FinalWin Prob.pScore
2352%100
107
2448%99
103
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
109.29896.9
MIL logo MIL
106.297100.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA107
100%
103
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0MILAntetokounmpo Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P6.T21)107
99.8%
103
0.2%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)107
99.4%
103
0.6%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)106
99.2%
103
0.8%
Q4 - 0:04.0MILAntetokounmpo Driving Dunk (28 PTS)105
98.1%
103
1.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)105
96.8%
101
3.2%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2104
96.1%
101
3.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)104
97.5%
101
2.5%
Q4 - 0:15.0MILMISS Middleton 27' 3PT Jump Shot104
96.3%
101
3.7%
Q4 - 0:28.0MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)104
88.3%
101
11.7%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2104
89.6%
101
10.4%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)104
93.5%
101
6.5%
Q4 - 0:28.0MILAntetokounmpo Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T20)103
90.1%
101
9.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAWade 19' Step Back Jump Shot (20 PTS)103
74.8%
101
25.2%
Q4 - 0:59.0MILAntetokounmpo Driving Dunk (26 PTS)101
60.3%
101
39.7%
Q4 - 1:13MIAMiddleton STEAL (2 STL)101
70.7%
99
29.3%
Q4 - 1:36MILCarter-Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)101
80.4%
99
19.6%
Q4 - 1:36MILMISS Carter-Williams Free Throw 1 of 2101
82.4%
98
17.6%
Q4 - 1:41MILParker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)101
79.1%
98
20.9%
Q4 - 1:43MIAMISS Bosh 28' 3PT Jump Shot101
81.6%
98
18.4%
Q4 - 2:00MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)101
86.4%
98
13.6%
Q4 - 2:26MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bosh 5 AST)101
77.5%
98
22.5%
Q4 - 2:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)98
62.1%
98
37.9%
Q4 - 2:47MIAMISS Bosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot98
51.1%
98
48.9%
Q4 - 3:01MILMonroe 4' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 6 AST)98
60.2%
98
39.8%
Q4 - 3:11MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)98
66.7%
96
33.3%
Q4 - 3:12MIAParker BLOCK (1 BLK)98
70.6%
96
29.4%
Q4 - 3:37MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)98
73.8%
96
26.2%
Q4 - 3:37MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)98
75.3%
95
24.7%
Q4 - 3:58MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)98
80.2%
94
19.8%
Q4 - 4:00MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
82.1%
94
17.9%
Q4 - 4:19MILBUCKS Rebound98
86.0%
94
14.0%
Q4 - 4:19MILMISS Carter-Williams 8' Jump Bank Shot98
84.5%
94
15.5%
Q4 - 4:19MILMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)98
86.0%
94
14.0%
Q4 - 4:19MILMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)98
87.0%
93
13.0%
Q4 - 4:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)98
89.7%
92
10.3%
Q4 - 4:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)97
88.9%
92
11.1%
Q4 - 4:36MILMiddleton Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T18)96
86.1%
92
13.9%
Q4 - 4:57MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
80.5%
92
19.5%
Q4 - 4:58MIAMISS Udrih 11' Pullup Jump Shot96
82.4%
92
17.6%
Q4 - 5:04MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)96
83.1%
92
16.9%
Q4 - 5:06MILMISS Monroe Hook Shot96
81.6%
92
18.4%
Q4 - 5:24MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)96
77.8%
92
22.2%
Q4 - 5:25MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot96
79.6%
92
20.4%
Q4 - 5:43MILJump Ball Parker vs. Stoudemire: Tip to Wade96
83.4%
92
16.6%
Q4 - 5:44MILParker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)96
77.8%
92
22.2%
Q4 - 5:44MILMISS Parker 3' Jump Shot96
81.8%
92
18.2%
Q4 - 6:05MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)96
75.9%
92
24.1%
Q4 - 6:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)95
74.7%
92
25.3%
Q4 - 6:06MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)94
70.9%
92
29.1%
Q4 - 6:08MILMISS Middleton Layup94
68.7%
92
31.3%
Q4 - 6:18MIABayless STEAL (1 STL)94
63.4%
92
36.6%
Q4 - 6:39MILMiddleton 15' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)94
70.9%
92
29.1%
Q4 - 6:57MIAStoudemire Putback Layup (12 PTS)94
76.0%
90
24.0%
Q4 - 6:59MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)92
70.9%
90
29.1%
Q4 - 7:01MIAMISS Wade 19' Step Back Jump Shot92
65.3%
90
34.7%
Q4 - 7:19MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
69.9%
90
30.1%
Q4 - 7:21MILMISS Antetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 292
69.0%
90
31.0%
Q4 - 7:21MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)92
65.1%
90
34.9%
Q4 - 7:24MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
69.3%
89
30.7%
Q4 - 7:26MILMISS Monroe 2' Layup92
73.7%
89
26.3%
Q4 - 7:44MIAWade Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T16)92
69.4%
89
30.6%
Q4 - 7:57MILMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)92
75.5%
89
24.5%
Q4 - 7:57MILMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)92
76.6%
88
23.4%
Q4 - 8:03MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)92
78.3%
87
21.7%
Q4 - 8:17MILMonroe 3' Driving Hook Shot (18 PTS)89
68.3%
87
31.7%
Q4 - 8:32MILBUCKS Rebound89
73.8%
85
26.2%
Q4 - 8:33MILMISS Bayless 3' Floating Jump Shot89
77.0%
85
23.0%
Q4 - 8:41MILPlumlee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)89
73.8%
85
26.2%
Q4 - 8:43MIAMISS Dragic 11' Step Back Jump Shot89
75.3%
85
24.7%
Q4 - 8:53MILMISS Parker 15' Step Back Jump Shot89
77.1%
85
22.9%
Q4 - 9:13MIAHeat Rebound89
77.2%
85
22.8%
Q4 - 9:13MIAGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)89
72.5%
85
27.5%
Q4 - 9:13MIAMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 288
71.8%
85
28.2%
Q4 - 9:18MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
72.7%
85
27.3%
Q4 - 9:19MILMISS Antetokounmpo 2' Running Layup88
71.2%
85
28.8%
Q4 - 9:47MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)88
67.5%
85
32.5%
Q4 - 10:03MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
56.3%
85
43.7%
Q4 - 10:04MILMISS Bayless 28' 3PT Jump Shot85
54.5%
85
45.5%
Q4 - 10:07MILParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
50.3%
85
49.7%
Q4 - 10:08MILMISS Bayless 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
54.5%
85
45.5%
Q4 - 10:38MIADragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)85
50.3%
85
49.7%
Q4 - 10:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
45.0%
85
55.0%
Q4 - 10:51MILMISS Vaughn 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
43.2%
85
56.8%
Q4 - 11:16MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
39.5%
85
60.5%
Q4 - 11:17MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot83
41.2%
85
58.8%
Q4 - 11:38MILPlumlee Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 5 AST)83
45.0%
85
55.0%
Q4 - 11:49MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)83
50.2%
83
49.8%
Q4 - 11:49MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)82
49.2%
83
50.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL81
45.0%
83
55.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAUdrih 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)81
39.5%
83
60.5%
Q3 - 0:05.0MILVaughn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)79
35.6%
83
64.4%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAPlumlee STEAL (1 STL)79
45.4%
80
54.6%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
50.5%
80
49.5%
Q3 - 0:13.0MILMISS Middleton 20' Jump Shot79
48.9%
80
51.1%
Q3 - 0:38.0MILPlumlee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)79
45.3%
80
54.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAMISS McRoberts 3' Jump Shot79
46.9%
80
53.1%
Q3 - 1:03MILVaughn 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 4 AST)79
50.7%
80
49.3%
Q3 - 1:10MIAAntetokounmpo STEAL (3 STL)79
60.2%
77
39.8%
Q3 - 1:22MILPlumlee 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 3 AST)79
65.0%
77
35.0%
Q3 - 1:33MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)79
69.2%
75
30.8%
Q3 - 1:33MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 278
68.4%
75
31.6%
Q3 - 1:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
69.3%
75
30.7%
Q3 - 1:40MILMISS Bayless 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
68.0%
75
32.0%
Q3 - 1:47MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
64.8%
75
35.2%
Q3 - 1:49MIAAntetokounmpo BLOCK (2 BLK)78
66.2%
75
33.8%
Q3 - 1:57MILMiddleton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)78
69.3%
75
30.7%
Q3 - 2:02MILPlumlee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)78
63.8%
75
36.2%
Q3 - 2:04MIAMISS McRoberts 2' Driving Layup78
65.2%
75
34.8%
Q3 - 2:20MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)78
68.3%
75
31.7%
Q3 - 2:33MIAGreen 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)78
75.6%
72
24.4%
Q3 - 3:02MILAntetokounmpo 3' Turnaround Hook Shot (18 PTS)75
68.0%
72
32.0%
Q3 - 3:19MIAGreen 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)75
71.4%
70
28.6%
Q3 - 3:37MIAHeat Rebound73
68.0%
70
32.0%
Q3 - 3:38MIAMISS Winslow 17' Jump Shot73
65.0%
70
35.0%
Q3 - 3:55MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
68.0%
70
32.0%
Q3 - 3:56MILMISS Middleton 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
66.7%
70
33.3%
Q3 - 4:05MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)73
62.9%
70
37.1%
Q3 - 4:05MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)72
62.2%
70
37.8%
Q3 - 4:05MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
59.5%
70
40.5%
Q3 - 4:05MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper71
56.1%
70
43.9%
Q3 - 4:18MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
59.5%
70
40.5%
Q3 - 4:20MIAMISS Udrih 28' 3PT Jump Shot71
56.2%
70
43.8%
Q3 - 4:43MILParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)71
59.6%
70
40.4%
Q3 - 4:43MILParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)71
60.4%
69
39.6%
Q3 - 4:49MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
63.0%
68
37.0%
Q3 - 4:50MIAMISS Deng 16' Turnaround Jump Shot71
64.4%
68
35.6%
Q3 - 5:10MILAntetokounmpo 1' Layup (16 PTS)71
66.7%
68
33.3%
Q3 - 5:30MIAWade 20' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)71
69.9%
66
30.1%
Q3 - 5:47MILAntetokounmpo 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)69
66.7%
66
33.3%
Q3 - 6:02MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)69
69.3%
64
30.7%
Q3 - 6:02MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)68
68.6%
64
31.4%
Q3 - 6:19MILAntetokounmpo 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)67
66.2%
64
33.8%
Q3 - 6:32MILJump Ball Parker vs. Wade: Tip to Middleton67
69.3%
62
30.7%
Q3 - 6:34MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
72.9%
62
27.1%
Q3 - 6:38MILMISS Middleton 11' Jump Shot67
71.8%
62
28.2%
Q3 - 6:51MIAWade Running Dunk (12 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)67
69.3%
62
30.7%
Q3 - 6:56MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
66.2%
62
33.8%
Q3 - 6:58MILMISS Monroe 2' Layup65
65.0%
62
35.0%
Q3 - 7:11MIAWade 17' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)65
61.7%
62
38.3%
Q3 - 7:33MILCarter-Williams 1' Running Layup (8 PTS)63
58.5%
62
41.5%
Q3 - 7:39MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
61.7%
60
38.3%
Q3 - 7:41MIAMISS Deng 21' Jump Shot63
62.9%
60
37.1%
Q3 - 7:54MILMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)63
65.7%
60
34.3%
Q3 - 7:54MILMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)63
66.4%
59
33.6%
Q3 - 8:18MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)63
68.4%
58
31.6%
Q3 - 8:18MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)62
67.9%
58
32.1%
Q3 - 8:29MILCarter-Williams 2' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 2 AST)61
65.6%
58
34.4%
Q3 - 8:34MIAMiddleton STEAL (1 STL)61
68.4%
56
31.6%
Q3 - 8:55MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
72.0%
56
28.0%
Q3 - 8:55MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
72.6%
55
27.4%
Q3 - 8:59MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
74.5%
54
25.5%
Q3 - 9:01MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup61
74.8%
54
25.2%
Q3 - 9:26MILMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)61
76.7%
54
23.3%
Q3 - 9:26MILMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)61
77.3%
53
22.7%
Q3 - 9:43MIADeng 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)61
79.2%
52
20.8%
Q3 - 10:06MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
76.3%
52
23.7%
Q3 - 10:08MILMISS Monroe 3' Layup59
75.5%
52
24.5%
Q3 - 10:29MIAStoudemire Dunk (10 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)59
73.5%
52
26.5%
Q3 - 10:52MILParker Running Dunk (15 PTS) (Carter-Williams 6 AST)57
70.8%
52
29.2%
Q3 - 10:56MIACarter-Williams STEAL (2 STL)57
73.5%
50
26.5%
Q3 - 11:19MILCarter-Williams 14' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 1 AST)57
75.9%
50
24.1%
Q3 - 11:40MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)57
78.2%
48
21.8%
Q3 - 11:40MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)56
77.8%
48
22.2%
Q3 - 11:52MILParker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T15)55
76.0%
48
24.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL55
73.2%
48
26.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound55
73.2%
48
26.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Antetokounmpo 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
75.1%
48
24.9%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)55
73.0%
48
27.0%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAHeat Rebound55
74.7%
48
25.3%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Deng 1' Reverse Layup55
73.6%
48
26.4%
Q2 - 0:30.0MILParker 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Carter-Williams 5 AST)55
74.8%
48
25.2%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)55
77.8%
46
22.2%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
74.9%
46
25.1%
Q2 - 0:55.0MILMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot53
74.3%
46
25.7%
Q2 - 1:09MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
72.8%
46
27.2%
Q2 - 1:10MIAMISS Bosh 15' Step Back Jump Shot53
73.2%
46
26.8%
Q2 - 1:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
74.1%
46
25.9%
Q2 - 1:22MILMISS Middleton 28' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot53
73.7%
46
26.3%
Q2 - 1:42MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
72.8%
46
27.2%
Q2 - 1:44MIAMISS Deng 14' Jump Shot53
73.2%
46
26.8%
Q2 - 2:00MILMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)53
74.1%
46
25.9%
Q2 - 2:00MILMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)53
74.7%
45
25.3%
Q2 - 2:16MILBUCKS Rebound53
76.4%
44
23.6%
Q2 - 2:17MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
77.0%
44
23.0%
Q2 - 2:31MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
78.5%
44
21.5%
Q2 - 2:33MILMISS Monroe 1' Layup53
77.9%
44
22.1%
Q2 - 2:34MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)53
76.5%
44
23.5%
Q2 - 2:37MILMISS Monroe 3' Layup53
77.9%
44
22.1%
Q2 - 2:50MIAWinslow Backcourt Turnover (P1.T9)53
76.5%
44
23.5%
Q2 - 2:53MILMonroe 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Carter-Williams 4 AST)53
78.5%
44
21.5%
Q2 - 2:56MIACarter-Williams STEAL (1 STL)53
80.6%
42
19.4%
Q2 - 3:01MILCarter-Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)53
81.9%
42
18.1%
Q2 - 3:17MIADeng 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)53
79.7%
42
20.3%
Q2 - 3:41MILParker Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T13)51
78.1%
42
21.9%
Q2 - 3:43MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
75.7%
42
24.3%
Q2 - 3:44MIAMISS Dragic 16' Jump Shot51
76.4%
42
23.6%
Q2 - 3:54MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
78.1%
42
21.9%
Q2 - 3:55MILMISS Antetokounmpo 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
77.4%
42
22.6%
Q2 - 3:59MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
75.7%
42
24.3%
Q2 - 4:00MILMISS Middleton 7' Hook Shot51
77.4%
42
22.6%
Q2 - 4:19MIADragic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)51
75.0%
42
25.0%
Q2 - 4:39MILParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
77.3%
42
22.7%
Q2 - 4:39MILParker 1' Tip Layup Shot (11 PTS)51
77.3%
42
22.7%
Q2 - 4:40MILMISS Middleton 13' Jump Shot51
80.4%
40
19.6%
Q2 - 4:52MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
79.1%
40
20.9%
Q2 - 4:53MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 251
79.4%
40
20.6%
Q2 - 4:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)51
80.6%
40
19.4%
Q2 - 5:02MILCarter-Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)50
78.8%
40
21.2%
Q2 - 5:15MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)50
76.8%
40
23.2%
Q2 - 5:27MILAntetokounmpo Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T11)47
72.7%
40
27.3%
Q2 - 5:46MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)47
70.3%
40
29.7%
Q2 - 5:46MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 246
69.8%
40
30.2%
Q2 - 6:02MIAHeat Rebound46
70.3%
40
29.7%
Q2 - 6:02MILMISS Parker 1' Driving Layup46
69.4%
40
30.6%
Q2 - 6:04MILBUCKS Rebound46
67.3%
40
32.7%
Q2 - 6:05MILMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 146
69.9%
40
30.1%
Q2 - 6:09MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
71.9%
38
28.1%
Q2 - 6:12MIAMonroe BLOCK (1 BLK)46
72.8%
38
27.2%
Q2 - 6:33MILAntetokounmpo Running Reverse Dunk Shot (8 PTS)46
74.6%
38
25.4%
Q2 - 6:36MIAAntetokounmpo STEAL (2 STL)46
76.1%
36
23.9%
Q2 - 6:48MILMiddleton 6' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (7 PTS)46
78.5%
36
21.5%
Q2 - 7:02MIADragic Foul Turnover (P1.T5)46
79.4%
34
20.6%
Q2 - 7:05MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
81.2%
34
18.8%
Q2 - 7:06MILMISS Antetokounmpo Finger Roll Layup46
80.6%
34
19.4%
Q2 - 7:28MIAWinslow 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)46
79.4%
34
20.6%
Q2 - 7:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
77.8%
34
22.2%
Q2 - 7:36MIAMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
76.4%
34
23.6%
Q2 - 7:54MILParker 18' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)44
77.8%
34
22.2%
Q2 - 8:15MIABosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)44
78.8%
32
21.2%
Q2 - 8:30MILParker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T10)41
75.3%
32
24.7%
Q2 - 8:35MILVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
73.3%
32
26.7%
Q2 - 8:37MIAMISS Stoudemire 1' Layup41
73.9%
32
26.1%
Q2 - 8:38MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
75.3%
32
24.7%
Q2 - 8:41MIAMISS Stoudemire 5' Jump Shot41
73.9%
32
26.1%
Q2 - 8:57MILBUCKS Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#9)41
75.4%
32
24.6%
Q2 - 9:23MIAStoudemire Dunk (8 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)41
72.8%
32
27.2%
Q2 - 9:53MILVaughn 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ennis 1 AST)39
71.1%
32
28.9%
Q2 - 9:57MILEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
72.8%
30
27.2%
Q2 - 9:58MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
73.5%
30
26.5%
Q2 - 10:11MILVaughn Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T8)39
74.7%
30
25.3%
Q2 - 10:27MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
72.4%
30
27.6%
Q2 - 10:27MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
71.9%
30
28.1%
Q2 - 10:50MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
70.8%
30
29.2%
Q2 - 10:50MILMonroe Tip Layup Shot (6 PTS)37
70.8%
30
29.2%
Q2 - 10:52MILMISS Antetokounmpo 5' Jump Shot37
74.0%
28
26.0%
Q2 - 11:13MIAGreen 1' Running Layup (4 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)37
72.0%
28
28.0%
Q2 - 11:17MILAntetokounmpo Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)35
70.1%
28
29.9%
Q2 - 11:34MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
68.0%
28
32.0%
Q2 - 11:34MIAGreen Putback Dunk (2 PTS)35
68.0%
28
32.0%
Q2 - 11:36MIAMISS Winslow 1' Layup33
64.4%
28
35.6%
Q2 - 11:50MILEnnis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)33
66.0%
28
34.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA33
63.7%
28
36.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
66.0%
28
34.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot33
64.2%
28
35.8%
Q1 - 0:05.0MILMiddleton Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)33
65.3%
28
34.7%
Q1 - 0:05.0MILMiddleton Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)33
65.5%
27
34.5%
Q1 - 0:21.0MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
67.9%
26
32.1%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Green 8' Pullup Jump Shot33
68.4%
26
31.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0MILEnnis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)33
69.4%
26
30.6%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAUdrih 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)33
67.9%
26
32.1%
Q1 - 0:55.0MILMiddleton Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)30
63.1%
26
36.9%
Q1 - 0:55.0MILMiddleton Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)30
63.4%
25
36.6%
Q1 - 0:55.0MILMiddleton Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)30
63.6%
24
36.4%
Q1 - 1:02MIAAntetokounmpo STEAL (1 STL)30
67.8%
23
32.2%
Q1 - 1:20MILAntetokounmpo 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)30
69.3%
23
30.7%
Q1 - 1:25MILEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
71.7%
21
28.3%
Q1 - 1:28MIAAntetokounmpo BLOCK (1 BLK)30
72.1%
21
27.9%
Q1 - 1:32MILAntetokounmpo Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)30
73.1%
21
26.9%
Q1 - 1:47MIAMcRoberts 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)30
71.7%
21
28.3%
Q1 - 1:56MIAHeat Rebound28
69.2%
21
30.8%
Q1 - 1:57MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot28
68.2%
21
31.8%
Q1 - 2:20MILAntetokounmpo 9' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)28
69.4%
21
30.6%
Q1 - 2:41MIADeng 1' Running Layup (5 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)28
71.5%
19
28.5%
Q1 - 2:47MILMiddleton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)26
69.4%
19
30.6%
Q1 - 3:00MIAWade 1' Running Layup (7 PTS)26
67.6%
19
32.4%
Q1 - 3:03MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
65.3%
19
34.7%
Q1 - 3:05MILMISS Carter-Williams Layup24
64.6%
19
35.4%
Q1 - 3:06MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
63.0%
19
37.0%
Q1 - 3:08MILMISS Carter-Williams 4' Jump Shot24
64.6%
19
35.4%
Q1 - 3:22MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)24
63.0%
19
37.0%
Q1 - 3:38MILPlumlee 2' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Carter-Williams 3 AST)21
59.0%
19
41.0%
Q1 - 4:01MIAWinslow 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)21
60.7%
17
39.3%
Q1 - 4:08MILMiddleton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
58.9%
17
41.1%
Q1 - 4:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)19
56.4%
17
43.6%
Q1 - 4:35MILParker 1' Running Layup (7 PTS)16
52.5%
17
47.5%
Q1 - 4:38MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
54.3%
15
45.7%
Q1 - 4:40MIAPlumlee BLOCK (1 BLK)16
55.1%
15
44.9%
Q1 - 4:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
56.8%
15
43.2%
Q1 - 4:48MILMISS Carter-Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
56.0%
15
44.0%
Q1 - 5:05MIAMcRoberts Foul Turnover (P1.T3)16
54.2%
15
45.8%
Q1 - 5:18MILPlumlee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)16
56.4%
15
43.6%
Q1 - 5:18MILPlumlee Tip Dunk Shot (2 PTS)16
56.4%
15
43.6%
Q1 - 5:21MILMISS Middleton 4' Running Layup16
59.8%
13
40.2%
Q1 - 5:26MILPlumlee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)16
58.3%
13
41.7%
Q1 - 5:27MILPlumlee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
58.3%
13
41.7%
Q1 - 5:27MILMISS Plumlee 1' Tip Layup Shot16
59.8%
13
40.2%
Q1 - 5:28MILPlumlee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
58.3%
13
41.7%
Q1 - 5:28MILMISS Plumlee 1' Tip Layup Shot16
59.8%
13
40.2%
Q1 - 5:30MILMISS Parker 1' Layup16
59.8%
13
40.2%
Q1 - 5:49MIABosh Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T2)16
58.3%
13
41.7%
Q1 - 6:02MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
60.1%
13
39.9%
Q1 - 6:04MILMISS Carter-Williams 18' Jump Shot16
59.4%
13
40.6%
Q1 - 6:20MILParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
58.0%
13
42.0%
Q1 - 6:21MIAMISS Wade 1' Reverse Layup16
58.6%
13
41.4%
Q1 - 6:41MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
60.1%
13
39.9%
Q1 - 6:43MILMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot16
59.4%
13
40.6%
Q1 - 6:57MIAStoudemire Cutting Dunk Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)16
58.0%
13
42.0%
Q1 - 7:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
56.3%
13
43.7%
Q1 - 7:10MILMISS Middleton 15' Jump Shot14
55.6%
13
44.4%
Q1 - 7:24MIAWade 9' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)14
54.0%
13
46.0%
Q1 - 7:43MILCarter-Williams 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
52.4%
13
47.6%
Q1 - 8:00MIAStoudemire 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)12
54.0%
11
46.0%
Q1 - 8:11MILParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)10
52.7%
11
47.3%
Q1 - 8:30MIADragic 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)10
56.3%
8
43.7%
Q1 - 8:40MILMonroe 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Carter-Williams 2 AST)8
54.6%
8
45.4%
Q1 - 8:48MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
56.3%
6
43.7%
Q1 - 8:49MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot8
56.9%
6
43.1%
Q1 - 8:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
58.3%
6
41.7%
Q1 - 9:00MILMISS Antetokounmpo 5' Turnaround Jump Shot8
57.7%
6
42.3%
Q1 - 9:18MIADragic 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)8
56.2%
6
43.8%
Q1 - 9:38MILMonroe 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)6
54.7%
6
45.3%
Q1 - 9:41MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
56.2%
4
43.8%
Q1 - 9:43MILMISS Middleton 1' Driving Layup6
57.7%
4
42.3%
Q1 - 10:02MIADragic 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
56.1%
4
43.9%
Q1 - 10:07MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
54.5%
4
45.5%
Q1 - 10:11MILMISS Monroe 1' Layup4
53.9%
4
46.1%
Q1 - 10:18MIAParker STEAL (1 STL)4
52.4%
4
47.6%
Q1 - 10:35MILParker Running Layup (2 PTS) (Carter-Williams 1 AST)4
54.5%
4
45.5%
Q1 - 10:40MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
56.1%
2
43.9%
Q1 - 10:41MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
56.7%
2
43.3%
Q1 - 10:58MILAntetokounmpo Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)4
58.2%
2
41.8%
Q1 - 11:18MIABosh 17' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)4
59.6%
0
40.4%
Q1 - 11:29MILAntetokounmpo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
57.7%
0
42.3%
Q1 - 11:44MIAStoudemire 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)2
56.1%
0
43.9%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Monroe vs. Stoudemire: Tip to Bosh0
54.2%
0
45.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 58.2%
MIL
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
29
59%
MIL
26
48
54%
Midrange
MIA
13
27
48%
MIL
10
20
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
MIL
2
3.0
12
17%
25%
Free Throws
MIA
26
32
81%
MIL
25
28
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2463%12.0 / 19
C. Bosh2067%10.0 / 15
L. Deng1662%8.0 / 13
G. Dragic1267%6.0 / 9
A. Stoudemire1267%6.0 / 9
G. Green1045%5.0 / 11
J. Winslow650%3.0 / 6
B. Udrih563%2.5 / 4
J. McRoberts233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo2870%14.0 / 20
G. Monroe2463%12.0 / 19
J. Parker1761%8.5 / 14
K. Middleton930%4.5 / 15
M. Carter-Williams945%4.5 / 10
M. Plumlee867%4.0 / 6
R. Vaughn8100%4.0 / 4
J. Bayless0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+11
-17
92
MIL
78
+17
-19
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 58.2%
MIL
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
104.5
MIA 109.2 +3.0
MIL 106.2
Pace
93.7
94.1
MIA 96.9
MIL 100.0 +3.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.0
MIA 14.9
MIL 14.4 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
49.9%
MIA 54.7% +5.9%
MIL 48.8%
TO %
14.0%
15.4%
MIA 17.0% +1.5%
MIL 18.5%
ORB %
23.9%
25.0%
MIA 22.9%
MIL 33.3% +10.4%
FTrt
28.2
27.6
MIA 43.2 +8.2
MIL 35.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.3%
60.3%
MIA 73.0% +25.6%
MIL 47.4%
STL %
7.2%
8.6%
MIA 12.2% +1.9%
MIL 10.3%
BLK %
10.3%
10.2%
MIA 13.2% +4.3%
MIL 8.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
52.3%
MIA 58.2% +4.6%
MIL 53.6%
Rim FG%
62.3%
57.9%
MIA 58.6% +4.4%
MIL 54.2%
Mid FG%
40.5%
39.0%
MIA 48.1%
MIL 50.0% +1.9%
3P %
33.6%
34.5%
MIA 38.9% +22.2%
MIL 16.7%
FT %
74.4%
74.7%
MIA 81.3%
MIL 89.3% +8.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
45.2%
MIA 39.2%
MIL 60.0% +20.8%
Mid Att. %
40.9%
35.9%
MIA 36.5%
MIL 25.0% +11.5%
3P Att. %
22.1%
18.9%
MIA 24.3% +9.3%
MIL 15.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.63 and 2.63.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions9897
Possession Minutes24.323.3
Points107103
Rebounds3440
Assists2718
Steals1210
Blocks95
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)19 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)27 (1)
Field Goals37-7438-80
At-the-Rim FG17-2926-48
Midrange FG13-2710-20
2-Point FG30-5636-68
3-Point FG7-182-12
Free Throws26-3225-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 32
34.5
20
67%
6
5
1
1
2
2
1
5
8-9
89%
3-6
50%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
32.7
16
62%
7
0
1
1
1
5
2
5
4-4
100%
3-7
43%
2-4
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
32.2
24
63%
4
7
3
3
4
2
1
3
10-13
77%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
31.6
12
67%
1
8
1
0
4
4
0
1
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 245 · 33
23.6
12
67%
8
0
0
2
0
3
2
6
0-0
-
6-9
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
32.6
6
50%
4
2
0
0
1
3
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
20.2
10
45%
2
1
3
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 205 · 34
16.4
5
63%
1
2
2
0
3
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
· 6'10" 240 · 29
16.1
2
33%
1
2
1
1
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
F · 6'6" 200 · 22
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'3" 186 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
58%
34
27
12
9
17
0
8
26
26-32
81%
30-56
54%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.