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)14
16.9%
20
83.1%
Q1 - 5:08INDG. Hill 20' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
18.5%
20
81.5%
Q1 - 5:14INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
19.7%
18
80.3%
Q1 - 5:15DENTurner BLOCK (1 BLK)14
20.1%
18
79.9%
Q1 - 5:42INDEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (George 3 AST)14
21.1%
18
78.9%
Q1 - 5:51INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
23.9%
15
76.1%
Q1 - 5:54INDMISS Hill 2' Layup14
25.0%
15
75.0%
Q1 - 6:03DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
23.7%
15
76.3%
Q1 - 6:03DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
23.3%
15
76.7%
Q1 - 6:20INDEllis 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
22.4%
15
77.6%
Q1 - 6:24INDEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
23.7%
13
76.3%
Q1 - 6:25INDMISS Ellis 5' Jump Shot12
24.8%
13
75.2%
Q1 - 6:45DENJokic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)12
23.7%
13
76.3%
Q1 - 7:05INDTurner 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (G. Hill 1 AST)9
21.1%
13
78.9%
Q1 - 7:20DENJokic Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)9
22.2%
11
77.8%
Q1 - 7:21DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
23.8%
11
76.2%
Q1 - 7:22DENMISS Mudiay 13' Jump Shot9
22.6%
11
77.4%
Q1 - 7:41INDG. Hill 2' Layup (2 PTS) (George 2 AST)9
23.8%
11
76.2%
Q1 - 7:45INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
24.9%
9
75.1%
Q1 - 7:46DENHill BLOCK (3 BLK)9
25.5%
9
74.5%
Q1 - 8:01INDHill 4' Turnaround Bank Shot (4 PTS) (George 1 AST)9
26.4%
9
73.6%
Q1 - 8:14DENHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)9
27.7%
7
72.3%
Q1 - 8:14DENMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 28
27.5%
7
72.5%
Q1 - 8:18INDGeorge Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
27.9%
7
72.1%
Q1 - 8:22INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
26.2%
7
73.8%
Q1 - 8:24INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
27.4%
7
72.6%
Q1 - 8:41DENHarris 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
26.2%
7
73.8%
Q1 - 8:47INDHill Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
25.0%
7
75.0%
Q1 - 9:07DENJokic 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Mudiay 2 AST)6
23.2%
7
76.8%
Q1 - 9:15DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
22.2%
7
77.8%
Q1 - 9:16INDMISS Turner 18' Jump Shot4
21.7%
7
78.3%
Q1 - 9:26DENMudiay 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
20.6%
7
79.4%
Q1 - 9:42INDGeorge 20' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)2
19.7%
7
80.3%
Q1 - 10:02INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
20.8%
5
79.2%
Q1 - 10:02DENMISS Gallinari 20' Jump Shot2
21.2%
5
78.8%
Q1 - 10:16DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.2%
5
77.8%
Q1 - 10:16INDMISS Turner 1' Cutting Layup Shot2
21.7%
5
78.3%
Q1 - 10:24DENGallinari 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mudiay 1 AST)2
20.7%
5
79.3%
Q1 - 10:33DENNuggets Rebound0
19.7%
5
80.3%
Q1 - 10:33DENHill BLOCK (2 BLK)0
18.8%
5
81.2%
Q1 - 10:38DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.7%
5
80.3%
Q1 - 10:39INDMISS Turner Reverse Layup0
19.3%
5
80.7%
Q1 - 10:47INDEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.4%
5
81.6%
Q1 - 10:49DENHill BLOCK (1 BLK)0
18.8%
5
81.2%
Q1 - 11:09INDHill 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turner 1 AST)0
19.6%
5
80.4%
Q1 - 11:23INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.8%
3
79.2%
Q1 - 11:24DENMISS Jokic 7' Turnaround Jump Shot0
21.2%
3
78.8%
Q1 - 11:45INDGeorge 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)0
22.0%
3
78.0%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Turner vs. Jokic: Tip to G. Hill0
24.6%
0
75.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.04 52.0%
IND
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
21
40
53%
IND
19
29
66%
Midrange
DEN
15
29
52%
IND
16
44
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
4
6.0
18
22%
33%
IND
9
13.5
27
33%
50%
Free Throws
DEN
21
25
84%
IND
12
16
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari2357%11.5 / 20
G. Harris1875%9.0 / 12
N. Jokić1653%8.0 / 15
K. Faried1667%8.0 / 12
E. Mudiay1146%5.5 / 12
J. Nurkić744%3.5 / 8
D. Arthur643%3.0 / 7
W. Barton643%3.0 / 7
R. Foye233%1.0 / 3
J. Nelson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ellis3255%16.0 / 29
J. Hill2071%10.0 / 14
P. George1959%9.5 / 16
G. Hill941%4.5 / 11
M. Turner831%4.0 / 13
J. Young758%3.5 / 6
L. Allen450%2.0 / 4
S. Hill440%2.0 / 5
G. Robinson III440%2.0 / 5
C. Miles225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
86
+13
-19
99
IND
90
+18
-15
108
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.04 52.0%
IND
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.2
104.6
DEN 100.0
IND 103.8 +3.8
Pace
95.3
96.7
DEN 116.8 +36.7
IND 80.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
14.8
DEN 12.3 +5.6
IND 18.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.9%
49.7%
DEN 48.3%
IND 48.5% +0.2%
TO %
14.8%
14.7%
DEN 16.2%
IND 12.3% +3.9%
ORB %
25.8%
23.4%
DEN 18.6%
IND 27.5% +8.9%
FTrt
28.2
26.8
DEN 28.7 +12.7
IND 16.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
55.4%
DEN 60.0% +0.9%
IND 59.1%
STL %
7.7%
9.3%
DEN 9.5% +3.8%
IND 5.7%
BLK %
8.1%
7.9%
DEN 4.1%
IND 14.5% +10.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.7%
52.3%
DEN 52.0% +2.0%
IND 50.0%
Rim FG%
54.8%
60.5%
DEN 52.5%
IND 65.5% +13.0%
Mid FG%
38.8%
38.9%
DEN 51.7% +15.3%
IND 36.4%
3P %
33.8%
35.1%
DEN 22.2%
IND 33.3% +11.1%
FT %
76.6%
76.4%
DEN 84.0% +9.0%
IND 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.5%
33.1%
DEN 46.0% +17.0%
IND 29.0%
Mid Att. %
29.8%
39.9%
DEN 33.3% +10.7%
IND 44.0%
3P Att. %
27.7%
27.0%
DEN 20.7%
IND 27.0% +6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENIND
Possessions105105
Possession Minutes21.631.4
Points105109
Rebounds4549
Assists2426
Steals106
Blocks310
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (3)35 (0)
Field Goals40-8744-100
At-the-Rim FG21-4019-29
Midrange FG15-2916-44
2-Point FG36-6935-73
3-Point FG4-189-27
Free Throws21-2512-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 225 · 27
41.0
23
57%
3
2
1
0
2
0
0
3
6-6
100%
7-13
54%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 200 · 20
36.6
11
46%
5
8
0
0
4
2
0
5
3-5
60%
4-9
44%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 21
35.7
18
75%
1
3
1
1
2
5
0
1
2-3
67%
5-8
63%
2-3
67%
C · 6'11" 284 · 21
35.3
16
53%
11
2
5
0
3
4
3
8
1-1
100%
6-13
46%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 228 · 26
35.1
16
67%
12
0
1
0
3
5
3
9
4-4
100%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 28
18.3
6
43%
5
4
1
0
1
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-3
0%
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25
17.3
6
43%
2
1
0
0
3
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 290 · 21
16.9
7
44%
2
1
1
2
1
2
0
2
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 190 · 34
16.4
0
0%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 218 · 32
12.4
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 260 · 24
G · 6'4" 212 · 26
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36
#7 · C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · F · 6'9" 225 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
105
52%
45
24
10
3
19
0
8
37
21-25
84%
36-69
52%
4-18
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.