FinalWin Prob.pScore
1226%99
99
374%108
130
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
98.0101104.1
SAS logo SAS
134.09794.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU99
0%
130
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)99
0%
130
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASMISS McCallum 24' 3PT Jump Shot99
0%
130
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)99
0%
130
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0HOUMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot99
0%
130
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0SASMarjanovic Dunk (13 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)99
0%
130
100%
Q4 - 0:55.0SASSimmons Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)99
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 0:55.0HOUSmith Foul Turnover (P3.T15)99
0%
127
100%
Q4 - 1:13SASMarjanovic 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)99
0%
127
100%
Q4 - 1:24HOUJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)99
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:24HOUJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)98
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:35SASSimmons Dunk (4 PTS)97
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:37SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)97
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38SASMISS Simmons 3PT Jump Shot97
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48SASMcCallum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)97
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50HOUMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)97
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00SASMISS Simmons 19' Jump Shot97
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11SASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13HOUMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)97
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21SASMISS Marjanovic 8' Turnaround Jump Shot97
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40HOUJones 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)97
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54SASMarjanovic 3' Putback Layup (9 PTS)95
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)95
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57SASMISS Simmons 7' Jump Shot95
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06HOUJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)95
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06HOUJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)94
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10HOUMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26SASMarjanovic Dunk (7 PTS) (McCallum 3 AST)93
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28SASMcCallum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30SASMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41HOUTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)93
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49SASButler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McCallum 2 AST)90
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 4:12SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)90
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13HOUMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 290
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13HOUJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)90
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30SASMcCallum 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)89
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)89
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47HOUMISS Thornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 4:50HOULawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51HOUMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00SASMISS McCallum 1' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot89
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 5:18HOUJones 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)89
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35SASMcCallum 11' Jump Shot (5 PTS)87
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 5:53SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 5:55HOUButler BLOCK (1 BLK)87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 6:10SASJump Ball Marjanovic vs. Smith: Tip to Terry87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 6:10SASMISS Marjanovic 3' Layup87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 6:15SASMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 6:31HOUSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 6:31HOUSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)86
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 6:54SASMarjanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)85
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 6:54SASMarjanovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)85
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 7:14HOUJones Driving Dunk (2 PTS)85
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 7:40SASMcCallum 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)83
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 8:00SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:01HOUMISS Smith 9' Turnaround Hook Shot83
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:25SASMarjanovic Dunk (3 PTS) (McCallum 1 AST)83
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:35SASMcCallum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 8:36HOUMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 8:43HOULawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 8:44SASMISS Marjanovic 6' Jump Shot83
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 8:58HOUSmith 3' Jump Shot (9 PTS)83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 9:08HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 9:09SASMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 9:31HOUTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Thornton 3 AST)81
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 9:35HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 9:37HOUMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 9:43SASMills Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)78
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 9:51SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 9:52HOUMISS Jones 7' Running Jump Shot78
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 9:59SASWest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)78
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 10:11HOUThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)78
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 10:11HOUThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)77
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 10:18SASSimmons Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)76
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 10:24SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 10:25HOUMISS Jones 8' Jump Shot76
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 10:40SASSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)76
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 10:40SASSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)76
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 10:56HOUTerry 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Thornton 2 AST)76
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 11:12HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 11:12SASMISS Marjanovic Free Throw 2 of 273
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 11:12SASMarjanovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)73
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 11:37SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 11:38HOUMISS Capela 9' Hook Shot73
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU73
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASWest 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mills 4 AST)73
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q3 - 0:22.0SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q3 - 0:23.0HOUMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot73
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q3 - 0:34.0SASGinobili Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T11)73
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q3 - 0:36.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q3 - 0:37.0HOUMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q3 - 0:48.0SASGinobili 1' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (6 PTS) (West 2 AST)73
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q3 - 0:59.0SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q3 - 1:00HOUMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q3 - 1:05HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q3 - 1:07SASMISS Marjanovic Dunk73
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q3 - 1:10SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q3 - 1:11SASMISS Mills 18' Jump Shot73
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q3 - 1:33HOUSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)73
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q3 - 1:41SASMills Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)70
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q3 - 1:53HOUCapela Running Dunk (5 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)70
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q3 - 1:58HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 1:59SASMISS Ginobili 5' Jump Shot68
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 2:17SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 2:17HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 2 of 268
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 2:17HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 1 of 268
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q3 - 2:35SASGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Aldridge 5 AST)68
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q3 - 2:50SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q3 - 2:52HOUGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)68
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q3 - 2:54HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q3 - 2:56HOUMISS Lawson 16' Jump Shot68
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q3 - 3:16SASAldridge 16' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)68
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q3 - 3:34HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (20 PTS)68
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q3 - 3:34HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (19 PTS)67
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q3 - 3:34HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 3 (18 PTS)66
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q3 - 3:42SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)65
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q3 - 3:42SASAldridge 8' Jump Shot (23 PTS)65
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q3 - 3:44SASMISS Aldridge 8' Jump Shot65
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q3 - 3:54SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q3 - 3:55HOUMISS Thornton 18' Jump Shot65
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q3 - 4:21SASMills 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)65
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q3 - 4:27HOUGinobili STEAL (1 STL)65
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q3 - 4:39SASAldridge Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)65
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q3 - 4:51SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q3 - 4:52HOUMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q3 - 5:08SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)65
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q3 - 5:08SASAldridge Tip Dunk Shot (21 PTS)65
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q3 - 5:09SASMISS Parker 7' Floating Jump Shot65
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q3 - 5:23HOUHarden 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS)65
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q3 - 5:29HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)63
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q3 - 5:30HOUMISS Thornton 18' Jump Shot63
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q3 - 5:42SASLeonard 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Aldridge 4 AST)63
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q3 - 5:57HOUAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)63
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q3 - 5:57HOUMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 262
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q3 - 6:11HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q3 - 6:12SASMISS Aldridge 1' Alley Oop Layup62
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q3 - 6:28SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)62
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q3 - 6:29HOUMISS Harden 15' Turnaround Jump Shot62
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q3 - 6:42SASGinobili Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T8)62
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q3 - 7:00HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)62
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q3 - 7:00HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)61
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q3 - 7:08SASLeonard 18' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)60
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q3 - 7:18SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q3 - 7:19HOUMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot60
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q3 - 7:34SASAnderson 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)60
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q3 - 7:56HOUAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)60
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q3 - 8:18SASParker 2' Running Reverse Layup (15 PTS)57
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q3 - 8:25SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 8:26HOUMISS Howard Alley Oop Dunk57
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q3 - 8:31HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q3 - 8:34SASMISS Anderson 1' Layup57
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q3 - 8:54HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)57
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 8:54HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)56
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q3 - 9:06SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)55
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q3 - 9:06SASAldridge 2' Putback Layup (19 PTS)55
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q3 - 9:08SASMISS Anderson 2' Layup55
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 9:25HOUBrewer Foul Turnover (P2.T13)55
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 9:34SASAnderson Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T7)55
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q3 - 9:38SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)55
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 9:40HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q3 - 9:46HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q3 - 9:47SASMISS Parker 8' Fadeaway Jumper55
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 10:06HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)55
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q3 - 10:19SASAnderson 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)52
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q3 - 10:31HOUHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T12)52
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q3 - 10:38SASParker 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Green 3 AST)52
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 10:42HOULeonard STEAL (1 STL)52
1.9%
72
98.1%
Q3 - 10:47HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
2.2%
72
97.8%
Q3 - 10:48SASMISS Leonard 8' Turnaround Jump Shot52
2.1%
72
97.9%
Q3 - 10:59SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)52
1.9%
72
98.1%
Q3 - 11:01HOUMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot52
2.1%
72
97.9%
Q3 - 11:23SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)52
2.3%
72
97.7%
Q3 - 11:34HOUBrewer 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)52
2.9%
69
97.1%
Q3 - 11:47HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q3 - 11:48SASMISS Parker 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup49
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU49
2.0%
69
98.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASLeonard Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)49
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q2 - 0:16.0SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q2 - 0:17.0HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 2 of 249
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q2 - 0:17.0HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 1 of 249
2.4%
69
97.6%
Q2 - 0:17.0HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)49
2.5%
69
97.5%
Q2 - 0:17.0HOUMISS Beverley 3PT Jump Shot49
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q2 - 0:25.0HOUMISS Capela 9' Hook Shot49
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q2 - 0:25.0HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
2.5%
69
97.5%
Q2 - 0:25.0HOURockets Rebound49
2.5%
69
97.5%
Q2 - 0:26.0HOUMISS Capela 7' Jump Shot49
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q2 - 0:39.0SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)49
2.5%
69
97.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0SASAldridge 1' Tip Layup Shot (14 PTS)49
2.5%
69
97.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0SASMISS Leonard 12' Jump Shot49
3.1%
67
96.9%
Q2 - 1:03HOUCapela Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)49
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q2 - 1:20SASAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)49
3.4%
67
96.6%
Q2 - 1:20SASMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 249
3.5%
66
96.5%
Q2 - 1:20SASSPURS Rebound49
3.6%
66
96.4%
Q2 - 1:21HOUMISS Harden 3PT Jump Shot49
3.6%
66
96.4%
Q2 - 1:45SASLeonard 10' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)49
3.8%
66
96.2%
Q2 - 1:48HOUHarden Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T9)49
4.6%
64
95.4%
Q2 - 1:51SASLeonard 16' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)49
4.8%
64
95.2%
Q2 - 2:10SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
5.9%
62
94.1%
Q2 - 2:11HOUMISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 249
5.9%
62
94.1%
Q2 - 2:11HOUAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)49
6.4%
62
93.6%
Q2 - 2:13HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
5.8%
62
94.2%
Q2 - 2:14HOUMISS Harden 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot48
5.4%
62
94.6%
Q2 - 2:17HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
5.8%
62
94.2%
Q2 - 2:18SASMISS Parker 4' Floating Jump Shot48
5.6%
62
94.4%
Q2 - 2:31HOUCapela Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)48
5.2%
62
94.8%
Q2 - 2:31HOUCapela Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)47
4.9%
62
95.1%
Q2 - 2:31HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
4.6%
62
95.4%
Q2 - 2:31HOUMISS Beverley 4' Floating Jump Shot46
4.3%
62
95.7%
Q2 - 2:43HOURockets Rebound46
4.6%
62
95.4%
Q2 - 2:43HOUMISS Beverley Free Throw 2 of 246
4.2%
62
95.8%
Q2 - 2:43HOUBeverley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
4.5%
62
95.5%
Q2 - 2:46SASAldridge Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)45
4.1%
62
95.9%
Q2 - 3:08HOULawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)45
3.8%
62
96.2%
Q2 - 3:08HOUMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 244
3.7%
62
96.3%
Q2 - 3:26SASAldridge Dunk (12 PTS)44
3.9%
62
96.1%
Q2 - 3:30SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
4.3%
60
95.7%
Q2 - 3:32SASMISS Aldridge 3' Layup44
4.7%
60
95.3%
Q2 - 3:40SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
4.3%
60
95.7%
Q2 - 3:42HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
4.4%
60
95.6%
Q2 - 3:55SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)44
4.9%
60
95.1%
Q2 - 4:00SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
6.0%
57
94.0%
Q2 - 4:01HOUMISS Beverley 12' Hook Shot44
6.5%
57
93.5%
Q2 - 4:16SASLeonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)44
7.0%
57
93.0%
Q2 - 4:26HOUParker STEAL (1 STL)44
8.6%
54
91.4%
Q2 - 4:37HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
9.6%
54
90.4%
Q2 - 4:38SASMISS Leonard 18' Pullup Jump Shot44
9.2%
54
90.8%
Q2 - 4:57HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)44
8.5%
54
91.5%
Q2 - 4:57HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 243
8.2%
54
91.8%
Q2 - 4:57HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
8.6%
54
91.4%
Q2 - 4:58HOUMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
8.0%
54
92.0%
Q2 - 5:13SASWest 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Aldridge 3 AST)43
8.8%
54
91.2%
Q2 - 5:34HOUHarden 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)43
9.6%
52
90.4%
Q2 - 5:46SASAldridge 16' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Green 2 AST)41
8.7%
52
91.3%
Q2 - 6:09SASSPURS Rebound41
9.8%
50
90.2%
Q2 - 6:10HOUMISS Ariza 16' Pullup Jump Shot41
10.2%
50
89.8%
Q2 - 6:30SASWest Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)41
11.0%
50
89.0%
Q2 - 6:50HOUBeverley 8' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)41
9.8%
50
90.2%
Q2 - 7:00SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (West 1 AST)39
9.1%
50
90.9%
Q2 - 7:26HOUBeverley 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)39
11.1%
47
88.9%
Q2 - 7:50SASParker 14' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS)37
10.2%
47
89.8%
Q2 - 8:14HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)37
11.2%
45
88.8%
Q2 - 8:14HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)36
10.8%
45
89.2%
Q2 - 8:30HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
10.3%
45
89.7%
Q2 - 8:31SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 2 of 235
10.1%
45
89.9%
Q2 - 8:31SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)35
9.5%
45
90.5%
Q2 - 8:45HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
10.2%
44
89.8%
Q2 - 8:45HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
9.9%
44
90.1%
Q2 - 8:45SASMills 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)33
9.4%
44
90.6%
Q2 - 8:52SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
10.2%
42
89.8%
Q2 - 8:53HOUMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
10.5%
42
89.5%
Q2 - 9:19SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)33
11.3%
42
88.7%
Q2 - 9:35SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
13.3%
39
86.7%
Q2 - 9:35HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 233
13.5%
39
86.5%
Q2 - 9:35HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 233
14.0%
39
86.0%
Q2 - 9:36HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
14.7%
39
85.3%
Q2 - 9:37SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
14.2%
39
85.8%
Q2 - 9:46SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
13.3%
39
86.7%
Q2 - 9:48HOUMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot33
13.7%
39
86.3%
Q2 - 10:04SASMills 2' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Green 1 AST)33
14.9%
39
85.1%
Q2 - 10:10HOUGreen STEAL (3 STL)33
15.9%
37
84.1%
Q2 - 10:20SASMills 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)33
17.6%
37
82.4%
Q2 - 10:36HOUSmith 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)33
18.7%
35
81.3%
Q2 - 10:49HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
17.6%
35
82.4%
Q2 - 10:50SASMISS Mills 17' Pullup Jump Shot31
17.0%
35
83.0%
Q2 - 10:56SASSPURS Rebound31
15.9%
35
84.1%
Q2 - 10:57SASMISS Mills Layup31
17.0%
35
83.0%
Q2 - 11:01HOUDiaw STEAL (1 STL)31
16.0%
35
84.0%
Q2 - 11:16HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
17.4%
35
82.6%
Q2 - 11:16SASMISS Diaw 2' Layup31
17.0%
35
83.0%
Q2 - 11:34HOUSmith 9' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)31
16.0%
35
84.0%
Q2 - 11:46HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
14.8%
35
85.2%
Q2 - 11:47SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
14.4%
35
85.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU29
13.6%
35
86.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
13.8%
35
86.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASMISS Green 1' Layup29
14.4%
35
85.6%
Q1 - 0:07.0HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 2 of 229
13.9%
35
86.1%
Q1 - 0:07.0HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 1 of 229
14.4%
35
85.6%
Q1 - 0:25.0SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
16.2%
33
83.8%
Q1 - 0:27.0HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 2 of 229
16.3%
33
83.7%
Q1 - 0:27.0HOUCapela Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
16.9%
33
83.1%
Q1 - 0:27.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
15.9%
33
84.1%
Q1 - 0:27.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
16.1%
32
83.9%
Q1 - 0:34.0HOURockets Rebound28
18.6%
31
81.4%
Q1 - 0:34.0HOUBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)28
17.5%
31
82.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0HOUMISS Brewer Free Throw 1 of 227
17.2%
31
82.8%
Q1 - 0:34.0HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
17.2%
31
82.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot27
16.9%
31
83.1%
Q1 - 0:47.0HOULawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)27
16.2%
31
83.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0HOUMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 226
15.9%
31
84.1%
Q1 - 0:52.0SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)26
15.9%
31
84.1%
Q1 - 1:11SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
15.0%
31
85.0%
Q1 - 1:13HOUMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
15.3%
31
84.7%
Q1 - 1:23HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
15.9%
31
84.1%
Q1 - 1:26SASMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
15.6%
31
84.4%
Q1 - 1:32SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
15.0%
31
85.0%
Q1 - 1:33HOUMISS Brewer 7' Jump Bank Shot26
15.3%
31
84.7%
Q1 - 1:51SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)26
15.9%
31
84.1%
Q1 - 2:09HOUGreen STEAL (2 STL)26
18.8%
28
81.2%
Q1 - 2:23HOUTerry Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)26
20.1%
28
79.9%
Q1 - 2:32SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
18.7%
28
81.3%
Q1 - 2:32SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
18.9%
27
81.1%
Q1 - 2:42HOUBrewer 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)25
20.2%
26
79.8%
Q1 - 2:54HOURockets Rebound23
18.7%
26
81.3%
Q1 - 2:55HOULeonard BLOCK (1 BLK)23
17.8%
26
82.2%
Q1 - 3:04HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
18.7%
26
81.3%
Q1 - 3:06SASMISS Aldridge 13' Turnaround Jump Shot23
18.2%
26
81.8%
Q1 - 3:23HOUHarden Foul Turnover (P2.T4)23
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q1 - 3:26SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)23
18.7%
26
81.3%
Q1 - 3:46HOUSmith Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)23
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q1 - 3:58SASParker 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)23
18.7%
26
81.3%
Q1 - 4:02SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
19.7%
24
80.3%
Q1 - 4:03HOUMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
20.2%
24
79.8%
Q1 - 4:19SASParker 3' Layup (7 PTS)23
21.3%
24
78.7%
Q1 - 4:26SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
22.6%
22
77.4%
Q1 - 4:28HOUMISS Ariza 1' Layup23
23.1%
22
76.9%
Q1 - 4:32HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
24.4%
22
75.6%
Q1 - 4:33HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot23
23.1%
22
76.9%
Q1 - 4:51HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
24.4%
22
75.6%
Q1 - 4:51SASMISS Parker 3' Layup23
23.9%
22
76.1%
Q1 - 5:11HOUBeverley 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)23
22.3%
22
77.7%
Q1 - 5:25HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
21.0%
22
79.0%
Q1 - 5:27SASMISS Parker 2' Driving Layup21
20.6%
22
79.4%
Q1 - 5:33SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
19.6%
22
80.4%
Q1 - 5:34HOUMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot21
20.0%
22
80.0%
Q1 - 5:51SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
21.0%
22
79.0%
Q1 - 5:51SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
21.2%
21
78.8%
Q1 - 6:04HOUHarden 2' Running Layup (8 PTS)21
22.0%
20
78.0%
Q1 - 6:10HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
20.8%
20
79.2%
Q1 - 6:11SASMISS Leonard 3PT Jump Shot19
20.4%
20
79.6%
Q1 - 6:28HOUHoward Dunk (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)19
19.4%
20
80.6%
Q1 - 6:46SASParker 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)17
18.3%
20
81.7%
Q1 - 7:04HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)17
19.2%
18
80.8%
Q1 - 7:04HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
19.1%
18
80.9%
Q1 - 7:12HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
18.2%
18
81.8%
Q1 - 7:13SASMISS Leonard 13' Turnaround Jump Shot15
17.8%
18
82.2%
Q1 - 7:37HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)15
16.9%
18
83.1%
Q1 - 7:48SASAnderson 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Aldridge 2 AST)13
16.1%
18
83.9%
Q1 - 8:04HOUBrewer 4' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
16.8%
16
83.2%
Q1 - 8:21SASSPURS Turnover: Backcourt (T#1)11
15.8%
16
84.2%
Q1 - 8:45HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST)11
14.7%
16
85.3%
Q1 - 9:00SASLeonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)8
13.0%
16
87.0%
Q1 - 9:14HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
14.7%
13
85.3%
Q1 - 9:14HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
14.6%
13
85.4%
Q1 - 9:33SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)6
13.9%
13
86.1%
Q1 - 9:37HOUBeverley 9' Driving Bank Shot (2 PTS)6
15.6%
10
84.4%
Q1 - 9:52SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
14.8%
10
85.2%
Q1 - 9:52SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
15.0%
9
85.0%
Q1 - 9:52SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
15.6%
8
84.4%
Q1 - 9:54SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot4
16.5%
8
83.5%
Q1 - 10:00HOUGreen STEAL (1 STL)4
15.6%
8
84.4%
Q1 - 10:14SASAldridge 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
16.9%
8
83.1%
Q1 - 10:28HOUAriza Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
17.8%
6
82.2%
Q1 - 10:44SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)4
19.1%
6
80.9%
Q1 - 11:06HOUHoward 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)4
21.1%
3
78.9%
Q1 - 11:20SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)2
19.9%
3
80.1%
Q1 - 11:41HOUHoward 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)2
22.4%
0
77.6%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Aldridge vs. Howard: Tip to Beverley0
21.1%
0
78.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.97 48.5%
SAS
1.31 65.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
15
21
71%
SAS
21
36
58%
Midrange
HOU
5
22
23%
SAS
17
31
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
8
12.0
30
27%
40%
SAS
12
18.0
23
52%
78%
Free Throws
HOU
35
52
67%
SAS
18
21
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden2071%10.0 / 14
D. Howard1372%6.5 / 9
J. Smith1142%5.5 / 13
T. Jones1142%5.5 / 13
J. Terry1071%5.0 / 7
P. Beverley956%4.5 / 8
T. Ariza850%4.0 / 8
C. Brewer857%4.0 / 7
C. Capela528%2.5 / 9
T. Lawson233%1.0 / 3
M. Thornton214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge2578%12.5 / 16
D. Green18100%9.0 / 9
K. Leonard1869%9.0 / 13
T. Parker1558%7.5 / 13
B. Marjanovic1359%6.5 / 11
P. Mills950%4.5 / 9
R. McCallum880%4.0 / 5
K. Anderson758%3.5 / 6
M. Ginobili675%3.0 / 4
J. Simmons550%2.5 / 5
D. West4100%2.0 / 2
R. Butler250%1.0 / 2
B. Diaw0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
86
+14
-15
100
SAS
84
+13
-13
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.97 48.5%
SAS
1.31 65.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
110.2
HOU 98.0 +36.0
SAS 134.0
Pace
97.9
94.0
HOU 104.1 +9.9
SAS 94.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
16.2
HOU 13.8 +1.5
SAS 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.6%
52.6%
HOU 43.8%
SAS 62.2% +18.4%
TO %
15.5%
13.3%
HOU 13.5%
SAS 12.4% +1.1%
ORB %
25.7%
22.9%
HOU 22.9%
SAS 29.3% +6.4%
FTrt
35.2
24.6
HOU 71.2 +47.9
SAS 23.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.9%
61.1%
HOU 50.0%
SAS 68.0% +18.0%
STL %
10.2%
8.8%
HOU 6.9%
SAS 7.2% +0.3%
BLK %
9.0%
9.6%
HOU 16.4% +9.4%
SAS 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.6 and 2.6.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.7%
54.9%
HOU 48.5%
SAS 65.7% +17.2%
Rim FG%
58.5%
62.8%
HOU 71.4% +13.1%
SAS 58.3%
Mid FG%
38.9%
43.2%
HOU 22.7%
SAS 54.8% +32.1%
3P %
34.7%
37.5%
HOU 26.7%
SAS 52.2% +25.5%
FT %
69.5%
80.3%
HOU 67.3%
SAS 85.7% +18.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.0%
32.7%
HOU 28.8%
SAS 40.0% +11.2%
Mid Att. %
23.0%
44.9%
HOU 30.1% +4.3%
SAS 34.4%
3P Att. %
37.0%
22.3%
HOU 41.1% +15.5%
SAS 25.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsHOUSAS
Possessions10197
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points99130
Rebounds4049
Assists1434
Steals77
Blocks113
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)37 (2)
Field Goals28-7350-90
At-the-Rim FG15-2121-36
Midrange FG5-2217-31
2-Point FG20-4338-67
3-Point FG8-3012-23
Free Throws35-5218-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 220 · 26
27.6
20
71%
3
2
0
1
5
1
1
2
9-9
100%
4-7
57%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 215 · 31
27.0
8
50%
1
2
2
1
1
3
0
1
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
G · 6'1" 185 · 28
26.2
9
56%
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 30
22.7
13
72%
8
1
0
2
2
1
2
6
7-8
88%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 186 · 30
13.9
8
57%
1
0
0
0
2
4
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
G · 5'11" 195 · 28
25.6
2
33%
2
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
· 6'9" 225 · 30
24.7
11
42%
7
2
1
1
3
4
1
6
2-4
50%
3-5
60%
1-6
17%
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29
20.9
2
14%
5
3
0
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 38
20.4
10
71%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
0-0
-
3-7
43%
F · 6'9" 252 · 24
16.8
11
42%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
5-6
83%
3-6
50%
0-4
0%
C · 6'10" 256 · 22
14.2
5
28%
5
0
0
3
2
5
3
2
3-10
30%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25
F · 6'9" 230 · 22
#35 · F-C · 6'8" 240 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
49%
40
14
7
11
15
0
11
29
35-52
67%
20-43
47%
8-30
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.